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Wish|Real

              By:

        Rohit Kuthiala
        Veeresh Novli
         AMPM (Cycle III)


Project Guide: Prof. Dr. Brian TO
Guanxi – Mianza – Yenting
 Have you ever been in a conversation with
  friends’, where they tell you about their latest
  shopping conquest?



 Did you want yourself to be in their position
  more often?



 Well, we at WISH|REAL have a Solution!!!
                                                     3
Index




        1. BUSINESS PLANNING


                               4
Index




                                              i. The Need

        An Extract from an article in the China Newsweek on Jan 23rd 2010

        Who are China's middle class?

        “Therefore, Zhou gives his three standards. Firstly, they should have a monthly income at least
        5000 yuan. Secondly, they should work as the owner, manager or technician in companies or
        public institutions. Thirdly, they have received university education. The middle class is a group of
        common people and they are a large group between the rich and the poor.

        According to Pei Zhenhua, the term middle class also refers to a distinct state of mind. Their
        knowledge and economic status make their value and their attitude towards life more recognized
        by the society.

        Zhou concluded that Chinese society does not provide adequate opportunities for people to
        realize their dreams. A fast-changing society will reduce people's happiness. People keep
        raising their expectations and once the reality does not live up to their anticipations,
        they feel frustrated. That's why most of the "middle class" are not happy and do not agree
        with the term.”
                                                       http://www.china.org.cn/china/2010-01/23/content_19293900.htm


                                                                                                                  5
Index




                                            ii. The Team

         Prof. Dr. Brian TO – The Backer (Mentor & Guide)
            With over 25 years of professional experience in private management consultancy for Fortune 500
            and venture/growth firms. Strong track record in both strategy formulation and execution,
            corporate and business development, asset management strategy, business architecture,
            innovation of products and services, organization development, design and managing complex
            change, turnaround management and value creation. He has considerable experience in
            advertising and advancing family owned enterprises and corporations in Asia.

         Rohit Kuthiala – The Doer
            Driven by a venturesome spirit and the need to charter my own path, most often in unstructured
            environments. Having handled the complete life-cycle of product development and
            communication in telecom Value Added Services (VAS), Including inception, market analysis,
            promotions and revenue generation.

         Veeresh Novli – The Pillar
            Over 18 years of experience spread across Project Management, Software development,
            Customer relationship management, Team management, and Quality management. Expert in
            establishing/mentoring teams and managing projects from the inception. Strong experience in
            project management processes. Well versed in working with global customers/teams, in cross-
            cultural environments.



                                                                                                          6
Index




                                         iii. The Deal

        Affordable access to materialistic expectations

        To make available latest / best Luxury products at 90% +(plus) discount

         Through Proffer
               Register/create an account (get ‘proffer’/‘wish’)
               ‘Wish’ for a product from catalogue
               Top ‘Wished’ product goes on auction at token 1 Yuan
               Each proffer increases the price by .01 Yuan
               Every product has a timer
               When the timer reaches zero, the last proffer wins (‘WISH’ becomes ‘REAL’)
               If another user proffer before the timer expires, the timer restarts – keeping
                the auction alive


                                                                                                 7
Index




                 iv. Online Business Models Employed


                    Back-end                                     Front-end

        • Market Concentrator – B2B                  • Virtual storefront – B2C Sells
         Concentrates information from several         goods, services on-line
         providers

        • Information broker – B2C                   • On-line exchange – B2C Bid-ask
                                                       system, multiple buyers, sellers
         Provide info on various products, pricing

                                                     • Content provider – B2B Creates
                                                       revenue by providing advertising space

                                                     • Virtual community – C2C Chat
                                                       room, meeting place


                                                                                                8
Index




                                        v. The Revenue Model
        Sourcing Cloud                                                 Delivery

         Vendor 1        Vendor 2         Vendor 3        Vendor 4                Shipping & Handling Costs


        Wish|Real                                                                        By Vendor
                                                                          Vendor                         B2B Hub
                           Catalogue WISH / BUY

             WISH        Real Loyal        BUY         Advt. Space                      By Purchaser
                                                                          B2B Hub                        Purchaser


                                 Live Auction

             WISH        PROFFER        Wish Real      Advt. Space


                                 Auction End

             WISH          BUY          Wish Real      Advt. Space     Color Legend
                                                                                         Income Generators
        Purchaser
                                                                                         Business Process
        Purchaser 1   Purchaser 2        Purchaser 3     Purchaser 4
                                                                                         Self financing cost


                                                                                                                     9
Index




                                vi. The Opportunity

         Internet Opportunity               Support
                                                                    CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report
                                     Total Netizens – 420 million




         Luxury Goods Opportunity           Support


            $ 9.6 Billion Billion RMB in 2009 which is 27% of the global consumption

                                                                                                    10
Index




                             The Opportunity

         E-commerce Opportunity   Support
                                               CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report




                                                                Highest
                                                                increase rate is
                                                                in Commercial
                                                                exchange
                                                                industries in
                                                                the usage of
                                                                WEB

                                                                               11
Index




                               The Opportunity

         Online Opportunity      Support
                                                 CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report




                                                             Very High usage
                                                                of WEB for
                                                              Entertainment
                                                                    &
                                                             Communication




                                                                                 12
Index




                                 The Opportunity

         ‘Mobile’ Opportunity      Support
                                                   CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report




                                                                Sizeable usage
                                                                 of mobile for
                                                                Entertainment
                                                                & M Payment




                                                                                   13
Index




                               vii. The Opportunity SWOT

           Core strength
                Very stable government structure
                Commitment to economic development
                Huge domestic markets

           Potential benefits
                Well Developed Infrastructure (Power / water / Telecom)
                Technical skills and education
                Improving English language skills

           Potential risks
                Legal regulatory frameworks
                No IPR protection
                Less flexible labor laws
                Freedom of info exchange
                Raising salaries and staff turnover
                Difficult to attract right talent


                                                                           14
Index




                                   viii. The Financials
   Normalized Distribution Curve for Assimilated Bids Data
                                                                           Statistical measurement across 99 data points

                                               Incident Count
                              18
                                   Majority Traffic                                    Inflection Point
                              16


                              14
        No. Of Auction Ends




                              12


                              10


                               8


                               6


                               4
                                       Break                                            Windfall Profit
                               2
                                       Even

                               0




                                          Percentile of bids per Product                                            15
Index




                                                  The Financials
   Average Profit Percentage on Price Distribution overlay
                                                                                                     Statistical measurement across 99 data points
                     250%                                 Price Distribution VS Profit %
                       25
                                                                              Averages based                                   Target for Luxury Auctions
                     200%                                                   revenue projection                                 High MRP + High Profit %
                       20


Avg. % of Profit     150%

                       15


                     100%
 Count of Products     10


                      50%
                        5



                       0%
                        0
                                       7 - 15




                                                                                                                                                  257 - 2281
                                                15 - 22



                                                             22 - 44



                                                                            44 - 66



                                                                                      66 - 88




                                                                                                                        132 - 154
                                                                                                            110 - 132




                                                                                                                                      154 - 257
                                 0-7




                                                                                                88 - 110



             Count of Products
                                                                       MRP of Products on Auction                                                              16
             Avg. % of Profit
The Financials
 Balanced Revenue Case
       S#                               Units Failed Below Par At Par Above Par Best                                    Remarks
        1 Bid Item Cost                 USD 73.00      73.00   73.00    73.00   73.00
        2 Initial Start Price           USD 1.00        1.00    1.00     1.00    1.00
                                                                                           Penny Auctions Watch data, avg.95% discounting
       3 Expected End Price             USD    1.14    1.71      2.41     3.12     5.94
                                                                                           on list prices. Breakeven Discounting arrives at 110
       4 Increment Per Bid              USD    0.01    0.01      0.01     0.01     0.01
                                                                                           Based on available data, average number of bids
       5 Number of Bids                 No.s    14      71       141      212      494
                                                                                           per auction is coming out to be 141
        6 End User Cost Per Bid         USD 0.72        0.72     0.72     0.72     0.72
        7 Gross Seller Earnings         USD 11.29       52.47   103.93   155.40   361.26
        8 Net Seller Earnings           USD -61.71     -20.54   30.93    82.40    288.26
       10 Unique Users Per Day          No.s   1,425   1,425    1,425    1,425    1,425    Only Needed For System Sizing
       11 Active Bidders Per Day        No.s   143      143      143      143      143     Only Needed For System Sizing
       12 Unique Bidders Per Item       No.s    37      37       37       37       37      Only Needed For System Sizing
       13 Bids Per Unique User          No.s   0.38     1.88     3.77     4.15     4.71    Only Needed For System Sizing
       14 No. of Bids (Derived)         No.s   14.10   70.50    141.00   155.10   176.25   Cross Check For No. of Bids S# 5
          Avg. No. of Concurrent
       15                               No.s   16.00   16.00    16.00    16.00    16.00
          Auctions
          Active Hours Per Day For
       16                               No.s   8.00    8.00      8.00     8.00     8.00
          New Auction Launches
       17 New Auctions Per Hour         No.s   2.00    2.00      2.00     2.00     2.00
          Avg. No. of Daily New
       18                               No.s   16.00   16.00    16.00    16.00    16.00
          Auctions
       19 Hold Time Per Auction         Hrs    60.00   60.00    60.00    60.00    60.00
          Actual Avg Auction Time At
       20                               Hrs    0.59    0.59      0.59     0.59     0.59    Assuming 15 seconds counter to every bid
          Start of Auction (Hrs)
          No. of Auctions Closing Per                                                      Dividing 480 Auctions Per Month into
       21                               No.s   48.5    145.4     87       34.1    140.6
          Month                                                                            Failed/BP/P/AB/B in the defined ratios.
       22 Avg. Net Rev Per Month        USD -2,992     -2,987   2,702    2,808    40,540
                                                                                           Balanced Total Across All Auctions, With No
          Total Net Rev Per Month       USD 40,072
                                                                                           Variation in Product Retail Price

 * Actual Costs can only be indicated after the Operation plan is decided                                                                         17
The Financials

 One Year Costing (1st year)
           Cost Scenario Option 1                                  USD
           Development team               India                    103,700
           Management team                Hong Kong                232,600
           Customer support team          China                     98,500
           Logistics team                 Hong Kong                 49,200
                                          Hong Kong                    -
           Purchase Team
                                          US                        65,750
                                          Web site                     500
                                          Marketing                828,000
           Common Expenses
                                          Travel/Accommodation     346,800
                                          Negetive cash flow       300,000
           Total Operating Expenses                              2,025,050
           Budget Provision                                            50%
           Funding required                                      3,037,575




                                                                             18
ix. The Finance

 Capital Structure (equity vs debt)
    I am looking to get majority family funding for this project and would like to keep 'debt' as low as
    possible. My uncle, a founder/CEO of a Investment company in Australia is expected to be the primary
    financier. I have spoken to him on a very macro level of my AMPM final project that I wish to take live in
    greater China region and he has shown interest and offered all help required. The fact he already has
    business interests in China, I am sure we can leverage to our advantage.


 Shareholders (+ agreement)
    For academic purpose ONLY this is a combined effort by me and Veeresh Novli. This is my concept which
    he has contributed in for submission as our final project in AMPM. Beyond academic, Veeresh does not
    have any stake in the business concept, if he does get involved at a later stage it will be a fixed
    remuneration based relationship. I am hoping for Prof. Dr. Brian TO’s longer term involvement in the
    project as a mentor / guide / director depending on how he would like to get associated. The only other
    person getting at the helm of things is my Uncle who will be the principal financer. I would like to initiate
    discussion with my financer after we have clarity on association with Prof Brian TO.


 Phases of Development / Deployment / Gannt Chart
    After submitting this project with AMPM, I am self-financing a working prototype of the proposed site.
    Upon clarity of association with Prof TO, I would approach for funding. And depending on funding and
    guidance by Prof TO, I hope to deploy the site in real time.


                                                                                                              19
The Finance

Phases of Funding
        Prototype is self-funded

   Seed Capital
        For research / consultation
            On market entry / promotions strategy finalization
            On operations strategy finalization through PEST analysis
        To cover administrative / purchase / distribution set-up costs

   Start-up Capital
        For recruitment of Key Management
        For operation set-up as per strategy finalized
        For sustained marketing / promotion of the site
        To cover operational / running costs for 12 months (minimum)
        Expense account - in case of any regulation change

   Expansion Capital
        For consulting to Luxury Brands on marketing & distribution based on local demand



                                                                                             20
The Finance
   Valuation
        Standard Discounted Cash Flow technique will not work because the cash is intended to cover near-
         term, negative free cash flows and it does not take into consideration the multiple financing rounds
         at different required rates of return

        Startups have no current revenue, hence no way to calculate valuation based on revenue multipliers.
         VC method builds current valuation based on expected "terminal value" which is value at which the
         company will exit in Y years

        The Expected yearly revenue has been calculated on the targeted market penetration based on
         current market size and projected market growth extrapolated over the years

        This exit value has been approximated by multiplying expected yearly revenue in the Yth year of
         existence with P/E ratio adequate to industry, expected growth rate

        Investor expects yearly margin on his investment, meaning if he puts in 1M$ today, he may expect
         3M$ in year Y. This margin is calculated based on discount rate that is arbitrated based on risk and
         compensation expectations (25%-80%)

        In multi stage Investment, each round of investment will be diluted by the ones that come after it
         and this dilution rate should also be used to calculate the final share of the company for the investor
         in each round of funding



                                                                                                                21
The Finance

 5yr & 10yr Revenue Projection based on Targeted Market penetration
                                                Inputs
                                                               = Balanced Revenue per month calculated at
  Projected Earning in 1st year                    $100,000
                                                               $40,000 approx
                                                               = Source: China Business Development Report 2009 -
  Overall Luxury market in 2009 year          $9,400,000,000
                                                               2010
                                                               = Source: China Business Development Report 2009 -
  Growth rate over 2008 in luxury market                10%
                                                               2010

  Expected market share in 5 years                    0.10% = Conservative Projected Estimate


  Expected market share in 10 years                   0.25% = Conservative Projected Estimate



                                                Output
                                                               = Overall Market x (1 + Market Growth Rate) ^ 5 x
  Expected earning in year 5                   $15,138,794
                                                               Expected Market Share in 5 yrs
                                                               = (5 Yrs Expected Revenue / Projected Revenue in
  Expected compounded growth rate; Yr 1-5           172.91%
                                                               1st year) ^ (1 / 5) -1
                                                               = Overall Market x (1 + Market Growth Rate) ^ 10 x
  Expected earning in year 10                   $60,952,948
                                                               Expected Market Share in 10 yrs
                                                               = (10yr Expected Revenue / 5yr expected Revenue)
  Expected compounded growth rate: Yr 6-10           32.12%
                                                               ^ (1 / 5) -1
                                                               = (10yr Expected Revenue / Projected Revenue in
  Expected compounded growth rate: Yr 1-10:          89.89%
                                                               1st year) ^ (1 / 10) -1                              22
The Finance

        Pre-revenue Valuation through VC Method                                           Support



Investment Year                                           Y1            Y2            Y3                 Y4             Y5             Exit
Years rem aining before exit                              5              4            3                   2              1
Total Earning per year                                 $113,541     $1,135,410    $5,677,048         $11,354,096     $15,138,794
P/E ratio                                                 10             10           10                  10             10
Pre-Money Valuation (P/E method)                      $1,135,410    $11,354,096   $56,770,478        $113,540,955   $151,387,940   $151,387,940
Investment per round                                  $3,000,000    $1,000,000    $1,000,000          $1,000,000
Discount Rate (RR) per round                             60%           50%           40%                30%            20%
% of return over total return on exit                   76.81%        12.36%        6.70%               4.13%          0.00%
% of return over total valuation                        20.78%        3.34%         1.81%               1.12%          0.00%         27.05%
Retention Rate for investor (100% - dilution rate)      93.73%        97.07%        98.88%             100.00%        100.00%
Total return on exit for round of investment          $31,457,280   $5,062,500    $2,744,000          $1,690,000        $0         $40,953,780
Postmoney ownership % for investor per round           22.17%      3.44%       1.83%       1.12%                      0.00%
Post Money Valuation (VC method)                     $13,531,822 $29,027,939 $54,554,643 $89,578,663                    $0

Assumptions
Investments happen at the beginning of a year
Exit happens at the end of Y5




                                                                                                                                        23
Index




                                     x. The Recap

         Key Products
            Branded ‘luxury’ products and services

         Value added by WISH|REAL
            Market contractor / Information Broker
            Multi brand luxury e-tailer
            Competitive gaming

         Target customers
            Higher middle class with rising disposable income
            Aspirational middle class looking for good deals

         Needs Served
            High priced products at 90% +(plus) discount


                                                                 24
Index




        2. FUNCTIONAL STRATEGY PLANNING


                                          25
Strategy Planning Guidelines

 Most Important Pieces of strategy of doing Business in China
     Guanxi - Relationship (I C A Model)
     Mianza / Mianxi - Face / Dignity
     Yentine - Exchange of Favours (Goodwill)

 Build business context with social context

 If we gel well, whatever we do together is beneficial for both

 Shanghai replacing HongKong as the financial capital

 Don't Talk about
     Tibet / Sensitive Issues
     Take care of Mianxi


                                                                   26
Index




                            i. The Marketing Strategy

        To Satisfy the customer Wish / Want / Need

        The 4 P’s of marketing
             ‘Price’ Strategy
                 End price paid by customer is upto 97% discounted
                 Initial ‘unit’ pricing including fixed incremental end price for all products

             ‘Product’ Strategy
                 Branded original luxury items off the shelf unaffordable on routine
                 Product for sale through customer choice from product catalogue

             Channel or ‘Place’ Strategy
                 Directly to end customers through Internet on
                      WEB and Mobile

             ‘Promotion’ Strategy
                 Social media seeding on big 4 with focus on Ren Ren / 51cent
                 Referral discount to promote viral

                                                                                                  27
The Marketing Strategy

Segmented Market Approach Support
 Market is segmented on the basis of Geographic Regions / Values /
   Behavior / Attitude

 Northern region is
     more social
     family oriented
     conservative

 Southern region
     more brand aware

 Cultural difference in terms of collectivism and Long term orientation


                                                                           28
Index




                             The Marketing Strategy

        Business Facilitation
             Market penetration strategy
                 Beta membership by invitation ONLY
                 Full launch after feedback & subsequent changes

             Market development strategy
                 Luxury for masses online / offline campaign
                 ‘Winners’ only to participate in monthly big ticket product sale

             Market expansion strategy
                 Have local / regional offices for market trend capture and feedback collection
                 Add other non-English speaking countries into the service fold

             Market diversification strategy
                 Create a cross brand Luxury product showcase/selling platform
                 Luxury Brand consultancy for marketing/distribution network set-up


                                                                                               29
ii. Communication Strategy

"Put our heart into their heart" and NOT "put yourself in their shoes"

  Advertising                  Online Promotion          Public Relations

    Print ads                     Pay per click           Press relations
   Online ads                Banner / Sponsorship            Publicity
Banner exchange              SEO (Search Optimize)      Investor relations




                          The Communication Mix
 Social Media Marketing                              Direct Marketing

  Social Media Strategy                                 Direct mail
     SM Networking                                       Catalogs
   Blogs / Testimonials                                   E-mail
                                                                             30
Index




                         iii. The Financial Strategy

        Profit Model – Margin Management

        Sale of Goods
         and utilized
        Proffer + Wish

                            Gross Margin

            Cost of
         products sold                        Net Profit


                           Total Expenses                    Net Profit
                                                             Margin %
                                            Sale of Goods
                                             and utilized
                                            Proffer + Wish


                                                                          31
Index




                              The Financial Strategy

        Long Term Revenue Plan
                                          E-tailer
                                   wish now & real loyal


             Procurement                                   Online Exchange
              Expense                                        Bids & Wish


                                      Business
           Sale / Promotion           Revenue              Content Provider
              Expense                                      Ad space selling
                                     Opportunity

              Operating                                    Virtual Community
              Expense                                        Targeted Ads


                                     Virtual Storefront
                                    Multi brand e-store


                                                                               32
Index




                          iv. The Operations Strategy

        • Office Deployment Scenario
          Activity                     Scenario 1       Scenario 2       Scenario 3
          Development team             India            India            India
          Management team              Hong Kong        Hong Kong        China
          Customer support team        China            China            China
          Logistics team               Hong Kong        China            China
          Purchase Team                US & HK          US & HK          US & HK
            – Figure best case scenario based on PEST analysis


        • Currently planning to operate from Hong Kong;
            – Either through Joint venture or setup a WOFE/FICE in Hong Kong
            – Other alternatives: Set up a Joint venture or setup a WOFE/FICE in China



                                                                                         33
Index




                                       The Operations Strategy

         PEST analysis
         Political (Incl. Legal)                  Economic                    Social                        Technological
        Environment regulation &       Economic Growth            Economic distribution                Govt. research spending
        Protection
        Tax Policies                   Interest rate & monetary   Demographics, population             Industry focus on
                                       policies                   growth rate, age distribution        technological effort
        International trade            Govt. spending             Labor / social mobility              New inventions and
        regulations and restrictions                                                                   development
        Contract enforcement law,      Unemployment policy        Lifestyle changes                    Rate of technology transfer
        Consumer protection
        Employment laws                Taxation                   Work/career and leisure              Life cycle and speed of
                                                                  activities, Entrepreneurial spirit   technological obsolescence
        Govt. organization/attitude    Exchange rate              Education                            Energy use and costs

        Competition regulation         Inflation rates            Fashion, hypes                       (Changes in) Information
                                                                                                       Technology
        Political stability            Stage of business cycle    Health consciousness &               (Changes in) Internet
                                                                  welfare, feelings on safety
        Safety regulation              Consumer confidence        Living conditions                    (Changes in) Mobile
                                                                                                       Technology

                                                                                                                                  34
Index




                           v. The Purchasing Strategy

         ‘Just in time’ product delivery
             Product blocked when it goes for Sale
             Product purchased after payment received from buyer

         Digital Products
             Digital supply chain
             Youth internet savvy market

         Parallel sourcing with multiple vendors
             Sustain quality
             Business protection

         Backward integration with luxury brands
             For exclusive offers
             Post sale customer care


                                                                    35
Index




                                 vi. The Logistics Strategy
        Deliver right product at lowest price, in shortest time and in right place for end customer
          For ‘Physical’ products
             Physical Product    Bulk Shipping       B2B Hub             Individual Shipping
                                                                                               End Customer
                 Vendor         Cost to Vendor       China/HK            Cost to Customer


            For ‘Digital’ products
             Digital Product    Digital Shipping    Wish|Real             Digital Shipping     End Customer
                 Vendor                             Application                                Mail Account


          For ‘Currency’ products
                        Wish|Real                  Electronic Transfer               End Customer
                       Bank Account                                                  Bank Account

                      Finding the right channel is easier than breaking into the right channel
                                                                                                              36
Index




                            vii. Human Resource Strategy

             Dual phased approach “Contract External” while “Developing Internal” resources

           Set-up a working advisory and not a political advisory
                Stretch the budget to get best out of this

           Hire external experts (consultants)
                Pre Launch – Legal, accounting, govt. liaison, logistics
                Post Launch – Market acceptability analysis

           Develop internal talent
                Top management – local
                Middle management – multi cultural
                Work force – local

           Key Advisors
                Management Strategy advisory board
                Technical advisory board



                                                                                              37
Index




                             viii. The Management Strategy

           Chinese diaspora went to various places and their typical stereotypes:
                Malaysia (Put an MDC like Bill Gates Example here)
                Philippines (neutral)
                Singapore (very good)
                Taiwan (Not good to have a CEO here)
                Thailand (Tourism & Natural Recourses / Given up the Chinese culture so not really accepted)
                Honk Kong (very good)
                      Most inbound capital into China
                      A spring board to China


           Any mistake in China will cost you millions.. !!!
                Chinese agenda is Re-unification
                How many Chinese are there in the World
                      Mainlanders - Maybe Not - because his loyalty will be towards Mainland and not you
                      Hong Kong - Maybe
                      Taiwanese - Is a rebel as her does not even call himself a Chinese

           Off-shore - Children of the diaspora - Very loyal with fast acceptance specially with good
            education / work branding          Support




                                                                                                                38
Index




                       ix. Information System Strategy

         Worker Connectivity
             Employee global network
             Translations for multi-lingual information sharing

         Information Tracking
             Geographic area, product, time wise product interest and sale mapping
             User behavioral pattern marking and identification

         Shipping & Goods Tracking
             Individual tracking by Winner & Us
             From Vendor to LO to end customer

         Suggestion, Feedback and Testimonial
             Transparent lifecycle management
             Incentivize with offers and discounts


                                                                                      39
Index




        3. PRODUCT PLANNING


                              40
Registration
 i. Wish|Real                                                                            Complete Flow
                                                       User Account


                             Get Free Bids/Wish                               Purchase Bids/Wish



                                   Product Catalogue                      Live Auction



‘Wish Product for Auction’                        ‘Wish to Reset Timer’                        Bid on Product


                        No    Apologize, Wish          No
                               ‘x’ for success                  Yes
        Yes
   Congratulation for                              Congratulation for
                                                                                     Win                    Not Win
    successful Wish                                 successful Wish


                                                                                                                         ‘Real
      Auction Start            Conditions to            Urge to win                               ‘Wish Now’
                                                                                                                        Loyal’
       Reminder                 be defined                auction                                  (Buy-out)
                                                                                                                      (Purchase)

                                                                                                            Payment

                                                                                                            Product
                                                                                   Win-Limit
                                                                                                            Shippe
                                                                                   Reached
                                                                                                               d
                                                                                                    No
                                                                                    Yes
                                                                                    Freeze                   Freeze
                                                                                   Account                Period Expiry
Index




                              ii. Consumer Touch-points

         On Mobile
               SMS
               WAP
               Voice
               Application

         On Internet
             Web
             Toolbar

         Language
               English
               Simplified Chinese
               Mandarin
               Cantonese

                                                          42
Index




                                    iii. Competition SWOT

           Top Selling Items
                Bids & Packs
                Consoles & Games
                Computer & Accessories
                Gift Cards & Vouchers

           Strengths
                Product Delivery
                Transparency
                Loyalty Bucks
                Loads of deals

           Weaknesses
                The auction ending can be long and boring
                Little restrictions to prevent resellers from bidding over « real » people
                Lack of product diversity
                Nothing innovating and fun


                                                                                              43
Index




                                    Competition SWOT

        Feature Analysis
           Losing Bid Credit        - 19.23%
           Limits on Wins           - 65.67%
           Avg bid Price            - $ 0.71
           Auto Bid                 - 66.67%
           Bid Pack                 - 100%
           Avg Bid Increment        - $ 0.07
           Avg Timer Increment      - 22.12 sec
           Operating Time 24/7      - 82.05%
           Addl. Shipping Cost      - 79.49%
           Countries served %       - US 79.5%, Alaska 33.3%, Hawaii 23.1%, Canada 10.3%, World 12.8%
           Product Refund period    - 11.24 days for 82.05%
           Support
                Email               - 97.44%
                Chat                - 20.51%
                Phone               - 33.33%
           On Social Network        - 84.62%


                                                                                                         44
Index




                             iv. Product Feature Detail

        Losing Proffer Credit     - Yes (Product buy-out / Loyalty Reward points)
        Limits on Wins            - Yes (2 wins a day, 20 wins in 30 days)
        Average Proffer Price     - 5 RBM (variable - not finalized yet)
        Auto Proffer              - Yes (Schedule for time and/or auction start)
        Proffer Pack on Auction   - Yes
        Proffer Increment         - 0.01 Yuan
        Timer Increment           - 10 sec start (variable on ‘wish’ (voting) during auction)
        Operating Time 24/7       - No (not initially, may happen later)
        Addl. Shipping Cost       - Yes (based on product, with min for every article)
        Countries served          - China, HK, Macau
        Product Refund period     - 14 days (on basis of ‘final auction price’)
        Support
             Email                - Yes
             Chat                 - Yes (automated)
             Phone                - Yes (automated)
        On Social Network         - Yes (3 to begin)

                                                                                                45
Index




                                Product Feature Detail

        Value Added Feature Details

           Web Toolbar                  - Yes
           Web / Mobile site            - Yes
           Application + Widget         - Yes
           Alert on mail / mobile       - Yes (of preferred product auction start)
           Proffer lock                 - Yes (if total product amount proffer; auto eligible for purchase)
           Account Limit                - Yes (one per household)
           Proffer on cash              - Yes
           Achievement Tracking         - Yes (similar to online gaming)
           Wish (Voting)                - Yes (To wish for products to be put on auction
                                                 To change (increase/decrease) the clock re-set timer of 15 sec)
           Multi-lingual                - Yes (English, Chinese, Simplified Chinese, Mandarin, Cantonese)
           Live Chat (among proffers)   - Yes (Discussion board for all active bidders to see and participate)
           Live Proffer Map             - Yes (to ‘Flag’ the location of active bidders on a map)
           Multiple Auction Types       - Yes (Rookie – For people who have not won anything
                                                  Normal – Open for all)



                                                                                                                   46
Index




                                v. Product Placement

         Culture Connect
             Be a part of the rich and ancient heritage of China
             Be with the old traditions and have the latest
             Mianza / Mianxi with family and friends


         Sample Richness
             In Lifestyle
             Pamper yourself


         Little Emperors
             Spoil your loved ones ‘silly’
             Luxury for your little one



                                                                    47
Index




                                              vi. Technical Details

        •   Criteria For Solution Design
             –   Understanding of functional & non-functional requirements
                      Scalability, Reliability & Operational Efficiencies
                      All anticipated business use cases must be covered at the application level, & the application needs to be secure, &
                       protected against malicious users.
                      Large variations expected in volume, resources to be provisioned in real-time on the basis of actual numbers
                      High Availability Architecture, Disaster Recovery


        •   Solution Components
             –   Integrated IAAS & PAAS Cloud ecosystem to host the application , Providing pre-built, optimized,
                 management-enabled, ready-to-use application templates (virtual solutions)
                      Resources on a pay-as-you-go model
                      Solution Provisioning >> Solution Instance Monitoring >> Resource Optimization
                      Ensuring immediate provisioning of robust, industry-grade IT infrastructure , platform & network resources for a start-up
                       operation with auto-scaling of hardware resources or deployment instances.
                      Make available not just hardware resources, but also platform services like Business Analytics tools, Databases, Reporting,
                       Topology Management, User & Role Management, Activation, Monitoring & Alarms, Cost Analytics & Application Server
                       for Application deployment – removing the need to build a complete platform for the same.
                      Will allow teams to understand actual resource requirements & build NFRs in real-time. Optimal solution till scale is
                       achieved, when it is planned to move to a private cloud, using learning from the cloud deployment.
                      Allows for Unified Remote Management of resources via the service providers’ management centre while reducing
                       operational costs, & carry a simple cost component in the business case
             –   Application Deployment on Cloud
                      Ensuring application stability & scalability, standards based deployment on .Net/ WAS.
                      Security, & Application Integrity on High Loads



                                                                                                                                               48
Index




                                                           Technical Details
           High Level Architecture
                                                                                                                                         Deployment Cloud

                                  Cloud IAAS Admin Portal                                            Cloud PAAS Admin Portal


        Cloud IAAS                                                            Cloud PAAS
                                     Rest API                                                                        Rest API
        User & Role




                        Resource Pool Mgt             Template Mgt              Topology Management                                 Activation      Adaption
           Mgt




                        Deployment         Consolidation     Reporting
                                                                                Start/ Stop               Monitoring                   User Extended Operations
                                        IaaS Adaptor


                                                             Invoke           Manage                                                Monitor

                                                                                                                                                     Auction App
                                                                           Deploy


                                                                                       Application



                                                                                                     Application



                                                                                                                     Application
                                                                                                                     Instance III
                                                                                                     Instance II
                                     Web Services


                                                                                        Instance I
                                                                                                                                                     Environment
               Image Library          Workflows            Resource Pool                                                                          .Net         Oracle

                                                                                                                                                  VM 1         VM 2
                      Register                             Manage
                                                                                                                   Use

              IT Infrastructure On-Demand
                                 Servers                                     Storage                                                          Network
                                                                                                                                                                49
Index




                                                Technical Details
                   Data Model

        PAYMENT METHOD                                                                                   SELLER

        Method Code                 Purchaser                   AUCTION ITEM                             ID
        Method Description                                                                               Name
                                    ID                          Auction ID                               Address
                                    Name                        Auction Type                             E-mail
                                    Address                     Item ID                                  Phone
                                    E-mail                      Item Description                         Product Genre
                                    Phone                       Start Date n Time                        Product List
                                    Payment Details             Planned Close Date/Time                  Product Description
                 Proffer            Language                    Actual Close Date/Time                   MRP
                                    Bid History                 Total Auction Time                       CTC
                 Paid               Win History                 Actual Selling Price                     Rating Product / Seller
                 Free               Loyalty Points              Shipping Cost/Method                     Feedback
                 Individuals        Redeemed Points             Payment Amount/Method
                 Autobid            Testimonial                 Payment Date
                                    Rating                      Total/Avg Bids Paid/‘Free’
                                    Feedback                    Bids by Individuals/‘Autobid’                 AUCTION TYPE
                                                                Successful Bidder/History (20)
                                                                Comments                                      Type Code
                                                                                                              Type Description
        SHIPPING METHOD
                                                  ACCESS
        Method Code
                                                  Code                                           AUCTION ITEM CATEGORIES
        Method Description     SHIPPING           Description
                               Planned Date                       AUCTION ITEM STATUS CODES      Category Code
                               Actual Date                                                       Category Description
                               Cost                               Status Code
                               Comments                                                                                      50
                                                                  Status Description
Q&A




      51
Thank You




            52
Supporting




             53
Index
1.      Business Planning
     i.      The Need
     ii.     The Team
     iii.    The Deal
     iv.     Online Business Models Deployed
     v.      The Revenue Model
     vi.     The Opportunity
     vii.    The Opportunity SWOT
     viii.   The Financials
     ix.     The Finance
     x.      The Recap
2.      Functional Strategy Planning
     i.      Marketing strategy
     ii.     Communication Strategy
     iii.    Financial strategy
     iv.     Operations strategy
     v.      Purchasing strategy
     vi.     Logistics strategy
     vii.    Human resources strategy
     viii.   Management strategy
     ix.     Information system strategy
3.      Product Planning
     i.      Complete Flow
     ii.     Consumer Touch Points
     iii.    Competition SWOT
     iv.     Product Feature Details
     v.      Product Placement
     vi.     Technical Details




                                                       54
The Assumptions

 A Technologically conscious and brand aware growing middle class

 China to become world’s #1 Luxury market

 Largest Online & Mobile Internet population worldwide

 E-Commerce and online payment increased acceptance and use




                                                                     55
Back




                                   Internet Trends

        420 mil internet users by June 2010(source: CNNIC), up 36 mil users from Dec
         2009, at a 31.8% penetration rate.

        Broadband internet users at 363.81 million

        Rural internet users are at 115.08 million, which is 27.4% of all internet
         users, up from 7.7% in beginning 2009




                                                                                        56
Back




                              The luxury market trends

        Sales of luxury goods grew by 12% in 2009, to $9.4 Billion, which is 27.5%
         of global market (source: Commercial Blue Book: China Business Development Report (2009-10))

        In 2009, China overtook the U.S. to become the world’s second-largest
         luxury-goods market, behind Japan
           Approximately half the luxury goods purchased in China are bought as
             gifts (source: AdAge)

        China’s spend on luxury will increase to $14.6 Billion in the next five years,
         thus making it the No. 1 luxury goods consuming market in the world




                                                                                                        57
Back




                                  E-commerce Trends

        E-commerce users in China have reached 142 Mil in June 2010, up by 31.4%
         since December 2009

        Online retail sales:
           In 2009 are               @ $35 billion
           In 2010 will reach        @ $65.9 Billion (source: alibaba)
           In 2011 will reach        @ $84 Billion (Source: CNNIC)

        Clothing is the No. 1 category in online retail sales (source: Alibaba)

        In 2009, Taobao (by Alibaba) commanded 77% of B-to-C & C-to-C market
           C-to-C transactions dominated the market at 93% of total transactions
                Taobao’s share          @ 82%
                Tencent’s paipai share @ 10%
                Tom-Ebay’s share was    @ 8%


                                                                                    58
Back




         Online Gaming and Social Networking Trends

        Driven by social networks, Casual / Online gaming is growing fast:
           Was at $3 Billion in 2009
           Expected to grow @ 30% in 2010

        Social networking is dominated by local players
           Tencent’s QQ, Kaixin001, RenRen, 51.com etc.
           Weibo (a local Twitter) by Sina reached 56 million subs in Aug 2010
           Facebook, twitter are blocked in China

        Kaixin001 is the fastest growing SNS reaching RMB 100 Million revenue in
         2010 with advertising contributing 80%
           It has 86 million registered users with 25 million unique users per day

                                                                                  59
Back




                                Mobile Telecom Trends

          805.35 mil mobile subscribers in June 2010 (source MIIT)
             Growing @ 15.85% on year
             60.5% penetration

          In June 2010 Mobile internet users reached (source CNNIC)
              277 million up by 43.34 million 6 months earlier, a growth rate of 18.6%

          Of total mobile internet users 11.7% accessed internet only on their mobiles (source CNNIC)
             32.4 million only mobile internet users

          There are 3 major mobile telecom operators in China:
             China Mobile            70% Market share
             China Unicom            25% Market share
             China Telecom           5% Market share

          20 million 3G users as of August 2010 (source CNNIC)



                                                                                                    60
Total Ad Spend Trends

 Total Ad spend in 2009 (source: DCCI)
    Newspapers rose @ 22% to $5 billion
    Outdoor rose        @ 23% to $2.02 billion
    Magazines rose      @ 21% to $1.05 billion
    Radio rose          @ 35% to $960 million

 Digital / Online ad spend projected (source: DCCI)
    In 2010 to reach @ RMB 25.27 bilion or $3.7 billion
    In 2012 to reach @ RMB 42.31 billion or $6.3 Billion




                                                            61
Back




                                     Venture Capital Method
       Most private equity investments are characterized by negative cash flows and earnings in early stages and
       highly uncertain but potentially substantial future rewards. VC method accounts for this by valuing a company
       using a multiple, at a time in future when it is projected to have achieved positive cash flows and earnings. This
       terminal value is then discounted back to the present value at a typically very high discount rate 25% to 70%.

          Following formulas are used to calculate the value of the firm and shares issued:
                Total Terminal Value = PER x Terminal Net Income
                Final Ownership Required = Required future ownership / Total terminal value = (( 1 + IRR ) years X
                 Investment ) / (PER x Terminal Net Income) % ownership acquired = new shares / (old shares + new shares)
                Or, new shares issued = (% ownership / (1 - %ownership)) x old shares

                PER = price-earnings ratio
                IRR = internal rate of return aka discount rate

          Pre-money and post-money valuation
                Pre-money valuation: Price paid per share in financing round multiplied by number of shares outstanding
                 before financing event
                Post-money valuation: Price paid per share in financing round times the number of shares outstanding after
                 financing event

          Following formulae are used to calculate the pre-money and post-money valuations:
                Post-money valuation = investment / % ownership acquired
                Pre-money valuation = post-money valuation – new investment


                                                                                                                         62
Back




       China Regional Behavioral Mapping




                                           63
Back




       Team Profiling




                        64
 Factors creating favorable climates for venture capital                          Source: Deloitte




               Squares highlighted in yellow: = over 50% of respondents said YES            65
 Factors creating non-favorable climates for venture capital                      Source: Deloitte




               Squares highlighted in yellow: = over 50% of respondents said YES            66

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Wish | Real : Project Report China

  • 1. Wish|Real By: Rohit Kuthiala Veeresh Novli AMPM (Cycle III) Project Guide: Prof. Dr. Brian TO
  • 2. Guanxi – Mianza – Yenting
  • 3.  Have you ever been in a conversation with friends’, where they tell you about their latest shopping conquest?  Did you want yourself to be in their position more often?  Well, we at WISH|REAL have a Solution!!! 3
  • 4. Index 1. BUSINESS PLANNING 4
  • 5. Index i. The Need An Extract from an article in the China Newsweek on Jan 23rd 2010 Who are China's middle class? “Therefore, Zhou gives his three standards. Firstly, they should have a monthly income at least 5000 yuan. Secondly, they should work as the owner, manager or technician in companies or public institutions. Thirdly, they have received university education. The middle class is a group of common people and they are a large group between the rich and the poor. According to Pei Zhenhua, the term middle class also refers to a distinct state of mind. Their knowledge and economic status make their value and their attitude towards life more recognized by the society. Zhou concluded that Chinese society does not provide adequate opportunities for people to realize their dreams. A fast-changing society will reduce people's happiness. People keep raising their expectations and once the reality does not live up to their anticipations, they feel frustrated. That's why most of the "middle class" are not happy and do not agree with the term.” http://www.china.org.cn/china/2010-01/23/content_19293900.htm 5
  • 6. Index ii. The Team  Prof. Dr. Brian TO – The Backer (Mentor & Guide) With over 25 years of professional experience in private management consultancy for Fortune 500 and venture/growth firms. Strong track record in both strategy formulation and execution, corporate and business development, asset management strategy, business architecture, innovation of products and services, organization development, design and managing complex change, turnaround management and value creation. He has considerable experience in advertising and advancing family owned enterprises and corporations in Asia.  Rohit Kuthiala – The Doer Driven by a venturesome spirit and the need to charter my own path, most often in unstructured environments. Having handled the complete life-cycle of product development and communication in telecom Value Added Services (VAS), Including inception, market analysis, promotions and revenue generation.  Veeresh Novli – The Pillar Over 18 years of experience spread across Project Management, Software development, Customer relationship management, Team management, and Quality management. Expert in establishing/mentoring teams and managing projects from the inception. Strong experience in project management processes. Well versed in working with global customers/teams, in cross- cultural environments. 6
  • 7. Index iii. The Deal Affordable access to materialistic expectations To make available latest / best Luxury products at 90% +(plus) discount  Through Proffer  Register/create an account (get ‘proffer’/‘wish’)  ‘Wish’ for a product from catalogue  Top ‘Wished’ product goes on auction at token 1 Yuan  Each proffer increases the price by .01 Yuan  Every product has a timer  When the timer reaches zero, the last proffer wins (‘WISH’ becomes ‘REAL’)  If another user proffer before the timer expires, the timer restarts – keeping the auction alive 7
  • 8. Index iv. Online Business Models Employed Back-end Front-end • Market Concentrator – B2B • Virtual storefront – B2C Sells Concentrates information from several goods, services on-line providers • Information broker – B2C • On-line exchange – B2C Bid-ask system, multiple buyers, sellers Provide info on various products, pricing • Content provider – B2B Creates revenue by providing advertising space • Virtual community – C2C Chat room, meeting place 8
  • 9. Index v. The Revenue Model Sourcing Cloud Delivery Vendor 1 Vendor 2 Vendor 3 Vendor 4 Shipping & Handling Costs Wish|Real By Vendor Vendor B2B Hub Catalogue WISH / BUY WISH Real Loyal BUY Advt. Space By Purchaser B2B Hub Purchaser Live Auction WISH PROFFER Wish Real Advt. Space Auction End WISH BUY Wish Real Advt. Space Color Legend Income Generators Purchaser Business Process Purchaser 1 Purchaser 2 Purchaser 3 Purchaser 4 Self financing cost 9
  • 10. Index vi. The Opportunity  Internet Opportunity Support CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report Total Netizens – 420 million  Luxury Goods Opportunity Support $ 9.6 Billion Billion RMB in 2009 which is 27% of the global consumption 10
  • 11. Index The Opportunity  E-commerce Opportunity Support CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report Highest increase rate is in Commercial exchange industries in the usage of WEB 11
  • 12. Index The Opportunity  Online Opportunity Support CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report Very High usage of WEB for Entertainment & Communication 12
  • 13. Index The Opportunity  ‘Mobile’ Opportunity Support CNNIC The 26th Statistical Report Sizeable usage of mobile for Entertainment & M Payment 13
  • 14. Index vii. The Opportunity SWOT  Core strength  Very stable government structure  Commitment to economic development  Huge domestic markets  Potential benefits  Well Developed Infrastructure (Power / water / Telecom)  Technical skills and education  Improving English language skills  Potential risks  Legal regulatory frameworks  No IPR protection  Less flexible labor laws  Freedom of info exchange  Raising salaries and staff turnover  Difficult to attract right talent 14
  • 15. Index viii. The Financials  Normalized Distribution Curve for Assimilated Bids Data Statistical measurement across 99 data points Incident Count 18 Majority Traffic Inflection Point 16 14 No. Of Auction Ends 12 10 8 6 4 Break Windfall Profit 2 Even 0 Percentile of bids per Product 15
  • 16. Index The Financials  Average Profit Percentage on Price Distribution overlay Statistical measurement across 99 data points 250% Price Distribution VS Profit % 25 Averages based Target for Luxury Auctions 200% revenue projection High MRP + High Profit % 20 Avg. % of Profit 150% 15 100% Count of Products 10 50% 5 0% 0 7 - 15 257 - 2281 15 - 22 22 - 44 44 - 66 66 - 88 132 - 154 110 - 132 154 - 257 0-7 88 - 110 Count of Products MRP of Products on Auction 16 Avg. % of Profit
  • 17. The Financials  Balanced Revenue Case S# Units Failed Below Par At Par Above Par Best Remarks 1 Bid Item Cost USD 73.00 73.00 73.00 73.00 73.00 2 Initial Start Price USD 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Penny Auctions Watch data, avg.95% discounting 3 Expected End Price USD 1.14 1.71 2.41 3.12 5.94 on list prices. Breakeven Discounting arrives at 110 4 Increment Per Bid USD 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Based on available data, average number of bids 5 Number of Bids No.s 14 71 141 212 494 per auction is coming out to be 141 6 End User Cost Per Bid USD 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 7 Gross Seller Earnings USD 11.29 52.47 103.93 155.40 361.26 8 Net Seller Earnings USD -61.71 -20.54 30.93 82.40 288.26 10 Unique Users Per Day No.s 1,425 1,425 1,425 1,425 1,425 Only Needed For System Sizing 11 Active Bidders Per Day No.s 143 143 143 143 143 Only Needed For System Sizing 12 Unique Bidders Per Item No.s 37 37 37 37 37 Only Needed For System Sizing 13 Bids Per Unique User No.s 0.38 1.88 3.77 4.15 4.71 Only Needed For System Sizing 14 No. of Bids (Derived) No.s 14.10 70.50 141.00 155.10 176.25 Cross Check For No. of Bids S# 5 Avg. No. of Concurrent 15 No.s 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 Auctions Active Hours Per Day For 16 No.s 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 New Auction Launches 17 New Auctions Per Hour No.s 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 Avg. No. of Daily New 18 No.s 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 Auctions 19 Hold Time Per Auction Hrs 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 Actual Avg Auction Time At 20 Hrs 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 Assuming 15 seconds counter to every bid Start of Auction (Hrs) No. of Auctions Closing Per Dividing 480 Auctions Per Month into 21 No.s 48.5 145.4 87 34.1 140.6 Month Failed/BP/P/AB/B in the defined ratios. 22 Avg. Net Rev Per Month USD -2,992 -2,987 2,702 2,808 40,540 Balanced Total Across All Auctions, With No Total Net Rev Per Month USD 40,072 Variation in Product Retail Price * Actual Costs can only be indicated after the Operation plan is decided 17
  • 18. The Financials  One Year Costing (1st year) Cost Scenario Option 1 USD Development team India 103,700 Management team Hong Kong 232,600 Customer support team China 98,500 Logistics team Hong Kong 49,200 Hong Kong - Purchase Team US 65,750 Web site 500 Marketing 828,000 Common Expenses Travel/Accommodation 346,800 Negetive cash flow 300,000 Total Operating Expenses 2,025,050 Budget Provision 50% Funding required 3,037,575 18
  • 19. ix. The Finance  Capital Structure (equity vs debt) I am looking to get majority family funding for this project and would like to keep 'debt' as low as possible. My uncle, a founder/CEO of a Investment company in Australia is expected to be the primary financier. I have spoken to him on a very macro level of my AMPM final project that I wish to take live in greater China region and he has shown interest and offered all help required. The fact he already has business interests in China, I am sure we can leverage to our advantage.  Shareholders (+ agreement) For academic purpose ONLY this is a combined effort by me and Veeresh Novli. This is my concept which he has contributed in for submission as our final project in AMPM. Beyond academic, Veeresh does not have any stake in the business concept, if he does get involved at a later stage it will be a fixed remuneration based relationship. I am hoping for Prof. Dr. Brian TO’s longer term involvement in the project as a mentor / guide / director depending on how he would like to get associated. The only other person getting at the helm of things is my Uncle who will be the principal financer. I would like to initiate discussion with my financer after we have clarity on association with Prof Brian TO.  Phases of Development / Deployment / Gannt Chart After submitting this project with AMPM, I am self-financing a working prototype of the proposed site. Upon clarity of association with Prof TO, I would approach for funding. And depending on funding and guidance by Prof TO, I hope to deploy the site in real time. 19
  • 20. The Finance Phases of Funding  Prototype is self-funded  Seed Capital  For research / consultation  On market entry / promotions strategy finalization  On operations strategy finalization through PEST analysis  To cover administrative / purchase / distribution set-up costs  Start-up Capital  For recruitment of Key Management  For operation set-up as per strategy finalized  For sustained marketing / promotion of the site  To cover operational / running costs for 12 months (minimum)  Expense account - in case of any regulation change  Expansion Capital  For consulting to Luxury Brands on marketing & distribution based on local demand 20
  • 21. The Finance  Valuation  Standard Discounted Cash Flow technique will not work because the cash is intended to cover near- term, negative free cash flows and it does not take into consideration the multiple financing rounds at different required rates of return  Startups have no current revenue, hence no way to calculate valuation based on revenue multipliers. VC method builds current valuation based on expected "terminal value" which is value at which the company will exit in Y years  The Expected yearly revenue has been calculated on the targeted market penetration based on current market size and projected market growth extrapolated over the years  This exit value has been approximated by multiplying expected yearly revenue in the Yth year of existence with P/E ratio adequate to industry, expected growth rate  Investor expects yearly margin on his investment, meaning if he puts in 1M$ today, he may expect 3M$ in year Y. This margin is calculated based on discount rate that is arbitrated based on risk and compensation expectations (25%-80%)  In multi stage Investment, each round of investment will be diluted by the ones that come after it and this dilution rate should also be used to calculate the final share of the company for the investor in each round of funding 21
  • 22. The Finance  5yr & 10yr Revenue Projection based on Targeted Market penetration Inputs = Balanced Revenue per month calculated at Projected Earning in 1st year $100,000 $40,000 approx = Source: China Business Development Report 2009 - Overall Luxury market in 2009 year $9,400,000,000 2010 = Source: China Business Development Report 2009 - Growth rate over 2008 in luxury market 10% 2010 Expected market share in 5 years 0.10% = Conservative Projected Estimate Expected market share in 10 years 0.25% = Conservative Projected Estimate Output = Overall Market x (1 + Market Growth Rate) ^ 5 x Expected earning in year 5 $15,138,794 Expected Market Share in 5 yrs = (5 Yrs Expected Revenue / Projected Revenue in Expected compounded growth rate; Yr 1-5 172.91% 1st year) ^ (1 / 5) -1 = Overall Market x (1 + Market Growth Rate) ^ 10 x Expected earning in year 10 $60,952,948 Expected Market Share in 10 yrs = (10yr Expected Revenue / 5yr expected Revenue) Expected compounded growth rate: Yr 6-10 32.12% ^ (1 / 5) -1 = (10yr Expected Revenue / Projected Revenue in Expected compounded growth rate: Yr 1-10: 89.89% 1st year) ^ (1 / 10) -1 22
  • 23. The Finance  Pre-revenue Valuation through VC Method Support Investment Year Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Exit Years rem aining before exit 5 4 3 2 1 Total Earning per year $113,541 $1,135,410 $5,677,048 $11,354,096 $15,138,794 P/E ratio 10 10 10 10 10 Pre-Money Valuation (P/E method) $1,135,410 $11,354,096 $56,770,478 $113,540,955 $151,387,940 $151,387,940 Investment per round $3,000,000 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 Discount Rate (RR) per round 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% % of return over total return on exit 76.81% 12.36% 6.70% 4.13% 0.00% % of return over total valuation 20.78% 3.34% 1.81% 1.12% 0.00% 27.05% Retention Rate for investor (100% - dilution rate) 93.73% 97.07% 98.88% 100.00% 100.00% Total return on exit for round of investment $31,457,280 $5,062,500 $2,744,000 $1,690,000 $0 $40,953,780 Postmoney ownership % for investor per round 22.17% 3.44% 1.83% 1.12% 0.00% Post Money Valuation (VC method) $13,531,822 $29,027,939 $54,554,643 $89,578,663 $0 Assumptions Investments happen at the beginning of a year Exit happens at the end of Y5 23
  • 24. Index x. The Recap  Key Products  Branded ‘luxury’ products and services  Value added by WISH|REAL  Market contractor / Information Broker  Multi brand luxury e-tailer  Competitive gaming  Target customers  Higher middle class with rising disposable income  Aspirational middle class looking for good deals  Needs Served  High priced products at 90% +(plus) discount 24
  • 25. Index 2. FUNCTIONAL STRATEGY PLANNING 25
  • 26. Strategy Planning Guidelines  Most Important Pieces of strategy of doing Business in China  Guanxi - Relationship (I C A Model)  Mianza / Mianxi - Face / Dignity  Yentine - Exchange of Favours (Goodwill)  Build business context with social context  If we gel well, whatever we do together is beneficial for both  Shanghai replacing HongKong as the financial capital  Don't Talk about  Tibet / Sensitive Issues  Take care of Mianxi 26
  • 27. Index i. The Marketing Strategy To Satisfy the customer Wish / Want / Need The 4 P’s of marketing  ‘Price’ Strategy  End price paid by customer is upto 97% discounted  Initial ‘unit’ pricing including fixed incremental end price for all products  ‘Product’ Strategy  Branded original luxury items off the shelf unaffordable on routine  Product for sale through customer choice from product catalogue  Channel or ‘Place’ Strategy  Directly to end customers through Internet on  WEB and Mobile  ‘Promotion’ Strategy  Social media seeding on big 4 with focus on Ren Ren / 51cent  Referral discount to promote viral 27
  • 28. The Marketing Strategy Segmented Market Approach Support  Market is segmented on the basis of Geographic Regions / Values / Behavior / Attitude  Northern region is  more social  family oriented  conservative  Southern region  more brand aware  Cultural difference in terms of collectivism and Long term orientation 28
  • 29. Index The Marketing Strategy Business Facilitation  Market penetration strategy  Beta membership by invitation ONLY  Full launch after feedback & subsequent changes  Market development strategy  Luxury for masses online / offline campaign  ‘Winners’ only to participate in monthly big ticket product sale  Market expansion strategy  Have local / regional offices for market trend capture and feedback collection  Add other non-English speaking countries into the service fold  Market diversification strategy  Create a cross brand Luxury product showcase/selling platform  Luxury Brand consultancy for marketing/distribution network set-up 29
  • 30. ii. Communication Strategy "Put our heart into their heart" and NOT "put yourself in their shoes" Advertising Online Promotion Public Relations Print ads Pay per click Press relations Online ads Banner / Sponsorship Publicity Banner exchange SEO (Search Optimize) Investor relations The Communication Mix Social Media Marketing Direct Marketing Social Media Strategy Direct mail SM Networking Catalogs Blogs / Testimonials E-mail 30
  • 31. Index iii. The Financial Strategy Profit Model – Margin Management Sale of Goods and utilized Proffer + Wish Gross Margin Cost of products sold Net Profit Total Expenses Net Profit Margin % Sale of Goods and utilized Proffer + Wish 31
  • 32. Index The Financial Strategy Long Term Revenue Plan E-tailer wish now & real loyal Procurement Online Exchange Expense Bids & Wish Business Sale / Promotion Revenue Content Provider Expense Ad space selling Opportunity Operating Virtual Community Expense Targeted Ads Virtual Storefront Multi brand e-store 32
  • 33. Index iv. The Operations Strategy • Office Deployment Scenario Activity Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Development team India India India Management team Hong Kong Hong Kong China Customer support team China China China Logistics team Hong Kong China China Purchase Team US & HK US & HK US & HK – Figure best case scenario based on PEST analysis • Currently planning to operate from Hong Kong; – Either through Joint venture or setup a WOFE/FICE in Hong Kong – Other alternatives: Set up a Joint venture or setup a WOFE/FICE in China 33
  • 34. Index The Operations Strategy  PEST analysis Political (Incl. Legal) Economic Social Technological Environment regulation & Economic Growth Economic distribution Govt. research spending Protection Tax Policies Interest rate & monetary Demographics, population Industry focus on policies growth rate, age distribution technological effort International trade Govt. spending Labor / social mobility New inventions and regulations and restrictions development Contract enforcement law, Unemployment policy Lifestyle changes Rate of technology transfer Consumer protection Employment laws Taxation Work/career and leisure Life cycle and speed of activities, Entrepreneurial spirit technological obsolescence Govt. organization/attitude Exchange rate Education Energy use and costs Competition regulation Inflation rates Fashion, hypes (Changes in) Information Technology Political stability Stage of business cycle Health consciousness & (Changes in) Internet welfare, feelings on safety Safety regulation Consumer confidence Living conditions (Changes in) Mobile Technology 34
  • 35. Index v. The Purchasing Strategy  ‘Just in time’ product delivery  Product blocked when it goes for Sale  Product purchased after payment received from buyer  Digital Products  Digital supply chain  Youth internet savvy market  Parallel sourcing with multiple vendors  Sustain quality  Business protection  Backward integration with luxury brands  For exclusive offers  Post sale customer care 35
  • 36. Index vi. The Logistics Strategy Deliver right product at lowest price, in shortest time and in right place for end customer  For ‘Physical’ products Physical Product Bulk Shipping B2B Hub Individual Shipping End Customer Vendor Cost to Vendor China/HK Cost to Customer  For ‘Digital’ products Digital Product Digital Shipping Wish|Real Digital Shipping End Customer Vendor Application Mail Account  For ‘Currency’ products Wish|Real Electronic Transfer End Customer Bank Account Bank Account Finding the right channel is easier than breaking into the right channel 36
  • 37. Index vii. Human Resource Strategy Dual phased approach “Contract External” while “Developing Internal” resources  Set-up a working advisory and not a political advisory  Stretch the budget to get best out of this  Hire external experts (consultants)  Pre Launch – Legal, accounting, govt. liaison, logistics  Post Launch – Market acceptability analysis  Develop internal talent  Top management – local  Middle management – multi cultural  Work force – local  Key Advisors  Management Strategy advisory board  Technical advisory board 37
  • 38. Index viii. The Management Strategy  Chinese diaspora went to various places and their typical stereotypes:  Malaysia (Put an MDC like Bill Gates Example here)  Philippines (neutral)  Singapore (very good)  Taiwan (Not good to have a CEO here)  Thailand (Tourism & Natural Recourses / Given up the Chinese culture so not really accepted)  Honk Kong (very good)  Most inbound capital into China  A spring board to China  Any mistake in China will cost you millions.. !!!  Chinese agenda is Re-unification  How many Chinese are there in the World  Mainlanders - Maybe Not - because his loyalty will be towards Mainland and not you  Hong Kong - Maybe  Taiwanese - Is a rebel as her does not even call himself a Chinese  Off-shore - Children of the diaspora - Very loyal with fast acceptance specially with good education / work branding Support 38
  • 39. Index ix. Information System Strategy  Worker Connectivity  Employee global network  Translations for multi-lingual information sharing  Information Tracking  Geographic area, product, time wise product interest and sale mapping  User behavioral pattern marking and identification  Shipping & Goods Tracking  Individual tracking by Winner & Us  From Vendor to LO to end customer  Suggestion, Feedback and Testimonial  Transparent lifecycle management  Incentivize with offers and discounts 39
  • 40. Index 3. PRODUCT PLANNING 40
  • 41. Registration i. Wish|Real Complete Flow User Account Get Free Bids/Wish Purchase Bids/Wish Product Catalogue Live Auction ‘Wish Product for Auction’ ‘Wish to Reset Timer’ Bid on Product No Apologize, Wish No ‘x’ for success Yes Yes Congratulation for Congratulation for Win Not Win successful Wish successful Wish ‘Real Auction Start Conditions to Urge to win ‘Wish Now’ Loyal’ Reminder be defined auction (Buy-out) (Purchase) Payment Product Win-Limit Shippe Reached d No Yes Freeze Freeze Account Period Expiry
  • 42. Index ii. Consumer Touch-points  On Mobile  SMS  WAP  Voice  Application  On Internet  Web  Toolbar  Language  English  Simplified Chinese  Mandarin  Cantonese 42
  • 43. Index iii. Competition SWOT  Top Selling Items  Bids & Packs  Consoles & Games  Computer & Accessories  Gift Cards & Vouchers  Strengths  Product Delivery  Transparency  Loyalty Bucks  Loads of deals  Weaknesses  The auction ending can be long and boring  Little restrictions to prevent resellers from bidding over « real » people  Lack of product diversity  Nothing innovating and fun 43
  • 44. Index Competition SWOT Feature Analysis  Losing Bid Credit - 19.23%  Limits on Wins - 65.67%  Avg bid Price - $ 0.71  Auto Bid - 66.67%  Bid Pack - 100%  Avg Bid Increment - $ 0.07  Avg Timer Increment - 22.12 sec  Operating Time 24/7 - 82.05%  Addl. Shipping Cost - 79.49%  Countries served % - US 79.5%, Alaska 33.3%, Hawaii 23.1%, Canada 10.3%, World 12.8%  Product Refund period - 11.24 days for 82.05%  Support  Email - 97.44%  Chat - 20.51%  Phone - 33.33%  On Social Network - 84.62% 44
  • 45. Index iv. Product Feature Detail Losing Proffer Credit - Yes (Product buy-out / Loyalty Reward points) Limits on Wins - Yes (2 wins a day, 20 wins in 30 days) Average Proffer Price - 5 RBM (variable - not finalized yet) Auto Proffer - Yes (Schedule for time and/or auction start) Proffer Pack on Auction - Yes Proffer Increment - 0.01 Yuan Timer Increment - 10 sec start (variable on ‘wish’ (voting) during auction) Operating Time 24/7 - No (not initially, may happen later) Addl. Shipping Cost - Yes (based on product, with min for every article) Countries served - China, HK, Macau Product Refund period - 14 days (on basis of ‘final auction price’) Support Email - Yes Chat - Yes (automated) Phone - Yes (automated) On Social Network - Yes (3 to begin) 45
  • 46. Index Product Feature Detail Value Added Feature Details  Web Toolbar - Yes  Web / Mobile site - Yes  Application + Widget - Yes  Alert on mail / mobile - Yes (of preferred product auction start)  Proffer lock - Yes (if total product amount proffer; auto eligible for purchase)  Account Limit - Yes (one per household)  Proffer on cash - Yes  Achievement Tracking - Yes (similar to online gaming)  Wish (Voting) - Yes (To wish for products to be put on auction To change (increase/decrease) the clock re-set timer of 15 sec)  Multi-lingual - Yes (English, Chinese, Simplified Chinese, Mandarin, Cantonese)  Live Chat (among proffers) - Yes (Discussion board for all active bidders to see and participate)  Live Proffer Map - Yes (to ‘Flag’ the location of active bidders on a map)  Multiple Auction Types - Yes (Rookie – For people who have not won anything Normal – Open for all) 46
  • 47. Index v. Product Placement  Culture Connect  Be a part of the rich and ancient heritage of China  Be with the old traditions and have the latest  Mianza / Mianxi with family and friends  Sample Richness  In Lifestyle  Pamper yourself  Little Emperors  Spoil your loved ones ‘silly’  Luxury for your little one 47
  • 48. Index vi. Technical Details • Criteria For Solution Design – Understanding of functional & non-functional requirements  Scalability, Reliability & Operational Efficiencies  All anticipated business use cases must be covered at the application level, & the application needs to be secure, & protected against malicious users.  Large variations expected in volume, resources to be provisioned in real-time on the basis of actual numbers  High Availability Architecture, Disaster Recovery • Solution Components – Integrated IAAS & PAAS Cloud ecosystem to host the application , Providing pre-built, optimized, management-enabled, ready-to-use application templates (virtual solutions)  Resources on a pay-as-you-go model  Solution Provisioning >> Solution Instance Monitoring >> Resource Optimization  Ensuring immediate provisioning of robust, industry-grade IT infrastructure , platform & network resources for a start-up operation with auto-scaling of hardware resources or deployment instances.  Make available not just hardware resources, but also platform services like Business Analytics tools, Databases, Reporting, Topology Management, User & Role Management, Activation, Monitoring & Alarms, Cost Analytics & Application Server for Application deployment – removing the need to build a complete platform for the same.  Will allow teams to understand actual resource requirements & build NFRs in real-time. Optimal solution till scale is achieved, when it is planned to move to a private cloud, using learning from the cloud deployment.  Allows for Unified Remote Management of resources via the service providers’ management centre while reducing operational costs, & carry a simple cost component in the business case – Application Deployment on Cloud  Ensuring application stability & scalability, standards based deployment on .Net/ WAS.  Security, & Application Integrity on High Loads 48
  • 49. Index Technical Details High Level Architecture Deployment Cloud Cloud IAAS Admin Portal Cloud PAAS Admin Portal Cloud IAAS Cloud PAAS Rest API Rest API User & Role Resource Pool Mgt Template Mgt Topology Management Activation Adaption Mgt Deployment Consolidation Reporting Start/ Stop Monitoring User Extended Operations IaaS Adaptor Invoke Manage Monitor Auction App Deploy Application Application Application Instance III Instance II Web Services Instance I Environment Image Library Workflows Resource Pool .Net Oracle VM 1 VM 2 Register Manage Use IT Infrastructure On-Demand Servers Storage Network 49
  • 50. Index Technical Details Data Model PAYMENT METHOD SELLER Method Code Purchaser AUCTION ITEM ID Method Description Name ID Auction ID Address Name Auction Type E-mail Address Item ID Phone E-mail Item Description Product Genre Phone Start Date n Time Product List Payment Details Planned Close Date/Time Product Description Proffer Language Actual Close Date/Time MRP Bid History Total Auction Time CTC Paid Win History Actual Selling Price Rating Product / Seller Free Loyalty Points Shipping Cost/Method Feedback Individuals Redeemed Points Payment Amount/Method Autobid Testimonial Payment Date Rating Total/Avg Bids Paid/‘Free’ Feedback Bids by Individuals/‘Autobid’ AUCTION TYPE Successful Bidder/History (20) Comments Type Code Type Description SHIPPING METHOD ACCESS Method Code Code AUCTION ITEM CATEGORIES Method Description SHIPPING Description Planned Date AUCTION ITEM STATUS CODES Category Code Actual Date Category Description Cost Status Code Comments 50 Status Description
  • 51. Q&A 51
  • 52. Thank You 52
  • 54. Index 1. Business Planning i. The Need ii. The Team iii. The Deal iv. Online Business Models Deployed v. The Revenue Model vi. The Opportunity vii. The Opportunity SWOT viii. The Financials ix. The Finance x. The Recap 2. Functional Strategy Planning i. Marketing strategy ii. Communication Strategy iii. Financial strategy iv. Operations strategy v. Purchasing strategy vi. Logistics strategy vii. Human resources strategy viii. Management strategy ix. Information system strategy 3. Product Planning i. Complete Flow ii. Consumer Touch Points iii. Competition SWOT iv. Product Feature Details v. Product Placement vi. Technical Details 54
  • 55. The Assumptions  A Technologically conscious and brand aware growing middle class  China to become world’s #1 Luxury market  Largest Online & Mobile Internet population worldwide  E-Commerce and online payment increased acceptance and use 55
  • 56. Back Internet Trends  420 mil internet users by June 2010(source: CNNIC), up 36 mil users from Dec 2009, at a 31.8% penetration rate.  Broadband internet users at 363.81 million  Rural internet users are at 115.08 million, which is 27.4% of all internet users, up from 7.7% in beginning 2009 56
  • 57. Back The luxury market trends  Sales of luxury goods grew by 12% in 2009, to $9.4 Billion, which is 27.5% of global market (source: Commercial Blue Book: China Business Development Report (2009-10))  In 2009, China overtook the U.S. to become the world’s second-largest luxury-goods market, behind Japan  Approximately half the luxury goods purchased in China are bought as gifts (source: AdAge)  China’s spend on luxury will increase to $14.6 Billion in the next five years, thus making it the No. 1 luxury goods consuming market in the world 57
  • 58. Back E-commerce Trends  E-commerce users in China have reached 142 Mil in June 2010, up by 31.4% since December 2009  Online retail sales:  In 2009 are @ $35 billion  In 2010 will reach @ $65.9 Billion (source: alibaba)  In 2011 will reach @ $84 Billion (Source: CNNIC)  Clothing is the No. 1 category in online retail sales (source: Alibaba)  In 2009, Taobao (by Alibaba) commanded 77% of B-to-C & C-to-C market  C-to-C transactions dominated the market at 93% of total transactions  Taobao’s share @ 82%  Tencent’s paipai share @ 10%  Tom-Ebay’s share was @ 8% 58
  • 59. Back Online Gaming and Social Networking Trends  Driven by social networks, Casual / Online gaming is growing fast:  Was at $3 Billion in 2009  Expected to grow @ 30% in 2010  Social networking is dominated by local players  Tencent’s QQ, Kaixin001, RenRen, 51.com etc.  Weibo (a local Twitter) by Sina reached 56 million subs in Aug 2010  Facebook, twitter are blocked in China  Kaixin001 is the fastest growing SNS reaching RMB 100 Million revenue in 2010 with advertising contributing 80%  It has 86 million registered users with 25 million unique users per day 59
  • 60. Back Mobile Telecom Trends  805.35 mil mobile subscribers in June 2010 (source MIIT)  Growing @ 15.85% on year  60.5% penetration  In June 2010 Mobile internet users reached (source CNNIC)  277 million up by 43.34 million 6 months earlier, a growth rate of 18.6%  Of total mobile internet users 11.7% accessed internet only on their mobiles (source CNNIC)  32.4 million only mobile internet users  There are 3 major mobile telecom operators in China:  China Mobile 70% Market share  China Unicom 25% Market share  China Telecom 5% Market share  20 million 3G users as of August 2010 (source CNNIC) 60
  • 61. Total Ad Spend Trends  Total Ad spend in 2009 (source: DCCI)  Newspapers rose @ 22% to $5 billion  Outdoor rose @ 23% to $2.02 billion  Magazines rose @ 21% to $1.05 billion  Radio rose @ 35% to $960 million  Digital / Online ad spend projected (source: DCCI)  In 2010 to reach @ RMB 25.27 bilion or $3.7 billion  In 2012 to reach @ RMB 42.31 billion or $6.3 Billion 61
  • 62. Back Venture Capital Method Most private equity investments are characterized by negative cash flows and earnings in early stages and highly uncertain but potentially substantial future rewards. VC method accounts for this by valuing a company using a multiple, at a time in future when it is projected to have achieved positive cash flows and earnings. This terminal value is then discounted back to the present value at a typically very high discount rate 25% to 70%.  Following formulas are used to calculate the value of the firm and shares issued:  Total Terminal Value = PER x Terminal Net Income  Final Ownership Required = Required future ownership / Total terminal value = (( 1 + IRR ) years X Investment ) / (PER x Terminal Net Income) % ownership acquired = new shares / (old shares + new shares)  Or, new shares issued = (% ownership / (1 - %ownership)) x old shares  PER = price-earnings ratio  IRR = internal rate of return aka discount rate  Pre-money and post-money valuation  Pre-money valuation: Price paid per share in financing round multiplied by number of shares outstanding before financing event  Post-money valuation: Price paid per share in financing round times the number of shares outstanding after financing event  Following formulae are used to calculate the pre-money and post-money valuations:  Post-money valuation = investment / % ownership acquired  Pre-money valuation = post-money valuation – new investment 62
  • 63. Back China Regional Behavioral Mapping 63
  • 64. Back Team Profiling 64
  • 65.  Factors creating favorable climates for venture capital Source: Deloitte Squares highlighted in yellow: = over 50% of respondents said YES 65
  • 66.  Factors creating non-favorable climates for venture capital Source: Deloitte Squares highlighted in yellow: = over 50% of respondents said YES 66