23. Kế hoạch thích ứng, trước kỳ hạn thảo luận là mục tiêu phát triển Dài hạn Chuyên đề Thảo luận Ngắn hạn Thông qua các can thiệp về thích ứng, chuyển từ ngắn hạn và chuyên đề sang thích ứng dài hạn và thảo luận Kinh nghiệm lịch sử Ứng phó thiên tai Các dự án thích ứng
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51. Tác động tại địa phương = Tác động trực tiếp + Tác động gián tiếp Đánh giá tác động Các hoạt động ưu tiên
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77. Liên hệ Chương trình Biến đổi Khí hậu IUCN Việt Nam Tiến sỹ Lương Quang Huy Quản lý Chương trình Biến đổi Khí hậu Văn phòng IUCN Việt Nam 44/4 Vạn Bảo, Ba Đình, Hà Nội Tel: 04 7261575/6, số lẻ 127 Fax: 04 7261561 Email: [email_address] Nguyễn Thanh Thảo Cán bộ Chương trình Biến đổi Khí hậu Văn phòng IUCN Việt Nam 44/4 Vạn Bảo, Ba Đình, Hà Nội Tel: 04 7261575/6, số lẻ 121 Fax: 04 7261561 Email: thao@iucn.org.vn
78. Trân trọng cảm ơn Chương trình Biến đổi Khí hậu IUCN Việt Nam
Editor's Notes
“ Scientific and economic rationales for innovative climate insurance solutions”, Peter Hoeppe and Eugene N Gurenko Using OECD and World Bank statistics, we demonstrate that despite the commonly held belief, disaster-related external donor aid to developing countries accounts for only a small fraction of the total economic loss caused by catastrophic events. According to our estimate, on average over 90% of the economic loss from natural disasters is borne by households, businesses and government. This suggests a need for insurance-based climate risk financing mechanisms at the country level. Developing country context: The ratio of donor funding that has had to be used for disaster relief has risen from 2% at the end of the 1980s to 9% in recent years (OECD, 2005). The increasing natural catastrophe damages in poor countries will consume increasing ratios of the donor money of development funding, delaying their further development. For example, Egypt receives around US$1.5 billion in Official Development Assistance annually, about one-third of which is channelled to sectors potentially affected by climate change risks. [1] The Shore Protection Agency (of the Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation) alone has invested millions of dollars over the last decade into hard infrastructure to protect the shoreline from costly erosion. [2] Yet, Egypt remains highly vulnerable to climate change, particularly its coastal zones, water resources and agricultural production. If a “business as usual” approach is maintained, and no adaptation measures are undertaken, Egypt’s development gains and poverty reduction efforts will be increasingly undermined. [1] Agrawala, S., Bridge Over Troubled Waters , OECD, 2005. [2] World Bank, Egypt Country Environmental Analysis, 2005.
The IPCC Fourth Assessment Policymakers Summary, Climate Change 2007: Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability , has placed strong emphasis on the importance of anticipatory adaptation, i.e., incorporating dynamic analysis that considers how major stakeholders — farmers, coastal dwellers, etc. — are likely to respond to climate change and adjust their behavior. Such an approach underscores the crucial importance of providing reliable information to stakeholders.
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