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UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




               Prioritisation of projects for
               Multilateral Fund funding:
               the MLF Climate Impact
               Indicator (MCII)

                      Etienne GONIN, project coordinating consultant Seoul,
                         Republic of Korea, Low GWP HCFC replacements -
                                         Asia Foam Workshop, 7 May 2010
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Roadmap
             Source of MCII and references
             Objective

             Principles

             In concrete

             Incentives

             Climate funding

             Role of Jumpstart
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Source
             Decision XIX / 6 of MOP 19, para. 11b:
            “The ExCom should give priority to cost-
              effective projects and programmes that
              focus on, inter alia, substitutes and
              alternatives that minimise other impacts
              on the environment, including on the
              climate, taking into account GWP, energy
              use and other relevant factors”
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




             Source
            Decision XIX / 6 of MOP 19, para. 11b:
             “To be applied to the development and
              application of funding criteria for cost-
              effective projects and programmes”
                   Request for prioritisation led to developing
                    the MCII by the MFS
                   An alternative to a “undesired technology
                    list”
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Reference documents
             MOP 19 report, esp. Decision XIX/6
             ExCom Decisions and Documents:
                  ExCom Doc 55/47
                  ExCom Doc 57/59
                  ExCom Doc 59/51 : prioritisation
                   approach and examples (Add. 1)
                  ExCom Doc 60/50 : incentives associated
                   with MCII
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Objectives
                  Scope: only applied to conversion of
                   manufacturing capacity
                  Only for activities in consumption sector

                  Will assume the possibility of aggregating
                   several activities
                         sector or country-wide climate impact
                    Comparison on the basis of the annual
                     production of
                     refrigeration systems
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Basis
             Creation of a scientific simulation model
             Minimise the data inputs needed (based
              on significant background data)
             Aiming at an:
                  activity-specific indicator
                  with fair and equitable results between
                   alternatives
                  Meant to guide funding
                   decisions of ExCom
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Typical Inputs
                  Number of Units produced annually
                  Type and amount of ODS used per unit

                  Basic characteristics (e.g: foam
                   thickness, cooling capacity)
                  Share of exports

                  Alternatives to HCFCs to be used
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                Fair technology comparison
       Comparing climate impact of various
        alternatives to HCFCs, for a specific
        replacement activity, to the baseline of
        the climate impact for HCFCs
       Including both:
            Direct impact (based on GWP of
             alternative)
            Indirect Impact
             (associated electricity use)
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




              Specificity of the Indirect Impact
          Energy efficiency comparisons harder
           than direct emissions comparisons
          These are country-specific (sources of
           energy determine CO2 emissions)
          Comparisons assume similar effort for
           energy efficiency improvements for ALL
           alternatives (otherwise biased)
          Assumption: Similar quality of
           components for HCFC
           and replacements
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                  In Concrete...
          A model and software developed by the MFS
           with support from experts
          To be used to evaluate alternative
           technologies considered in conversion projects
          Different profiles developed:
               AC / commercial cooling / commercial freezing;
                factory assembled / on site assembled
               For foams, 2 subcategories:
                   • Building insulation
                   • Insulation of refrigerated
                     space
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Information generated
           Identification of the alternative with
            minimum climate impact
           Caution: climate can only be ONE of the
            parameters in choosing replacement
            technologies
                  Other: economic, availability of
                   components, market penetration and
                   acceptance, maintenance…
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Quantification of the climate
                 Impact
        Possible aggregation at sector or country
         level
        MFS will use the MCII to inform the
         ExCom on proposed projects’ impact
        Will report on test period at
         ExCom 62 (end of 2010)
        Potential to use results to apply for co-
         funding from energy-
         efficiency and climate
         change funding facilities
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




             Specificity of the use in the
             foam sector (test analysis)
      In many applications: the indirect impact does
       not apply (for ex. thermoware) or can not be
       determined (for ex. buildings)
      In that case, GWP is only criteria for comparing
       climate impacts
      For insulation for refrigeration systems:
       comparison includes energy efficiency
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Comparison of MCII with other
                 evaluation methods
                    In comparison with other climate
                     evaluation methods (TEWI, LCCP…),
                     MCII:
                       is a forecast on equipment that does not
                        exist yet (no prototypes!)
                       is based on minimal, standardised input
                        data
                    Does not apply to
                     destruction activities
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch



            Replacement technologies
            considered
           HFCs and HFC mixtures with GWP > or = to
            HCFCs
           Reduced HFC-content technology (esp. for
            foam)
           HFC-134a

           Hydrocarbons

           Ammonia, CO2 and HFO to be added
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 Remaining disincentives to
                 conversions away from HCFCs
       In many cases still no barriers to use HCFCs in
        developing countries
       For companies: perceived higher-risk potential
        of alternatives in comparison to HCFCs
       Lack of knowledge and practice of alternatives

       Limited commercial availability

       Eligibility of future conversion projects away
        from HFCs in carbon
        markets
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




               Beyond the MCII
           Incentives to encourage selection of
            alternatives with low climate impact:
              improving knowledge level in companies during
               the conversion process (training modules,
               particularly on safety)
              Providing up-front funding for energy efficiency
               improvements
              Encourage submission of HPMPs in order to
               have more complete picture of the national
               HCFC uses
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch



            Examples of climate funding
            component
       25% additional cost – new ExCom guidelines

    - Funding of up to a maximum of 25 per cent above
      the cost effectiveness threshold would be
      provided for projects when needed for the
      introduction of low global warming potential
      (GWP) alternatives
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch



            Examples of possible
            complementary climate funding
   MLF Special Funding Facility? (in discussion)
   GEF Projects (cf. energy efficiency
    enhancements)
   Specific funds: Climate Investment Funds (World
    Bank)
   Bilaterals

   Voluntary Carbon Markets
    (pres’n on banks yesterday)
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch



               Role of Jumpstart project
            Contribute to increasing incentives to move
             rapidly away from HCFCs
            Disseminate information on the MCII and
             evolution of its principles, its use by the
             ExCom, relevance for developing countries
            Propose climate evaluation tools (MCII,
             TEWI, LCCP,…) for specific applications
            Highlight financing opportunities

            Presenting case studies,
             background documents
UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch




                 CONCLUSION
                    MCCI:
                       ex-ante evaluation of climate impact of
                        various alternatives for a specific project
                       assessing climate benefit compared to
                        HCFC-based baseline
                       will be assessment tools for ExCom
                        projects

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MLF climate impact indicator

  • 1. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Prioritisation of projects for Multilateral Fund funding: the MLF Climate Impact Indicator (MCII) Etienne GONIN, project coordinating consultant Seoul, Republic of Korea, Low GWP HCFC replacements - Asia Foam Workshop, 7 May 2010
  • 2. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Roadmap  Source of MCII and references  Objective  Principles  In concrete  Incentives  Climate funding  Role of Jumpstart
  • 3. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Source  Decision XIX / 6 of MOP 19, para. 11b: “The ExCom should give priority to cost- effective projects and programmes that focus on, inter alia, substitutes and alternatives that minimise other impacts on the environment, including on the climate, taking into account GWP, energy use and other relevant factors”
  • 4. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Source Decision XIX / 6 of MOP 19, para. 11b:  “To be applied to the development and application of funding criteria for cost- effective projects and programmes”  Request for prioritisation led to developing the MCII by the MFS  An alternative to a “undesired technology list”
  • 5. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Reference documents  MOP 19 report, esp. Decision XIX/6  ExCom Decisions and Documents:  ExCom Doc 55/47  ExCom Doc 57/59  ExCom Doc 59/51 : prioritisation approach and examples (Add. 1)  ExCom Doc 60/50 : incentives associated with MCII
  • 6. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Objectives  Scope: only applied to conversion of manufacturing capacity  Only for activities in consumption sector  Will assume the possibility of aggregating several activities  sector or country-wide climate impact  Comparison on the basis of the annual production of refrigeration systems
  • 7. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Basis  Creation of a scientific simulation model  Minimise the data inputs needed (based on significant background data)  Aiming at an:  activity-specific indicator  with fair and equitable results between alternatives  Meant to guide funding decisions of ExCom
  • 8. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Typical Inputs  Number of Units produced annually  Type and amount of ODS used per unit  Basic characteristics (e.g: foam thickness, cooling capacity)  Share of exports  Alternatives to HCFCs to be used
  • 9. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Fair technology comparison  Comparing climate impact of various alternatives to HCFCs, for a specific replacement activity, to the baseline of the climate impact for HCFCs  Including both:  Direct impact (based on GWP of alternative)  Indirect Impact (associated electricity use)
  • 10. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Specificity of the Indirect Impact  Energy efficiency comparisons harder than direct emissions comparisons  These are country-specific (sources of energy determine CO2 emissions)  Comparisons assume similar effort for energy efficiency improvements for ALL alternatives (otherwise biased)  Assumption: Similar quality of components for HCFC and replacements
  • 11. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch In Concrete...  A model and software developed by the MFS with support from experts  To be used to evaluate alternative technologies considered in conversion projects  Different profiles developed:  AC / commercial cooling / commercial freezing; factory assembled / on site assembled  For foams, 2 subcategories: • Building insulation • Insulation of refrigerated space
  • 12. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Information generated  Identification of the alternative with minimum climate impact  Caution: climate can only be ONE of the parameters in choosing replacement technologies  Other: economic, availability of components, market penetration and acceptance, maintenance…
  • 13. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Quantification of the climate Impact  Possible aggregation at sector or country level  MFS will use the MCII to inform the ExCom on proposed projects’ impact  Will report on test period at ExCom 62 (end of 2010)  Potential to use results to apply for co- funding from energy- efficiency and climate change funding facilities
  • 14. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Specificity of the use in the foam sector (test analysis)  In many applications: the indirect impact does not apply (for ex. thermoware) or can not be determined (for ex. buildings)  In that case, GWP is only criteria for comparing climate impacts  For insulation for refrigeration systems: comparison includes energy efficiency
  • 15. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Comparison of MCII with other evaluation methods  In comparison with other climate evaluation methods (TEWI, LCCP…), MCII:  is a forecast on equipment that does not exist yet (no prototypes!)  is based on minimal, standardised input data  Does not apply to destruction activities
  • 16. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Replacement technologies considered  HFCs and HFC mixtures with GWP > or = to HCFCs  Reduced HFC-content technology (esp. for foam)  HFC-134a  Hydrocarbons  Ammonia, CO2 and HFO to be added
  • 17. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Remaining disincentives to conversions away from HCFCs  In many cases still no barriers to use HCFCs in developing countries  For companies: perceived higher-risk potential of alternatives in comparison to HCFCs  Lack of knowledge and practice of alternatives  Limited commercial availability  Eligibility of future conversion projects away from HFCs in carbon markets
  • 18. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Beyond the MCII  Incentives to encourage selection of alternatives with low climate impact:  improving knowledge level in companies during the conversion process (training modules, particularly on safety)  Providing up-front funding for energy efficiency improvements  Encourage submission of HPMPs in order to have more complete picture of the national HCFC uses
  • 19. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Examples of climate funding component  25% additional cost – new ExCom guidelines - Funding of up to a maximum of 25 per cent above the cost effectiveness threshold would be provided for projects when needed for the introduction of low global warming potential (GWP) alternatives
  • 20. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Examples of possible complementary climate funding  MLF Special Funding Facility? (in discussion)  GEF Projects (cf. energy efficiency enhancements)  Specific funds: Climate Investment Funds (World Bank)  Bilaterals  Voluntary Carbon Markets (pres’n on banks yesterday)
  • 21. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch Role of Jumpstart project  Contribute to increasing incentives to move rapidly away from HCFCs  Disseminate information on the MCII and evolution of its principles, its use by the ExCom, relevance for developing countries  Propose climate evaluation tools (MCII, TEWI, LCCP,…) for specific applications  Highlight financing opportunities  Presenting case studies, background documents
  • 22. UNEP DTIE OzonAction Branch CONCLUSION  MCCI:  ex-ante evaluation of climate impact of various alternatives for a specific project  assessing climate benefit compared to HCFC-based baseline  will be assessment tools for ExCom projects