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Guanaco and grassland distribution in
    northern Patagonia, Argentina




                         AAG 2012
                     February 28,2012
Paul J. Haverkamp, Martin E. Zamero, Jonathan A. Greenberg,
                Ricardo Baldi, Susan L. Ustin
Study Objectives


 Hypothesis: Guanacos will select for areas
 with the highest grass cover since grasses
 are their primary food source.
 • Objectives:
   – Objective 1: develop a grass cover map of
     Somuncurá Reserve using Landsat ETM+
     imagery.
   – Objective 2: determine which levels of grass
     cover guanacos select in Somuncurá
     Reserve.
Guanaco and Vegetation

 • Grasses
    – Preferred vegetation of guanacos (~65% of diet in
      spring, ~45% of diet in summer)
    – Tend to be sparse and interspersed with large
      proportions of soil and shrubs
 • Shrubs
    – Less preferred in spring (~17% of diet), but greater
      use in summer (~37% of diet)
    – Varying densities of shrubs
 • Forbes
    – Varying preference

 Baldi 1999. Ph.D. Dissertation.
Vegetation Transect Analysis


 • Identified species (except grasses) and
   grouped transects by percent of grasses,
   shrubs, forbes, and soil/rock.
 • Added GPS points to ArcGIS and added
   transect cover values.
December 25, 2009
Color Infrared (CIR) of Study Site
Vegetation Transects
Random Forest Results

 • Combination of EVI
   and MSI gave the
   best correlation.
 • Pearson’s r = 0.776
    – Test data comparing
      actual to predicted
      grass cover
 • Grass cover percent
   map
Study Objectives


 Hypothesis: Guanacos will select for areas
 with the highest grass cover since grasses
 are their primary food source.
 • Objectives:
   – Objective 1: develop a grass cover map of
     Somuncurá Reserve using Landsat ETM+
     imagery.
   – Objective 2: determine which levels of grass
     cover guanacos select in Somuncurá
     Reserve.
Guanaco Field Study Methods


 • 10 wildlife and domestic animal censuses:
   —   Oct. 2007   —   Dec. 2008
   —   Nov. 2007   —   Aug. 2009
   —   Jan. 2008   —   Oct. 2009
   —   Mar. 2008   —   Dec. 2009
   —   Jun. 2008   —   Feb. 2010

 • 95 transects along road system totaling
   over 327 km.
   – Split based on fences, intersections,
     topography changes, length.
   – 500m buffer on each side of split.
Census Issues


 •   Not consistent in space or time.
 •   Censuses done when funding available.
 •   Measured in different parts of year.
 •   North and south parts of Somuncurá.
Animal Transects
Animal Transects
Guanaco Selection




Manly et al. 2002.
Census Analysis


   • For each census :
            – Guanaco observations per transect.
            – Used Distance program to get effective strip
              width (ESW) for each transect.
            – ESW as buffer to find suitable guanaco
              observations per transect, per census.



Thomas et al. 2010. Journ. Appl. Ecol. 5-14.
Census Analysis


 • Buffered guanaco locations 75m for a 150m
   diameter area used resource unit.
 • Overlaid onto grass cover map and calculated
   mean grass cover of the guanaco resource unit.
   – Used resources of four grass cover classes.
 • Overlaid ESW buffered survey transects on
   grass cover map and retrieved pixel values.
   – Available resources of four grass cover classes.
Selection Results


 • Pearson’s Chi-square goodness of fit.
 • Significant selection (using, observed
   more or less use, based on available area
   of grasses, expected)
   –   Nov. 2007 – XP2 = 14.249,   p = 0.003
   –   Jan. 2008 – XP2 = 9.714,    p = 0.021
   –   Dec. 2008 – XP2 = 19.322,   p = < 0.0005
   –   Aug. 2009 – XP2 = 14.050,   p = 0.003
   –   Oct. 2009 – XP2 = 39.282,   p = < 0.0001
   –   Dec. 2009 – XP2 = 17.762,   p = < 0.0005
Selection Ratios
Guanacos Selecting


 • Selecting 20-<30% significantly more than
   expected in each significant census except
   January 2008.
 • Selecting 10-<20% significantly less than
   expected in Jan. 2008, Dec. 2008, and Dec.
   2009.
 • Aug. 2009 selected 40-<53% significantly less
   than expected.
 • Oct. 2009 selected 30-<40% and 40-<53%
   significantly less than expected.
Spring Grass Cover Selection, Bi

  October 2007            November 2007            October 2009
                  0.065
                             0.165                          0.191
                                       0.304
                                                    0.201
  0.330           0.210
                          0.182
                                                   0.189
                                                            0.420
          0.395
                                   0.350



 December 2009            December 2008
                  0.127                    0.105

  0.242                    0.245                            10-<20%
                                       0.349                20-<30%
            0.339
  0.292                       0.300                         30-<40%
                                                            40-<53%
Summer Grass Cover Selection, Bi


   January 2008        March 2008            February 2010
            0.119
                                 0.144                0.187
  0.281               0.275                  0.272


              0.305                  0.294
                                                         0.274
                         0.287                0.268
    0.295




                                                              10-<20%
                                                              20-<30%
                                                              30-<40%
                                                              40-<53%
Fall Grass Cover Selection, Bi


                      June 2008


                  0.165
                              0.292

              0.201


                          0.342




                                      10-<20%
                                      20-<30%
                                      30-<40%
                                      40-<53%
Winter Grass Cover Selection, Bi


                    August 2009
            0.046

                           0.170

               0.268



                          0.516




                                   10-<20%
                                   20-<30%
                                   30-<40%
                                   40-<53%
Interesting Observation
Interesting Observation
Interesting Observation
Acknowledgements

 • CSTARS – UC Davis
 • CONICET – Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y
   Técnicas CENPAT - Centro Nacional Patagónico
 • Geography Graduate Group – UC Davis
 • California Space Grant Consortium
 • CODEMA – Consejo Provincial de Ecología y Medio Ambiente,
   Provincia de Río Negro
 • Wildlife Conservation Society
 • Hemispheric Institute of the Americas – UC Davis
 • Henry A. Jastro Shields Research Scholarship – UC Davis
 • Pablo Raposo – Fieldwork
 • Ana María Beeskow – Plant identification

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AAG2012 pjh short

  • 1. Guanaco and grassland distribution in northern Patagonia, Argentina AAG 2012 February 28,2012 Paul J. Haverkamp, Martin E. Zamero, Jonathan A. Greenberg, Ricardo Baldi, Susan L. Ustin
  • 2. Study Objectives Hypothesis: Guanacos will select for areas with the highest grass cover since grasses are their primary food source. • Objectives: – Objective 1: develop a grass cover map of Somuncurá Reserve using Landsat ETM+ imagery. – Objective 2: determine which levels of grass cover guanacos select in Somuncurá Reserve.
  • 3. Guanaco and Vegetation • Grasses – Preferred vegetation of guanacos (~65% of diet in spring, ~45% of diet in summer) – Tend to be sparse and interspersed with large proportions of soil and shrubs • Shrubs – Less preferred in spring (~17% of diet), but greater use in summer (~37% of diet) – Varying densities of shrubs • Forbes – Varying preference Baldi 1999. Ph.D. Dissertation.
  • 4. Vegetation Transect Analysis • Identified species (except grasses) and grouped transects by percent of grasses, shrubs, forbes, and soil/rock. • Added GPS points to ArcGIS and added transect cover values.
  • 6. Color Infrared (CIR) of Study Site
  • 8. Random Forest Results • Combination of EVI and MSI gave the best correlation. • Pearson’s r = 0.776 – Test data comparing actual to predicted grass cover • Grass cover percent map
  • 9. Study Objectives Hypothesis: Guanacos will select for areas with the highest grass cover since grasses are their primary food source. • Objectives: – Objective 1: develop a grass cover map of Somuncurá Reserve using Landsat ETM+ imagery. – Objective 2: determine which levels of grass cover guanacos select in Somuncurá Reserve.
  • 10. Guanaco Field Study Methods • 10 wildlife and domestic animal censuses: — Oct. 2007 — Dec. 2008 — Nov. 2007 — Aug. 2009 — Jan. 2008 — Oct. 2009 — Mar. 2008 — Dec. 2009 — Jun. 2008 — Feb. 2010 • 95 transects along road system totaling over 327 km. – Split based on fences, intersections, topography changes, length. – 500m buffer on each side of split.
  • 11. Census Issues • Not consistent in space or time. • Censuses done when funding available. • Measured in different parts of year. • North and south parts of Somuncurá.
  • 15. Census Analysis • For each census : – Guanaco observations per transect. – Used Distance program to get effective strip width (ESW) for each transect. – ESW as buffer to find suitable guanaco observations per transect, per census. Thomas et al. 2010. Journ. Appl. Ecol. 5-14.
  • 16. Census Analysis • Buffered guanaco locations 75m for a 150m diameter area used resource unit. • Overlaid onto grass cover map and calculated mean grass cover of the guanaco resource unit. – Used resources of four grass cover classes. • Overlaid ESW buffered survey transects on grass cover map and retrieved pixel values. – Available resources of four grass cover classes.
  • 17. Selection Results • Pearson’s Chi-square goodness of fit. • Significant selection (using, observed more or less use, based on available area of grasses, expected) – Nov. 2007 – XP2 = 14.249, p = 0.003 – Jan. 2008 – XP2 = 9.714, p = 0.021 – Dec. 2008 – XP2 = 19.322, p = < 0.0005 – Aug. 2009 – XP2 = 14.050, p = 0.003 – Oct. 2009 – XP2 = 39.282, p = < 0.0001 – Dec. 2009 – XP2 = 17.762, p = < 0.0005
  • 19. Guanacos Selecting • Selecting 20-<30% significantly more than expected in each significant census except January 2008. • Selecting 10-<20% significantly less than expected in Jan. 2008, Dec. 2008, and Dec. 2009. • Aug. 2009 selected 40-<53% significantly less than expected. • Oct. 2009 selected 30-<40% and 40-<53% significantly less than expected.
  • 20. Spring Grass Cover Selection, Bi October 2007 November 2007 October 2009 0.065 0.165 0.191 0.304 0.201 0.330 0.210 0.182 0.189 0.420 0.395 0.350 December 2009 December 2008 0.127 0.105 0.242 0.245 10-<20% 0.349 20-<30% 0.339 0.292 0.300 30-<40% 40-<53%
  • 21. Summer Grass Cover Selection, Bi January 2008 March 2008 February 2010 0.119 0.144 0.187 0.281 0.275 0.272 0.305 0.294 0.274 0.287 0.268 0.295 10-<20% 20-<30% 30-<40% 40-<53%
  • 22. Fall Grass Cover Selection, Bi June 2008 0.165 0.292 0.201 0.342 10-<20% 20-<30% 30-<40% 40-<53%
  • 23. Winter Grass Cover Selection, Bi August 2009 0.046 0.170 0.268 0.516 10-<20% 20-<30% 30-<40% 40-<53%
  • 27. Acknowledgements • CSTARS – UC Davis • CONICET – Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas CENPAT - Centro Nacional Patagónico • Geography Graduate Group – UC Davis • California Space Grant Consortium • CODEMA – Consejo Provincial de Ecología y Medio Ambiente, Provincia de Río Negro • Wildlife Conservation Society • Hemispheric Institute of the Americas – UC Davis • Henry A. Jastro Shields Research Scholarship – UC Davis • Pablo Raposo – Fieldwork • Ana María Beeskow – Plant identification

Notas del editor

  1. This is part of another study looking at guanaco migration that started in october of 2007
  2. Based on similar areas of Patagonia
  3. Crop 5.5 1.15Size 5.5Pos 2.1 1.95
  4. Crop 5.5 1.15Size 5.5Pos 2.1 1.95
  5. Crop 5.5 1.15Size 5.5Pos 2.1 1.95
  6. As part of the migration study500m on both sides, so at least 1km between transects
  7. Crop 5.5 1.15Size 5.5Pos 2.1 1.95
  8. Crop 5.5 1.15Size 5.5Pos 2.1 1.95
  9. Bi because more intuitive and possible to compare within and between surveysrelative probability of selection for category i – basically a ratio of the used resources to available resourcesForage ratio 𝑤i= oi/𝜋i𝑤i= relative probability of selection for category i.oi = proportion of sample of used resource units of category i.𝜋i = proportion of available resource units of category i.Manly’s standardized selection ratioBi = 𝑤i/(𝑖=1𝐼𝑤𝑖)relative probability of selection for category i – basically a ratio of the used resources to available resourcesForage ratio 𝑤 ̂i= oi/𝜋i𝑤 ̂i= relative probability of selection for category i.oi = proportion of sample of used resource units of category i.𝜋i = proportion of available resource units of category i.Manly’s standardized selection ratioBi = 𝑤 ̂i/(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝐼▒〖𝑤 ̂𝑖〗)
  10. ESW helps with questions of detection probability, and eliminates sightings
  11. Selecting at larger area than just 30m X 30m
  12. When no significant selection based upon available resources, they are using the resources based upon how available they are.2 months (Oct.07 and June08) there were not enough expected values to indicate selection.
  13. Dec is late spring/early summer.Aug is winterOct is spring, could have been late spring that year.This research does not explore reasoning behind the selection, that will come later.When no significant selection based upon available resources, they are using the resources based upon how available they are.So while they may not be selecting for areas with highest grass cover, they are not avoiding them, indicating that they may not be being pushed off by sheep.
  14. Selection ratio based upon used resources/available resources, and Bi is standardized
  15. Crop 5.5 1.15Size 5.5Pos 2.1 1.95
  16. Preferred vegetation of guanacos (~65% of diet in spring, ~45% of diet in summer)Sheep diet consists of ~41% grasses in spring and ~44% in summer.ShrubsLess preferred in spring (~17% of diet), but greater use in summer (~37% of diet)Sheep diet consists of ~28% shrubs in spring and ~34% in summerForbesVarying preferencePlant functional type composition of guanaco and sheep diets overlap by ~65% in spring, and ~82% in summer.
  17. Removed sheep from ranches before 2004 – evidence in other parts of patagonia that suggest rapid recovery depending on grazing history and goats