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ECONOMICS
Introduction to Economics


     Lecturer: Linh Tran
         February 2011


                            1
Introduction: Overview of Economics


  What is Economics? Why do we need to study this?




  What are the links between Economics & other subjects?




  What topics will we learn for CFA L1? Schedule?




                                                            2
Introduction: Overview of Economics


 CONTENT OF LEVEL 1




                                      3
Introduction: Overview of Economics


 LINKS BETWEEN ECONOMICS AND OTHER SUBJECTS




                                              4
Introduction: Overview of Economics


 SCHEDULE
                          Week 1                                      Week 2
                    Saturday  28‐Jan                            Saturday  4‐Feb
   SS4   Introduction to Microeconomics         LOS16 The Firm and Market Structures
AM LOS13 Demand & Supply Economics: 
         Introduction
                        Break                                        Break
   LOS14 Demand & Supply Economics: Consumer    SS5   Introduction to Macroeconomics
PM       Demand                                 LOS17 Aggregate Output, Price and Economic 
   LOS15 Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm           Growth

                          Week 3                                       Week 4
                    Saturday  11‐Feb                            Saturday  18‐Feb
     LOS18 Understanding Business Cycles        SS6   Economics in a Global Context
AM
                                                LOS20 International Trade & Capital Flows
                         Break                                       Break
     LOS19 Monetary & Fiscal Policy             LOS21 Currency Exchange Rates
PM
                                                      Revision


                                                                                              5
ECONOMICS
SS4: Microeconomics Analysis
LOS13: Demand & Supply Analysis:
          Introduction
         Lecturer: Linh Tran
             January 2012
Overview of Microeconomics


 OVERVIEW THE PURPOSE OF MICROECONOMICS




                                          7
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


 MIND MAP




                                                     8
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  TYPES OF MARKETS

          Factor Market                                    Goods Market
   • For factors of production: land, labor,     • For finished goods & services
   physical capital, materials,                           Capital Market
   intermediate goods                            • For long-term financial capital
                                                 (equity, bond)

                 Sell labor services, land, entrepreneurial risk-taking ability
                  Save money => capital to “sell” to firms (i.e. lend/invest)

       FIRMS                                                               HOUSEHOLDS
                          Sell finished goods & services
                Raise funds (debt/equity) to invest in productive assets

                                                                                        9
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  DEMAND FUNCTION
   • Demand: the willingness & ability of consumers to purchase a given
   amount of a good/service at given values of variables
   • Demand Function: represents buyers behavior
   Variables/Factors influenced: ________________________________

   Example:

   Exercise: Interpret the sign & magnitude for each coefficient:
    Own-price (Px)
    Income (I)
    Price of other goods (Py)

                                                                          10
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  DEMAND CURVE

                                   “Law of Demand”      • Holding other factors constant
                                                        (ceteris paribus)
                            Curve is downward sloping
                                                        • Inverse demand function:
                            i.e.
                                                        Price as a function of quantity
                                                        demanded

                                                        e.g.	When	I	=	50,	Py =	20

     Source: CFA Curriculum 2012




   Demand Curve: shows both the HIGHEST PRICE willing to pay for each
   quantity, or the HIGHEST QUANTITY willing to purchase at each price

                                                                                           11
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  SHIFTS & MOVEMENTS ALONG THE DEMAND CURVE
       Movement Along the Curve                    Shift of the Curve
                                            Px
      Px
                                            29.5
  28          Change in quantity demanded     28
                                                               Change in demand as
              as price changes                                 other variables change


  8
  3                                           3
                                       Qx
                       8   10   11.2                                  10    11.2 11.8 Qx

       e.g.                                        e.g.

      • Holding other factors constant             • Other factors change (e.g. Income,
      (ceteris paribus)                            Price of other goods…)
                                                   • Slope does not change

                                                                                           12
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  SUPPLY FUNCTION
   • Supply: the willingness & ability of firms to sell a good/service at
   given values of variables
   • Supply Function: represents sellers behavior
   Variables/Factors influenced: _________________________________
                                 Output price, costs of input, technology level


   Example:

   Exercise: Interpret the sign & magnitude for each coefficient:
   o Own-price (Px)
   o Wage (W)

                                                                                  13
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  SUPPLY CURVE
      “Law of Supply”
                                                   • Holding other factors constant
      Curve is upward sloping i.e.
                                                   (ceteris paribus)

                                                   • Inverse supply function:
                                                   Price as a function of quantity
                                                   supplied

                                                   e.g. Wage = 15, then


  Source: CFA Curriculum 2012


  Supply Curve: shows both the HIGHEST PRICE willingly accepted for each
  quantity, or the HIGHEST QUANTITY willingly supplied at each price

                                                                                     14
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  SHIFTS & MOVEMENTS ALONG THE SUPPLY CURVE
    Movement Along the Curve                     Shift of the Curve
    Changes in quantity supplied as              Changes in supply as other
    price changes                                variables change
                                                       Px
          Px
                                                       3.1
           4                                            3
           3
                                                       1.1
           1                                             1

   ‐250             500    750
                                      Qx   ‐275 ‐250             475 500       11.8 Qx
                                                 e.g.
   e.g.
                                                • Other factors change (e.g. Wage, Price of
   • Holding other factors constant
                                                other goods…)
   (ceteris paribus)
                                                • Slope does not change
                                                                                          15
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  AGGREGATING THE DEMAND & SUPPLY FUNCTIONS
   • Aggregating rule: Sum up Demand/Supply Functions of each
   individual/firm
   => Sum horizontally (quantity), not vertically (price)

   Example: 1000 identical buyers, each has demand function:



    Derive the market aggregate demand function?
    Derive the inverse market demand function, hold I = 50, Py = 20
    Determine the slope of the market demand curve


                                                                       16
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  AGGREGATING THE DEMAND & SUPPLY FUNCTIONS
                                  Graphic Illustration
    Px                                         Px
    28                                        28
                         2 identical buyers



    8                                          8


            8 11.2               Qx                      8 11.2   24   33.6 Qx

     e.g.                                           e.g.


    • Sum up horizontally (quantity), not vertically (price)
    • Market curve is less steep than individual curve

                                                                                 17
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  MARKET EQUILIBRIUM & MECHANISM
  • Equilibrium: Is where Supply meets Demand
      Demand: curve:        Px  28  2.5Q d
                                           x                  Px
                                                                   Excess supply   S
      Supply curve:         Px  1  0 .004Q   s
                                               x
                                                          28


  Question: Find equilibrium point?
   o Solve for Px, Qx such that:                          1
                                                                                   D
                                                                   Excess demand
              Q xd  Q xs                          ‐250                            11.2
                                                                                          Qx

   o Pe = ________, Qe = _________

   • Mechanism to move towards equilibrium:
     o If P < Pe: Demand exceeds supply => increase P
     o If P > Pe: Supply exceeds demand => reduce P
                                                                                               18
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  • Exercise: Market Mechanism: Excess Demand/Supply
   In the local market for e-books, the aggregate demand & supply are given by:
        Q d  6, 360  4 00 Px
          x

        Q s   1,116  3 00 Px
          x

   1. Determine the amount of excess demand or supply if price = $12

   2. Determine the amount of excess demand or supply if price = $18




                                                                                  19
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  STABILITY OF EQUILIBRIUM
  • Stable Equilibrium:                                • Unstable Equilibrium:
   o Market can automatically return to                 o Once pushed away, market will not
     equilibrium after shocks                              return to its old equilibrium
   o Normal condition                                   o Bubble condition

                                                                          Excess supply or demand?
                                    Excess supply or
                                                                          Price        or   ?
                                    demand?
                                    Price     or   ?




      Source: CFA Curriculum 2012                        Source: CFA Curriculum 2012

                                                                                                     20
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  STABILITY OF EQUILIBRIUM: MULTIBLE EQUILIBRIA
  • Non-linear supply curve
    o Example: Labor supply
  • 2 equilibria points:
    o Stable: Where Demand
      intersects Supply from above
    o Unstable: Where Supply
      intersects Demand from above




                                     Source: CFA Curriculum 2012




                                                                   21
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  AUCTION
  • One of the most traditional methods to determine equilibrium price

  • Types
   o Common Value Auction
      Auctioned item has an actual value that is the same for every bidders

      Bidders have to estimate that true value.

      Example: oil lease contract

   o Private Value Auction
      Each bidder have a subjective value of the item that is unique

      Example: unique price of art



                                                                               22
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  AUCTION MECHANISMS
  • Ascending price (or English) auction:
   o Begin at low price & raise it incrementally
   o Open outcry => can learn about the true value by observing other bids

  • First price sealed bid auction
   o Submit bidding price in envelop => Cannot observe bid
   o Tend to submit conservative bid to avoid Winner’s curse

  • Second price sealed bid (or Vickery) auction
   o To induce bidders to reveal their reservation prices
   o Winner pays the price equal to the second-highest bid
   o If bidding increments are small => Same result as English auction
                                                                             23
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  AUCTION MECHANISMS
  • Descending price (or Dutch) auction:
   o Start with a very high price => lower until there is a willing buyer

   o Demand curve is negative-slope

   o Multiple-unit format:
      Quoted price is per-unit

      Transactions could occurs at different prices for different buyer

   o Modified Dutch Auctions: common practice in securities markets
      Establish a single price for all purchasers which clears the market

      Example: Auction of U.S. T-bill



                                                                             24
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  • Example: Auction of U.S. Treasury bill
   Auction of $90 billion T-bill with both competitive & non-competitive
    Non-competitive bids: willing to purchase at whatever the price




    What is the winning price?     $99.9095                            Source: CFA Curriculum 2012



    Bidders at that price will have their orders partially filled. How much is filled? (30%)

                                                                                                      25
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  CONSUMER SURPLUS = VALUE – EXPENDITURE
    Is the difference between the amount a consumer is willing to pay (Value)
    and the amount he must pay for it (Price)

                                Demand curve is also marginal value curve




                                 Source: Schweser 2012

                                                                            26
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  PRODUCER SURPLUS = REVENUE – VARIABLE COST
    Is the excess of market price (Price) over the variable cost of
    production (Cost)
                                Supply curve is also marginal cost curve




                                                          TS  CS  PS

                                  Source: Schweser 2012

                                                                           27
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  • Example: Calculating Consumer & Producer Surplus
   o A market demand function is given by the equation:
         Q d  180  2P
     Determine the value of consumer surplus if price = $65.

   o A market supply function is given by the equation:
          Q s  -15  P
     Determine the value of producer surplus if price = $65.

   o Calculate total surplus at price = $65




                                                               Source: Schweser 2012

                                                                                       28
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  UNDER/OVERPRODUCTION & DEADWEIGHT LOSS
   Inefficient resource allocation occurs when the sum of producer &
   consumer surplus is not maximized => Create deadweight loss
   (decrease in total surplus) to the society




     Source: Schweser 2012                  Source: Schweser 2012

     Underproduction                        Overproduction
     To the Left of the equilibrium         To the Right of the equilibrium


                                                                              29
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  CAUSES OF DEMAND/SUPPLY IMBALANCE
  • Imposition by governments: as quantity consumed/produced is not
   the efficient quantity that maximizes total benefit => deadweight loss
   o Price regulation (price floors/ceilings)

   o Taxes, subsidies & quotas

  • Free markets do not lead to maximization of total surplus:
   o Public goods

   o External costs

   o External benefits

   o Public goods & common resources => “free-rider” problem

                                                                            30
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  GOVERNMENT REGULATION & INTERVENTION
  • Why intervene?
   o To correct for negative/positive externalities: market does not reflect the true
     social benefit/costs (e.g. public goods)
   o Social consideration: child labor law, human-trafficking

  • Means:
   o Price regulation: Price ceiling & price floor
   o Per-unit tax: On Consumers (Excise tax) & On Producers
   o Other means:
      Volume control: Tariffs on imported goods, quotas on import/exports
      Trade banning

                                                                                        31
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  MARKET INTERFERENCE: PRICE FLOOR


                                                            Long-run Effects
                                                            -Excess supply
                                                            -Substitution away
                                                            from the price-
                                                            controlled goods
                                    Source: Schweser 2012

    Example: Minimum Wage in the Labor Market:
     1. Excess Supply of Labor -> Unemployment
     2. Producers substitute Labor for Capital
     3. Non-monetary benefits, working conditions, on-the-job training
                                                                                 32
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  • Example: Price floor
   A market has demand & supply function
   o Qd = 180 – 2P                                Qs = -15 + P
   Calculate the amount of deadweight loss that would result from a price floor
   imposed at a level of 72                                      P                S

   Solution:                                                90
                                                            72
   - Solve for equilibrium price & quantity                 65
   - Draw the demand & supply curve                            51
                                                            15                    D
   - Find the quantity demanded at price floor 72: QF
                                                           ‐15       36 50    130 Q
   - Find the price that would lead to supplier supply at QF
   - Calculate deadweight loss (area of shaded triangle)

                                                                                      33
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  MARKET INTERFERENCE: PRICE CEILING
   Example: Rent ceilings in the Housing Market

                Price ceiling transfer surplus (area a) from    Long run Impacts
                sellers to buyers, but create deadweight loss   - Long waiting time to
                to society
                                                                purchase (Opportunity
                                                                cost)
                                                                - Sellers discriminate
           a
                                                                - Sellers take bribe
                                                                - Sellers reduce quantity



    Source: Schweser 2012


                                                                                         34
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  MARKET INTERFERENCE: TAX
                                                          OR             ?                             OR         ?
   Tax Imposition:                          Equilibrium Price                          Equilibrium Quantity
   Tax Incidence: Statutory vs. Actual Incidence
      Price        Tax on producers                                Price             Tax on consumers
                                                       Stax
                  D                                                                  D
                                                 Tax          S              Dtax                      DWL            S
    Ptax                                                          Ptax
         Revenue from buyers                                             Revenue from buyers
      PE                                    E                      PE                                       E
         Revenue from sellers                                            Revenue from sellers
     PS                                                           PS
                                                                                                            Tax
                                                DWL


                                Qtax   QE                Quantity                               Qtax   QE         Quantity

      Conclusion: Actual incidence is Independent on Who would pay
                                                                                                                             35
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  • Exercise: Calculate Effect of per-unit tax on Sellers
   Market demand curve:            Q d  180  2P
   Market supply curve:            Q s  -15  P
   Where price is measured in $ per unit. A tax of $2 per unit is imposed on sellers.
   1. Calculate the effect on the price paid by buyers & price received by sellers
   2. Demonstrate that the effect would be unchanged if the tax has been imposed on the
      buyers instead of sellers.
   Hint:
   1. Calculate pre-tax equilibrium price & quantity
   2. Find the inverted supply & demand functions
   3. Find the new equilibrium price & quantity
   4. Find the tax burden bear by each party in each case & compare


                                                                                          36
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  TAX AND ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY & DEMAND

                                                      • Supply Curve is more
                                                        steep => Sellers bear a
                                                        higher burden




                                                     • Demand Curve is more
                                                      steep => Buyers bear a
                                                      higher burden

   Source: Schweser 2012

                                                                               37
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  SUBSIDIES LEADS TO OVERPRODUCTION

                                            • Subsidy is payment made
                                              by governments to
                                              producers (farmers)
                                            • With Subsidy:
                                             o Supply Curve shifts

                                             o Quantity

                                             o Equilibrium price




      Source: Schweser 2012

                                                                        38
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  QUOTAS LEADS TO UNDERPRODUCTION
                                        • Quota is an upper limit imposed
                                         on the quantity of a good that
                                         may be produced over a specific
                                         period by the governments
                                        • With Quota:
                                          o Supply Curve shifts

                                          o Quantity

                                          o Equilibrium price



   Source: Schweser 2012

                                                                          39
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  ELASTICITY: PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (PED)




 • As the price of a normal good increases, quantity demanded
   decreases (PED < 0)
   o Elastic demand: % increase in price leads to a larger % decrease
     in quantity demanded
   o Inelastic demand: % increase in price leads to a smaller %
     decrease in quantity demanded

                                                                        40
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  PED GRAPHICAL ILLUSTRATIONS




                                                     Source: Schweser 2012




                                                                             41
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  ELASTICITY & REVENUE
                                                                                         ΔQ x Px
                                                      Reminder: Formula for PED             
                     (A): Elasticity = …                                                 ΔPx Q x
                      => Elastic/Inelastic?  
                                                       1.
                              (B): Elasticity = … 
                                                       2. Price elasticity changes along the curve
                                      (C): Elasticity = …
                                       => Elastic/Inelastic?   Q: At which point is total revenue (P x Q)
                                                               is maximized?

                                                               A: At point B, where elasticity = -1
 Total expenditure




                                           Quantity
                                                                                                            42
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE PED
  • Availability and closeness of Substitutes
    o Example?

  • Proportion of income spent on the item
   o Example?

  • Time since the previous price change
    o Example?

    o LR demand is much more elastic than SR demand => more time to adjust

  • Necessity of the goods:
    o If goods is discretionary => less likely to reduce demand when price increases => less
      elastic (example: staples

                                                                                           43
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (YED)
 • Shows the sensitivity of quantity demanded in relation to changes in
 income




 • Elasticity > 0 : Normal goods: Income     Demand

   o Necessity: 0 < YED <1           e.g.

   o Luxury:   1 < YED               e.g.

 • Elasticity < 0 : Inferior goods: Income   Demand

   e.g.
                                                                          44
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  CROSS PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (XED)

 • Shows the relationship between demand of good X in relation to price
   of another good Y




 • XED > 0 : Goods are substitutes
   e.g.

 • XED < 0: Goods are complements
   e.g.


                                                                          45
Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction


  • Exercise: Calculating PED, YED & XED
   An individual consumer’s monthly demand for downloadable e-book is given by the
                                                                d
   equationQ d  2  0 .4 Peb  0.0005I  0.15P hb , where Q eb equals the number of e-
             eb

   books demanded each month, I is the household monthly income, Peb is the price of e-
   books and Phb is the price of hardbound books. Assume that price of e-book is $10.68,
   household income is $2,300, and the price of hardbound books is $21.40.

   1. Determine the value of own-price elasticity of demand for e-books.

   2. Determine the income elasticity of demand for e-books.

   3. Determine the cross-price elasticity of demand for e-books with respect to the price
      of hardbound books.




                                                                                             46
ECONOMICS
  SS4: Microeconomic Analysis
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis:
         Consumer Demand
           Lecturer: Linh Tran
               January 2011
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


 MIND MAP




                                                        48
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  CONSUMER CHOICE THEORY
 • Two building blocks:
   o Consumer preferences: What consumer would like to consume between
     two goods/basket of goods?

   Develop Indifference curve (willingness to consume)

   o Budget constraint: What can be consumed with limited income?

   Draw Budget constraint line to determine which set of bundles is possible
     for consumption (Ability to consume)

 • By changing price & income => build up consumer demand curve



                                                                                49
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  UTILITY THEORY
 • Axioms of Consumer Choice Theory:
   o Completeness: Must prefer either A or B or indifferent between A & B
   o Transitivity: A > B, B > C => A > C
   o Non-satiation: More is better, for at least one good

 • Utility Function:     U  f(Qx1 ,Qx2 ,...,Qxn )
   o An “assignment rule” that translates each basket of goods & services into a
     number that rank orders the baskets according to that particular consumer’s
     preference
   o That number = Utility of that basket (measured in utils, level of happiness)
   o Utility function is ordinal ranking (differences of utility do not matter)

                                                                                    50
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  INDIFFERENCE CURVE: GRAPHIC ILLUSTRATION
 • Non-satiation axiom: Must lie in QI & III   • Convex indifference curve



          I      IV



         II       III




 • Marginal rate of substitution:                           Source: CFA Curriculum 2012


   o MRUBW = How much wine is willing to give up to obtain a small increment of
     bread, holding utility constant
   o If diminishing as wine decreases => Indifference curve is Convex

                                                                                          51
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  INDIFFERENCE CURVE MAPS
  Wine                                    Wine

                   Increase utility
                                                         Q: Can indifference
                                                         curves cross?

                                                     a
                                                             c

                                                         b
                           Bread                                   Bread
   o Completeness: Every point will have at least one indifference curve passing
     through

   o Transitivity: Two indifference curves cannot cross (a~b, a~c => b~c, but c>b)



                                                                                   52
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  GAIN FROM VOLUNTARY EXCHANGE
 • Two consumers (A&B) with different preferences
   o At a, MRSBW(A) = 0.8, MRSBW(B) = 1.25

   Wine                                     Q: Determine whether B would accept the trade of
                                            1 of A’s bread in exchange for 1 of its wine.
                                            A: ……………………………..

                                            Q: Who has a relatively stronger preference for
                                            breads?
            a
                  A’s indifference curve    A: ………………………

                                            Q: Until when will trade stop?
                 B’s indifference curve
                                    Bread
                                            A: ……………………………..

                                                                                              53
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  BUDGET CONSTRAINT
 • Ability to consume/produce: is limited due to Scarcity of resources
                                                    Wine
   (limited income, resources, time…)
                                                                         I   PB
 • Budget constraint: PB QB  P QW  I
                                                     I/PW          QW         QB
                               W                                        PW PW
   o No saving =>   PB QB  PW QW  I
                                                                            Slope of the line
 • Changing prices & income:
                                                            Wine            I/PB Bread
 Wine                      Wine

         Increase in the                Decrease in the                   Increase in
         price of bread                 price of wine                     income




                       Bread                        Bread                          Bread

                                                                                           54
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  THE PRODUCTION/INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY SET
 • Firms/investor face the same constraint as consumers

 • Production opportunity frontier: maximum number of units of one good it
   can produce, for any given number of the other goods

 • Investment opportunity Frontier: risk-free assets & diversified stock port.

   Juice per year
                                              Return
                                                            Diversified
  1 billion                                                 stock portfolio



                           10 billion      Risk-free
                                           rate of return

                           Milk per year
                                                                   Risk level
                                                                                 55
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  DETERMINATION OF CONSUMER’S BUNDLE OF GOODS
                                                 Wine
 • Consumer equilibrium is achieved at (a)
   o This is the tangency point of the curve & line
                                                           b
      Highest indifference curve reached

      Not violating budget constraint                         a
                                                      Wa

 • At point a: MRUBW = PB/PW                                        c


 • At point b: MRUBW < PB/PW
                                                               Ba       Bread

 Willing to give up some wine to obtain more bread

 • Similarly, at point c: MRUBW > PB/PW

 Willing to give up …………………. to obtain more ………………….

                                                                         56
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  DERIVING A DEMAND CURVE
 • Can derive a demand curve for
   good A by changing the price of
   that good while keeping other
   prices & income constant.

 • Law of Demand:
   o As price decreases, quantity
     demanded increase

   Is this always true???


                                                 Source: CFA Curriculum 2012

                                                                               57
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  SUBSTITUTION EFFECT & INCOME EFFECT
 • Pure substitution effect: always purchasing more when price falls &
   purchasing less when price rises. Why??
   o Good A becomes relatively less costly as compared to other goods => Gets
     substituted for other goods in the consumption basket (Diminishing MRU)

 • Income effect: when price falls, real income rises => Amount of goods
   that can be purchased increases
   o Normal goods: increase in income => increase in quantity demanded

   o Inferior goods: increase in income => less quantity demanded




                                                                                58
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  SUBSTITUTION & INCOME EFFECT: GRAPHS

 Wine
           Normal Goods                                          Inferior Goods
                                                   Wine

                                                                    c
             a                                                  a
                             c
                    b                                                   b




            Ba                           Bread                                           Bread
                        Bb   Bc                                Ba Bc Bb
                                                 Substitution effect
  Substitution effect    Income effect                              Income effect

  Substitution & income effects are in the        Substitution & income effects are in opposite
  same direction                                  direction, but income < substitution

                                                                                                  59
Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand


  GIFFEN GOODS & VEBLEN GOODS

  Wine
                 Giffen Goods                                        Veblen Goods
                            o Substitution & income       o Conspicuous consumption: derive
                 c
                              are in opposite direction     utility out of being known by others to
                            o Income > substitution         consume a so-called high status good
             a
                       b                                  o Value a good more if it had a higher
                                                            price => Price DOES matter (signal the
                                                            status of who consumes it)
            Bc
                                         Bread              => Violate the axioms of choice (why?
               Ba      Bb
Substitution effect   Income effect                       o Consumer would be more inclined to
                                                            purchase Veblen Goods if its price rises

   For both cases: results in a positive demand curve

                                                                                                      60
ECONOMICS
  SS4: Microeconomic Analysis
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis:
              The Firm
           Lecturer: Linh Tran
               February 2011
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


 MIND MAP




                                                 62
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  ACCOUNTING PROFIT, ECONOMIC PROFIT, NORMAL PROFIT
  • Accounting Profit = Total revenue – Total accounting (explicit) costs
    o Is Net income/bottom line in income statement
    o Includes interest paid on debt financing, but no payment to equity owners

  • Economic/Abnormal Profit = Accounting profit – Implicit opportunity costs
    o or:          Economic profit = Total revenue – Total economic costs
    o Implicit costs: opportunity cost of equity owner’s supplied resources:
       Private firm: opportunity cost of supplied capital & time/entrepreneur ability
       Public firm: opportunity cost of equity owner’s investment in the firm

  • Normal Profit: accounting profit that makes economic profit zero (= implicit cost)
    o This is what an individual firm should earn in Equilibrium
    o The firm cover all cost of productions => no incentive to leave/enter the industry

                                                                                           63
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Exercise: Calculating Accounting profit & economic profit
   o Given the following information, calculate the accounting profit for ABC Co.

      Account                                  Amount
      Total revenue                            $300,000
      Expenses
        Fiberglass                             $100,000
        Electricity                              30,000
        Wages paid                               55,000
        Interest paid on debt                     5,000

   o Assume the owner took a pay reduction of $50,000 to start the company &
     also invested in the business & could have earned $30,000 per year if he has
     invested the funds elsewhere. Calculate the economic profit


                                                                                    64
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  SOURCES OF ECONOMIC PROFIT
  • Due to firm’s ability
   o Competitive advantage (difficult to copy technology/innovation)
   o Exceptional managerial efficiency or skill

  • Due to nature of competitiveness in the market
   o Exclusive access to less-expensive inputs
   o Fixed supply of an output, commodity, resources
   o Preferential treatment under government policy
   o Have monopoly power (price control)
   o Market barriers to entry that limit competition

  • Due to large increases in demand where supply is unable to respond fully
                                                                           65
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  ECONOMIC RENT
  • Arise when:
   o A particular resource/good is fixed in supply (vertical supply curve)

   o Market price > Cost to bring the good into the market & sustain its use
     (normal profit) =>Economic rent > 0

   o Firm can earn significant economic profits

  • Example:
   o Limited availability in nature (land, specialty commodities )

   o Constrained by government (e.g. telecommunication resources)




                                                                               66
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Economic rent illustration: Gold demand & supply


                                                                Economic rent is
                                                                higher when supply is
                                                                inelastic



    Source: Schweser 2012

   Year                      2006         2007       2008          % change 2006 - 2008
   Supply (metric tons)           3,569      3,475      3,508               -1.7
   Demand (metric tons)           3,423      3,552      3,805               +11.2
   Avg. spot price (US$)         603.92     695.39     871.65               +44.3
   Source: GFMS & World Gold Council


                                                                                          67
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  COMPARING MEASURE OF PROFIT
  • Normal profit is fixed in the SR, but will vary with required rate of return
   on equity investment in the LR

  • Relationship between accounting profit & normal profit

   Relation between Accounting                                                 Firm’s Market
                                       Economic Profit
   profit and Normal profit                                                    Value or Equity

   Accounting profit > Normal profit   Economic profit > 0 and firm is able to Positive effect
                                       protect economic profit over the LR

   Accounting profit = Normal profit   Economic profit = 0                     No effect

   Accounting profit < Normal profit   Economic profit < 0 implies economic    Negative effect
                                       loss

                                                                                                 68
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  TOTAL, AVERAGE AND MARGIN REVENUE
  • Total revenue (TR) = P x Q
  • Average revenue (AR) = TR / Q
  • Marginal revenue (MR): increase in total revenue from selling one more unit.
    Quantity   Price   Total revenue      Average revenue
                                                             Marginal Revenue
      (a)       (b)     (c) = (a)*(b)       (d) = (c)/(a)
       1        70          70                  70                  70
       2        65          130                 65                  60
       3        60
       4        55
       5        50
       6        45
       7        40

                                                                                   69
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  PERFECT COMPETITION: TR, AR AND MR
  • Horizontal demand curve

  • All units are sold at the same price regardless of quantity: AR=MR=Price




    Source: CFA Curriculum 2012

                                                                           70
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  IMPERFECT COMPETITION: TR, AR, MR
                                          Revenue
 • Downward-sloping demand curve                           TR


 • Firms are price searchers (to sell a

   greater quantity => must reduce

   price)
                                          Q0                Q1        Quantity of Output
 • MR < Price (for Q >1) & MR  AR        Revenue, Price


   (Why???)

 • Decrease in MR is more than
                                                                      P = AR - Demand
                                                                MR
   decrease in AR
                                          Q0               Q1        Quantity of Output

                                                                                           71
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
  • Inputs to the firm’s production include:
   o Land                          o Capital (facilities, equipment, machinery)

   o Labor (skilled & unskilled)   o Materials (raw materials, manufactured inputs)

  • Production function: Q = f(K,L)                    (subject toK  0, L  0 )
   Holding capital constant:             Total Product/Quantity

                                                                    B
   o L0     L1: increasing MP of labor     Q2
                                                                           TP
   o L1     L2: decreasing MP of labor
                                                          A
   o L1     …: MP of labor <0              Q1


   At B, Total Product is maximized
                                             L0            L1       L2      Quantity of Labor

                                                                                          72
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  OUTPUT & TOTAL COST
   Total Cost (TC) = Total Fixed Cost (TFC) + Total Variable Cost (TVC)

  o Total fixed cost (TFC)
     Equals cost of fixed inputs & normal profit
     Is independent of firm’s output level in the
      SR
     Example: rent, PPE

  o Total variable cost (TVC)
     Equals cost of all variable production
      inputs
                                                     Source: CFA Curriculum 2012
     TVC increases as output increases
     Example: labor, raw material
                                                                                   73
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  AVERAGE & MARGINAL COST CURVES



                                         • AFC slopes downwards
                                         • Vertical difference between ATC &
                                          AVC is equal to AFC (x)

                                         • ATC & AVC are U-shaped

                                         • MC    initially, then   , due to
                                           diminishing returns of labor

                                         • MC intersects AVC & ATC at their
                               Shirts	    minimum point
    Source: Schweser 2012      per	day

                                                                               74
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Exercise: Calculate AFC, AVC, ATC & MC
    Q       TFC*          TVC          AFC           AVC           TC            ATC        MC
   (1)        (2)          (3)      (4)=(2)/(1)   (5)=(3)/(1)   (6)=(2)+(3)   (7)=(4)+(5)

    0       5,000           0           --            --          5,000           --         --

    1       5,000        2,000        5,000         2,000         7,000         7,000       2,000

    2       5,000        3,800        2,500         1,900         8,800         4,400       1,800

    3       5,000        5,400

    4       5,000        8,000

    5       5,000        11,000

    6       5,000        15,000

    7       5,000        21,000

    8       5,000        28,800
  *: Include all opportunity cost

                                                                                                    75
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  SHUTDOWN AND BREAK-EVEN POINTS OF PRODUCTION
  • Shutdown point: Where AR = AVC
   o If AR < AVC: Firm stops production but still have to pay fixed costs

   o If AVC<AR<ATC: firm starts to produce to cover variable cost & some fixed
     cost. But does not break-even => only survives in the short run

   So: Short run supply curve is the MC curve that lies above the AVC curve

  • Break-even point: Where price = AR = MR = ATC, or TR = TC

   Revenue‐Cost relationship   Short‐run Decision             Long‐term Decision

   TR >=TC                     Stay in market                 Stay in market
   TR>TVC but TR <TC           Stay in market                 Exit market
   TR < TVC                    Shut down production to zero   Exit market

                                                                                   76
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Perfection competition: shutdown and break-even points
   Find shutdown point & break-even point in the following diagram




    Source: CFA Curriculum 2012


                                                                     77
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  OUTPUT OPTIMIZATION & PROFIT-MAXIMIZATION
  • Profit maximization occurs when:
   o Difference between TR & TC is the greatest

   o MR = MC

   o Revenue of the output from the last unit of input employed = the cost of
     employing that input unit




                                                                                78
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Illustration: Perfect Competition: Break-even & Profit maximizing
   In a perfect competition market: TR is a straight line




    Source: CFA Curriculum 2012

                                                                        79
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Example: Breakeven Analysis & Profit Maximization
                                                Q        Price           TR          TC        Profit
  In an imperfect competition market:          (1)        (2)        (3)=(1)*(2)     (4)     (5)=(3)-(4)

  Q1: What is the breakeven point?              0       10,000            0        100,000   (100,000)
                                               10        9,750         97,500      170,000    (72,500)
                                               20        9,500        190,000      240,000    (50,000)
  Q2: Where is the region of profitability?    30        9,250        277,500      300,000
                                               40        9,000                     360,000
                                               50        8,750                     420,000
  Q3: What is the profit-maximizing point? 60            8,500                     480,000
                                               70        8,250                     550,000
                                               80        8,000                     640,000
  Q4: Where does economic loss occur?
                                               90        7,750                     710,000
                                              100        7,500                     800,000
                                              *: Include all opportunity cost

                                                                                                      80
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  LONG-RUN & SHORT-RUN COST CURVES
  • Short run cost curves: apply to a specific size of plant (some
   input quantities are fixed)
 • Long run cost curves:
   indicate the optimal
   quantity at different plant
   sizes (everything can be
   adjusted).
 • Firms can have the same
   LRATC but at different
   positions, depending on
                                 Source: Schweser 2012
   their operating size
                                                                     81
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  ECONOMIES OF SCALE

                 Long Run Cost Curve = planning curve




                                  1.   Increasing bureaucracy
       1. Mass production
                                  2.   Difficult to motivate workforce
       2. Specialization          3.   Barriers to innovation & entrepreneur activities
       3. Experience              4.   Principal-agent problem



                                                                                     82
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Illustration: Long-run profit maximization & Minimum efficient
   scale under Perfect Competition




         Source: CFA Curriculum 2012

                                                                     83
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  INCREASING, DECREASING & CONSTANT COST INDUSTRY
  • LR Industry supply: Relationship between quantity & output prices
   o Firms are able to enter/exit based on level of ST profit

   o Changes in output influence resource (input) prices in the LR

   o Shapes depend on resources costs, technological level, production efficiency
     & economies of scale of resource supplier




       Source: CFA Curriculum 2012

                                                                                    84
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  TOTAL, MARGINAL & AVERAGE PRODUCT OF LABOR
  • Productivity: measured in terms of output per workers/labor hour

  • Cost minimizing/profit maximizing goal => maximize productivity

  • Measuring productivity:
   o Total Product :            TP = Q (L, K) (K fixed)

                                     TP Q
   o Average Product :          AP     
                                     L    L
                                     TP Q
   o Marginal Product:          AP       
                                      L    L
     (assume other inputs are fixed)

     measured productivity of an individual additional worker

                                                                       85
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  • Example: Calculate Total, marginal & average product of labor




                                                                    86
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  DIMINISHING MARGINAL PRODUCT OF LABOR




                                                                Diminishing
                                                                marginal returns to
                                                                labor occur

                               Maximum MP




       Source: Schweser 2012

    Marginal product, holding other inputs constant, first increases then decreases

                                                                                      87
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  COST CURVES & PRODUCT CURVES




     Source: Schweser 2012




                                                 88
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  CHOOSING INPUTS TO MINIMIZE COST
                                                                             MPinput
  • Firms want to maximize output per monetary unit of input costs:
                                                                            Priceinput
  • When using n different resources, the least cost optimization formula is:
                        MP1     MP2            MPn
                                      ... 
                       Price1 Price 2         Price n
   o i.e. Additional output per dollar spent to employ one additional unit of each
     input must be the same.

  • Example: with two inputs Labor & Capital
   o PL = $75, PK = $600, MPL= 5 units, MPK = 30 units

   o Compute MPK/PK & L/PL

   o What input to be reduced to reduce cost of production?

                                                                                       89
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  MARGINAL REVENUE PRODUCT
  • Marginal Product: Addition output of a final product produced from one
   more unit of a productive input, holding other inputs constant

  • Marginal Revenue: Additional revenue gained from selling one more unit of
   output

  • Marginal Revenue Product (MRP)

   Additional revenue gained from selling the marginal product from employing
   one more unit of a productive input, holding other inputs constant
  • MRP         = Marginal Product x Marginal Revenue

                = Marginal Product x Product Price (assume perfect competition)
Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm


  PROFIT MAXIMIZING UTILIZATION OF AN INPUT
  • Profit-maximizing quantity of an input i: MRPi = Pi
   o Firms can increase profits by employing another unit of input i as long as
     MRPi > Pi

  • With cost minimizing condition:
      MP1  MR output       MP2  MR output             MPn  MR output
                                              ... 
          Price1                Price 2                     Price n

      MRP1 MRP2         MRPn
   =>           ...       1
       P1   P2           Pn
ECONOMICS
    SS4: Microeconomic Analysis
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


             Lecturer: Linh Tran
                 February 2011
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


 MIND MAP




                                             93
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  CHARACTERISTICS OF DIFFERENT MARKET STRUCTURES
  • Differentiate based on
   o Number of firms and their relative sizes

   o Elasticity of the demand curves they face

   o Ways that they compete with other firms for sales

   o Ease/difficulty with which firms can enter/exit the market

                       Increasing degree of competition



  Monopoly               Oligopoly                Monopolistic      Perfect
                                                  Competition     Competition



                                                                            94
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  CHARACTERISTICS SUMMARY

                         Perfect      Monopolistic
                                                             Oligopoly           Monopoly
                      Competition     Competition

  # of sellers        Many firms    Many firms           Few firms           Single firm

  Barriers to entry   Very low      Low                  High                Very high

  Nature of           Very good     Good substitutes     Very good           No good
  substitute          substitutes   but differentiated   substitutes or      substitute
  product                                                differentiated

  Nature of           Price only    Price, marketing,    Price, marketing,   Advertising
  competition                       features             features

  Pricing power       None          Some                 Some to significant Significant



                                                                                            95
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERFECT COMPETITION: CHARACTERISTICS

   1. Homogeneous products

   2. Large number of independent firms; each small relative to the
   total market

   3. No barriers to entry or exit

   4. Market supply & demand determine market price


   Example:




                                                                      96
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERFECT COMPETITION: FIRMS ARE PRICE TAKERS
 1. No influence over market price
 2. “Take” the equilibrium price as given
 3. Firm’s demand curve is perfectly elastic => horizontal



                                               MR = Price as all additional
                                               units are sold at the same
                                               (market) price




   Source: Schweser 2012

                                                                              97
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERFECT COMPETITION: MARKET & FIRM DEMAND CURVE




      Source: Schweser 2012




                                                     98
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERFECT COMPETITION: SHORT RUN PROFIT




     Source: Schweser 2012


     Economic profit > 0 when ???       Q: What happens next?
                                                                99
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  EQUILIBRIUM IN PERFECT COMPETITION
   A: New firms enter the market, market supply   , price   so that P = ATC




     Source: Schweser 2012


                                                       No	Economic	Profit!!
                                                                              100
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERFECT COMPETITION: SHORT-RUN LOSS

                                             Q: will it continue operation?

                                             Minimizing loss when
                                             AVC < P < ATC

                                             Shutdown point: P = AVC
                                             P < AVC: shutdown, only pay
                                             fixed cost
     Source: Schweser 2012


        Economic Loss when ???



                                                                          101
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERFECT COMPETITION: FIRM & INDUSTRY SR SUPPLY CURVES




     Source: Schweser 2012



     Market supply curve = horizontal sum of all firm supply curves

                                                                      102
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  INCREASE IN DEMAND
    Price                                            Price
                                     SR Industry                             MC = SR Firm Supply
                                       supply
    P2                                               P2                                    D2
    P1                                  D2           P1                                    D1
                                D1

                  Q1      Q2             Quantity               Q1 Firm Q2 Firm      Quantity

    Economic profit -> New firm enters -> Industry supply curve shift
    outwards ->         equilibrium price,          equilibrium output
    Individual firms move down its supply curve-> economic profit
    Economic loss -> …???
                                                                                                103
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERMANENT DEMAND CHANGES




      Source: Schweser 2012




                                             104
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  DEMAND CHANGES & TECHNOLOGICAL IMPROVEMENT
   Long run equilibrium price after a permanent increase in demand can be:
    •Lower	(economies	of	scale)	(input	   •Higher	(diseconomies	of	scale)	(input	
    prices	fall)	=>	LR	supply	curve	is	   prices	increase)	=>	LR	supply	curve	is	




      Source: Schweser 2012


                                                                                    105
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PERFECT COMPETITION: TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGES
  • After adjustments take place for some firms
  -> Firm & industry’s supply curve shift to the right
  -> Higher quantity, lower price

  • Short run: Economic profit for early adopters


  • Long run:
   o Price = min ATC for new technology
   o Zero economic profit



                                                         106
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION: CHARACTERISTICS
  • A large number of independent firms
   o Small market share, no power over price
   o Only need to care about market price
   o No collusion

  • Differentiated products (substitutes to each other)
  • Firms compete on price, quality, and marketing
  • Low barriers to entry & exit

  • Downward-sloping, highly elastic demand curve
   Example: ???
                                                          107
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION: OUTPUT DECISION

    Short run Output decision for a firm        Long run Output decision for a firm

     Price                                        Price
                                                                           MC
             Short run profit MC                      Firms enter, price
                                   ATC                fall                      ATC
    P*
  ATC*                                     P = ATC*
                                    D
                                   MC = MR                                        D
                         MR                                         MR
                  Q                  Quantity                   Q                     Quantity



         No positive economic profits in the long run!

                                                                                            108
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION VS. PERFECT COMPETITION




      Source: Schweser 2012

     Mark up = P – ATC > 0            Excess capacity:
                                      Q < efficient quantity (at min ATC)
                                                                            109
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  EFFICIENCY OF MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION
  • Allocative efficiency is not clear:
   o Social cost of not producing where P = MC => Mark up for producers
   o Long run average cost is not minimized => Excess capacity
   o Additional costs of advertising, innovation & building brand names

  • However, there are some benefits:
   o Increased Product diversity, greater Product innovations

   o More information from Brand names & advertising => signal quality for
     better decision making (?)
  Q: Does the benefit from advertising, innovation, differentiation of
  products justify its costs??
                                                                             110
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  INNOVATION, ADVERTISING & BRANDING
  • Innovation & Product Development
   o Less elastic demand => can increase price & earn economic profits

   o But this advantage will be erode over time. (Why ?)

   o Firms must continually look for new innovation => additional costs

  • Advertising & Branding
   o To inform the unique features & quality of their products

   o Advertising cost for firms in monopolistic competition is the greatest. But if
     advertising can greatly increase sales, ATC may fall because AFC falls

   o Brand names are invaluable assets as it signals the quality

                                                                                      111
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  OLIGOPOLY: CHARACTERISTICS
  • A small number of sellers

  • Interdependence among competitors

    o Highly dependent upon the action of others

  • Significant barriers to entry (economies of scale)

  • Products may be similar or differentiated

   Example: ???



                                                         112
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  OLIGOPOLY MODELS
  • Kinked-demand curve model
   o Competitor will NOT follow a price INCREASE

   o Competitor WILL follow a price DECREASE

  • Cournot Model
   o 2 firms (duopoly), with identical & constant marginal cost of production

   o Must determine quantity based on assumptions about other’s quantity

  • Nash equilibrium model (Prisoner’s dilemma)

  • Stackelberg dominant firm model



                                                                                113
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  OLIGOPOLY: KINKED-DEMAND MODEL
          Firms will not follow price               Price
                                                            MR (P > P*)
          increase
                                                                                   MCB
                                           Current
                                           Price P*
                                                                                    MCA



                                                                     MR (P < P*)
                          Firms will follow price
                          decrease
                                                                                    Demand
                                                                Q*                 Quantity
                      Profit‐maximizing	output

  • Shortcoming: Model is incomplete as what determine the market price
   (kinked price) is outside the scope of the model

                                                                                          114
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  COURNOT DUOPOLY MODEL
  • 2 firms (A & B) are identical, have constant marginal costs of production
   o Previous quantities produced can be observed QA & QB

  • Equilibrium mechanism:
   o A assumes B will keep produce QB for the next period
   o A derives its own demand curve (= market demand – QB) & marginal revnue
   o A determines its profit-maximizing quantity & B does the same

  • Results:
   o Adjust until Q A = QB = Q/2
   o Perfect competition price < Equilibrium price < Monopoly price
   o If more firms are added: price falls to MC => perfect competition
                                                                               115
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  PRISONERS’ DILEMMA & OLIGOPOLY

                                         Prisoner B
                                                                    Why???
       Optimal solution
                             Keeps silent           Confesses
                 Keeps                            A gets 10 years   Actual
                          Each gets 6 months
                  silent                             B is free      result
    Prisoner A
                               A is free
                Confesses                       Each gets 2 years
                           B gets 10 years

                                             Firm B
     For Firms
                              Honors                       Cheats
                     Both earns (+) economic        A has economic loss
            Honors
                              profits             B earns increased profits
   Firm A
                     A earns increased profits   Both earns ZERO economic
            Cheats
                       B has economic loss                 profits

   What will be the final result?
                                                                              116
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  TWO-FIRM OLIGOPOLY WITH & WITHOUT COLLUSIONS

    Without Collusion




      Source: Schweser 2012



                                                  117
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  TWO-FIRM OLIGOPOLY WITH & WITHOUT COLLUSIONS
   With Collusion: Both firms collude to behave like a monopoly




      Source: Schweser 2012

     => Price fixing to earns Economic Profit
                                                                  118
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  OLIGOPOLY: WHEN COLLUSION IS POSSIBLE?
  • Cheating is easy to detect


  • Fewer firms in the market



  • Threat of new entrants is low



  • Enforcement of anti-collusion laws & penalties for colluding are weak



                                                                        119
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  DOMINANT FIRM OLIGOPOLY
  • A dominant firm (DF) with cost-       Price
                                                              MCCF

   advantage & a large market share                                     MCDF

   => Acts like a monopoly, is a price-
   setter, produces where MC = MR         P*
                                                                         Market
  • Other competitive firms (CF) are                                     Demand

   price-follower and produce where                                        DDF
   MC = P
                                                               MRDF

                                                  QCF   QDF           Quantity




                                                                                 120
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLY: CHARACTERISTICS
  • One seller of a specific, well-defined product that has no good
   substitute.
  • Barriers to entry are high, due to:
   o Economies of scale (natural monopoly e.g. electric utility)

   o Government licensing (patents, e.g. pharmaceutical) & legal barriers (e.g.
     broadcasting station, utility)

   o Resource control




                                                                                  121
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLY: PRICING
  • Monopoly faces a downward-sloping demand curve, unlike perfect
   competition

  • In order to increase quantity , a monopoly must reduce price as
   there is a trade-off between price & quantity

  • Price-setting strategy to maximize profit to firm:

    1. Single-price

    2. Price discrimination (if resell is impossible)



                                                                      122
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLY: COSTS, PRICE AND REVENUE

                                             Optimal quantity Q* is in
                                             the elastic range of the
                                             demand curve
                                MC	=	MR




   Source: Schweser 2012




   Monopolists are price searchers and have imperfect information
   regarding market demand

                                                                         123
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLY: PRICE DISCRIMINATION
   Price discrimination: charging different customers different prices for
   the same produce or service. Examples: tickets

   When is it possible?

    •   Have a downward-sloping demand curve

    •   Have at least 2 identifiable customer groups with different price
        elasticities of demand for the product

    •   Can prevent customers from reselling the product



                                                                             124
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLY: PRICE DISCRIMINATION - GRAPHS



                                                                Efficient 
                                                                quantity

                                                    A




    Source: Schweser 2012



     DWL due to the reduction in        Can capture the higher-elastic-
     quantity & the increase in price   demand group at a lower price $90


                                                                             125
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLY: PERFECT PRICE DISCRIMINATION
   With perfect price discrimination:

    • Charge each customer the maximum amount they would pay for

    • Produce the same quantity as under perfect competition (point A)
      (Capture all points on the demand curve )

    • No Deadweight Loss

    • No consumer surplus, the entire surplus goes to the monopoly




                                                                         126
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  MONOPOLY VS. PERFECT COMPETITION

                                             Perfect competition: QPC & PPC

                                             Monopoly:
                                             QMON< QPC & PMON> PPC

                                             =>Deadweight loss, as
                                             (Producer surplus + Consumer
                                             surplus) is not maximized
   Source: Schweser 2012


   Rent seeking: producers spend time & resources to seek for
   monopoly power
                                                                         127
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  NATURAL MONOPOLY
   Significant economies of scale:
   • Fixed costs are very high & variable costs are low
   • ATC decreases as output increases => ATC is minimized only when
     there is one firm
   • Example ???

   Economies of scope
   • Production uses same capital resources
   • ATC declines as ranges of goods produced increases
   • Example ???

                                                                       128
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  REGULATING MONOPOLIES
    Regulate the prices the monopoly may charges:
                                                  1. Average cost pricing:
                                                    • Reduce price to where ATC
                                                      intersects D
                                                    • Increase output & social welfare
                                                    • Economic profit = 0

                                A                  2. Marginal cost pricing
                                                    • Reduce price to where MC
                                    B                 intersects D
  Source: Schweser 2012                             • Efficient regulation
                                                    • May require subsidy, if MC < ATC
    Problems with regulation:
        • Lack of information           • Quality regulation
        • Cost shifting                 • Special interest effect
                                                                                         129
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  IDENTIFYING MARKET STRUCTURE
  • Econometric method: To estimate the elasticity of supply & demand by
   regression methods (cross-sectional or time series)
   o But requires lots of data

  • Simpler method: Concentration ratio & HHI Index
   o N-firm concentration ratio: sum of the % market share of the top N largest
     firms


    0%                           40%           60%                   100%

                  Competitive
      Perfect                          Oligopoly
                    market                           Monopoly
    Competition

                                                                                  130
Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures


  IDENTIFYING MARKET STRUCTURE (cont.)
  • Simpler method:
   o Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI): sum of the squared % market share of
     the top 50 largest firms

  • Limitations of Concentration Ration
   o N-Concentration Ratio is insensitive to mergers of two large firms

   o Both N-Concentration Ratio & HHI do not consider barriers to entry & potential
     competition




                                                                                 131

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Economics ss4

  • 1. ECONOMICS Introduction to Economics Lecturer: Linh Tran February 2011 1
  • 2. Introduction: Overview of Economics  What is Economics? Why do we need to study this?  What are the links between Economics & other subjects?  What topics will we learn for CFA L1? Schedule? 2
  • 3. Introduction: Overview of Economics CONTENT OF LEVEL 1 3
  • 4. Introduction: Overview of Economics LINKS BETWEEN ECONOMICS AND OTHER SUBJECTS 4
  • 5. Introduction: Overview of Economics SCHEDULE Week 1 Week 2 Saturday  28‐Jan Saturday  4‐Feb SS4 Introduction to Microeconomics LOS16 The Firm and Market Structures AM LOS13 Demand & Supply Economics:  Introduction Break Break LOS14 Demand & Supply Economics: Consumer  SS5 Introduction to Macroeconomics PM Demand LOS17 Aggregate Output, Price and Economic  LOS15 Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm Growth Week 3 Week 4 Saturday  11‐Feb Saturday  18‐Feb LOS18 Understanding Business Cycles SS6 Economics in a Global Context AM LOS20 International Trade & Capital Flows Break Break LOS19 Monetary & Fiscal Policy LOS21 Currency Exchange Rates PM Revision 5
  • 6. ECONOMICS SS4: Microeconomics Analysis LOS13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction Lecturer: Linh Tran January 2012
  • 7. Overview of Microeconomics OVERVIEW THE PURPOSE OF MICROECONOMICS 7
  • 8. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction MIND MAP 8
  • 9. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  TYPES OF MARKETS Factor Market Goods Market • For factors of production: land, labor, • For finished goods & services physical capital, materials, Capital Market intermediate goods • For long-term financial capital (equity, bond) Sell labor services, land, entrepreneurial risk-taking ability Save money => capital to “sell” to firms (i.e. lend/invest) FIRMS HOUSEHOLDS Sell finished goods & services Raise funds (debt/equity) to invest in productive assets 9
  • 10. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  DEMAND FUNCTION • Demand: the willingness & ability of consumers to purchase a given amount of a good/service at given values of variables • Demand Function: represents buyers behavior Variables/Factors influenced: ________________________________ Example: Exercise: Interpret the sign & magnitude for each coefficient:  Own-price (Px)  Income (I)  Price of other goods (Py) 10
  • 11. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  DEMAND CURVE “Law of Demand” • Holding other factors constant (ceteris paribus) Curve is downward sloping • Inverse demand function: i.e. Price as a function of quantity demanded e.g. When I = 50, Py = 20 Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 Demand Curve: shows both the HIGHEST PRICE willing to pay for each quantity, or the HIGHEST QUANTITY willing to purchase at each price 11
  • 12. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  SHIFTS & MOVEMENTS ALONG THE DEMAND CURVE Movement Along the Curve Shift of the Curve Px Px 29.5 28 Change in quantity demanded 28 Change in demand as as price changes other variables change 8 3 3 Qx 8 10 11.2 10 11.2 11.8 Qx e.g. e.g. • Holding other factors constant • Other factors change (e.g. Income, (ceteris paribus) Price of other goods…) • Slope does not change 12
  • 13. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  SUPPLY FUNCTION • Supply: the willingness & ability of firms to sell a good/service at given values of variables • Supply Function: represents sellers behavior Variables/Factors influenced: _________________________________ Output price, costs of input, technology level Example: Exercise: Interpret the sign & magnitude for each coefficient: o Own-price (Px) o Wage (W) 13
  • 14. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  SUPPLY CURVE “Law of Supply” • Holding other factors constant Curve is upward sloping i.e. (ceteris paribus) • Inverse supply function: Price as a function of quantity supplied e.g. Wage = 15, then Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 Supply Curve: shows both the HIGHEST PRICE willingly accepted for each quantity, or the HIGHEST QUANTITY willingly supplied at each price 14
  • 15. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  SHIFTS & MOVEMENTS ALONG THE SUPPLY CURVE Movement Along the Curve Shift of the Curve Changes in quantity supplied as Changes in supply as other price changes variables change Px Px 3.1 4 3 3 1.1 1 1 ‐250 500 750 Qx ‐275 ‐250 475 500 11.8 Qx e.g. e.g. • Other factors change (e.g. Wage, Price of • Holding other factors constant other goods…) (ceteris paribus) • Slope does not change 15
  • 16. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  AGGREGATING THE DEMAND & SUPPLY FUNCTIONS • Aggregating rule: Sum up Demand/Supply Functions of each individual/firm => Sum horizontally (quantity), not vertically (price) Example: 1000 identical buyers, each has demand function:  Derive the market aggregate demand function?  Derive the inverse market demand function, hold I = 50, Py = 20  Determine the slope of the market demand curve 16
  • 17. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  AGGREGATING THE DEMAND & SUPPLY FUNCTIONS Graphic Illustration Px Px 28 28 2 identical buyers 8 8 8 11.2 Qx 8 11.2 24 33.6 Qx e.g. e.g. • Sum up horizontally (quantity), not vertically (price) • Market curve is less steep than individual curve 17
  • 18. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  MARKET EQUILIBRIUM & MECHANISM • Equilibrium: Is where Supply meets Demand Demand: curve: Px  28  2.5Q d x Px Excess supply S Supply curve: Px  1  0 .004Q s x 28 Question: Find equilibrium point? o Solve for Px, Qx such that: 1 D Excess demand Q xd  Q xs ‐250 11.2 Qx o Pe = ________, Qe = _________ • Mechanism to move towards equilibrium: o If P < Pe: Demand exceeds supply => increase P o If P > Pe: Supply exceeds demand => reduce P 18
  • 19. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction • Exercise: Market Mechanism: Excess Demand/Supply In the local market for e-books, the aggregate demand & supply are given by: Q d  6, 360  4 00 Px x Q s   1,116  3 00 Px x 1. Determine the amount of excess demand or supply if price = $12 2. Determine the amount of excess demand or supply if price = $18 19
  • 20. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  STABILITY OF EQUILIBRIUM • Stable Equilibrium: • Unstable Equilibrium: o Market can automatically return to o Once pushed away, market will not equilibrium after shocks return to its old equilibrium o Normal condition o Bubble condition Excess supply or demand? Excess supply or Price or ? demand? Price or ? Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 20
  • 21. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  STABILITY OF EQUILIBRIUM: MULTIBLE EQUILIBRIA • Non-linear supply curve o Example: Labor supply • 2 equilibria points: o Stable: Where Demand intersects Supply from above o Unstable: Where Supply intersects Demand from above Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 21
  • 22. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  AUCTION • One of the most traditional methods to determine equilibrium price • Types o Common Value Auction  Auctioned item has an actual value that is the same for every bidders  Bidders have to estimate that true value.  Example: oil lease contract o Private Value Auction  Each bidder have a subjective value of the item that is unique  Example: unique price of art 22
  • 23. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  AUCTION MECHANISMS • Ascending price (or English) auction: o Begin at low price & raise it incrementally o Open outcry => can learn about the true value by observing other bids • First price sealed bid auction o Submit bidding price in envelop => Cannot observe bid o Tend to submit conservative bid to avoid Winner’s curse • Second price sealed bid (or Vickery) auction o To induce bidders to reveal their reservation prices o Winner pays the price equal to the second-highest bid o If bidding increments are small => Same result as English auction 23
  • 24. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  AUCTION MECHANISMS • Descending price (or Dutch) auction: o Start with a very high price => lower until there is a willing buyer o Demand curve is negative-slope o Multiple-unit format:  Quoted price is per-unit  Transactions could occurs at different prices for different buyer o Modified Dutch Auctions: common practice in securities markets  Establish a single price for all purchasers which clears the market  Example: Auction of U.S. T-bill 24
  • 25. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction • Example: Auction of U.S. Treasury bill Auction of $90 billion T-bill with both competitive & non-competitive  Non-competitive bids: willing to purchase at whatever the price  What is the winning price? $99.9095  Source: CFA Curriculum 2012  Bidders at that price will have their orders partially filled. How much is filled? (30%) 25
  • 26. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  CONSUMER SURPLUS = VALUE – EXPENDITURE Is the difference between the amount a consumer is willing to pay (Value) and the amount he must pay for it (Price) Demand curve is also marginal value curve Source: Schweser 2012 26
  • 27. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  PRODUCER SURPLUS = REVENUE – VARIABLE COST Is the excess of market price (Price) over the variable cost of production (Cost) Supply curve is also marginal cost curve TS  CS  PS Source: Schweser 2012 27
  • 28. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction • Example: Calculating Consumer & Producer Surplus o A market demand function is given by the equation: Q d  180  2P Determine the value of consumer surplus if price = $65. o A market supply function is given by the equation: Q s  -15  P Determine the value of producer surplus if price = $65. o Calculate total surplus at price = $65 Source: Schweser 2012 28
  • 29. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  UNDER/OVERPRODUCTION & DEADWEIGHT LOSS Inefficient resource allocation occurs when the sum of producer & consumer surplus is not maximized => Create deadweight loss (decrease in total surplus) to the society Source: Schweser 2012 Source: Schweser 2012 Underproduction Overproduction To the Left of the equilibrium To the Right of the equilibrium 29
  • 30. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  CAUSES OF DEMAND/SUPPLY IMBALANCE • Imposition by governments: as quantity consumed/produced is not the efficient quantity that maximizes total benefit => deadweight loss o Price regulation (price floors/ceilings) o Taxes, subsidies & quotas • Free markets do not lead to maximization of total surplus: o Public goods o External costs o External benefits o Public goods & common resources => “free-rider” problem 30
  • 31. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  GOVERNMENT REGULATION & INTERVENTION • Why intervene? o To correct for negative/positive externalities: market does not reflect the true social benefit/costs (e.g. public goods) o Social consideration: child labor law, human-trafficking • Means: o Price regulation: Price ceiling & price floor o Per-unit tax: On Consumers (Excise tax) & On Producers o Other means:  Volume control: Tariffs on imported goods, quotas on import/exports  Trade banning 31
  • 32. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  MARKET INTERFERENCE: PRICE FLOOR Long-run Effects -Excess supply -Substitution away from the price- controlled goods Source: Schweser 2012 Example: Minimum Wage in the Labor Market: 1. Excess Supply of Labor -> Unemployment 2. Producers substitute Labor for Capital 3. Non-monetary benefits, working conditions, on-the-job training 32
  • 33. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction • Example: Price floor A market has demand & supply function o Qd = 180 – 2P Qs = -15 + P Calculate the amount of deadweight loss that would result from a price floor imposed at a level of 72 P S Solution: 90 72 - Solve for equilibrium price & quantity 65 - Draw the demand & supply curve 51 15 D - Find the quantity demanded at price floor 72: QF ‐15 36 50 130 Q - Find the price that would lead to supplier supply at QF - Calculate deadweight loss (area of shaded triangle) 33
  • 34. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  MARKET INTERFERENCE: PRICE CEILING Example: Rent ceilings in the Housing Market Price ceiling transfer surplus (area a) from Long run Impacts sellers to buyers, but create deadweight loss - Long waiting time to to society purchase (Opportunity cost) - Sellers discriminate a - Sellers take bribe - Sellers reduce quantity Source: Schweser 2012 34
  • 35. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  MARKET INTERFERENCE: TAX OR ? OR ? Tax Imposition: Equilibrium Price Equilibrium Quantity Tax Incidence: Statutory vs. Actual Incidence Price Tax on producers Price Tax on consumers Stax D D Tax S Dtax DWL S Ptax Ptax Revenue from buyers Revenue from buyers PE E PE E Revenue from sellers Revenue from sellers PS PS Tax DWL Qtax QE Quantity Qtax QE Quantity Conclusion: Actual incidence is Independent on Who would pay 35
  • 36. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction • Exercise: Calculate Effect of per-unit tax on Sellers Market demand curve: Q d  180  2P Market supply curve: Q s  -15  P Where price is measured in $ per unit. A tax of $2 per unit is imposed on sellers. 1. Calculate the effect on the price paid by buyers & price received by sellers 2. Demonstrate that the effect would be unchanged if the tax has been imposed on the buyers instead of sellers. Hint: 1. Calculate pre-tax equilibrium price & quantity 2. Find the inverted supply & demand functions 3. Find the new equilibrium price & quantity 4. Find the tax burden bear by each party in each case & compare 36
  • 37. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  TAX AND ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY & DEMAND • Supply Curve is more steep => Sellers bear a higher burden • Demand Curve is more steep => Buyers bear a higher burden Source: Schweser 2012 37
  • 38. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  SUBSIDIES LEADS TO OVERPRODUCTION • Subsidy is payment made by governments to producers (farmers) • With Subsidy: o Supply Curve shifts o Quantity o Equilibrium price Source: Schweser 2012 38
  • 39. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  QUOTAS LEADS TO UNDERPRODUCTION • Quota is an upper limit imposed on the quantity of a good that may be produced over a specific period by the governments • With Quota: o Supply Curve shifts o Quantity o Equilibrium price Source: Schweser 2012 39
  • 40. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  ELASTICITY: PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (PED) • As the price of a normal good increases, quantity demanded decreases (PED < 0) o Elastic demand: % increase in price leads to a larger % decrease in quantity demanded o Inelastic demand: % increase in price leads to a smaller % decrease in quantity demanded 40
  • 41. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  PED GRAPHICAL ILLUSTRATIONS Source: Schweser 2012 41
  • 42. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  ELASTICITY & REVENUE ΔQ x Px Reminder: Formula for PED   (A): Elasticity = … ΔPx Q x => Elastic/Inelastic?   1. (B): Elasticity = …  2. Price elasticity changes along the curve (C): Elasticity = … => Elastic/Inelastic?   Q: At which point is total revenue (P x Q) is maximized? A: At point B, where elasticity = -1 Total expenditure Quantity 42
  • 43. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE PED • Availability and closeness of Substitutes o Example? • Proportion of income spent on the item o Example? • Time since the previous price change o Example? o LR demand is much more elastic than SR demand => more time to adjust • Necessity of the goods: o If goods is discretionary => less likely to reduce demand when price increases => less elastic (example: staples 43
  • 44. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (YED) • Shows the sensitivity of quantity demanded in relation to changes in income • Elasticity > 0 : Normal goods: Income Demand o Necessity: 0 < YED <1 e.g. o Luxury: 1 < YED e.g. • Elasticity < 0 : Inferior goods: Income Demand e.g. 44
  • 45. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction  CROSS PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND (XED) • Shows the relationship between demand of good X in relation to price of another good Y • XED > 0 : Goods are substitutes e.g. • XED < 0: Goods are complements e.g. 45
  • 46. Reading 13: Demand & Supply Analysis: Introduction • Exercise: Calculating PED, YED & XED An individual consumer’s monthly demand for downloadable e-book is given by the d equationQ d  2  0 .4 Peb  0.0005I  0.15P hb , where Q eb equals the number of e- eb books demanded each month, I is the household monthly income, Peb is the price of e- books and Phb is the price of hardbound books. Assume that price of e-book is $10.68, household income is $2,300, and the price of hardbound books is $21.40. 1. Determine the value of own-price elasticity of demand for e-books. 2. Determine the income elasticity of demand for e-books. 3. Determine the cross-price elasticity of demand for e-books with respect to the price of hardbound books. 46
  • 47. ECONOMICS SS4: Microeconomic Analysis Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand Lecturer: Linh Tran January 2011
  • 48. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand MIND MAP 48
  • 49. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  CONSUMER CHOICE THEORY • Two building blocks: o Consumer preferences: What consumer would like to consume between two goods/basket of goods? Develop Indifference curve (willingness to consume) o Budget constraint: What can be consumed with limited income? Draw Budget constraint line to determine which set of bundles is possible for consumption (Ability to consume) • By changing price & income => build up consumer demand curve 49
  • 50. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  UTILITY THEORY • Axioms of Consumer Choice Theory: o Completeness: Must prefer either A or B or indifferent between A & B o Transitivity: A > B, B > C => A > C o Non-satiation: More is better, for at least one good • Utility Function: U  f(Qx1 ,Qx2 ,...,Qxn ) o An “assignment rule” that translates each basket of goods & services into a number that rank orders the baskets according to that particular consumer’s preference o That number = Utility of that basket (measured in utils, level of happiness) o Utility function is ordinal ranking (differences of utility do not matter) 50
  • 51. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  INDIFFERENCE CURVE: GRAPHIC ILLUSTRATION • Non-satiation axiom: Must lie in QI & III • Convex indifference curve I IV II III • Marginal rate of substitution: Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 o MRUBW = How much wine is willing to give up to obtain a small increment of bread, holding utility constant o If diminishing as wine decreases => Indifference curve is Convex 51
  • 52. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  INDIFFERENCE CURVE MAPS Wine Wine Increase utility Q: Can indifference curves cross? a c b Bread Bread o Completeness: Every point will have at least one indifference curve passing through o Transitivity: Two indifference curves cannot cross (a~b, a~c => b~c, but c>b) 52
  • 53. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  GAIN FROM VOLUNTARY EXCHANGE • Two consumers (A&B) with different preferences o At a, MRSBW(A) = 0.8, MRSBW(B) = 1.25 Wine Q: Determine whether B would accept the trade of 1 of A’s bread in exchange for 1 of its wine. A: …………………………….. Q: Who has a relatively stronger preference for breads? a A’s indifference curve A: ……………………… Q: Until when will trade stop? B’s indifference curve Bread A: …………………………….. 53
  • 54. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  BUDGET CONSTRAINT • Ability to consume/produce: is limited due to Scarcity of resources Wine (limited income, resources, time…) I PB • Budget constraint: PB QB  P QW  I I/PW QW   QB W PW PW o No saving => PB QB  PW QW  I Slope of the line • Changing prices & income: Wine I/PB Bread Wine Wine Increase in the Decrease in the Increase in price of bread price of wine income Bread Bread Bread 54
  • 55. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  THE PRODUCTION/INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY SET • Firms/investor face the same constraint as consumers • Production opportunity frontier: maximum number of units of one good it can produce, for any given number of the other goods • Investment opportunity Frontier: risk-free assets & diversified stock port. Juice per year Return Diversified 1 billion stock portfolio 10 billion Risk-free rate of return Milk per year Risk level 55
  • 56. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  DETERMINATION OF CONSUMER’S BUNDLE OF GOODS Wine • Consumer equilibrium is achieved at (a) o This is the tangency point of the curve & line b  Highest indifference curve reached  Not violating budget constraint a Wa • At point a: MRUBW = PB/PW c • At point b: MRUBW < PB/PW Ba Bread Willing to give up some wine to obtain more bread • Similarly, at point c: MRUBW > PB/PW Willing to give up …………………. to obtain more …………………. 56
  • 57. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  DERIVING A DEMAND CURVE • Can derive a demand curve for good A by changing the price of that good while keeping other prices & income constant. • Law of Demand: o As price decreases, quantity demanded increase Is this always true??? Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 57
  • 58. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  SUBSTITUTION EFFECT & INCOME EFFECT • Pure substitution effect: always purchasing more when price falls & purchasing less when price rises. Why?? o Good A becomes relatively less costly as compared to other goods => Gets substituted for other goods in the consumption basket (Diminishing MRU) • Income effect: when price falls, real income rises => Amount of goods that can be purchased increases o Normal goods: increase in income => increase in quantity demanded o Inferior goods: increase in income => less quantity demanded 58
  • 59. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  SUBSTITUTION & INCOME EFFECT: GRAPHS Wine Normal Goods Inferior Goods Wine c a a c b b Ba Bread Bread Bb Bc Ba Bc Bb Substitution effect Substitution effect Income effect Income effect Substitution & income effects are in the Substitution & income effects are in opposite same direction direction, but income < substitution 59
  • 60. Reading 14: Demand & Supply Analysis: Consumer Demand  GIFFEN GOODS & VEBLEN GOODS Wine Giffen Goods Veblen Goods o Substitution & income o Conspicuous consumption: derive c are in opposite direction utility out of being known by others to o Income > substitution consume a so-called high status good a b o Value a good more if it had a higher price => Price DOES matter (signal the status of who consumes it) Bc Bread => Violate the axioms of choice (why? Ba Bb Substitution effect Income effect o Consumer would be more inclined to purchase Veblen Goods if its price rises For both cases: results in a positive demand curve 60
  • 61. ECONOMICS SS4: Microeconomic Analysis Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm Lecturer: Linh Tran February 2011
  • 62. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm MIND MAP 62
  • 63. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  ACCOUNTING PROFIT, ECONOMIC PROFIT, NORMAL PROFIT • Accounting Profit = Total revenue – Total accounting (explicit) costs o Is Net income/bottom line in income statement o Includes interest paid on debt financing, but no payment to equity owners • Economic/Abnormal Profit = Accounting profit – Implicit opportunity costs o or: Economic profit = Total revenue – Total economic costs o Implicit costs: opportunity cost of equity owner’s supplied resources:  Private firm: opportunity cost of supplied capital & time/entrepreneur ability  Public firm: opportunity cost of equity owner’s investment in the firm • Normal Profit: accounting profit that makes economic profit zero (= implicit cost) o This is what an individual firm should earn in Equilibrium o The firm cover all cost of productions => no incentive to leave/enter the industry 63
  • 64. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Exercise: Calculating Accounting profit & economic profit o Given the following information, calculate the accounting profit for ABC Co. Account Amount Total revenue $300,000 Expenses Fiberglass $100,000 Electricity 30,000 Wages paid 55,000 Interest paid on debt 5,000 o Assume the owner took a pay reduction of $50,000 to start the company & also invested in the business & could have earned $30,000 per year if he has invested the funds elsewhere. Calculate the economic profit 64
  • 65. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  SOURCES OF ECONOMIC PROFIT • Due to firm’s ability o Competitive advantage (difficult to copy technology/innovation) o Exceptional managerial efficiency or skill • Due to nature of competitiveness in the market o Exclusive access to less-expensive inputs o Fixed supply of an output, commodity, resources o Preferential treatment under government policy o Have monopoly power (price control) o Market barriers to entry that limit competition • Due to large increases in demand where supply is unable to respond fully 65
  • 66. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  ECONOMIC RENT • Arise when: o A particular resource/good is fixed in supply (vertical supply curve) o Market price > Cost to bring the good into the market & sustain its use (normal profit) =>Economic rent > 0 o Firm can earn significant economic profits • Example: o Limited availability in nature (land, specialty commodities ) o Constrained by government (e.g. telecommunication resources) 66
  • 67. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Economic rent illustration: Gold demand & supply Economic rent is higher when supply is inelastic Source: Schweser 2012 Year 2006 2007 2008 % change 2006 - 2008 Supply (metric tons) 3,569 3,475 3,508 -1.7 Demand (metric tons) 3,423 3,552 3,805 +11.2 Avg. spot price (US$) 603.92 695.39 871.65 +44.3 Source: GFMS & World Gold Council 67
  • 68. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  COMPARING MEASURE OF PROFIT • Normal profit is fixed in the SR, but will vary with required rate of return on equity investment in the LR • Relationship between accounting profit & normal profit Relation between Accounting Firm’s Market Economic Profit profit and Normal profit Value or Equity Accounting profit > Normal profit Economic profit > 0 and firm is able to Positive effect protect economic profit over the LR Accounting profit = Normal profit Economic profit = 0 No effect Accounting profit < Normal profit Economic profit < 0 implies economic Negative effect loss 68
  • 69. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  TOTAL, AVERAGE AND MARGIN REVENUE • Total revenue (TR) = P x Q • Average revenue (AR) = TR / Q • Marginal revenue (MR): increase in total revenue from selling one more unit. Quantity Price Total revenue Average revenue Marginal Revenue (a) (b) (c) = (a)*(b) (d) = (c)/(a) 1 70 70 70 70 2 65 130 65 60 3 60 4 55 5 50 6 45 7 40 69
  • 70. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  PERFECT COMPETITION: TR, AR AND MR • Horizontal demand curve • All units are sold at the same price regardless of quantity: AR=MR=Price Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 70
  • 71. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  IMPERFECT COMPETITION: TR, AR, MR Revenue • Downward-sloping demand curve TR • Firms are price searchers (to sell a greater quantity => must reduce price) Q0 Q1 Quantity of Output • MR < Price (for Q >1) & MR  AR Revenue, Price (Why???) • Decrease in MR is more than P = AR - Demand MR decrease in AR Q0 Q1 Quantity of Output 71
  • 72. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  FACTORS OF PRODUCTION • Inputs to the firm’s production include: o Land o Capital (facilities, equipment, machinery) o Labor (skilled & unskilled) o Materials (raw materials, manufactured inputs) • Production function: Q = f(K,L) (subject toK  0, L  0 ) Holding capital constant: Total Product/Quantity B o L0 L1: increasing MP of labor Q2 TP o L1 L2: decreasing MP of labor A o L1 …: MP of labor <0 Q1 At B, Total Product is maximized L0 L1 L2 Quantity of Labor 72
  • 73. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  OUTPUT & TOTAL COST Total Cost (TC) = Total Fixed Cost (TFC) + Total Variable Cost (TVC) o Total fixed cost (TFC)  Equals cost of fixed inputs & normal profit  Is independent of firm’s output level in the SR  Example: rent, PPE o Total variable cost (TVC)  Equals cost of all variable production inputs Source: CFA Curriculum 2012  TVC increases as output increases  Example: labor, raw material 73
  • 74. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  AVERAGE & MARGINAL COST CURVES • AFC slopes downwards • Vertical difference between ATC & AVC is equal to AFC (x) • ATC & AVC are U-shaped • MC initially, then , due to diminishing returns of labor • MC intersects AVC & ATC at their Shirts minimum point Source: Schweser 2012 per day 74
  • 75. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Exercise: Calculate AFC, AVC, ATC & MC Q TFC* TVC AFC AVC TC ATC MC (1) (2) (3) (4)=(2)/(1) (5)=(3)/(1) (6)=(2)+(3) (7)=(4)+(5) 0 5,000 0 -- -- 5,000 -- -- 1 5,000 2,000 5,000 2,000 7,000 7,000 2,000 2 5,000 3,800 2,500 1,900 8,800 4,400 1,800 3 5,000 5,400 4 5,000 8,000 5 5,000 11,000 6 5,000 15,000 7 5,000 21,000 8 5,000 28,800 *: Include all opportunity cost 75
  • 76. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  SHUTDOWN AND BREAK-EVEN POINTS OF PRODUCTION • Shutdown point: Where AR = AVC o If AR < AVC: Firm stops production but still have to pay fixed costs o If AVC<AR<ATC: firm starts to produce to cover variable cost & some fixed cost. But does not break-even => only survives in the short run So: Short run supply curve is the MC curve that lies above the AVC curve • Break-even point: Where price = AR = MR = ATC, or TR = TC Revenue‐Cost relationship Short‐run Decision Long‐term Decision TR >=TC Stay in market Stay in market TR>TVC but TR <TC Stay in market Exit market TR < TVC Shut down production to zero Exit market 76
  • 77. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Perfection competition: shutdown and break-even points Find shutdown point & break-even point in the following diagram Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 77
  • 78. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  OUTPUT OPTIMIZATION & PROFIT-MAXIMIZATION • Profit maximization occurs when: o Difference between TR & TC is the greatest o MR = MC o Revenue of the output from the last unit of input employed = the cost of employing that input unit 78
  • 79. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Illustration: Perfect Competition: Break-even & Profit maximizing In a perfect competition market: TR is a straight line Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 79
  • 80. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Example: Breakeven Analysis & Profit Maximization Q Price TR TC Profit In an imperfect competition market: (1) (2) (3)=(1)*(2) (4) (5)=(3)-(4) Q1: What is the breakeven point? 0 10,000 0 100,000 (100,000) 10 9,750 97,500 170,000 (72,500) 20 9,500 190,000 240,000 (50,000) Q2: Where is the region of profitability? 30 9,250 277,500 300,000 40 9,000 360,000 50 8,750 420,000 Q3: What is the profit-maximizing point? 60 8,500 480,000 70 8,250 550,000 80 8,000 640,000 Q4: Where does economic loss occur? 90 7,750 710,000 100 7,500 800,000 *: Include all opportunity cost 80
  • 81. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  LONG-RUN & SHORT-RUN COST CURVES • Short run cost curves: apply to a specific size of plant (some input quantities are fixed) • Long run cost curves: indicate the optimal quantity at different plant sizes (everything can be adjusted). • Firms can have the same LRATC but at different positions, depending on Source: Schweser 2012 their operating size 81
  • 82. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  ECONOMIES OF SCALE Long Run Cost Curve = planning curve 1. Increasing bureaucracy 1. Mass production 2. Difficult to motivate workforce 2. Specialization 3. Barriers to innovation & entrepreneur activities 3. Experience 4. Principal-agent problem 82
  • 83. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Illustration: Long-run profit maximization & Minimum efficient scale under Perfect Competition Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 83
  • 84. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  INCREASING, DECREASING & CONSTANT COST INDUSTRY • LR Industry supply: Relationship between quantity & output prices o Firms are able to enter/exit based on level of ST profit o Changes in output influence resource (input) prices in the LR o Shapes depend on resources costs, technological level, production efficiency & economies of scale of resource supplier Source: CFA Curriculum 2012 84
  • 85. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  TOTAL, MARGINAL & AVERAGE PRODUCT OF LABOR • Productivity: measured in terms of output per workers/labor hour • Cost minimizing/profit maximizing goal => maximize productivity • Measuring productivity: o Total Product : TP = Q (L, K) (K fixed) TP Q o Average Product : AP   L L TP Q o Marginal Product: AP   L L (assume other inputs are fixed) measured productivity of an individual additional worker 85
  • 86. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm • Example: Calculate Total, marginal & average product of labor 86
  • 87. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  DIMINISHING MARGINAL PRODUCT OF LABOR Diminishing marginal returns to labor occur Maximum MP Source: Schweser 2012 Marginal product, holding other inputs constant, first increases then decreases 87
  • 88. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  COST CURVES & PRODUCT CURVES Source: Schweser 2012 88
  • 89. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  CHOOSING INPUTS TO MINIMIZE COST MPinput • Firms want to maximize output per monetary unit of input costs: Priceinput • When using n different resources, the least cost optimization formula is: MP1 MP2 MPn   ...  Price1 Price 2 Price n o i.e. Additional output per dollar spent to employ one additional unit of each input must be the same. • Example: with two inputs Labor & Capital o PL = $75, PK = $600, MPL= 5 units, MPK = 30 units o Compute MPK/PK & L/PL o What input to be reduced to reduce cost of production? 89
  • 90. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  MARGINAL REVENUE PRODUCT • Marginal Product: Addition output of a final product produced from one more unit of a productive input, holding other inputs constant • Marginal Revenue: Additional revenue gained from selling one more unit of output • Marginal Revenue Product (MRP) Additional revenue gained from selling the marginal product from employing one more unit of a productive input, holding other inputs constant • MRP = Marginal Product x Marginal Revenue = Marginal Product x Product Price (assume perfect competition)
  • 91. Reading 15: Demand & Supply Analysis: The Firm  PROFIT MAXIMIZING UTILIZATION OF AN INPUT • Profit-maximizing quantity of an input i: MRPi = Pi o Firms can increase profits by employing another unit of input i as long as MRPi > Pi • With cost minimizing condition: MP1  MR output MP2  MR output MPn  MR output   ...  Price1 Price 2 Price n MRP1 MRP2 MRPn =>   ...  1 P1 P2 Pn
  • 92. ECONOMICS SS4: Microeconomic Analysis Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures Lecturer: Linh Tran February 2011
  • 93. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures MIND MAP 93
  • 94. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  CHARACTERISTICS OF DIFFERENT MARKET STRUCTURES • Differentiate based on o Number of firms and their relative sizes o Elasticity of the demand curves they face o Ways that they compete with other firms for sales o Ease/difficulty with which firms can enter/exit the market Increasing degree of competition Monopoly Oligopoly Monopolistic Perfect Competition Competition 94
  • 95. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  CHARACTERISTICS SUMMARY Perfect Monopolistic Oligopoly Monopoly Competition Competition # of sellers Many firms Many firms Few firms Single firm Barriers to entry Very low Low High Very high Nature of Very good Good substitutes Very good No good substitute substitutes but differentiated substitutes or substitute product differentiated Nature of Price only Price, marketing, Price, marketing, Advertising competition features features Pricing power None Some Some to significant Significant 95
  • 96. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERFECT COMPETITION: CHARACTERISTICS 1. Homogeneous products 2. Large number of independent firms; each small relative to the total market 3. No barriers to entry or exit 4. Market supply & demand determine market price Example: 96
  • 97. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERFECT COMPETITION: FIRMS ARE PRICE TAKERS 1. No influence over market price 2. “Take” the equilibrium price as given 3. Firm’s demand curve is perfectly elastic => horizontal MR = Price as all additional units are sold at the same (market) price Source: Schweser 2012 97
  • 98. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERFECT COMPETITION: MARKET & FIRM DEMAND CURVE Source: Schweser 2012 98
  • 99. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERFECT COMPETITION: SHORT RUN PROFIT Source: Schweser 2012 Economic profit > 0 when ??? Q: What happens next? 99
  • 100. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  EQUILIBRIUM IN PERFECT COMPETITION A: New firms enter the market, market supply , price so that P = ATC Source: Schweser 2012 No Economic Profit!! 100
  • 101. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERFECT COMPETITION: SHORT-RUN LOSS Q: will it continue operation? Minimizing loss when AVC < P < ATC Shutdown point: P = AVC P < AVC: shutdown, only pay fixed cost Source: Schweser 2012 Economic Loss when ??? 101
  • 102. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERFECT COMPETITION: FIRM & INDUSTRY SR SUPPLY CURVES Source: Schweser 2012 Market supply curve = horizontal sum of all firm supply curves 102
  • 103. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  INCREASE IN DEMAND Price Price SR Industry  MC = SR Firm Supply supply P2 P2 D2 P1 D2 P1 D1 D1 Q1  Q2  Quantity Q1 Firm Q2 Firm Quantity Economic profit -> New firm enters -> Industry supply curve shift outwards -> equilibrium price, equilibrium output Individual firms move down its supply curve-> economic profit Economic loss -> …??? 103
  • 104. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERMANENT DEMAND CHANGES Source: Schweser 2012 104
  • 105. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  DEMAND CHANGES & TECHNOLOGICAL IMPROVEMENT Long run equilibrium price after a permanent increase in demand can be: •Lower (economies of scale) (input •Higher (diseconomies of scale) (input prices fall) => LR supply curve is prices increase) => LR supply curve is Source: Schweser 2012 105
  • 106. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PERFECT COMPETITION: TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGES • After adjustments take place for some firms -> Firm & industry’s supply curve shift to the right -> Higher quantity, lower price • Short run: Economic profit for early adopters • Long run: o Price = min ATC for new technology o Zero economic profit 106
  • 107. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION: CHARACTERISTICS • A large number of independent firms o Small market share, no power over price o Only need to care about market price o No collusion • Differentiated products (substitutes to each other) • Firms compete on price, quality, and marketing • Low barriers to entry & exit • Downward-sloping, highly elastic demand curve Example: ??? 107
  • 108. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION: OUTPUT DECISION Short run Output decision for a firm Long run Output decision for a firm Price Price MC Short run profit MC Firms enter, price ATC fall ATC P* ATC* P = ATC* D MC = MR D MR MR Q Quantity Q Quantity No positive economic profits in the long run! 108
  • 109. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION VS. PERFECT COMPETITION Source: Schweser 2012 Mark up = P – ATC > 0 Excess capacity: Q < efficient quantity (at min ATC) 109
  • 110. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  EFFICIENCY OF MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION • Allocative efficiency is not clear: o Social cost of not producing where P = MC => Mark up for producers o Long run average cost is not minimized => Excess capacity o Additional costs of advertising, innovation & building brand names • However, there are some benefits: o Increased Product diversity, greater Product innovations o More information from Brand names & advertising => signal quality for better decision making (?) Q: Does the benefit from advertising, innovation, differentiation of products justify its costs?? 110
  • 111. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  INNOVATION, ADVERTISING & BRANDING • Innovation & Product Development o Less elastic demand => can increase price & earn economic profits o But this advantage will be erode over time. (Why ?) o Firms must continually look for new innovation => additional costs • Advertising & Branding o To inform the unique features & quality of their products o Advertising cost for firms in monopolistic competition is the greatest. But if advertising can greatly increase sales, ATC may fall because AFC falls o Brand names are invaluable assets as it signals the quality 111
  • 112. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  OLIGOPOLY: CHARACTERISTICS • A small number of sellers • Interdependence among competitors o Highly dependent upon the action of others • Significant barriers to entry (economies of scale) • Products may be similar or differentiated Example: ??? 112
  • 113. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  OLIGOPOLY MODELS • Kinked-demand curve model o Competitor will NOT follow a price INCREASE o Competitor WILL follow a price DECREASE • Cournot Model o 2 firms (duopoly), with identical & constant marginal cost of production o Must determine quantity based on assumptions about other’s quantity • Nash equilibrium model (Prisoner’s dilemma) • Stackelberg dominant firm model 113
  • 114. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  OLIGOPOLY: KINKED-DEMAND MODEL Firms will not follow price Price MR (P > P*) increase MCB Current Price P* MCA MR (P < P*) Firms will follow price decrease Demand Q* Quantity Profit‐maximizing output • Shortcoming: Model is incomplete as what determine the market price (kinked price) is outside the scope of the model 114
  • 115. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  COURNOT DUOPOLY MODEL • 2 firms (A & B) are identical, have constant marginal costs of production o Previous quantities produced can be observed QA & QB • Equilibrium mechanism: o A assumes B will keep produce QB for the next period o A derives its own demand curve (= market demand – QB) & marginal revnue o A determines its profit-maximizing quantity & B does the same • Results: o Adjust until Q A = QB = Q/2 o Perfect competition price < Equilibrium price < Monopoly price o If more firms are added: price falls to MC => perfect competition 115
  • 116. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  PRISONERS’ DILEMMA & OLIGOPOLY Prisoner B Why??? Optimal solution Keeps silent Confesses Keeps A gets 10 years Actual Each gets 6 months silent B is free result Prisoner A A is free Confesses Each gets 2 years B gets 10 years Firm B For Firms Honors Cheats Both earns (+) economic A has economic loss Honors profits B earns increased profits Firm A A earns increased profits Both earns ZERO economic Cheats B has economic loss profits What will be the final result? 116
  • 117. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  TWO-FIRM OLIGOPOLY WITH & WITHOUT COLLUSIONS Without Collusion Source: Schweser 2012 117
  • 118. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  TWO-FIRM OLIGOPOLY WITH & WITHOUT COLLUSIONS With Collusion: Both firms collude to behave like a monopoly Source: Schweser 2012 => Price fixing to earns Economic Profit 118
  • 119. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  OLIGOPOLY: WHEN COLLUSION IS POSSIBLE? • Cheating is easy to detect • Fewer firms in the market • Threat of new entrants is low • Enforcement of anti-collusion laws & penalties for colluding are weak 119
  • 120. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  DOMINANT FIRM OLIGOPOLY • A dominant firm (DF) with cost- Price MCCF advantage & a large market share MCDF => Acts like a monopoly, is a price- setter, produces where MC = MR P* Market • Other competitive firms (CF) are Demand price-follower and produce where DDF MC = P MRDF QCF QDF Quantity 120
  • 121. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLY: CHARACTERISTICS • One seller of a specific, well-defined product that has no good substitute. • Barriers to entry are high, due to: o Economies of scale (natural monopoly e.g. electric utility) o Government licensing (patents, e.g. pharmaceutical) & legal barriers (e.g. broadcasting station, utility) o Resource control 121
  • 122. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLY: PRICING • Monopoly faces a downward-sloping demand curve, unlike perfect competition • In order to increase quantity , a monopoly must reduce price as there is a trade-off between price & quantity • Price-setting strategy to maximize profit to firm: 1. Single-price 2. Price discrimination (if resell is impossible) 122
  • 123. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLY: COSTS, PRICE AND REVENUE Optimal quantity Q* is in the elastic range of the demand curve MC = MR Source: Schweser 2012 Monopolists are price searchers and have imperfect information regarding market demand 123
  • 124. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLY: PRICE DISCRIMINATION Price discrimination: charging different customers different prices for the same produce or service. Examples: tickets When is it possible? • Have a downward-sloping demand curve • Have at least 2 identifiable customer groups with different price elasticities of demand for the product • Can prevent customers from reselling the product 124
  • 125. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLY: PRICE DISCRIMINATION - GRAPHS Efficient  quantity A Source: Schweser 2012 DWL due to the reduction in Can capture the higher-elastic- quantity & the increase in price demand group at a lower price $90 125
  • 126. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLY: PERFECT PRICE DISCRIMINATION With perfect price discrimination: • Charge each customer the maximum amount they would pay for • Produce the same quantity as under perfect competition (point A) (Capture all points on the demand curve ) • No Deadweight Loss • No consumer surplus, the entire surplus goes to the monopoly 126
  • 127. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  MONOPOLY VS. PERFECT COMPETITION Perfect competition: QPC & PPC Monopoly: QMON< QPC & PMON> PPC =>Deadweight loss, as (Producer surplus + Consumer surplus) is not maximized Source: Schweser 2012 Rent seeking: producers spend time & resources to seek for monopoly power 127
  • 128. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  NATURAL MONOPOLY Significant economies of scale: • Fixed costs are very high & variable costs are low • ATC decreases as output increases => ATC is minimized only when there is one firm • Example ??? Economies of scope • Production uses same capital resources • ATC declines as ranges of goods produced increases • Example ??? 128
  • 129. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  REGULATING MONOPOLIES Regulate the prices the monopoly may charges: 1. Average cost pricing: • Reduce price to where ATC intersects D • Increase output & social welfare • Economic profit = 0 A 2. Marginal cost pricing • Reduce price to where MC B intersects D Source: Schweser 2012 • Efficient regulation • May require subsidy, if MC < ATC Problems with regulation: • Lack of information • Quality regulation • Cost shifting • Special interest effect 129
  • 130. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  IDENTIFYING MARKET STRUCTURE • Econometric method: To estimate the elasticity of supply & demand by regression methods (cross-sectional or time series) o But requires lots of data • Simpler method: Concentration ratio & HHI Index o N-firm concentration ratio: sum of the % market share of the top N largest firms 0% 40% 60% 100% Competitive Perfect Oligopoly market Monopoly Competition 130
  • 131. Reading 16:The Firms and Market Structures  IDENTIFYING MARKET STRUCTURE (cont.) • Simpler method: o Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI): sum of the squared % market share of the top 50 largest firms • Limitations of Concentration Ration o N-Concentration Ratio is insensitive to mergers of two large firms o Both N-Concentration Ratio & HHI do not consider barriers to entry & potential competition 131