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Improving exam
 technique and
getting the A* in
     your A2
   Economics
      Exams
Task: Analysis and Evaluation

1.Analysis: Explain why inflation rates may differ
  between countries.
2.Evaluation: Evaluate the view that low
  inflation should no longer be the top priority
  for macroeconomic policy
Building an Essay Answer
                      Crisp & accurate
                         definitions


                       1 key point per
                          paragraph
                              +
                   Supporting examples /
                    evidence / diagrams
                    +evaluate as you go



                   Evaluative conclusions
Analysis: Explain why inflation rates may differ
        between countries (15 marks)

                   • 20 minutes for this question
                   • Start with clear and brief
                     definition of inflation
                   • This is a question about
                     causation
                   • You may have time to develop
                     (briefly) only three or four
                     points
                   • Support with AD/AS analysis
                   • Apply with examples / evidence
Definition of inflation

• Sustained increase in the aggregate or general
  price level of the economy.
• Weighted basket of goods and services
• UK (CPI) target inflation of 2%, +- 1%
• Quote data from the exam source / extract –
  easy marks, often missed by students
CPI inflation for selected countries
Annual inflation rates
Explaining differences in inflation

Short term causes
1.Strength of growth / “demand-pull” factors
2.Asset price inflation feeding into wealth –
  domestic demand – prices
3.Changes in commodity prices (e.g. oil, gas and
  food-stuffs)
4.Changes in the exchange rate (changes in
  import prices)
Explaining differences in inflation

Medium term causes
1. Productivity (affects unit labour costs)
2. Intensity of domestic & external competition
3. Differences in inflation expectations (affects
   wage demands, NAIRU et al)
4. Credibility/success of monetary and fiscal
   policies in managing AD / boosting LRAS
Evaluate the view that low inflation
 should no longer be the number
  one priority for macroeconomic
         policy (25 marks)
 You have around 40 minutes for this
        evaluation question
Consider using a writing frame in your revision
Knowledge     Be clear what low inflation means
              Price stability – low inflation of 1-4% per year
              Briefly explain why inflation control has been seen as a key
              macro policy objective
                  –Business confidence and investment spending
                  –Competitiveness and trade performance (X-M)
                  –Avoiding economic/social costs of high inflation
                  –Seen as a pre-condition for achieving other objectives
 Analysis     Point 1            Point 2                Point 3
              Diagram            Diagram                Diagram
Application   Application to     Application to         Application to context 3
              context 1          context 2
Evaluation    Evaluation 1       Evaluation 2           Concluding paragraph
                                                        with balanced conclusion
Is it time to change the inflation target?
Is it time for a change of policy objective?

• Current economic crisis
  1. Inflation less of a priority
     •   Plenty of spare capacity
     •   Businesses have little pricing power
     •   Workers have weak bargaining power
  2. Avoiding depression and price deflation
  3. Avoiding the damaging effects of high
     unemployment
  4. High levels of consumer & govt debt
  5. Is there a case for allowing higher inflation?
Low inflation should no longer be the number
    one priority for macroeconomic policy
Knowledge


 Analysis     Inflation less of a priority given the big picture.
              Lots of spare capacity. Lots of competition,
              little wage bargaining power for workers.
Application   Growth figures
              Unemployment



Evaluation
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
W
E
E
S
T
E
P
S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments

E
E
S
T
E
P
S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments
    Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less
E   efficient allocation of resources?

E
S
T
E
P
S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments
    Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less
E   efficient allocation of resources?
    Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less
E   than others?

S
T
E
P
S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments
    Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less
E   efficient allocation of resources?
    Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less
E   than others?
    Scope – How many people are affected by the
S   point? Is it wide reaching or narrow?

T
E
P
S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments
    Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less
E   efficient allocation of resources?
    Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less
E   than others
    Scope – How many people are affected by the
S   point? Is it wide reaching or narrow?
    Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both?
T
E
P
S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments
    Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less
E   efficient allocation of resources?
    Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less
E   than others
    Scope – How many people are affected by the
S   point? Is it wide reaching or narrow?
    Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both?
T
    Effectiveness – does it solve the issue that it
E   was intended to solve?

P
S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments
    Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less
E   efficient allocation of resources?
    Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less
E   than others
    Scope – How many people are affected by the
S   point? Is it wide reaching or narrow?
    Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both?
T
    Effectiveness – does it solve the issue that it
E   was intended to solve?
    Prioritisation – which of your points is the
P   strongest and why. Be specific about the
    context of the question

S
WEE STEPS to Evaluation
    Wider context – consider the bigger picture
W   and use it to weight your arguments
    Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less
E   efficient allocation of resources?
    Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less
E   than others
    Scope – How many people are affected by the
S   point? Is it wide reaching or narrow?
    Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both?
T
    Effectiveness – does it solve the issue that it
E   was intended to solve?
    Prioritisation – which of your points is the
P   strongest and why. Be specific about the
    context of the question
    Scale or Magnitude – where people are
S   affected how strong is the impact?
Low inflation should no longer be the number
    one priority for macroeconomic policy
Knowledge


 Analysis     Inflation less of a priority given the big picture.
              Lots of spare capacity. Lots of competition,
              little wage bargaining power for workers.
Application   Growth figures
              Unemployment



Evaluation    Time scale – right now the change may be
              sensible, but if we come away from an
              inflation target what may happen in the long
              run? Investment? Stability? We still have cost-
              push inflation danger!
Consider using a writing frame in your revision
Knowledge


 Analysis     Avoiding depression and price deflation.
              Deflation and its costs –Downwards demand spiral.
                   Increasing size of real debt, damage to savings.
Application   Japanese growth 1990’s.
              Diagram showing negative multiplier/accelerator.



Evaluation    Wider context – How significant a threat is there of
              deflation in the economy today? Confidence rising,
              growth rate returning. Is there not a greater risk
              that avoiding deflation will allow inflation to get out
              of control. Don’t we already target deflation? We
              still have cost-push inflation!
Consider using a writing frame in your revision
Knowledge


 Analysis     Target should be debt reduction. Debt means
              increased tax, decreased investment, decreased
              consumption. Increased cost of borrowing.
Application   Government debt at 62% and predicted to rise.
              Danger to credit rating. Cite Greece with debt over
              110% and junk bond rating. AD & LRAS analysis
              diagram showing shifts inwards in both due to lack
              of investment and government spending.
Evaluation
Consider using a writing frame in your revision
Knowledge


 Analysis     Target should be debt reduction. Debt means
              increased tax, decreased investment, decreased
              consumption. Increased cost of borrowing.
Application   Government debt at 62% and predicted to rise.
              Danger to credit rating. Cite Greece with debt over
              110% and junk bond rating. AD & LRAS analysis
              diagram showing shifts inwards in both due to lack
              of investment and government spending.
Evaluation    Prioritisation – Recognition that short-term risks of
              spiralling debt may outweigh cost of inflation,
              inflation also reduces debt in real terms. Perhaps
              medium term inflation is a better objective.
Good evaluation phrases to use

•   However
•   Hence
•   Nevertheless
•   Although
•   It is likely that
•   The tendency is
•   But
•   In retrospect
Good evaluation phrases to use

               • With the benefit of
                 hindsight
               • On the other hand
               • In the short run ……..
                 but in the long run
               • It depends upon
               • The data suggest that
               • According to the
                 extract
Eight wee steps to great evaluation
W   Wider context
E   Efficiency
E   Equality
S   Scope
T   Time
E   Effectiveness
P   Prioritisation
S   Scale or Magnitude
Tutor2u
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A2 Economics Exam Technique - Weesteps to Evaluation

  • 1. Improving exam technique and getting the A* in your A2 Economics Exams
  • 2. Task: Analysis and Evaluation 1.Analysis: Explain why inflation rates may differ between countries. 2.Evaluation: Evaluate the view that low inflation should no longer be the top priority for macroeconomic policy
  • 3. Building an Essay Answer Crisp & accurate definitions 1 key point per paragraph + Supporting examples / evidence / diagrams +evaluate as you go Evaluative conclusions
  • 4. Analysis: Explain why inflation rates may differ between countries (15 marks) • 20 minutes for this question • Start with clear and brief definition of inflation • This is a question about causation • You may have time to develop (briefly) only three or four points • Support with AD/AS analysis • Apply with examples / evidence
  • 5. Definition of inflation • Sustained increase in the aggregate or general price level of the economy. • Weighted basket of goods and services • UK (CPI) target inflation of 2%, +- 1% • Quote data from the exam source / extract – easy marks, often missed by students
  • 6. CPI inflation for selected countries
  • 8. Explaining differences in inflation Short term causes 1.Strength of growth / “demand-pull” factors 2.Asset price inflation feeding into wealth – domestic demand – prices 3.Changes in commodity prices (e.g. oil, gas and food-stuffs) 4.Changes in the exchange rate (changes in import prices)
  • 9. Explaining differences in inflation Medium term causes 1. Productivity (affects unit labour costs) 2. Intensity of domestic & external competition 3. Differences in inflation expectations (affects wage demands, NAIRU et al) 4. Credibility/success of monetary and fiscal policies in managing AD / boosting LRAS
  • 10. Evaluate the view that low inflation should no longer be the number one priority for macroeconomic policy (25 marks) You have around 40 minutes for this evaluation question
  • 11. Consider using a writing frame in your revision Knowledge Be clear what low inflation means Price stability – low inflation of 1-4% per year Briefly explain why inflation control has been seen as a key macro policy objective –Business confidence and investment spending –Competitiveness and trade performance (X-M) –Avoiding economic/social costs of high inflation –Seen as a pre-condition for achieving other objectives Analysis Point 1 Point 2 Point 3 Diagram Diagram Diagram Application Application to Application to Application to context 3 context 1 context 2 Evaluation Evaluation 1 Evaluation 2 Concluding paragraph with balanced conclusion
  • 12. Is it time to change the inflation target?
  • 13. Is it time for a change of policy objective? • Current economic crisis 1. Inflation less of a priority • Plenty of spare capacity • Businesses have little pricing power • Workers have weak bargaining power 2. Avoiding depression and price deflation 3. Avoiding the damaging effects of high unemployment 4. High levels of consumer & govt debt 5. Is there a case for allowing higher inflation?
  • 14. Low inflation should no longer be the number one priority for macroeconomic policy Knowledge Analysis Inflation less of a priority given the big picture. Lots of spare capacity. Lots of competition, little wage bargaining power for workers. Application Growth figures Unemployment Evaluation
  • 15. WEE STEPS to Evaluation W E E S T E P S
  • 16. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments E E S T E P S
  • 17. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less E efficient allocation of resources? E S T E P S
  • 18. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less E efficient allocation of resources? Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less E than others? S T E P S
  • 19. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less E efficient allocation of resources? Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less E than others? Scope – How many people are affected by the S point? Is it wide reaching or narrow? T E P S
  • 20. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less E efficient allocation of resources? Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less E than others Scope – How many people are affected by the S point? Is it wide reaching or narrow? Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both? T E P S
  • 21. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less E efficient allocation of resources? Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less E than others Scope – How many people are affected by the S point? Is it wide reaching or narrow? Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both? T Effectiveness – does it solve the issue that it E was intended to solve? P S
  • 22. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less E efficient allocation of resources? Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less E than others Scope – How many people are affected by the S point? Is it wide reaching or narrow? Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both? T Effectiveness – does it solve the issue that it E was intended to solve? Prioritisation – which of your points is the P strongest and why. Be specific about the context of the question S
  • 23. WEE STEPS to Evaluation Wider context – consider the bigger picture W and use it to weight your arguments Efficiency – Does this achieve a more/less E efficient allocation of resources? Equality – Do some parties benefit more/less E than others Scope – How many people are affected by the S point? Is it wide reaching or narrow? Time – How long will it last, SR or LR or both? T Effectiveness – does it solve the issue that it E was intended to solve? Prioritisation – which of your points is the P strongest and why. Be specific about the context of the question Scale or Magnitude – where people are S affected how strong is the impact?
  • 24. Low inflation should no longer be the number one priority for macroeconomic policy Knowledge Analysis Inflation less of a priority given the big picture. Lots of spare capacity. Lots of competition, little wage bargaining power for workers. Application Growth figures Unemployment Evaluation Time scale – right now the change may be sensible, but if we come away from an inflation target what may happen in the long run? Investment? Stability? We still have cost- push inflation danger!
  • 25. Consider using a writing frame in your revision Knowledge Analysis Avoiding depression and price deflation. Deflation and its costs –Downwards demand spiral. Increasing size of real debt, damage to savings. Application Japanese growth 1990’s. Diagram showing negative multiplier/accelerator. Evaluation Wider context – How significant a threat is there of deflation in the economy today? Confidence rising, growth rate returning. Is there not a greater risk that avoiding deflation will allow inflation to get out of control. Don’t we already target deflation? We still have cost-push inflation!
  • 26. Consider using a writing frame in your revision Knowledge Analysis Target should be debt reduction. Debt means increased tax, decreased investment, decreased consumption. Increased cost of borrowing. Application Government debt at 62% and predicted to rise. Danger to credit rating. Cite Greece with debt over 110% and junk bond rating. AD & LRAS analysis diagram showing shifts inwards in both due to lack of investment and government spending. Evaluation
  • 27. Consider using a writing frame in your revision Knowledge Analysis Target should be debt reduction. Debt means increased tax, decreased investment, decreased consumption. Increased cost of borrowing. Application Government debt at 62% and predicted to rise. Danger to credit rating. Cite Greece with debt over 110% and junk bond rating. AD & LRAS analysis diagram showing shifts inwards in both due to lack of investment and government spending. Evaluation Prioritisation – Recognition that short-term risks of spiralling debt may outweigh cost of inflation, inflation also reduces debt in real terms. Perhaps medium term inflation is a better objective.
  • 28. Good evaluation phrases to use • However • Hence • Nevertheless • Although • It is likely that • The tendency is • But • In retrospect
  • 29. Good evaluation phrases to use • With the benefit of hindsight • On the other hand • In the short run …….. but in the long run • It depends upon • The data suggest that • According to the extract
  • 30. Eight wee steps to great evaluation W Wider context E Efficiency E Equality S Scope T Time E Effectiveness P Prioritisation S Scale or Magnitude
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