Financial analysis credit suisse group ag is an international financial services group. the group provides investment banking, private banking, and asset management services to customers located around the world
Similar a Financial analysis credit suisse group ag is an international financial services group. the group provides investment banking, private banking, and asset management services to customers located around the world
Similar a Financial analysis credit suisse group ag is an international financial services group. the group provides investment banking, private banking, and asset management services to customers located around the world (20)
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Financial analysis credit suisse group ag is an international financial services group. the group provides investment banking, private banking, and asset management services to customers located around the world
1. 24.04.2013
Ticker: Credit Suisse Group AG Benchmark:
Currency: SIX Swiss Ex: CSGN, Currency: CHF SWISS MARKET INDEX (SMI)
Sector: Financials Industry: Capital Markets Year:
Telephone 41-44-332-64-00 Revenue (M) Business Segments in CHF Sales (M) Geographic Segments in CHF Sales (M)
Website www.credit-suisse.com No of Employees Investment Banking 12558 Americas 9507
Address Paradeplatz 8 Zurich, 8070 Switzerland Private Banking 11078 Switzerland 7455
Share Price Performance in CHF Asset Management 2463 Europe, Middle East & Africa 6749
Price 26.41 1M Return 3.0% Corporate Center -2493 Asia Pacific 2388
52 Week High 27.85 6M Return 23.8% Reconciliation Corporate Center -2493
52 Week Low 15.97 52 Wk Return 16.5% Real Estate
52 Wk Beta 1.61 YTD Return 18.6% Other Alternative Investment Strategies
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg HY1
S&P A Date 19.12.2008 Outlook NEG
Moody's (P)A2 Date - Outlook STABLE
Fitch A Date 15.12.2011 Outlook STABLE
Valuation Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
P/E 10.0x 9.6x 16.1x 27.1x 9.9x 8.7x 7.9x
EV/EBIT - - - - - - -
EV/EBITDA - - - - - - -
P/S 1.2x 0.9x 0.6x 0.7x 1.5x 1.5x 1.4x
P/B 1.6x 1.3x 0.8x 0.8x 1.0x 0.9x 0.9x
Div Yield 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2%
Profitability Ratios %
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
Gross Margin - - - - - - -
EBITDA Margin - - - - - - -
Operating Margin 23.9 23.8 12.9 6.7 24.8 27.9 29.2
Profit Margin 20.3 16.3 7.5 5.8 15.8 18.2 20.0
Return on Assets 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6
Return on Equity 19.3 14.4 5.8 3.0 10.8 11.4 11.4
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12
Current Ratio - - - - Current Capitalization in CHF
Quick Ratio - - - - Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1293.8
EBIT/Interest - - - - Market Capitalization (M) 40661.3
Tot Debt/Capital 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 Cash and ST Investments (M) 59023.0
Tot Debt/Equity 8.2 9.3 9.9 7.8 Total Debt (M) 329966.0
Eff Tax Rate % 22.7 20.7 19.4 22.7 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0
LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0
Investments (M) 7121.0
Enterprise Value (M) 318725.3
Credit Suisse Group AG is an international financial services group. The Group provides
investment banking, private banking, and asset management services to customers
located around the world.
CSGN VX
38'313
46'900
Company Analysis - Overview
43%
39%
9%
9%
Investment Banking
Private Banking
Asset Management
Corporate Center
33%
26%
24%
8%
9%
Americas
Switzerland
Europe, Middle East & Africa
Asia Pacific
Corporate Center
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
2. Credit Suisse Group AG
Target price in CHF
Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date
29-Mar-13 41% 49% 10% 24-Apr-13 26.41 27.86 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ANDREW STIMPSON outperform 34.40 24-Apr-13
28-Feb-13 43% 48% 10% 23-Apr-13 26.45 28.09 Oddo & Cie JEAN SASSUS neutral 28.00 24-Apr-13
31-Jan-13 40% 45% 15% 22-Apr-13 26.24 28.05 Canaccord Genuity Corp ARUN MELMANE hold 29.00 24-Apr-13
31-Dec-12 26% 62% 13% 19-Apr-13 25.53 28.04 Nomura JON PEACE buy 32.00 24-Apr-13
30-Nov-12 27% 61% 12% 18-Apr-13 25.27 28.04 AlphaValue DIETER HEIN reduce 24.80 23-Apr-13
31-Oct-12 27% 56% 17% 17-Apr-13 25.74 27.90 Deutsche Bank MATT SPICK hold 29.00 22-Apr-13
28-Sep-12 26% 52% 21% 16-Apr-13 26.45 28.01 Goldman Sachs JERNEJ OMAHEN neutral/neutral 30.80 22-Apr-13
31-Aug-12 26% 52% 21% 15-Apr-13 26.26 28.01 Commerzbank Corporates & Markets MICHAEL DUNST hold 27.00 18-Apr-13
31-Jul-12 24% 52% 24% 12-Apr-13 26.10 28.01 Bank Vontobel AG TERESA NIELSEN hold 27.00 18-Apr-13
29-Jun-12 26% 48% 26% 11-Apr-13 26.31 28.01 Liberum Capital Ltd CORMAC LEECH hold 25.00 18-Apr-13
31-May-12 29% 46% 24% 10-Apr-13 26.07 28.19 Bankhaus Lampe NEIL SMITH sell 24.50 17-Apr-13
30-Apr-12 29% 46% 24% 9-Apr-13 24.89 28.19 Exane BNP Paribas DANIEL DAVIES outperform 32.00 17-Apr-13
8-Apr-13 24.35 28.19 Berenberg Bank JAMES CHAPPELL sell 13.00 11-Apr-13
5-Apr-13 24.49 28.19 Day by Day VALERIE GASTALDY buy 30.58 10-Apr-13
4-Apr-13 24.44 28.26 Redburn Partners NICHOLAS WATTS neutral 8-Apr-13
3-Apr-13 25.09 28.26 Bankhaus Metzler GUIDO HOYMANN sell 22.20 5-Apr-13
2-Apr-13 25.49 28.26 RBC Capital Markets FIONA SWAFFIELD outperform 30.00 4-Apr-13
1-Apr-13 24.91 28.53 Societe Generale DIRK HOFFMANN-BECKING buy 33.00 3-Apr-13
29-Mar-13 24.91 28.53 Grupo Santander AURELIA FAURE hold 20.40 2-Apr-13
28-Mar-13 24.91 28.53 Helvea TIM DAWSON neutral 27.00 27-Mar-13
27-Mar-13 25.35 28.53 Mediobanca SpA CHRISTOPHER J WHEELER outperform 31.00 25-Mar-13
26-Mar-13 25.33 28.53 Morgan Stanley HUW VAN STEENIS Overwt/In-Line 30.00 15-Mar-13
25-Mar-13 24.95 28.53 JPMorgan KIAN ABOUHOSSEIN overweight 34.00 11-Mar-13
22-Mar-13 25.65 28.53 CA Cheuvreux CHRISTIAN STARK select list 30.00 11-Mar-13
21-Mar-13 25.31 28.53 Macquarie PIERS BROWN outperform 30.00 5-Mar-13
20-Mar-13 25.69 28.53 DZ Bank AG CHRISTOPH BAST sell 24.00 19-Feb-13
19-Mar-13 25.55 28.53 Barclays JEREMY SIGEE equalweight 27.00 12-Feb-13
18-Mar-13 26.24 28.53 Zuercher Kantonalbank ANDREAS VENDITTI market perform 11-Feb-13
15-Mar-13 26.89 28.53 Main First Bank AG KILIAN MAIER outperform 30.00 11-Feb-13
14-Mar-13 26.86 28.53 Natixis ANTOINE BURGARD neutral 24.00 8-Feb-13
Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price
29% 29% 26% 24% 26% 26% 27% 27% 26%
40% 43% 41%
46% 46%
48% 52%
52% 52%
56%
61% 62%
45%
48% 49%
24% 24% 26% 24% 21% 21% 17%
12% 13% 15%
10% 10%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13 févr.13 mars.13
BrokerRecommendation
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Price
Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price
Brokers' Target Price
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Keefe,Bruyette&Woods
Oddo&Cie
CanaccordGenuityCorp
Nomura
AlphaValue
DeutscheBank
GoldmanSachs
CommerzbankCorporates&
BankVontobelAG
LiberumCapitalLtd
BankhausLampe
ExaneBNPParibas
BerenbergBank
DaybyDay
RedburnPartners
BankhausMetzler
RBCCapitalMarkets
SocieteGenerale
GrupoSantander
Helvea
MediobancaSpA
MorganStanley
JPMorgan
CACheuvreux
Macquarie
DZBankAG
Barclays
ZuercherKantonalbank
MainFirstBankAG
Natixis
S&PCapitalIQ
IndependentResearchGmbH
KeplerCapitalMarkets
AhorroCorporacionFinanciera
EspiritoSantoInvestmentBank
LandesbankBaden-
EVADimensions
HSBC
Nord/LB
HammerPartnersSA
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
3. 24.04.2013
Credit Suisse Group AG
Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution
Shares Outstanding (M) 1293.8 United States 54.37%
Float 91.6% Austria 11.02%
Short Interest (M) Qatar 10.19%
Short Interest as % of Float Switzerland 6.22%
Days to Cover Shorts Norway 5.04%
Institutional Ownership 52.03% France 4.35%
Retail Ownership 47.78% Luxembourg 3.02%
Insider Ownership 0.19% Others 5.79%
Institutional Ownership Distribution
Investment Advisor 83.63%
Government 15.14%
Pension Fund (Erisa) 0.56%
Individual 0.37%
Pricing data is in CHF Others 0.30%
Top 20 Owners:
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country
FRANKLIN RESOURCES 88'790'736 134'170 2'344'963'338 5.77% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
CRESCENT HOLDING GMB 88'475'201 0 2'336'630'058 5.75% 25.02.2013 EXCH AUSTRIA
QATAR INVESTMENT AUT 81'886'795 0 2'162'630'256 5.32% 31.12.2012 Co File QATAR
DODGE & COX 66'037'738 0 1'744'056'661 4.29% 31.12.2012 Co File UNITED STATES
NORGES BANK 39'815'613 0 1'051'530'339 2.59% 12.03.2013 EXCH NORWAY
BLACKROCK 39'622'643 0 1'046'434'002 2.57% 22.04.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP 39'622'643 0 1'046'434'002 2.57% 31.12.2012 Co File UNITED STATES
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN 39'396'381 5'348'082 1'040'458'422 2.56% 31.03.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
MORGAN STANLEY 32'818'874 12'068'962 866'746'462 2.13% 28.06.2010 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
AXA 32'002'938 -26'636'525 845'197'593 2.08% 25.08.2009 ULT-AGG FRANCE
VANGUARD GROUP INC 18'487'508 2'658'228 488'255'086 1.20% 31.03.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
CREDIT SUISSE ASSET 18'009'256 -420'940 475'624'451 1.17% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG SWITZERLAND
T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA 10'920'531 1'000'906 288'411'224 0.71% 31.03.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
UBS FUND MANAGEMENT 10'430'028 -17'909 275'457'039 0.68% 28.12.2012 MF-AGG SWITZERLAND
PICTET & CIE 6'196'536 57'768 163'650'516 0.40% 31.01.2013 MF-AGG SWITZERLAND
ONTARIO TEACHERS PEN 4'500'000 0 118'845'000 0.29% 31.12.2011 Research CANADA
FMR LLC 4'473'231 2'840'511 118'138'031 0.29% 28.02.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
CREDIT SUISSE 4'287'758 -32'944'156 113'239'689 0.28% 05.04.2013 EXCH SWITZERLAND
SWISSCANTO FONDSLEIT 4'158'113 -2'604'905 109'815'764 0.27% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG SWITZERLAND
TEMPLETON INVESTMENT 4'030'117 -17'300 106'435'390 0.26% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG BRITAIN
Top 5 Insiders:
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source
DOUGAN BRADY W 906'929 23'951'995 0.06% 31.12.2012 Co File
SHAFIR ROBERT S 387'544 10'235'037 0.03% 31.12.2012 Co File
KIELHOLZ WALTER B 292'424 7'722'918 0.02% 31.12.2012 Co File
ROHNER URS 244'422 6'455'185 0.02% 31.12.2012 Co File
THORNBURGH RICHARD E 218'456 5'769'423 0.01% 31.12.2012 Co File
Company Analysis - Ownership
Ownership Type
52%
48%
0%
Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership
Geographic Ownership
55%
6%
10%
5%
6%
4%
3%
11%
United States Austria Qatar Switzerland
Norway France Luxembourg Others
Institutional Ownership
84%
1% 0%0%
15%
Investment Advisor Government Pension Fund (Erisa)
Individual Others
TOP 20 ALL
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
4. Credit Suisse Group AG
Financial information is in CHF (M)
Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
Income Statement
Revenue 52'487 67'990 73'021 59'366 82'160 93'174 48'697 51'547 50'345 42'693 38'313 26'589 27'487 28'202
- Cost of Goods Sold
Gross Income
- Selling, General & Admin Expenses 30'586 45'717 43'696 21'326 21'864 22'925 21'003 22'714 21'830 20'585 19'840
(Research & Dev Costs)
Operating Income -3'658 3'456 8'387 7'106 14'432 13'491 -14'816 7'933 7'454 3'360 1'573 6'586 7'671 8'226
- Interest Expense
- Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains)
- Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) 172 1'645 85 -295 132 -249 86 -144 -33 -101 -608
Pretax Income -3'250 1'811 8'302 7'401 14'300 13'740 -14'902 8'077 7'487 3'461 2'181 6'115 7'147 7'931
- Income Tax Expense 596 -3 1'441 927 2'389 1'248 -4'596 1'835 1'548 671 496
Income Before XO Items -3'846 1'814 6'861 6'474 11'911 12'492 -10'306 6'242 5'939 2'790 1'685
- Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax -520 1'075 106 -1'324 -3'046 -6 531 -169 19 0 0
- Minority Interests -17 -31 1'127 1'948 3'630 4'738 -2'619 -313 822 837 336
Diluted EPS Before XO Items 0.63 4.75 3.90 7.19 6.95 (7.33) 5.01 3.91 1.36 0.81
Net Income Adjusted* -3'829 4'680 5'734 5'863 8'281 8'549 -7'687 6'555 5'117 2'406 3'054 4'208 5'012 5'633
EPS Adjusted (3.22) 3.87 5.05 5.18 7.53 7.65 (7.28) 5.15 3.93 1.69 2.39 2.66 3.05 3.35
Dividends Per Share 0.10 1.50 2.00 2.24 2.50 0.10 2.00 1.30 0.75 0.75 0.92 1.11 1.36
Payout Ratio % 31.8 54.0 31.7 36.0 36.2 29.7 46.9 92.9 0.35 0.36 0.41
Total Shares Outstanding 1'190 1'130 1'111 1'125 1'062 1'021 1'164 1'169 1'174 1'220 1'294
Diluted Shares Outstanding 1'190 1'179 1'209 1'186 1'152 1'115 1'057 1'210 1'201 1'207 1'286
EBITDA
*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.
Equivalent Estimates
Company Analysis - Financials I/IV
Fiscal Year
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
5. Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
Balance Sheet
Total Current Assets
+ Cash & Near Cash Items 2'551 24'799 25'648 27'577 29'040 38'459 90'035 51'857 65'467 110'573 61'763
+ Short Term Investments 342'341 418'736 467'123 525'573 446'407 480'414 283'208 329'515 379'226 318'227 259'588
+ Accounts & Notes Receivable
+ Inventories
+ Other Current Assets
Total Long-Term Assets
+ Long Term Investments 32'876 15'352 20'550 19'157 19'077 23'273 22'232 17'074 9'026 7'361 7'001
Gross Fixed Assets
Accumulated Depreciation
+ Net Fixed Assets 5'273 7'819 7'231 8'328 6'577 6'149 6'350 6'436 6'725 7'193 5'618
+ Other Long Term Assets 81'423 100'348 112'418 194'322 219'552 271'383 261'688 178'689 130'752 133'163 162'687
Total Current Liabilities
+ Accounts Payable
+ Short Term Borrowings 321'440 11'497 15'343 19'472 21'556 110'254 69'147 43'859 59'176 66'263 49'655
+ Other Short Term Liabilities 91'902 239'007 249'204 313'010 347'956 391'478 360'253 301'494 300'104 287'660 241'682
Total Long Term Liabilities
+ Long Term Borrowings 71'521 89'697 106'261 132'975 147'832 163'223 153'373 159'365 173'752 162'655 148'134
+ Other Long Term Borrowings 141'616 130'537 137'161 149'589 2'886 0 0 0 0 1'542 1'492
Total Liabilities 924'462 969'574 1'047'034 1'289'087 1'197'052 1'300'841 1'123'129 983'099 988'990 1'008'080 881'996
+ Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
+ Minority Interest 2'878 743 6'178 7'847 15'318 16'640 14'919 10'811 9'733 7'411 6'786
+ Share Capital & APIC 21'900 24'781 24'042 25'263 25'424 24'599 25'213 24'753 23'073 21'845 23'689
+ Retained Earnings & Other Equity 2'521 9'210 12'231 16'855 18'162 18'600 7'089 12'764 10'209 11'829 11'809
Total Shareholders Equity 27'299 34'734 42'451 49'965 58'904 59'839 47'221 48'328 43'015 41'085 42'284
Total Liabilities & Equity 951'761 1'004'308 1'089'485 1'339'052 1'255'956 1'360'680 1'170'350 1'031'427 1'032'005 1'049'165 924'280
Book Value Per Share 20.52 30.07 32.65 37.43 41.02 42.33 27.75 32.09 28.35 27.59 27.44 27.38 29.24 30.88
Tangible Book Value Per Share 5.09 15.58 18.92 23.19 30.20 31.23 19.37 23.88 20.77 20.32 20.77
Company Analysis - Financials II/IV
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |