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Industrial Report
North San Diego County


4th Quarter 2011
PREPARED BY:             COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
Adam Molnar              5901 Priestly Drive, Suite 100
Greg Lewis               Carlsbad, CA 92008
Tucker Hohenstein        Fax 760 438 8925
Mike Erwin               www.colliers.com/carlsbad
Mike Bench
Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL




NORTH COUNTY
AT A GLANCE




                                                                        OVERVIEW
                                                                        The North San Diego County industrial market is largely decentralized and comprised of
                                                                          ve cities including Carlsbad, Escondido, Oceanside, San Marcos and Vista. Situated 35
                                                                        miles north of downtown San Diego and 52 miles south of John Wayne Airport in Orange
              Oceanside                                                 County, the coastal location is a major factor in the area’s appeal to corporate users and
                                Vista
                                                                        its 826,985 residents.

                         Carlsbad
                                           San        Escondid          The industrial market consists of approximately 52.3 million square feet. By comparison,
                                          Marcos
  Ocean                                                                 the total San Diego industrial market is 188.3 million square feet. North County represents
                                                                        27% of the total. Year-end 2011 North County vacancy was 10.9%. The vacancy rate
                                                                        is improving as 566,762 SF of positive net absorption occurred. The following table
MARKET INDICATORS                                                       summarizes the inventory and vacancy in the market:

                                         Q4               Q1
                                        2011         2012 (forecast)
                                                                        Submarket            Buildings         Total Inventory    Vacant SF      Vacancy Rate
                   VACANCY                                              Carlsbad             485               15,011,955         2,116,686      14.10%
                                                                        Escondido            637               7,183,097          445,352        6.20%
     NET ABSORPTION
                                                                        Oceanside            396               8,038,044          1,374,506      17.10%
          CONSTRUCTION                                                  San Marcos           489               8,703,364          617,939        7.10%
             RENTAL RATE                                                Vista                530               13,373,882         1,150,154      8.60%
                                                                        Total                2,537             52,310,342         5,701,827      10.90%
 LEASE CONCESSIONS


                                                                        North San Diego County is well known for its highly skilled labor force, excellent
                                                                        transportation network, pro-growth business environment, signi cant Federal
                                                                        Government presence, desirable vacation destination and abundant employee housing.

INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                            The North San Diego County industrial market is home to a diversi ed mix of users
Q4 2011
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                            including defense, telecommunications, software, medical manufacturing, golf and leisure
                                                             CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                      VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
Q4 2011                                                                 sports, life science and technology rms. Corporate neighbors include:
    Carlsbad                   14.1%
  Escondido            6.2%
                                                                       Coca-Cola                         Isis Pharmaceuticals          DJO Inc.
                                                                       Medtronic                         Life Technologies             Linear
  Oceanside                       17.1%
                                                                       Titleist Golf                     Puma Golf                     Killion Industries
 San Marcos            7.1%                                            ViaSat                            TaylorMade Golf               Jeld-Wen Windows and Doors
          Vista         8.6%                                           Covidien                          Denso Wireless                Sumitomo Electric
North County             10.9%                                         Abbott Labs                       U.S. Foodservice              McCain Inc.
                                                                       Genentech                         Philips Respironics           Directed Electronics
                  0%     5%    10%      15%    20%
                                                                       Callaway Golf                     Thomson Reuters               GIA
                                                                       L-3 Communications                Rockwell Collins              Hunter Industries
                                                                       SAIC                              John Deere                    Watkins Manufacturing
                                                             OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                       SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | NORTH COUNTY



                  ACTIVITY
                  Big tenants made a positive impact in 2011.       NORTH COUNTY HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                  The bulk of the year’s absorption can be
                  traced to tenants such as: BREG (88K), Zodiac                  1,500                                                                                                      14%

                  (104K), John Deere (76K) SKLZ (150K),                                                                                                                                     12%
                                                                                 1,000
                  DJO (53K), PrAna (64K), Allied Swiss (63K)                                                                                                                                10%
                  and Teamwork (40K). This demand from




                                                                                                                                                                                                     Vacancy Rate
                                                                     SF (000s)
                                                                                  500
                                                                                                                                                                                            8%
                  corporate tenants helped 2011 post 566,000
                  square feet of net absorption, which is well                      0
                                                                                                                                                                                            6%

                  above the 5-year moving average of 104,000                                                                                                                                4%
                  square feet. Vacancy declined slightly to                      -500
                                                                                                                                                                                            2%
                  10.9% at the end of 2011 versus 11.22% at the
                  end of 2010.                                            -1,000                                                                                                            0%
                                                                                           2003       2004      2005       2006       2007      2008       2009       2010       2011

                  Owner-users and investors cautiously
                                                                                   Net Absorption  New Supply      Vacancy
                  entered the market during 2011, which led
                  to inconsistent sales activity. First quarter
                  showed promising signs in terms of activity, however the balance of the year was sparse and Q4 nished with
                  only one sale above 15,000 square feet. The most active size segment for owner-users was 15,000-35,000
                  square feet. These owner-users were able to take advantage of low interest rates (4.0-5.0% during 2011) and
                  sale prices between $75-100/SF. Investors were also buying in the same price range with following notable
                  transactions: LBA purchased 237,000 square feet in the Carlsbad Research Center as part of a sale leaseback
                  to Callaway Golf, Peregrine bought 127,000 square feet of multi-tenant space in Carlsbad, Alliance Partners
                  purchased 200,000 square feet in Oceanside and Bixby Land Company bought the 170,000 square foot Palomar
                  Oaks Technology Park.


                  FORECAST
                  We anticipate the North County industrial market to perform similarly to how it did in 2011. This means lease
                  rates will remain stable across product types and sizes, while North County vacancy could shed another 100-
                  125 basis points. Consequently, we should continue to see a reduction in supply throughout 2012, as there is
                  no additional industrial product under construction. As demand improves, the result will be an increase in lease
                  rates and fewer tenant concessions.

                  The improving economy and limited product in North County should result in a slight increase in real estate
                  prices in 2012, and a modest increase in property sales. Further supporting this trend is the Lenders willingness
                  to modify and extend problem loans, which has signi cantly limited the amount of distressed properties in the
                  market. We will continue to see investment dollars waiting for lender controlled properties, as well as Sellers
                  that are in a relatively healthy position, continuing to wait for the eventual Buyer.




                                                                                    This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
  prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN                            International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                    the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
              MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950                                   should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                    unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                    all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL




CARLSBAD
AT A GLANCE




                                                              OVERVIEW
                                                              Carlsbad rebounded from a negative 3Q 2011 and nished the year on a positive note
                                                              by posting 93,000 square feet of absorption in 4Q 2011. However, the overall statistics
                                                              for 2011 reveal a fairly at year with a modest 18,615 square feet of positive absorption.
           Oceanside                                          Compared to one year ago the overall vacancy rate for Industrial/R&D increased by one
                             Vista                            percentage point to 14.14%. Despite having a higher overall vacancy rate (15.37% versus
                                                              12.81%), R&D product vastly outperformed Industrial in 2011 by posting a positive gain
                                      San                     of 214,000 square feet versus 195,717 square feet of negative absorption. The only
                 Carlsbad            Marcos                   new construction delivered in 2011 was the 176,000 SF BTS for Isis Pharmaceuticals at
   Ocean
                                                              Carlsbad Oaks North.

                                                              ACTIVITY
MARKET INDICATORS
                                                              For the second straight quarter the 15,000 to 25,000 square foot segment of the R&D
                            Q4                Q1              market led the charge in terms of leasing activity with ve transactions during 4Q 2011.
                            2011       2012 (forecast)
                                                              The largest lease deal of the quarter, and the year for that matter, was the 150,000 SF
            VACANCY
                                                              sublease to SKLZ at 2081 Faraday Avenue. The sublessor was Callaway Golf and the
                                                              sublease expires in November 2017. SKLZ will be relocating and expanding from their
   NET ABSORPTION                                             current facility in Carlsbad and will use the building primarily for distribution. The only
                                                              sale transaction in 4Q was an investment sale between Bixby Land Company and Arden
     CONSTRUCTION
                                                              Realty. Bixby purchased the 170,915 square foot Palomar Oaks Technology Park for a
      RENTAL RATE                                             blended rate of $92.44/SF. The project was approximately 50% leased at the time of the
                                                              sale and consists of ve R&D properties valued at $75.00/SF and one o ce property at
LEASE CONCESSIONS                                             $133.00/SF.

                                             FORECAST
                                               INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES        CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                  VISTA
                                             With no new product proposed
                                               Q4 2011
                                                                                      700                                                16%
                                             or planned during 2012 the
                                                                                      600                                                14%
                                             market should begin to correct
                                                                                      500                                                12%
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                 itself and vacancy rates are
Q4 2011                                                                               400                                                10%
                                  CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Rental
                                             expected to decrease.                                                                                     Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                   SF (000s)




 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                                         300
                                                                                             VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS              8%
 Q4 2011                                     rates for the most part have
                                                                                      200                                                6%
     Carlsbad
   Carlsbad             14.1%                leveled o after a prolonged
                                                                                      100                                                4%
   Escondido     6.2%
                                             decline. Sale prices for the
                                                                                        0                                                2%
                                             limited amount of investment
   Oceanside                                                                         -100                                                0%
                            17.1%            product are still well below                 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010   2011
  San Marcos     7.1%                        replacement cost and the
         Vista    8.6%
                                             occasional bank owned                               Net Absorption      New Supply Vacancy

                                             properties have provided
North County        10.9%                    opportunistic owner users a rare chance to buy at a signiMARKETdiscount. These low
                                                                                   OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL
                                                                                                                cant TRENDS                                           SAN

               0% 5% 10% 15% 20%             prices for lender controlled properties have created a large disparity between distressed
                                             and traditional pricing expectations. Sellers that are in a relatively healthy position have
                                             been somewhat frustrated by this disconnect which has engendered stagnation in the
                                             market.
                                                   OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                          SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
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          AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | CARLSBAD                                                                                                                                                                                           Ave
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          TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q4 2011
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          SALES ACTIVITY                                                                                   La Costa Resort
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            # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS
                             wy                                                    BUYER TYPE                                                 SIZE SF                   SALE PRICE                        PRICE/SF
                 Park Hyatt
            1   Aviara Resort
                 Palomar Oaks         Technology Park                              Investor                                                   170,915                   $15,800,000                       $92.44
          LEASING ACTIVITY

            # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                                TENANT NAME                                                SIZE SF                   TERM                              EFF RATE/SF
            2        2081 Faraday Avenue                                           SKLZ                                                       150,159                   69 months                         $0.60 NNN
            3        2721 Loker Avenue                                             Blue Earth, Inc.                                           20,329                    72 months                         $1.03 NNN
            4        1890 Rutherford Road                                          Genoptix, Inc.                                             20,108                    38 months                         $1.81 NNN
            5        1905 Aston Avenue                                             Ryderz Compound, LLC                                       19,794                    52 months                         $0.87 NNN
            6        1815 Aston Avenue                                             JetHead Development, Inc.                                  17,776                    36 months                         $1.29 MG
            7        6197 El Camino Real                                           ViaSat, Inc.                                               15,303                    62 months                         $0.97 NNN




                                                                                                                    This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
             prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN                                                 International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                                                    the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
                         MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950                                                        should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                                                    unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                                                    all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL




ESCONDIDO
AT A GLANCE




                                                                      OVERVIEW
                                                                      Escondido closed 2011 with the lowest vacancy rate of any city in North San Diego
                                                                      County. Year end direct vacancy was 6.0%. The good news continued with positive net
                                                                      absorption for both the fourth quarter and the year. The fourth quarter ended with 25,184
              Oceanside
                                   Vista
                                                                      SF of positive net absorption which delivered a year -end total of 128,536 SF. There is
                                                                      no new industrial building or ex construction underway at this time. The new Palomar
                                                                      Medical Center under construction on a 56 acre site in the Escondido Research and
                                            San     Escondido
                        Carlsbad           Marcos                     Technology Center continues to take shape with a target opening of summer 2102.
    Ocean

                                                                      ACTIVITY
                                                                      Transaction activity in Escondido the past quarter was limited to one mid-size lease for
MARKET INDICATORS                                                     the market, two sales and several smaller lease deals. VIT Products leased 26,664 SF at
                                       Q4             Q1
                                                                      2344 Auto Park Way taking down a building that had been empty for over 2 years. There
                                       2011     2012 (forecast)       was an REO sale of an 11,264SF building at 1250 Industrial Avenue for $84 SF. The other
                                                                      sale was for a 10,120 SF building at 1200 Simpson Way for $130 SF. A handful of smaller
                   VACANCY                                            multi-tenant leases from 1,000 to 3,000 SF were completed to end 2011 on a good note.
    NET ABSORPTION
                                                                      FORECAST
          CONSTRUCTION                                                The road ahead is bright for Escondido. With a healthy vacancy rate of just 6% there will
                                                                      be upward pressure on rental rates and sale prices in 2012. The economy is showing
            RENTAL RATE
                                                                      signs of recovery and increases in employment will drive demand for industrial space.
LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                     One of our clients is tentatively planning on breaking ground on a new speculative, for
                                                                      lease industrial project in Escondido which is something we have not seen for several
                                                                      years.



                                                                        ESCONDIDO HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                                        NORTH COUNTY NET ABSOR
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES
Q4 2011
                                                                                    300                                                                      10%
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                               CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                               VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
Q4 2011                                                                                                                                                      9%
                                                                                    200
    Carlsbad                                                                                                                                                 8%
                               14.1%
                                                                                     100                                                                     7%                            5-Yr. Avg. = 104,2
 Escondido
  Escondido            6.2%
                                                                                                                                                                   Vacancy Rate
                                                                        SF (000s)




                                                                                                                                                             6%
                                                                                      0
  Oceanside                        17.1%                                                                                                                     5%
                                                                                    -100
                                                                                                                                                             4%
 San Marcos            7.1%
                                                                                    -200                                                                     3%
          Vista         8.6%                                                                                                                                 2%
                                                                                    -300
                                                                                                                                                             1%
North County             10.9%
                                                                                    -400                                                                     0%
                  0%     5%    10%     15%    20%                                          2003   2004   2005    2006   2007   2008     2009   2010   2011


                                                                                                    Net Absorption         New Supply             Vacancy

                                                           OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                              SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                                                                        NORTH COUNTY HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS

www.colliers.com/carlsbad
AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | ESCONDIDO




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  TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q4 2011
  SALES ACTIVITY

    # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                                                BUYER TYPE                                                                            SIZE SF                           SALE PRICE            PRICE/SF
     1     1250 Industrial Avenue                                                          User                                                                                  11,264                            $950,000              $84.34
     2     1200 Simpson Way                                                                User                                                                                  10,120                            $1,316,500            $130.09
  LEASING ACTIVITY

    # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                                                TENANT NAME                                                                           SIZE SF                           TERM                  EFF RATE/SF
     3     2344 Auto Park Way                                                              VIT Products                                                                          26,664                            48 months             $0.47 Gross




                                                                                                                                                This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
      prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN                                                                                    International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                                                                                the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
                  MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950                                                                                           should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                                                                                unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                                                                                all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL




OCEANSIDE
AT A GLANCE




                                                                   INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES       CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                                          VISTA
                                                                   Q4 2011


                                                                    OVERVIEW
                                                                    While Oceanside still maintains the highest vacancy rate in North County at 17.1%,
                                                                    175,000 square feet of positive net absorption during 2011 demonstrates that large
                                                                    corporations continue to relocate to Oceanside. They are taking advantage of attractive
               Oceanside                                            rental rates and the high corporate image that Oceanside o ers.
                                   Vista

                                                                    With 25 buildings in excess of 15,000 SF currently available, landlords are aggressively
                                            San                     pursuing users in the market and looking for ways to di erentiate their real estate from
                       Carlsbad            Marcos                   the competition.
     Ocean

                                                                    ACTIVITY
                                                                    There were no building sales      OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                                         SAN M
MARKET INDICATORS
                                                                    larger than 15,000 SF during                   800                                                                      20%
                                  Q4
                                  2011
                                                    Q1
                                             2012 (forecast)
                                                                    the fourth quarter. There                                                                                               18%
                                                                                                                   600
                                                                    were 5 buildings sold in the                                                                                            16%


                VACANCY
                                                                    quarter less than 15,000 SF.                   400
                                                                                                                                                                                            14%




                                                                                                                                                                                                  Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                       SF (000s)




                                                                                                                                                                                            12%
                                                                    Land activity is bolstered by                  200                                                                      10%
    NET ABSORPTION                                                  U.S. Food Service, which is                                                                                             8%
                                                                                                                     0
                                                                    planning to close escrow on                                                                                             6%
       CONSTRUCTION                                                                                                                                                                         4%
                                                                    29 acres in Ocean Ranch in                     -200
                                                                                                                                                                                            2%
         RENTAL RATE                                                February 2012. They plan on                    -400                                                                     0%
                                                                    holding the land for the next                         2003   2004   2005    2006   2007   2008     2009   2010   2011

LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                   3-5 years before constructing
                                                                                                                                   Net Absorption         New Supply             Vacancy
                                                                    a 400,000 – 500,000 SF
                                                                    build-to-suit.

                                         Lease transaction activity was relatively slow. A signi cant surge came late in the
                                         quarter from Solar Gard, proving to be Oceanside’s most signi cant new lease
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES             transaction completed. Solar Gard which is a subsidiary of Saint Gobain leased 35,463
Q4 2011
 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICALve years at 1865 Ord Way in the Prescott Industrial Park. They plan to utilize
                                         SF for MARKET TRENDS                          VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
 Q4 2011                                 the manufacturing facility as an expansion for their automotive window lm business.
     Carlsbad      14.1%                 Occupancy is contingent upon a conditional use permit through the city that is expected to
   Escondido  6.2%
                                         occur early rst quarter of 2012.
 Oceanside
  Oceanside                   17.1%                                 FORECAST
 San Marcos         7.1%                                            Oceanside has started the year strongly with two notable rst quarter 2012 transactions.
       Vista         8.6%
                                                                    La Cantina Doors recently leased 66,780 SF for 5 years at 2817 Ocean Ranch Blvd in the
                                                                    La Paci ca Business Park. Brixton, Ltd has leased 22,666 SF for 3 years at 1340 Rocky
North County          10.9%                                         Point Drive in the Paci c Coast Business Park. This has created a positive buzz within
               0%     5%    10%   15%      20%                      the business community. We expect leasing to double in the rst quarter of 2012 with 3
                                                                    signi cant companies exploring Oceanside’s opportunities at this time.


                                                         OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                      SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | OCEANSIDE




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TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q3 2011
SALES ACTIVITY

  # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                                                                                                    BUYER TYPE                                                SIZE SF                 SALE PRICE                       PRICE/SF
        There were no buildings sales larger than 15,000SF during Q4
LEASING ACTIVITY

  # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                                                                                                    TENANT NAME                                               SIZE SF                 TERM                             EFF RATE
  1     2817 Ocean Ranch Boulevard                                                                                                           La Cantina Doors                                          66,780                  60 months                        $0.55/NNN
  2     1865 Ord Way                                                                                                                         Solar Gard - Saint Gobain                                 35,463                  60 months                        $0.54/NNN
  3     1340 Rocky Point Drive                                                                                                               Brixton                                                   22,666                  36 months                        $0.59/G




                                                                                                                                                                 This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
      prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN                                                                                                     International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                                                                                                 the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
                  MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950                                                                                                            should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                                                                                                 unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                                                                                                 all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL




      SAN MARCOS
      AT A GLANCE




                                                                                 OVERVIEW
                                                                                 The San Marcos industrial market continues to improve as Q4 followed the positive trends
                                                                                 of Q3, which included more companies leasing space, resulting in additional positive
                                                                                 absorption and an overall reduction in vacancy. Vacancy decreased from 8.9% to 7.10%
                        Oceanside                                                between Q3 and Q4, and year-end absorption was a positive 103,417 square feet.
                                           Vista



                                                    San      Escondido
                                                   Marcos
                                                                                 ACTIVITY
                               Carlsbad
          Ocean                                                                  Leasing activity mainly consisted of small tenants in multi-tenant parks and a few notable
                                                                                 transactions such as Crescent Electric’s 30,000 square foot lease at 295 Distribution
                                                                                 Street. Crescent Electric Supply Company is one of the largest independent distributors
      MARKET INDICATORS                                                          of electrical hardware and supplies in the U.S. Based in East Dubuque, Illinois, Crescent
                                                                                 Electric has 120 distribution facilities in 27 states. Another notable lease transaction was
                          Q4
AD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                      Q1                VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                                              2011          2012 (forecast)      the approximately 16,000 square foot lease by Piercan USA, Inc., which is a latex glove
                                                                                 company with headquarters in Paris, France and San Marcos, California.
                          VACANCY
                                                                                 There were limited sales during the Q4, mainly smaller buildings under 10,000 square feet.
          NET ABSORPTION
                                                                                 Prices maintained its recent levels at approximately $90 - $120/SF.
                CONSTRUCTION

                  RENTAL RATE                                                    FORECAST
                                                                                 We should continue to see a reduction in supply throughout 2012 as there is no additional
      LEASE CONCESSIONS
                                                                                 industrial product under construction, combined with the City’s elimination of some
                                                                                 industrial zoned real estate. We also expect an uptick in demand as overall improvement in
                                                                                 local consumer con dence continues to absorb available product.



      INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES
DE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                       SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
      Q4 2011
      INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                    CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                                                                                     300                                                                  VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                                     9%
      Q4 2011
                                                                                                                                                                        8%
          Carlsbad                   14.1%                                                     200
                                                                                                                                                                        7%
        Escondido            6.2%                                                               100                                                                     6%
                                                                                                                                                                             Vacancy Rate
                                                                                   SF (000s)




                                                                                                                                                                        5%
        Oceanside                         17.1%                                                  0
                                                                                                                                                                        4%
      San Marcos
       San Marcos            7.1%                                                              -100                                                                     3%

                Vista         8.6%                                                                                                                                      2%
                                                                                               -200
                                                                                                                                                                        1%
      North County             10.9%
                                                                                               -300                                                                     0%
                        0%     5%    10%     15%      20%                                             2003   2004   2005    2006   2007   2008     2009   2010   2011


                                                                                                               Net Absorption         New Supply             Vacancy


                                                                      OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                  SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



      www.colliers.com/carlsbad
Q4 2011 Industrial Report
Q4 2011 Industrial Report
Q4 2011 Industrial Report
Q4 2011 Industrial Report
Q4 2011 Industrial Report
Q4 2011 Industrial Report
Q4 2011 Industrial Report

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Q4 2011 Industrial Report

  • 1. Industrial Report North San Diego County 4th Quarter 2011 PREPARED BY: COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL Adam Molnar 5901 Priestly Drive, Suite 100 Greg Lewis Carlsbad, CA 92008 Tucker Hohenstein Fax 760 438 8925 Mike Erwin www.colliers.com/carlsbad Mike Bench
  • 2. Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL NORTH COUNTY AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW The North San Diego County industrial market is largely decentralized and comprised of ve cities including Carlsbad, Escondido, Oceanside, San Marcos and Vista. Situated 35 miles north of downtown San Diego and 52 miles south of John Wayne Airport in Orange Oceanside County, the coastal location is a major factor in the area’s appeal to corporate users and Vista its 826,985 residents. Carlsbad San Escondid The industrial market consists of approximately 52.3 million square feet. By comparison, Marcos Ocean the total San Diego industrial market is 188.3 million square feet. North County represents 27% of the total. Year-end 2011 North County vacancy was 10.9%. The vacancy rate is improving as 566,762 SF of positive net absorption occurred. The following table MARKET INDICATORS summarizes the inventory and vacancy in the market: Q4 Q1 2011 2012 (forecast) Submarket Buildings Total Inventory Vacant SF Vacancy Rate VACANCY Carlsbad 485 15,011,955 2,116,686 14.10% Escondido 637 7,183,097 445,352 6.20% NET ABSORPTION Oceanside 396 8,038,044 1,374,506 17.10% CONSTRUCTION San Marcos 489 8,703,364 617,939 7.10% RENTAL RATE Vista 530 13,373,882 1,150,154 8.60% Total 2,537 52,310,342 5,701,827 10.90% LEASE CONCESSIONS North San Diego County is well known for its highly skilled labor force, excellent transportation network, pro-growth business environment, signi cant Federal Government presence, desirable vacation destination and abundant employee housing. INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES The North San Diego County industrial market is home to a diversi ed mix of users Q4 2011 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES including defense, telecommunications, software, medical manufacturing, golf and leisure CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q4 2011 sports, life science and technology rms. Corporate neighbors include: Carlsbad 14.1% Escondido 6.2% Coca-Cola Isis Pharmaceuticals DJO Inc. Medtronic Life Technologies Linear Oceanside 17.1% Titleist Golf Puma Golf Killion Industries San Marcos 7.1% ViaSat TaylorMade Golf Jeld-Wen Windows and Doors Vista 8.6% Covidien Denso Wireless Sumitomo Electric North County 10.9% Abbott Labs U.S. Foodservice McCain Inc. Genentech Philips Respironics Directed Electronics 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Callaway Golf Thomson Reuters GIA L-3 Communications Rockwell Collins Hunter Industries SAIC John Deere Watkins Manufacturing OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 3. AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | NORTH COUNTY ACTIVITY Big tenants made a positive impact in 2011. NORTH COUNTY HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS The bulk of the year’s absorption can be traced to tenants such as: BREG (88K), Zodiac 1,500 14% (104K), John Deere (76K) SKLZ (150K), 12% 1,000 DJO (53K), PrAna (64K), Allied Swiss (63K) 10% and Teamwork (40K). This demand from Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 500 8% corporate tenants helped 2011 post 566,000 square feet of net absorption, which is well 0 6% above the 5-year moving average of 104,000 4% square feet. Vacancy declined slightly to -500 2% 10.9% at the end of 2011 versus 11.22% at the end of 2010. -1,000 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Owner-users and investors cautiously Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy entered the market during 2011, which led to inconsistent sales activity. First quarter showed promising signs in terms of activity, however the balance of the year was sparse and Q4 nished with only one sale above 15,000 square feet. The most active size segment for owner-users was 15,000-35,000 square feet. These owner-users were able to take advantage of low interest rates (4.0-5.0% during 2011) and sale prices between $75-100/SF. Investors were also buying in the same price range with following notable transactions: LBA purchased 237,000 square feet in the Carlsbad Research Center as part of a sale leaseback to Callaway Golf, Peregrine bought 127,000 square feet of multi-tenant space in Carlsbad, Alliance Partners purchased 200,000 square feet in Oceanside and Bixby Land Company bought the 170,000 square foot Palomar Oaks Technology Park. FORECAST We anticipate the North County industrial market to perform similarly to how it did in 2011. This means lease rates will remain stable across product types and sizes, while North County vacancy could shed another 100- 125 basis points. Consequently, we should continue to see a reduction in supply throughout 2012, as there is no additional industrial product under construction. As demand improves, the result will be an increase in lease rates and fewer tenant concessions. The improving economy and limited product in North County should result in a slight increase in real estate prices in 2012, and a modest increase in property sales. Further supporting this trend is the Lenders willingness to modify and extend problem loans, which has signi cantly limited the amount of distressed properties in the market. We will continue to see investment dollars waiting for lender controlled properties, as well as Sellers that are in a relatively healthy position, continuing to wait for the eventual Buyer. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 4. Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL CARLSBAD AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW Carlsbad rebounded from a negative 3Q 2011 and nished the year on a positive note by posting 93,000 square feet of absorption in 4Q 2011. However, the overall statistics for 2011 reveal a fairly at year with a modest 18,615 square feet of positive absorption. Oceanside Compared to one year ago the overall vacancy rate for Industrial/R&D increased by one Vista percentage point to 14.14%. Despite having a higher overall vacancy rate (15.37% versus 12.81%), R&D product vastly outperformed Industrial in 2011 by posting a positive gain San of 214,000 square feet versus 195,717 square feet of negative absorption. The only Carlsbad Marcos new construction delivered in 2011 was the 176,000 SF BTS for Isis Pharmaceuticals at Ocean Carlsbad Oaks North. ACTIVITY MARKET INDICATORS For the second straight quarter the 15,000 to 25,000 square foot segment of the R&D Q4 Q1 market led the charge in terms of leasing activity with ve transactions during 4Q 2011. 2011 2012 (forecast) The largest lease deal of the quarter, and the year for that matter, was the 150,000 SF VACANCY sublease to SKLZ at 2081 Faraday Avenue. The sublessor was Callaway Golf and the sublease expires in November 2017. SKLZ will be relocating and expanding from their NET ABSORPTION current facility in Carlsbad and will use the building primarily for distribution. The only sale transaction in 4Q was an investment sale between Bixby Land Company and Arden CONSTRUCTION Realty. Bixby purchased the 170,915 square foot Palomar Oaks Technology Park for a RENTAL RATE blended rate of $92.44/SF. The project was approximately 50% leased at the time of the sale and consists of ve R&D properties valued at $75.00/SF and one o ce property at LEASE CONCESSIONS $133.00/SF. FORECAST INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA With no new product proposed Q4 2011 700 16% or planned during 2012 the 600 14% market should begin to correct 500 12% INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES itself and vacancy rates are Q4 2011 400 10% CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Rental expected to decrease. Vacancy Rate SF (000s) INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES 300 VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS 8% Q4 2011 rates for the most part have 200 6% Carlsbad Carlsbad 14.1% leveled o after a prolonged 100 4% Escondido 6.2% decline. Sale prices for the 0 2% limited amount of investment Oceanside -100 0% 17.1% product are still well below 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 San Marcos 7.1% replacement cost and the Vista 8.6% occasional bank owned Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy properties have provided North County 10.9% opportunistic owner users a rare chance to buy at a signiMARKETdiscount. These low OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL cant TRENDS SAN 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% prices for lender controlled properties have created a large disparity between distressed and traditional pricing expectations. Sellers that are in a relatively healthy position have been somewhat frustrated by this disconnect which has engendered stagnation in the market. OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 5. El C am ino AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | CARLSBAD Ave Rea more l Syca Carlsbad Oaks North Busines s P Whiptail Loop us es s a Carlsbad Research Dr se Center r rk lro r D Me Faraday Ave F Fa rad ay Av e El F Carlsbad ue Oaks Carlsbad rte t Raceway S El L t t Ca oke mi er A Lio no nshead he Ave Re R v ve sings al a bad Palom urse ar A irpo rt Rd Blvd ge Colle McClellan Palomar Palomar Gateway Rd Forum Carlsbad Airport Airport Bressi Center 7 d Ranch tR or rp Ai ar m alo P Me elr os o eD r r Ave ttia E El F Palomar Airport nse Poi Business Park uer u te S t t t Rd Alga El Ca mi TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q4 2011 no Re e Av al a SALES ACTIVITY La Costa Resort Av & Spa iara Pk # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS wy BUYER TYPE SIZE SF SALE PRICE PRICE/SF Park Hyatt 1 Aviara Resort Palomar Oaks Technology Park Investor 170,915 $15,800,000 $92.44 LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE SF TERM EFF RATE/SF 2 2081 Faraday Avenue SKLZ 150,159 69 months $0.60 NNN 3 2721 Loker Avenue Blue Earth, Inc. 20,329 72 months $1.03 NNN 4 1890 Rutherford Road Genoptix, Inc. 20,108 38 months $1.81 NNN 5 1905 Aston Avenue Ryderz Compound, LLC 19,794 52 months $0.87 NNN 6 1815 Aston Avenue JetHead Development, Inc. 17,776 36 months $1.29 MG 7 6197 El Camino Real ViaSat, Inc. 15,303 62 months $0.97 NNN This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 6. Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL ESCONDIDO AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW Escondido closed 2011 with the lowest vacancy rate of any city in North San Diego County. Year end direct vacancy was 6.0%. The good news continued with positive net absorption for both the fourth quarter and the year. The fourth quarter ended with 25,184 Oceanside Vista SF of positive net absorption which delivered a year -end total of 128,536 SF. There is no new industrial building or ex construction underway at this time. The new Palomar Medical Center under construction on a 56 acre site in the Escondido Research and San Escondido Carlsbad Marcos Technology Center continues to take shape with a target opening of summer 2102. Ocean ACTIVITY Transaction activity in Escondido the past quarter was limited to one mid-size lease for MARKET INDICATORS the market, two sales and several smaller lease deals. VIT Products leased 26,664 SF at Q4 Q1 2344 Auto Park Way taking down a building that had been empty for over 2 years. There 2011 2012 (forecast) was an REO sale of an 11,264SF building at 1250 Industrial Avenue for $84 SF. The other sale was for a 10,120 SF building at 1200 Simpson Way for $130 SF. A handful of smaller VACANCY multi-tenant leases from 1,000 to 3,000 SF were completed to end 2011 on a good note. NET ABSORPTION FORECAST CONSTRUCTION The road ahead is bright for Escondido. With a healthy vacancy rate of just 6% there will be upward pressure on rental rates and sale prices in 2012. The economy is showing RENTAL RATE signs of recovery and increases in employment will drive demand for industrial space. LEASE CONCESSIONS One of our clients is tentatively planning on breaking ground on a new speculative, for lease industrial project in Escondido which is something we have not seen for several years. ESCONDIDO HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS NORTH COUNTY NET ABSOR INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES Q4 2011 300 10% INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q4 2011 9% 200 Carlsbad 8% 14.1% 100 7% 5-Yr. Avg. = 104,2 Escondido Escondido 6.2% Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 6% 0 Oceanside 17.1% 5% -100 4% San Marcos 7.1% -200 3% Vista 8.6% 2% -300 1% North County 10.9% -400 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS NORTH COUNTY HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 7. AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | ESCONDIDO oad hl R rda No Myers Avenue 78 Mo ntie l Rd Esc ond o Country Club Dr Cen ido nter oA Quin ve City ince Mis Par sion nue ak St S Roa Ave ion way d Miss R Roc y kS Spr ings sR d Au ve to nue Ave Dri Pa ton rk Wa hing Was en y eas ndr NA Sim Palomar pso nW Pomerado ay Hospital Ind ust ri a Cit l i Escondido Av rac e St Research Tul ip ado & Tech Center Pk wy ue ven le A Ha Escondido N. Auto Park e riv D en eas ndr SA ay Auto P kw ark Par W ay ley Val Ent erp rise St A 9th TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q4 2011 SALES ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS BUYER TYPE SIZE SF SALE PRICE PRICE/SF 1 1250 Industrial Avenue User 11,264 $950,000 $84.34 2 1200 Simpson Way User 10,120 $1,316,500 $130.09 LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE SF TERM EFF RATE/SF 3 2344 Auto Park Way VIT Products 26,664 48 months $0.47 Gross This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 8. Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL OCEANSIDE AT A GLANCE INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA Q4 2011 OVERVIEW While Oceanside still maintains the highest vacancy rate in North County at 17.1%, 175,000 square feet of positive net absorption during 2011 demonstrates that large corporations continue to relocate to Oceanside. They are taking advantage of attractive Oceanside rental rates and the high corporate image that Oceanside o ers. Vista With 25 buildings in excess of 15,000 SF currently available, landlords are aggressively San pursuing users in the market and looking for ways to di erentiate their real estate from Carlsbad Marcos the competition. Ocean ACTIVITY There were no building sales OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN M MARKET INDICATORS larger than 15,000 SF during 800 20% Q4 2011 Q1 2012 (forecast) the fourth quarter. There 18% 600 were 5 buildings sold in the 16% VACANCY quarter less than 15,000 SF. 400 14% Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 12% Land activity is bolstered by 200 10% NET ABSORPTION U.S. Food Service, which is 8% 0 planning to close escrow on 6% CONSTRUCTION 4% 29 acres in Ocean Ranch in -200 2% RENTAL RATE February 2012. They plan on -400 0% holding the land for the next 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 LEASE CONCESSIONS 3-5 years before constructing Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy a 400,000 – 500,000 SF build-to-suit. Lease transaction activity was relatively slow. A signi cant surge came late in the quarter from Solar Gard, proving to be Oceanside’s most signi cant new lease INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES transaction completed. Solar Gard which is a subsidiary of Saint Gobain leased 35,463 Q4 2011 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICALve years at 1865 Ord Way in the Prescott Industrial Park. They plan to utilize SF for MARKET TRENDS VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q4 2011 the manufacturing facility as an expansion for their automotive window lm business. Carlsbad 14.1% Occupancy is contingent upon a conditional use permit through the city that is expected to Escondido 6.2% occur early rst quarter of 2012. Oceanside Oceanside 17.1% FORECAST San Marcos 7.1% Oceanside has started the year strongly with two notable rst quarter 2012 transactions. Vista 8.6% La Cantina Doors recently leased 66,780 SF for 5 years at 2817 Ocean Ranch Blvd in the La Paci ca Business Park. Brixton, Ltd has leased 22,666 SF for 3 years at 1340 Rocky North County 10.9% Point Drive in the Paci c Coast Business Park. This has created a positive buzz within 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% the business community. We expect leasing to double in the rst quarter of 2012 with 3 signi cant companies exploring Oceanside’s opportunities at this time. OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 9. AT A GLANCE | Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL | OCEANSIDE Co ll lleg eB Blv d Ol Dr d Gr sa ov Me e Ro a d Te m pl e He iig ht ts e Av Dr rth Paci c Coast No Business Park d Blv n ch Ra ean Oc Oceanside Ocean Gateway Ranch Av Ocean Ranch en Plaza Retail ida i De Ran lO Avenida De La Plata El Corazon r ro c cho Del r Rancho rD Del Oro Oro Dr nte ro Ce te ra po Cor Oceanside Blvd Sprinter Light Rail Line TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q3 2011 SALES ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS BUYER TYPE SIZE SF SALE PRICE PRICE/SF There were no buildings sales larger than 15,000SF during Q4 LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE SF TERM EFF RATE 1 2817 Ocean Ranch Boulevard La Cantina Doors 66,780 60 months $0.55/NNN 2 1865 Ord Way Solar Gard - Saint Gobain 35,463 60 months $0.54/NNN 3 1340 Rocky Point Drive Brixton 22,666 36 months $0.59/G This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS, TUCKER HOHENSTEIN International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party MIKE ERWIN, MIKE BENCH 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 10. Q4 2011 | INDUSTRIAL SAN MARCOS AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW The San Marcos industrial market continues to improve as Q4 followed the positive trends of Q3, which included more companies leasing space, resulting in additional positive absorption and an overall reduction in vacancy. Vacancy decreased from 8.9% to 7.10% Oceanside between Q3 and Q4, and year-end absorption was a positive 103,417 square feet. Vista San Escondido Marcos ACTIVITY Carlsbad Ocean Leasing activity mainly consisted of small tenants in multi-tenant parks and a few notable transactions such as Crescent Electric’s 30,000 square foot lease at 295 Distribution Street. Crescent Electric Supply Company is one of the largest independent distributors MARKET INDICATORS of electrical hardware and supplies in the U.S. Based in East Dubuque, Illinois, Crescent Electric has 120 distribution facilities in 27 states. Another notable lease transaction was Q4 AD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q1 VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS 2011 2012 (forecast) the approximately 16,000 square foot lease by Piercan USA, Inc., which is a latex glove company with headquarters in Paris, France and San Marcos, California. VACANCY There were limited sales during the Q4, mainly smaller buildings under 10,000 square feet. NET ABSORPTION Prices maintained its recent levels at approximately $90 - $120/SF. CONSTRUCTION RENTAL RATE FORECAST We should continue to see a reduction in supply throughout 2012 as there is no additional LEASE CONCESSIONS industrial product under construction, combined with the City’s elimination of some industrial zoned real estate. We also expect an uptick in demand as overall improvement in local consumer con dence continues to absorb available product. INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES DE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q4 2011 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS 300 VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS 9% Q4 2011 8% Carlsbad 14.1% 200 7% Escondido 6.2% 100 6% Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 5% Oceanside 17.1% 0 4% San Marcos San Marcos 7.1% -100 3% Vista 8.6% 2% -200 1% North County 10.9% -300 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad