This document outlines 20 trends that will define communities and businesses over the next decade. Some of the key trends discussed include: the aging populations in China and other regions driving increased automation and a move up the manufacturing value chain; the growth of robotics and how machines will take on more autonomous roles; the reinvention of entertainment through augmented and virtual reality technologies; and how payment systems and platforms will continue to evolve with the rise of big data and an increasingly connected world.
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Twenty trends for 2020 - how your business will change this decade
1. Twenty trends for 2020
Twenty trends for 2020
the decade’s defining forces
2. • The inventor of the world wide web, Tim Berners-Lee was in
Sydney a few weeks ago and said “I never make predictions
on trends. That’s for fools.”
• I am that fool.
• We’re in a time of great technology change, and of social and
economic change as well. These are creating trends that will
define our communities and businesses over the rest of our
decade.
• This is not just about technology, although those changes are
going to have great effects on society. Where technology is
made is the beginning of this.
Tim Berners-Leehttp://www.flickr.com/tanaka
3. Proudly designed in Dandong
• Japan lead the way over the 1950 and 60s where their products were seen as
substandard.
• Eventually they moved up the supply chain and today Japan leads the world in many
manufacturing and design sectors.
• We’re now seeing that in Korea with Samsung, LG and others leading their markets.
• Next is china
• part of what is driving this is China’s aging population, there’s a risk that will become old
before it becomes rich.
• sex imbalances as well
• Chinese governments are aware of this and recognise the need to move up the value chain
quickly.
• http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/01/growth-and-china?fsrc=rss
5. aging workforces
• This is not just a Chinese problem, it is
also one for southern Europe, Russia,
North America and, most of all Japan
6.
7. robotics and automation
• The Japanese response has been increased automation, so
now we’re seeing companies releasing new equipment that
works autonomously.
• We thought machines would look like robots in Lost In Space.
• Better than human – Kevin Kelly
• Will a robot take your job? – Gary Marcus
• Robots and robber barons – Paul Krugman
• Myth of the jobless recovery – Matt Yglesias
• The end of labor – Timothy Noah
8. internet of machines
• computers, and robots talk.
• the social media enabled jet engine
• Internet enabled fridge
9. the reinvention of entertainment –
kinetic, google goggles, AR
• older technologies like Radio and movies
morph around these new technologies
• in a crowd while alone in our room
• movies and theatres have always been a
social experience
Noah Zerkin
10. The role of cash
• Payment systems
• Sorting out payment platforms
• Brad King – speaking
• Africa ..
13. Noise of the internet
• Big Data, big brother -- Described as a
Buzzword tsunami
• we are going to have to deal with this.
14. the flat organization
• the cult of responsiblity
• responsibility back in fashion
• the death of the corporation –
• I’m joking but we’re going to see a major
change
• http://techcrunch.com/2013/01/27/marc-
andreessen-on-the-future-of-the-enterprise/