Webinar slides by Daniel Aldrich, Purdue University

1. Daniel P. Aldrich
Purdue University and USAID

2.  Understand how Japan – the only nation to have
experienced atomic weaponry – developed one of
the most advanced nuclear power programs in the
world
 Recognize the ways in which public opinion on
nuclear power has shifted since the 3/11 compounded
disaster
 Intuit the engines for recovery that will help Japan
rebuild after the disaster

12. Increase Maintain Decrease* Abolish* Unknown
status quo
December 55.1 20.2 14.7 2.3 7.7
2005 (PM)
October 2009 59.6 18.8 14.6 1.6 5.4
(PM)
4 April 2011 10 46 29 12 3
(Yomiuri)
9 June 2011 4 41 36 16 3
(Asahi)
5 August 5 49 32 13 1
2011 (Soka
gakkai)
28 October 2 23 42 24 9
2011 (NHK)

19. Annual Population Growth Rates in Tokyo
1
Population Growth Rate (Percentage)
0 -.5 .5
1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933

20. .15
Population Growth Rate (Percentage)
Chi-squared value: .001
0 .05 -.05 .1
Low levels of social capital High levels of social capital

21. Predicted Population Growth Rate
-.02 0 .02 .04 .06
60 50
Voter Turn Out (Percentage)
80 70

22. Data from Katsuji Nagata A Before Fukushima B before
2001: 231
Population 191 180
Average age 51.1 50.6
# Households 73 64
Household age 62.4 59.2
Average Household 442 man 402.8 man
Income
Number of Years in 32.3 43.4
the Community
% born in the 9.2 71.9
community
% Renting 34.7 15.9
% Working 64.6 69.8

23. Chuo-ku Higashinada-ku Hyogo-ku
120000 220000 130000
115000 200000 120000
110000
180000 110000
105000
160000 100000
100000
Kita-ku Nada-ku Nagata-ku
Population
240000 130000 140000
230000 120000
120000
220000 110000
210000 100000
100000
200000 90000 80000
Nishi-ku Suma-ku Tarumi-ku
250000 190000 240000
185000 235000
200000 180000 230000
175000 225000
150000 170000 220000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year

24. .03
Predicted Population Growth Rate
.01 .02
0
0 .0001 .0002 .0003
Lagged Number of NPOs Created per Capita

25. Social capital / networks played large role in
site selection, and will continue to play a role
in the post-crisis recovery process
Citizen science, protests, and anti-nuclear
movements indicate bottom-up response
Japan stands at a crossroads and its choices
could set the standard for other nations