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Valuation Assignment 1

The Super Project
Gulcin Askin
Michelle Donovan
Kivanc Ozuolmez
Peter Tempelman
Question I
How should management deal with...
How should management deal with




   Test-market expenses
   Overhead expenses
   Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin
   Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
Test Market Expenses



- Should only be taken into account if they can be
  attributed to the particular project.

- In the Super case these expenses had been made
  before the Super project had started (p.2)

- Conclusion: Test-market expenses will not be taken
  into account in the FCF
How should management deal with




   Test-market expenses
   Overhead expenses
   Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin
   Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
Overhead Expenses



- Should be taken into account if these expenses can be
  attributed to the project.

- In the Super case, overhead expenses have been
  justified earlier in the Jello-O project. Also, the data
  does not provide specific information on incremental
  overhead expenses.

- Conclusion: Overhead expenses will not be taken into
  account in the FCF
How should management deal with




   Test-market expenses
   Overhead expenses
   Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin
   Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
Erosion of Jell-O



- Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin should be taken
  into account. Super is expected to displace part of the
  sale of Jell-O (p.2/exhibit 6)
How should management deal with




   Test-market expenses
   Overhead expenses
   Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin
   Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
Excess Agglomerator Capacity

Agglomerator?
Excess Agglomerator Capacity



- Allocation of charges for excess capacity should be
  taken into account if they can be attributed to the
  particular project.

- However, General Foods Corp. Has already counted
  these costs (probably in the FCF of Jell-O), so
  management should not take these charges into
  account for the Super FCF.

(If we wanted to evaluate the Super project, the capital expenditure of the agglomerator
     would be needed and used to calculate the Super FCF.)
How should management deal with




   Test-market expenses
   Overhead expenses
   Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin
   Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
Note for management



- The allocation of charges for excess capacity is not
  counted in the FCF of the Super project.

- However, these charges represent opportunity costs
  for the Jell-O division and/or future projects.

- We recommend HQ to take these costs into account
  on a corporate level.
Question II
Comments on evaluation approaches
Incremental Basis / Alternative I



- This evaluation approach is the correct approach. In
  the capital budgeting process only incremental cash
  flows are taken into account.

- The Jell-O facilities and production capacity are not
  relevant for the Super FCF because they have already
  been counted.

- Therefore the incremental basis is the correct
  evaluation approach.
Facilities-Used basis and
Fully Allocated / Alternatives II & III



- These evaluation approaches are incorrect
  approaches. In the capital budgeting process only
  incremental cash flows are taken into account.

- The Jell-O facilities and production capacity are not
  relevant for the Super FCF because they have already
  been counted.

- Therefore, it is incorrect to include Jell-O facilities and
  production capacity into the Super project FCF.
Question III
Valuation of the Super Project
Starting Points



-   Discount rate is 11%
-   FCF concerns a 10 year time scale
-   Depreciation continues for a longer period
-   Tax rate: 52% (exhibit 6)
-   Prespecified period for payback rule; no more then 10
    years.
Free Cash Flow


           Tax                         52%
            R1                         11%

                                T0                    1958             1959               1960               1961              1962             1963              1964             1965              1966              1967
                                             0                 1                  2                  3                 4                5                 6                7                 8                 9              10
                            -   200.00
CAPEX
                                                 -     19.00 -           18.00 -            17.00 -           16.00 -           15.00 -          13.00 -           12.00 -           11.00 -          10.00 -             9.00
Depreciation
                                 104.00                 9.88               9.36               8.84              8.32             7.80              6.76             6.24              5.72              5.20              4.68
Tax over Depreciation
Net sales                                            2,112.00   2,304.00   2,496.00   2,688.00   2,880.00   2,880.00   3,072.00   3,072.00   3,264.00   3,264.00
                                                 -   1,100.00 - 1,200.00 - 1,300.00 - 1,400.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,700.00 - 1,700.00
COGS
                                                 -   1,100.00 -        1,050.00 -         1,000.00
Advertising Expense                                                                                      -   900.00        -   700.00       -   700.00        -   730.00       -   730.00        -   750.00        -   750.00
                                                 -     15.00
Start up cost
                                                                         54.00             196.00            388.00            680.00           680.00            742.00           742.00            814.00            814.00
Income (EBIT)                                    -    103.00
                                                 -     49.44             25.92              94.08            186.24            326.40           326.40            356.16           356.16            390.72            390.72
Income after tax
Jello Erosion                                    -    180.00 -          200.00        -    210.00        -   220.00        -   230.00       -   230.00        -   240.00       -   240.00        -   250.00        -   250.00
                                                 -     93.60
Tax over Erosion                                             -          104.00 -           109.20        -   114.40        -   119.60       -   119.60        -   124.80       -   124.80        -   130.00        -   130.00
                                                 -     86.40 -           96.00
Erosion after tax                                                              -           100.80 -          105.60 -          110.40 -         110.40 -          115.20 -         115.20        -   120.00 -          120.00
                                                                         55.00               3.00               7.00            23.00 -           1.00 -           13.00                         -    12.00
NWC                                              -    329.00                                                                                                                       0.00                                0.00
                            -        96.00                         -      5.72                5.12            95.96            246.80           221.76            234.20            246.68           263.92             275.40
Total Cash Flow After Tax                        -    454.96
Free Cash Flow


           Tax                         52%
            R1                         11%

                                T0                    1958             1959              1960             1961             1962             1963              1964             1965              1966              1967
                                             0                 1                 2                3                4                5                 6                7                 8                 9              10
                            -   200.00
CAPEX                                                                     Net sales + COGS +
Depreciation
                                                 -     19.00 -
                                                                         Advertising Expense +-
                                                                         18.00 -   17.00 -    16.00                         15.00 -          13.00 -           12.00 -           11.00 -          10.00 -             9.00

                                 104.00                 9.88              9.36 Start 8.84 cost 8.32
                                                                                      up                                     7.80              6.76             6.24              5.72              5.20              4.68
Tax over Depreciation
Net sales                                            2,112.00   2,304.00   2,496.00   2,688.00   2,880.00   2,880.00   3,072.00   3,072.00   3,264.00   3,264.00
                                                 -   1,100.00 - 1,200.00 - 1,300.00 - 1,400.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,700.00 - 1,700.00
COGS                                                                   Tax over Depreciation +
                                                 -   1,100.00 -        1,050.00 -
                                                                               1,000.00
Advertising Expense                                                       Income after tax + -
                                                                                        - 900.00                           700.00       -   700.00        -   730.00       -   730.00        -   750.00        -   750.00

Start up cost
                                                 -     15.00           Erosion after tax + NWC
                                                                         54.00           196.00           388.00           680.00           680.00            742.00           742.00            814.00            814.00
Income (EBIT)                                    -    103.00
                                                 -     49.44             25.92            94.08           186.24           326.40           326.40            356.16           356.16            390.72            390.72
Income after tax
Jello Erosion                                    -    180.00 -          200.00       -   210.00       -   220.00       -   230.00       -   230.00        -   240.00       -   240.00        -   250.00        -   250.00
                                                 -     93.60
Tax over Erosion                                             -          104.00 -         109.20       -   114.40       -   119.60       -   119.60        -   124.80       -   124.80        -   130.00        -   130.00
                                                 -     86.40 -           96.00
Erosion after tax                                                              -         100.80 -         105.60 -         110.40 -         110.40 -          115.20 -         115.20        -   120.00 -          120.00
                                                                         55.00             3.00              7.00           23.00 -           1.00 -           13.00                         -    12.00
NWC                                              -    329.00                                                                                                                   0.00                                0.00
                            -        96.00                         -      5.72             5.12            95.96           246.80           221.76            234.20            246.68           263.92             275.40
Total Cash Flow After Tax                        -    454.96
Free Cash Flow


           Tax                       52%
            R1                       11%

                                T0                 1958         1959            1960              1961              1962             1963              1964             1965              1966              1967
                                          0                 1              2              3                 4                5                 6                7                 8                 9              10
                            -   200.00
CAPEX
                                              -     19.00 -       18.00 -        17.00 -           16.00 -           15.00 -          13.00 -           12.00 -           11.00 -          10.00 -             9.00
Depreciation
                                 104.00              9.88           9.36           8.84              8.32             7.80              6.76             6.24              5.72              5.20              4.68
Tax over Depreciation
Net sales                                         2,112.00   2,304.00   2,496.00   2,688.00   2,880.00   2,880.00   3,072.00   3,072.00   3,264.00   3,264.00
                                              -   1,100.00 - 1,200.00 - 1,300.00 - 1,400.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,700.00 - 1,700.00
COGS
                                              -   1,100.00 -    1,050.00 -     1,000.00
Advertising Expense                                                                           -   900.00        -   700.00       -   700.00        -   730.00       -   730.00        -   750.00        -   750.00
                                              -     15.00
Start up cost
                                                                  54.00         196.00            388.00            680.00           680.00            742.00           742.00            814.00            814.00
Income (EBIT)                                 -    103.00
                                              -     49.44         25.92          94.08            186.24            326.40           326.40            356.16           356.16            390.72            390.72
Income after tax
Jello Erosion                                 -    180.00 -
                                                                      =NPV(R1,y1:y10)+y0
                                                                 200.00 - 210.00 - 220.00 -                         230.00       -   230.00        -   240.00       -   240.00        -   250.00        -   250.00
                                              -     93.60
Tax over Erosion                                          -      104.00 -       109.20        -   114.40        -   119.60       -   119.60        -   124.80       -   124.80        -   130.00        -   130.00
                                              -     86.40 -       96.00
         While
Erosion after tax   the discount rate = 11%                             -       100.80 -          105.60 -          110.40 -         110.40 -          115.20 -         115.20        -   120.00 -          120.00
                              NPV          $241.47                55.00           3.00               7.00            23.00 -           1.00 -           13.00                         -    12.00
NWC                                     - 329.00                                                                                                                        0.00                                0.00
                           -   IRR96.00     18.33%
                                                 -                 5.72            5.12            95.96            246.80           221.76            234.20            246.68           263.92             275.40
Total Cash Flow After Tax                     -    454.96


                                                                               =IRR(y0:y10)
Free Cash Flow

Payback?
Conclusion

            NPV    $241.47
             IRR    18.33%
         Payback    7 years




- NPV is positive
- IRR is higher than discount rate. IRR is usable because
  negative cashflows proceed positive cashflows
- Payback is 7 years. This is shorter than the General
  Foods’ prespecified payback period of 10 year.
- Team Utrecht recommends: do the investment

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Harvard Business Case - Super Project

  • 1. Valuation Assignment 1 The Super Project Gulcin Askin Michelle Donovan Kivanc Ozuolmez Peter Tempelman
  • 2. Question I How should management deal with...
  • 3. How should management deal with Test-market expenses Overhead expenses Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
  • 4. Test Market Expenses - Should only be taken into account if they can be attributed to the particular project. - In the Super case these expenses had been made before the Super project had started (p.2) - Conclusion: Test-market expenses will not be taken into account in the FCF
  • 5. How should management deal with Test-market expenses Overhead expenses Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
  • 6. Overhead Expenses - Should be taken into account if these expenses can be attributed to the project. - In the Super case, overhead expenses have been justified earlier in the Jello-O project. Also, the data does not provide specific information on incremental overhead expenses. - Conclusion: Overhead expenses will not be taken into account in the FCF
  • 7. How should management deal with Test-market expenses Overhead expenses Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
  • 8. Erosion of Jell-O - Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin should be taken into account. Super is expected to displace part of the sale of Jell-O (p.2/exhibit 6)
  • 9. How should management deal with Test-market expenses Overhead expenses Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
  • 11. Excess Agglomerator Capacity - Allocation of charges for excess capacity should be taken into account if they can be attributed to the particular project. - However, General Foods Corp. Has already counted these costs (probably in the FCF of Jell-O), so management should not take these charges into account for the Super FCF. (If we wanted to evaluate the Super project, the capital expenditure of the agglomerator would be needed and used to calculate the Super FCF.)
  • 12. How should management deal with Test-market expenses Overhead expenses Erosion of Jell-O contribution margin Allocation of charges for the use of excess agglomerator capacity
  • 13. Note for management - The allocation of charges for excess capacity is not counted in the FCF of the Super project. - However, these charges represent opportunity costs for the Jell-O division and/or future projects. - We recommend HQ to take these costs into account on a corporate level.
  • 14. Question II Comments on evaluation approaches
  • 15. Incremental Basis / Alternative I - This evaluation approach is the correct approach. In the capital budgeting process only incremental cash flows are taken into account. - The Jell-O facilities and production capacity are not relevant for the Super FCF because they have already been counted. - Therefore the incremental basis is the correct evaluation approach.
  • 16. Facilities-Used basis and Fully Allocated / Alternatives II & III - These evaluation approaches are incorrect approaches. In the capital budgeting process only incremental cash flows are taken into account. - The Jell-O facilities and production capacity are not relevant for the Super FCF because they have already been counted. - Therefore, it is incorrect to include Jell-O facilities and production capacity into the Super project FCF.
  • 17. Question III Valuation of the Super Project
  • 18. Starting Points - Discount rate is 11% - FCF concerns a 10 year time scale - Depreciation continues for a longer period - Tax rate: 52% (exhibit 6) - Prespecified period for payback rule; no more then 10 years.
  • 19. Free Cash Flow Tax 52% R1 11% T0 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 - 200.00 CAPEX - 19.00 - 18.00 - 17.00 - 16.00 - 15.00 - 13.00 - 12.00 - 11.00 - 10.00 - 9.00 Depreciation 104.00 9.88 9.36 8.84 8.32 7.80 6.76 6.24 5.72 5.20 4.68 Tax over Depreciation Net sales 2,112.00 2,304.00 2,496.00 2,688.00 2,880.00 2,880.00 3,072.00 3,072.00 3,264.00 3,264.00 - 1,100.00 - 1,200.00 - 1,300.00 - 1,400.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,700.00 - 1,700.00 COGS - 1,100.00 - 1,050.00 - 1,000.00 Advertising Expense - 900.00 - 700.00 - 700.00 - 730.00 - 730.00 - 750.00 - 750.00 - 15.00 Start up cost 54.00 196.00 388.00 680.00 680.00 742.00 742.00 814.00 814.00 Income (EBIT) - 103.00 - 49.44 25.92 94.08 186.24 326.40 326.40 356.16 356.16 390.72 390.72 Income after tax Jello Erosion - 180.00 - 200.00 - 210.00 - 220.00 - 230.00 - 230.00 - 240.00 - 240.00 - 250.00 - 250.00 - 93.60 Tax over Erosion - 104.00 - 109.20 - 114.40 - 119.60 - 119.60 - 124.80 - 124.80 - 130.00 - 130.00 - 86.40 - 96.00 Erosion after tax - 100.80 - 105.60 - 110.40 - 110.40 - 115.20 - 115.20 - 120.00 - 120.00 55.00 3.00 7.00 23.00 - 1.00 - 13.00 - 12.00 NWC - 329.00 0.00 0.00 - 96.00 - 5.72 5.12 95.96 246.80 221.76 234.20 246.68 263.92 275.40 Total Cash Flow After Tax - 454.96
  • 20. Free Cash Flow Tax 52% R1 11% T0 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 - 200.00 CAPEX Net sales + COGS + Depreciation - 19.00 - Advertising Expense +- 18.00 - 17.00 - 16.00 15.00 - 13.00 - 12.00 - 11.00 - 10.00 - 9.00 104.00 9.88 9.36 Start 8.84 cost 8.32 up 7.80 6.76 6.24 5.72 5.20 4.68 Tax over Depreciation Net sales 2,112.00 2,304.00 2,496.00 2,688.00 2,880.00 2,880.00 3,072.00 3,072.00 3,264.00 3,264.00 - 1,100.00 - 1,200.00 - 1,300.00 - 1,400.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,700.00 - 1,700.00 COGS Tax over Depreciation + - 1,100.00 - 1,050.00 - 1,000.00 Advertising Expense Income after tax + - - 900.00 700.00 - 700.00 - 730.00 - 730.00 - 750.00 - 750.00 Start up cost - 15.00 Erosion after tax + NWC 54.00 196.00 388.00 680.00 680.00 742.00 742.00 814.00 814.00 Income (EBIT) - 103.00 - 49.44 25.92 94.08 186.24 326.40 326.40 356.16 356.16 390.72 390.72 Income after tax Jello Erosion - 180.00 - 200.00 - 210.00 - 220.00 - 230.00 - 230.00 - 240.00 - 240.00 - 250.00 - 250.00 - 93.60 Tax over Erosion - 104.00 - 109.20 - 114.40 - 119.60 - 119.60 - 124.80 - 124.80 - 130.00 - 130.00 - 86.40 - 96.00 Erosion after tax - 100.80 - 105.60 - 110.40 - 110.40 - 115.20 - 115.20 - 120.00 - 120.00 55.00 3.00 7.00 23.00 - 1.00 - 13.00 - 12.00 NWC - 329.00 0.00 0.00 - 96.00 - 5.72 5.12 95.96 246.80 221.76 234.20 246.68 263.92 275.40 Total Cash Flow After Tax - 454.96
  • 21. Free Cash Flow Tax 52% R1 11% T0 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 - 200.00 CAPEX - 19.00 - 18.00 - 17.00 - 16.00 - 15.00 - 13.00 - 12.00 - 11.00 - 10.00 - 9.00 Depreciation 104.00 9.88 9.36 8.84 8.32 7.80 6.76 6.24 5.72 5.20 4.68 Tax over Depreciation Net sales 2,112.00 2,304.00 2,496.00 2,688.00 2,880.00 2,880.00 3,072.00 3,072.00 3,264.00 3,264.00 - 1,100.00 - 1,200.00 - 1,300.00 - 1,400.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,500.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,600.00 - 1,700.00 - 1,700.00 COGS - 1,100.00 - 1,050.00 - 1,000.00 Advertising Expense - 900.00 - 700.00 - 700.00 - 730.00 - 730.00 - 750.00 - 750.00 - 15.00 Start up cost 54.00 196.00 388.00 680.00 680.00 742.00 742.00 814.00 814.00 Income (EBIT) - 103.00 - 49.44 25.92 94.08 186.24 326.40 326.40 356.16 356.16 390.72 390.72 Income after tax Jello Erosion - 180.00 - =NPV(R1,y1:y10)+y0 200.00 - 210.00 - 220.00 - 230.00 - 230.00 - 240.00 - 240.00 - 250.00 - 250.00 - 93.60 Tax over Erosion - 104.00 - 109.20 - 114.40 - 119.60 - 119.60 - 124.80 - 124.80 - 130.00 - 130.00 - 86.40 - 96.00 While Erosion after tax the discount rate = 11% - 100.80 - 105.60 - 110.40 - 110.40 - 115.20 - 115.20 - 120.00 - 120.00 NPV $241.47 55.00 3.00 7.00 23.00 - 1.00 - 13.00 - 12.00 NWC - 329.00 0.00 0.00 - IRR96.00 18.33% - 5.72 5.12 95.96 246.80 221.76 234.20 246.68 263.92 275.40 Total Cash Flow After Tax - 454.96 =IRR(y0:y10)
  • 23. Conclusion NPV $241.47 IRR 18.33% Payback 7 years - NPV is positive - IRR is higher than discount rate. IRR is usable because negative cashflows proceed positive cashflows - Payback is 7 years. This is shorter than the General Foods’ prespecified payback period of 10 year. - Team Utrecht recommends: do the investment

Notas del editor

  1. MBA Valuation Week 1