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Global Business Services




Keynote Address:
Collaboration Goes Critical


          Electronics Supply Chain Association




                                                 © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    Getting down to business: First bold prediction
                                                             Really Big
     Average LCD Screen Size in Consumer Household




                                                     82 cm




                                   28 cm
            2.5 cm


         1987                     1997          2007         2017


2         Supply Chain Strategy                                           © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    Getting down to business: First bold prediction
                                                             Really Big
     Average LCD Screen Size in Consumer Household




                                                     82 cm




                                   28 cm
            2.5 cm


         1987                     1997          2007         2017


3         Supply Chain Strategy                                           © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    Second bold prediction

                                                    16
      Average Number of Remote Controls
           per Consumer Household




                                             7




                                      3

                          1



                   1987             1997   2007   2017

4        Supply Chain Strategy                      © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    Second bold prediction

                                                                                        16
         Average Number of Remote Controls
              per Consumer Household


                                             Omnipotent

                    Universal                         Universal 2                Universal 3

                                                                         7
     1        2           3         4   5         6       7          8       9   10      11         12


                                              3

                              1



                      1987                  1997                    2007              2017

5           Supply Chain Strategy                                                       © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    How do we come up with these brilliant insights?




                                                   Experience         3
        CEO                      CE Industry            as
     Interviews            +      Research     +   Electronics
                                                                 = Current
                                                      Player       Realities




6        Supply Chain Strategy                                       © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    3 current realities

             Product innovation is important,
      1      but it is not enough



            Operations & business model innovations are
      2     becoming harder to execute



            Extreme collaboration is required to compete
      3     and succeed




7         Supply Chain Strategy                            © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    3 current realities

             Product innovation is important,
      1      but it is not enough



            Operations & business model innovations are
      2     becoming harder to execute



            Extreme collaboration is required to compete
      3     and succeed




8         Supply Chain Strategy                            © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




    Everyone thinks they’re an innovator

                                  Industry Position for Innovation in
                                        Products and Services


    Clear Innovation
                                                                                           68%
              Leader

       Fast Follower                           11%



    Moves with Peers                           11%



       Follows Peers                           11%




                                  0%     10%         20%     30%    40%   50%   60%      70%

                                                           Respondents
                                                                                      Source: The Global CEO Survey 2006



9         Supply Chain Strategy                                                                © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




 To some extent, that’s actually true
             COMPANY                                             PATENTS
                    IBM                                            3,621

                    Samsung                                        2,451

                    Canon                                          2,366

                    Matsushita (Panasonic)                         2,229

                    HP                                             2,099

                    Intel                                          1,959

                    Sony                                           1,771

                    Hitachi                                        1,732

                    Toshiba                                        1,672
                                                                           10 of top 10 companies
                    Micron Technology                              1,610   filing patents are in
                                                                           electronics
     Source: US Patent and Trademark Office – 2006 top 10 list
     http://www.uspto.gov/go/oeip/taf/topo_06.htm#PartB

10             Supply Chain Strategy                                                    © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 But not
 always:




                                   Assignee:




                                Armonk, New York
                                December 11, 2001


11   Supply Chain Strategy                      © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 A lot of our “innovation” is product in search of a
 problem. Case in point: internet TV




12    Supply Chain Strategy                      © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Operational and business model innovation are collectively
 equal to product innovation, CEOs tell us.. and we agree..

                                      Innovation Area of Most Importance



                    Operations                                26%




     Business and Enterprise                                         31%
                     Models


      Products, Services and                                                     43%
                     Markets


                                      0%      10%      20%      30%        40%           50%

                                                       Respondents
                                                                             Source: The Global CEO Survey 2006



13         Supply Chain Strategy                                                       © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Operational and business model innovation
 defined…

                                   Revenue      Enterprise
     Industry Model
                                    Model         Model
       Innovation
                                  Innovation    Innovation

      Change how                  Change how    Change how
       industry is                 revenue is   products &
         defined                   generated    services are
                                                 delivered




14     Supply Chain Strategy                          © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




 3 current realities

            Product innovation is important,
     1      but it is not enough.



           Operations & business model innovation are
     2     becoming harder to execute



           Extreme collaboration is required to compete
     3     and succeed




15       Supply Chain Strategy                            © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Blockbuster products are requiring operational and
 business innovation standard
                                Media Content



                                Advanced Hardware




                                Network Connectivity



16   Supply Chain Strategy                             © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Bringing such highly integrated products to market
 is becoming more and more challenging
                                             1997                2007+

                                      Sold separately      Integrated
     CONTENT                          Felt like tangible   Subject to license
                                      property



     ADVANCED                         Long life cycles     Short life cycles
     COMPONENTS
                                      Wide choice          Limited availability



     NETWORK
                                      SneakerNet           Integrated
     CONNECTIVITY




17         Supply Chain Strategy                                        © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Content providers may actually turn out to be the
 easiest part of this equation
Audio:
      Prior to 1998: Stability            1999-2001:Napster                 2002+:Legal Downloads


     • Centralized                        • Rise of P2P, lack of             • Paid market grows
       market, 6 leading                    viable paid                        back up
                                                                                                         Apple’s
       content companies                    alternatives                     • Apple dominates           market


                                                          Market Value:               $20B
Video (US):
      Prior to 2005: Stability         2004-2007: Broadband Critical Mass     2007+


     • Broadcast, cable &                  • 27 million us homes             • Paid market grows           Up for
       satellite                             with DSL                          back up
                                                                                                           Grabs
                                           • Rise of UGC                     • Apple dominates



                                      Market Value: Up to $130B
           Content companies are eager not to let this opportunity pass them by
18             Supply Chain Strategy                                                                © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Advanced chipsets are likely to be a much tougher
 delivery for CE companies
            Number of IC Design Enterprises in   Number of IC Companies with 200mm vs.
                    China, 1995-2005                          300mm Fabs




     More and more fabless companies chasing an ever smaller
         number of state-of-the-art development facilities.

19   Supply Chain Strategy                                                    © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 A similar consolidation is taking place in network
 equipment providers…
     Number of NEPs From 20th Century to Today
                                                                                                    2000
                                                                                                     2000
                                                                                                   Dot com       2000 -- Today
                                                                                                                 2000 Today
                                                                                                   Dot com
                                                                                                   Collapse
                                                                                                   Collapse     Convergence &
                                                                                                                Convergence &
                                                                                   Late -- 90s                   Liberalization
                                                                                                                 Liberalization
                                                                                   Late 90s
                                                                                    Internet
                                                                                     Internet
                                                               1991
                                                               1991                   Boom
                                                                                      Boom
                                                         Introduction of
                                                          Introduction of
                                       1971             the World Wide
                                                         the World Wide
                                        1971
                                                               Web
                                                               Web
                                   First mobile
                                    First mobile
                                  phone network
                                  phone network
               1876
               1876
           Invention of
            Invention of
            Telephone
             Telephone




     Before 1900-
                  1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990   1992      1994       1996         1998    2000    2002    2004      2006   2007
      1900 1940

       Source: IBM IBV analysis

20              Supply Chain Strategy                                                                              © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 …who are just mirroring the consolidation of their
 customers, the network operators




21   Supply Chain Strategy                     © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Despite these challenges, there has never been a
 better time to innovate nor more at stake
     Typical Ecosystem Revenues                        Gross Margins By Component

                                       $385     $620


                                                          Network     70%



                                                            Ads       90%


                 $25        $10
      $200                                                 Content    30%



                                                            Device    10%

     Device Content        Ads        Network

     Source: IBM research, client engagements
22            Supply Chain Strategy                                      © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services




 3 current realities

            Product innovation is important,
     1      but it is not enough.



           Operations & business model innovation are
     2     becoming harder to execute



           Extreme collaboration is required to compete
     3     and succeed




23       Supply Chain Strategy                            © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 We’ve been paying lip service to collaboration for
 years, can’t we keep doing that?
                              Complementary      Loosely           Unstructured,
                              to business        integrated to     back of the
                              strategy           operations        envelope




     NO!
                              Core to business   Tightly coupled to Rocket science
                              strategy           operations




24    Supply Chain Strategy                                               © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


     Core to strategy: Nowhere more true than in
     semiconductor space
                                                            Case example: IBM’s
             Process and                                     Common Platform
             materials research
             Product engineering
             excellence
             High yield chip
             design
                                                                   Consumer
                                                                   products leader
                                     Complimentary                 Product
     Pure-play foundry
                                       Capabilities                manufacturing
     Chip
                                                                   expertise
     manufacturing
     scale

                                        Common Fab
                                     process synchronized


25        Supply Chain Strategy                                        © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


Collaboration is tightly integrated today. Welcome your
marketing department to supply chain management
                                                          Process Rigor: Deep
                                                          integration across teams
                                                          internally to line up supply
                                                          and demand
                                    Integrated S&OP
                                                          Collaboration: Close
                                                          working arrangements to
                                                          manage across multiple
                                                          channels
     Product              Sales     Market
     Supply               Force     Promos                One Viewpoint: Timely,
                                                          integrated data accessible
                                                          in a single environment


       Short life cycles and “hit driven” sales activities require collaboration
       between inventory management, the sales force, marketing & retail partners

26       Supply Chain Strategy                                           © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 Rocket Science: Information volumes required for
 retail channel management are rising exponentially
 National




                                        Locations                     Information


                                     Aisle                          Forecasts


                                     End Cap                        Supply Plans
 Regional




                                     Check Out                      Plan-O-Grams


                                     Display                        Allocations
 S t o r e




                                         Best in class management drives stocking
                                         levels based on promotions, store locations,
                                         and individual store history

27           Supply Chain Strategy                                                © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 ...and globally… China and India, with thousands
 of independent dealers pose their own challenges
 The problem: layers in the distribution     To solve both issues, a major mobile device maker is developing a
 system add cost, reduce data accuracy:      direct to retailer wireless solution for the China market


              OEM                                     OEM
                                                         Enterprise CRM          System Functionality:
                                                         system
                                                                                    Orders
                              Distribution
            National
                                 layers                                             Inventory status
                                                                                    Shipments

            Regional                                                                Credit
                                                                                    Invoicing
                                                                                    Incentives & news
              Local                                                              All accessible from a mobile
                                                Wireless smart                   device, all data available in
                                                phone                            retail from anywhere in China
             Retailer                                   Retailer



       A direct connection to the end retailer has never been more important, something
       that’s hard to do with 10,000 independent retailers in one country

28         Supply Chain Strategy                                                                © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 It’s difficult, but transformational products weave
 together different kinds of innovation

                                    Revenue        Enterprise
     Industry Model
                                     Model           Model
       Innovation
                                   Innovation      Innovation
     Hardware?                    Usage fee?      Integrated?
     Software?                    Subscription?   Virtualized?
     Service?                     Device?         Joint venture?




29     Supply Chain Strategy                              © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


 We’ve come a long way: IBM has had more success
 since we’ve focused on collaborative efforts
     IBM then…                     IBM now…




                                   Cell processor, collaboratively designed
                                   with Sony and Toshiba on power platform

30      Supply Chain Strategy                                      © 2007 IBM Corporation
Global Business Services


Thank You
    Paul Brody, Partner
    IBM Global Business Services
    pbrody@us.ibm.com

    Wendy Huang, Managing Consultant
    IBM Institute for Business Value
    wendy.w.huang@us.ibm.com




                                       © 2007 IBM Corporation

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Global collaboration goes critical

  • 1. Global Business Services Keynote Address: Collaboration Goes Critical Electronics Supply Chain Association © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 2. Global Business Services Getting down to business: First bold prediction Really Big Average LCD Screen Size in Consumer Household 82 cm 28 cm 2.5 cm 1987 1997 2007 2017 2 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 3. Global Business Services Getting down to business: First bold prediction Really Big Average LCD Screen Size in Consumer Household 82 cm 28 cm 2.5 cm 1987 1997 2007 2017 3 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 4. Global Business Services Second bold prediction 16 Average Number of Remote Controls per Consumer Household 7 3 1 1987 1997 2007 2017 4 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 5. Global Business Services Second bold prediction 16 Average Number of Remote Controls per Consumer Household Omnipotent Universal Universal 2 Universal 3 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 3 1 1987 1997 2007 2017 5 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 6. Global Business Services How do we come up with these brilliant insights? Experience 3 CEO CE Industry as Interviews + Research + Electronics = Current Player Realities 6 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 7. Global Business Services 3 current realities Product innovation is important, 1 but it is not enough Operations & business model innovations are 2 becoming harder to execute Extreme collaboration is required to compete 3 and succeed 7 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 8. Global Business Services 3 current realities Product innovation is important, 1 but it is not enough Operations & business model innovations are 2 becoming harder to execute Extreme collaboration is required to compete 3 and succeed 8 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 9. Global Business Services Everyone thinks they’re an innovator Industry Position for Innovation in Products and Services Clear Innovation 68% Leader Fast Follower 11% Moves with Peers 11% Follows Peers 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Respondents Source: The Global CEO Survey 2006 9 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 10. Global Business Services To some extent, that’s actually true COMPANY PATENTS IBM 3,621 Samsung 2,451 Canon 2,366 Matsushita (Panasonic) 2,229 HP 2,099 Intel 1,959 Sony 1,771 Hitachi 1,732 Toshiba 1,672 10 of top 10 companies Micron Technology 1,610 filing patents are in electronics Source: US Patent and Trademark Office – 2006 top 10 list http://www.uspto.gov/go/oeip/taf/topo_06.htm#PartB 10 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 11. Global Business Services But not always: Assignee: Armonk, New York December 11, 2001 11 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 12. Global Business Services A lot of our “innovation” is product in search of a problem. Case in point: internet TV 12 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 13. Global Business Services Operational and business model innovation are collectively equal to product innovation, CEOs tell us.. and we agree.. Innovation Area of Most Importance Operations 26% Business and Enterprise 31% Models Products, Services and 43% Markets 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Respondents Source: The Global CEO Survey 2006 13 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 14. Global Business Services Operational and business model innovation defined… Revenue Enterprise Industry Model Model Model Innovation Innovation Innovation Change how Change how Change how industry is revenue is products & defined generated services are delivered 14 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 15. Global Business Services 3 current realities Product innovation is important, 1 but it is not enough. Operations & business model innovation are 2 becoming harder to execute Extreme collaboration is required to compete 3 and succeed 15 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 16. Global Business Services Blockbuster products are requiring operational and business innovation standard Media Content Advanced Hardware Network Connectivity 16 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 17. Global Business Services Bringing such highly integrated products to market is becoming more and more challenging 1997 2007+ Sold separately Integrated CONTENT Felt like tangible Subject to license property ADVANCED Long life cycles Short life cycles COMPONENTS Wide choice Limited availability NETWORK SneakerNet Integrated CONNECTIVITY 17 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 18. Global Business Services Content providers may actually turn out to be the easiest part of this equation Audio: Prior to 1998: Stability 1999-2001:Napster 2002+:Legal Downloads • Centralized • Rise of P2P, lack of • Paid market grows market, 6 leading viable paid back up Apple’s content companies alternatives • Apple dominates market Market Value: $20B Video (US): Prior to 2005: Stability 2004-2007: Broadband Critical Mass 2007+ • Broadcast, cable & • 27 million us homes • Paid market grows Up for satellite with DSL back up Grabs • Rise of UGC • Apple dominates Market Value: Up to $130B Content companies are eager not to let this opportunity pass them by 18 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 19. Global Business Services Advanced chipsets are likely to be a much tougher delivery for CE companies Number of IC Design Enterprises in Number of IC Companies with 200mm vs. China, 1995-2005 300mm Fabs More and more fabless companies chasing an ever smaller number of state-of-the-art development facilities. 19 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 20. Global Business Services A similar consolidation is taking place in network equipment providers… Number of NEPs From 20th Century to Today 2000 2000 Dot com 2000 -- Today 2000 Today Dot com Collapse Collapse Convergence & Convergence & Late -- 90s Liberalization Liberalization Late 90s Internet Internet 1991 1991 Boom Boom Introduction of Introduction of 1971 the World Wide the World Wide 1971 Web Web First mobile First mobile phone network phone network 1876 1876 Invention of Invention of Telephone Telephone Before 1900- 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2007 1900 1940 Source: IBM IBV analysis 20 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 21. Global Business Services …who are just mirroring the consolidation of their customers, the network operators 21 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 22. Global Business Services Despite these challenges, there has never been a better time to innovate nor more at stake Typical Ecosystem Revenues Gross Margins By Component $385 $620 Network 70% Ads 90% $25 $10 $200 Content 30% Device 10% Device Content Ads Network Source: IBM research, client engagements 22 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 23. Global Business Services 3 current realities Product innovation is important, 1 but it is not enough. Operations & business model innovation are 2 becoming harder to execute Extreme collaboration is required to compete 3 and succeed 23 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 24. Global Business Services We’ve been paying lip service to collaboration for years, can’t we keep doing that? Complementary Loosely Unstructured, to business integrated to back of the strategy operations envelope NO! Core to business Tightly coupled to Rocket science strategy operations 24 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 25. Global Business Services Core to strategy: Nowhere more true than in semiconductor space Case example: IBM’s Process and Common Platform materials research Product engineering excellence High yield chip design Consumer products leader Complimentary Product Pure-play foundry Capabilities manufacturing Chip expertise manufacturing scale Common Fab process synchronized 25 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 26. Global Business Services Collaboration is tightly integrated today. Welcome your marketing department to supply chain management Process Rigor: Deep integration across teams internally to line up supply and demand Integrated S&OP Collaboration: Close working arrangements to manage across multiple channels Product Sales Market Supply Force Promos One Viewpoint: Timely, integrated data accessible in a single environment Short life cycles and “hit driven” sales activities require collaboration between inventory management, the sales force, marketing & retail partners 26 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 27. Global Business Services Rocket Science: Information volumes required for retail channel management are rising exponentially National Locations Information Aisle Forecasts End Cap Supply Plans Regional Check Out Plan-O-Grams Display Allocations S t o r e Best in class management drives stocking levels based on promotions, store locations, and individual store history 27 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 28. Global Business Services ...and globally… China and India, with thousands of independent dealers pose their own challenges The problem: layers in the distribution To solve both issues, a major mobile device maker is developing a system add cost, reduce data accuracy: direct to retailer wireless solution for the China market OEM OEM Enterprise CRM System Functionality: system Orders Distribution National layers Inventory status Shipments Regional Credit Invoicing Incentives & news Local All accessible from a mobile Wireless smart device, all data available in phone retail from anywhere in China Retailer Retailer A direct connection to the end retailer has never been more important, something that’s hard to do with 10,000 independent retailers in one country 28 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 29. Global Business Services It’s difficult, but transformational products weave together different kinds of innovation Revenue Enterprise Industry Model Model Model Innovation Innovation Innovation Hardware? Usage fee? Integrated? Software? Subscription? Virtualized? Service? Device? Joint venture? 29 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 30. Global Business Services We’ve come a long way: IBM has had more success since we’ve focused on collaborative efforts IBM then… IBM now… Cell processor, collaboratively designed with Sony and Toshiba on power platform 30 Supply Chain Strategy © 2007 IBM Corporation
  • 31. Global Business Services Thank You Paul Brody, Partner IBM Global Business Services pbrody@us.ibm.com Wendy Huang, Managing Consultant IBM Institute for Business Value wendy.w.huang@us.ibm.com © 2007 IBM Corporation