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University of Canterbury Department of Civil and Natural Resources Engineering 31 Aug 2011, Stimson Center, Washington DC, USA Dr. Thanapon Piman and Dr. Tom Cochrane Hydropower Dams on the Mekong and “3S” Rivers: A Regional Environmental and Socioeconomic Perspective
Content ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Snapshot of the Mekong basin Rich in water = 6,950 m 3 /person/year Low volume of water stored in reservoirs 13.54 billion m 3  (active volume) = 219 m 3 /person (2007) GDP per capita Rich in biodiversity 17 of 60 million people are poor
1995 Mekong Agreement Mekong River Commission (MRC)’s role in sustainable development of water and related resources  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assessment of basin-wide development scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BL UMD DF 20Y w/o MD 20Y w/o LMD 20Y w/o TMD 20Y w/o CMD 20Y with all MD LTD VHD
Changes in flow and water level   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Definite Future (Black) Baseline (Red) Long-Term (Blue) 20-Year Plan (Green) Vientiane
Changes in river bed and bank erosion Chiang Saen Nong Khai Pakse Strungteng Delta ,[object Object],[object Object],Alluvial Alluvial Bedrock Bedrock ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Impact on environment hotspots ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
www.themegallery.com Company Logo
Reduction of salinity intrusion Baseline-dry year 20Y Plan-dry year Reduction in salinity intrusion mainly caused by increase in dry season flow of the current developments in the Definite Future Scenarios (272,000 hectares)
Impact on capture fisheries yield ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Thailand Cambodia Viet Nam Delta Lao PDR Viet Nam Highland
Impact on vulnerable resource users ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SEA of the hydropower on the mainstream Mekong ,[object Object],[object Object]
www.themegallery.com Company Logo km 2 km
Capture fish production
Livelihoods ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.themegallery.com Company Logo
Strategic options of to LMB countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Study area: 3S basin ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Se San, Sre Pok, and Sre Kong
Simulated scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Simulated scenarios DF DMT DMST
Simulated scenarios
Hydrologic modelling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Reservoir operation modelling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Seasonal flow changes
Impact of operation rules
Mekong mainstream dams Manwan   1995 Dochushan  2003 Xiaowan   2010 Jinghong   2007
Installed capacity vs Active storage
Changes in Mekong mainstream flows
Changes in Mekong mainstream WL
Potential downstream impacts Wetland and habitats Stung Treng reach
Potential downstream impacts ,[object Object]
Collaborations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Final comments and Recommendations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Planning cycle
IWRM-based basin development strategy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategic Priorities for basin development  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategic Priorities for basin management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implementation of the Strategy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Procedures for Notification, Prior Consultation and Agreement (PNPCA) for the Xayaburi mainstream dam ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Road Map guides the MRC Member Countries during the prior consultation process.         Xayaburi’s Prior Consultation Road Map
Xayaburi Project
Road Map guides the MRC Member Countries during the prior consultation process.         Final decision making ,[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You

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