Comparación estudios de opinión nacional                                                                                  ...
Comparación estudios de opinión nacional                                                                                  ...
Comparación estudios de opinión nacional                                                                                  ...
Comparación estudios de opinión nacional                                                                                  ...
Comparación estudios de opinión nacional                                                                                  ...
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Comparativo estudios de_opinion

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Comparativo estudios de_opinion

  1. 1. Comparación estudios de opinión nacional Hoja 1 Comparación de Estudios de Opinión Realizados a Nivel Nacional # Personas encuestas 1,230 1,416 1,293 1,485 1,484 1,310 1,306 1,284 1,292 1,311 1,316 1,315 1,319 1,315 1,316 1,316 1,315 Error Muestral 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% En general, ¿cómo se entera usted de las noticias? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Tv. 77.6% 76.8% 72.5% 79.5% 81.3% 79.3% 75.5% 74.9% 76.9% 77.9% 78.6% 78.7% 78.7% 73.6% 78.2% 79.6% 77.3% Radio 10.9% 12.3% 7.6% 9.6% 9.2% 10.2% 13.1% 12.6% 11.5% 10.5% 10.0% 10.6% 10.1% 12.6% 11.2% 9.1% 10.4% Periódicos 6.6% 5.5% 4.9% 6.1% 5.1% 5.8% 6.3% 7.9% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 4.8% 6.3% 6.8% 5.3% 4.4% 4.5% Internet 2.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% Amigos 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 0.7% 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% Familiares 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% Revistas 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Otros 1.7% 1.3% 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% NS/NC 1.7% 1.8% 6.9% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 2.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% ¿Cómo cree que será su situación económica este año, en comparación con el pasado? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Mejor 4.7% 9.9% 8.8% 10.6% 9.3% 11.3% 12.1% 10.9% 14.0% 16.1% 14.7% 14.5% 14.5% 12.6% 12.6% 13.5% Igual 23.9% 25.0% 39.1% 36.5% 39.9% 39.5% 36.7% 36.6% 35.4% 35.2% 32.0% 39.8% 37.7% 39.7% 40.9% 36.7% Peor 70.6% 56.9% 51.1% 52.5% 48.7% 48.8% 49.5% 51.8% 49.8% 45.5% 50.9% 44.1% 45.9% 44.3% 43.4% 46.5% NS/NC 0.8% 8.2% 0.9% 0.4% 2.1% 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.6% 1.9% 3.4% 3.0% 3.3% En una escala del 0 al 10, donde 0 significa que lo hace muy mal y 10 muy bien ¿Qué calificación le daría a Felipe Calderón como Presidente de la República? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 0 6.6% 8.3% 11.0% 9.6% 10.8% 9.1% 8.7% 9.9% 9.4% 8.1% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.8% 8.5% 9.1% 9.8% 1 0.4% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 2 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.2% 3 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 2.8% 3.1% 1.9% 2.0% 4.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 2.9% 3.9% 2.1% 2.0% 4 3.5% 4.4% 4.0% 5.1% 3.5% 4.7% 3.1% 2.4% 3.8% 3.3% 3.3% 2.9% 2.4% 4.5% 5.2% 3.7% 4.5% 5 15.6% 18.9% 16.7% 15.5% 20.3% 15.7% 18.1% 16.7% 15.2% 16.6% 12.8% 15.4% 16.3% 15.2% 16.2% 17.2% 17.5% 6 13.2% 11.9% 9.0% 13.0% 11.8% 11.5% 11.0% 9.9% 9.2% 9.3% 8.9% 10.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 10.6% 10.8% 7 14.2% 15.0% 11.5% 14.1% 15.2% 16.3% 14.4% 12.9% 12.5% 12.8% 13.7% 13.2% 14.3% 14.6% 14.4% 14.7% 14.5% 8 20.6% 18.4% 17.6% 20.1% 19.3% 18.8% 19.7% 20.6% 21.9% 22.9% 22.1% 22.8% 24.3% 22.0% 20.8% 20.4% 17.9% 9 8.1% 5.2% 4.9% 6.4% 4.6% 7.0% 7.6% 7.1% 6.9% 7.6% 9.3% 7.9% 8.9% 6.6% 7.1% 6.2% 7.1% 10 8.2% 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 5.5% 5.7% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 8.8% 11.5% 11.2% 7.9% 8.6% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% NS/NC 5.0% 4.5% 11.9% 4.4% 3.1% 4.8% 4.4% 5.4% 3.9% 4.7% 5.5% 3.4% 2.7% 4.2% 3.3% 5.6% 6.4% Calificación 6.3 5.9 5.6 5.9 5.7 5.9 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.0 Normalmente, ¿Con qué partido simpatiza usted mas? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 PAN 21.5% 21.4% 17.7% 20.3% 21.0% 22.1% 24.6% 19.3% 20.3% 21.2% 25.9% 24.6% 22.0% 21.5% 19.4% 19.9% 17.5% PRI 29.0% 33.3% 25.1% 31.6% 30.9% 30.0% 29.2% 30.0% 32.4% 28.8% 27.5% 28.5% 27.6% 28.6% 29.3% 26.7% 28.4% PRD 13.1% 13.0% 10.3% 11.6% 12.3% 9.8% 10.3% 9.7% 11.4% 12.1% 11.5% 12.5% 11.7% 12.1% 14.7% 16.3% 15.7% PT 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% MC (antes Conv oct 11) 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% PVEM 2.5% 1.7% 3.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3% 1.3% 1.2% PANAL 0.4% 0.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% Ninguno 15.4% 25.3% 28.3% 29.2% 28.8% 30.0% 29.4% 31.2% 28.4% 29.9% 0.8% 27.5% 31.6% 29.8% 30.5% 29.8% 30.5% NS/NC 16.6% 3.3% 11.6% 4.0% 3.8% 3.7% 3.6% 6.2% 4.1% 4.7% 27.4% 3.7% 4.0% 5.3% 4.2% 3.9% 4.5%
  2. 2. Comparación estudios de opinión nacional Hoja 2 ¿Por cuál partido nunca votaría? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 PAN 10.5% 19.3% 16.6% 13.5% 13.8% 12.1% 11.4% 13.7% 12.8% 16.6% 12.9% 14.5% 14.8% 17.6% 16.5% 14.3% 14.8% PRI 12.9% 12.6% 14.1% 14.5% 16.0% 15.3% 14.4% 14.3% 16.9% 16.1% 18.8% 20.1% 18.1% 18.8% 22.3% 27.2% 23.8% PRD 17.6% 21.5% 20.9% 18.6% 23.1% 19.5% 24.5% 18.9% 21.0% 20.8% 21.9% 22.4% 22.1% 20.2% 18.3% 18.6% 18.4% PT 8.5% 5.5% 4.6% 6.8% 5.1% 8.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.0% 6.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 4.2% 3.3% 3.7% 2.3% MC (antes Conv oct 11) 4.6% 4.1% 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 5.6% 5.7% 3.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% PVEM 2.8% 2.3% 8.4% 2.3% 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.7% 2.5% 3.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 2.1% PANAL 2.7% 2.5% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% Ninguno 11.3% 15.0% 13.0% 19.7% 17.3% 16.7% 18.1% 18.8% 19.6% 17.7% 14.9% 14.1% 13.3% 14.1% 12.1% 11.4% 14.7% NS/NC 29.2% 17.2% 17.5% 18.7% 16.2% 16.6% 15.5% 20.0% 16.6% 15.0% 17.4% 16.2% 16.3% 17.5% 19.0% 16.7% 18.6% Conocimiento e impresión de candidatos ¿Conoce usted a Andrés Manuel López Obrador? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si lo conoce 93.3% 92.8% 83.1% 90.6% 88.5% 89.9% 90.2% 85.1% 92.6% 94.7% 93.5% 93.2% 94.1% 95.2% 96.7% 96.7% 97.8% No lo conoce 6.7% 7.1% 8.4% 8.1% 11.1% 9.3% 9.8% 13.3% 6.9% 5.0% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8% 4.7% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% NC 0.0% 0.1% 8.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% ¿Qué impresión tiene de Andrés Manuel López Obrador? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Buena 28.5% 28.9% 24.1% 33.5% 28.0% 27.1% 26.8% 32.9% 36.4% 35.9% 34.6% 37.2% 35.0% 41.9% 42.4% 37.7% Mala 34.3% 33.6% 36.1% 25.4% 30.5% 31.7% 31.5% 25.9% 23.7% 25.4% 26.6% 25.6% 25.1% 22.7% 19.3% 26.7% Indiferente 28.1% 29.1% 30.7% 33.8% 33.6% 35.2% 35.4% 34.3% 32.8% 32.3% 30.5% 30.2% 32.0% 29.9% 31.9% 29.3% No sabe 5.9% 5.9% 7.1% 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 4.9% 4.7% 5.6% 5.5% 7.1% 6.3% 6.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.1% NS/NC 3.2% 2.4% 2.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.9% 1.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% ¿Nunca votaría por Andrés Manuel López Obrador? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Nunca votaría 27.7% 24.5% 25.4% 22.5% 25.1% 29.0% 28.5% 22.5% 25.7% 32.3% 28.2% 25.8% 27.2% 19.3% 15.6% 21.2% NS/NC 72.3% 75.5% 74.6% 77.5% 74.9% 71.0% 71.5% 77.5% 74.3% 67.7% 71.8% 74.2% 72.8% 80.7% 84.4% 78.8% ¿Conoce usted a Enrique Peña Nieto? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si lo conoce 77.1% 78.0% 74.0% 81.1% 82.1% 86.3% 82.6% 78.2% 85.9% 88.3% 88.7% 89.4% 91.1% 94.4% 97.9% 96.3% 98.3% No lo conoce 22.9% 21.7% 24.4% 18.4% 17.9% 13.4% 17.3% 20.4% 13.7% 11.1% 11.2% 10.6% 8.9% 5.6% 2.1% 3.7% 1.7% NC 0.0% 0.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% ¿Qué impresión tiene de Enrique Peña Nieto? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Buena 59.7% 54.8% 49.9% 47.8% 44.6% 43.9% 46.6% 50.0% 44.0% 47.9% 42.2% 45.3% 42.4% 35.9% 31.0% 32.5% Mala 4.1% 7.2% 11.5% 9.1% 11.4% 10.2% 9.7% 8.9% 12.7% 15.7% 16.9% 17.5% 19.4% 24.8% 33.7% 28.6% Indiferente 26.3% 29.0% 30.4% 34.7% 35.4% 37.9% 37.0% 34.3% 35.5% 28.6% 32.9% 30.3% 28.8% 32.4% 28.2% 31.8% No sabe 7.5% 6.9% 7.5% 5.3% 7.2% 5.8% 6.2% 5.0% 6.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.6% 7.9% 5.9% 5.3% 6.0% NS/NC 2.4% 2.1% 0.6% 3.0% 1.4% 2.2% 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 1.5% 1.0% 1.8% 1.0% ¿Nunca votaría por Enrique Peña Nieto? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Nunca votaría 5.5% 7.0% 9.5% 8.0% 9.1% 11.8% 11.8% 9.3% 13.7% 19.9% 19.9% 18.5% 19.0% 23.0% 27.2% 24.5% NS/NC 94.5% 93.0% 90.5% 92.0% 90.9% 88.2% 88.2% 90.7% 86.3% 80.1% 80.1% 81.5% 81.0% 77.0% 72.8% 75.5%
  3. 3. Comparación estudios de opinión nacional Hoja 3 ¿Conoce usted a Josefina Vázquez Mota? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si lo conoce 46.7% 58.7% 72.2% 75.7% 76.7% 86.5% 92.0% 92.9% 95.4% No lo conoce 52.7% 40.7% 27.3% 24.2% 22.9% 13.3% 7.7% 6.9% 4.4% NC 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% ¿Que opinión tiene de Josefina Vázquez Mota? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Buena 24.9% 24.8% 31.9% 35.0% 31.7% 34.3% 30.3% 28.4% 29.9% Mala 16.9% 16.6% 14.7% 16.5% 19.2% 22.1% 27.7% 26.5% 26.5% Indiferente 45.6% 47.1% 42.0% 36.7% 39.2% 33.0% 34.4% 37.2% 37.0% No sabe 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 9.8% 9.2% 8.5% 6.4% 6.0% 5.2% NS/NC 4.0% 2.3% 1.5% 1.9% 0.7% 2.0% 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% ¿Nunca votaría por Josefina Vázquez Mota? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Nunca votaría 11.9% 21.7% 25.5% 23.0% 19.6% 22.4% 25.5% 18.7% 18.6% NS/NC 88.1% 78.3% 74.5% 77.0% 80.4% 77.6% 74.5% 81.3% 81.4% ¿Conoce usted a Gabriel Quadri de la Torre? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si lo conoce 14.3% 34.9% 63.7% 69.0% 78.4% No lo conoce 84.8% 64.9% 35.8% 30.5% 20.9% NC 0.9% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% ¿Que opinión tiene de Gabriel Quadri de la Torre? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Buena 7.9% 12.6% 24.7% 18.6% 19.7% Mala 12.7% 20.9% 16.6% 17.5% 20.6% Indiferente 56.6% 49.2% 46.8% 50.6% 47.1% No sabe 20.1% 14.2% 10.3% 11.2% 11.3% NS/NC 2.6% 3.1% 1.7% 2.2% 1.3% ¿Nunca votaría por Gabriel Quadri de la Torre? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Nunca votaría 18.5% 28.5% 15.4% 19.8% 17.5% NS/NC 81.5% 71.5% 84.6% 80.2% 82.5% Simulación de voto Si las elecciones fueran hoy, ¿por quién votaría para Presidente de la república en el 2012? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 PAN – Josefina Vázquez Mota 19.9% 22.2% 18.4% 19.3% 18.4% PRI – VERDE Enrique Peña Nieto 36.7% 33.2% 29.5% 26.0% 26.4% PRD – PT – MC(antes Conv) – 21.6% 21.3% 24.1% 28.1% 27.8% Andrés Manuel López Obrador PANAL – Gabriel Quadri de la 0.8% 1.1% 4.1% 2.9% 2.5% Torre Ninguno 8.5% 7.0% 7.3% 5.7% 6.8% No sabe 10.1% 12.6% 12.7% 13.7% 13.8% NS/NC 2.4% 2.7% 3.9% 4.3% 4.4%
  4. 4. Comparación estudios de opinión nacional Hoja 4 Entre las siguientes personas, ¿Quién de ellos garantizaría un cambio verdadero para el país? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 PRD – PT – MC(antes Conv) – 18.8% 21.3% 23.4% 22.3% 22.1% 23.3% 21.4% 27.5% 28.4% 34.0% Andrés Manuel López Obrador PRI – VERDE Enrique Peña Nieto 28.3% 28.7% 26.9% 24.8% 23.1% 24.4% 23.7% 19.0% 18.4% 18.3% PAN – Josefina Vázquez Mota 5.1% 10.5% 16.4% 17.8% 14.8% 17.4% 12.8% 14.3% 15.1% PANAL – Gabriel Quadri de la 0.5% 0.8% 3.3% 1.9% 1.8% Torre Santiago Creel Miranda 4.9% 4.5% - - - - - - Marcelo Ebrard Casaubón 2.9% 2.9% - - - - - - Beatriz Paredes Rangel 3.8% 0.0% - - - - - - Margarita Zavala Gómez Del 1.2% 0.0% - - - - - - Campo Elba Esther Gordillo 0.7% 0.0% - - - - - - Manlio Fabio Beltrones 1.2% - - - - - - Ninguno 16.1% 18.2% 17.3% 17.9% 18.6% 19.2% 19.6% 19.9% 20.3% 17.5% No sabe 21.8% 15.4% 20.2% 16.7% 16.4% 16.0% 15.9% 16.3% 14.7% 12.3% NS/NC 1.3% 2.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 1.0% * anteriormente se preguntaba (dic11): Entre las siguientes personas, ¿Quién de ellos garantizaría un cambio de fondo para el país? ** anteriormente se preguntaba sin partidos (feb2012) ¿Escucho o vió el debate entre los candidatos presidenciales? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si 46.2% 43.3% 53.5% No 53.0% 56.0% 46.0% No sabe 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% NC 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% ¿A cuál de los candidatos le entendió mejor? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 PRI – VERDE Enrique Peña Nieto 15.9% 15.7% 23.4% PRD – PT – MC(antes Conv) – 21.3% 24.5% 23.3% Andrés Manuel López Obrador PAN – Josefina Vázquez Mota 11.8% 14.3% 19.3% PANAL – Gabriel Quadri de la 28.6% 21.8% 12.9% Torre Ninguno 16.7% 16.4% 15.9% No sabe 4.1% 4.4% 3.8% NC 1.5% 3.0% 1.3% ¿El debate le hizo cambiar su intención de voto? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si 22.3% 20.6% 19.0% No 72.7% 75.0% 76.4% No sabe 3.6% 2.5% 2.8% NC 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% ¿Se ha enterado de que en los últimos días ha habido protestas de estudiantes en contra de Enrique Peña Nieto y Televisa? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si 83.1% 82.1% No 14.9% 16.4% No sabe 2.0% 1.4% NC 0.1% 0.2%
  5. 5. Comparación estudios de opinión nacional Hoja 5 En su opinión,¿los estudiantes tienen razón? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Si 58.2% 54.0% No 16.1% 20.2% No sabe 17.5% 17.9% NC 8.3% 7.9% Características de la población Sexo ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Masculino 46.5% 45.7% 46.3% 45.6% 44.7% 42.4% 41.6% 41.9% 43.3% 43.1% 41.3% 39.7% 42.3% 45.6% 46.6% 47.3% 44.9% Femenino 53.5% 53.5% 50.6% 53.7% 54.8% 57.3% 58.2% 57.9% 56.4% 56.8% 58.3% 60.1% 57.7% 54.1% 53.2% 52.7% 54.9% Edad ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 18 a 19 3.3% 4.7% 3.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 4.2% 5.5% 3.3% 5.0% 5.0% 4.3% 5.4% 6.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.2% 20 a 35 34.0% 32.5% 32.6% 34.2% 34.5% 33.3% 32.8% 33.8% 34.2% 34.8% 32.4% 32.5% 37.0% 31.4% 33.7% 31.9% 28.7% 36 a 50 36.1% 37.0% 31.2% 32.3% 32.8% 35.2% 35.3% 34.2% 36.8% 31.9% 32.8% 34.1% 32.6% 34.1% 33.9% 32.4% 34.4% 51 a 60 13.3% 13.3% 22.0% 13.9% 15.1% 15.6% 13.5% 15.3% 13.1% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 13.2% 15.5% 15.5% 15.6% 17.8% Mas de 60 13.3% 11.6% 9.4% 13.7% 12.3% 8.4% 13.7% 11.1% 12.1% 12.9% 14.4% 13.7% 11.6% 11.9% 12.1% 14.0% 12.8% Pensando en la persona que aporta la mayor parte del ingreso en este hogar, ¿Cuál fue el último año de estudios que completó? ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 No Estudio 5.4% 7.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.3% 4.5% 5.7% 4.4% 5.5% 6.3% 5.6% 5.4% 4.7% 6.4% 5.5% 7.2% 5.7% Primaria incompleta 10.6% 12.2% 10.6% 10.8% 12.6% 11.6% 9.7% 11.9% 13.2% 12.1% 12.9% 10.6% 11.9% 11.8% 9.9% 13.0% 9.8% Primaria completa 15.8% 17.9% 16.6% 16.5% 19.1% 17.3% 17.7% 17.4% 16.8% 16.2% 16.6% 17.2% 17.3% 15.4% 17.7% 15.8% 18.0% Secundaria incompleta 4.4% 4.0% 2.9% 3.0% 4.9% 3.4% 2.4% 4.1% 4.4% 3.4% 4.4% 4.0% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 3.4% 3.0% Secundaria completa 18.9% 20.9% 17.2% 20.5% 21.2% 24.1% 24.0% 24.5% 23.0% 23.0% 21.5% 25.2% 21.6% 22.7% 22.6% 23.0% 23.3% Carrera comercial 1.5% 2.9% 2.7% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% Carrera técnica 5.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 4.3% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.1% 3.1% 2.9% 4.1% 4.5% 4.3% 5.2% 4.4% 3.7% Preparatoria incompleta 4.1% 4.2% 4.0% 6.0% 5.1% 4.1% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 4.3% 3.7% 3.3% 3.9% 4.6% 4.0% 4.5% Preparatoria completa 9.3% 10.4% 10.8% 13.1% 11.3% 12.5% 12.4% 11.3% 11.3% 12.1% 12.4% 11.4% 13.9% 13.5% 11.2% 10.5% 12.8% Licenciatura incompleta 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 2.1% 3.2% Licenciatura completa 9.7% 10.5% 10.7% 12.2% 8.8% 12.4% 12.6% 10.2% 8.9% 11.7% 10.9% 11.6% 12.4% 11.3% 12.7% 12.3% 11.0% Diplomado o maestría 1.0% 1.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 0.9% Doctorado 0.1% 0.3% 4.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.2% NS/NC 11.8% 1.5% 3.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 1.4% 1.4% 0.2% 1.9% 2.1% Nivel Socio-económico ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 A/B 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 1.1% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.3% 2.0% 2.7% 1.6% 2.9% 3.4% 3.0% C+ 8.0% 8.9% 7.9% 10.5% 8.1% 9.1% 9.7% 7.4% 8.9% 9.4% 8.8% 7.8% 12.0% 9.9% 10.7% 9.8% 11.0% C 11.8% 12.9% 11.2% 18.7% 14.5% 17.9% 16.0% 13.9% 13.5% 16.9% 14.5% 16.1% 18.7% 15.0% 16.9% 14.2% 17.5% D+ 32.5% 35.1% 35.5% 34.4% 38.7% 37.6% 37.0% 38.4% 36.0% 34.2% 34.4% 37.0% 33.6% 37.3% 37.4% 36.4% 34.4% D 22.5% 25.7% 28.8% 22.8% 27.2% 23.0% 24.0% 26.1% 27.4% 24.0% 25.1% 23.0% 23.8% 23.8% 23.9% 23.6% 22.8% E 22.4% 14.3% 13.7% 9.7% 10.4% 10.2% 10.8% 12.4% 12.7% 13.3% 13.9% 14.1% 9.2% 12.5% 8.2% 12.6% 11.3% Nivel Socio-económico ago 09 nov 09 mar 10 jul 10 nov 10 feb 11 jun 11 jul 11 oct 11 dic 11 ene 12 feb 12 mar 12 abr 12 may 12 4/06/12 18/06/12 Alto 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 1.1% 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.3% 2.0% 2.7% 1.6% 2.9% 3.4% 3.0% Medio 19.8% 21.8% 19.1% 29.2% 22.6% 27.0% 25.6% 21.3% 22.4% 26.3% 23.3% 24.0% 30.7% 24.9% 27.6% 24.0% 28.5% Bajo 77.4% 75.1% 78.0% 66.9% 76.3% 70.7% 71.8% 76.9% 76.1% 71.6% 73.4% 74.1% 66.6% 73.5% 69.6% 72.6% 68.5%

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