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Putting the
Human Back Into
the Post-Human
If I Can’t Dance, I
    Don’t Want to be
         Part of Your
         Singularity
Some Meandering Thoughts by Jamais Cascio
What is the Singularity?


A disproportionate increase in the
 power of intelligence to achieve
  desired ends, including further
boosting the power of intelligence.
Within thirty years, we
will have the
technological means to
create superhuman
intelligence. Shortly after,
the human era will be
ended.
Within thirty years, we
will have the
technological means to
create superhuman
intelligence. Shortly after,
the human era will be
ended.

   –Vernor Vinge, 1993
The Singularity story echoes two very old
tropes in popular mythology, but with a
more recent twist.
HUBRIS.

    We make
   things that
try to kill us.
ASPIRATION TO
HUMANITY.

We make
things that
want to be
like us.
The twist? Transcendence.
The Singularity Story
    (in five slides)
we create AI
The AI “wakes up”
The AI makes itself smarter
The AI makes itself much smarter
The AI takes over
It might be friendly             It might be unfriendly
         (not much we can do about it, either way)
(the end)
But what happens when you change the focus?
we create AI
we create AI
(but now the focus of the story is the “we”)
we create AI
 (but now the focus of the story is the “we”)
             OK, what “we”?
      Are there competing projects?
Is this secret? Public? Civilian? Military?
               Open Source?
       How do governments react?
          How do markets react?
          How do citizens react?
  What are we doing in the meantime?
not the end
What’s Pushing Us to Do This?
      Technological capacity
 Competition (markets & politics)
    Need for complex systems
to grapple with complex problems
            Curiosity
What Might Hold Us Back?
Dead-end technology paths
        Regulations
    Backlash against AI
 (or related technologies)
            Fear
COMPLICATION
#1: RESPONSIBILITY
CREATION HAS
CONSEQUENCES
COMPLICATION
#2: POWER
POLITICS MATTERS
COMPLICATION
#3: LIABILITY
A NO-FAULT SINGULARITY?
COMPLICATION
#4: RIGHTS
NO SUCH THING AS A
HAPPY SLAVE OR AN
ETHICAL MASTER
COMPLICATION
#5: EMPATHY
DON’T KICK THE ROBOT
So… where does this all lead?
Scenarios!
Scenarios!

tool for collaboration vs tool for competition

 short-term thinking vs long-term thinking
cascio@openthefuture.com
         Twitter: @cascio

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