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H U M A N - T E C H N O L O G Y B O U N D A RY S H I F T S –
O R C O O P E R AT I O N ?
 Kerstin Cuhls with many thanks to Bruno Gransche

 Finland 2012




 © Fraunhofer ISI
Agenda


1. BMBF Foresight 2007-2009
2. Future Field Human Technology Cooperation
3. Future Questions for a Ubiquitious Society
4. Outlook and Question to be discussed




© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 2
1 . O b j e c t i v e s o f t h e B M B F F o re s i g h t P ro c e s s



        • Identifying new research and technology focuses,
        • Identifying (and deriving ) areas of activity
              covering a range of research and innovation
              fields,
        •     Analysing potential fields of technology and
              innovation in which strategic partnerships might
              be possible,
        •     Deducing priority areas of research and
              development activity.
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 3
Topic searches BMBF Foresight
                                                                                                 Mapping of future topics
November 2007
  Research
  Workshop of experts                                                                            in 14 start fields
  Monitoring 1st wave
                                                                                                 First re-clustering

                                                                                                   1st report
                                             %
                                    %                                  %                %
                               %              %       %       %
                                                                      %        %            %
  Online                             %                                         %
  survey
                                                                           %
                                    %    %                %                                      Differentiated evaluation     %
                           %                      %               %                         %
                                   %                                       %        %


                                                                                        %
  Synopsis of
                                                                                %
  researches
  Monitoring 2nd wave                                                                            Selection according to
                                                                                                 criteria, re-clustering
                                                                                    %
                                                                                                   2nd report

  Analysis of potential:                                                       …
  Actors and topics                                                            … …
                                                                                                 Future topics evaluated for
                                                                               … … …
                                                                                 … … …           14 start fields
                                                                                   … … …
                                                                                     … … …       Topics, actors, recommended action
                                                                                       … … …     in 7 new forms of future fields
                                                                                         … … …
                                                                                           … …
June 2009                                                                                    …
                                                                                                   3rd report
T h e B M B F ' s F o re s i g h t P ro c e s s
The Seven Future Fields


 On behalf of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)
   The BMBF's Foresight Process (2007-2010)


                   ProductionConsumption2.0                  http://www.bmbf.de/en/12673.php



                   Human-Technology                      Transdisciplinary Models
                   Cooperation                           and Multi-Scale Simulation

                   Deciphering                           Time Research
                   Ageing

                                                         Sustainable Energy
                   Sustainable Living Spaces
                                                         Solutions

© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 5
Time Research
                                       • 4D imaging/ short-term observation (e.g. Compact x-ray lasers
                                         for biomedical examinations, processes of the human body)
                                       • Atto (second) electronics – control of processes on an atomic
                                         time scale
Ultra-precise/ultra-short time
                                       • Intramolecular energy transport (e.g. energy -efficient
measurement and 4D imaging               electronics, molecular computers)
                                       • GPS applications (e.g. precision farming, machine remote
                                         maintenance)
                                       • Optimised synchronisation of media and wireless communication


                                        • Understanding Biological clock(s) in people: avoiding
                                          disease, targeted therapies (chronopharmacology)
Biological clocks/ Chronobiology        • Connections shift work/ energy implementation/
                                          Adiposity, hormonal influences, effects of melatonin
                                        • effects of social factors on human rhythms
                                        • Concentrated learning at times when people learn best
                                        • Dealing with time on scales beyond classical time scales
                                        • New time structures in a society with more older and fewer
                                          younger people
                                        • New sources of light

                                        • Making processes “more efficient” instead of just faster
Parallelising or synchronising          • Synchronise internet server:speed, saving energy
(efficiency processes)                  • Synchronising production processes
                                        • Structuring, parallelising, initiating innovation processes
2 . F u t u r e F i e l d H u m a n - Te c h n o l o g y C o o p e r a t i o n :
       Developments that create a
       new innovation dynamic

 the availability of large             real-time processing of                   technology,
       amounts of information               large masses of                       wireless networking and
       through digitalising and             information in a range of              ubiquitous embedding of
       fast Internet connections,           technological systems due              systems,
 the ability of machines to                to considerable increases in
                                            computing power and                   greatly improved pattern
       interpret information using                                                 recognition algorithms,
       semantic technologies                the miniaturisation of
                                            switching networks,                   broader access to satellite-
 profound knowledge of                                                            supported positioning.
       the human brain and the          a broader range of
       development of                       potential
       neuroprosthetics,                    applications, thanks to the
                                            greater integration of
                                            different components in
                                            the smallest space due to
                                            micro-systems



© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 7
Intelligent prosthetics                 Neuroenhancement
Human
Technology               Telepresence /Teleaction                                                   Behavioural sciences (Neuro/Psycho)

Cooperation
                                                                                                                  Neuroprosthetics, -implants
                 Autonomous robotics

                                                                           4
                                                                Physical
                                                                Avatars




                                       2
                                                                                                                         Brain-Machine-Interface
    Micro-systems technology

                                                                                                     Anthropomatics           Sensors
       Intelligent materials                                                   Redefining
                                                                               humanity
                                                                                                                                  Affective Computing
           AI research

                                                                                                                                   Anthropology

           1
      Software Agents
                                                    Machine
                                                    agents                                                                        Philosophy of technology
 Ambient Intelligence
                                    Human-                                                  Human-
                                    Machine-                                                                                   Aesthetics
                                    Systems                                                 Machine-
Intelligent automation                                                                       Culture
                                                                                                                             Semantics
   Pervasive Computing
                                                                   Human-
                                                                                                                          Nanoethics/Neuroethics
                                                                 Technology-
               VR-Immersion                                        Teams


                                                                                                  3
                                                                                                                      Technical genesis/ Innovation research

              Adaptive environments
                                                                                                                 Media technology/image sciences

                           Semantic technologies
                                                                                                       Social structure analysis/social policy

                                                                                                 Empirical social research
                                                    Social robotics
                                                                               Assessment of the consequences of technology
New innovation dynamic

0.00450                                                                              0.00025
0.00400                                                                                                       embedded system*
                                   neuroscience*
0.00350

0.00300
                                                                                                              semantic* web*
                                                                                     0.00020
0.00250

0.00200

0.00150

0.00100                                                                              0.00015

0.00050

0.00000
             2000

                    2001

                            2002

                                    2003

                                           2004

                                                  2005

                                                         2006

                                                                2007

                                                                       2008

                                                                              2009
                                                                                     0.00010
0.00160

0.00140

0.00120
                                                                                     0.00005
0.00100
                           robotic*
0.00080

0.00060
                                                                                     0.00000
                                                                                                2000



                                                                                                       2001



                                                                                                               2002



                                                                                                                      2003



                                                                                                                             2004



                                                                                                                                    2005



                                                                                                                                           2006



                                                                                                                                                  2007



                                                                                                                                                         2008



                                                                                                                                                                2009
0.00040

0.00020

0.00000                                                                                        Relative amount of publications to these keywords
             2000

                    2001

                            2002

                                    2003

                                           2004

                                                  2005

                                                         2006

                                                                2007

                                                                       2008

                                                                              2009




                                                                                               2000-2009

© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 9
W h y H u m a n - Te c h n o l o g y B o u n d a r y S h i f t s
new proximity to people, their bodies, brains and daily lives


      increasingly dense technological surroundings
      expanding technical structure of human life
      ambient assistive living, smart
           environments, ambient intelligence
      mixed-, augmented reality
      robotic exoskeletons
      “physical Avatars”, VR-
           immersion, telepresence and
           teleaction
          various Assistance Systems
          anthropomimetic robots
          software agents (virtual broker)
          neuroprostetics, implants                   BIDIRECTIONAL OLED-MICRODISPLAY, Fraunhofer IPMS


          …

© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 10
3 . F u t u re Q u e s t i o n s :
H u m a n - Te c h n o l o g y B o u n d a r y S h i f t s a m b i g u i t y

    Shifts between                                Shifts round
         human and technology                       human via technology

          distributed agency in hybrid human-       human self-concept configuration
               technology constellations               via anthropomimesis
                                                       (human-human)
          „shared spaces‘ or penetration of
               formerly separated spheres            stressing the ‟genetic porosity“ by
                                                       cross-species genetics
          non-identifiability in communication        (human-animal)
               and everyday life
                                                     increasing impact power through
          Increasing exposure to black boxes          techniques to an
               (finance algorithms, emergency          superhuman/godlike extend
               systems)                                (human-supernatural)

                                                     Self-alienation to some kind of
                                                       Posthumans
                                                       (humanT1-humanT2)



© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 11
I n c re a s i n g i m p a c t p o w e r
negative Utopians




© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 12
A n t h ro p o m i m e s i s
embodied cognition, human learning
and development




                           Left: iCub an open source
                           cognitive humanoid robotic
                           platform http://www.icub.org/
                           Above: CB2 robotic child
                           created at Osaka
                           University, Japan Right:
                           ECCEROBOT Embodied
                           Cognition in a Compliantly
                           Engineered Robot
                           http://eccerobot.org/


© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 13
Hybrid human-technology constellations
seamless interaction




                           Left: HAL (Hybrid Assistive Limb®) y Cyberdyne
                           Middle above: BBCI berlin brain computer
                           interface Middle below left: OLED microdisplay
                           based Eyetracking HMD, Fraunhofer IPMS, 2011
                           Middle below right: VI-Bot (DFKI) Virtual
                           Immersion for holistic feedback control of semi-
                           autonomous robots Right: Amanda Boxtel, before
                           this 18 years reliant on a wheelchair. Now having a
                           walk in the park with E-Legs by Berkeley Bionics




© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 14
4. Outlook and further question for
discussion



We observe more and more that human-technology
cooperations/ combinations/ ubiquitious society topics can be
observed in commercials and as attractive.

What ist your impression about the
following picture?


© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 15
Atractiveness of
p ro s t h e s i s ? ? ?
Thank you very
                         much!


For further information:
Dr. Kerstin Cuhls
kerstin.cuhls@isi.fraunhofer.de
or
Bruno Gransche
bruno.gransche@isi.fraunhofer.de
                                      Anthropomimetischer Robotertorso - ECCEROBOT




  © Fraunhofer ISI
  Seite 17
Eccerobot: http://www6.in.tum.de/Main/ResearchEccerobot
Forest Walker: http://www.gizmag.com/raytheon-significantly-progresses-
exoskeleton-design/16479/picture/121265/
E-Legs: http://blog.makezine.com/archive/2010/10/berkeley-bionics-
introduces-elegs-e.html?pagewanted=all
Wirbelsturm: http://www.geodz.com/deu/d/tropischer_Wirbelsturm
Ambient Intelligence:
http://www.acatech.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Baumstruktur_nach_Website
/Acatech/root/de/Publikationen/Stellungnahmen/acatech_bezieht_Position_i
ntelligente_Objekte_web.pdf
VI-Bot: http://robotik.dfki-
bremen.de/de/forschung/projekte/unterwasserrobotik/vi-bot.html
BMBF-Foresight-Prozess:
BMBF: http://www.bmbf.de/de/12673.php
Fraunhofer-ISI: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/projekte/bmbf-foresight.php   Bruno Gransche M.A.
Zukunftsfelder neuen Zuschnitts http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-                   Competence Center
de/v/download/publikationen/_Foresight-                                         Innovation and Technology Management and Foresight
                                                                                Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research IS
Prozess_BMBF_Zukunftsfelder_neuen_Zuschnitts.pdf
                                                                                Breslauer Straße 48 | 76139 Karlsruhe | Germany
Etablierte Zukunftsfelder: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-                        Phone +49 721 6809-424 | Fax +49 721 6809-77424
de/v/download/publikationen/_FP_BMBF_Etab_Zukunftsf_Zukunftst.pdf               bruno.gransche@isi.fraunhofer.de




© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 18

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Professor Kerstin Cuhls, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI, Karlsruhe

  • 1. H U M A N - T E C H N O L O G Y B O U N D A RY S H I F T S – O R C O O P E R AT I O N ? Kerstin Cuhls with many thanks to Bruno Gransche Finland 2012 © Fraunhofer ISI
  • 2. Agenda 1. BMBF Foresight 2007-2009 2. Future Field Human Technology Cooperation 3. Future Questions for a Ubiquitious Society 4. Outlook and Question to be discussed © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 2
  • 3. 1 . O b j e c t i v e s o f t h e B M B F F o re s i g h t P ro c e s s • Identifying new research and technology focuses, • Identifying (and deriving ) areas of activity covering a range of research and innovation fields, • Analysing potential fields of technology and innovation in which strategic partnerships might be possible, • Deducing priority areas of research and development activity. © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 3
  • 4. Topic searches BMBF Foresight Mapping of future topics November 2007 Research Workshop of experts in 14 start fields Monitoring 1st wave First re-clustering 1st report % % % % % % % % % % % Online % % survey % % % % Differentiated evaluation % % % % % % % % % Synopsis of % researches Monitoring 2nd wave Selection according to criteria, re-clustering % 2nd report Analysis of potential: … Actors and topics … … Future topics evaluated for … … … … … … 14 start fields … … … … … … Topics, actors, recommended action … … … in 7 new forms of future fields … … … … … June 2009 … 3rd report
  • 5. T h e B M B F ' s F o re s i g h t P ro c e s s The Seven Future Fields  On behalf of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)  The BMBF's Foresight Process (2007-2010) ProductionConsumption2.0 http://www.bmbf.de/en/12673.php Human-Technology Transdisciplinary Models Cooperation and Multi-Scale Simulation Deciphering Time Research Ageing Sustainable Energy Sustainable Living Spaces Solutions © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 5
  • 6. Time Research • 4D imaging/ short-term observation (e.g. Compact x-ray lasers for biomedical examinations, processes of the human body) • Atto (second) electronics – control of processes on an atomic time scale Ultra-precise/ultra-short time • Intramolecular energy transport (e.g. energy -efficient measurement and 4D imaging electronics, molecular computers) • GPS applications (e.g. precision farming, machine remote maintenance) • Optimised synchronisation of media and wireless communication • Understanding Biological clock(s) in people: avoiding disease, targeted therapies (chronopharmacology) Biological clocks/ Chronobiology • Connections shift work/ energy implementation/ Adiposity, hormonal influences, effects of melatonin • effects of social factors on human rhythms • Concentrated learning at times when people learn best • Dealing with time on scales beyond classical time scales • New time structures in a society with more older and fewer younger people • New sources of light • Making processes “more efficient” instead of just faster Parallelising or synchronising • Synchronise internet server:speed, saving energy (efficiency processes) • Synchronising production processes • Structuring, parallelising, initiating innovation processes
  • 7. 2 . F u t u r e F i e l d H u m a n - Te c h n o l o g y C o o p e r a t i o n : Developments that create a new innovation dynamic  the availability of large  real-time processing of technology, amounts of information large masses of  wireless networking and through digitalising and information in a range of ubiquitous embedding of fast Internet connections, technological systems due systems,  the ability of machines to to considerable increases in computing power and  greatly improved pattern interpret information using recognition algorithms, semantic technologies the miniaturisation of switching networks,  broader access to satellite-  profound knowledge of supported positioning. the human brain and the  a broader range of development of potential neuroprosthetics, applications, thanks to the greater integration of different components in the smallest space due to micro-systems © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 7
  • 8. Intelligent prosthetics Neuroenhancement Human Technology Telepresence /Teleaction Behavioural sciences (Neuro/Psycho) Cooperation Neuroprosthetics, -implants Autonomous robotics 4 Physical Avatars 2 Brain-Machine-Interface Micro-systems technology Anthropomatics Sensors Intelligent materials Redefining humanity Affective Computing AI research Anthropology 1 Software Agents Machine agents Philosophy of technology Ambient Intelligence Human- Human- Machine- Aesthetics Systems Machine- Intelligent automation Culture Semantics Pervasive Computing Human- Nanoethics/Neuroethics Technology- VR-Immersion Teams 3 Technical genesis/ Innovation research Adaptive environments Media technology/image sciences Semantic technologies Social structure analysis/social policy Empirical social research Social robotics Assessment of the consequences of technology
  • 9. New innovation dynamic 0.00450 0.00025 0.00400 embedded system* neuroscience* 0.00350 0.00300 semantic* web* 0.00020 0.00250 0.00200 0.00150 0.00100 0.00015 0.00050 0.00000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0.00010 0.00160 0.00140 0.00120 0.00005 0.00100 robotic* 0.00080 0.00060 0.00000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0.00040 0.00020 0.00000 Relative amount of publications to these keywords 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2000-2009 © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 9
  • 10. W h y H u m a n - Te c h n o l o g y B o u n d a r y S h i f t s new proximity to people, their bodies, brains and daily lives  increasingly dense technological surroundings  expanding technical structure of human life  ambient assistive living, smart environments, ambient intelligence  mixed-, augmented reality  robotic exoskeletons  “physical Avatars”, VR- immersion, telepresence and teleaction  various Assistance Systems  anthropomimetic robots  software agents (virtual broker)  neuroprostetics, implants BIDIRECTIONAL OLED-MICRODISPLAY, Fraunhofer IPMS  … © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 10
  • 11. 3 . F u t u re Q u e s t i o n s : H u m a n - Te c h n o l o g y B o u n d a r y S h i f t s a m b i g u i t y  Shifts between  Shifts round human and technology human via technology  distributed agency in hybrid human-  human self-concept configuration technology constellations via anthropomimesis (human-human)  „shared spaces‘ or penetration of formerly separated spheres  stressing the ‟genetic porosity“ by cross-species genetics  non-identifiability in communication (human-animal) and everyday life  increasing impact power through  Increasing exposure to black boxes techniques to an (finance algorithms, emergency superhuman/godlike extend systems) (human-supernatural)  Self-alienation to some kind of Posthumans (humanT1-humanT2) © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 11
  • 12. I n c re a s i n g i m p a c t p o w e r negative Utopians © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 12
  • 13. A n t h ro p o m i m e s i s embodied cognition, human learning and development Left: iCub an open source cognitive humanoid robotic platform http://www.icub.org/ Above: CB2 robotic child created at Osaka University, Japan Right: ECCEROBOT Embodied Cognition in a Compliantly Engineered Robot http://eccerobot.org/ © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 13
  • 14. Hybrid human-technology constellations seamless interaction Left: HAL (Hybrid Assistive Limb®) y Cyberdyne Middle above: BBCI berlin brain computer interface Middle below left: OLED microdisplay based Eyetracking HMD, Fraunhofer IPMS, 2011 Middle below right: VI-Bot (DFKI) Virtual Immersion for holistic feedback control of semi- autonomous robots Right: Amanda Boxtel, before this 18 years reliant on a wheelchair. Now having a walk in the park with E-Legs by Berkeley Bionics © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 14
  • 15. 4. Outlook and further question for discussion We observe more and more that human-technology cooperations/ combinations/ ubiquitious society topics can be observed in commercials and as attractive. What ist your impression about the following picture? © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 15
  • 16. Atractiveness of p ro s t h e s i s ? ? ?
  • 17. Thank you very much! For further information: Dr. Kerstin Cuhls kerstin.cuhls@isi.fraunhofer.de or Bruno Gransche bruno.gransche@isi.fraunhofer.de Anthropomimetischer Robotertorso - ECCEROBOT © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 17
  • 18. Eccerobot: http://www6.in.tum.de/Main/ResearchEccerobot Forest Walker: http://www.gizmag.com/raytheon-significantly-progresses- exoskeleton-design/16479/picture/121265/ E-Legs: http://blog.makezine.com/archive/2010/10/berkeley-bionics- introduces-elegs-e.html?pagewanted=all Wirbelsturm: http://www.geodz.com/deu/d/tropischer_Wirbelsturm Ambient Intelligence: http://www.acatech.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Baumstruktur_nach_Website /Acatech/root/de/Publikationen/Stellungnahmen/acatech_bezieht_Position_i ntelligente_Objekte_web.pdf VI-Bot: http://robotik.dfki- bremen.de/de/forschung/projekte/unterwasserrobotik/vi-bot.html BMBF-Foresight-Prozess: BMBF: http://www.bmbf.de/de/12673.php Fraunhofer-ISI: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/projekte/bmbf-foresight.php Bruno Gransche M.A. Zukunftsfelder neuen Zuschnitts http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi- Competence Center de/v/download/publikationen/_Foresight- Innovation and Technology Management and Foresight Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research IS Prozess_BMBF_Zukunftsfelder_neuen_Zuschnitts.pdf Breslauer Straße 48 | 76139 Karlsruhe | Germany Etablierte Zukunftsfelder: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi- Phone +49 721 6809-424 | Fax +49 721 6809-77424 de/v/download/publikationen/_FP_BMBF_Etab_Zukunftsf_Zukunftst.pdf bruno.gransche@isi.fraunhofer.de © Fraunhofer ISI Seite 18