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SIF Valuation Jason Turo Spring 2009 BA 455
Weekly Graph Long Horizon American Science Monro Muffler Applied Signal
Daily Graph  Mid Horizon
60 Minute Graph Short Horizon American Science
Applied Signal Technology APSG Competition: L-3 Communications, BAE Systems, Boeing, Raytheon Corporation, General Dynamics, Harris Corporation, Lockheed Martin
Monro Muffler & Brake  MNRO Automotive car repair- Consumer Services ,[object Object]
American Science & Engineering  ASEI  X-Ray Security Products for Homeland Security  Microelectronics Industry ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NYT.COM
What they do ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
vs. SPY, INDEX & COMPETITORS
What happened in October? ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Z Backscatter™  Technology: Photo-like images that reveal organic threats and contraband, including explosives, plastic weapons and drugs.  Transmission  X-rays, a traditional detection technology Dual-energy transmission   Radioactive Threat Detection  technology helps locate dirty bombs and nuclear devices, in addition to conventional threats during X-ray screening.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why? ,[object Object]
Why?
Market Diversification
Customer Service Packages ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],$1.74 Revenue per $1 spent on service contracts $1.96 $1.77 Service Contracts
Management Discussion 10-K ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New Contracts
Ziri Analysts Reports Morgan Keegan 2/10/09   2/4/09- Stifel Nicolaus
Where are sales?
R&D The fiscal 2008 R&D efforts were focused on design modifications and enhancements to  existing products , the  development of new applications and the development of new products .
1. Burden of Tax (tax bracket) 2. Burden of Interest (how much is financed at what rate) 3. Revenue that is left over after paying variable costs, used for fixed (interest on debt).  How much a company makes (before interest and taxes) on each dollar of sales WANT HIGH 4. Determines how efficient company uses assets to make sales/cash  WANT HIGH 5. How much growth in roe is financed GREATER POWER TO GENERATE ROE
 
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],48.9% 31.7%
2006  85% increase in sales??? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Competitors Decrease Operating Margin as well
 
Management Compensation
Management Structure
Realized Risks  10-K Sales in foreign countries Currency risk Small # of customers for large portion of revenue ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Growth Drivers  10-K ,[object Object],[object Object]
Patents The Company believes that its patents, proprietary technology, know-how, and trademarks  provide substantial protection  for the Company’s competitive position
Insider Trades  Options Express
 
Institutional Holdings
Calls or Puts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Forward PE 80/4= 20 Morningstar
Ziri
 
 
 
 
Industrials Performance  Daily
Industrials Performance  60 min
Industrials Performance  30 min
Industrials Performance  10 min
 
 
 
Portfolio Fit ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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ASEI Valuation and Industry Analysis