1. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools
Organized by Western Lands & Communities
A Joint Venture of the
Lincoln Institute of Land Policy & Sonoran Institute
Shaping the Future of the West

2. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools
Ted Cochin – U.S. EPA
Frank Hebbert – Open Plans
Jim Holway, FAICP – Sonoran Institute
Jason Lally – PlaceMatters
Robert Matthews, AICP– Decision Commons
Ray Quay, FAICP – Arizona State University

3. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools
Opening Access to Scenario Planning Tools
Need for Scenario Planning
What are Scenario Planning Tools
Challenges & Opportunities – Roundtable
Recommendations – Roundtable
Discussion

4. • Scenario Planning’s
Potential
• Scenario Planning
Practice
• Scenario Planning Tools
• Challenges to Using SP
Tools
• Opportunities to Expand
Use of SPT
• Recommendations for
Action

5. Your Organization --- Quick Survey
• City
• County
• MPO
• Non-Profit
• University
• Consultant
• Tool Developer
• Other

6. Your Role --- Quick Survey
• Current Planning
• Long Range Planning
• GIS - Data Management
• Other Technical (including tool developers)
• Management
• Faculty
• Student
• Other

7. Opportunities to Expand the Use of
Scenario Tools
• Encouraging Acceptance of SP & Tools
• Reducing Complexity & Cost
• Opening Access to Data
• Enhancing Interoperability across Tools
• Advancing Foresight & Anticipation
• Creating an Open Environment for Collaboration

8. Why Do Scenario Planning
• Increasing Complexity, Uncertainty,
Interdependence
• Need to Anticipate & Shape our Future
• Look to Longer Time Horizons – 50 year plans
• Broader & More Effective Participation to
overcome….
– Divergent cultural & ideological values
– Inability to make decisions – invest in our future

9. Why Does the Federal Government Care about
Open Source Tools & Scenario Planning?
• Scenario Planning tools are starting to address a wider
range of sustainability and Smart Growth related issues,
including jobs, housing, the environment and economic
vitality.
• Federal Agencies have seen a dramatic increase requests
for assistance in funding, training, and capacity building.
• Many jurisdictions lack the resources and capacity
especially in regard to data and tool deployment.

10. National Priorities for our
Elected Officials
Q: How much of a priority do you think
each of the following issues should be to
our elected officials?
High Priorities (60%+)
• Jobs 82%
• The economy 85%
• Health care costs 70%
• Federal deficit 68%
• Cost of living 61%
• Taxes 63%
• Education 63%

16. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools
Challenges Opportunities
• Skepticism & Lack of • Encouraging Acceptance of SP
Awareness & Tools
• Complexity & High Cost • Reducing Complexity & Cost
• Difficult to Obtain/Use Data • Opening Access to Data
• Lack Interoperability across • Enhancing Interoperability
Tools across Tools
• Need Foresight & Anticipation • Advancing Foresight &
Anticipation
• Creating an Open Environment
for Collaboration

17. US Census Bureau Data Web
•PSC working with the Census to deliver live streaming
data from the US Census DataWeb
•Ultimate goal is to make US Census data more readily
available
•Communities need easy access to data that can be fed
into scenario planning tools.

19. Data That’s Updated Automatically

20. Sustainable Communities Code-a-thon
Resulted in several new apps at various stages of
development - housing, walk ability, transit service.

21. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools
Challenges Opportunities
• Skepticism & Lack of • Encouraging Acceptance of SP
Awareness & Tools
• Complexity & High Cost • Reducing Complexity & Cost
• Difficult to Obtain/Use Data • Opening Access to Data
• Lack Interoperability across • Enhancing Interoperability
Tools across Tools
• Need Foresight & Anticipation • Advancing Foresight &
Anticipation
• Creating an Open Environment
for Collaboration

22. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools
Recommendations for Action
• Approaches for Opening Access to SP Tools
• Create an Online Platform to Foster Collaboration
• Develop A Curriculum on Scenario Planning
• Establish Model to Integrate SP into Planning
• Illustrate Uses of Scenario Planning Tools
• Establish Data Standards to Improve Info Sharing
• Initiate Model Collaborative Projects
• Advance Concepts of Anticipatory Governance
www.ScenarioPlanningTools.org

24. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools
Recommendations for Action
• Approaches for Opening Access to SP Tools
• Create an Online Platform to Foster Collaboration
• Develop A Curriculum on Scenario Planning
• Establish Model to Integrate SP into Planning
• Illustrate Uses of Scenario Planning Tools
• Establish Data Standards to Improve Info Sharing
• Initiate Model Collaborative Projects
• Advance Concepts of Anticipatory Governance
www.ScenarioPlanningTools.org

25. Workshop Participants

26. Discussion
Shaping the Future of the West
www.ScenarioPlanningTools.org