Financial Analysis - National Oilwell Varco Inc. is a worldwide provider of equipment and components used in oil and gas drilling and production operations, oilfield services
Financial Analysis - National Oilwell Varco Inc. is a worldwide provider of equipment and components used in oil and gas drilling and production operations, oilfield services
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Financial Analysis - National Oilwell Varco Inc. is a worldwide provider of equipment and components used in oil and gas drilling and production operations, oilfield services
1. 21.02.2013
Company Analysis - Overview
Ticker: NOV UN National Oilwell Varco Inc Benchmark: National Oilwell Varco Inc. is a worldwide provider of equipment and components
Currency: New York: NOV, Currency: USD S&P 500 INDEX (SPX) used in oil and gas drilling and production operations, oilfield services, and supply
chain integration services to the upstream oil and gas industry.
Sector: Energy Industry: Energy Equipment & Services Year:
Telephone 713-346-7500 Revenue (M) 20'041 Business Segments in USD Sales (M) Geographic Segments in USD Sales (M)
Website www.nov.com No of Employees #N/A N/A Rig Technology 10107 United States 1
Address 7909 Parkwood Circle Drive Houston, TX 77036 United States Petroleum Services & Supplies 6967 Other
Share Price Performance in USD Distribution Services 3927 South Korea
Price 67.84 1M Return -6.8% Elimination -960 Canada
52 Week High 89.08 6M Return -12.9% Singapore
52 Week Low 58.87 52 Wk Return -19.3% Norway
52 Wk Beta 1.47 YTD Return -0.7% United Kingdom
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg IG5 4%
S&P A Date 25.04.2012 Outlook STABLE
Moody's A2 Date - Outlook STABLE 18%
Fitch - Date - Outlook -
Valuation Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E 46%
P/E 11.3x 16.6x 14.3x 11.6x 11.4x 10.0x 9.0x
EV/EBIT 6.8x 10.6x 8.8x 8.2x - - -
EV/EBITDA 5.7x 8.8x 7.4x - 6.4x 5.7x 5.3x
P/S 1.4x 2.3x 2.0x 1.4x 1.3x 1.2x 1.1x
P/B 1.3x 1.8x 1.6x 1.4x 1.3x 1.1x 1.0x 32%
Div Yield 2.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 100%
Profitability Ratios %
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
Rig Technology
Gross Margin 29.8 31.5 30.7 27.0 27.4 28.7 29.3
EBITDA Margin 23.2 24.3 23.8 - 20.0 20.9 21.4
Petroleum Services & Supplies
Operating Margin 19.4 20.1 20.0 17.7 16.7 17.9 18.3
Profit Margin 11.6 13.7 13.6 12.4 11.2 12.0 12.5 United States
Distribution Services
Return on Assets 6.8 7.5 8.2 8.7 11.1 11.5 -
Return on Equity 11.0 11.2 12.0 13.2 12.0 12.4 12.1 Elimination
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12
Current Ratio 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.8 Current Capitalization in USD
Quick Ratio 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 423.9
EBIT/Interest 46.5 48.9 73.4 73.9 Market Capitalization (M) 28961.3
Tot Debt/Capital 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 Cash and ST Investments (M) 3319.0
Tot Debt/Equity 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 Total Debt (M) 3149.0
Eff Tax Rate % 33.3 30.8 32.1 29.2 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0
LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0
Investments (M) 117.0
Enterprise Value (M) 28908.3
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
2. Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
National Oilwell Varco Inc
Target price in USD
Broker Recommendation
Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price
Price
Brokers' Target Price
120 120
100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0%
6% 7% 10% 7% 7% 7%
7% 6% 6% 12% 15% 100
20%
100
80% 80
60
80
60% 40
60 20
94% 93% 90% 93% 93% 93% 90% 91% 91% 88% 85% 0
40% 80%
Morgan Stanley
BMO Capital Markets
Ameriprise Advisor Services,
Barclays
RBC Capital Markets
Fearnley Fonds
Iberia Capital Partners LLC
Credit Agricole Securities
RS Platou Markets
Raymond James
S&P Capital IQ
Capital One Southcoast, Inc.
Global Hunter Securities
ISI Group
Sanford C. Bernstein & Co
Macquarie
Credit Suisse
JPMorgan
Sterne, Agee & Leach
Edward Jones
Dahlman Rose & Co
HSBC
Societe Generale
Guggenheim Securities LLC
Argus Research Corp
EVA Dimensions
Tudor Pickering & Co
Goldman Sachs
Johnson Rice & Co
Jefferies
William Blair & Co
Susquehanna Financial Group
Howard Weil Inc
Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
40
20%
20
0% 0
févr.12 mars.12 avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13
Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price
Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date
31-Jan-13 80% 20% 0% 21-Feb-13 67.84 85.39 Capital One Southcoast, Inc. JOSEPH D GIBNEY add 90.00 20-Feb-13
31-Dec-12 85% 15% 0% 20-Feb-13 67.84 85.39 Wells Fargo Securities, LLC THOMAS PATRICK CURRAN outperform 20-Feb-13
30-Nov-12 88% 12% 0% 19-Feb-13 69.48 85.39 Guggenheim Securities LLC DARREN GACICIA neutral 71.00 20-Feb-13
31-Oct-12 91% 6% 3% 18-Feb-13 69.33 85.39 Global Hunter Securities BRIAN UHLMER buy 80.00 20-Feb-13
28-Sep-12 91% 6% 3% 15-Feb-13 69.33 85.39 RBC Capital Markets KURT HALLEAD sector perform 80.00 19-Feb-13
31-Aug-12 90% 7% 3% 14-Feb-13 70.29 85.39 Fearnley Fonds TRULS OLSEN accumulate 81.00 15-Feb-13
31-Jul-12 93% 7% 0% 13-Feb-13 68.96 85.39 Sanford C. Bernstein & Co SCOTT GRUBER market perform 80.00 14-Feb-13
29-Jun-12 93% 7% 0% 12-Feb-13 68.92 85.39 Jefferies BRAD HANDLER buy 86.00 11-Feb-13
31-May-12 93% 7% 0% 11-Feb-13 68.26 85.39 Dahlman Rose & Co JAMES D CRANDELL buy 95.00 11-Feb-13
30-Apr-12 90% 10% 0% 8-Feb-13 69.08 85.39 HSBC DAVID PHILLIPS overweight 97.00 8-Feb-13
30-Mar-12 93% 7% 0% 7-Feb-13 68.10 84.92 Argus Research Corp PHILIP H WEISS buy 85.00 7-Feb-13
29-Feb-12 94% 6% 0% 6-Feb-13 66.57 84.92 EVA Dimensions CRAIG STERLING overweight 7-Feb-13
5-Feb-13 68.21 85.32 Howard Weil Inc WILLIAM SANCHEZ sector perform 85.00 6-Feb-13
4-Feb-13 70.17 85.68 Iberia Capital Partners LLC TREY STOLZ outperform 93.00 5-Feb-13
1-Feb-13 71.26 86.83 Societe Generale EDWARD C MUZTAFAGO buy 82.00 4-Feb-13
31-Jan-13 74.14 89.12 Morgan Stanley OLE SLORER Equalwt/Attractive 80.00 4-Feb-13
30-Jan-13 73.66 89.83 Goldman Sachs WAQAR SYED buy/attractive 90.00 4-Feb-13
29-Jan-13 74.12 89.83 Credit Suisse JAMES WICKLUND neutral 74.00 4-Feb-13
28-Jan-13 73.62 89.83 JPMorgan J DAVID ANDERSON overweight 89.00 4-Feb-13
25-Jan-13 74.00 90.00 William Blair & Co BRANDON DOBELL outperform 4-Feb-13
24-Jan-13 73.76 90.00 Raymond James J MARSHALL ADKINS outperform 90.00 4-Feb-13
23-Jan-13 73.67 90.85 Susquehanna Financial Group CHARLES P MINERVINO Positive 83.00 4-Feb-13
22-Jan-13 73.79 90.85 Credit Agricole Securities (USA) DAVID S HAVENS outperform 80.00 4-Feb-13
21-Jan-13 72.76 91.04 RS Platou Markets GORAN ANDREASSEN buy 87.00 4-Feb-13
18-Jan-13 72.76 91.04 Sterne, Agee & Leach STEPHEN D GENGARO buy 86.00 3-Feb-13
17-Jan-13 71.73 91.04 BMO Capital Markets ALAN D LAWS outperform 90.00 1-Feb-13
16-Jan-13 70.42 91.04 Edward Jones BRIAN YOUNGBERG buy 1-Feb-13
15-Jan-13 70.24 91.04 Johnson Rice & Co DAVID C SMITH equalweight 1-Feb-13
14-Jan-13 70.34 91.15 ISI Group JUDSON E BAILEY buy 80.00 1-Feb-13
11-Jan-13 70.89 91.58 S&P Capital IQ STEWART GLICKMAN strong buy 95.00 1-Feb-13
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
3. 21.02.2013
National Oilwell Varco Inc
Company Analysis - Ownership
Ownership Type
Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution Geographic Ownership
0%
2%
Shares Outstanding (M) 423.9 United States 84.56%
1% 1% 4%
Float 99.7% Britain 4.70% 1%
1%
Short Interest (M) 4.3 Canada 1.91% 2%
Short Interest as % of Float 1.02% Japan 1.50% 5%
Days to Cover Shorts 1.43 France 1.06%
Institutional Ownership 102.26% Germany 1.00%
Retail Ownership -2.52% Switzerland 0.90%
Insider Ownership 0.26% Others 4.37%
Institutional Ownership Distribution 85%
98% Investment Advisor 86.98%
Hedge Fund Manager 4.73%
Pension Fund (Erisa) 2.46%
Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership Mutual Fund Manager 1.93%
United States Britain Canada Japan
Pricing data is in USD Others 3.90% France Germany Switzerland Others
Top 20 Owners: TOP 20 ALL
Institutional Ownership
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country
BLACKROCK 30'642'899 0 2'078'814'268 7.18% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES 2% 4%
VANGUARD GROUP INC 19'278'074 138'815 1'307'824'540 4.52% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES 2%
STATE STREET 18'479'141 561'297 1'253'624'925 4.33% 19.02.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES 5%
FMR LLC 18'049'001 -5'431'601 1'224'444'228 4.23% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
SANDS CAPITAL MANAGE 9'422'878 335'621 639'248'044 2.21% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC 8'339'871 1'475'345 565'776'849 1.95% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
NORTHERN TRUST CORPO 8'217'551 -143'556 557'478'660 1.92% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL 7'646'149 284'855 518'714'748 1.79% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
MASSACHUSETTS FINANC 7'267'860 1'344'474 493'051'622 1.70% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
JP MORGAN 6'813'302 864'892 462'214'408 1.60% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG 87%
WADDELL & REED FINAN 5'457'809 -646'995 370'257'763 1.28% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL 5'444'048 -1'845'531 369'324'216 1.28% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY I 5'294'800 1'108'000 359'199'232 1.24% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
CLEARBRIDGE INVESTME 5'260'359 -55'991 356'862'755 1.23% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES Investment Advisor Hedge Fund Manager Pension Fund (Erisa)
Mutual Fund Manager Others
HARRIS ASSOCIATES LP 5'205'684 527'011 353'153'603 1.22% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN 5'199'627 -603'509 352'742'696 1.22% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
MARSICO CAPITAL MANA 5'020'360 -1'307'778 340'581'222 1.18% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN 4'932'898 -1'209'184 334'647'800 1.16% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
JANUS CAPITAL MANAGE 4'611'502 1'102'310 312'844'296 1.08% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES C 3'863'917 445'416 262'128'129 0.91% 31.12.2012 13F UNITED STATES
Top 5 Insiders:
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source
MILLER JR MERRILL A 535'904 -2'500 36'355'727 0.13% 30.11.2012 Form 4
WILLIAMS CLAY C 162'879 21'000 11'049'711 0.04% 15.02.2013 Form 4
RETTIG DWIGHT W 61'754 13'000 4'189'391 0.01% 15.02.2013 Form 4
THIGPEN JEREMY D 50'638 16'000 3'435'282 0.01% 15.02.2013 Form 4
MATTSON ERIC L 48'600 2'594 3'297'024 0.01% 16.05.2012 Form 4
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |