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Sustainable management solutions

 CLIMATE CHANGE AND RENEWABLE
 ENERGY CHALLENGES AND
 OPPORTUNITIES IN DEVELOPING
 NATIONS

October     5,2011  Webinar,     PMI   Global   RUTH P. BRIONES, MPA, LlB
Sustainability Community of Practice
Abstract
    The intention of this presentation is to focus on the challenges that
     developing nations in order to reduce emissions in view of the refusal of
     developed nations to sign an extension of the Kyoto Agreement.
    This is in view of the a great divide between developed nations and
     developing nations as to how these countries cut their emissions. It could be
     noted that the Kyoto Protocol set emissions targets only to developed
     nations and that the said agreement is ending, the challenge is on the
     developing nations to implement measures to cut emissions by speeding up
     development of sustainable green technological change and the
     transition towards renewable energy.
    It will be emphasized that the real challenge for the future is to introduce
     policy measures that can really enhance inclusive and sustainable growth on
     renewable energy, which is an opportunity to developing nations.
Parts of the presentation


    Background on Climate Change,
     impacts and effects
    Challenges, Cause of action
    Management and Development
    The Opportunities
Climate change…
          Climate change is a significant and lasting
          change in the statistical distribution of
          weather patterns over periods ranging from
          decades to millions of years. It may be a
          change in average weather conditions or
          the distribution of events around that
          average (e.g., more or fewer extreme
          weather events).

          Climate change may be limited to a
          specific region or may occur across the
          whole earth.
COAL, OIL,
   NATURAL GAS- when
                                                   LANDFILLS,
   burned release carbon
                                                   GAS PIPELINES
   dioxide (greenhouse gas
                                                   RICE PADDIES.
   emissions),transportation,   CAUSES             COAL MINERS
   power generations
                                   OF
                                CLIMATE
   DEFORESTATION:               CHANGE             FERTILIZERS
   when wood is burned;                            AND OTHER
   wood rots in swamp                              CHEMICALS.
   methane is produced




HOW MUCH WARMING ?

SCIENTISTS SAY----

          ABOUT 2.5 DEGREE FAHRENHEIT
          1.4 DEGREE CENTIGRADE BY THE YEAR 2050
Climate Change? Causes…a blanket
   around the earth…
                                    A layer of greenhouse gases –
                                    primarily water vapor, and
                                    including much smaller amounts
                                    of carbon dioxide, methane and
                                    nitrous oxide – act as a thermal
                                    blanket for the Earth, absorbing
                                    heat and warming the surface to
                                    a life-supporting average of 59
                                    degrees Fahrenheit (15 degrees
                                    Celsius).




                                Water Vapor
                 Human          Carbon Dioxides
Main causes of   expansion of   Methane
global warming   Greenhouse     Nitrous Oxide
                 Effects        Chroloflourocarbon
                                              Source: NASA
Effects of Climate Change in
  developing nations




                                                   • Food Security Scarcity
• Untold Sufferings to      • Hunger
  developing nations
                                                   • Worsening economy
                            • Famine
• Little mitigation or no                          • Poor development
  capacity to mitigate      • Widespread             infrastructure
  the impacts                 Diseases
                                                   • Political instability
• Worst affected            • Desertification of
                                                   • Mushrooming
                              some arable lands
                                                     population in urban
                                                     areas
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC) recognizes that the industrialized countries
are responsible for a major part of historical and current global
emissions of greenhouse gases, and they must therefore take
the lead in making commitments to reduce their emissions.
Cost
of Climate                                      HIGH
Change
                              CUTTING OF EMISSIONS OF
                              GREENHOUSE GASES
                              GREENING OF ECONOMIES THAT WILL
                              PROVIDE GLOBAL LEAD
    OUR
    RESPONSIBILITY
                              USE OF ADVANCED
    IN TWO WAYS
                              TECHNOLOGIES
                              BUILDING LOW OR CARBON ENERGY
                              STRUCTURES
                              SHARING SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTANDING AND
                              TECHNOLOGICAL EXPERTISE



•    This will cost money -------
•    but, will save humanity and long term health of economy
CHANGING
COURSE…
                                 •   REDUCE DEPENDENCE AND
WORLD AGENDA                         DEMAND ON FOSSIL FUELS



                                ALTERNATIVE COURSE OF ACTION
   GROWING POPULATION
   BURGEONING ECONOMIC         DEVELOP FOSSIL FUEL
    DEVELOPMENT                   ENERGY ALTERNATIVES
   ENERGY SECURITY
                                INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY
   ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
                                REDUCE ENERGY CONSUMPTION




ACHIEVING SOLUTIONS WILL NOT BE EASY, BUT ENHANCING
ENERGY SECURITY AND AVERTING FUTURE HARMS TO THE
ENVIRONMENT IS POSSIBLE AND CAN ALSO BE PROFITABLE.
WE MUST CUT OUR
EMISSIONS OF
GREENHOUSE GASES




                   Global renewable energy
                   investment growth (1995-2007)
International Climate Change Negotiations
                                     Kyoto Protocol’s target : reduce by 5.2%
                                      compared to the year 1990 (but note
                                      that, compared to the emissions levels
                                      that would be expected by 2010 without
                                      the Protocol.
                                     The goal is to lower overall emissions
                                      from six greenhouse gases - carbon
I.    Earth Summit, 1992              dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, sulfur
II.   United Nations’ Framework       hexafluoride, HFCs, and PFCs - calculated
      Convention on Climate           as an average over the five-year period of
      Change,1992                     2008-12;
III. Kyoto Protocol,1997             National targets range from 8%
                                      reductions for the European Union and
IV. Copenhagen Accord, 2010
                                      some others to 7% for the US, 6% for
V.    Bonn Climate Change             Japan, 0% for Russia, and permitted
      Negotiation,2011                increases of 8% for Australia and 10% for
                                      Iceland.“–
The Challenge to Developing
                                     Nations


The low commitment from rich nations
to reduce emissions is unsurprising.

The major emitters (USA, the
European Union will continue to retain       Developed nations imposed that a new
the highest share of emissions over time.    legally-binding    framework      should
                                             include all major emitters including the
Countries such as USA, Australia and        developing nations.
Japan had signified that they do not favor
signing a post Kyoto 2012 emissions          Developing nations are for          the
constraints agreements.                      extension of Kyoto, obliging all
                                             industrialized nations to cut greenhouse
In 2010, investments in clean energy        gas emissions by 5.2% below 1990
rose up to US$ 243 Billion and a 30%         levels during 2008-2012.
increase of 2009 levels.
                                             Developed nations refuse any legally
An IPCC report stated that the world        binding agreement to reduce emissions
could meet as much 43% of global             after 2012.
energy demand with renewable energy
sources by 2030 and 77% by 2050. This
30% renewable energy penetration is
realistic.
Pledge amount to more
                 mitigation and move toward
The post 2012    stop growth of energy
challenges for   related emissions
developing
nations
                 Speed up green
                 technological change and
                 transition towards
                 renewable energy.
1. Viable alternative
                         2. Environmental concerns
Why                      3. Fossil fuel are more expensive
Renewable                4. Limitless fuel to turn a Renewable
Energy?                     Energy Infrastructure like wind, solar,
                            and wastes
                         5. Increase range of technologies
                         6. Renewable energy gets cheaper


            Project Design and Management
                 A successful renewable energy
                       project is one that


    1. Links energy with social aspects
    2. Meets needs
    3. Use appropriate and proven technology that will effectively use
       as alternative energy source at the same time reduces and
       eliminate carbon dioxides and greenhouse gases
    4. Is reliable and sustainable
    5. Is economically viable
Issues in the management and development of
Renewable Energy Projects

                THE POLICY ISSUES
                 FEED-IN-TARIFF REQUIREMENT
                 BIAS TOWARDS FOSSIL FUELS
                 LACK OF REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
POLICY           DEREGULATION OF ENERGY SECTOR

TECHNOLOGY
                THE TECHNOLOGY ISSUES
INSTITUTIONAL    LACK OF ENOUGH INVENTIONS
                 REQUIREMENT OF PROVEN TECHNOLOGIES
FINANCIAL        COMPLIANCE UNDER INTERNATIONAL
                  ENVIRONMENTAL STANDARDS
                 PERMITTING PROCESS ARE TEDIOUS
                 LACK OF WORKING TECHNOLOGY
                  REFERENCES
Issues in the development
of Renewable Energy Projects


                                     THE FINANCIAL ISSUES
 INSTITUTIONAL/REGULATORY
 ISSUES
                                     i.     SOURCES OF FINANCING
 i.     LACK OF CAPACITY TO          ii.    NEED FOR PRE-DEVELOPMENT
        DEVELOP, IMPLEMENT,                 FUNDING
        OPERATE RE PROJECTS;
                                     iii.   LIMITED ACCESS TO EQUITY
 ii.    LACK OF SOUND RENEWABLE
        ENERGY POLICY;               iv.    HIGHER PROJECT
                                            PREPARATION/TRANSACTION
 iii.   WEAK IMPLEMENTATION OF              COST
        THE UNFCCC CLEAN
        DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM        v.     REQUIREMENTS FOR LOCAL
                                            GUARANTEE FUND
 iv.    NEED OF FLEXIBLE AND SELF-
        SUSTAINABLE SUPPORT          vi.    GRANT MENTALITY OF
        MECHANISM FOR RENEWABLE             DONORS/COUNTRIES
        ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
In order to achieve self reliance in the development of
  Renewable Energy project s Policy Framework should
  have the following directions:




                                                  Encourage the
     Adoption of
                                                development and
sustainable energy
                            Increase the           utilization of
    development
                            utilization of      renewable energy
    strategies to
                        renewable energy       resources as tools
     reduce the                                                        Establish the
                       by institutionalizing       to effectively
   dependence on                                                        necessary
                                               prevent or reduce
   fossil fuels and    the development of                           infrastructure and
                                               harmful emissions
  thereby minimize       capabilities in the                           mechanisms.
                                                    and thereby
 exposure to price       use of renewable       balance the goals
 fluctuations in the      energy systems;          of economic
international fossil
                                                    growth and
    fuel markets.
                                                  development;
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
 FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY   RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
 PROJECTS
                        ECONOMIC VIABILITY


                        TECHNOLOGY SELECTION

                        PRELIMINARY STUDIES

Factors to be           PROJECT SIZING
considered at the
planning stage          INSTITUTIONAL, POLICY, AND
                        REGULATIONS

                        STAKEHOLDER AND OFFTAKER
                        REQUIREMENTS
                        FINANCING OPTIONS, ECONOMIC
                        VIABILITY AND COST

                        TIMETABLE
THE PROJECT DEVELOPMENT AND MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
INTEGRATION REQUIREMENTS FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY
PROJECTS

                                            DETAILED INVESTIGATION AND
     PREPARATION OF                          ANALYIS OF THE TECHNICAL,
       LONG TERM         CONDUCT OF FRONT    ECONOMIC, INSTITUTIONAL,
                          END ENGINEERING       LEGAL,REGULATORY
     COMPREHENSIVE             DESIGN       ELEMENTS OF THE PROPOSED
   DEVELOPMENT PLAN                          PROJECT TO SUBSTANTIATE
                                             THE PROJECT’S ECONOMICS




    THE TOTAL PROJECT                          PROCESS FLOW
                            CIVIL WORKS
      COST ESTIMATE                              DIAGRAM




                        DETERMINATION OF    THE DELIVERY
    PRELIMINARY HEAT    THE FIRM PRICE      SCHEDULE FOR THE
      AND BALANCE       QOUTE AND           PROJECT EQUIPMENT
Factors to be considered in the preparation of a long term
project management plan for Renewable Energy Projects


                         Market oriented      Human capacity
     Infrastructure
                             reform              building




      Technology
                            Capacity          Local workforce
      transfer and
                           expansion              training
      productivity
                                               requirements
     enhancement




   Regulatory, legal        Project               Project
      and policy        management and       sustainability and
    requirements         maintenance                risks
The Business Plan
                               Business Model and
  Executive Summary                                              Investment
                               Strategy
• Scope of the project                                    • Investment structure
                               • Detailed business plan
• commercial rationale for     • Operations/Planning
  implementing the project,                               • Equity cash flow
                               • Expansion/Growth
• where located,                 Strategy
• who are involved,            • Marketing Strategy       • Exit Strategy
• who is doing, what, where,
  when, how and why
                               • Management and
                                 manpower
• Total investment involved;
                               • Management expertise
• investment/financing
  required,                      and credentials
                                 partnerships
• market opportunity;
• business objectives;         • Technologies and
                                 Suppliers
• projected headline returns
                               • Industry analysis,
                                 external analysis
                               • Competitive advantage
                                 analysis
FOUR STAGES OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT FOR
RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS
On Managing Renewable Energy Projects in
developing nations…
The challenge and objective that project managers
should participate is to involve in undertaking
concerning the technological change that will stabilize
greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a
level that will prevent dangerous human interference
with the climate.
As managers, Renewable Energy project management
deals with climate change in a way that balance a
broad array of relevant policy imperatives, which
include energy security, sustainable economic growth,
economic competitiveness and the other non-
environment issues and directions.
Renewable Energy is broad project management
agenda—a flexible market based approach
towards a low carbon, zero emission based action
towards an effective climate change mitigation.
FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS IN
DEVELOPING NATIONS

     Twenty (20) United Nations agencies
     support renewable energy projects in
     developing and underdeveloped countries.


                    Technical assistance and training
                    Institutional development
UN Activities
in Renewable        Capacity building
    Energy          Policy development
                    Power sector reform
                    Energy access and poverty reduction
FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY
 PROJECTS IN DEVELOPING NATIONS

Bilateral Development Agencies


   Global Environmental Facility

      International & Local Financial
      Institutions

         Asian Development Bank


            Carbon Finance, World Bank
Opportunities as per New
                    Energy Finance Report – CANREA

 Total amount of RE investment – over US $ 42 Billion in
    2005 and five fold increase thereafter
   CANREA sees the rapid growing investment interest in
    renewable energy globally involving developing nations.
   Wind energy dominates RE investments at $ 12 Billion in
    2005;
   Solar photovoltaic climbs over 5 GWp per year by 2011.
   Top 20 utilities in Europe targets to double RE capacity in
    the next five years.
Renewable energy development in developing
nations during the last ten years

Brazil- 90% of electricity comes from Hydro electric plants and 15 % of
   total energy comes from Renewable Energy projects; 2,000 MW of
   Biomass cogeneration power plant , 5 GW of wind power and 14 GW
   of hydro power.
India—Non-commercial biomass energy comprise 1/3 of total India
   energy use ; the transition to RE is visible of energy capacity
   initiatives to mitigate climate change, has instituted a sizeable RE
   program over the past 20 years- 3.3 million of household uses
   biomass gasification plants. High penetration of small hydro, wind,
   biomass and industrial waste –to-energy technologies sustains RE
   markets.
Other countries such as Mexico, Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines,
   Morocco, Croatia, Jordan, South Africa, Tunicia have programs in
   sustainable development of renewable energy projects.
The Feed-In-Tariff for Renewable Energy
       Projects

                                          The Feed-in-Tariff is the best
i.    Guaranteed connection to the grid   renewable energy policy and
ii.   Long term contract to sell          political  mechanism        to
      Renewable energy                    provide investment security
iii. Fixed price sufficient to recover    and spread the decentralized
     their costs plus a reasonable        production of renewable
      profit.                             energy.
iv. Democratizing energy
v.    Encouraging decentralized           As a renewable energy
      production from many producers      policy, feed-in-tariff would
      and many renewable sources          provide     flexible,    self-
vi. Spreading the power and               sustainable           support
    economic benefits as widely as        mechanism for renewable
    possible.                             energy    development      in
                                          developing countries.
The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and the development
  of Renewable Energy projects in developing countries


The CDM allows industrialized nations to fulfill some of their
legally binding greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets
by financing projects in developing nations .


Each tonne of reduced and verified
CO2 equivalents resulting from the     Can CDM and Feed-in-Tariff
project can be traded- and profits     be combined to sustain the
made - - on the international carbon    commercial viability of a
market in the form of Certified        Renewable Energy Project?
Emission Reduction Units (CERs)
Is there a need for a renewable energy policy fund?



According to World Future Council - a national renewable energy policy
fund can cover the feed-in-tariff rate and the concrete shares of
developing country could be determined on the criteria reflecting the
development status of the respective country, GDP /capita PPP/capita.

Is there a need to impose tax CDM in developing nations? This is ideal in
the sense that the imposition of tax on CDM generated within its borders,
this is an additional revenue.
   Financial incentives
                  Users’ Tax
                  Income Tax Holidays
                  Market support
                  Green Option
                  Feed-in-Tariff Rules
Policies for
leveraging        Low interest loans
renewable         Building domestic capacity for RE
energy             development
investments
                  Leveled playing field
                  Access to funds for R & D for RE
                   technologies
                  Domestic supports for RE technology
                   standards and energy efficiency standards
                   leveling
                  Introduction of revenue neutral
                   environmental taxes
Opportunities in renewable energy projects in
developing nations

                  Energy Efficiency Improvement: In the near future,
                     the amount of primary energy required for a given
                     energy service could be cost-effectively reduced by
                     25 to 35 percent in industrialized countries (the
                     higher figure being achievable by more effective
                     policies). In transitional economies, reductions of
                     more than 40 percent will be cost-effectively
                     achievable.
                  And in most developing countries – which tend to have
                     high economic growth and old capital and vehicle
                     stocks – the cost-effective improvement potential
                     ranges from 30 to more than 45 percent, relative to
                     energy efficiencies achieved with existing capital
                     stock.
                  However, when this potential is made use of there will
                     still remain 20 to 40 percent in 20 years time due to
                     technological progress. (Johansson et al, 2004)
The European Union supports for RE
development in developing countries
   About $115 M annually has been assisted over period 1997-2001

   A 250 million euro facility created to finance RE/EE

   Setting up Global RE funds (GREFF) to support several investor-
    financed funds

   Target capitalization of 75 million euros

   EU had set up development assistance in renewable energy in
    developing countries.

   EC-ASEAN Energy Facility (EAEF) aims to promote climate-
    friendly and clean energy sources as its primary focus in the
    ASEAN which ran between 2002-2007 with EU funding of 215 M
    Euro. Renewable Energy and energy efficiency components
    compose about 77 projects.
Conclusions

 Efforts among developing nations to speed up
  development of Renewable Energy can be crucial
  during the post-Kyoto scenario, however, these
  challenges provides opportunities with developing
  nations in the forefront of climate change mitigation
  and reduction of GHGs emissions.
 The global initiatives and supports towards the
  maximizing      energy      efficiency  investments,
  continuing market and policy reforms could move to
  the direction towards clean technologies and the
  transition towards renewable energy.
For more information, please contact:

               RUTH P.BRIONES, MPA, LlB.
               Chairman/Chief Executive Officer
               Greenergy Solutions Inc.
               Rm.401/411,Verde Oro Bldg.,
               535 Commonwealth Ave. Diliman
               Quezon City, Philippines
               Phone Nos: +632-490-5776 / + 63 917 5556948
               E-mail Address: gsiwte@gmail.com
               Website: www.greenergy-solutions.com

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Climate change and renewable energy oct6

  • 1. Sustainable management solutions CLIMATE CHANGE AND RENEWABLE ENERGY CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN DEVELOPING NATIONS October 5,2011 Webinar, PMI Global RUTH P. BRIONES, MPA, LlB Sustainability Community of Practice
  • 2. Abstract The intention of this presentation is to focus on the challenges that developing nations in order to reduce emissions in view of the refusal of developed nations to sign an extension of the Kyoto Agreement. This is in view of the a great divide between developed nations and developing nations as to how these countries cut their emissions. It could be noted that the Kyoto Protocol set emissions targets only to developed nations and that the said agreement is ending, the challenge is on the developing nations to implement measures to cut emissions by speeding up development of sustainable green technological change and the transition towards renewable energy. It will be emphasized that the real challenge for the future is to introduce policy measures that can really enhance inclusive and sustainable growth on renewable energy, which is an opportunity to developing nations.
  • 3. Parts of the presentation  Background on Climate Change, impacts and effects  Challenges, Cause of action  Management and Development  The Opportunities
  • 4. Climate change… Climate change is a significant and lasting change in the statistical distribution of weather patterns over periods ranging from decades to millions of years. It may be a change in average weather conditions or the distribution of events around that average (e.g., more or fewer extreme weather events). Climate change may be limited to a specific region or may occur across the whole earth.
  • 5. COAL, OIL, NATURAL GAS- when LANDFILLS, burned release carbon GAS PIPELINES dioxide (greenhouse gas RICE PADDIES. emissions),transportation, CAUSES COAL MINERS power generations OF CLIMATE DEFORESTATION: CHANGE FERTILIZERS when wood is burned; AND OTHER wood rots in swamp CHEMICALS. methane is produced HOW MUCH WARMING ? SCIENTISTS SAY---- ABOUT 2.5 DEGREE FAHRENHEIT 1.4 DEGREE CENTIGRADE BY THE YEAR 2050
  • 6. Climate Change? Causes…a blanket around the earth… A layer of greenhouse gases – primarily water vapor, and including much smaller amounts of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide – act as a thermal blanket for the Earth, absorbing heat and warming the surface to a life-supporting average of 59 degrees Fahrenheit (15 degrees Celsius). Water Vapor Human Carbon Dioxides Main causes of expansion of Methane global warming Greenhouse Nitrous Oxide Effects Chroloflourocarbon Source: NASA
  • 7. Effects of Climate Change in developing nations • Food Security Scarcity • Untold Sufferings to • Hunger developing nations • Worsening economy • Famine • Little mitigation or no • Poor development capacity to mitigate • Widespread infrastructure the impacts Diseases • Political instability • Worst affected • Desertification of • Mushrooming some arable lands population in urban areas
  • 8. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) recognizes that the industrialized countries are responsible for a major part of historical and current global emissions of greenhouse gases, and they must therefore take the lead in making commitments to reduce their emissions.
  • 9. Cost of Climate HIGH Change CUTTING OF EMISSIONS OF GREENHOUSE GASES GREENING OF ECONOMIES THAT WILL PROVIDE GLOBAL LEAD OUR RESPONSIBILITY USE OF ADVANCED IN TWO WAYS TECHNOLOGIES BUILDING LOW OR CARBON ENERGY STRUCTURES SHARING SCIENTIFIC UNDERSTANDING AND TECHNOLOGICAL EXPERTISE • This will cost money ------- • but, will save humanity and long term health of economy
  • 10. CHANGING COURSE… • REDUCE DEPENDENCE AND WORLD AGENDA DEMAND ON FOSSIL FUELS ALTERNATIVE COURSE OF ACTION  GROWING POPULATION  BURGEONING ECONOMIC DEVELOP FOSSIL FUEL DEVELOPMENT ENERGY ALTERNATIVES  ENERGY SECURITY INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY  ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION REDUCE ENERGY CONSUMPTION ACHIEVING SOLUTIONS WILL NOT BE EASY, BUT ENHANCING ENERGY SECURITY AND AVERTING FUTURE HARMS TO THE ENVIRONMENT IS POSSIBLE AND CAN ALSO BE PROFITABLE.
  • 11. WE MUST CUT OUR EMISSIONS OF GREENHOUSE GASES Global renewable energy investment growth (1995-2007)
  • 12. International Climate Change Negotiations  Kyoto Protocol’s target : reduce by 5.2% compared to the year 1990 (but note that, compared to the emissions levels that would be expected by 2010 without the Protocol.  The goal is to lower overall emissions from six greenhouse gases - carbon I. Earth Summit, 1992 dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, sulfur II. United Nations’ Framework hexafluoride, HFCs, and PFCs - calculated Convention on Climate as an average over the five-year period of Change,1992 2008-12; III. Kyoto Protocol,1997  National targets range from 8% reductions for the European Union and IV. Copenhagen Accord, 2010 some others to 7% for the US, 6% for V. Bonn Climate Change Japan, 0% for Russia, and permitted Negotiation,2011 increases of 8% for Australia and 10% for Iceland.“–
  • 13. The Challenge to Developing Nations The low commitment from rich nations to reduce emissions is unsurprising. The major emitters (USA, the European Union will continue to retain Developed nations imposed that a new the highest share of emissions over time. legally-binding framework should include all major emitters including the Countries such as USA, Australia and developing nations. Japan had signified that they do not favor signing a post Kyoto 2012 emissions Developing nations are for the constraints agreements. extension of Kyoto, obliging all industrialized nations to cut greenhouse In 2010, investments in clean energy gas emissions by 5.2% below 1990 rose up to US$ 243 Billion and a 30% levels during 2008-2012. increase of 2009 levels. Developed nations refuse any legally An IPCC report stated that the world binding agreement to reduce emissions could meet as much 43% of global after 2012. energy demand with renewable energy sources by 2030 and 77% by 2050. This 30% renewable energy penetration is realistic.
  • 14. Pledge amount to more mitigation and move toward The post 2012 stop growth of energy challenges for related emissions developing nations Speed up green technological change and transition towards renewable energy.
  • 15. 1. Viable alternative 2. Environmental concerns Why 3. Fossil fuel are more expensive Renewable 4. Limitless fuel to turn a Renewable Energy? Energy Infrastructure like wind, solar, and wastes 5. Increase range of technologies 6. Renewable energy gets cheaper Project Design and Management A successful renewable energy project is one that 1. Links energy with social aspects 2. Meets needs 3. Use appropriate and proven technology that will effectively use as alternative energy source at the same time reduces and eliminate carbon dioxides and greenhouse gases 4. Is reliable and sustainable 5. Is economically viable
  • 16. Issues in the management and development of Renewable Energy Projects THE POLICY ISSUES  FEED-IN-TARIFF REQUIREMENT  BIAS TOWARDS FOSSIL FUELS  LACK OF REGULATORY FRAMEWORK POLICY  DEREGULATION OF ENERGY SECTOR TECHNOLOGY THE TECHNOLOGY ISSUES INSTITUTIONAL  LACK OF ENOUGH INVENTIONS  REQUIREMENT OF PROVEN TECHNOLOGIES FINANCIAL  COMPLIANCE UNDER INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL STANDARDS  PERMITTING PROCESS ARE TEDIOUS  LACK OF WORKING TECHNOLOGY REFERENCES
  • 17. Issues in the development of Renewable Energy Projects THE FINANCIAL ISSUES INSTITUTIONAL/REGULATORY ISSUES i. SOURCES OF FINANCING i. LACK OF CAPACITY TO ii. NEED FOR PRE-DEVELOPMENT DEVELOP, IMPLEMENT, FUNDING OPERATE RE PROJECTS; iii. LIMITED ACCESS TO EQUITY ii. LACK OF SOUND RENEWABLE ENERGY POLICY; iv. HIGHER PROJECT PREPARATION/TRANSACTION iii. WEAK IMPLEMENTATION OF COST THE UNFCCC CLEAN DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM v. REQUIREMENTS FOR LOCAL GUARANTEE FUND iv. NEED OF FLEXIBLE AND SELF- SUSTAINABLE SUPPORT vi. GRANT MENTALITY OF MECHANISM FOR RENEWABLE DONORS/COUNTRIES ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
  • 18. In order to achieve self reliance in the development of Renewable Energy project s Policy Framework should have the following directions: Encourage the Adoption of development and sustainable energy Increase the utilization of development utilization of renewable energy strategies to renewable energy resources as tools reduce the Establish the by institutionalizing to effectively dependence on necessary prevent or reduce fossil fuels and the development of infrastructure and harmful emissions thereby minimize capabilities in the mechanisms. and thereby exposure to price use of renewable balance the goals fluctuations in the energy systems; of economic international fossil growth and fuel markets. development;
  • 19. PROJECT MANAGEMENT FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS ECONOMIC VIABILITY TECHNOLOGY SELECTION PRELIMINARY STUDIES Factors to be PROJECT SIZING considered at the planning stage INSTITUTIONAL, POLICY, AND REGULATIONS STAKEHOLDER AND OFFTAKER REQUIREMENTS FINANCING OPTIONS, ECONOMIC VIABILITY AND COST TIMETABLE
  • 20. THE PROJECT DEVELOPMENT AND MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS INTEGRATION REQUIREMENTS FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS DETAILED INVESTIGATION AND PREPARATION OF ANALYIS OF THE TECHNICAL, LONG TERM CONDUCT OF FRONT ECONOMIC, INSTITUTIONAL, END ENGINEERING LEGAL,REGULATORY COMPREHENSIVE DESIGN ELEMENTS OF THE PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT PLAN PROJECT TO SUBSTANTIATE THE PROJECT’S ECONOMICS THE TOTAL PROJECT PROCESS FLOW CIVIL WORKS COST ESTIMATE DIAGRAM DETERMINATION OF THE DELIVERY PRELIMINARY HEAT THE FIRM PRICE SCHEDULE FOR THE AND BALANCE QOUTE AND PROJECT EQUIPMENT
  • 21. Factors to be considered in the preparation of a long term project management plan for Renewable Energy Projects Market oriented Human capacity Infrastructure reform building Technology Capacity Local workforce transfer and expansion training productivity requirements enhancement Regulatory, legal Project Project and policy management and sustainability and requirements maintenance risks
  • 22. The Business Plan Business Model and Executive Summary Investment Strategy • Scope of the project • Investment structure • Detailed business plan • commercial rationale for • Operations/Planning implementing the project, • Equity cash flow • Expansion/Growth • where located, Strategy • who are involved, • Marketing Strategy • Exit Strategy • who is doing, what, where, when, how and why • Management and manpower • Total investment involved; • Management expertise • investment/financing required, and credentials partnerships • market opportunity; • business objectives; • Technologies and Suppliers • projected headline returns • Industry analysis, external analysis • Competitive advantage analysis
  • 23. FOUR STAGES OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS
  • 24. On Managing Renewable Energy Projects in developing nations… The challenge and objective that project managers should participate is to involve in undertaking concerning the technological change that will stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that will prevent dangerous human interference with the climate. As managers, Renewable Energy project management deals with climate change in a way that balance a broad array of relevant policy imperatives, which include energy security, sustainable economic growth, economic competitiveness and the other non- environment issues and directions. Renewable Energy is broad project management agenda—a flexible market based approach towards a low carbon, zero emission based action towards an effective climate change mitigation.
  • 25. FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS IN DEVELOPING NATIONS Twenty (20) United Nations agencies support renewable energy projects in developing and underdeveloped countries.  Technical assistance and training  Institutional development UN Activities in Renewable  Capacity building Energy  Policy development  Power sector reform  Energy access and poverty reduction
  • 26. FINANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS IN DEVELOPING NATIONS Bilateral Development Agencies Global Environmental Facility International & Local Financial Institutions Asian Development Bank Carbon Finance, World Bank
  • 27. Opportunities as per New Energy Finance Report – CANREA  Total amount of RE investment – over US $ 42 Billion in 2005 and five fold increase thereafter  CANREA sees the rapid growing investment interest in renewable energy globally involving developing nations.  Wind energy dominates RE investments at $ 12 Billion in 2005;  Solar photovoltaic climbs over 5 GWp per year by 2011.  Top 20 utilities in Europe targets to double RE capacity in the next five years.
  • 28. Renewable energy development in developing nations during the last ten years Brazil- 90% of electricity comes from Hydro electric plants and 15 % of total energy comes from Renewable Energy projects; 2,000 MW of Biomass cogeneration power plant , 5 GW of wind power and 14 GW of hydro power. India—Non-commercial biomass energy comprise 1/3 of total India energy use ; the transition to RE is visible of energy capacity initiatives to mitigate climate change, has instituted a sizeable RE program over the past 20 years- 3.3 million of household uses biomass gasification plants. High penetration of small hydro, wind, biomass and industrial waste –to-energy technologies sustains RE markets. Other countries such as Mexico, Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines, Morocco, Croatia, Jordan, South Africa, Tunicia have programs in sustainable development of renewable energy projects.
  • 29. The Feed-In-Tariff for Renewable Energy Projects The Feed-in-Tariff is the best i. Guaranteed connection to the grid renewable energy policy and ii. Long term contract to sell political mechanism to Renewable energy provide investment security iii. Fixed price sufficient to recover and spread the decentralized their costs plus a reasonable production of renewable profit. energy. iv. Democratizing energy v. Encouraging decentralized As a renewable energy production from many producers policy, feed-in-tariff would and many renewable sources provide flexible, self- vi. Spreading the power and sustainable support economic benefits as widely as mechanism for renewable possible. energy development in developing countries.
  • 30. The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and the development of Renewable Energy projects in developing countries The CDM allows industrialized nations to fulfill some of their legally binding greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets by financing projects in developing nations . Each tonne of reduced and verified CO2 equivalents resulting from the Can CDM and Feed-in-Tariff project can be traded- and profits be combined to sustain the made - - on the international carbon commercial viability of a market in the form of Certified Renewable Energy Project? Emission Reduction Units (CERs)
  • 31. Is there a need for a renewable energy policy fund? According to World Future Council - a national renewable energy policy fund can cover the feed-in-tariff rate and the concrete shares of developing country could be determined on the criteria reflecting the development status of the respective country, GDP /capita PPP/capita. Is there a need to impose tax CDM in developing nations? This is ideal in the sense that the imposition of tax on CDM generated within its borders, this is an additional revenue.
  • 32. Financial incentives  Users’ Tax  Income Tax Holidays  Market support  Green Option  Feed-in-Tariff Rules Policies for leveraging  Low interest loans renewable  Building domestic capacity for RE energy development investments  Leveled playing field  Access to funds for R & D for RE technologies  Domestic supports for RE technology standards and energy efficiency standards leveling  Introduction of revenue neutral environmental taxes
  • 33. Opportunities in renewable energy projects in developing nations Energy Efficiency Improvement: In the near future, the amount of primary energy required for a given energy service could be cost-effectively reduced by 25 to 35 percent in industrialized countries (the higher figure being achievable by more effective policies). In transitional economies, reductions of more than 40 percent will be cost-effectively achievable. And in most developing countries – which tend to have high economic growth and old capital and vehicle stocks – the cost-effective improvement potential ranges from 30 to more than 45 percent, relative to energy efficiencies achieved with existing capital stock. However, when this potential is made use of there will still remain 20 to 40 percent in 20 years time due to technological progress. (Johansson et al, 2004)
  • 34. The European Union supports for RE development in developing countries  About $115 M annually has been assisted over period 1997-2001  A 250 million euro facility created to finance RE/EE  Setting up Global RE funds (GREFF) to support several investor- financed funds  Target capitalization of 75 million euros  EU had set up development assistance in renewable energy in developing countries.  EC-ASEAN Energy Facility (EAEF) aims to promote climate- friendly and clean energy sources as its primary focus in the ASEAN which ran between 2002-2007 with EU funding of 215 M Euro. Renewable Energy and energy efficiency components compose about 77 projects.
  • 35. Conclusions  Efforts among developing nations to speed up development of Renewable Energy can be crucial during the post-Kyoto scenario, however, these challenges provides opportunities with developing nations in the forefront of climate change mitigation and reduction of GHGs emissions.  The global initiatives and supports towards the maximizing energy efficiency investments, continuing market and policy reforms could move to the direction towards clean technologies and the transition towards renewable energy.
  • 36. For more information, please contact: RUTH P.BRIONES, MPA, LlB. Chairman/Chief Executive Officer Greenergy Solutions Inc. Rm.401/411,Verde Oro Bldg., 535 Commonwealth Ave. Diliman Quezon City, Philippines Phone Nos: +632-490-5776 / + 63 917 5556948 E-mail Address: gsiwte@gmail.com Website: www.greenergy-solutions.com