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Winning Brands


Tom Harper
February 25, 2010




                    Confidential & Proprietary • Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Key Take Aways:
• Growth of Private label will continue
   – 28% Share by 2012
   – 15% SOT for Hard Discounters by
     2012

• Invest resources in setting the best
  price and running the best promotions

• Use your USP
   – Commuinction
   – In store presence
   – Quality

• Invest in activities that encourage
  consumers to RETURN to your brand
  rather than in activities that work at
  recruiting new shoppers

• What brands have done well
  during the recession?

               Winning Brands
                                           25 February 2010   Page 2                 Confidential & Proprietary
              Tom Harper                                               Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
What Shoppers Say

From Nielsen’s annual Shopper Trends
Survey



       Winning Brands
                        25 February 2010   Page 3                 Confidential & Proprietary
       Tom Harper                                   Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
A sign of the times: Value conscious shoppers are now more
  inclined to shop around

                          2005                             2006                           2008                               2009

       1 store                         32                              28                     6                               8


      2 stores                        31                               28                          17                                17

      3 stores                   22                               19                                    26                                   27

      4 stores            11                                 15                                          28                                 25

      5 stores      3                                    9                                        15                               15

      6 stores                                     1                                          6                              6

      7 stores                                                                            2                              2

 Mean Score        2.25                             2.53                                  3.55                            3.48

Base: All Supermarket / Hypermarkets Shoppers (2005 n=492; 2006 n=500; 2007 n=500; 2008 n=1008)
NB – Methodology change in 2008                                                                                                              Ref: Q29b


                               Winning Brands
                                                                       25 February 2010                 Page 4                 Confidential & Proprietary
                               Tom Harper                                                                        Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
If they are visiting more stores, where are they going? The
increase is seen across all channels


     Trade Sector Leverage 2005 v 2009 - Where                             Trade Sector Leverage 2005 v 2009 - Where
         are shoppers going? (Last 4 Weeks)                                    are shoppers going? (Last 7 Days)

                         2005    2009                                                             2005     2009



                  84            84                                                         71
                                                                                                         60
             56
     49                                                    46                         43
                          39                  40                                                                                             33
                                                                            31
                                         23                                                                               22
13                                                                                                15
                                                                       6                                            9
                                                       2                                                                              1

  Large    Convenience    Personal      Off License    Online           Large       Convenience   Personal        Off License        Online
Discount                    Care                      Shopping        Discount                      Care                            Shopping
 Stores                                                                Stores




                         Winning Brands
                                                                 25 February 2010                 Page 5                    Confidential & Proprietary
                         Tom Harper                                                                           Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
How does this affect brand loyalty? Positively, as it allows your
brand to be more available to the shopper.
More power to the brand!
                                                      Brand Loyalty
            Q. f you were buying (Product Category) from your usual store and its not available, would you...?"



    6              12                10                                    7                11               8                     7
                                                           14
                                                                          29                23
                                                                                                            49                    48
                   48                                      48
    72                               61


                                                                          61                62
                   30                                      31                                               36                    40
                                     19
    14
    8              10                10                    7               3                 4               7                     5
   2005           2009              2005                  2009           2005               2009            2005                 2009

  Carbonated Soft Drinks                   Shampoo                              Cigarette                            Beer

                             Wait Till it was available
                             Buy an alternative brand
                             Buy same brand at another store
                             Look for the same brand but choose something diff eg. Pack size / flavour




                        Winning Brands
                                                                 25 February 2010                  Page 6                   Confidential & Proprietary
                     Tom Harper                                                                               Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Price and the perception Game!
                                             Lowest Priced Store
 Q45: Which of the Supermarkets/Hypermarkets would you say normally offers the lowest prices for
                                   food and grocery items?

                       Superquinn
                           3%                Aldi                                 Superquinn                  Aldi
                                             10%                                      1%                      21%
     Lidl
     25%                                             None
                                                      3%
                                                                        Lidl
                                                                        35%



SuperValu                                           TESCO
   9%                                                                                                                           Tesco
                                                     26%
                                                                                                                                 28%

                                                                               SuperValu
            Dunnes Stores                                                                Dunnes Stores
                                                                                  2%
                24%                                                                          13%



                             2005                                                                   2009

                            Winning Brands
                                                            25 February 2010                   Page 7                  Confidential & Proprietary
                            Tom Harper                                                                   Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Flyers, Coupons, and Deals have grown importance
                             on the list of store visit triggers

   HABIT




EXPERIMENTING
Base : All Modern Trade Household Shoppers (n=500)                                                     Ref: Q31



                            Winning Brands
                                                     25 February 2010   Page 8                 Confidential & Proprietary
                           Tom Harper                                            Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Consumer barriers to shopping PL fading

                     Private Label Statements: Shopper’s Attitude to PL
                                                                                                           67
                               PL Quality just as good as leading brands
                                                                                                           68
                                                                                                      60
                                            Better the store, better the PL
                                                                                                            71

                                                                                                  54
                                   I usually compare the price and decide
                                                                                                                     80

                               PL might be cheaper, but, mfg brands are                     43                                           2005
                                        better value for money                             39                                            2009

                                                                                                           65
                               PL packs look just as good as mfg brands
                                                                                                                73

                           If someone had a lot of PL in their shopping, I                       50
                                   would think they were smart                                        57

                                   I feel better about buying mfg branded                   41
                                           products rather than PL                         36

Base: All Supermarket / Hypermarket shoppers aware of Private Labels (n=500)                                                            Ref: Q97



                               Winning Brands
                                                                        25 February 2010         Page 9                       Confidential & Proprietary
                               Tom Harper                                                                       Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
What Shoppers Do




       Winning Brands
                        25 February 2010   Page 10                 Confidential & Proprietary
      Tom Harper                                     Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Pros and Cons for Running Promotions

           PROs                                    CONs
•   Share                             • Train Shoppers to Wait for sales
•   Volume & Cash Flows                 period
•   Happy Retailers                   • Converts brand buyers into
•   Invites trial / increased           promo buyers
    awareness                         • Reduced Margins
                                      • Hard to “normalise” price
                                      • Starves business of profit for
                                        furture investment
                                      • Heavy logistical costs
                                      • Brand Loyals Stocking up
                                      • Competitive Retaliation


               Winning Brands
                                25 February 2010    Page 11                 Confidential & Proprietary
               Tom Harper                                     Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
0
                                                                                                     5
                                                                                                         10
                                                                                                         15
                                                                                                         20
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                                                                                                              35
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                                                                                                              50
                                                                      TO T A
                                                                             L DEO
                                                                                    D ORA
                                                                         FEMI              N TS
                                                                               NIN E
                                                                                      HY GI
                                                                                            ENE
                                                                                   S HAM
                                                                     SLI CE                P OO
                                                                            D CO
                                                                                  OKED
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                                                                    FABR                  U CTS
                                                                           IC C O
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                                                                                              RS
                                                                                      DIAP
                                                                       TO T A               ERS
                                                           TO T A             L TO O
                                                                 L TAK               THP A
                                                                        E HO                STE




Tom Harper
                                                                              ME IC
                                                                                     E CRE
                                                                                            AM




                                   Winning Brands
                                                                  S OF T                  BACO
                                                                           & EN                 N
                                                                                  ERG Y
                                                                                        D RIN
                                                                             CRI SP           KS
                                                                                    S&S
                                                                                         N ACK
                                                                           T O TA               S
                                                                                                                                                   % units sold on promotions




                                                                                  L DET
                                                                                        ERG E
                                                                                             NT
                                                                               T OT A
                                                                                     L BIS
                                                                                           CUI T
                                                    FROZ                                         S
                                                         E   N PR
                                                                                                                   MAT DEC 28/08




                                                                 EP AR                     TE A
                                                                         ED M
                                                                                EAT,
                                                                 FRES               POU L
                                                                       H DA               T. .
                                                                              IRY P
                                                                                    RODU
                                                                                           C TS
                                                                            GRAN
                                                                                    OL A
                                                                                         B A RS
                                                                              T O TA




                 25 February 2010
                                                             T OT A                  L SPIR
                                                                    L B RE                  ITS
                                                                           AKFA
                                                                                 ST CE
                                                                                                                                   % VOL (UNITS) SOLD ON DEAL




                                                                                        RE A L
                                                                     FROZ
                                                                            EN VE              S
                                                                                                                   MAT DEC 27/09




                                                           TO TA                    GETA
                                                                L PRE                     BLES
                                                                        P AC K
                                                                                                                                                   Promotions have increased across the board




                                                                               ED SA
                                                                                      U SAG
                                                                                             ES
                                                                                TO TA
                                                                                      L LAG
                                                    TO T A                                   ER
                                                          L CAN               TO TA
                                                                N E D/               L SAU
                                                                       PACK                C ES
                Page 12
                                                                             ET/FR
                                                                  TO T A             ESH S
                                                                         L AM              OUP
                                                                                BI EN
                                                                                      T PAS
                                                                                            TA
                                                                                    CH EE
                                                                         HAIR             SE
                                                                              COLO
                                                                                   U RA N
                                                                                          TS
                                                                                T OT A
                                                                                      L RIC
                                                                            LONG           E
                                                                                  ALC O
                                                                                        HO L
                                                                                  PET F
                                                                                       OOD

                                                                                            FATS
                Confidential & Proprietary
  Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
PL share continues to grow across super categories…

                   TOTAL SCANTRACK ROI (MULT/GRP/4CT) SALES VALUE MAT DEC 27/09


                                                                                      22%
     Household
                                                                                         23%
                                                                                     22%
           Wine
                                                                                      22%
                                                                           19%
         Frozen
                                                                              20%
                                                               15%
        Grocery
                                                                     18%                                  PL Share LY
                                               10%                                                        PL Share TY
         Bakery
                                                     11%
                                    6%
        Confect
                                          7%
                                    5%
 Health & Beauty
                                         6%
                       3%
Alcohol exc Wine
                        3%




                   Winning Brands
                                                 25 February 2010          Page 13                  Confidential & Proprietary
                   Tom Harper                                                         Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Brands Gaining Share in the Recession
Watch for the Themes




       Winning Brands
                        25 February 2010   Page 14                 Confidential & Proprietary
       Tom Harper                                    Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
What did these brands have in common?




                   Strong              Tactical        A Winning
Innovation
                 Advertising            Wins             Brand!


        Winning Brands
                               25 February 2010   Page 15                 Confidential & Proprietary
        Tom Harper                                          Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Habit: The 95% of Behaviour Marketers Ignore




        Winning Brands
                         25 February 2010   Page 16                 Confidential & Proprietary
       Tom Harper                                     Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
“We believe
in Local Brands”
      Petraea Heynike
  SVP Head of Strategic
         Business Unit
    Marketing & Sales,
                 Nestle

       Winning Brands
                          25 February 2010   Page 17                 Confidential & Proprietary
      Tom Harper                                       Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
The Future is Now!
• Netnography

• Sentiment Analysis
  – www.newssift.com


• Consumer Generated Media
  – CGM




            Winning Brands
                             25 February 2010   Page 18                 Confidential & Proprietary
            Tom Harper                                    Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
“There is increasing evidence in General Mills and
other companies that tapping into social media and
     leveraging online research communities yields
 richer insights with lower costs and greater speed”

                                                 - Jeff Hunter
                  Director of Consumer Insights, General Mills




 Winning Brands
                        25 February 2010   Page 19                 Confidential & Proprietary
 Tom Harper                                          Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Winning Brands
                 25 February 2010   Page 20                 Confidential & Proprietary
Tom Harper                                    Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Facebook Survey Platform Correlates Well With
External Data Sources: Presidential Approval
      Do you approve or disapprove of the job that
         Barack Obama is doing as president?




                                          • V yst onga eementw h R smussen (r= 0 a G lup (r= 0 5)
                                             er r gr           it a              .92) nd al        .8
                                          • Highera eementw h bot t n bet een G lup a R smussen (r= 0 0
                                                   gr      it h ha w al nd a                          .8 )




            Winning Brands
                                       25 February 2010                Page 21                   Confidential & Proprietary
            Tom Harper                                                             Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Key Take Aways:
• Growth of Private label will continue
   – 28% Share by 2012
   – 15% SOT for Hard Discounters by
     2012
• Invest resources in setting the best
  price and running the best promotions
• Use your USP
   – Commuinction
   – In store presence
   – Quality
• Invest in activities that encourage
  consumers to RETURN to your brand
  rather than in activities that work at
  recruiting new shoppers
• What brands have done well
  during the recession? –
  Innovators, Communicators,
  and Tactical Excellence

               Winning Brands
                                           25 February 2010   Page 22                 Confidential & Proprietary
               Tom Harper                                               Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
Thank You.




             Confidential & Proprietary • Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company

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Si25 feb2010tomharper

  • 1. Winning Brands Tom Harper February 25, 2010 Confidential & Proprietary • Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 2. Key Take Aways: • Growth of Private label will continue – 28% Share by 2012 – 15% SOT for Hard Discounters by 2012 • Invest resources in setting the best price and running the best promotions • Use your USP – Commuinction – In store presence – Quality • Invest in activities that encourage consumers to RETURN to your brand rather than in activities that work at recruiting new shoppers • What brands have done well during the recession? Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 2 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 3. What Shoppers Say From Nielsen’s annual Shopper Trends Survey Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 3 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 4. A sign of the times: Value conscious shoppers are now more inclined to shop around 2005 2006 2008 2009 1 store 32 28 6 8 2 stores 31 28 17 17 3 stores 22 19 26 27 4 stores 11 15 28 25 5 stores 3 9 15 15 6 stores 1 6 6 7 stores 2 2 Mean Score 2.25 2.53 3.55 3.48 Base: All Supermarket / Hypermarkets Shoppers (2005 n=492; 2006 n=500; 2007 n=500; 2008 n=1008) NB – Methodology change in 2008 Ref: Q29b Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 4 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 5. If they are visiting more stores, where are they going? The increase is seen across all channels Trade Sector Leverage 2005 v 2009 - Where Trade Sector Leverage 2005 v 2009 - Where are shoppers going? (Last 4 Weeks) are shoppers going? (Last 7 Days) 2005 2009 2005 2009 84 84 71 60 56 49 46 43 39 40 33 31 23 22 13 15 6 9 2 1 Large Convenience Personal Off License Online Large Convenience Personal Off License Online Discount Care Shopping Discount Care Shopping Stores Stores Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 5 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 6. How does this affect brand loyalty? Positively, as it allows your brand to be more available to the shopper. More power to the brand! Brand Loyalty Q. f you were buying (Product Category) from your usual store and its not available, would you...?" 6 12 10 7 11 8 7 14 29 23 49 48 48 48 72 61 61 62 30 31 36 40 19 14 8 10 10 7 3 4 7 5 2005 2009 2005 2009 2005 2009 2005 2009 Carbonated Soft Drinks Shampoo Cigarette Beer Wait Till it was available Buy an alternative brand Buy same brand at another store Look for the same brand but choose something diff eg. Pack size / flavour Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 6 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 7. Price and the perception Game! Lowest Priced Store Q45: Which of the Supermarkets/Hypermarkets would you say normally offers the lowest prices for food and grocery items? Superquinn 3% Aldi Superquinn Aldi 10% 1% 21% Lidl 25% None 3% Lidl 35% SuperValu TESCO 9% Tesco 26% 28% SuperValu Dunnes Stores Dunnes Stores 2% 24% 13% 2005 2009 Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 7 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 8. Flyers, Coupons, and Deals have grown importance on the list of store visit triggers HABIT EXPERIMENTING Base : All Modern Trade Household Shoppers (n=500) Ref: Q31 Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 8 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 9. Consumer barriers to shopping PL fading Private Label Statements: Shopper’s Attitude to PL 67 PL Quality just as good as leading brands 68 60 Better the store, better the PL 71 54 I usually compare the price and decide 80 PL might be cheaper, but, mfg brands are 43 2005 better value for money 39 2009 65 PL packs look just as good as mfg brands 73 If someone had a lot of PL in their shopping, I 50 would think they were smart 57 I feel better about buying mfg branded 41 products rather than PL 36 Base: All Supermarket / Hypermarket shoppers aware of Private Labels (n=500) Ref: Q97 Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 9 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 10. What Shoppers Do Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 10 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 11. Pros and Cons for Running Promotions PROs CONs • Share • Train Shoppers to Wait for sales • Volume & Cash Flows period • Happy Retailers • Converts brand buyers into • Invites trial / increased promo buyers awareness • Reduced Margins • Hard to “normalise” price • Starves business of profit for furture investment • Heavy logistical costs • Brand Loyals Stocking up • Competitive Retaliation Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 11 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 12. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 TO T A L DEO D ORA FEMI N TS NIN E HY GI ENE S HAM SLI CE P OO D CO OKED ME A T FROZ COF F EN PO TA TO EE P ROD FABR U CTS IC C O NDIT I ONE RS DIAP TO T A ERS TO T A L TO O L TAK THP A E HO STE Tom Harper ME IC E CRE AM Winning Brands S OF T BACO & EN N ERG Y D RIN CRI SP KS S&S N ACK T O TA S % units sold on promotions L DET ERG E NT T OT A L BIS CUI T FROZ S E N PR MAT DEC 28/08 EP AR TE A ED M EAT, FRES POU L H DA T. . IRY P RODU C TS GRAN OL A B A RS T O TA 25 February 2010 T OT A L SPIR L B RE ITS AKFA ST CE % VOL (UNITS) SOLD ON DEAL RE A L FROZ EN VE S MAT DEC 27/09 TO TA GETA L PRE BLES P AC K Promotions have increased across the board ED SA U SAG ES TO TA L LAG TO T A ER L CAN TO TA N E D/ L SAU PACK C ES Page 12 ET/FR TO T A ESH S L AM OUP BI EN T PAS TA CH EE HAIR SE COLO U RA N TS T OT A L RIC LONG E ALC O HO L PET F OOD FATS Confidential & Proprietary Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 13. PL share continues to grow across super categories… TOTAL SCANTRACK ROI (MULT/GRP/4CT) SALES VALUE MAT DEC 27/09 22% Household 23% 22% Wine 22% 19% Frozen 20% 15% Grocery 18% PL Share LY 10% PL Share TY Bakery 11% 6% Confect 7% 5% Health & Beauty 6% 3% Alcohol exc Wine 3% Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 13 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 14. Brands Gaining Share in the Recession Watch for the Themes Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 14 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 15. What did these brands have in common? Strong Tactical A Winning Innovation Advertising Wins Brand! Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 15 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 16. Habit: The 95% of Behaviour Marketers Ignore Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 16 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 17. “We believe in Local Brands” Petraea Heynike SVP Head of Strategic Business Unit Marketing & Sales, Nestle Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 17 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 18. The Future is Now! • Netnography • Sentiment Analysis – www.newssift.com • Consumer Generated Media – CGM Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 18 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 19. “There is increasing evidence in General Mills and other companies that tapping into social media and leveraging online research communities yields richer insights with lower costs and greater speed” - Jeff Hunter Director of Consumer Insights, General Mills Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 19 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 20. Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 20 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 21. Facebook Survey Platform Correlates Well With External Data Sources: Presidential Approval Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president? • V yst onga eementw h R smussen (r= 0 a G lup (r= 0 5) er r gr it a .92) nd al .8 • Highera eementw h bot t n bet een G lup a R smussen (r= 0 0 gr it h ha w al nd a .8 ) Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 21 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 22. Key Take Aways: • Growth of Private label will continue – 28% Share by 2012 – 15% SOT for Hard Discounters by 2012 • Invest resources in setting the best price and running the best promotions • Use your USP – Commuinction – In store presence – Quality • Invest in activities that encourage consumers to RETURN to your brand rather than in activities that work at recruiting new shoppers • What brands have done well during the recession? – Innovators, Communicators, and Tactical Excellence Winning Brands 25 February 2010 Page 22 Confidential & Proprietary Tom Harper Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company
  • 23. Thank You. Confidential & Proprietary • Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company

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