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SOCIAM
The Theory and Practice of Social
           Machines



                             Nigel Shadbolt
Investigator Team
Principal Investigator   5 years 2012-17
      Nigel Shadbolt     EPSRC funding£6.15M

Co-Investigators         EP/J017728/1
      Wendy Hall
      Tim Berners-Lee
      mc schraefel
      Luc Moreau

      David De Roure

      David Robertson
      Peter Buneman
The order of social machines

Real life is and must be full of all kinds of social
constraint – the very processes from which
society arises. Computers can help if we use
them to create abstract social machines on the
Web: processes in which the people do the
creative work and the machine does the
administration… The stage is set for an
evolutionary growth of new social engines.

                     Berners-Lee, Weaving the Web, 1999
An Example Social Machine

• The Kenyan election on the 27th
  December 2007…
• wave of riots, killings and
  turmoil…
• African blogger Erik Hersman
  read a post by another blogger
  Ory Okolloh…
• Resulted in Ushahidi…
• “Nobody Knows Everything, but
  Everyone Knows Something.”
• local observers to submit
  reports using the Web or SMS
  messages from mobile phones
Variants of the
              Ushahidi Social Machine
                                            Port au Prince Haiti
Washington Snowmageddon


                      Japan Fukashima




                                        Middle East Gaza
Characteristics of this social machine?
(i)    problems solved by the scale of human
       participation on the Web
(ii) timely mobilisation and of people, technology
       and information resources
(iii) incentive to participate with which increases as
       more partipate
(iv) access to or else the ability to generate large
       amounts of relevant data
(v) confidence in the quality of the data
(vi) trust in the agents and process
(vii) intuitive interfaces and user-centred
(viii) works cross platform
(ix) efficient, effective and equitable
(x) exploits the power of open - Open Source,
       Open Standards, Open Data, Open Licences
Social Machines the New Frontier
Social Machines in Context

                Big Data        Social
More machines



                Big Compute     Machines

                Conventional    Social
                Computation     Networking

                        More people
Another perspective on Social
               Machines
• People supply or refine
  data

• People are elementary
  problem solvers

• People generate/test
  partial solutions
Another perspective on Social
               Machines
• People supply or refine
  data

• People are elementary
  problem solvers

• People generate/test
  partial solutions
Another perspective on Social
               Machines
• People supply or refine
  data

• People are elementary
  problem solvers

• People generate/test
  partial solutions
Social Machines – Embarrassingly
             Parallel


• Human Flesh Search
  –   Accessibilitly
  –   Popularisation
  –   Centreless
  –   Timeliness
  –   Convergence
Social Machines – Embarrassingly
                 Parallel

•   DARPA Balloon challenge
•   Social machines support
•   timely communication,
•   wide-area team-building,
•   urgent mobilization
•   required to solve broad-
    scope, time-critical
    problems
Social Machines can be Dark
              ShadowCrew (SC), Carderplanet (CP),
              Cardersmarket (CM) and Darkmarket (DM)




                                          carders have
                                          traded security
                                          for efficiency




             Carderplanet most fragmented network out of
             the four networks studied… one explanation
             for distinctive fragmentation is due the
             diversity of members which includes Russian
             speakers, English speakers as well as Chinese,
             Japanese and Koreans.
Some early social machines
Social Machines in the Age of Big Data
The dimensions of Social Machines –
     Social Machines vary depending on

• Number of people          • Empowering of
• Number of machines          individuals, groups or
• Scale of data               crowds
• Varieties of data         • Time criticality
• Type of machine problem   • Extent of wide area
  solving                     communication
• Type of human problem     • Need for urgent
  solving                     mobilization
                            • Specification of goal state
Social Machines are NOT Turing
                    Machines
•   they do contain conventional algorithmic
    components
•   but much else is different
•   a social machine will start with an incomplete
    specification that grows and evolves to cover more
    of the problem via interaction
•   a social machine achieves participation through
    local incentives which become reinforced as the…
•   incentive for an individual to supply data to the
    algorithm increases as more individuals participate
•   a social machine has a notion of completeness that
    is a social rather than mathematical issue
•   a social machine will not usually have a notion of
    the correct output or termination… rather it runs
    continuously
The SOCIAM Project Structure
What will SOCIAM do
           Theme 1 Social Computation
• Understand how to design
  social computations
• so that people can deal with
  the complexity of the problem
  solving;
• building scaleable algorithms to
  pull data from individuals or the
  Web more generally;
• generating new information of
  higher utility from individuals
  based on social interaction;
• and returning information to
  individuals to reinforce their
  participation in the algorithm.
What will SOCIAM do
Theme 2 Curated Data and Social Computation
 •   Understand how to design data and
     databases in support of social
     computations
 •   the information and data needed to
     drive social machines and collaborative
     problem solving will exists in many
     different place and forms on the Web;
 •   some of it – perhaps most – will be user
     generated;                                    Eric Fisher CC BY 2.0
 •   this material will need to be given links
     and made capable of discovery and
     integration;                                                           Kingsley Idehen CC BY 2.0
 •   other data will exist in databases and
     spread sheets;
 •   The challenge is to surface and link all of
     this information and understand its
     relevance in the context of the social
     computations of the social machine.
                                                   Mike Bergman CC BY 2.0
What will SOCIAM do
 Theme 3 Privacy, Accountability and Trust
• Understand how to build Social
  Machines that respect privacy,
  are trusted and accountable
• ensure that appropriate levels
  of privacy are available with
  data having different privacy
  policies associated with it
• how to establish and associate
  trust or at least accountability in
  the data and in the social
  computation
• how and why trust in data,
  processes or participants is
  established or breaks down in
  the Web
What will SOCIAM do
                    Theme 4 Interaction
•   Understand how to build Social
    Machines that support effective
    interaction
•   effective interaction requires we
    understand the contexts of use;
•   how the components of the social
    computation determine the shape
    of the interaction;
•   provide tools to support rich sense
    making of the data presented in a
    social computation;
•   principles on which to design the
    interfaces to access, represent, and
    manipulate data, processes and
    participants as they are introduced
What will SOCIAM do
    Theme 5 Social Machine Implementations
•    Understand how to build Social Machines for
     Health Care, Transport and Policing
•    the work will be driven by the availability of
     open data for these sectors;
•    UK is in a unique position to explore the
     construction of social machines that mix open
     and private, national and individual data sets;
•    These areas have the potential of substantial
     contributions by individuals and social groups
     for both content and problem solving;
•    testbeds that will ensure heterogeneous and
     distributed data can be elicited, integrated and
     analysed; groups to organize and determine
     additional data collection, analysis or
     coordinated action in the physical world via
     algorithmic social computations; via
     interaction, to visualize and explore the data,
     to make sense of it; alongside mechanisms of
     trust and accountability for the various data,
     judgments, processes and participant
What will SOCIAM do
                    Theme 6 Web Observatory
•   Understand Social Machines through an
    observatory that observes, monitors and
    classifies social machines - both those of the
    project and more widely on the Web - as
    they evolve;
•   it will also act as an early warning facility for
    new disruptive social machines elsewhere
    on the Web;
•   to understand how Social Machines reach
    tipping points, longitudinal observational
    data will reveal how they grow once
    launched;
•   whether they coalesce into larger machines
    or fragment into micro machines that still
    have utility;
•   what signals need to be observed, what is a
    fair and faithful sample of Web behaviour;
•   this is likely to call attention to appropriate
    governance, ethical and legal issues.
A Broader View of SOCIAM

                                                                              Social computation
                            Engagement with                               Algorithms harnessing social
                                 social                                   capacity, composed by social
                              computations                                           means.




                                                 Real-time          Real-time
          People
                                              inference from      assimilation of
 Using personal devices;
                                              data, from local   data, from social
interacting with sensors.
                                                  to social           to local




                                                                                   Linked data
                              Curation of                             Curating local data with social use in
                             personal data                            mind; connecting distributed data .
A vision for SOCIAM


• How can we coordinate 10 million people to stop crime?
• Or millions of people supporting themselves and others
  in the delivery of efficient transportation?
• Or any scale of people supporting themselves and others
  in the delivery of well being?
• If we can put a man on the moon with 100,000 what can
  we do with 100,000,000?
• Social machines to delight and empower, absorb and
  empower…

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SOCIAM: The Theory and Practice of Social Machines

  • 1. SOCIAM The Theory and Practice of Social Machines Nigel Shadbolt
  • 2. Investigator Team Principal Investigator 5 years 2012-17 Nigel Shadbolt EPSRC funding£6.15M Co-Investigators EP/J017728/1 Wendy Hall Tim Berners-Lee mc schraefel Luc Moreau David De Roure David Robertson Peter Buneman
  • 3. The order of social machines Real life is and must be full of all kinds of social constraint – the very processes from which society arises. Computers can help if we use them to create abstract social machines on the Web: processes in which the people do the creative work and the machine does the administration… The stage is set for an evolutionary growth of new social engines. Berners-Lee, Weaving the Web, 1999
  • 4. An Example Social Machine • The Kenyan election on the 27th December 2007… • wave of riots, killings and turmoil… • African blogger Erik Hersman read a post by another blogger Ory Okolloh… • Resulted in Ushahidi… • “Nobody Knows Everything, but Everyone Knows Something.” • local observers to submit reports using the Web or SMS messages from mobile phones
  • 5. Variants of the Ushahidi Social Machine Port au Prince Haiti Washington Snowmageddon Japan Fukashima Middle East Gaza
  • 6. Characteristics of this social machine? (i) problems solved by the scale of human participation on the Web (ii) timely mobilisation and of people, technology and information resources (iii) incentive to participate with which increases as more partipate (iv) access to or else the ability to generate large amounts of relevant data (v) confidence in the quality of the data (vi) trust in the agents and process (vii) intuitive interfaces and user-centred (viii) works cross platform (ix) efficient, effective and equitable (x) exploits the power of open - Open Source, Open Standards, Open Data, Open Licences
  • 7. Social Machines the New Frontier
  • 8. Social Machines in Context Big Data Social More machines Big Compute Machines Conventional Social Computation Networking More people
  • 9. Another perspective on Social Machines • People supply or refine data • People are elementary problem solvers • People generate/test partial solutions
  • 10. Another perspective on Social Machines • People supply or refine data • People are elementary problem solvers • People generate/test partial solutions
  • 11. Another perspective on Social Machines • People supply or refine data • People are elementary problem solvers • People generate/test partial solutions
  • 12. Social Machines – Embarrassingly Parallel • Human Flesh Search – Accessibilitly – Popularisation – Centreless – Timeliness – Convergence
  • 13. Social Machines – Embarrassingly Parallel • DARPA Balloon challenge • Social machines support • timely communication, • wide-area team-building, • urgent mobilization • required to solve broad- scope, time-critical problems
  • 14. Social Machines can be Dark ShadowCrew (SC), Carderplanet (CP), Cardersmarket (CM) and Darkmarket (DM) carders have traded security for efficiency Carderplanet most fragmented network out of the four networks studied… one explanation for distinctive fragmentation is due the diversity of members which includes Russian speakers, English speakers as well as Chinese, Japanese and Koreans.
  • 15. Some early social machines
  • 16. Social Machines in the Age of Big Data
  • 17. The dimensions of Social Machines – Social Machines vary depending on • Number of people • Empowering of • Number of machines individuals, groups or • Scale of data crowds • Varieties of data • Time criticality • Type of machine problem • Extent of wide area solving communication • Type of human problem • Need for urgent solving mobilization • Specification of goal state
  • 18. Social Machines are NOT Turing Machines • they do contain conventional algorithmic components • but much else is different • a social machine will start with an incomplete specification that grows and evolves to cover more of the problem via interaction • a social machine achieves participation through local incentives which become reinforced as the… • incentive for an individual to supply data to the algorithm increases as more individuals participate • a social machine has a notion of completeness that is a social rather than mathematical issue • a social machine will not usually have a notion of the correct output or termination… rather it runs continuously
  • 19. The SOCIAM Project Structure
  • 20. What will SOCIAM do Theme 1 Social Computation • Understand how to design social computations • so that people can deal with the complexity of the problem solving; • building scaleable algorithms to pull data from individuals or the Web more generally; • generating new information of higher utility from individuals based on social interaction; • and returning information to individuals to reinforce their participation in the algorithm.
  • 21. What will SOCIAM do Theme 2 Curated Data and Social Computation • Understand how to design data and databases in support of social computations • the information and data needed to drive social machines and collaborative problem solving will exists in many different place and forms on the Web; • some of it – perhaps most – will be user generated; Eric Fisher CC BY 2.0 • this material will need to be given links and made capable of discovery and integration; Kingsley Idehen CC BY 2.0 • other data will exist in databases and spread sheets; • The challenge is to surface and link all of this information and understand its relevance in the context of the social computations of the social machine. Mike Bergman CC BY 2.0
  • 22. What will SOCIAM do Theme 3 Privacy, Accountability and Trust • Understand how to build Social Machines that respect privacy, are trusted and accountable • ensure that appropriate levels of privacy are available with data having different privacy policies associated with it • how to establish and associate trust or at least accountability in the data and in the social computation • how and why trust in data, processes or participants is established or breaks down in the Web
  • 23. What will SOCIAM do Theme 4 Interaction • Understand how to build Social Machines that support effective interaction • effective interaction requires we understand the contexts of use; • how the components of the social computation determine the shape of the interaction; • provide tools to support rich sense making of the data presented in a social computation; • principles on which to design the interfaces to access, represent, and manipulate data, processes and participants as they are introduced
  • 24. What will SOCIAM do Theme 5 Social Machine Implementations • Understand how to build Social Machines for Health Care, Transport and Policing • the work will be driven by the availability of open data for these sectors; • UK is in a unique position to explore the construction of social machines that mix open and private, national and individual data sets; • These areas have the potential of substantial contributions by individuals and social groups for both content and problem solving; • testbeds that will ensure heterogeneous and distributed data can be elicited, integrated and analysed; groups to organize and determine additional data collection, analysis or coordinated action in the physical world via algorithmic social computations; via interaction, to visualize and explore the data, to make sense of it; alongside mechanisms of trust and accountability for the various data, judgments, processes and participant
  • 25. What will SOCIAM do Theme 6 Web Observatory • Understand Social Machines through an observatory that observes, monitors and classifies social machines - both those of the project and more widely on the Web - as they evolve; • it will also act as an early warning facility for new disruptive social machines elsewhere on the Web; • to understand how Social Machines reach tipping points, longitudinal observational data will reveal how they grow once launched; • whether they coalesce into larger machines or fragment into micro machines that still have utility; • what signals need to be observed, what is a fair and faithful sample of Web behaviour; • this is likely to call attention to appropriate governance, ethical and legal issues.
  • 26. A Broader View of SOCIAM Social computation Engagement with Algorithms harnessing social social capacity, composed by social computations means. Real-time Real-time People inference from assimilation of Using personal devices; data, from local data, from social interacting with sensors. to social to local Linked data Curation of Curating local data with social use in personal data mind; connecting distributed data .
  • 27. A vision for SOCIAM • How can we coordinate 10 million people to stop crime? • Or millions of people supporting themselves and others in the delivery of efficient transportation? • Or any scale of people supporting themselves and others in the delivery of well being? • If we can put a man on the moon with 100,000 what can we do with 100,000,000? • Social machines to delight and empower, absorb and empower…