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Avista
Partners
 Key growth factors

 Fundraising

 Mergers & Acquisitions

Vl
 Valuation
       i

 The Holy Grail in Online Games

 Trends & opportunities
                                   Avista
                                   Partners
                           2
Avista
    Partners
3
 Venture Capital  & Private Equity firms are actively investing in 
  the casual game sector
   ▪   Intel Capital
   ▪   Softbank funds/ companies
   ▪   Benchmark Capital
   ▪   IDG funds
   ▪   Plus many others

 Why?
  ▪ Explosive growth for Game Portals & Online Media Consumption
  ▪ Casual games are games for the mass market
  ▪L   d i  
    Low production costs for casual games
                          f        l 
  ▪ Low advertising & distribution costs
  ▪ Recurring revenue base and scalability are the critical factors
       ▪ more appealing to financial investors
                   li  t  fi     i l i    t
                                                                      Avista
                                                                      Partners
                                         4
Investors focus on companies that have the 

    potential to meet the following:
                     Great games
     Content


     Diversified
                     Multiple games in back catalog and pipeline
     Portfolio


                     Fast growing profitability driven by game/subscription/
                            g      gp          y         yg            p
     Monetization
     M   ti ti
                      virtual items revenues, advertising revenues (in-game or
                      in-site) and search revenues

                     Strong platform required to sustain high quantities of
     Technology
     Platform         customers

                     Management teams require strong experience in internet,
     Management
         g
                      game or entertainment sectors

                                                                          Avista
                                                                          Partners
                                   5
Avista
    Partners
6
34 deals in 2007 with over $135m raised

     Largest deals

      Trion World Network $30m
      IGA Worldwide $25m
      K2 Network $16m
           et o $ 6
      Infocomm Asia Holdings $14.2m
      Net ork Game Interaction $ 0m
       Network Game Interaction $10m


                                                   Avista
                                                   Partners
Note: up to 15 July 2007; deals for 2007
                                           7
                                               7
Total Deal Value (USD$ millions)                                                                                                                   Total # of Deals
       280.0
       280 0                                                                                                                                               40
                                                                                                                                  266.1
         260.0                                                                                                                            36
                                                                                                                                                           35
         240.0                                                                                                                                     34
         220.0
                                                                                                                                                           30
         200.0

         180.0                                                                                                     167.7
                                                                                                                    6                                      25
         160.0
                                                                                                                                               135.9
         140.0                                                                                                                                             20

         120.0
         120 0                                                                                          16
                                                                               102.0
                                                                                                                                                           15
                                                                                                                             15
         100.0
                                                                                                 97.5
           80.0
                                                                                                                                                           10
           60.0
           60 0           50.0                                                           8
                                            39.7
           40.0
                                                                                                                                                           5
                                  3                         11.2
                                                    3
           20.0
                                                                      2
            0.0                                                                                                                                            0
                         2000              2001              2002              2003              2004              2005           2006         2007
                                                                                                                                                               Avista
                                                                                         Year
                                                                                                                                                               Partners
Note: up to 15 July 2007.; deals where value is undisclosed are not included in total value but are included in # of deals
                                                                                                8
VC firm
                                        fi                                            # of d l
                                                                                         f deals
                                     Intel Capital                                           8
                                     Softbank funds/ companies                               8
                                     Benchmark Capital                                       7
                                     IDG Ventures                                            6
                                     Accel Partners                                          5
                                     JVP                                                     5
                                     Draper related funds                                    4
                                     Granite Global Ventures                                 4
                                     New Enterprise Associates                               4
                                     Trinity Ventures                                        4
                                     CDC Games                                               3
                                     Greylock Ventures                                       3
                                     Madrona Venture Group                                   3
                                     Millenium Technology
                                     Ventures                                                3
                                     WPP related companies                                   3


                          108 VC s/ Strategic Investors invested to date
                          108 VC’s/ Strategic Investors invested to date
                                                                                                                                                              Avista
                                                                                                                                                              Partners
Note: up to 15 July 2007.; deals include all individual deals and includes deals where the same VC may have invested in the same company but different deal
                                                                                9
Company type                                                               # of deals % of deals
                  Game Portal                                                                         8                  23.5%
                  In Game Advertising                                                                 8                  23.5%
                  Casual MMO                                                                          4                  11.8%
                  Multiplayer Network                                                                 3                   8.8%
                  Online Game Social Network                                                          2                   5.9%
                  Online Fantasy League                                                               2                   5.9%
                  Casual G
                  C    l Game P bli h
                              Publisher                                                               2                   5.9%
                                                                                                                          5 9%
                  Casual Game Developer                                                               2                   5.9%
                  Multiplayer Online Game Developer                                                   1                   2.9%
                  Episodic Game Developer                                                             1                   2.9%
                  Game Search Engine                                                                  1                   2.9%


                                                                                                                                                             Avista
                                                                                                                                                             Partners
Note: up to 15 July 2007; deals include all individual deals and includes deals where the same VC may have invested in the same company but different deal
                                                                                10
 More fundraising deals in 2006 in the sector than 
  any other full year

 Interest in the sector by financial investors is at an 
  all time high
   ll  i  hi h

 Majority of money raised to date has been by 
  Game Portals, In‐Game Advertising and Casual 
  MMO companies

      Best time ever to raise money
                                                 Avista
                                                 Partners
                        11
Avista
     Partners
12
Transaction     EV/       EV/
       Date                    Acquirer                 Target             Value      Revenue   EBITDA
      Jul-07                    Popcap                 Retro64                na
      Jul-07               CMP Technology      How Machines Work              na
      Jun-07                 Liberty Media    Fun Technologies (47%)      $99.3m       4.8x
      Apr-07                     Eidos             Bluefish Media             na
      Mar-07                Electronic Arts            Neowiz          $105m (19%)     4.0x      15.0x
      Feb-07                Vivendi Games         Wanako Games                na
      Feb-07                    Google             Adscape Media              na
      Jan 07
      Jan-07                MumboJumbo          Ritual Entertainment          na
      Jan-07                  Gigamedia                 TC2N           $22.9m (40%)
      Nov-06                 Realnetworks              Atrativa            $3.8m
      Nov-06                Demand Media           Intermix assets            na
      Oct-06                    Boonty                Gamehub                 na
      Sep-06                     Sony             Gamepot (27%)             $22m
      Sep-06                  Spill Group     Zlong Games (majority)          na
      Aug-06               Fun Technologies    CDM Fantasy Sports          $10m        1.3x
      Aug-06               Fun Technologies           Teagames                na
      Aug-06
      Aug 06                    Viacom          Atom Entertainment         $200m
      Jul-06                    GaiaX                  APE Inc.              $1m


                           18 deals to date in past 12 months worth over $460m

                                                                                                Avista
                                                                                                Partners
Note: up to 15 July 2007
                                                     13
Total Deal Value (USD$ millions)                                                                                                                  Total # of Deals
          360.0
          360 0                                                                                                                                             18
                                                                                                                                         340.2
                                                    2007 is trending to over $400m in 
             340.0                                                                                                                            17
             320.0                                                                                                                                             16
                                                             deals for full year
             300.0
             280.0                                                                                                                                             14
             260.0
             240.0                                                                                                                                             12
                                                                                                                                                   227.2
             220.0
             220 0                                                                                                           208.3
                                                                                                                             208 3
                            207.0
                            207 0
                                                          184.1
             200.0                                                                                                                                             10
                                                                                                            168.6
             180.0                                                                                                                                         9
                                                                                                                                     8
                                                                                                                 9
             160.0                                                                                                                                             8
             140.0
             120.0                                                                                                                                             6
                                             94.8
             100.0
               80.0
               80 0                                                                                                                                            4
                                                                     4
                                     3                                                              3
               60.0
                                                      2
               40.0                                                                                                                                            2
                                                                                 1
               20.0
                                                                                              0.0
                                                                                              00
                                                                               0.0
                 0.0                                                                                                                                           0

                                                                                                                                                               Avista
                             1999            2000            2001            2002           2003            2004             2005        2006      2007

                                                                                                                                                               Partners
                                                                                            Year
Note: up to 15 July, 2007; deals where value is undisclosed are not included in total value but are included in # of deals
                                                                                              14
Acquiror                                                                # of deals
                                    Fun Technologies                                                             6
                                    Electronic Arts                                                              4
                                    Realnetworks                                                                 3
                                    Shanda                                                                       2
                                    Big Fish Games                                                               2
                                    Media General                                                                2
                                    Viacom (Atom Entertainment)
                                            (                 )                                                  2
                                    Popcap                                                                       2
                                    Gigamedia                                                                    2
                                    Vivendi Games                                                                2




                                                                                                                                                              Avista
                                                                                                                                                              Partners
Note: up to 15 July, 2007; deals include all individual deals and includes deals where the same VC may have invested in the same company but different deal
                                                                                  15
 Pure casual game M&A
            l
     Oberon, Bigfish, Popcap have been the most acquisitive

Vi
 Various potential giants may acquire
               i l  i             i
      Video game publishers
          EA has a dedicated casual business now & has Pogo.com
           EA has a dedicated casual business now & has Pogo com
          Eidos has acquired 1 company 
      Online content/service companies
          Realnetworks has acquired 3 companies & has Realarcade
          Microsoft acquired Massive and has MSN Games
      Media/ Entertainment Conglomerates
       M di / E      i      C   l
          MTV Networks/Viacom acquired Atom Entertainment
          Time Warner/ AOL acquired Games.com
                      /       q

                                                                    Avista
                                                                    Partners
                                      16
 17 acquisitions closed in 2006; most ever
         i i i   l d i         6       

 Interest in acquisitions in the sector is at an all 
  time high

 Value of average deal size can only go higher


       Consolidation will continue to grow in
       momentum
              t


                                                   Avista
                                                   Partners
                       17
Avista
     Partners
18
Transaction     EV/       EV/
Date        Acquirer                    Target               Value      Revenue   EBITDA
Jun-07    Liberty Media          Fun Technologies (47%)     $99.3m       4.8x       na
Mar-07    Electronic Arts               Neowiz            $105m (19%)    4.0x      15.0x
Aug-06
A 06     Fun T h l i
         F Technologies           CDM F t
                                      Fantasy S t
                                              Sports         $10m
                                                             $10         1.3x
                                                                         13
Mar-06   Fun Technologies             WorldWinner            $23m        2.2x
Feb-06    Realnetworks                   Zylom               $21m        2.6x
Nov-05    Liberty Media          Fun Technologies (51%)     $144m        5.6x
Jun-05   Fun Technologies          Fanball Interactive       $22m
                                                             $           4.8x
Jul-04   Fun Technologies               Skilljam             $8m         2.2x
Jan-04    Realnetworks                Gamehouse             $35.6m       3.6x




                            Multiples are driven by:
                                   ‐ acquiror demand
                                ‐ growth rate of target
                              ‐ strategic value of target

                                                                                    Avista
                                                                                    Partners
                                          19
                                               19
Avista
     Partners
20
Online game companies want to know:

     What is the best strategy for my online game 
      business?
     What are VCs looking for in an online game compan ?
      What are VCs looking for in an online game company?
    For VCs, the question is this: 

     What type of online game business should I look to 
       h         fl            b         h ld l k
      invest in? 
    And the large media companies ask:  
    A d th  l      di         i k

     Which online game companies should we look at 
      acquiring? 
                                                       Avista
                                                       Partners
                             21
                                  21
y
What is the Holy Grail in 
 the future of online 
 g
 games? 


                              Avista
                              Partners
              22
                   22
Avista
          Partners
23
     23
Currently, many people believe it is World of Warcraft from 

    Vivendi. 
     single game generating $1 billion per year in revenues

    not the Holy Grail of online games 

     only attract hard core gamers and not the mass market
        l          hd                 d      h            k
     WOW’s eight or nine million subscribers pales in comparison to 
      the over 50 million users worldwide who play Maplestory from 
                                               py p           y
      Nexon in Korea or the over 66 million registered users of Habbo
      Hotel from Sulake in Finland. 
     Plus MMORPGs do not have much of a life cycle beyond five 
                                                  y      y
      years. 



                                                               Avista
                                                               Partners
                                24
                                     24
Not 100% clear that subscription‐based business 
    Not 100% clear that subscription based business 

    models are best
     especially given the huge success of item‐selling‐based 
        p      yg            g                        g
      business models in Asia and the growing success of 
      companies like Three Rings (Puzzle Pirates) and K2 
      Network (publisher of Korean developed online games)
      Network (publisher of Korean‐developed online games)

    One company to watch is Bigpoint

     a German company which now offers seven casual 
                                  ff
      browser‐based games. 
     In lieu of no subscription fees, Bigpoint generates 
      revenues by selling items in‐game. 
     On average, they are generating more revenues per 
      user than WOW is  is. 
                                                          Avista
                                                          Partners
                             25
                                  25
There are many portals like this but very few of these portals are 

  generating any serious revenues.
   Some of the successful companies may not be around in 18 to 24 
    months. 
 Aggregation as a standalone strategy does not work unless you are the 
  number one or two player
      b               l
   What is going to happen when casual game publishers have the 
    p
    power control revenue shares & pricing? 
                                      p     g
   Will not happen overnight but it will happen once there has been 
    more consolidation in the sector and the publishers are larger or 
    owned by larger companies.
    owned by larger companies
   Content owners will always win in the end—and this business is 
    clearly more about great games and than about great distribution. 

                                                                  Avista
                                                                  Partners
                                 26
                                      26
Some people believe that publishing a huge number 

    of downloadable games and selling them everywhere 
                    g                g          y
    is the answer.
     But is that really a long‐term sustainable business, given 
      the large (and rapidly growing) number of downloadable 
       hl       (d       idl     i)       b   fd    l d bl
      game publishers and developers
     For instance  I’m amazed by how many puzzle games 
      For instance, I m amazed by how many puzzle games 
      there are in the market currently. 
      ▪ How many puzzle games can the market support? 
      ▪ And how does a consumer differentiate among them? 
    Doubtful that anyone will succeed long‐term with 

    undifferentiated content in a saturated market. 
    undifferentiated content in a saturated market  
                                                     Avista
                                                     Partners
                                 27
                              27
A website that features a casual, mass market‐focused MMO with great 
  A website that features a casual  mass market‐focused MMO with great 

  game‐play, interactivity, customization, VOIP capability, and user 
  generated content (games, videos of game‐play and avatars). 
 Pl s simple  a  to make friends  find friends  in ite friends  and pla   ith 
  Plus simple way to make friends, find friends, invite friends, and play with 
  friends. 
 Mix of different types of advertising, including both onsite banners and 
  in‐game promos or product placement. 
                          d     l
                                                                      Holy 
                                                 maple   habbo
myspace        skype         youtube
                                                         hotel
                                                                      Grail
                                                 story




    1st game website that offers all the key features of this mash‐up will 
        g                                  y                        p

    indeed be the Holy Grail of online games. 
     Forget about 10 million or even 50 million users. 
     L k f  
        Look for 100 million registered users for one game website
                      illi   i         d        f               bi
                                                                        Avista
                                                                        Partners
                                       28
                                            28
Avista
     Partners
29
 More developers switching from high end console to casual games 
  ▪ Lower development costs, less risk & higher ROI
  ▪ PC, XBLA, PSP, DS, Wii
      ,     ,    ,,
 Game Portals/ Aggregators growing in popularity with consumers; 
  watching less TV; Advertising is a major source of revenue
 Mix of Ad‐supported, casual games and paid premium games
 In‐game advertising is a new source of revenue for developers/ publishers
 Casual MMO’s will grow ie. Runescape
 Business models selling items in game growing quickly ie Bigpoint
 Social 3d chat games will grow ie Second Life, Habbo Hotel
 Micropayments


                                                                  Avista
                                                                  Partners
                                    30
 Acquire or Be Acquired

 Raise money to grow and/or acquire

 B ild D C b i
  Build D2C business on own websites with a focus on community
                             b it   ith   f                it
 Monetise across other platforms by licensing or in‐house for mobile, 
  console,  in addition to PC in store
  console,  in addition to PC in‐store
 Sell items in‐game

 Publish games by episode

 Build advertising revenues

L
 Localize sites for key Non‐English countries
     li   it  f  k  N E li h            ti
 Outsource selected development pieces overseas

 Develop game widgets for social networks ie. Bunchball
                                                                   Avista
                                                                   Partners
                                  31
Paul Heydon
       Managing Director
            gg
        Avista Partners


        Tel: +44-203-178-6866

Email: paul.heydon@avistapartners.com
    Web: www.avistapartners.com




                                        Avista
                                        Partners
                 32
This presentation was prepared by Avista Partners exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the Recipient in order to indicate, on a preliminary basis, the feasibility of a possible

    transaction or transactions. This presentation is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with oral briefing provided by Avista Partners. The
    presentation is proprietary to Avista Partners and may not be disclosed to any third party or used for any other purpose without the prior written consent of Avista Partners.
    The information in this presentation reflects prevailing conditions and our views as of this date, which are accordingly subject to change. In preparing this presentation, we have relied

    upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all the information available from public sources or which was provided to us by or on behalf of
    the Recipient or which was otherwise reviewed by us. In addition, our analyses are not and do not purport to be appraisals of the assets, stock or the business of the Recipient. Even
    when this presentation contains a kind of appraisal, it should be considered preliminary, suitable only for the purpose described herein and not be disclosed or otherwise used without
    the prior written consent of Avista Partners. The information in this presentation does not take into account the effects of a possible transaction or transactions involving an actual or
    potential change of control, which may have significant valuation and other effects. Avista Partners LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.




                                                                                                                                                                                Avista
                                                                                                                                                                                Partners
                                                                                        33

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Casual Games; A Strategic Review of the Sector

  • 2.  Key growth factors  Fundraising  Mergers & Acquisitions Vl Valuation i  The Holy Grail in Online Games  Trends & opportunities Avista Partners 2
  • 3. Avista Partners 3
  • 4.  Venture Capital  & Private Equity firms are actively investing in  the casual game sector ▪ Intel Capital ▪ Softbank funds/ companies ▪ Benchmark Capital ▪ IDG funds ▪ Plus many others  Why? ▪ Explosive growth for Game Portals & Online Media Consumption ▪ Casual games are games for the mass market ▪L   d i   Low production costs for casual games  f   l  ▪ Low advertising & distribution costs ▪ Recurring revenue base and scalability are the critical factors ▪ more appealing to financial investors   li  t  fi i l i t Avista Partners 4
  • 5. Investors focus on companies that have the   potential to meet the following:  Great games Content Diversified  Multiple games in back catalog and pipeline Portfolio  Fast growing profitability driven by game/subscription/ g gp y yg p Monetization M ti ti virtual items revenues, advertising revenues (in-game or in-site) and search revenues  Strong platform required to sustain high quantities of Technology Platform customers  Management teams require strong experience in internet, Management g game or entertainment sectors Avista Partners 5
  • 6. Avista Partners 6
  • 7. 34 deals in 2007 with over $135m raised  Largest deals   Trion World Network $30m  IGA Worldwide $25m  K2 Network $16m et o $ 6  Infocomm Asia Holdings $14.2m  Net ork Game Interaction $ 0m Network Game Interaction $10m Avista Partners Note: up to 15 July 2007; deals for 2007 7 7
  • 8. Total Deal Value (USD$ millions) Total # of Deals 280.0 280 0 40 266.1 260.0 36 35 240.0 34 220.0 30 200.0 180.0 167.7 6 25 160.0 135.9 140.0 20 120.0 120 0 16 102.0 15 15 100.0 97.5 80.0 10 60.0 60 0 50.0 8 39.7 40.0 5 3 11.2 3 20.0 2 0.0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Avista Year Partners Note: up to 15 July 2007.; deals where value is undisclosed are not included in total value but are included in # of deals 8
  • 9. VC firm fi # of d l f deals Intel Capital 8 Softbank funds/ companies 8 Benchmark Capital 7 IDG Ventures 6 Accel Partners 5 JVP 5 Draper related funds 4 Granite Global Ventures 4 New Enterprise Associates 4 Trinity Ventures 4 CDC Games 3 Greylock Ventures 3 Madrona Venture Group 3 Millenium Technology Ventures 3 WPP related companies 3 108 VC s/ Strategic Investors invested to date 108 VC’s/ Strategic Investors invested to date Avista Partners Note: up to 15 July 2007.; deals include all individual deals and includes deals where the same VC may have invested in the same company but different deal 9
  • 10. Company type # of deals % of deals Game Portal 8 23.5% In Game Advertising 8 23.5% Casual MMO 4 11.8% Multiplayer Network 3 8.8% Online Game Social Network 2 5.9% Online Fantasy League 2 5.9% Casual G C l Game P bli h Publisher 2 5.9% 5 9% Casual Game Developer 2 5.9% Multiplayer Online Game Developer 1 2.9% Episodic Game Developer 1 2.9% Game Search Engine 1 2.9% Avista Partners Note: up to 15 July 2007; deals include all individual deals and includes deals where the same VC may have invested in the same company but different deal 10
  • 11.  More fundraising deals in 2006 in the sector than  any other full year  Interest in the sector by financial investors is at an  all time high ll  i  hi h  Majority of money raised to date has been by  Game Portals, In‐Game Advertising and Casual  MMO companies Best time ever to raise money Avista Partners 11
  • 12. Avista Partners 12
  • 13. Transaction EV/ EV/ Date Acquirer Target Value Revenue EBITDA Jul-07 Popcap Retro64 na Jul-07 CMP Technology How Machines Work na Jun-07 Liberty Media Fun Technologies (47%) $99.3m 4.8x Apr-07 Eidos Bluefish Media na Mar-07 Electronic Arts Neowiz $105m (19%) 4.0x 15.0x Feb-07 Vivendi Games Wanako Games na Feb-07 Google Adscape Media na Jan 07 Jan-07 MumboJumbo Ritual Entertainment na Jan-07 Gigamedia TC2N $22.9m (40%) Nov-06 Realnetworks Atrativa $3.8m Nov-06 Demand Media Intermix assets na Oct-06 Boonty Gamehub na Sep-06 Sony Gamepot (27%) $22m Sep-06 Spill Group Zlong Games (majority) na Aug-06 Fun Technologies CDM Fantasy Sports $10m 1.3x Aug-06 Fun Technologies Teagames na Aug-06 Aug 06 Viacom Atom Entertainment $200m Jul-06 GaiaX APE Inc. $1m 18 deals to date in past 12 months worth over $460m Avista Partners Note: up to 15 July 2007 13
  • 14. Total Deal Value (USD$ millions) Total # of Deals 360.0 360 0 18 340.2 2007 is trending to over $400m in  340.0 17 320.0 16 deals for full year 300.0 280.0 14 260.0 240.0 12 227.2 220.0 220 0 208.3 208 3 207.0 207 0 184.1 200.0 10 168.6 180.0 9 8 9 160.0 8 140.0 120.0 6 94.8 100.0 80.0 80 0 4 4 3 3 60.0 2 40.0 2 1 20.0 0.0 00 0.0 0.0 0 Avista 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Partners Year Note: up to 15 July, 2007; deals where value is undisclosed are not included in total value but are included in # of deals 14
  • 15. Acquiror # of deals Fun Technologies 6 Electronic Arts 4 Realnetworks 3 Shanda 2 Big Fish Games 2 Media General 2 Viacom (Atom Entertainment) ( ) 2 Popcap 2 Gigamedia 2 Vivendi Games 2 Avista Partners Note: up to 15 July, 2007; deals include all individual deals and includes deals where the same VC may have invested in the same company but different deal 15
  • 16.  Pure casual game M&A l  Oberon, Bigfish, Popcap have been the most acquisitive Vi Various potential giants may acquire   i l  i     i  Video game publishers  EA has a dedicated casual business now & has Pogo.com EA has a dedicated casual business now & has Pogo com  Eidos has acquired 1 company   Online content/service companies  Realnetworks has acquired 3 companies & has Realarcade  Microsoft acquired Massive and has MSN Games  Media/ Entertainment Conglomerates M di / E i  C l  MTV Networks/Viacom acquired Atom Entertainment  Time Warner/ AOL acquired Games.com / q Avista Partners 16
  • 17.  17 acquisitions closed in 2006; most ever   i i i   l d i   6     Interest in acquisitions in the sector is at an all  time high  Value of average deal size can only go higher Consolidation will continue to grow in momentum t Avista Partners 17
  • 18. Avista Partners 18
  • 19. Transaction EV/ EV/ Date Acquirer Target Value Revenue EBITDA Jun-07 Liberty Media Fun Technologies (47%) $99.3m 4.8x na Mar-07 Electronic Arts Neowiz $105m (19%) 4.0x 15.0x Aug-06 A 06 Fun T h l i F Technologies CDM F t Fantasy S t Sports $10m $10 1.3x 13 Mar-06 Fun Technologies WorldWinner $23m 2.2x Feb-06 Realnetworks Zylom $21m 2.6x Nov-05 Liberty Media Fun Technologies (51%) $144m 5.6x Jun-05 Fun Technologies Fanball Interactive $22m $ 4.8x Jul-04 Fun Technologies Skilljam $8m 2.2x Jan-04 Realnetworks Gamehouse $35.6m 3.6x Multiples are driven by: ‐ acquiror demand ‐ growth rate of target ‐ strategic value of target Avista Partners 19 19
  • 20. Avista Partners 20
  • 21. Online game companies want to know:   What is the best strategy for my online game  business?  What are VCs looking for in an online game compan ? What are VCs looking for in an online game company? For VCs, the question is this:    What type of online game business should I look to  h fl b h ld l k invest in?  And the large media companies ask:   A d th  l   di   i k   Which online game companies should we look at  acquiring?  Avista Partners 21 21
  • 23. Avista Partners 23 23
  • 24. Currently, many people believe it is World of Warcraft from   Vivendi.   single game generating $1 billion per year in revenues not the Holy Grail of online games    only attract hard core gamers and not the mass market l hd d h k  WOW’s eight or nine million subscribers pales in comparison to  the over 50 million users worldwide who play Maplestory from  py p y Nexon in Korea or the over 66 million registered users of Habbo Hotel from Sulake in Finland.   Plus MMORPGs do not have much of a life cycle beyond five  y y years.  Avista Partners 24 24
  • 25. Not 100% clear that subscription‐based business  Not 100% clear that subscription based business   models are best  especially given the huge success of item‐selling‐based  p yg g g business models in Asia and the growing success of  companies like Three Rings (Puzzle Pirates) and K2  Network (publisher of Korean developed online games) Network (publisher of Korean‐developed online games) One company to watch is Bigpoint   a German company which now offers seven casual  ff browser‐based games.   In lieu of no subscription fees, Bigpoint generates  revenues by selling items in‐game.   On average, they are generating more revenues per  user than WOW is  is.  Avista Partners 25 25
  • 26. There are many portals like this but very few of these portals are   generating any serious revenues.  Some of the successful companies may not be around in 18 to 24  months.   Aggregation as a standalone strategy does not work unless you are the  number one or two player b      l  What is going to happen when casual game publishers have the  p power control revenue shares & pricing?  p g  Will not happen overnight but it will happen once there has been  more consolidation in the sector and the publishers are larger or  owned by larger companies. owned by larger companies  Content owners will always win in the end—and this business is  clearly more about great games and than about great distribution.  Avista Partners 26 26
  • 27. Some people believe that publishing a huge number   of downloadable games and selling them everywhere  g g y is the answer.  But is that really a long‐term sustainable business, given  the large (and rapidly growing) number of downloadable  hl (d idl i) b fd l d bl game publishers and developers  For instance  I’m amazed by how many puzzle games  For instance, I m amazed by how many puzzle games  there are in the market currently.  ▪ How many puzzle games can the market support?  ▪ And how does a consumer differentiate among them?  Doubtful that anyone will succeed long‐term with   undifferentiated content in a saturated market.  undifferentiated content in a saturated market   Avista Partners 27 27
  • 28. A website that features a casual, mass market‐focused MMO with great  A website that features a casual  mass market‐focused MMO with great   game‐play, interactivity, customization, VOIP capability, and user  generated content (games, videos of game‐play and avatars).   Pl s simple  a  to make friends  find friends  in ite friends  and pla   ith  Plus simple way to make friends, find friends, invite friends, and play with  friends.   Mix of different types of advertising, including both onsite banners and  in‐game promos or product placement.  d l Holy  maple habbo myspace skype youtube hotel Grail story 1st game website that offers all the key features of this mash‐up will  g y p  indeed be the Holy Grail of online games.   Forget about 10 million or even 50 million users.   L k f   Look for 100 million registered users for one game website   illi   i d   f       bi Avista Partners 28 28
  • 29. Avista Partners 29
  • 30.  More developers switching from high end console to casual games  ▪ Lower development costs, less risk & higher ROI ▪ PC, XBLA, PSP, DS, Wii , , ,,  Game Portals/ Aggregators growing in popularity with consumers;  watching less TV; Advertising is a major source of revenue  Mix of Ad‐supported, casual games and paid premium games  In‐game advertising is a new source of revenue for developers/ publishers  Casual MMO’s will grow ie. Runescape  Business models selling items in game growing quickly ie Bigpoint  Social 3d chat games will grow ie Second Life, Habbo Hotel  Micropayments Avista Partners 30
  • 31.  Acquire or Be Acquired  Raise money to grow and/or acquire  B ild D C b i Build D2C business on own websites with a focus on community      b it   ith   f    it  Monetise across other platforms by licensing or in‐house for mobile,  console,  in addition to PC in store console,  in addition to PC in‐store  Sell items in‐game  Publish games by episode  Build advertising revenues L Localize sites for key Non‐English countries li   it  f  k  N E li h  ti  Outsource selected development pieces overseas  Develop game widgets for social networks ie. Bunchball Avista Partners 31
  • 32. Paul Heydon Managing Director gg Avista Partners Tel: +44-203-178-6866 Email: paul.heydon@avistapartners.com Web: www.avistapartners.com Avista Partners 32
  • 33. This presentation was prepared by Avista Partners exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the Recipient in order to indicate, on a preliminary basis, the feasibility of a possible  transaction or transactions. This presentation is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with oral briefing provided by Avista Partners. The presentation is proprietary to Avista Partners and may not be disclosed to any third party or used for any other purpose without the prior written consent of Avista Partners. The information in this presentation reflects prevailing conditions and our views as of this date, which are accordingly subject to change. In preparing this presentation, we have relied  upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all the information available from public sources or which was provided to us by or on behalf of the Recipient or which was otherwise reviewed by us. In addition, our analyses are not and do not purport to be appraisals of the assets, stock or the business of the Recipient. Even when this presentation contains a kind of appraisal, it should be considered preliminary, suitable only for the purpose described herein and not be disclosed or otherwise used without the prior written consent of Avista Partners. The information in this presentation does not take into account the effects of a possible transaction or transactions involving an actual or potential change of control, which may have significant valuation and other effects. Avista Partners LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Avista Partners 33