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MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering




                     M&A Market:
            Overview, Thoughts and Insights

                          Kelly Porter
          Managing Director, Woodside Capital Partners
                 M&A Silicon Valley Gathering
                     January 17-18, 2013
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering


                          The Key M&A Market Driver : CEO Confidence




    Source: Vistage CEO Survey, responses from 1,601 U.S. CEOs, surveyed between December 10 and December 19, 2012
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering


          150%
                                                            Stock Market Indices Growth
           75%


             0%


           ‐75%


         ‐150%
              2000          2001      2002      2003      2004      2005       2006       2007   2008         2009       2010      2011   2012


                                                          NYSE Composite                                Hang Seng Index



                                                                 Global M&A by Value
                                                                                            $3,662
                                                                                 $3,407
                  $3,168
                                                                                                                                     $2,470
                                                                      $2,537                                               $2,433
                                                                                                     $2,288
                                                           $1,728                                               $1,851
                             $1,519                                                                                                           $1,607
                                                 $1,207
                                       $1,056




                     2000               2002                2004                 2006                2008                   2010              2012


Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering



                    U.S. M&A Activity as a Percentage of Market Capitalization
            11%

                                                      10%
                                                             9%


                                               7%
                                                                    7%     7%              6%
                   6%                   6%                                         6%
                                 5%

                          4%                                                                       4%




            2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009    2010    2011    2012




                                                                      Source: Thompson Reuters M&A Database
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering

                                                      Global Tech Acquisitions
                                                       In Dollar Volume (Billions)
     $500
      $B


     $400




     $300




     $200




     $100




      $0
            1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

                                                                M&A         IPO

                                                                                                              Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering



    $B
                          2012 Global Tech M&A – by Month
   $25                                                                                  1600
              $23
                                                                                        1400
   $20                                $19
                                                                                        1200
                                $15                                $15
   $15                                            $14
                    $13                                                                 1000


                          $10               $10              $10              $10       800
   $10


         $6                                                                             600
                                                        $5
    $5
                                                                                        400


    $0                                                                                  200




                                                                   Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering


                           An indicator of the appetite for risk

                                Tech Transactions $1B+ 
                                         Since 2003

                                       64


                                50                                    49

                        39                                                           38
                                                               36
                                                 33
                                                        28

          19     19




          2003   2004   2005    2006   2007      2008   2009   2010   2011          2012



                                                                             Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering

            2012 Tech IPO Performance Since Offering – Selected Companies

            Guidewire Software (E)                                                                                                148%
                      Workday (E)                                                                       84%
                        Splunk (E)                                                                      84%
                 DemandWare (E)                                                                     76%
                         EPAM (E)                                                                 67%
        Vocera Communications (E)                                                            61%
                         Kayak (C)                                                          56%
                   ServiceNow (E)                                                     45%
                           Yelp (C)                                                  44%
            Palo Alto Networks (E)                                             26%
                       Infoblox (E)                                           21%
                   ExactTarget (E)                                           16%
                    Brightcove (E)                               ‐10%
                     Facebook (C)                            ‐18%
                      Audience (C)                        ‐29%
                   Bazaarvoice (E)                 ‐45%
              Millennial Media (E)               ‐53%
                     CafePress (C)        ‐71%
                        Envivio (E)   ‐79%

                                  ‐100%             ‐50%                0%           50%                  100%                 150%


                                                                                                              Source: Yahoo! Finance
           Prices as of 1/14/13
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering


             Global Software and Internet Acquisition Activity – Last Ten Years
   5,000                                                                 $300




                                                              3,892      $250
   4,000                            3,758 
                                                         3,436 
                                                                         $200          # of
                                                                                       Transactions
   3,000
                                               2,524 
                                                                         $150
           2,038                                                                       $ Value of
   2,000                                                                               Announced
                                                                         $100          Transactions
                                                                                       ($B)


   1,000
                                                                         $50



      ‐                                                                  $‐




                                                                       Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering

       Top-25 Acquirers in Software – Announced Acquisitions, Last Five Years
                   Google                                     100+
                      IBM                            36
                Facebook                        30
                    Oracle                      30
                    Zynga                  26
                  Nuance              20
                Autodesk             19
         salesforce.com              19
                  Vmware             19
                   Twitter          18
                 j2 Global         17
                Microsoft         16
                      ADP       14
                 Synopsys       14
        CA Technologies        12
           Citrix Systems      12
                     eBay      12
       VeriFone Systems        12
                      AOL     11
          BMC Software        11
         Quest Software       11
                   Yahoo!     11
         Adobe Systems       10
                      SAP    10
                Symantec     10



                                                               Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering

   Breakdown of Software-Internet Transactions by Transaction size – Last five years


                                          $500M ‐ $1 Billion 
                                               159              $100M ‐ $500M  
                                                1%                   980 
                    $1 Billion or More 
                            155                                      3%
                            <1%



                                                                      $100M or Less  
                                                                         10,156 
                                                                          31%




                 Undisclosed 
                   21,063 
                    65%




                                                                                  Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering

                       Valuations in M&A – Avg. Multiples of Revenue
       10x




        8x   7.8x


        6x
                    5.4x                                  5.5x
                                                                                          4.7x
                                                                            4.3x
        4x                             3.4x
                                                                                   2.8x
                                                   2.1x              2.1x
        2x
                                1.0x

        0x
                2008                2009              2010              2011           2012

                           Top 50 Transaction Multiples ‐ All Tech
                           Top 50 Transaction Multiples ‐ Software and Internet


                                                                                    Source: Capital IQ
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering


                  Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us
                   Important Events of 2012 - Enterprise

   • VMWare’s foray into software defined networking: $1.2B Nicira acquisition
   • Salesforce’ $1 billion spend on its marketing cloud
   • Dell’s push into software; $2.2 billion acquisition of Quest Software
   • IBM’s $1.4 billion purchase of Kenexa
   • SAP’s continued evolution into the cloud
   • Oracle’s continued evolution into the cloud
   • Citrix’s purchase of Zenprise in December
   • HP’s $17 billion of write downs of bad acquisitions
   • Microsoft’s $10 billion spending spree last 18 months; and new approach
   • Google’s purchase of QuickOffice in June
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering

                    Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us
                      Looking Ahead to 2013 - Enterprise

  • Major enterprise companies are still trying to reinvent themselves
  • Google will continue to be the most important player in the M&A landscape 
  • Expect to see a lot of companies testing the market who are unable to raise 
    funding
  • More cross‐border deals, especially with China

  • Further activity in the Social Marketing Space 
  • We expect big data‐analytics and predictive‐analytics tools will be one of the 
    next big markets to consolidate
  • The BYOD phenomenon will create additional activity in 2013 

  • Significant activity / consolidation expected in the Data Center Information 
    Market
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering


                   Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us
                    Important Events of 2012 - Consumer


   • The Crash of Facebook, Zynga and Groupon

   • Facebook’s acquisitions in mobile

   • AOL’s sale of patents to Microsoft for $1.1 billion, and Yahoo’s sale of it’s
     stake in Alibaba for $7.6 billion

   • Zynga’s purchase of OMGPop for $183 million, and subsequent write-
     down

   • Traditional enterprise companies – Oracle, Salesforce, Intuit - buying their
     way into social marketing / advertising companies
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering


                   Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us
                     Looking Ahead to 2013 - Consumer

  • Google will continue to be the most important player in the M&A
    landscape.

  • Expect to see a lot of companies testing the market who are unable to
    raise funding

  • Expect more activity in mobile advertising

  • An acquisition that should happen: EBay or Amazon buys Fab,
    OneKingsLane, or similar

  • An acquisition (or investment) that should happen: Microsoft should
    acquire Dropbox
MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering




                                Thank You

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2013 M&A Silicon Valley Gathering (MASiV)

  • 1. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering M&A Market: Overview, Thoughts and Insights Kelly Porter Managing Director, Woodside Capital Partners M&A Silicon Valley Gathering January 17-18, 2013
  • 2. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering The Key M&A Market Driver : CEO Confidence Source: Vistage CEO Survey, responses from 1,601 U.S. CEOs, surveyed between December 10 and December 19, 2012
  • 3. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering 150% Stock Market Indices Growth 75% 0% ‐75% ‐150% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 NYSE Composite Hang Seng Index Global M&A by Value $3,662 $3,407 $3,168 $2,470 $2,537 $2,433 $2,288 $1,728 $1,851 $1,519 $1,607 $1,207 $1,056 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Source: Capital IQ
  • 4. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering U.S. M&A Activity as a Percentage of Market Capitalization 11% 10% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Thompson Reuters M&A Database
  • 5. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Global Tech Acquisitions In Dollar Volume (Billions) $500 $B $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 M&A IPO Source: Capital IQ
  • 6. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering $B 2012 Global Tech M&A – by Month $25 1600 $23 1400 $20 $19 1200 $15 $15 $15 $14 $13 1000 $10 $10 $10 $10 800 $10 $6 600 $5 $5 400 $0 200 Source: Capital IQ
  • 7. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering An indicator of the appetite for risk Tech Transactions $1B+  Since 2003 64 50 49 39 38 36 33 28 19 19 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Capital IQ
  • 8. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering 2012 Tech IPO Performance Since Offering – Selected Companies Guidewire Software (E) 148% Workday (E) 84% Splunk (E) 84% DemandWare (E) 76% EPAM (E) 67% Vocera Communications (E) 61% Kayak (C) 56% ServiceNow (E) 45% Yelp (C) 44% Palo Alto Networks (E) 26% Infoblox (E) 21% ExactTarget (E) 16% Brightcove (E) ‐10% Facebook (C) ‐18% Audience (C) ‐29% Bazaarvoice (E) ‐45% Millennial Media (E) ‐53% CafePress (C) ‐71% Envivio (E) ‐79% ‐100% ‐50% 0% 50% 100% 150% Source: Yahoo! Finance Prices as of 1/14/13
  • 9. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Global Software and Internet Acquisition Activity – Last Ten Years  5,000  $300 3,892   $250  4,000 3,758  3,436   $200 # of Transactions  3,000 2,524   $150 2,038  $ Value of  2,000 Announced  $100 Transactions ($B)  1,000  $50  ‐  $‐ Source: Capital IQ
  • 10. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Top-25 Acquirers in Software – Announced Acquisitions, Last Five Years Google 100+ IBM 36 Facebook 30 Oracle 30 Zynga 26 Nuance 20 Autodesk 19 salesforce.com 19 Vmware 19 Twitter 18 j2 Global 17 Microsoft 16 ADP 14 Synopsys 14 CA Technologies 12 Citrix Systems 12 eBay 12 VeriFone Systems 12 AOL 11 BMC Software 11 Quest Software 11 Yahoo! 11 Adobe Systems 10 SAP 10 Symantec 10 Source: Capital IQ
  • 11. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Breakdown of Software-Internet Transactions by Transaction size – Last five years $500M ‐ $1 Billion  159  $100M ‐ $500M   1% 980  $1 Billion or More  155 3% <1% $100M or Less   10,156  31% Undisclosed  21,063  65% Source: Capital IQ
  • 12. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Valuations in M&A – Avg. Multiples of Revenue 10x 8x 7.8x 6x 5.4x 5.5x 4.7x 4.3x 4x 3.4x 2.8x 2.1x 2.1x 2x 1.0x 0x 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Top 50 Transaction Multiples ‐ All Tech Top 50 Transaction Multiples ‐ Software and Internet Source: Capital IQ
  • 13. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us Important Events of 2012 - Enterprise • VMWare’s foray into software defined networking: $1.2B Nicira acquisition • Salesforce’ $1 billion spend on its marketing cloud • Dell’s push into software; $2.2 billion acquisition of Quest Software • IBM’s $1.4 billion purchase of Kenexa • SAP’s continued evolution into the cloud • Oracle’s continued evolution into the cloud • Citrix’s purchase of Zenprise in December • HP’s $17 billion of write downs of bad acquisitions • Microsoft’s $10 billion spending spree last 18 months; and new approach • Google’s purchase of QuickOffice in June
  • 14. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us Looking Ahead to 2013 - Enterprise • Major enterprise companies are still trying to reinvent themselves • Google will continue to be the most important player in the M&A landscape  • Expect to see a lot of companies testing the market who are unable to raise  funding • More cross‐border deals, especially with China • Further activity in the Social Marketing Space  • We expect big data‐analytics and predictive‐analytics tools will be one of the  next big markets to consolidate • The BYOD phenomenon will create additional activity in 2013  • Significant activity / consolidation expected in the Data Center Information  Market
  • 15. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us Important Events of 2012 - Consumer • The Crash of Facebook, Zynga and Groupon • Facebook’s acquisitions in mobile • AOL’s sale of patents to Microsoft for $1.1 billion, and Yahoo’s sale of it’s stake in Alibaba for $7.6 billion • Zynga’s purchase of OMGPop for $183 million, and subsequent write- down • Traditional enterprise companies – Oracle, Salesforce, Intuit - buying their way into social marketing / advertising companies
  • 16. MASiV 2013: The M&A Silicon Valley Gathering Thoughts on What’s Going On Around Us Looking Ahead to 2013 - Consumer • Google will continue to be the most important player in the M&A landscape. • Expect to see a lot of companies testing the market who are unable to raise funding • Expect more activity in mobile advertising • An acquisition that should happen: EBay or Amazon buys Fab, OneKingsLane, or similar • An acquisition (or investment) that should happen: Microsoft should acquire Dropbox