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Consumer Snapshot
     february 2013


     www.ProsperDiscovery.com
february 2013


                        1 2 3
                      sentiment                                                            strategy                                                        discovery

Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or
future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk.




© 2013, Prosper®
sentiment
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy
{adults 18+}
40.0%
                                                                                   consumer confidence
38.0%                                                        rises month-over-month, consistent with University of
                                                           Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer sentiment gauge
36.0%                                                                         (preliminary February 201 reading)
                                                                                                       3

34.0%


32.0%


30.0%


28.0%


26.0%



Source: Monthly Consumer Survey




© 2013, Prosper®
sentiment
    expecting “more” layoffs over the next 6 months
    {adults 18+}

                                            More        U.S. Unemployment Rate                                                              consumer confidence
                           35.0%                                                   10.0%
                                                                                                                      rises month-over-month, consistent with University of
                                                                                   9.0%
                           30.0%                                                                                    Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer sentiment gauge
                                                                                   8.0%                                                (preliminary February 201 reading)
                                                                                                                                                                3
Expecting “More” Layoffs




                                                                                           U.S. Unemployment Rate
                           25.0%                                                   7.0%
                                                                                                                                                         employment
                                                                                   6.0%
                           20.0%
                                                                                                                           those expecting “more” layoffs reaches highest
                                                                                   5.0%
                                                                                                                        February reading in 3 years, as U.S. unemployment
                           15.0%
                                                                                   4.0%                                               remains a stagnant 7.9% for January
                           10.0%                                                   3.0%

                                                                                   2.0%
                            5.0%
                                                                                   1.0%

                            0.0%                                                   0.0%
                                   Feb-10      Feb-11         Feb-12      Feb-13

    Source: Monthly Consumer Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics




   © 2013, Prosper®
sentiment
how have new “fiscal cliff” tax laws impacted spending?

                                                                                  consumer confidence
                                                            rises month-over-month, consistent with University of
                                                          Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer sentiment gauge
                                                                             (preliminary February 201 reading)
                                                                                                      3

                                                                                                employment
                                                                 those expecting “more” layoffs reaches highest
                                                              February reading in 3 years, as U.S. unemployment
                                                                            remains a stagnant 7.9% for January


                                                                                                          policy
                                                                    are consumers feeling the effects of the new
                                                                                   “fiscal cliff” federal tax laws?




© 2013, Prosper®
strategy
                                        fiscal cliff tax laws
                   deal passed on New Year’s Day raised taxes for
                      3 out of 4 Americans in 201 according to the
                                                 3,
                                                   Tax Policy Center




© 2013, Prosper®
strategy
how have the new “fiscal cliff"federal tax laws affected the spending,
saving, or budgeting plans of your household for 201 {adults 1
                                                     3?         8+}

                                           Greatly                                       fiscal cliff tax laws
                                         Impacted,
                                           16.7%                   deal passed on New Year’s Day raised taxes for
                                                                      3 out of 4 Americans in 201 according to the
                                                                                                 3,
                                                                                                   Tax Policy Center

      Little or No                                                                                         impact
        Impact,
                                                                          2 out of 5 reported “little or no impact” on
         41.8%
                                                                  finances; just as many feel “somewhat” impacted

                                                            more than one out of ten have been “greatly” impacted
                                             Somewhat
                                             Impacted,
                                               41.5%


Source: Monthly Consumer Survey




© 2013, Prosper®
strategy
top 5 ways consumers are financially coping with new
“fiscal cliff” tax laws {adults 18+}

                                                                                                                        fiscal cliff tax laws
          Spending less overall
                                                                                                  deal passed on New Year’s Day raised taxes for
                                                                                                     3 out of 4 Americans in 201 according to the
                                                                                                                                3,
Watching for sales more often                                                                                                     Tax Policy Center

                                                                                                                                           impact
           Reducing dining out
                                                                                                        2 out of 5 reported “little or no impact” on
                                                                                                finances; just as many feel “somewhat” impacted
    Using coupons more often
                                                                                           more than one out of ten have been “greatly” impacted

     Spending less on clothing
                                                                                                                                              cope
                                  0.0%   10.0%   20.0%     30.0%   40.0%   50.0%   60.0%          3 out of 4 households report that they are taking
                   Adults 18+      HH Earning Under $50K      HH Earning $50K+                          measures to financially cope with the new
                                                                                                                                 fiscal cliff tax laws
Source: Monthly Consumer Survey




© 2013, Prosper®
discovery
happiness & the economy
                                                                happy people buy houses
                          new discovery provides support that happiness is a leading indicator of key
                                                           economic markers: happiness & housing
                                  The correlation was examined between the Happiness Score and
                                 thousands of government data points, resulting in more than 6,000
                                                                             correlation coefficients.
                           The observations were time shifted one month (with happiness leading)
                          and relationships were identified with people’s overall happiness and the
                                                                                          following:
                                                               New Private Housing Permits (r=.79)
                                                                New Private Housing Starts (r=.75)
                                                    New Private Housing Under Construction (r=.61)
                                                                                       for more…
                                                                           visit ProsperDiscovery.com




© 2013, Prosper®
thanks
   visit ConsumerSnapshot.com access:
         ______________________to
   Consumer Snapshot InsightCenter™
   PowerPoint Slides
   …and more

                                           Prosper Insights & Analytics™
                                        400 W Wilson Bridge Rd, Ste 200
                                                Worthington, OH 43085
                                                    info@goProsper.com
                                                  ProsperDiscovery.com
Messier 82 image source




 © 2013, Prosper®

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Consumer Snapshot February 2013

  • 1. Consumer Snapshot february 2013 www.ProsperDiscovery.com
  • 2. february 2013 1 2 3 sentiment strategy discovery Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk. © 2013, Prosper®
  • 3. sentiment very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+} 40.0% consumer confidence 38.0% rises month-over-month, consistent with University of Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer sentiment gauge 36.0% (preliminary February 201 reading) 3 34.0% 32.0% 30.0% 28.0% 26.0% Source: Monthly Consumer Survey © 2013, Prosper®
  • 4. sentiment expecting “more” layoffs over the next 6 months {adults 18+} More U.S. Unemployment Rate consumer confidence 35.0% 10.0% rises month-over-month, consistent with University of 9.0% 30.0% Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer sentiment gauge 8.0% (preliminary February 201 reading) 3 Expecting “More” Layoffs U.S. Unemployment Rate 25.0% 7.0% employment 6.0% 20.0% those expecting “more” layoffs reaches highest 5.0% February reading in 3 years, as U.S. unemployment 15.0% 4.0% remains a stagnant 7.9% for January 10.0% 3.0% 2.0% 5.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% Feb-10 Feb-11 Feb-12 Feb-13 Source: Monthly Consumer Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics © 2013, Prosper®
  • 5. sentiment how have new “fiscal cliff” tax laws impacted spending? consumer confidence rises month-over-month, consistent with University of Michigan/Thomson Reuters consumer sentiment gauge (preliminary February 201 reading) 3 employment those expecting “more” layoffs reaches highest February reading in 3 years, as U.S. unemployment remains a stagnant 7.9% for January policy are consumers feeling the effects of the new “fiscal cliff” federal tax laws? © 2013, Prosper®
  • 6. strategy fiscal cliff tax laws deal passed on New Year’s Day raised taxes for 3 out of 4 Americans in 201 according to the 3, Tax Policy Center © 2013, Prosper®
  • 7. strategy how have the new “fiscal cliff"federal tax laws affected the spending, saving, or budgeting plans of your household for 201 {adults 1 3? 8+} Greatly fiscal cliff tax laws Impacted, 16.7% deal passed on New Year’s Day raised taxes for 3 out of 4 Americans in 201 according to the 3, Tax Policy Center Little or No impact Impact, 2 out of 5 reported “little or no impact” on 41.8% finances; just as many feel “somewhat” impacted more than one out of ten have been “greatly” impacted Somewhat Impacted, 41.5% Source: Monthly Consumer Survey © 2013, Prosper®
  • 8. strategy top 5 ways consumers are financially coping with new “fiscal cliff” tax laws {adults 18+} fiscal cliff tax laws Spending less overall deal passed on New Year’s Day raised taxes for 3 out of 4 Americans in 201 according to the 3, Watching for sales more often Tax Policy Center impact Reducing dining out 2 out of 5 reported “little or no impact” on finances; just as many feel “somewhat” impacted Using coupons more often more than one out of ten have been “greatly” impacted Spending less on clothing cope 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 3 out of 4 households report that they are taking Adults 18+ HH Earning Under $50K HH Earning $50K+ measures to financially cope with the new fiscal cliff tax laws Source: Monthly Consumer Survey © 2013, Prosper®
  • 9. discovery happiness & the economy happy people buy houses new discovery provides support that happiness is a leading indicator of key economic markers: happiness & housing The correlation was examined between the Happiness Score and thousands of government data points, resulting in more than 6,000 correlation coefficients. The observations were time shifted one month (with happiness leading) and relationships were identified with people’s overall happiness and the following: New Private Housing Permits (r=.79) New Private Housing Starts (r=.75) New Private Housing Under Construction (r=.61) for more… visit ProsperDiscovery.com © 2013, Prosper®
  • 10. thanks visit ConsumerSnapshot.com access: ______________________to Consumer Snapshot InsightCenter™ PowerPoint Slides …and more Prosper Insights & Analytics™ 400 W Wilson Bridge Rd, Ste 200 Worthington, OH 43085 info@goProsper.com ProsperDiscovery.com Messier 82 image source © 2013, Prosper®