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Mb2
1.
2.
TAF TSLF PDCF
Discount Rate
3.
Target Rate Federal
Fund Rate Discount Rate
4.
5.
TAF TSLF PDCF
Discount Rate
6.
million
7.
million
8.
million
9.
million
10.
million
11.
12.
Time FOMC Discount
Required Required Interest on Required Reserve Balances and Excess Balances
13.
2007.08~2008.04: 利率調降階段
2008.04~2008.10: 利率穩定階段 2008.10~2008.12: 景氣再度衰退
14.
106 66 76
86 96 2007/09/02 2007/10/14 2007/11/25 2008/01/06 2008/03/09 國際油品價格週比較趨勢圖 ( 美金 / 桶 )(2007.8.1~2008.3.18)
15.
國際油品價格週比較趨勢圖 ( 美金
/ 桶 )(2008.7.1~2008.12.31) 149 129 29 49 69 89 109 2008/07/16 2008/08 2008/12/17 2008/11/17 2008/10/16 2008/09/16
16.
注資 ( 中長期公債,公司債
) 定期拍賣工具 TALF 短期資產擔保融資
17.
Expanded Discount Window
1.TAF 28/84 2.PDCF overnight Fed 3.TSLF Currency Collateral Bank Treasury
18.
ABCP MMI ABCP+$
Fed MKT CP ABCP SPV CPFF MMIFF AMLF
19.
20.
Demand Supply Demand
Supply
21.
APJ Asia 486
127 -838 FSU 70 88 -123
22.
EMEA/LATAM Latin
America 321 256 -5 Africa 94 117 29 Middle East 300 474 174 Europe -373 -97 -165
23.
North America North
America 109 -1243 -1021 Global Demand Growth (mb/d) 2007 1.01 1.2% 2008 -0.28 -0.3% 2009 -2.40 -2.8%
24.
25.
26.
History, tells us…
27.
28.
29.
Nominal Anchor… π
or M Implicit
30.