1. INDIVIDUAL RESEARCH PAPER ENERGY MANAGEMENT AND CONSERVATION CAN BE EFFECTIVELY USED TO MINIMIZE THE LOAD SHEDDING

8. Installed Generating Capacity

10. MAXIMUM GENERATION 13292 JUNE 13567 MAY 13002 APRIL 11171 MARCH 12552 FEBRUARY 11039 JANUARY-07 10897 DECEMBER 12537 NOVEMBER 13971 OCTOBER 12947 SEPTEMBER 13616 AUGUST 13531 JULY -06 (MW) MONTH

11. MAXIMUM UNITS GENERATION(M KWh) 87835 07 82225 06 73520 05 69094 04 64040 03 60860 02 58455 01 55873 2000 M KWh YEAR

12. PRESENT ENERGY DEMAND

13. PRESENT ENERGY GENERATION VS ENERGY DEMAND

14. MAXIMUM DEMAND RECORDED VS GENERATION & LOAD SHEDDING Contd.. 1943 10897 11743 DEC 242 12537 12073 NOV 1011 13971 13717 OCT 1029 12947 13976 SEPTEMBER 1028 13616 14013 AUGUST 1820 13531 14238 JULY LOAD SHED (MW) MAX. GEN. DEMAND MAX. DEMAND (MW) PERIOD

15. MAXIMUM DEMAND RECORDED VS GENERATION & LOAD SHEDDING 2868 13292 15838 JUNE 1201 13567 14650 MAY 1334 13002 13843 APR 1347 11171 12311 MAR 849 12552 11590 FEB 1735 11039 12093 JAN LOAD SHED (MW) MAX. GEN. DEMAND MAX. DEMAND (MW) PERIOD

16. Historical Surplus/Deficit (2002 – 2007) YEAR WAPDA SYSTEM Installed Capacity Firm Capability Computed Peak Demand Surplus/ Shortfall 2001-02 15819 10894 10459 435 2002-03 15819 10958 11044 -86 2003-04 17299 11834 11598 236 2004-05 17350 12792 12595 197 2005-06 17400 12600 13847 -1247 2006-07 17366 13292 15838 -2546

17. Month-wise surplus/deficit (MW) -3837 9845 13682 Mar-08 -3151 9104 12255 Jan-08 -2475 9679 12154 Dec-07 -811 11590 12401 Nov-07 355 14092 13737 Oct-07 Month Peak Demand Generation Surplus/deficit Jan-07 12093 11039 -1054 Feb-07 11590 12552 962 Mar-07 12311 11171 -1140 Apr-07 13843 13002 -841 May-07 14650 13567 -1083 Jun-07 15838 13292 -2546 Jul-07 15941 13706 -2235 Aug-07 15862 13666 -2196 Sep-7 16056 13644 -2412 Feb-08 12123 10122 -2001 Apr-08 15124 11568 -3556

18. FUTURE GENERATION PROJECTS* (2008-2011) *Based on WPPO information dated 25 April 2008 Dec. 2010 390 IPP PIE AmPower Project Fiscal Year Name of Project Type Installed Capacity (MW) Expected COD Capacity Added in each Year (MW) Total Installed Capacity (MW) Star Thermal Project IPP 134 Jan. 2011 CC at Chichoki Mallian Public 526 Mar. 2011 Bestway IPP 205 Mar. 2011 Guddu Steam Public 750 Apr. 2011 UCH-2 ICB Power Project IPP 450 Jun. 2011 Gulistan Project IPP 200 Jun. 2011

22. LOAD FORECAST Based on Regression Analysis (Revised April, 2008) * Base year figure without export to KESC Year MW G.R (%) 2006-07* 15138 2007-08 16484 8.9 2008-09 17868 8.4 2009-10 19352 8.3 A.C.G.R. (2006-2010) 8.5 2010-11 20874 7.9 2011-12 22460 7.6 2012-13 24126 7.4 2013-14 25919 7.4 2014-15 28029 8.1 A.C.G.R. (2010-2015) 7.7

24. HYDRO POWER PROJECTS UNDER TAKEN BY WAPDA 1422 MW UNDER CONSTRUCTION 6464 MW IN OPERATION CAPACITY DESCRIPTION

25. HYDRO POWER PROJECTS UNDER TAKEN BY WAPDA 20770 PROJECTS UNDER STUDIES V MUNDA 381139 TOTAL IV AKHORI III KURAM TANGI II KALABAGH I BASHA 9523 PROJECTS ANNOUNCED BY PRESIDENT OF PAKISTAN FOR CONSTRUCTION CAPACITY DESCRIPTION

26. FUTURE GENERATION PROJECTS* (2008-2011) *Based on WPPO information dated 25 April 2008 Fiscal Year Name of Project Type Installed Capacity (MW) Expected COD Capacity Added in each Year (MW) Total Installed Capacity (MW) Existing Capacity 17684 2007-08 Malakand-III HPP Public 81 May. 2008 141 17825 Rehab. of GENCO Plants Public 60 Jun. 2008 2008-09 Orient Thermal (Balloki) IPP 150 Jul. 2008 2029 19854 Attock Power Project IPP 165 Oct. 2008 Rental Plant at F/Abad IPP 150 Nov. 2008 Rental Plant at Guddu IPP 110 Nov. 2008 Rental Plant at Multan IPP 192 Dec. 2008 Rental Plant at Sahiwal IPP 150 Dec. 2008 Rehab. of GENCO Plants IPP 240 Dec. 2008 Rental Plant at Satiana Road IPP 200 Jan. 2009 Orient Thermal(Balloki) IPP 75 Jan. 2009

27. FUTURE GENERATION PROJECTS* (2008-2011) *Based on WPPO information dated 25 April 2008 IPP Public IPP Public Public IPP IPP Public Public IPP IPP IPP Type Jul. 2009 225 Muridke Power Project 22109 2255 Jul. 2009 130 Duber Khwar HPP 2009-10 Fiscal Year Name of Project Installed Capacity (MW) Expected COD Capacity Added in each Year (MW) Total Installed Capacity (MW) Rental Plant at Ludewala 200 Feb. 2009 Rental Plant at Nooriabad 100 Mar. 2009 Atlas Shirazi Project 225 Mar. 2009 Khan Khwar HPP 72 Apr. 2009 Fauji Mari Power Proj 202 Sep. 2009 F/Abad ICB Project 375 Nov. 2009 Dadu ICB Project 375 Nov. 2009 Nishat Power project 200 Dec. 2009 Jinnah Low Head Hydel 96 Feb. 2010 Sahiwal Power Project 225 Feb. 2010

28. FUTURE GENERATION PROJECTS* (2008-2011) *Based on WPPO information dated 25 April 2008 Jun. 2010 227 IPP Engro Power Project Fiscal Year Name of Project Type Installed Capacity (MW) Expected COD Capacity Added in each Year (MW) Total Installed Capacity (MW) Nishat Chunian Project IPP 200 Jun. 2010 2010-11 Allai Khwar HPP Public 121 Jul. 2010 4856 26965 C.C. at F/Abad Public 125 Nov. 2010 C.C. at Dadu Public 125 Nov. 2010 Nandipur Power project Public 425 Dec. 2010 Bhikki Power Project IPP 225 Dec. 2010 Western ElectricProject IPP 150 Dec. 2010 Green Power Project IPP 205 Dec. 2010 KAPCO Extension IPP 400 Dec. 2010 HUBCO Narowal IPP 225 Dec. 2010 Liberty Power IPP 200 Dec. 2010

29. ENERGY CONSERVATION POTENTIAL IN PAKISTAN

30. ENERGY CONSERVATION POTENTIAL IN PAKISTAN 20-25 PULP AND PAPER 10-20 PETROLEUM 10-20 CEMENT 5-10 METALLURGICAL % REDUCTION IN ENERGY USE PER UNIT PRODUCTION INDUSTRY

31. ENERGY CONSERVATION POTENTIAL IN PAKISTAN 10 PUBLIC UTILITY SERVICES 10-15 DOMESTIC 35 PETROCHEMICAL 23 IRON / STEEL 20-40 CEMENT 16-30 FERTILIZER 14-30 TEXTILE 10-30 FOOD & BEVERAGE 10-25 COMMERCIAL BUILDING 10-15 GLASS / CERAMIC 10 PAPER 5-15 AGRICULTURE SAVING POTENTIAL (%) INDUSTRIAL SECTOR

39. Consumption (MkWh) by Economic Group

42. DOMESTIC CONSUMERS GROWTH RATE 14.3 07 12.30 06 6.10 05 8.69 04 1.49 03 2.65 02 5.67 2001 %AGE YEAR

44. Impact of Replacing one Tube with Energy Saver Note: There will be additional reduction in Reactive Load by this replacement & a resultant reduction in overall system losses of Utility as well as Consumers Watts 96,961,527 Saving in Generation with load reduction of FESCO and associated loss (25%) to WAPDA 7 Watts 72,721,145 Reduction in Load Demand if Each Consumer of FESCO Replaces one Tube of 40 Watts 6 2,077,747 No of Energy Savers Required to supply one Saver to each consumer 5 2,077,747 No. of FESCO Consumers 4 Watts 35 Saving for Consumer due to Reduction in Load per replacement 3 Watts 55 Load of Tube Light (40 Watt) with Choke (Average) 2 Watts 20 Load of Energy Saver 1

45. Impact of Replacing one Bulb with Energy Saver Watts 221,626,347 Saving in Generation with load reduction of FESCO and associated loss (25%) to WAPDA 7 Watts 166,219,760 Reduction in Load if Each Consumer of FESCO Replaces one Tube 6 2,077,747 No of Energy Savers Required to supply one Saver to each consumer 5 2,077,747 No. of FESCO Consumers 4 Watts 80 Saving for Consumer due to Reduction in Load per replacement 3 Watts 100 Load of Bulb 2 Watts 20 Load of Energy Saver 1

47. POTENTIAL SECTORS FOR ENERGY CONSERVATION Watts 96,961,527 Saving in Generation with load reduction of FESCO and associated loss (25%) to WAPDA Watts 72,721,145 Reduction in Load Demand if Each Consumer of FESCO Replaces one Tube of 40 Watts 2,077,747 No of Energy Savers Required to supply one Saver to each consumer 2,077,747 No. of FESCO Consumers Watts 35 Saving for Consumer due to Reduction in Load per replacement Watts 55 Load of Tube Light (40 Watt) with Choke (Average) Watts 20 Load of Energy Saver

48. POTENTIAL SECTORS FOR ENERGY CONSERVATION Watts 221,626,347 Saving in Generation with load reduction of FESCO and associated loss (25%) to WAPDA Watts 166,219,760 Reduction in Load if Each Consumer of FESCO Replaces one Tube Watts 2,077,747 No of Energy Savers Required to supply one Saver to each consumer 2,077,747 No. of FESCO Consumers 80 Saving for Consumer due to Reduction in Load per replacement Watts 100 Load of Bulb Watts 20 Load of Energy Saver

67. THANK YOU