The document discusses the future role of mobile technology based on insights from The Future Agenda program, the world's largest open foresight programme. It identifies several trends that will influence or be influenced by mobile, such as imbalanced population growth, key resource constraints, and the shift of global wealth to Asia. Mobile technology will play a key role in future developments like identity management, commerce, health, transportation, smart machines, and more. The implications are that mobile will act as an enabler for others' innovations through increased partnerships and collaboration between industries.

1. The
Future
Role
of
Mobile
Dr
Tim
Jones
Programme
Director
4
October
2011

2. The
Future
Agenda
is
the
world’s
largest
open
foresight
programme
that
ran
throughout
2010
and
engaged
expert
input
from
over
1500
organisa=ons
to
gain
a
unique
global
view

3. Context
To
get
a
richer
view,
organisa=ons
want
to
complement
their
Inside-­‐Out
perspec=ves
with
informed
Outside-­‐In
views
of
how
the
world
around
them
is
changing
and
with
what
impact

4. Context
From
the
Future
Agenda
programme,
we
highlighted
52
insights
which
many
organisa=ons
are
now
using
to
s=mulate
innova=on
thinking
and
challenge
exis=ng
perspec=ves

5. Role
of
Mobile
A
good
number
of
these
insights
influence,
or
are
influenced
by,
the
changing
role
of
mobile
technology
over
the
next
decade

6. Imbalanced
Popula=on
Growth
Certain=es
By
2020
we
will
add
another
750m
people
to
the
planet,
most
in
places
least
able
to
accommodate
them

7. Key
Resource
Constraints
Certain=es
We
will
see
economic,
physical
and
poli=cal
shortages
of
key
materials
that
will
result
in
major
changes
in
our
perspec=ves

8. Asian
Wealth
ShiU
Certain=es
The
centre
of
gravity
of
global
wealth
accelerates
East
with
decreased
influence
for
the
US
and
Europe

9. Ubiquitous
Data
Access
Certain=es
We
will
be
connected
everywhere
-­‐
everything
that
can
benefit
from
a
network
connec=on
will
have
one

10. The
Influence
of
and
Impact
on
Mobile

11. Future
of
Iden=ty
Role
of
Mobile
Helping
customers
to
have
confidence
in
and
control
of
their
digital
iden=ty
allows
mobile
operators
to
act
as
a
trusted
intermediary;
enabling
secure,
open
global
transac=ons

12. People
Tracking
Mobility
The
acceptance
of
being
tracked
by
your
mobile
is
accelerated
by
=cket-­‐less
transport
systems,
increased
surveillance
and
successful
loca=on-­‐based
services

13. Future
of
Commerce
Role
of
Mobile
Alterna=ve
payment
systems,
virtual
currencies,
mobile
data
transfers
and
dynamic
pricing
all
combine
to
create
parallel
systems
for
credit
and
debit
exchange
and
transfer

14. Dynamic
Pricing
Commerce
Media
consump=on,
smart
meters
and
ubiquitous
tracking
services
all
create
plaZorms
for
the
dynamic
real
=me
pricing
of
resources,
access
and
travel
to
manage
supply
and
demand

15. Future
of
Health
Role
of
Mobile
Remote,
intelligent
monitoring
and
diagnosis
enhances
the
freedom
of
pa=ents,
improves
healthcare
efficiency
and
tries
to
offset
costs
from
a
growing,
aging
and
unhealthy
popula=on

16. Automated
People
Care
Health
Robo=c
assisted
care
and
remote
monitoring
provide
economically
viable
support
for
the
ill
so
that
our
focus
can
shiU
from
sick-­‐care
to
preventa=ve
healthcare

17. Future
of
Intelligent
Transport
Systems
Role
of
Mobile
Mesh
networks
and
ubiquitous
mobile
connec=ons
will
enable
automated
mobility,
more
intelligent
decision
making
and
so
improve
safety,
increase
capacity
and
reduce
conges=on

18. Urban
(Im)mobility
Transport
Informed
real
=me
choices,
growth,
conges=on
and
regula=on
all
impact
the
world’s
ci=es
to
drive
a
shiU
to
more
sustainable
efficient
transport
op=ons

19. Future
of
Smart
Machines
Role
of
Mobile
Billions
of
interconnected
and
intelligent
devices
deliver
24/7
improved
efficiency,
greater
flexibility
and
generate
less
waste
to
enable
us
to
do
more
with
less

20. Intelligent
buildings
Smart
Machines
Smarter,
beaer
connected,
self-­‐monitoring
homes
and
offices
provide
safer,
more
secure,
low
energy
buildings
able
to
self-­‐manage
their
opera=on
and
u=li=es

21. Implica@ons

22. Networks
Role
of
Mobile
Investment
challenges,
alterna=ve
priori=es
and
demands
for
fast
lanes
will
add
to
the
requirements
of
providing
secure,
24/7
global
connec=vity
across
all
networks

23. Privacy
Role
of
Mobile
Mobile
will
act
as
both
the
catalyst
and
monitor
of
how
personal
data
is
used:
In
a
smarter,
more
connected
world,
responsibili=es
will
shiU
and
blur
between
the
individual
and
society

24. Vision
2020
Role
of
Mobile
The
mobile
industry
is
moving
from
just
being
in
control
of
its
own
developments
to
becoming
the
enabler
of
others’
innova=ons:
Partnership,
collabora=on
and
co-­‐opera=on
will
be
the
focus

25. The
Future
Role
of
Mobile
Dr
Tim
Jones
Programme
Director
@m.jones@futureagenda.org