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ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
SHELL IN NIGERIA




PORT HARCOURT, NIGERIA
OCTOBER 10, 2012

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012   1
SHELL IN NIGERIA
IAN CRAIG
EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012   2
CAUTIONARY NOTE


Spill volumes, both due to operational and crude theft/sabotage activities, are estimates made during the regulated Joint investigation visits.

The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal
Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us”
and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by
identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which
Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies
in which Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which Shell has joint control are
referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this presentation, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term
“Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership
interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest.

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other
than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are
based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or
events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the
potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and
assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’,
‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There
are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the
forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for
Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental
and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such
transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments
including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l)
political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of
projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are
expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking
statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December, 2011 (available at
www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this
presentation, 10 October 2012. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred
from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this
presentation in the future, or that they will be made at all.

We use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from
including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website
www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     10 October 2012                                                                                                                                     3
NIGERIA




    ~167 million people
    20% of population live in the
    Niger Delta                                                   NIGERIA

    Federal Republic
    OPEC estimates oil reserves of ~35
    billion barrels and ~185 tcf gas
    reserves*
                                                                            THE
    Produces ~2.5 million barrels of oil                                    NIGER DELTA
    per day
                                                         400 km




           MAJOR OIL AND GAS PROVINCE
           SHELL PRESENCE SINCE 1950s
*Definition not consistent with SEC proved reserves

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     10 October 2012                                    4
ECONOMIC GROWTH




 NIGERIA
                                        +3% p.a          +9% p.a

 BRAZIL
                                        +2% p.a          +4% p.a
                                                                   NIGERIA: ONE OF
                                                                   FASTEST GROWING
 MALAYSIA
                                        +4% p.a          +5% p.a   ECONOMIES
                                                                    GDP per capita ~ $1600-
                                                                    2600 (South Africa $8700 in
 WORLD                                                              2011)
 ECONOMY                                +4% p.a          +3% p.a
                                                                     Oil & gas revenue account
                                                                    for 80% of government
                                                                    revenues, ~30% of GDP and
 SUB-SAHARAN                                                        95% of export revenues
 AFRICA                                 +3% p.a          +5% p.a
                                                                    Annual inflation 12-14%
                                     1996-1999         2000-2010    High unemployment: >20%
Source: IMF real terms growth, WWM Global Insights

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                              5
NIGERIA ECONOMY

TOP BUSINESS COMPLAINTS                                                   ECONOMIC COST OF POWER OUTAGES


           Electricity                                                   Nigeria


  Finance (access)                                                       Malawi

                                                                         Uganda
      Finance (cost)
                                                                         Kenya
           Tax rates
                                                                         South Africa
        Macro econ
                                                                         Tanzania

         Corruption                                                      Madagascar

     Transportation                                                      Benin

                                                                         Cabo Verde
               Crime
                                                                         Senegal
         Tax
     administration                                                      Cameroon
     Access to land
                                                                         Burkina Faso

                         0           20         40      60    80   100                  0               1                2      3   4
                                           % of respondents                                                          % of GDP



Source: WB Investment Climate Assessment 2011                            Source: derived from Eberhard and others 2009

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc    10 October 2012                                                                               6
SAFETY

PERSONAL SAFETY INDICATORS                                                  WORKPLACE FATALITIES
per million man hours                                                       #

    1.0                                                                     12
                                                                            10
                                                                                8
    0.5                                                                         6                 Iriama (7 fatalities)
                                                                                4
                                                                                2
    0.0                                                                         0
              2008            2009        2010           2011  2012 (end               2008             2009         2010       2011   2012
                                                                  Aug)
          Shell in Nigeria TRCF (total recordable case frequency)                          Motor vehicle incident           Drowning
                                                                                           Worksite hazard                  Security

KIDNAPPINGS
#
                                                                                2 fatalities in 2012 to date
100
                                                                                         armed attack on an environmental survey

    50                                                                          Kidnapping remains a real threat for staff and
                                                                                families
     0
             2008            2009         2010           2011   2012 (end
                                                                 August)
          Staff                            Contractors
          Family
                                                                            All data on a Shell operated basis

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                                                                          7
SHELL FOOTPRINT IN NIGERIA

                                                                                                                             OFFSHORE AND ONSHORE
        Divested
        In Process                                   40          OML

                                     ERHA/BOSI
                                                                 4/38/41                                                      Long history of operations in
                                                            42     34     30   26
                                                                                                                              country: >50 years
                                                                                    GBARAN UBIE

                                                                                                                              SPDC JV – Onshore/Shallow water
                                         BONGA                                                     AFAM POWER STATION
                                                                                                     OGONILAND

                                                                                                  NIGERIA LNG                 production

                                                                                                                              SNEPCO – Deepwater production
                                                                 OPL245


                                                                                                                              NLNG – LNG JV
PRODUCTION (SHELL SHARE 2011)
kboe per day                                                                                                 mtpa capacity

300
250
200                                                                                                                      5
150
100
  50
    0                                                                                                                    0
                      SPDC                            SNEPCO                                  NLNG (RHS)

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc        10 October 2012                                                                                                     8
SHELL BUSINESSES IN NIGERIA



                                         EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION                                      LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS
                                         Onshore/shallow offshore                                        People: ~1,000
                                            People: 3,500 (30,000                                        LNG production capacity:
                                            contractors)                                                 22 mtpa, Trains 1-6
                                            Potential production: ~1 MM
                                            boe/d
                                            ~1,000 wells, ~8000 km
                                            pipelines
SPDC JV                                                                     NLNG
(55% NNPC, 30% SPDC Ltd, 10% Total, 5% Eni)                                 (49% NNPC, 25.6% Shell, 15% Total, 10.4% Eni)



                                         EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION           DOMESTIC GAS DISTRIBUTION
                                         Deepwater                             People: ~40
                                            People: ~600                       Location: Niger Delta
                                            Bonga & Erha production            Downstream gas supply
                                            Operated production capacity:
                                            225,000 boe/d



SNEPCo                                                                      SNG
(100% Shell)                                                                (100% Shell)

 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                                                               9
SNEPCO: DEEPWATER

                                                       OML 118 - Bonga, Shell 55%
                                                        Discovered 1995, on-stream 2005
                                                        FPSO capacity: 200 kbbl/d & 150 MMscf/d
                                                        SNEPCO operated

                                                       OML 133 – Erha/Bosi, Shell 44%, non-operated
                                                        Onstream : 2006
                                                        FPSO Capacity: 190 kbbl/d

  Bonga FPSO ( Shell 55%)                              Bonga NW development (OML 118), Shell 55%
                                                         45 kboe/d expansion
                                                         Tie back to Bonga; on-stream 2014/2015

                                                       OPL 245 – Zabazaba, Shell 50%, non operated
                                                         Existing discoveries with development potential
                                                         Further exploration potential

                                                              SHELL PRODUCTION 106
                                                              KBOE/D (2011)
                                                              PSC CONTRACTS; 100% IOC
  Erha FPSO (Shell 44%)                                       GROWTH POTENTIAL

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                                       10
NLNG: LNG EXPORT


                                                       Shell 25.6%, NNPC 49%, Total 15%, ENI
                                                       10.4%
                                                       6 LNG trains, 22 mtpa capacity (plus 5
                                                       mtpa of NGLs)
                                                       Train 1 and 2 on-stream 1999
                                                       Train 6 on-stream 2007
                                                       Expansion potential

  NLNG T1 & 2 Construction (Shell 25.6%)




                                                           GROWTH TO 6 TRAINS SINCE
                                                           1999
                                                           INCORPORATED JV; SELF-
  NLNG T6 construction                                     FINANCING

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                            11
SPDC JV OVERVIEW
MUTIU SUNMONU
MANAGING DIRECTOR SPDC


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012   12
SPDC JV: ONSHORE/SHALLOW WATER JV


                                                       Unincorporated JV structure

                                                       Shell 30%, NNPC 55%, Total 10%, ENI 5%

                                                       Joint Operating Agreement defines rights &
                                                       obligations of operator (SPDC Ltd) and
                                                       non-operating partners

  Bonny Terminal                                       Decisions by unanimous vote of partners

                                                       All partners fund in proportion to their
                                                       share




  Sea Eagle platform


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                              13
SPDC JV: GBARAN UBIE & AFAM VI

                                                                         GBARAN UBIE
                                                                           World class gas project; on-stream 2010
                                                                           Delivered in height of the security problems
                                                                           1 bcf/d & 70 kbbl/d liquids capacity
                                                                           $1 billion in local content
                                                                           95% of construction workforce was Nigerian
                                                                           4 GMOUs in the area covering 44 local
                                                                           communities
                                                                           200,000 people benefiting from electrification
  Gbaran Ubie Integrated gas project
                                                                           projects.

                                                                         AFAM VI
                                                                          CCGT gas fired power plant
                                                                          First Power 2008, construction began 2005
                                                                          650 MW capacity
                                                                          14%-20% of the power contribution to the national
                                                                          grid
                                                                          Gas provided by SPDC Okoloma facility (240
                                                                          mmscf/d capacity)


  Afam VI power plant
SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                                                        14
SPDC JV: FOOTPRINT MANAGEMENT



                                                                                                                  Largest and most diverse of the IOC footprints
 Deg N            SPDC JV
                       SPDC
                                                          •Deg N         Exxon Mobil
                                                                             •Mobil                               onshore
  6.5
                                   non-producing           •6.5
                                                                                            •non-producing
                                   producing
                                                                                            •producing

  5.5
                   WARRI
                                                           •5.5
                                                                            •WARRI                                Recent divestments help SPDC to manage its
                                   PHC
                                                                                                                  footprint
                                                                                             •PHC
  4.5                                                      •4.5



  3.5                                                      •3.5
                                                                                                                  ~2,200 km oil pipelines
         4   5     6   Deg E   7            8       9          •4    •5     •6 •Deg E•7               •8     •9



 Deg N           Agip (ENI)
                       Agip
                                                          Deg N            Chevron
                                                                            Chevron
                                                                                                                  ~850 km gas pipelines
 6.5                                                      6.5
                                   non-producing                                            non-producing
                                   producing                                                producing



 5.5
                   WARRI
                                                          5.5
                                                                           WARRI
                                                                                                                  ~4,600 km of flow lines
                                   PHC                                                      PHC
 4.5                                                      4.5




 3.5                                                      3.5
        4    5     6   Deg E   7            8       9           4    5      6   Deg E   7            8       9




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc                 10 October 2012                                                                                                 15
SPDC JV – MAJOR CHALLENGES

ONGOING CHALLENGES CRUDE THEFT AND ILLEGAL REFINING    FLARE REDUCTION - PROGRESS BEING MADE




  Large and small scale theft




  Illegal refining of stolen crude                       Flare site in the Niger Delta


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                           16
CRUDE THEFT CAUSES


    Estimates of 150,000 bbl/d and upwards
     $ 6.1 bln revenue loss (2011 prices)
     Stolen crude exported

    Imports & subsidy
     445,000 bbl/d refining capacity;
     underutilized in practice
     Imports of oil products + $ 8 bln
     subsidies (2011)                                  Fuel queue during January 2012 national strike
     Stolen crude refined for local and
     regional market




                                                       Crude Theft, Okololunch, Sept 2012


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                                    17
SPDC: LARGE SCALE CRUDE THEFT


kbbl per day
150
             Niger Delta wide theft
             estimate of 150,000 bbl/d or
             ~55,000,000 bbl/year
                                                               2011 Spills due to sabotage
                                                               on SPDC rights of way or
                                                               from SPDC facilities

75                                                             11,806 bbl



              Measured as stolen from
              SPDC trunk lines:                                2011 Operational Spills
              ~40,000 bbl/d or
              ~15,000,000 bbl/year                             3,595 bbl
 0
                                                       72% recovery during cleanup in 2011


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                         18
NIGERIA: SPDC JV

ENVIRONMENT: SPILLS                                                            PIPELINE REPLACEMENT
oil spills, thousand tonnes                                               #
                                                                         200
15
                                                                               Nembe Creek trunk line: complete 2010

                                                                         150     97 km; $1.1 billion

10
                                                                               Trans Niger Pipeline loop project
                                                                         100     Around Ogoniland; major area of crude theft
                                                                                 Pending approval by government partner
  5
                                                                         50



  0                                                                      0
         2006         2007           2008    2009        2010     2011
                                                 Sabotage
                       volume of spills:         Operational
                                                 Operational
               number of spills (RHS):
                                                 Sabotage

2011 SPILL AND REMEDIATION PERFORMANCE

      30% drop in operational spill volume
      351 sites remediated (272 in 2010)
      Reduction in remediation backlog from 400 end 2010
      to 274 sites end 2011

SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis
                                                                               Nembe Creek trunk line replacement

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc     10 October 2012                                                                         19
SPDC: PROGRESS ON FLARING

PERFORMANCE                                                                      ASSESSING NEW INVESTMENT FOR GAS
boe gas flared per barrel produced (2010 data)                                   UTILIZATION
                       Onshore                          Offshore
                                                                                   Forcados Yokri & Southern Swamp AGG/Dom gas
0.1                                                                                Completion in 2014/2015; ~ $4 billion investment
                                                                                   Gas gathering, facility upgrades and new oil production
                                                                                   After completion, SPDC flaring intensity is expected to be
                                                                                   below the current worldwide industry average
0.0
           Nigeria              SPDC JV        Nigeria           SNEPCO
           industry                            industry


ENVIRONMENT: FLARING
mtpa CO2e flaring                                SPDC JV production kboe/d



                                                                          1000
15
                                                                          800
10                                                                        600

                                                                          400
 5
                                                                          200

 0                                                                        0
        2005      2006      2007 2008         2009 2010 2011
                            Gas Flared           Production
SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis
                                                                                 Forcados Yokri - South bank

Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012                                                                                            20
SHELL IN NIGERIA OVERVIEW
IAN CRAIG
EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA


Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012   21
SHELL IN NIGERIA


     Shell’s portfolio & track record


     Funding; security; PIB; organisational capability


     2012 Progress:
          2 FIDs of onshore associated gas projects
          Deepwater appraisal planning




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012     22
NIGERIA FIELD TRIP


QUESTIONS & ANSWERS




Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc   10 October 2012   23

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Shell In Nigeria & SPDC JV Overview

  • 1. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC SHELL IN NIGERIA PORT HARCOURT, NIGERIA OCTOBER 10, 2012 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 1
  • 2. SHELL IN NIGERIA IAN CRAIG EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 2
  • 3. CAUTIONARY NOTE Spill volumes, both due to operational and crude theft/sabotage activities, are estimates made during the regulated Joint investigation visits. The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies in which Shell has significant influence but not control are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which Shell has joint control are referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this presentation, associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December, 2011 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation, 10 October 2012. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this presentation in the future, or that they will be made at all. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330. Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 3
  • 4. NIGERIA ~167 million people 20% of population live in the Niger Delta NIGERIA Federal Republic OPEC estimates oil reserves of ~35 billion barrels and ~185 tcf gas reserves* THE Produces ~2.5 million barrels of oil NIGER DELTA per day 400 km MAJOR OIL AND GAS PROVINCE SHELL PRESENCE SINCE 1950s *Definition not consistent with SEC proved reserves Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 4
  • 5. ECONOMIC GROWTH NIGERIA +3% p.a +9% p.a BRAZIL +2% p.a +4% p.a NIGERIA: ONE OF FASTEST GROWING MALAYSIA +4% p.a +5% p.a ECONOMIES GDP per capita ~ $1600- 2600 (South Africa $8700 in WORLD 2011) ECONOMY +4% p.a +3% p.a Oil & gas revenue account for 80% of government revenues, ~30% of GDP and SUB-SAHARAN 95% of export revenues AFRICA +3% p.a +5% p.a Annual inflation 12-14% 1996-1999 2000-2010 High unemployment: >20% Source: IMF real terms growth, WWM Global Insights Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 5
  • 6. NIGERIA ECONOMY TOP BUSINESS COMPLAINTS ECONOMIC COST OF POWER OUTAGES Electricity Nigeria Finance (access) Malawi Uganda Finance (cost) Kenya Tax rates South Africa Macro econ Tanzania Corruption Madagascar Transportation Benin Cabo Verde Crime Senegal Tax administration Cameroon Access to land Burkina Faso 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 1 2 3 4 % of respondents % of GDP Source: WB Investment Climate Assessment 2011 Source: derived from Eberhard and others 2009 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 6
  • 7. SAFETY PERSONAL SAFETY INDICATORS WORKPLACE FATALITIES per million man hours # 1.0 12 10 8 0.5 6 Iriama (7 fatalities) 4 2 0.0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (end 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Aug) Shell in Nigeria TRCF (total recordable case frequency) Motor vehicle incident Drowning Worksite hazard Security KIDNAPPINGS # 2 fatalities in 2012 to date 100 armed attack on an environmental survey 50 Kidnapping remains a real threat for staff and families 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (end August) Staff Contractors Family All data on a Shell operated basis Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 7
  • 8. SHELL FOOTPRINT IN NIGERIA OFFSHORE AND ONSHORE Divested In Process 40 OML ERHA/BOSI 4/38/41 Long history of operations in 42 34 30 26 country: >50 years GBARAN UBIE SPDC JV – Onshore/Shallow water BONGA AFAM POWER STATION OGONILAND NIGERIA LNG production SNEPCO – Deepwater production OPL245 NLNG – LNG JV PRODUCTION (SHELL SHARE 2011) kboe per day mtpa capacity 300 250 200 5 150 100 50 0 0 SPDC SNEPCO NLNG (RHS) Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 8
  • 9. SHELL BUSINESSES IN NIGERIA EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS Onshore/shallow offshore People: ~1,000 People: 3,500 (30,000 LNG production capacity: contractors) 22 mtpa, Trains 1-6 Potential production: ~1 MM boe/d ~1,000 wells, ~8000 km pipelines SPDC JV NLNG (55% NNPC, 30% SPDC Ltd, 10% Total, 5% Eni) (49% NNPC, 25.6% Shell, 15% Total, 10.4% Eni) EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION DOMESTIC GAS DISTRIBUTION Deepwater People: ~40 People: ~600 Location: Niger Delta Bonga & Erha production Downstream gas supply Operated production capacity: 225,000 boe/d SNEPCo SNG (100% Shell) (100% Shell) Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 9
  • 10. SNEPCO: DEEPWATER OML 118 - Bonga, Shell 55% Discovered 1995, on-stream 2005 FPSO capacity: 200 kbbl/d & 150 MMscf/d SNEPCO operated OML 133 – Erha/Bosi, Shell 44%, non-operated Onstream : 2006 FPSO Capacity: 190 kbbl/d Bonga FPSO ( Shell 55%) Bonga NW development (OML 118), Shell 55% 45 kboe/d expansion Tie back to Bonga; on-stream 2014/2015 OPL 245 – Zabazaba, Shell 50%, non operated Existing discoveries with development potential Further exploration potential SHELL PRODUCTION 106 KBOE/D (2011) PSC CONTRACTS; 100% IOC Erha FPSO (Shell 44%) GROWTH POTENTIAL Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 10
  • 11. NLNG: LNG EXPORT Shell 25.6%, NNPC 49%, Total 15%, ENI 10.4% 6 LNG trains, 22 mtpa capacity (plus 5 mtpa of NGLs) Train 1 and 2 on-stream 1999 Train 6 on-stream 2007 Expansion potential NLNG T1 & 2 Construction (Shell 25.6%) GROWTH TO 6 TRAINS SINCE 1999 INCORPORATED JV; SELF- NLNG T6 construction FINANCING Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 11
  • 12. SPDC JV OVERVIEW MUTIU SUNMONU MANAGING DIRECTOR SPDC Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 12
  • 13. SPDC JV: ONSHORE/SHALLOW WATER JV Unincorporated JV structure Shell 30%, NNPC 55%, Total 10%, ENI 5% Joint Operating Agreement defines rights & obligations of operator (SPDC Ltd) and non-operating partners Bonny Terminal Decisions by unanimous vote of partners All partners fund in proportion to their share Sea Eagle platform Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 13
  • 14. SPDC JV: GBARAN UBIE & AFAM VI GBARAN UBIE World class gas project; on-stream 2010 Delivered in height of the security problems 1 bcf/d & 70 kbbl/d liquids capacity $1 billion in local content 95% of construction workforce was Nigerian 4 GMOUs in the area covering 44 local communities 200,000 people benefiting from electrification Gbaran Ubie Integrated gas project projects. AFAM VI CCGT gas fired power plant First Power 2008, construction began 2005 650 MW capacity 14%-20% of the power contribution to the national grid Gas provided by SPDC Okoloma facility (240 mmscf/d capacity) Afam VI power plant SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 14
  • 15. SPDC JV: FOOTPRINT MANAGEMENT Largest and most diverse of the IOC footprints Deg N SPDC JV SPDC •Deg N Exxon Mobil •Mobil onshore 6.5 non-producing •6.5 •non-producing producing •producing 5.5 WARRI •5.5 •WARRI Recent divestments help SPDC to manage its PHC footprint •PHC 4.5 •4.5 3.5 •3.5 ~2,200 km oil pipelines 4 5 6 Deg E 7 8 9 •4 •5 •6 •Deg E•7 •8 •9 Deg N Agip (ENI) Agip Deg N Chevron Chevron ~850 km gas pipelines 6.5 6.5 non-producing non-producing producing producing 5.5 WARRI 5.5 WARRI ~4,600 km of flow lines PHC PHC 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 4 5 6 Deg E 7 8 9 4 5 6 Deg E 7 8 9 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 15
  • 16. SPDC JV – MAJOR CHALLENGES ONGOING CHALLENGES CRUDE THEFT AND ILLEGAL REFINING FLARE REDUCTION - PROGRESS BEING MADE Large and small scale theft Illegal refining of stolen crude Flare site in the Niger Delta Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 16
  • 17. CRUDE THEFT CAUSES Estimates of 150,000 bbl/d and upwards $ 6.1 bln revenue loss (2011 prices) Stolen crude exported Imports & subsidy 445,000 bbl/d refining capacity; underutilized in practice Imports of oil products + $ 8 bln subsidies (2011) Fuel queue during January 2012 national strike Stolen crude refined for local and regional market Crude Theft, Okololunch, Sept 2012 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 17
  • 18. SPDC: LARGE SCALE CRUDE THEFT kbbl per day 150 Niger Delta wide theft estimate of 150,000 bbl/d or ~55,000,000 bbl/year 2011 Spills due to sabotage on SPDC rights of way or from SPDC facilities 75 11,806 bbl Measured as stolen from SPDC trunk lines: 2011 Operational Spills ~40,000 bbl/d or ~15,000,000 bbl/year 3,595 bbl 0 72% recovery during cleanup in 2011 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 18
  • 19. NIGERIA: SPDC JV ENVIRONMENT: SPILLS PIPELINE REPLACEMENT oil spills, thousand tonnes # 200 15 Nembe Creek trunk line: complete 2010 150 97 km; $1.1 billion 10 Trans Niger Pipeline loop project 100 Around Ogoniland; major area of crude theft Pending approval by government partner 5 50 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Sabotage volume of spills: Operational Operational number of spills (RHS): Sabotage 2011 SPILL AND REMEDIATION PERFORMANCE 30% drop in operational spill volume 351 sites remediated (272 in 2010) Reduction in remediation backlog from 400 end 2010 to 274 sites end 2011 SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis Nembe Creek trunk line replacement Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 19
  • 20. SPDC: PROGRESS ON FLARING PERFORMANCE ASSESSING NEW INVESTMENT FOR GAS boe gas flared per barrel produced (2010 data) UTILIZATION Onshore Offshore Forcados Yokri & Southern Swamp AGG/Dom gas 0.1 Completion in 2014/2015; ~ $4 billion investment Gas gathering, facility upgrades and new oil production After completion, SPDC flaring intensity is expected to be below the current worldwide industry average 0.0 Nigeria SPDC JV Nigeria SNEPCO industry industry ENVIRONMENT: FLARING mtpa CO2e flaring SPDC JV production kboe/d 1000 15 800 10 600 400 5 200 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gas Flared Production SPDC = 30% Shell, 55% NNPC, 10% Total, 5% Agip; all data on 100% basis Forcados Yokri - South bank Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 20
  • 21. SHELL IN NIGERIA OVERVIEW IAN CRAIG EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 21
  • 22. SHELL IN NIGERIA Shell’s portfolio & track record Funding; security; PIB; organisational capability 2012 Progress: 2 FIDs of onshore associated gas projects Deepwater appraisal planning Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 22
  • 23. NIGERIA FIELD TRIP QUESTIONS & ANSWERS Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 10 October 2012 23