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Houston and rapid_climate_change

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Paul Suckow
Paul Suckow

The document discusses the impacts of climate change on Houston, Texas and outlines several adaptation strategies. It notes that sea level rise from melting ice caps could submerge much of the Houston area by 2100. Adaptation strategies proposed include restricting new development and infrastructure to areas above 110 feet in elevation, transitioning coastal areas to wetlands, and moving to renewable energy sources and public transportation.

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A Change of Climate: Houston, Texas and Adaptation Planning Paul Martin Suckow Barbara Jordan-Mickey Leland School of Public Affairs Urban Planning and Environmental Policy Ph.D. Program TSU Research Day, April, 2007
Abrupt climate change More heat in atmosphere, More humidity, drier land , greater floods, Gulf Stream slowing, Climate zones advancing northward, Greatest changes always in past 5 years.
Uncertainty not “if” but “how bad?” Approximate heat imbalance at Earth’s surface: +2 W/Sq M.
Facts, nonfiction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Facts, nonfiction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Abrupt climate change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Abrupt climate change evidence ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Abrupt climate change triggers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Thus far, computer models still do not incorporate sufficient resolution, hierarchies, and feedback mechanisms to understand the velocity and magnitude of recorded features.
Abrupt climate change actors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Abrupt climate change actors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Ice and snow cover reflect back to space 90% of the radiation received. Sea and land surfaces absorb 90% of solar irradiation.
Abrupt climate change actors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],A “Parcel” of air (and the dust/moisture/pollutants it carries) typically moves by wind from Houston to Illinois or the Appalachians within two days.
Abrupt climate change actors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],On average, climate zones and the biological niches they harbor are moving about 100 feet northward per year already, with greater change inevitable over the next century.
Expected effects upon Houston 10% - 40% increased disease risk Exotic/re-evolving diseases - Malaria (shown) - Dengue (break bone) fever
Expected effects upon Houston ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to support greater understanding ,[object Object],[object Object]
Adaptation to Climate Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Adaptation to Climate Change ,[object Object],[object Object]
Gulf Coast Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Expected effects: Sea level rise ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Gulf Coast Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Gulf Coast Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Houston Adaptation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Houston and rapid_climate_change

  • 1. A Change of Climate: Houston, Texas and Adaptation Planning Paul Martin Suckow Barbara Jordan-Mickey Leland School of Public Affairs Urban Planning and Environmental Policy Ph.D. Program TSU Research Day, April, 2007
  • 2. Abrupt climate change More heat in atmosphere, More humidity, drier land , greater floods, Gulf Stream slowing, Climate zones advancing northward, Greatest changes always in past 5 years.
  • 3. Uncertainty not “if” but “how bad?” Approximate heat imbalance at Earth’s surface: +2 W/Sq M.
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  • 13. Expected effects upon Houston 10% - 40% increased disease risk Exotic/re-evolving diseases - Malaria (shown) - Dengue (break bone) fever
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