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Calibration and Validation of SWAT Model for Low Lying Watersheds: A Case Study
on the Kliene Nete Watershed, Belgium

Narayan K. Shrestha, P.C. Shakti, Pabitra Gurung

                                                                                 Narayan K          P.C. Shakti   Pabitra Gurung
                                                                                  Shrestha

Abstract: Use of easily accessible; public domain modelling software called Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and its
testing in watersheds has become essential to check developers’ claims of its applicability. The SWAT model performance on
Kliene Nete Watershed (Belgium) is examined. Given the watershed’s characteristic of a low lying; shallow ground water table,
the test becomes an interesting task to perform. This paper presents calibration and validation of the watershed covering area
of 581km2. Flow separation is carried on using Water Engineering Time Series PROcessing tool (WETSPRO) and shows that
around 60% of the total flow is contributed by base flow. Altogether seven SWAT model parameters have been calibrated with
heuristic approach for the time frame of 1994-1998. Validation of these calibrated parameters in another independent time
frame (1999-2002) is carried out. The parameter CH_k2 (Channel Effective Hydraulic Conductivity) is found to be the most
sensitive. Nash Sutcliff Efficiency (NSE) values for the calibration and validation periods are found to be 74 and 67 percent-
age, respectively. These ‘goodness-of-fit’ statistics, supported by graphical representations, show that the SWAT model can
simulate such watershed with reasonable accuracy.
Key words: SWAT, WETSPRO, Kliene Nete Watershed (Belgium), NSE


Introduction                                                     of sensitive parameters was achieved by sensitivity analysis,
    Models are used in decision making applications to select    which is new in the SWAT 2005 version (Griensven 2005).
an optimal courses of action, and are often constructed to       Although SWAT 2005 offers an ‘auto-calibration’ option,
enable reasoning within an idealized logical framework about     an heuristic approach has been applied to calibrate. The
the processes. Watershed models are essential for studying       auto-calibration algorithm is based on maximizing certain
hydrologic processes and their responses to both natural and     objective functions; hence, it will return parameter values
anthropogenic factors, but due to model limitations in the       accordingly. Despite being fast and less subjective, automated
representation of complex natural processes and conditions,      calibration has major limitations by the assumption made
models usually must be calibrated prior to application to        for the objective function and the existence of local minima
closely match reality (Bastidas et al 2002). Stream-flow,        that are closely related to the number of model parameters
which is known as integrated process of atmospheric and          (Willems 2000). Hence, automated calibration should
topographic processes, is of prime importance to water           be used with caution. On the other hand, the heuristic
resources planning (Kahya and Dracup 1993). This becomes         approach, which is time-consuming, makes the use of
an essential task for low lying catchments that are more         modelers’ knowledge and experience and, therefore, can
susceptible to flooding and inundation; hence, subsequent        prove to be useful.
water resources planning and management on such
catchment becomes a top priority.                                Materials and Method
    Use of process based, easily accessible, public domain         The watershed
modelling software like the Soil and Water Assessment Tool            The Flanders region of Belgium is subdivided into 11
(SWAT) is an easy option for hydrologists while considering      catchments. Among them, Kleine Nete is sub-catchment of
watershed modelling. Here, a case study is conducted             Nete Catchment and is located northeast of Brussels; it has
for a 581km2 Kliene Nete watershed in Belgium. The               an area of about 581km2 at Grobbendonk. Kleine Nete River
main objectives of the study are: (a) to see the simulation      has its source near Retie in the Belgian province of Antwerp.
ability of SWAT in the case of a low-lying, low ground           In Grobbendonk, the river is joined by the water of the Aa.
water tablecatchment, and (b) to see the most sensitive          It flows in a southwest direction past the towns of Herentals
parameters for such a catchment. It is difficult to measure      and Nijlen before joining the Grote Nete at Lier. See Map 1.
the most sensitive parameters of such a model, to which               The elevation of the watershed varies from 7.62 m to
a physical meaning is often assigned, as well as a spatial       92.76 m, with a mean elevation being 23.17 m; hence, it is a
representativeness, and of which the value normally is           relatively flat catchment. Sand is the predominent soil type
obtained in the calibration process (Refsgaard and Storm         in the catchment. It covers almost 94% of the watershed,
1996, Heuvelmans et al 2004). For this case, the analysis        followed by land dunes covering around 5%, and clay


HYDRO NEPAL   ISSUE NO. 6   JANUARY, 2010                                                                                    47
sunshine hours per day (-) are used. Apart from this, land-
                                                                      use data, soil data, digital elevation module (50m x 50m
                                                                      resolution), and river network are used for model build-up.
                                                                      For calibration and validation, daily river series observed at
                                                                      flow gauging station 52 (Grobbendonk) are used.

                                                                         Setting the SWAT model
                                                                          As AVSWATX is designed for use in the USA, to adapt it
                                                                      for use in Belgium some default files such as ‘crop.dat’, ‘crop.
                                                                      dbf’, ‘fert.dat’, ‘fert.dbf’, ‘urban.dat, ‘urban.dbf’, ‘usersoil.
                                                                      dbf’ and ‘userwgn.dbf’ are modified. For the model built up,
                                                                      the Nete watershed is digitized using the SWAT extension
                Map 1 Belgium, Nate Basin and Kliene Nete Watershed   in Arc View 3.2, with the projection type set as Lambert
around 1%. The watershed has almost 55% as agricultural               conformal conic and spheroid type set as International
area (covered by pasture, corn, etc.), 25% as mixed forest,           1909. The threshold of 1000 ha and the digitized streams
and the rest as high density residential area.
                                                                        HRU’s       Landuse             Soil Type                 % covered
                                                                          1         Berm                Sand                          14
     The modeling tool
                                                                          2         Berm                Land dune                     01
    SWAT is a continuous time model that operates on
                                                                          3         Pasture             Sand                          20
a daily time step at catchment scale, a physically based                  4         Corn                Sand                          39
semi-distributed hydrological model developed by the U.S.                 5         Forest              Sand                          24
Department of Agriculture in order to quantify the impact                 6         Forest              Land dune                     02
of land management practices on water quantity, sediment                  Table 1. Different HRU’s and Percentage of Coverage for Kleine Nete Basin
and water quality in large complex watersheds with varying
soils, land use and management conditions over a long period          shape file are used for the digitizing process.
of time (Arnold et al 1998, Neitsch et al 2001). The SWAT                 Subsequently, land use and soil type maps are
                                                                      incorporated into the model. (See Maps 2 and 3.) After
                                                                      overlaying these data threshold values of 5% for land data
                                                                      and 3% for soil data are chosen. This is to limit the number
                                                                      of HRU’s that would result for the given combination of land
                                                                      use and soil data. The Penman-Monteith method is used
                                                                      for calculation of evapo-transpiration and the Muskingum
                                                                      method is used for flow routing. The resulted HRU’s are
                                                                      shown on Table 1.

                                                                      Result and Discussion
                                                                         Flow filtering
                                                                         A time series of total rainfall-runoff discharges can
                                                                      be split into its subflows (such as the overland flow, the
                                  Map 2. Soil Types                   subsurface flow or interflow, and the groundwater flow
is a process-based model that assesses long-term impacts              or baseflow) using a numerical digital filter technique. Its
of management practices including empirical relationships.
The model has been widely used but also further developed
in Europe (Griensven et al 2002). It simulates at the
hydrologic response units (HRU) level. HRUs are lumped
land areas within the sub-basin with unique combinations
of soil-type, land-use and management. It is limited to
working with a minimum time step of one day and at least
two sub-basins.

     The data
   Hydro-meteorological data such as daily mean
temperature (°C), daily rainfall (mm), daily mean relative
humidity (%), daily mean wind speed (m/s), number of
                                                                                                  Map 3. Land Use


48                                                                                                    HYDRO NEPAL       ISSUE NO. 6     JANUARY, 2010
physical interpretation is based on the linear reservoir                                        number of parameters that govern the model, and it is
modelling concept (Willems 2003). It is the essential                                           performed using LH-OAT (LH (Latin-Hypercube) - OAT
technique to be implemented after the model built up so                                         (One-factor-At-a-Time)) technique. The description of
that evaluation of calibration processes in terms of different                                  parameter used for stream-flow calibration and their relative
flow components such as baseflow, surface flow and total                                        sensitivity resulted after sensitivity analysis is presented in
water yield can be made. Water Engineering Time Series                                          Table 2.
PROcessing Tool (WETSPRO) software is used for this
filtering process. (WETSPRO was developed by Prof. P.                                                Calibration and validation
Willems, Hydraulics Laboratory, Katholieke Universiteit                                             Calibration is the process of gathering the conceptual
Leuven, Belgium.) WETSPRO is a time series processing                                           parameters, and is done as a forerunner to testing of the
tool that allows the users to conduct:                                                          model hypothesis. During calibration, parameters of
 	 Sub-flow filtering.                                                                         unmeasured variables are estimated using information
 	 Peak flow selection and related hydrograph separation;                                      that is available from the real system. The 11 years of
      for quick flow and slow flow periods; and related low                                     observed series at flow gauging station 52 (Grobbendonk) is
      flow selection.                                                                           divided into three time frames, namely: the ‘warming-up’,
 	 Construction of the different model evaluation plots.                                       ‘calibration’ and ‘validation’ periods from 1992-93, 1994-98
                                                                            relative
 Parameter         description                                                                  and 1999-2002, respectively. The provision of the warming
                                                                            sensitivity
 Ch_k2             Channel Effective Hydraulic Conductivity                  4.890              up period is to initialize unknown variables such as moisture
 surlag            Surface Runoff Lag Time                                   2.510              content. An heuristic approach (i.e., manual calibration
 ch_n              Manning Coefficient for Channel                           0.692              based on experience) is used to decide which parameters
                   Initial SCS Runoff Curve number for Wetting
 CN2                                                                         0.139              to adjust to obtain ‘good’ fit. During the validation period,
                   Condition-2
 SLSUBBSN          Slope of Sub-basin                                        0.108              the model is run with the same model parameters obtained
 SLOPE             Average Slope Steepness                                   0.074              from the calibration period to see how well the calibrated
 GWQMN             Threshold Depth for shallow aquifer for flow              0.063              parameters work in another independent period.
 ALPHA_BF          The Base Floe Alpha Factor                                0.039                  Generally the effects of the parameters on the system
 canmx             Maximum Canopy Storage                                    0.033              include those impacting the surface response (CN2,
 SOL_AWC           Soil Available Water Capacity                             0.021              SOL_AWC, and ESCO), those impacting the subsurface
 sol_k             Saturated Hydraulic Conductivity of Soil                  0.017              response (GW_REVAP, REVAPMN, GWQMN, ALPHA_
 rchrg_dp          Deep Aquifer Percolation Factor                           0.013
                                                                                                BF, GW_DELAY, RCHRG_DP, etc.), and those impacting
 GW_REVAP          Ground Water “Revap” Coefficient                          0.013
                                                                                                the shape of the hydrograph (Ch_k2, SURLAG, ALPHA_
 sol_z             Soil Depth from Surface to Bottom of layer                0.010
                                                                                                BF, etc.). For our case, viewing the pre-calibrated result
 GW_DELAY          Ground Water Delay Time                                   0.009              on temporal level as well as global level and seasonal level,
 ESCO              Soil Evaporation Compensation Factor                      0.008
                                                                                                following parameters, were optimized as shown in Table
 sol_alb           Moist Soil Albedo                                         0.005
 BIOMIX            Biological Mixing Efficiency                              0.002              3. This calibration followed after making systematic use of
 epco              Plant Uptake Compensation Factor                          0.001              sensitivity analysis results and problem at hand.
                   Threshold Depth of water in shallow aquifer for                                  CN_2 was calibrated to adjust the surface flow, and it
 REVAPMN                                                                     0.000
                   “revap”
                                                                                                was increased to 90 for HRU−BERM (urban) because of
         Table 2. Parameters Used for Flow Calibration and Their Relative Sensitivity           its higher potential to contribute to surface runoff. Another

                                                                                                 File                                           HRU
                                                                   Parameter       Units                 state
                                                                                                Type               BErM BErM         PASTURE       CorN         ForEsT   ForEsT
    The WETSPRO tool makes use of a
continuous time series of any hydrological                                                               Initial    77        77         60           77          60       60
                                                                  CN_2                  -       *.mgt
variable as input (Willems 2009). Analysis                                                                Final     90       90          80            80         60       60
of observed flows on WETSPRO shows that                                                                  Initial     0        0           0             0          0        0
                                                                  GWQMN              mm         *.gw
about 60% of the flow is contributed by                                                                   Final     350      450        350           350        350      450
base flow.                                                                                               Initial                                  4
                                                                  SURLAG             day        *.bsn
                                                                                                          Final                                   1
                                                                                                         Initial   0.95      0.95       0.95      0.95           0.95     0.95
   Sensitivity analysis                                           ESCO                  -       *.hru
                                                                                                          Final    0.95      0.95       0.4        0.3           0.4      0.4
    Sensitivity analysis refers to the                                                                   Initial                              0.014
                                                                  Ch_N2                 -       *.rte
identification of some few parameters that                                                                Final                                0.02
have important effects in the model. It is the                                                           Initial                                0
                                                                  Ch_k2            mm/h         *.rte
prior step to model calibration. It speeds up                                                             Final                                0.45
                                                                                                         Initial   0.048    0.048       0.048     0.048          0.048    0.048
the optimization process by concentrating                         ALPHA_BF           days       *.gw
                                                                                                          Final    0.048    0.048        0.01      0.3            0.5      0.5
on finding the optimum values for a limited
                                                                                            Table 3: Optimized Parameters with Their Initial and Final Values


HYDRO NEPAL       ISSUE NO. 6     JANUARY, 2010                                                                                                                                  49
parameter to adjust the same flow component was ESCO,                               74 percentage for the calibration period and 67 percentage
which accounts for the easiness with which water from lower                         for the validation period. Figure 1 shows the observed and
layers is available for evaporation. Lower value accounts                           simulated hydrograph both for the calibration period and
for higher evapotranspiration. The value of ESCO was                                the validation period. Apart from the flow comparison
decreased to 0.3 for corn fields because of its high potential                      in temporal level, hydrological processes have also been
for evapotranspiration and less canopy cover. For adjusting                         accessed to HRU Level as shown in Figure 2. Only HRU-
subsurface flow (baseflow), GWQMN was adjusted. The                                 1 (BERM+Sand) is presented as the representative one.
value of GWQMN was increased to 350 mm and 450 mm for                               As can be read from the figure, the hydrological processes
sandy and land dune, respectively, because of lower water                           have followed the trend of precipitation. Precipitation on
holding capacity of sand compared with land dune. The                               1998 (calibration period) and 2001 (validation period) was
default value of 0.014 for Ch_N2 is, of course, unrealistic;                        highest and the response on water yield was clearly high
hence, it was increased to 0.02, a typical value for channel                        on those years. Most importantly, the soil water content
having predominant sandy soil. For low lying catchments                             showed no marked difference with trend of precipitation
under study, where ground water depth is near or above the                          which reflects good performance of the model because the
river bottom, parameter Ch_k2 adjusts the water exchange                            soil water content should be almost constant whatever the
from ground water to river and was found to be very                                 trend of precipitation is.
sensitive to adjust the shape of hydrograph, especially for
low flows. ALPHA_BF was also used to smoothen the shape                             Conclusions
of hydrograph, especially for recession period, and it was                          By tuning seven parameters, the calibration and validation
increased to 0.5 for HRU−FOREST because of higher root                              of the SWAT model for a low lying catchment (Kliene Nete)
depth distribution of forest; hence, higher water holding                           was carried out. The parameter CH_k2, which allows
capacity. Optimized parameters are listed on Table 3.                               interaction between the ground water flow and river flow,
     After tuning the above stated parameters (Table 3), the                        was found to be the most sensitive for such catchment. The
Nash-Sutcliff Efficiency (NSE), a widely used ‘goodness-of-                         NSE value was found to be 74 percentage for calibration
fit’ statistics indicator to access the goodness of model to                        and 67 percentage for the validation period. The slight
simulate the flows (Nash and Sutcliffe 1970), was found to be                       underperformance of the model in validation period may be
                                                                                    due to the fact that there is significant change in precipitation
                                                                                    during the calibration period (852.7 mm/year) and the
                                                                                    validation period (1002.5 mm/yr). Performance of the
                                                                                    model is also known to be affected by a significant change in
                                                                                    trend of annual average precipitation (Pipat et al 2005).
                                                                                        Owing to the general trend of the NSE value for acceptance
                                                                                    of rainfall-runoff model, this calibration can be adjudged as
                                                                                    good because of having NSE around 70 percentage, which is
                                                                                    quite acceptable for water engineering problem assessment
                                                                                    and application. The fairly matching of hydrograph as well
                                                                                    as hydrological processes on each HRU’s also supports it.
                                                                                    The calibrated parameter values can also be used for further
 Figure 1. Observed and Simulated Discharge Series for Calibration and Validation   stream-flow simulations in this catchment.
                                    Periods
                                                                                                                       --
                                                                                        Narayan Kumar Shrestha, PhD researcher,
                                                                                    Department of Hydrology & Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije
                                                                                    Universiteit Brussels, Belgium
                                                                                        Corresponding address: narayan.shrestha@vub.ac.be

                                                                                       PC Shakti, Master in Meteorology, Tribhuvan
                                                                                    University Nepal, and Master in Water Resources
                                                                                    Engineering, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium
                                                                                       Corresponding Address: shakti.pc@gmail.com

                                                                                       Pabitra Gurung,         Master in Water Resources
                                                                                    Engineering, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium. Mr
                                                                                    Gurung is a Consulting Engineer in Prarup Development
                                                                                    Pvt. Ltd. Lalitpur, Nepal.
            Figure 2: Hydrological Processes at HRU1 (BERM+SAND)


50                                                                                                            HYDRO NEPAL   ISSUE NO. 6   JANUARY, 2010
Corresponding Address: Email: dcgrg@yahoo.com                 Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 29, pp.737-743.
Acknowledgements                                                     Kahya, E. and J.A. Dracup, 1993, US streamflow patterns
We would like to acknowledge Prof. W. Bauwens and                in relation to the El Nino/southern oscillation, Water
Assistant Eliseo Ana Jr., Vrije Universiteit, Brussels for       Resources Research 28(8), pp.2491-2503.
providing data as well as for their guidance and suggestions.        Nash, J. E. and J.V. Sutcliffe, 1970, River flow forecasting
Special thanks go to VLIR-UOS for providing the scholarship      through conceptual models, Part I: A discussion of principles,
for the International Masters Program in Water Resources         Journal of Hydrology 10(3), pp.282–290.
Engineering (2007-09), and both Katholieke Universiteit              Neitsch, S.L., JG. Arnold, J.R. Kiniry and J.R. Williams,
Leuven, Belgium and Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium,         2001, Soil and Water Assessment Tool, Theoretical
for providing the platform.                                      Documentation, Version 2000, Temple Texas: Blackland
                                                                 Research Center, Agricultural Research Service.
References                                                           Pipat, R., S.K. Ramesh. J. Manoj, WG. Philip, A. Khalil
Arnold, J.G., R. Srinivasan, R.S. Muttiah and J.R. Williams,     and S. Ali, 2005, Calibration and Validation of SWAT for the
1998, Large area hydrologic modelling and assessment,            Upper Maquoketa River Watershed, Working Paper 05-WP
Part I: Model development, Journal of the American Water         396, Centers for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa
Resources Association 34(1), pp.73-89.                           State University, Ames, Iowa.
    Bastidas, L.A., H.V. Gupta and S. Sorooshian, 2002,              Refsgaard, J.C. and B. Storm, 1996, Construction,
Emerging paradigms in the calibration of hydrologic models,      calibration and validation of hydrological models, pp. 41-
Mathematical Models of Large Watershed Hydrology, 1,             54 in M.B. Abbott and J.C. Refsgaard, eds., Distributed
pp.25-56 (Water Resources Publications, LLC, Englewood,          Hydrological Modelling, Dordrecht and Boston: Kluwer
CO, USA).                                                        Academic.
    Griensven, V.A., A. Francos and W. Bauwens, 2002,                Willems, P., 2000, Guidance Document for Calibration
Sensitivity analysis and autocalibration of an integral          and Verification of Rainfall-Runoff Models (unpublished
dynamic model for river water quality, Water Science and         manual; pp.4.3-4.31. Leuven, Belgium: Katholieke
Technology 45(5), pp.321-328.                                    Universiteit.
    Griensven,V.A., 2005, AVSWAT-X SWAT-2005 Advanced                Willems, P., 2003, WETSPRO, Water Engineering Time
Workshop, SWAT 2005 3rd International Conference,                Series PROcessing Tool, Methodology and User's Manual,
Zurich, Switzerland.                                             Leuven, Belgium: Katholieke Universiteit.
    Heuvelmans, G., B. Muys and J. Feyen, 2004, Evaluation           Willems, P., 2009, A time series tool to support the multi-
of hydrological model parameter transferability for simulating   criteria performance evaluation of rainfall-runoff models,
the impact of land use on catchment hydrology, Journal of        Environmental Modelling and Software 24, pp.311-321. w




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HYDRO NEPAL   ISSUE NO. 6   JANUARY, 2010                                                                                     51

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Narayan Shrestha [Calibration and Validation of SWAT Model for Low Lying Watersheds: A Case Study on the Kliene Nete Watershed, Belgium]

  • 1. Calibration and Validation of SWAT Model for Low Lying Watersheds: A Case Study on the Kliene Nete Watershed, Belgium Narayan K. Shrestha, P.C. Shakti, Pabitra Gurung Narayan K P.C. Shakti Pabitra Gurung Shrestha Abstract: Use of easily accessible; public domain modelling software called Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and its testing in watersheds has become essential to check developers’ claims of its applicability. The SWAT model performance on Kliene Nete Watershed (Belgium) is examined. Given the watershed’s characteristic of a low lying; shallow ground water table, the test becomes an interesting task to perform. This paper presents calibration and validation of the watershed covering area of 581km2. Flow separation is carried on using Water Engineering Time Series PROcessing tool (WETSPRO) and shows that around 60% of the total flow is contributed by base flow. Altogether seven SWAT model parameters have been calibrated with heuristic approach for the time frame of 1994-1998. Validation of these calibrated parameters in another independent time frame (1999-2002) is carried out. The parameter CH_k2 (Channel Effective Hydraulic Conductivity) is found to be the most sensitive. Nash Sutcliff Efficiency (NSE) values for the calibration and validation periods are found to be 74 and 67 percent- age, respectively. These ‘goodness-of-fit’ statistics, supported by graphical representations, show that the SWAT model can simulate such watershed with reasonable accuracy. Key words: SWAT, WETSPRO, Kliene Nete Watershed (Belgium), NSE Introduction of sensitive parameters was achieved by sensitivity analysis, Models are used in decision making applications to select which is new in the SWAT 2005 version (Griensven 2005). an optimal courses of action, and are often constructed to Although SWAT 2005 offers an ‘auto-calibration’ option, enable reasoning within an idealized logical framework about an heuristic approach has been applied to calibrate. The the processes. Watershed models are essential for studying auto-calibration algorithm is based on maximizing certain hydrologic processes and their responses to both natural and objective functions; hence, it will return parameter values anthropogenic factors, but due to model limitations in the accordingly. Despite being fast and less subjective, automated representation of complex natural processes and conditions, calibration has major limitations by the assumption made models usually must be calibrated prior to application to for the objective function and the existence of local minima closely match reality (Bastidas et al 2002). Stream-flow, that are closely related to the number of model parameters which is known as integrated process of atmospheric and (Willems 2000). Hence, automated calibration should topographic processes, is of prime importance to water be used with caution. On the other hand, the heuristic resources planning (Kahya and Dracup 1993). This becomes approach, which is time-consuming, makes the use of an essential task for low lying catchments that are more modelers’ knowledge and experience and, therefore, can susceptible to flooding and inundation; hence, subsequent prove to be useful. water resources planning and management on such catchment becomes a top priority. Materials and Method Use of process based, easily accessible, public domain The watershed modelling software like the Soil and Water Assessment Tool The Flanders region of Belgium is subdivided into 11 (SWAT) is an easy option for hydrologists while considering catchments. Among them, Kleine Nete is sub-catchment of watershed modelling. Here, a case study is conducted Nete Catchment and is located northeast of Brussels; it has for a 581km2 Kliene Nete watershed in Belgium. The an area of about 581km2 at Grobbendonk. Kleine Nete River main objectives of the study are: (a) to see the simulation has its source near Retie in the Belgian province of Antwerp. ability of SWAT in the case of a low-lying, low ground In Grobbendonk, the river is joined by the water of the Aa. water tablecatchment, and (b) to see the most sensitive It flows in a southwest direction past the towns of Herentals parameters for such a catchment. It is difficult to measure and Nijlen before joining the Grote Nete at Lier. See Map 1. the most sensitive parameters of such a model, to which The elevation of the watershed varies from 7.62 m to a physical meaning is often assigned, as well as a spatial 92.76 m, with a mean elevation being 23.17 m; hence, it is a representativeness, and of which the value normally is relatively flat catchment. Sand is the predominent soil type obtained in the calibration process (Refsgaard and Storm in the catchment. It covers almost 94% of the watershed, 1996, Heuvelmans et al 2004). For this case, the analysis followed by land dunes covering around 5%, and clay HYDRO NEPAL ISSUE NO. 6 JANUARY, 2010 47
  • 2. sunshine hours per day (-) are used. Apart from this, land- use data, soil data, digital elevation module (50m x 50m resolution), and river network are used for model build-up. For calibration and validation, daily river series observed at flow gauging station 52 (Grobbendonk) are used. Setting the SWAT model As AVSWATX is designed for use in the USA, to adapt it for use in Belgium some default files such as ‘crop.dat’, ‘crop. dbf’, ‘fert.dat’, ‘fert.dbf’, ‘urban.dat, ‘urban.dbf’, ‘usersoil. dbf’ and ‘userwgn.dbf’ are modified. For the model built up, the Nete watershed is digitized using the SWAT extension Map 1 Belgium, Nate Basin and Kliene Nete Watershed in Arc View 3.2, with the projection type set as Lambert around 1%. The watershed has almost 55% as agricultural conformal conic and spheroid type set as International area (covered by pasture, corn, etc.), 25% as mixed forest, 1909. The threshold of 1000 ha and the digitized streams and the rest as high density residential area. HRU’s Landuse Soil Type % covered 1 Berm Sand 14 The modeling tool 2 Berm Land dune 01 SWAT is a continuous time model that operates on 3 Pasture Sand 20 a daily time step at catchment scale, a physically based 4 Corn Sand 39 semi-distributed hydrological model developed by the U.S. 5 Forest Sand 24 Department of Agriculture in order to quantify the impact 6 Forest Land dune 02 of land management practices on water quantity, sediment Table 1. Different HRU’s and Percentage of Coverage for Kleine Nete Basin and water quality in large complex watersheds with varying soils, land use and management conditions over a long period shape file are used for the digitizing process. of time (Arnold et al 1998, Neitsch et al 2001). The SWAT Subsequently, land use and soil type maps are incorporated into the model. (See Maps 2 and 3.) After overlaying these data threshold values of 5% for land data and 3% for soil data are chosen. This is to limit the number of HRU’s that would result for the given combination of land use and soil data. The Penman-Monteith method is used for calculation of evapo-transpiration and the Muskingum method is used for flow routing. The resulted HRU’s are shown on Table 1. Result and Discussion Flow filtering A time series of total rainfall-runoff discharges can be split into its subflows (such as the overland flow, the Map 2. Soil Types subsurface flow or interflow, and the groundwater flow is a process-based model that assesses long-term impacts or baseflow) using a numerical digital filter technique. Its of management practices including empirical relationships. The model has been widely used but also further developed in Europe (Griensven et al 2002). It simulates at the hydrologic response units (HRU) level. HRUs are lumped land areas within the sub-basin with unique combinations of soil-type, land-use and management. It is limited to working with a minimum time step of one day and at least two sub-basins. The data Hydro-meteorological data such as daily mean temperature (°C), daily rainfall (mm), daily mean relative humidity (%), daily mean wind speed (m/s), number of Map 3. Land Use 48 HYDRO NEPAL ISSUE NO. 6 JANUARY, 2010
  • 3. physical interpretation is based on the linear reservoir number of parameters that govern the model, and it is modelling concept (Willems 2003). It is the essential performed using LH-OAT (LH (Latin-Hypercube) - OAT technique to be implemented after the model built up so (One-factor-At-a-Time)) technique. The description of that evaluation of calibration processes in terms of different parameter used for stream-flow calibration and their relative flow components such as baseflow, surface flow and total sensitivity resulted after sensitivity analysis is presented in water yield can be made. Water Engineering Time Series Table 2. PROcessing Tool (WETSPRO) software is used for this filtering process. (WETSPRO was developed by Prof. P. Calibration and validation Willems, Hydraulics Laboratory, Katholieke Universiteit Calibration is the process of gathering the conceptual Leuven, Belgium.) WETSPRO is a time series processing parameters, and is done as a forerunner to testing of the tool that allows the users to conduct: model hypothesis. During calibration, parameters of  Sub-flow filtering. unmeasured variables are estimated using information  Peak flow selection and related hydrograph separation; that is available from the real system. The 11 years of for quick flow and slow flow periods; and related low observed series at flow gauging station 52 (Grobbendonk) is flow selection. divided into three time frames, namely: the ‘warming-up’,  Construction of the different model evaluation plots. ‘calibration’ and ‘validation’ periods from 1992-93, 1994-98 relative Parameter description and 1999-2002, respectively. The provision of the warming sensitivity Ch_k2 Channel Effective Hydraulic Conductivity 4.890 up period is to initialize unknown variables such as moisture surlag Surface Runoff Lag Time 2.510 content. An heuristic approach (i.e., manual calibration ch_n Manning Coefficient for Channel 0.692 based on experience) is used to decide which parameters Initial SCS Runoff Curve number for Wetting CN2 0.139 to adjust to obtain ‘good’ fit. During the validation period, Condition-2 SLSUBBSN Slope of Sub-basin 0.108 the model is run with the same model parameters obtained SLOPE Average Slope Steepness 0.074 from the calibration period to see how well the calibrated GWQMN Threshold Depth for shallow aquifer for flow 0.063 parameters work in another independent period. ALPHA_BF The Base Floe Alpha Factor 0.039 Generally the effects of the parameters on the system canmx Maximum Canopy Storage 0.033 include those impacting the surface response (CN2, SOL_AWC Soil Available Water Capacity 0.021 SOL_AWC, and ESCO), those impacting the subsurface sol_k Saturated Hydraulic Conductivity of Soil 0.017 response (GW_REVAP, REVAPMN, GWQMN, ALPHA_ rchrg_dp Deep Aquifer Percolation Factor 0.013 BF, GW_DELAY, RCHRG_DP, etc.), and those impacting GW_REVAP Ground Water “Revap” Coefficient 0.013 the shape of the hydrograph (Ch_k2, SURLAG, ALPHA_ sol_z Soil Depth from Surface to Bottom of layer 0.010 BF, etc.). For our case, viewing the pre-calibrated result GW_DELAY Ground Water Delay Time 0.009 on temporal level as well as global level and seasonal level, ESCO Soil Evaporation Compensation Factor 0.008 following parameters, were optimized as shown in Table sol_alb Moist Soil Albedo 0.005 BIOMIX Biological Mixing Efficiency 0.002 3. This calibration followed after making systematic use of epco Plant Uptake Compensation Factor 0.001 sensitivity analysis results and problem at hand. Threshold Depth of water in shallow aquifer for CN_2 was calibrated to adjust the surface flow, and it REVAPMN 0.000 “revap” was increased to 90 for HRU−BERM (urban) because of Table 2. Parameters Used for Flow Calibration and Their Relative Sensitivity its higher potential to contribute to surface runoff. Another File HRU Parameter Units state Type BErM BErM PASTURE CorN ForEsT ForEsT The WETSPRO tool makes use of a continuous time series of any hydrological Initial 77 77 60 77 60 60 CN_2 - *.mgt variable as input (Willems 2009). Analysis Final 90 90 80 80 60 60 of observed flows on WETSPRO shows that Initial 0 0 0 0 0 0 GWQMN mm *.gw about 60% of the flow is contributed by Final 350 450 350 350 350 450 base flow. Initial 4 SURLAG day *.bsn Final 1 Initial 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 Sensitivity analysis ESCO - *.hru Final 0.95 0.95 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 Sensitivity analysis refers to the Initial 0.014 Ch_N2 - *.rte identification of some few parameters that Final 0.02 have important effects in the model. It is the Initial 0 Ch_k2 mm/h *.rte prior step to model calibration. It speeds up Final 0.45 Initial 0.048 0.048 0.048 0.048 0.048 0.048 the optimization process by concentrating ALPHA_BF days *.gw Final 0.048 0.048 0.01 0.3 0.5 0.5 on finding the optimum values for a limited Table 3: Optimized Parameters with Their Initial and Final Values HYDRO NEPAL ISSUE NO. 6 JANUARY, 2010 49
  • 4. parameter to adjust the same flow component was ESCO, 74 percentage for the calibration period and 67 percentage which accounts for the easiness with which water from lower for the validation period. Figure 1 shows the observed and layers is available for evaporation. Lower value accounts simulated hydrograph both for the calibration period and for higher evapotranspiration. The value of ESCO was the validation period. Apart from the flow comparison decreased to 0.3 for corn fields because of its high potential in temporal level, hydrological processes have also been for evapotranspiration and less canopy cover. For adjusting accessed to HRU Level as shown in Figure 2. Only HRU- subsurface flow (baseflow), GWQMN was adjusted. The 1 (BERM+Sand) is presented as the representative one. value of GWQMN was increased to 350 mm and 450 mm for As can be read from the figure, the hydrological processes sandy and land dune, respectively, because of lower water have followed the trend of precipitation. Precipitation on holding capacity of sand compared with land dune. The 1998 (calibration period) and 2001 (validation period) was default value of 0.014 for Ch_N2 is, of course, unrealistic; highest and the response on water yield was clearly high hence, it was increased to 0.02, a typical value for channel on those years. Most importantly, the soil water content having predominant sandy soil. For low lying catchments showed no marked difference with trend of precipitation under study, where ground water depth is near or above the which reflects good performance of the model because the river bottom, parameter Ch_k2 adjusts the water exchange soil water content should be almost constant whatever the from ground water to river and was found to be very trend of precipitation is. sensitive to adjust the shape of hydrograph, especially for low flows. ALPHA_BF was also used to smoothen the shape Conclusions of hydrograph, especially for recession period, and it was By tuning seven parameters, the calibration and validation increased to 0.5 for HRU−FOREST because of higher root of the SWAT model for a low lying catchment (Kliene Nete) depth distribution of forest; hence, higher water holding was carried out. The parameter CH_k2, which allows capacity. Optimized parameters are listed on Table 3. interaction between the ground water flow and river flow, After tuning the above stated parameters (Table 3), the was found to be the most sensitive for such catchment. The Nash-Sutcliff Efficiency (NSE), a widely used ‘goodness-of- NSE value was found to be 74 percentage for calibration fit’ statistics indicator to access the goodness of model to and 67 percentage for the validation period. The slight simulate the flows (Nash and Sutcliffe 1970), was found to be underperformance of the model in validation period may be due to the fact that there is significant change in precipitation during the calibration period (852.7 mm/year) and the validation period (1002.5 mm/yr). Performance of the model is also known to be affected by a significant change in trend of annual average precipitation (Pipat et al 2005). Owing to the general trend of the NSE value for acceptance of rainfall-runoff model, this calibration can be adjudged as good because of having NSE around 70 percentage, which is quite acceptable for water engineering problem assessment and application. The fairly matching of hydrograph as well as hydrological processes on each HRU’s also supports it. The calibrated parameter values can also be used for further Figure 1. Observed and Simulated Discharge Series for Calibration and Validation stream-flow simulations in this catchment. Periods -- Narayan Kumar Shrestha, PhD researcher, Department of Hydrology & Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussels, Belgium Corresponding address: narayan.shrestha@vub.ac.be PC Shakti, Master in Meteorology, Tribhuvan University Nepal, and Master in Water Resources Engineering, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium Corresponding Address: shakti.pc@gmail.com Pabitra Gurung, Master in Water Resources Engineering, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium. Mr Gurung is a Consulting Engineer in Prarup Development Pvt. Ltd. Lalitpur, Nepal. Figure 2: Hydrological Processes at HRU1 (BERM+SAND) 50 HYDRO NEPAL ISSUE NO. 6 JANUARY, 2010
  • 5. Corresponding Address: Email: dcgrg@yahoo.com Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 29, pp.737-743. Acknowledgements Kahya, E. and J.A. Dracup, 1993, US streamflow patterns We would like to acknowledge Prof. W. Bauwens and in relation to the El Nino/southern oscillation, Water Assistant Eliseo Ana Jr., Vrije Universiteit, Brussels for Resources Research 28(8), pp.2491-2503. providing data as well as for their guidance and suggestions. Nash, J. E. and J.V. Sutcliffe, 1970, River flow forecasting Special thanks go to VLIR-UOS for providing the scholarship through conceptual models, Part I: A discussion of principles, for the International Masters Program in Water Resources Journal of Hydrology 10(3), pp.282–290. Engineering (2007-09), and both Katholieke Universiteit Neitsch, S.L., JG. Arnold, J.R. Kiniry and J.R. Williams, Leuven, Belgium and Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium, 2001, Soil and Water Assessment Tool, Theoretical for providing the platform. Documentation, Version 2000, Temple Texas: Blackland Research Center, Agricultural Research Service. References Pipat, R., S.K. Ramesh. J. Manoj, WG. Philip, A. Khalil Arnold, J.G., R. Srinivasan, R.S. Muttiah and J.R. Williams, and S. Ali, 2005, Calibration and Validation of SWAT for the 1998, Large area hydrologic modelling and assessment, Upper Maquoketa River Watershed, Working Paper 05-WP Part I: Model development, Journal of the American Water 396, Centers for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa Resources Association 34(1), pp.73-89. State University, Ames, Iowa. Bastidas, L.A., H.V. Gupta and S. Sorooshian, 2002, Refsgaard, J.C. and B. Storm, 1996, Construction, Emerging paradigms in the calibration of hydrologic models, calibration and validation of hydrological models, pp. 41- Mathematical Models of Large Watershed Hydrology, 1, 54 in M.B. Abbott and J.C. Refsgaard, eds., Distributed pp.25-56 (Water Resources Publications, LLC, Englewood, Hydrological Modelling, Dordrecht and Boston: Kluwer CO, USA). Academic. Griensven, V.A., A. Francos and W. Bauwens, 2002, Willems, P., 2000, Guidance Document for Calibration Sensitivity analysis and autocalibration of an integral and Verification of Rainfall-Runoff Models (unpublished dynamic model for river water quality, Water Science and manual; pp.4.3-4.31. Leuven, Belgium: Katholieke Technology 45(5), pp.321-328. Universiteit. Griensven,V.A., 2005, AVSWAT-X SWAT-2005 Advanced Willems, P., 2003, WETSPRO, Water Engineering Time Workshop, SWAT 2005 3rd International Conference, Series PROcessing Tool, Methodology and User's Manual, Zurich, Switzerland. Leuven, Belgium: Katholieke Universiteit. Heuvelmans, G., B. Muys and J. Feyen, 2004, Evaluation Willems, P., 2009, A time series tool to support the multi- of hydrological model parameter transferability for simulating criteria performance evaluation of rainfall-runoff models, the impact of land use on catchment hydrology, Journal of Environmental Modelling and Software 24, pp.311-321. w Call For Nomination for the Excellence Award 2010 There are many people and institutions who have rendered their services in the pursuit of excellence in the field of water, energy and/or environment. The HYDRO Nepal Excellence Award is established to recognize their efforts and honor them. HYDRO Nepal journal solicits nominations from among the experts, professionals or other individuals/ institutions involved in the pursuit of excellence in the field of water, energy and environment in Nepal for the annual HYDRO Nepal Excellence Award for the year 2010. Please send one page brief of the work and contributions of the nominated person or an institution for the year 2010 (and previous to that). Please include the nominee’s full name, address, contact phone number and email address, including your own phone and email contact details. The deadline for submission of nominations is May 20, 2010. Nominations will be evaluated by a three person Evaluation Committee consisting of prominent authorities in the sector. The Evaluation committee will decide the winner by June 30, 2010. The Decision of the Evaluation Committee will be final. The winner will be announced in the 7th issue of HYDRO Nepal in July 2010. Address your nominations to: HYDRO Nepal P. O. Box: 15142 KPC 609, Kamalpokhari (near Kumari Hall), Kathmandu, Nepal Email: hydronepal.journal@gmail.com; media4energy@gmail.com HYDRO NEPAL ISSUE NO. 6 JANUARY, 2010 51