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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           OPINION:
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Chinese production gets Hollywood star                                                                                                                                  races the clock
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Business & Finance, Page 17                                                                                                                     in Afghan surge
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ASIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           VO L . X X X V N O. 82                 (India facsimile Vol. 2 No. 143)                                                                                                                    Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    asia.WSJ.com


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           South Korea remembers attack, plans Thursday military drill
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Farm wages
MICA (P) NO. 164/10/2010




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    trip Beijing’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    price battle
SK. MENPEN R.I. NO: 01/SK/MENPEN/SCJJ/1998 TGL. 4 SEPT 1998




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    BY ANDREW BATSON                   ensure the security of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       supply of major agricultural
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        BEIJING—To combat a            products.” But farmers know
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    surge in food prices that is       other factors are also at work.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    worrying consumers and                 Zhang Zhongliang, who
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    economists, China’s govern-        runs a pig farm on the south-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ment is reining in bank lend-      ern outskirts of Beijing, says
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ing and selling down reserves      the average pay for his work-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    of grain. But there is one         ers has gone up 10% this year,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    driver of higher food prices       to about 2,000 yuan a month,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    that will be harder to get un-     and he expects to give the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    der control: the steady rise in    same kind of raises next year.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    the wages paid to workers on           “Wages are going up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    and off the farm.                  around the country. This will
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Managing inflation has         be the trend for the next few
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    rapidly become China’s top         years,” Mr. Zhang said.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    economic priority, following           Most of China’s farmers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    two months of official figures     supplement the income from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    showing consumer prices ris-       their family plots by working
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ing much faster than ex-           at urban factories or large
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    pected. A 21% rise in vegeta-      farms like Mr. Zhang’s. With
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ble prices, in particular,         the job market bouncing back
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    helped push consumer-price         strongly from last year’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    inflation over 5% in November      downturn, the wages earned
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    for the first time in two years.   by rural households are up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        The government has em-         18.7% so far this year on a per
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    phasized the role that tempo-      capita basis, according to offi-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Associated Press




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    rary food shortages play.          cial data.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    China’s top Communist Party            Those rising wages are a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    leadership, concluding their           Please turn to page 16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    annual economic-policy con-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           A South Korean man holding a candle during a vigil held in Seoul just before the one-month anniversary of the North’s shelling of                                        ference Sunday, called for           Surge in the price of onions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Yeonpyeong Island, which killed four people. Seoul said it plans further military exercises Thursday, near the North’s border. Page 3                                    “doing everything possible to        roils India ....................................... 5



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Li seeks first                 Facebook’s chief meets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  with China’s Web leaders
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  BY LORETTA CHAO                    Mobile Ltd., and a visit Mon-       China to succeed on our
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     day with Robin Li, CEO of           terms.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Billionaire Li Ka-shing is          BEIJING—Facebook Inc.          Baidu Inc., at the Chinese             “Before we do anything
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  exploring what would be         Chief Executive Mark Zucker-       search company’s headquar-          there, I’m personally spending
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Hong Kong's first IPO valued    berg met with some of China’s      ters.                               a lot of time studying it and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  in yuan, as the city looks to   top technology executives             The trip appeared to be an       figuring out what I think the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  bolster its position as a       during a visit to Beijing this     effort by the 26-year-old U.S.      right thing to do is,” he said,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  global trading center for the   week that was billed as a va-      executive to learn more about       adding that he spends an hour
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Chinese currency. Page 17       cation, fueling speculation        the Chinese market, rather          a day studying Chinese. “It’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  about the social-networking        than discuss any specific busi-     such an important part of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  site’s ambitions to enter a        ness proposals. But the visit       world. I mean, how can you
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  market where it is blocked by      came as the Facebook founder        connect the world if you leave
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Notice to readers            censors.                           openly has discussed a desire       out” China’s population of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Mr.    Zuckerberg      on      to get into China, where the        more than one billion people,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   The Wall Street Journal        Wednesday visited the offices      government has blocked ac-          he said.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Asia won’t publish Fri-        of Sina Corp., a leading Chi-      cess to the site since last year.      Mr. Zuckerberg couldn’t be
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   day or Monday in obser-        nese Web portal, and met              At a talk this fall to aspir-        Please turn to page 16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   vance of Christmas and         with its CEO, Charles Chao.        ing entrepreneurs in Palo
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Boxing Day. News and           That followed a meeting            Alto, Calif., Mr. Zuckerberg          Online book seller Dangdang
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   updates are available at       Tuesday with Wang Jianzhou,        said he was hoping to figure          set to expand ........................... 20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   asia.WSJ.com.                  chairman of state-owned tele-      out the “right partnerships           Retailers tap Facebook
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  communications carrier China       that we would need to do in           profiles .......................................... 21
2                                                                       * *                        THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.                                             Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010

                                                                                                               PAGE TWO


                                                                           What’s News—                                                                                                              Inside
         i       i      i
    Business & Finance
n Billionaire Li Ka-shing is plan-
ning what could be the first yuan-
denominated IPO in Hong Kong,
for a real-estate investment trust
backed by property in Beijing. The
deal still needs regulatory ap-
proval from authorities on the
Chinese mainland. 17

n DP World said it sold 75% of
its Australian port interests to an
infrastructure fund managed by
Citigroup for about $1.49 billion
                                                                                                                                                                                        World News: Onion
to reduce debt. 29                                                                                                                                                                      prices are a political
n Sony started a streaming music
                                                                                                                                                                                        hot potato in India. 5
service in the U.K. and Ireland
that it plans to roll out more
broadly next year in a bid to catch
up to rivals such as Apple. 19
                                      European Pressphoto Agency




n Japan offered a relatively up-
beat forecast of 1.5% economic
growth next year, showing its op-
timism reinforced by positive No-
vember trade data. 4

n The U.S. economy grew 2.6% in                                Russian President Dmitry Medvedev visited the Taj Mahal in Agra on Wednesday, a day after he and Indian Prime
the third quarter, slightly more                               Minister Manmohan Singh signed a series of agreements in areas ranging from nuclear energy to the development of
than previously thought, as firms                              fighter aircraft to give impetus to what they termed a special and privileged partnership.
boosted inventories, but consumer
spending was revised lower. 6                                  panding its offerings beyond me-        nance, just days after calling off     ments from secretly taped com-            Capital: Japan shows
                                                               dia, but it warned the push could       the sale of its controlling stake in   plaints about the coalition by
n South Korea’s benchmark                                      pressure margins. 20                    the company. 25                        members of its junior partner. 8
                                                                                                                                                                                        trials of escaping a
stock index ended at a three-year                                                                                                                                                       post-bubble funk. 4
high, helped by gains in automo-                               n American Airlines wants to de-        n PPG Industries will pay $3.75        n Europe’s travel crisis eased
bile and shipbuilding stocks. U.S.                             lay the start of its new service to     million to settle U.S. charges that    but there were still substantial
stocks edged up, helped by the re-                             Tokyo’s Haneda airport by a             a Chinese subsidiary illegally ex-     airport and train delays amid
vision to economic growth. 23                                  month to avoid a slow period. 18        ported high-performance coatings       forecasts of another dip in tem-
                                                                                                       to a Pakistan nuclear reactor. 20      peratures in coming days.
n Deutsche Bank agreed to pay                                  n Chinese filmmaker Zhang Yi-
$553.6 million and admitted crimi-                             mou is tapping Hollywood actor          n A single trader has reported it      n China fired back at the Vatican
nal wrongdoing to settle a U.S.                                Christian Bale to star in a movie       owns 80% to 90% of the copper in       after its criticism of Beijing’s reli-
probe over tax shelters. 29                                    about Japan’s occupation of Nan-        LME warehouses. Such holdings          gious appointments, calling such a
                                                               jing, underscoring the global am-       are under scrutiny as commodity        move harmful to the Catholic
n Directors of AIG are expected                                bitions of China’s film industry. 17    prices soar. 25                        church’s development in China.
to confer Thursday to try to
choose a preferred bidder for its                              n Shanghai Pudong Development                     i      i       i             n Thousands of Italian students
Nan Shan life-insurance business                               Bank and the U.S.’s Silicon Valley                World-Wide                   protested against university bud-
in Taiwan. An announcement is                                  Bank plan to set up a bank in                                                  get cuts as police blocked off large
expected next week. 24                                         China for small and medium-size         n South Korea’s military sched-        parts of central Rome.
                                                               tech firms. 22                          uled another exercise to take                                                    Business & Finance:
n Former H-P chief Hurd is fight-                                                                      place near the inter-Korean bor-       n A top opposition figure in
ing to keep private the letter that                            n Foster’s said it is shuffling ex-     der Thursday, after it was embold-     Ivory Coast called for the interna-
                                                                                                                                                                                        Tokyo taxis join ranks
led to his resignation from the                                ecutives ahead of the expected          ened by carrying out a military        tional community to use force to          of Wi-Fi hotspots. 18
company, which is the subject of a                             separation of the Australian com-       drill in the face of North Korean      oust Laurent Gbagbo from the
probe by U.S. regulators. 21                                   pany’s wine and beer divisions. 19      threats earlier this week. 3           presidency after the disputed elec-
                                                                                                                                              tion. France urged its citizens to
n Online book retailer Dangdang                                n South Korea’s government said         n The U.K.’s coalition govern-         get out of the country amid grow-
is looking to fuel growth by ex-                               it still plans to privatize Woori Fi-   ment suffered new embarrass-           ing fears of civil war.


                                                                                        ONLINE TODAY
Most read in Asia                                              Exchange                                On Wine                                Speakeasy
                                                               blogs.wsj.com/exchange                                                         blogs.wsj.com/speakeasy

                                                               Investors may opt for                                                          Critics have their
                                                               Hong Kong-listed                                                               knives out for ‘Little                    Markets: Chinese
                                                               Chinese companies                                                              Fockers,’ the third                       company buys New
                                                               rather than those                                                              installment of the                        York landmark. 29
1. N. Korea Backs Down, Holds
Fire
                                                               trading in the U.S.                                                            ‘Meet the Parents’                            THE WALL STREET JOURNAL ASIA
2. South Mistrust of North Grows
3. Tokyo’s Taxis Add Wi-Fi
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Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010                                     THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.                                                                                                  3

                                                                                        WORLD NEWS


Seoul flexes its muscle with new drill
BY EVAN RAMSTAD                           tion at the time of the attack.          attacked by the North.                   learn details about North Korea’s       straight lines, defying geographic
                                              The new exercise will involve ar-       However, South Korea appeared         tactics in the Nov. 23 attack, which    obstacles such as hills and roads. “It
    SEOUL—South Korea’s military,         tillery units and aircraft at a South    to use the exercise as a public-rela-    killed four people on South Korea-      gives you the impression it was
emboldened after carrying out a           Korean training range north of           tions opportunity. Its military, stung   controlled Yeonpyeong Island in the     done hastily or that they were on a
military drill in the face of North       Seoul near the border area known         by criticism it responded weakly to      Yellow Sea.                             tight deadline,” says Joe Bermudez,
Korean threats earlier this week,         as the demilitarized zone. Though it     the Nov. 23 attack, have been look-          Satellite photos have shown that    a Colorado-based analyst of North
scheduled another exercise to take        involves just 800 troops of the          ing for ways to flex its muscle. A       North Korea took steps to avoid in-     Korea’s military.
place Thursday near the inter-Ko-         country’s approximately 600,000-         new defense minister and other se-       terception of radio communication           As well, North Korea used a sur-
rean border.                              person military, South Korean offi-      nior officers have warned North Ko-      by the artillery groups that fired on   prise tactic in which the firing of
    Meanwhile, more emerged about         cials said it was the largest exercise   rea that further provocations will be    the island, digging trenches to run     different types of weapons from dif-
North Korea’s preparations for its        they’ve staged in winter.                met with strong counterattacks.          cables between firing points and an     ferent locations was coordinated so
attack last month on a South Korean           The drill is the 48th major exer-       The military invited news pho-        underground control center. South       that a high number of rounds
island, showing that the North had        cise of the year for South Korean        tographers to cover Thursday’s drill,    Korean forces on the island and all     landed at once in the initial volley.
held practice drills of the strategy it   forces, a figure that doesn’t count      another sign of the eagerness to         along the border routinely monitor      South Korean officials determined
used in the attack, and had taken         small-scale test-firings of the kind     demonstrate its capabilities.            North Korean military radio.            earlier that North Korea practiced
steps to shield its radio communica-      that occurred Monday on the island          Separately, analysts continued to         The trenches run in nearly          the tactic at least twice.




        Collection Haute Joaillerie, L’Ame du Voyage.
4                                                                                       THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.                                                                      Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010

                                                                                          WORLD NEWS: ASIA


Japan sees end to downturn next year
BY TOKO SEKIGUCHI                                                                                                                                                                                    package,” said Mr. Shiraishi, who ex-
AND TAKASHI MOCHIZUKI                       Exports driven | Japan’s economic outlook                                                                                                                pects 1.2% gross domestic product
                                                                                                                                                                                                     growth in the next fiscal year.
    TOKYO—Japan’s         government                                                                                                                                                                    Other reports released Wednes-
Wednesday offered a relatively up-                                                                                                                                                                   day showed that new sources of de-
beat forecast of 1.5% economic                                                                                                                                                                       mand will be needed to avoid two
growth next year, its optimism rein-                                                                                                                                                                 quarters of contraction and a re-
forced by positive November trade                                                                                                                                                                    newed recession. Both the govern-
data.                                                                                                                                                                                                ment and the Bank of Japan issued
    The forecast for the year starting                                                                                                                                                               their December scorecards on the
next April compares with revised                                                                                                                                                                     economy, and both left their
expectations for 3.1% growth for the                                                                                                                                                                 guarded assessments unchanged.
current fiscal year, the first annual-                                                                                                                                                                  “Japan’s economy is likely to
ized expansion in three years. But                                                                                                                                                                   grow at a slower pace for some
recent indicators have pointed to a                                                                                                                                                                  time, but is expected to return to a
slowdown over the past few months                                                                                                                                                                    moderate recovery path thereafter,”
due to the end of consumer subsi-                                                                                                                                                                    the central bank said in its report,
dies for energy-efficient autos and                                                                                                                                                                  while the government said that the
appliances as well as the impact of                                                                                                                                                                  economy “has been in a lull recently
the strong yen.                                                                                                                                                                                      and faces severe conditions such as
    “We expect to be out of an eco-                                                                                                                                                                  a high unemployment rate.”
nomic standstill from next year,”                                                                                                                                                                       Economy Minister Banri Kaieda
said Hiroyuki Inoue, a deputy direc-                                                                                                                                                                 also voiced caution, quoting Mr. Kan
tor in the cabinet’s economic office.                                                                                                                                                                as saying he was “very concerned”
“Policywise, this is a realistic goal.”                                                                                                                                                              about the current state of the econ-
    Unemployment is expected to                                                                                                                                                                      omy.
continue to fall slowly, with the job-                                                                                                                                                                  Both the BOJ and the govern-
less rate forecast to decline to 4.7%                                                                                                                                                                ment have taken steps recently to
from 5%.                                     Newly produced cars and a container ship are seen at an industrial port in Yokohama, south of Tokyo.                                                    stimulate the economy.
    The government also expects de-                                                                                                                                                                     The central bank announced
flationary pressures to lessen, but         Annual GDP growth rate                                                    Exports, change from previous year                                             “comprehensive monetary easing”
not disappear. It forecasts the con-         4%                                                                        60%                                                                           measures in October, including low-
sumer-price index to be flat next                                                                                                                                                                    ering its benchmark overnight lend-
year, compared with a 0.6% decline                                                                  Forecast           40                                                                            ing rate to a range of zero to 0.1%.
                                             2
for this year.                                                                                                                                                                                          Mr. Kan’s government, mean-
                                                                                                                       20
    When he took office in June,             0                                                                                                                                                       while, is pinning its hopes on a plan
Prime Minister Naoto Kan set a goal                                                                                      0                                                                           to cut corporate taxes by five per-
of ending deflation by fiscal 2011,         –2                                                                                                                                                       centage points from the current 40%
but officials say the flat forecast for                                                                               -20                                                                            rate, which would still leave the
consumer prices doesn’t mean the            –4                                                                        -40                                                                            rates well above Asian rivals’ levels.
government expects to declare an                                                                                                                                                                     However, given Japan’s bloated gov-
end to deflation next year.                 –6                                                                        -60                                                                            ernment debt load, which stands at
    The Ministry of Finance said                    FY’07            ’08          ’09     ’10          ’11                   ’07                ’08                ’09             ’10
                                                                                                                                                                                                     nearly 200% of GDP, it will need to
Wednesday that Japanese exports             Note: Fiscal years starting April 1                                 Sources: Japanese government (GDP); Ministry of Finance (exports); Reuters (photo)   find the lost revenue from other
rose 9.1% in November due to solid                                                                                                                                                                   sources.
demand from China, with the pace                                                                                                                                                                        The government will unveil its
of growth accelerating for the first         “Export growth seems to be ac-               at HSBC Securities. But he added                                “I think the government’s out-             budget for the coming fiscal year
time since February, in a positive        celerating, and it’s possible it will           that, given other economic prob-                            look is slightly optimistic probably           this week.
sign for the country’s export-depen-      continue to pick up down the road,”             lems, the government’s growth fore-                         because they anticipate a stronger                             —Megumi Fujikawa
dent economy.                             said Seiji Shiraishi, chief economist           cast may still be too ambitious.                            tail wind from the latest stimulus                       contributed to this article.




Tokyo shows trials of escaping post-bubble funk
                                          Had the BoJ achieved 1% inflation                                                                                                                          bankers accountable for inflation,
    [ Capital ]                           each year, prices would have risen               Parallel tracks?                                                                                          shouldn’t they be held accountable
                                          14%. After accounting for price                                                                                                                            for deflation, too?)
BY DAVID WESSEL                                                                            Year-over-year change in consumer prices excluding food and energy,
                                          changes, the Japanese economy                                                                                                                                  Four, we don’t think deflation
                                                                                           Japan 1991-2010, U.S. 2007-2010.
                                          has grown at a rate of only 0.9%                                                                                                                           is Japan’s big economic problem.
                     Federal Reserve      over the past two decades. And, as                3%                                                                                                       Japan suffers from a shrinking
                                                                                                         Japan
                  Chairman Ben            the Bank of Japan said this week,                                                                                                                          population, crippling regulation
                  Bernanke is under       “The recovery seems to be                         2                                                                                                        and disappointing productivity
                  attack for doing        pausing.” Still, it predicted                                                                                                                              growth. Political gridlock is an
                                                                                            1            U.S.
                  too much to reduce      hopefully that Japan will “return                                                                                                                          obstacle to fixing anything. BoJ
                  unemployment and        to a moderate recovery path” as                   0                                                                                                        medicine can’t cure those ills.
lift inflation.                           emerging economies and                                                                                                                                     (Deflation may not be Japan’s big
    His Japanese counterpart,             commodity producers propel                       -1                                                                                                        problem, says the critic, but isn’t
Masaaki Shirakawa of the Bank of          global growth.                                                                                                                                             it the one problem a central bank
Japan, is under attack for doing              In Japan, a little inflation                 -2                                                                                                        should be able to solve?)
too little.                               would be welcome. It would make                   1991 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95                            2000                         ’05                  ’10        The Bank of Japan, with the
    Japan is a puzzle—and not only        inflation-adjusted interest rates                 2007 ’08 ’09 ’10                                                                                         benefit of hindsight, made some
to foreign visitors who wonder            lower. It would make paying                                                                                                                                mistakes. It kept rates too low too
                                                                                           Sources: Statistics Bureau (Japan), Bureau of Labor Statistics (U.S.)
how a stagnant economy can feel           Japan’s huge debts easier. It would                                                                                                                        long, helping to fuel a bubble. It
so prosperous. Academics wonder           tend to cheapen the yen, aiding                                                                                                                            failed to act before deflation
how Japan avoided the                     exports.                                        lot of monetary easing already,                             and business bank loans to direct              infected its economy, showing that
deflationary spiral their theories            American pundits, policy                    long before we were hit by the                              credit where it’s needed. But 10-              it’s a lot easier to avoid deflation
predicted and, instead, suffered          makers and economists ought to                  “Lehman shock,” as it’s known in                            year Japanese government bonds                 than to get out of it. And it moved
only a decade of low-grade                be a bit humble about judging                   Tokyo, and the resulting plunge in                          are yielding less than 1.2%, already           prematurely to tighten before the
deflation. Foreign central bankers        Japanese policy. When the U.S.                  our exports. Our 2003-07 battle                             pretty low. We’re not sure massive             economy was ready. The Fed
and market analysts wonder why            was booming, it was easy for                    against deflation succeeded for a                           Bernanke-style quantitative easing             learned from all that.
the Bank of Japan won’t do more.          American experts to assert that if              time. Measured against the size of                          would do much good. (Neither is                    Now the BoJ is being tested
Japanese politicians wonder if            only Japan took their advice,                   our economy, our portfolio of                               Mr. Bernanke, says the critic, but             again. The betting is that it’ll
they can force the central bank to        everything would be fine. These                 bonds has increased more and is                             he figures doing something beats               eventually follow the Fed and buy
be more aggressive. The ruling            days, the U.S. is learning how hard             larger than that of the U.S. or                             doing nothing.)                                a lot more bonds of some sort. It’s
party has an Anti-Deflation               it is to climb out of a post-bubble             Europe. (OK, says the critic, but so                           Three, much of Japan’s                      hard for an outsider to tell if it
League, and a band of                     funk.                                           what? It’s not what you did in the                          deflation is beyond our control,               believes it lacks the ability to
parliamentarians want to give the             Although it’s hard to swallow               past that matters. It’s what you’re                         they say. An already low inflation             eradicate deflation or if it lacks
BoJ a target for inflation to press       the notion that a central bank                  accomplishing now.)                                         rate was pushed down by                        the will. But it’ll be tough for
it to create some.                        cannot thwart deflation, look at all                Two, we’re doing a little more                          competition from China and other               Japan’s economy to get much
    Since 1997, the price level in        this through the BoJ’s eyes.                    asset buying, even dabbling in                              emerging markets. (Perhaps, says               traction if it can’t whip deflation
Japan has fallen more than 3%.                One, they say, we have done a               corporate bond, real-estate trusts                          the critic, but if we hold central             now.
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  • 1. As of 11 a.m. ET DJIA 11542.35 À 0.08% FTSE 100 5983.49 À 0.53% Nikkei 225 10346.48 g 0.23% Shanghai Comp. 2877.90 g 0.90% Hang Seng 23045.19 À 0.22% Sensex 20015.80 g 0.22% S&P/ASX 200 4778.43 À 0.14% OPINION: Gen. Petraeus Chinese production gets Hollywood star races the clock Business & Finance, Page 17 in Afghan surge KKDN PPS 648/11/2010 (028507) Malaysia: RM6.00, Pakistan: Rs140.00, Philippines: Peso80.00, Singapore: S$4.00(Incl GST), Sri Lanka: Slrs180(Incl VAT), Taiwan: NT$60.00, Thailand: Baht50.00, Vietnam: US$2.50 Australia: A$6.00(Incl GST), Brunei: B$7.00, China: RMB25.00, Hong Kong: HK$18.00, India: Rs25.00, Indonesia: Rp18,000(Incl PPN), Japan: Yen500(Incl JCT), Korea: Won2,500, Page 13 KKDN PP 9315/10/2010 (025811) ASIA VO L . X X X V N O. 82 (India facsimile Vol. 2 No. 143) Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010 asia.WSJ.com South Korea remembers attack, plans Thursday military drill Farm wages MICA (P) NO. 164/10/2010 trip Beijing’s price battle SK. MENPEN R.I. NO: 01/SK/MENPEN/SCJJ/1998 TGL. 4 SEPT 1998 BY ANDREW BATSON ensure the security of the supply of major agricultural BEIJING—To combat a products.” But farmers know surge in food prices that is other factors are also at work. worrying consumers and Zhang Zhongliang, who economists, China’s govern- runs a pig farm on the south- ment is reining in bank lend- ern outskirts of Beijing, says ing and selling down reserves the average pay for his work- of grain. But there is one ers has gone up 10% this year, driver of higher food prices to about 2,000 yuan a month, that will be harder to get un- and he expects to give the der control: the steady rise in same kind of raises next year. the wages paid to workers on “Wages are going up and off the farm. around the country. This will Managing inflation has be the trend for the next few rapidly become China’s top years,” Mr. Zhang said. economic priority, following Most of China’s farmers two months of official figures supplement the income from showing consumer prices ris- their family plots by working ing much faster than ex- at urban factories or large pected. A 21% rise in vegeta- farms like Mr. Zhang’s. With ble prices, in particular, the job market bouncing back helped push consumer-price strongly from last year’s inflation over 5% in November downturn, the wages earned for the first time in two years. by rural households are up The government has em- 18.7% so far this year on a per phasized the role that tempo- capita basis, according to offi- Associated Press rary food shortages play. cial data. China’s top Communist Party Those rising wages are a leadership, concluding their Please turn to page 16 annual economic-policy con- A South Korean man holding a candle during a vigil held in Seoul just before the one-month anniversary of the North’s shelling of ference Sunday, called for Surge in the price of onions Yeonpyeong Island, which killed four people. Seoul said it plans further military exercises Thursday, near the North’s border. Page 3 “doing everything possible to roils India ....................................... 5 Li seeks first Facebook’s chief meets with China’s Web leaders BY LORETTA CHAO Mobile Ltd., and a visit Mon- China to succeed on our day with Robin Li, CEO of terms.” Billionaire Li Ka-shing is BEIJING—Facebook Inc. Baidu Inc., at the Chinese “Before we do anything exploring what would be Chief Executive Mark Zucker- search company’s headquar- there, I’m personally spending Hong Kong's first IPO valued berg met with some of China’s ters. a lot of time studying it and in yuan, as the city looks to top technology executives The trip appeared to be an figuring out what I think the bolster its position as a during a visit to Beijing this effort by the 26-year-old U.S. right thing to do is,” he said, global trading center for the week that was billed as a va- executive to learn more about adding that he spends an hour Chinese currency. Page 17 cation, fueling speculation the Chinese market, rather a day studying Chinese. “It’s about the social-networking than discuss any specific busi- such an important part of the site’s ambitions to enter a ness proposals. But the visit world. I mean, how can you market where it is blocked by came as the Facebook founder connect the world if you leave Notice to readers censors. openly has discussed a desire out” China’s population of Mr. Zuckerberg on to get into China, where the more than one billion people, The Wall Street Journal Wednesday visited the offices government has blocked ac- he said. Asia won’t publish Fri- of Sina Corp., a leading Chi- cess to the site since last year. Mr. Zuckerberg couldn’t be day or Monday in obser- nese Web portal, and met At a talk this fall to aspir- Please turn to page 16 vance of Christmas and with its CEO, Charles Chao. ing entrepreneurs in Palo Boxing Day. News and That followed a meeting Alto, Calif., Mr. Zuckerberg Online book seller Dangdang updates are available at Tuesday with Wang Jianzhou, said he was hoping to figure set to expand ........................... 20 asia.WSJ.com. chairman of state-owned tele- out the “right partnerships Retailers tap Facebook communications carrier China that we would need to do in profiles .......................................... 21
  • 2. 2 * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010 PAGE TWO What’s News— Inside i i i Business & Finance n Billionaire Li Ka-shing is plan- ning what could be the first yuan- denominated IPO in Hong Kong, for a real-estate investment trust backed by property in Beijing. The deal still needs regulatory ap- proval from authorities on the Chinese mainland. 17 n DP World said it sold 75% of its Australian port interests to an infrastructure fund managed by Citigroup for about $1.49 billion World News: Onion to reduce debt. 29 prices are a political n Sony started a streaming music hot potato in India. 5 service in the U.K. and Ireland that it plans to roll out more broadly next year in a bid to catch up to rivals such as Apple. 19 European Pressphoto Agency n Japan offered a relatively up- beat forecast of 1.5% economic growth next year, showing its op- timism reinforced by positive No- vember trade data. 4 n The U.S. economy grew 2.6% in Russian President Dmitry Medvedev visited the Taj Mahal in Agra on Wednesday, a day after he and Indian Prime the third quarter, slightly more Minister Manmohan Singh signed a series of agreements in areas ranging from nuclear energy to the development of than previously thought, as firms fighter aircraft to give impetus to what they termed a special and privileged partnership. boosted inventories, but consumer spending was revised lower. 6 panding its offerings beyond me- nance, just days after calling off ments from secretly taped com- Capital: Japan shows dia, but it warned the push could the sale of its controlling stake in plaints about the coalition by n South Korea’s benchmark pressure margins. 20 the company. 25 members of its junior partner. 8 trials of escaping a stock index ended at a three-year post-bubble funk. 4 high, helped by gains in automo- n American Airlines wants to de- n PPG Industries will pay $3.75 n Europe’s travel crisis eased bile and shipbuilding stocks. U.S. lay the start of its new service to million to settle U.S. charges that but there were still substantial stocks edged up, helped by the re- Tokyo’s Haneda airport by a a Chinese subsidiary illegally ex- airport and train delays amid vision to economic growth. 23 month to avoid a slow period. 18 ported high-performance coatings forecasts of another dip in tem- to a Pakistan nuclear reactor. 20 peratures in coming days. n Deutsche Bank agreed to pay n Chinese filmmaker Zhang Yi- $553.6 million and admitted crimi- mou is tapping Hollywood actor n A single trader has reported it n China fired back at the Vatican nal wrongdoing to settle a U.S. Christian Bale to star in a movie owns 80% to 90% of the copper in after its criticism of Beijing’s reli- probe over tax shelters. 29 about Japan’s occupation of Nan- LME warehouses. Such holdings gious appointments, calling such a jing, underscoring the global am- are under scrutiny as commodity move harmful to the Catholic n Directors of AIG are expected bitions of China’s film industry. 17 prices soar. 25 church’s development in China. to confer Thursday to try to choose a preferred bidder for its n Shanghai Pudong Development i i i n Thousands of Italian students Nan Shan life-insurance business Bank and the U.S.’s Silicon Valley World-Wide protested against university bud- in Taiwan. An announcement is Bank plan to set up a bank in get cuts as police blocked off large expected next week. 24 China for small and medium-size n South Korea’s military sched- parts of central Rome. tech firms. 22 uled another exercise to take Business & Finance: n Former H-P chief Hurd is fight- place near the inter-Korean bor- n A top opposition figure in ing to keep private the letter that n Foster’s said it is shuffling ex- der Thursday, after it was embold- Ivory Coast called for the interna- Tokyo taxis join ranks led to his resignation from the ecutives ahead of the expected ened by carrying out a military tional community to use force to of Wi-Fi hotspots. 18 company, which is the subject of a separation of the Australian com- drill in the face of North Korean oust Laurent Gbagbo from the probe by U.S. regulators. 21 pany’s wine and beer divisions. 19 threats earlier this week. 3 presidency after the disputed elec- tion. France urged its citizens to n Online book retailer Dangdang n South Korea’s government said n The U.K.’s coalition govern- get out of the country amid grow- is looking to fuel growth by ex- it still plans to privatize Woori Fi- ment suffered new embarrass- ing fears of civil war. ONLINE TODAY Most read in Asia Exchange On Wine Speakeasy blogs.wsj.com/exchange blogs.wsj.com/speakeasy Investors may opt for Critics have their Hong Kong-listed knives out for ‘Little Markets: Chinese Chinese companies Fockers,’ the third company buys New rather than those installment of the York landmark. 29 1. N. Korea Backs Down, Holds Fire trading in the U.S. ‘Meet the Parents’ THE WALL STREET JOURNAL ASIA 2. South Mistrust of North Grows 3. Tokyo’s Taxis Add Wi-Fi franchise. Dow Jones Publishing Company (Asia) 25/F, Central Plaza, 18 Harbour Road, Hong Kong Tel 852-2573 7121 Fax 852-2834 5291 4. Internet Gets New Rules www.wsj-asia.com 5. Microsoft to Reveal New SUBSCRIPTIONS and Address Changes, please Windows telephone our local customer service hotline, Hong Kong/Taiwan: 852-2831 2555; Beijing: 86-10 6581 4090; Most emailed in Asia Shanghai: 86-21 5836 8228; Indonesia: 62-21 527 7592; Japan: 81-3 6269-2760; Korea: 82-2 756 1695; 1. Congress, SEC Hit Stocks Made Malaysia: 60-3 2026 4061; Philippines: 63-2 848 5873; Singapore: 65-6415 4000; Thailand: 66-2 652 0871; in China India: 91-11 6462 0215. Or email: service@wsj-asia.com 2. The Doctor’s Dog Will See You ADVERTISING SALES worldwide through Dow Jones Now The White House offers International. Hong Kong: 852-2831 2504; Singapore: 3. Cooling Trend in Hong Kong clues about its holiday 65-6415 4300; Tokyo: 81-3 6269-2701; Frankfurt: 49 69 29725390; London: 44 207 842 9600; Paris: 33 1 40 17 4. Trader Hoards Copper in 17 01; New York: 1-212 659 2176. Or email: London wine selections. wsja.publisher@dowjones.com Trademarks appearing herein are used under license from 5. Ernst & Young Faces Charges blogs.wsj.com/wine Dow Jones & Company. USPS 337-350ISSN 0377-9920
  • 3. Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. 3 WORLD NEWS Seoul flexes its muscle with new drill BY EVAN RAMSTAD tion at the time of the attack. attacked by the North. learn details about North Korea’s straight lines, defying geographic The new exercise will involve ar- However, South Korea appeared tactics in the Nov. 23 attack, which obstacles such as hills and roads. “It SEOUL—South Korea’s military, tillery units and aircraft at a South to use the exercise as a public-rela- killed four people on South Korea- gives you the impression it was emboldened after carrying out a Korean training range north of tions opportunity. Its military, stung controlled Yeonpyeong Island in the done hastily or that they were on a military drill in the face of North Seoul near the border area known by criticism it responded weakly to Yellow Sea. tight deadline,” says Joe Bermudez, Korean threats earlier this week, as the demilitarized zone. Though it the Nov. 23 attack, have been look- Satellite photos have shown that a Colorado-based analyst of North scheduled another exercise to take involves just 800 troops of the ing for ways to flex its muscle. A North Korea took steps to avoid in- Korea’s military. place Thursday near the inter-Ko- country’s approximately 600,000- new defense minister and other se- terception of radio communication As well, North Korea used a sur- rean border. person military, South Korean offi- nior officers have warned North Ko- by the artillery groups that fired on prise tactic in which the firing of Meanwhile, more emerged about cials said it was the largest exercise rea that further provocations will be the island, digging trenches to run different types of weapons from dif- North Korea’s preparations for its they’ve staged in winter. met with strong counterattacks. cables between firing points and an ferent locations was coordinated so attack last month on a South Korean The drill is the 48th major exer- The military invited news pho- underground control center. South that a high number of rounds island, showing that the North had cise of the year for South Korean tographers to cover Thursday’s drill, Korean forces on the island and all landed at once in the initial volley. held practice drills of the strategy it forces, a figure that doesn’t count another sign of the eagerness to along the border routinely monitor South Korean officials determined used in the attack, and had taken small-scale test-firings of the kind demonstrate its capabilities. North Korean military radio. earlier that North Korea practiced steps to shield its radio communica- that occurred Monday on the island Separately, analysts continued to The trenches run in nearly the tactic at least twice. Collection Haute Joaillerie, L’Ame du Voyage.
  • 4. 4 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Thursday - Monday, December 23 - 27, 2010 WORLD NEWS: ASIA Japan sees end to downturn next year BY TOKO SEKIGUCHI package,” said Mr. Shiraishi, who ex- AND TAKASHI MOCHIZUKI Exports driven | Japan’s economic outlook pects 1.2% gross domestic product growth in the next fiscal year. TOKYO—Japan’s government Other reports released Wednes- Wednesday offered a relatively up- day showed that new sources of de- beat forecast of 1.5% economic mand will be needed to avoid two growth next year, its optimism rein- quarters of contraction and a re- forced by positive November trade newed recession. Both the govern- data. ment and the Bank of Japan issued The forecast for the year starting their December scorecards on the next April compares with revised economy, and both left their expectations for 3.1% growth for the guarded assessments unchanged. current fiscal year, the first annual- “Japan’s economy is likely to ized expansion in three years. But grow at a slower pace for some recent indicators have pointed to a time, but is expected to return to a slowdown over the past few months moderate recovery path thereafter,” due to the end of consumer subsi- the central bank said in its report, dies for energy-efficient autos and while the government said that the appliances as well as the impact of economy “has been in a lull recently the strong yen. and faces severe conditions such as “We expect to be out of an eco- a high unemployment rate.” nomic standstill from next year,” Economy Minister Banri Kaieda said Hiroyuki Inoue, a deputy direc- also voiced caution, quoting Mr. Kan tor in the cabinet’s economic office. as saying he was “very concerned” “Policywise, this is a realistic goal.” about the current state of the econ- Unemployment is expected to omy. continue to fall slowly, with the job- Both the BOJ and the govern- less rate forecast to decline to 4.7% ment have taken steps recently to from 5%. Newly produced cars and a container ship are seen at an industrial port in Yokohama, south of Tokyo. stimulate the economy. The government also expects de- The central bank announced flationary pressures to lessen, but Annual GDP growth rate Exports, change from previous year “comprehensive monetary easing” not disappear. It forecasts the con- 4% 60% measures in October, including low- sumer-price index to be flat next ering its benchmark overnight lend- year, compared with a 0.6% decline Forecast 40 ing rate to a range of zero to 0.1%. 2 for this year. Mr. Kan’s government, mean- 20 When he took office in June, 0 while, is pinning its hopes on a plan Prime Minister Naoto Kan set a goal 0 to cut corporate taxes by five per- of ending deflation by fiscal 2011, –2 centage points from the current 40% but officials say the flat forecast for -20 rate, which would still leave the consumer prices doesn’t mean the –4 -40 rates well above Asian rivals’ levels. government expects to declare an However, given Japan’s bloated gov- end to deflation next year. –6 -60 ernment debt load, which stands at The Ministry of Finance said FY’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 nearly 200% of GDP, it will need to Wednesday that Japanese exports Note: Fiscal years starting April 1 Sources: Japanese government (GDP); Ministry of Finance (exports); Reuters (photo) find the lost revenue from other rose 9.1% in November due to solid sources. demand from China, with the pace The government will unveil its of growth accelerating for the first “Export growth seems to be ac- at HSBC Securities. But he added “I think the government’s out- budget for the coming fiscal year time since February, in a positive celerating, and it’s possible it will that, given other economic prob- look is slightly optimistic probably this week. sign for the country’s export-depen- continue to pick up down the road,” lems, the government’s growth fore- because they anticipate a stronger —Megumi Fujikawa dent economy. said Seiji Shiraishi, chief economist cast may still be too ambitious. tail wind from the latest stimulus contributed to this article. Tokyo shows trials of escaping post-bubble funk Had the BoJ achieved 1% inflation bankers accountable for inflation, [ Capital ] each year, prices would have risen Parallel tracks? shouldn’t they be held accountable 14%. After accounting for price for deflation, too?) BY DAVID WESSEL Year-over-year change in consumer prices excluding food and energy, changes, the Japanese economy Four, we don’t think deflation Japan 1991-2010, U.S. 2007-2010. has grown at a rate of only 0.9% is Japan’s big economic problem. Federal Reserve over the past two decades. And, as 3% Japan suffers from a shrinking Japan Chairman Ben the Bank of Japan said this week, population, crippling regulation Bernanke is under “The recovery seems to be 2 and disappointing productivity attack for doing pausing.” Still, it predicted growth. Political gridlock is an 1 U.S. too much to reduce hopefully that Japan will “return obstacle to fixing anything. BoJ unemployment and to a moderate recovery path” as 0 medicine can’t cure those ills. lift inflation. emerging economies and (Deflation may not be Japan’s big His Japanese counterpart, commodity producers propel -1 problem, says the critic, but isn’t Masaaki Shirakawa of the Bank of global growth. it the one problem a central bank Japan, is under attack for doing In Japan, a little inflation -2 should be able to solve?) too little. would be welcome. It would make 1991 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 2000 ’05 ’10 The Bank of Japan, with the Japan is a puzzle—and not only inflation-adjusted interest rates 2007 ’08 ’09 ’10 benefit of hindsight, made some to foreign visitors who wonder lower. It would make paying mistakes. It kept rates too low too Sources: Statistics Bureau (Japan), Bureau of Labor Statistics (U.S.) how a stagnant economy can feel Japan’s huge debts easier. It would long, helping to fuel a bubble. It so prosperous. Academics wonder tend to cheapen the yen, aiding failed to act before deflation how Japan avoided the exports. lot of monetary easing already, and business bank loans to direct infected its economy, showing that deflationary spiral their theories American pundits, policy long before we were hit by the credit where it’s needed. But 10- it’s a lot easier to avoid deflation predicted and, instead, suffered makers and economists ought to “Lehman shock,” as it’s known in year Japanese government bonds than to get out of it. And it moved only a decade of low-grade be a bit humble about judging Tokyo, and the resulting plunge in are yielding less than 1.2%, already prematurely to tighten before the deflation. Foreign central bankers Japanese policy. When the U.S. our exports. Our 2003-07 battle pretty low. We’re not sure massive economy was ready. The Fed and market analysts wonder why was booming, it was easy for against deflation succeeded for a Bernanke-style quantitative easing learned from all that. the Bank of Japan won’t do more. American experts to assert that if time. Measured against the size of would do much good. (Neither is Now the BoJ is being tested Japanese politicians wonder if only Japan took their advice, our economy, our portfolio of Mr. Bernanke, says the critic, but again. The betting is that it’ll they can force the central bank to everything would be fine. These bonds has increased more and is he figures doing something beats eventually follow the Fed and buy be more aggressive. The ruling days, the U.S. is learning how hard larger than that of the U.S. or doing nothing.) a lot more bonds of some sort. It’s party has an Anti-Deflation it is to climb out of a post-bubble Europe. (OK, says the critic, but so Three, much of Japan’s hard for an outsider to tell if it League, and a band of funk. what? It’s not what you did in the deflation is beyond our control, believes it lacks the ability to parliamentarians want to give the Although it’s hard to swallow past that matters. It’s what you’re they say. An already low inflation eradicate deflation or if it lacks BoJ a target for inflation to press the notion that a central bank accomplishing now.) rate was pushed down by the will. But it’ll be tough for it to create some. cannot thwart deflation, look at all Two, we’re doing a little more competition from China and other Japan’s economy to get much Since 1997, the price level in this through the BoJ’s eyes. asset buying, even dabbling in emerging markets. (Perhaps, says traction if it can’t whip deflation Japan has fallen more than 3%. One, they say, we have done a corporate bond, real-estate trusts the critic, but if we hold central now.