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Steven Tolson
Director Ogilvie Group, RICS

Design Skills Symposium 2011, Tollbooth, Stirling




                         “Delivering Better Places”
Delivering Better Places




        Investment Inputs
Citizens, Developers and the State

         Steven Tolson
Delivering Better Places in Scotland
• Delivering Better Places Summary
• The Place Promoter (Vauban Case Study)
• Consumer / Citizen Demand, Value,
  Development Viability and Investment
• A Delivery Model through Multi Developer
  Participation
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/336587/0110158.pdf
Place Quality is Important




         “Too much development in Scotland is a missed opportunity
                  and of mediocre or indifferent quality. “
Scottish Government’s Council of Economic Advisers, First Annual Report, 2008
Good Leadership
A Champion who Promotes and stays with the Project

                      • A leader drives the project,
                        breeds confidence, reduces risk &
                        widens participation

                      • A Place needs a passionate
                        promoter

                      • The Leader must galvanise
                        support and delivery

                      • The Leader must foster a place
                        making culture

                      • A Leader can not be a shrinking
                        violet
Co-ordinated Delivery
          Joined up working with NO SILOS
An orchestrated approach where interests are stitched together
Control the spatial development framework

                    A Master Plan is not just a
                    drawing with aspirational statements.

                    A Master Plan should be a proposition
                    that:

                    • market tests
                    • understands infrastructure
                      requirements
                    • development appraisals testing
                      viability (business case)
                    • delivery methodology.
Exercise ownership power
Participation rather than offloading due to fear of risk
Attract funding for advance
  infrastructure provision




Long Term Investment through 30 + year loans
Secure design quality through
          procurement strategies

• The State should lead and participate as well as promote.

• Making a Place is an Investment (create & manage asset)

• Delivery through multi developer participation not single
  entity

A multi developer approach speeds delivery, spreads
risk, creates a competitive environment and produces
variety that helps form a socially balanced community
I
J
B
U
R
G
Investment & Stewardship over time
                          • Asset
                            Management not
                            Development

                          • Cultivate place to
                            gain positive
                            reputation

                          • Good stewardship
                            helps enhance
                            value

Mains Estate, Milngavie
Pride in Place, Mains Estate, Milngavie
Developed by Lovell in 1990. Need sufficient funds to ensure good
  maintenance but good landscape should achieve good value.
Vauban

A New “Green” Community
       for Freiburg
Vauban - A new place in an Intelligent City
         helped by a Place Promoter

• Chief Planner, Professor Wulf Daseking a
  person with leadership qualities and vitality
  bringing influence in Freiburg.

• Daseking and team not only plan they deliver.

• Also strong political leadership allows focus on
  long term investment commitment
       Leaders are prepared to take RISKS
Simple Proposition for Freiburg
• Freiburg seeks to keep its people in its City.
• Freiburg leaks young people out of the City in search
  of affordable accommodation.
• Young people commute many kilometres between
  home and work. Bad for the city (congestion), bad
  for the planet (emissions), bad for social cohesion
  and bad for city prosperity.


    Can we do the same in Scotland?
Going home for Lunch in Vauban
In Freiburg 24% walk 28% bike, 20% drive and 18% by bus or tram
Individual Houses in Vauban
Variety of shapes and sizes. Not outstanding architecture but it doesn’t matter
Vauban Resident’s Car Parking
No parking by house with resident Car Parking on the edge of
     Vauban – Allowed 20 mins to unload by front door
Sustainable Housing producing more energy than used
Market in the
 Square Vauban


    Place managed by
Vauban Forum Community
with Freiburg Municipality.


 A Mixed Use Place with
Housing, Education, Retail,
        & Offices.
Consumer, Developer and the State
                             Plot
                           Purchase
 Developer                   / Tax
                                           State



                              Place
                          Infrastructure
Property
Purchase



              Citizen /
             Customer                      Tax
The Place Network
       Priorities, Risk and Value
The Key Players

• Citizen / Consumer – Long Term Investor
• Developer & Funders – Short Term Investor
• State – Long Term Investor
3 Key Values of the Citizen / Consumer

Dominant Group
Comfort, Convenience and Familiarity

Subordinate Group
Opposite values to Dominant Group
House Builder’s Motivations
Tried and tested product that:
1. Is familiar and known to sell
2. Is built with relative ease
3. Gets quick statutory consents
4. Has cost price certainty once above DPC level.
5. Is programmed and managed efficiently
6. Minimises RISK
    House Builders satisfy the Dominant Group’s
   Values of Comfort, Convenience and Familiarity
Specialist [Creative] Developer
Bespoke product that is:
1. Different (less familiar) and value less obvious
2. More complex to design and build
3. More difficult to get statutory consents
4. Less cost certainty
5. More challenging to manage work in progress
6. Carries more RISK and UNCERTAINTY
A Specialist Developer’s core customers are likely to
            be from the Subordinate Group.
Some Issues for Good Quality Urban Development

• Need clients who appreciate good design and are
  “informed”. It’s not just about the designer.
• Urban site characteristics need a design solution that
  fits (none standard). Therefore, non volume
  developer has greater opportunity to be competitive
• However, specialist developer find it more difficult to
  access funds so development scale limited to equity
  input
• Public project procurement barriers due to process
  and evaluation favours financial strength of
  corporate entity (risk aversion).
The Burrell Company
Edinburgh Projects that
     fit the Place
Valuation and Funding
• Mortgage for purchase of completed dwelling
• Development Project Funding
Level of Funding based on Loan to Value (LTV)
Mortgage 70%-90% (if you are lucky)
Development Funding 60%-70%

   Loan on value not on price. Therefore the
      Valuer has an important role to play
Valuation Approach
• Two valuation elements
   - Occupier Functionality
   - Investment Value
• Value of Good Design
   - “Few people treat housing as a work of art” It is a
     luxury that most can’t afford”.
   - Premium for Design is possible but only if purchaser
     is convinced they will get their money back
   - Premiums more likely where there is “intelligent”
     design such as green sustainable housing where
     there are energy savings benefits
  Valuers don’t value it if the People don’t value it!
The Valuation of a Place
• What is the ownership interest(s)?
• Single interests – shopping mall etc. Value
  based on an investment method –
  capitalisation of a net rental income.
• Multi interests –Value based on summation of
  investments (landlord and tenant) and owner
  occupation value.
• Values of individual assets strongly influenced
  by Place reputation
Better Places in Multi Ownership?
• Single Ownership with good estate management
  practices – London estates
• Long term Places in Multi Ownership. Quality
  depends on multi owners coming together to
  establish and care for the Place. But State has
  reduced its role and self help approach is variable.
  (note self help is not “convenient”).
• Possible collective benefit from Place Leasehold
  arrangement
Good Reputation = Good Value
• Good Places are not about style but substance
• Good Places take 20+ years to be recognised.
  Requires a combination of good physical
  design, people’s activity and interaction and
  collective caring for the Place.
• Valuers don’t think that good architecture
  represents higher values but they do
  recognise that a place’s reputation will be
  reflected in market demand and value.
 Place making design does have long term value
Lessons from Continental Europe
• More sociability with less concern over privacy.
• Continentals love their cars but also use public transport.
• State is active in making places, adopts a long term
  investment approach and takes risks.
• Planners have greater respect and are at the top table
• State limits the scale of developers participation. There
  is wider participation from individuals and small
  companies.
• Greater variety achieved giving consumer choice.
Familiarity
   A modern
application of a
  recognised
 housing form.
32no Town Houses
                                   12no Detached Houses
                                   Block 102m x 92m
                                   48 dwellings per hectare


Urban Housing Block of Town Houses and Detached
Based on Ijburg Typology
Hypothetical Development Appraisal for
  Infrastructure and Housing Development
Housing Development Serviced Land Valuation
32no Town Houses @ £200,000 (Parc URC @ £180k)             £6,400,000
12no Detached Houses @ £256,000                            £3,072,000
Gross Development Value                                    £9,472,000
Development Costs                                          £7,232,406
Site Value after fees & finance                            £1,962,255
                                                    (£44,597 per plot)
Infrastructure Development Valuation (non serviced land)
Gross Development Value                                    £1,962,255
Infrastructure Costs                                        £883,048
Site Value after fees & finance                             £999,671
                                                    (£22,720 per plot)
Cost of Quality
• Evidence from Exemplars suggest design
  quality cost around 20% more than
  conventional development costs.
• There is no evidence that developers can
  recover this additional cost therefore the
  impact is on land value.
• The perimeter block value based on 20%
  design cost premium reduces the land value
  from £1,962,000 to £21,000. (NIL VALUE)
Delivery through a Multi Developer Approach
• Europe - State is the Place Developer
• Scotland - public sector has assets but is risk averse
• Serviced sites sold to multi developers (volume, small
  builders, housing co-ops, associations and individuals for
  serviced plots)
• Greater range of dwellings creates healthy competition, quick
  delivery and a balanced community.
• Public sector has access to relatively long term finance
  whereas private sector has little equity and debt is difficult.
• Public sector needs to use its covenant strength and think
  about guarantees. Public sector needs to take more risks.
Agreements           Private Sector
 Public Sector                 Shareholders
                            Asset Management          Partner
      Partner            Development Management
                                   Loan              Developer
                               Construction




                             JV Place                Equity Cash Match
  Land Asset                                              for Assets
                             Developer
                                                          External
                                                        Private Debt
                                                           Funders

       Multi Developer Delivery Approach                Public Loans
            Development Agreements                           PWLB
                                                            Jessica
                                                           TIFS etc




Developer        Developer            Developer    Developer
   “A”              “B”                  “C”          “D”
Summary
• We need creative informed Leaders who can inspire a
  change of culture. These leaders should be at the Top
  Table of Decision Making
• Get clear and consistent joined up design policies.
• We need a switch to long term investment having faith
  that good place making will bring value in the end.
• Place makers need to have skills in economics and
  delivery
• We should refrain from talking about style and
  concentrate on the real ingredients of place; PEOPLE!
• We should not be frightened to take a risk
FURTHER
READING
 PLACE
 MAKING
DELIVERY


Urban Design in
the Real Estate
 Development
    Process

Steve Tiesdell
& David Adams

    Wiley –
   Blackwell
September 2011

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Steven Tolson - Investment Inputs: Citizens, Developers and the State

  • 1. Steven Tolson Director Ogilvie Group, RICS Design Skills Symposium 2011, Tollbooth, Stirling “Delivering Better Places”
  • 2. Delivering Better Places Investment Inputs Citizens, Developers and the State Steven Tolson
  • 3. Delivering Better Places in Scotland • Delivering Better Places Summary • The Place Promoter (Vauban Case Study) • Consumer / Citizen Demand, Value, Development Viability and Investment • A Delivery Model through Multi Developer Participation
  • 5. Place Quality is Important “Too much development in Scotland is a missed opportunity and of mediocre or indifferent quality. “ Scottish Government’s Council of Economic Advisers, First Annual Report, 2008
  • 6. Good Leadership A Champion who Promotes and stays with the Project • A leader drives the project, breeds confidence, reduces risk & widens participation • A Place needs a passionate promoter • The Leader must galvanise support and delivery • The Leader must foster a place making culture • A Leader can not be a shrinking violet
  • 7. Co-ordinated Delivery Joined up working with NO SILOS An orchestrated approach where interests are stitched together
  • 8. Control the spatial development framework A Master Plan is not just a drawing with aspirational statements. A Master Plan should be a proposition that: • market tests • understands infrastructure requirements • development appraisals testing viability (business case) • delivery methodology.
  • 9. Exercise ownership power Participation rather than offloading due to fear of risk
  • 10. Attract funding for advance infrastructure provision Long Term Investment through 30 + year loans
  • 11. Secure design quality through procurement strategies • The State should lead and participate as well as promote. • Making a Place is an Investment (create & manage asset) • Delivery through multi developer participation not single entity A multi developer approach speeds delivery, spreads risk, creates a competitive environment and produces variety that helps form a socially balanced community
  • 13. Investment & Stewardship over time • Asset Management not Development • Cultivate place to gain positive reputation • Good stewardship helps enhance value Mains Estate, Milngavie
  • 14. Pride in Place, Mains Estate, Milngavie Developed by Lovell in 1990. Need sufficient funds to ensure good maintenance but good landscape should achieve good value.
  • 15. Vauban A New “Green” Community for Freiburg
  • 16. Vauban - A new place in an Intelligent City helped by a Place Promoter • Chief Planner, Professor Wulf Daseking a person with leadership qualities and vitality bringing influence in Freiburg. • Daseking and team not only plan they deliver. • Also strong political leadership allows focus on long term investment commitment Leaders are prepared to take RISKS
  • 17. Simple Proposition for Freiburg • Freiburg seeks to keep its people in its City. • Freiburg leaks young people out of the City in search of affordable accommodation. • Young people commute many kilometres between home and work. Bad for the city (congestion), bad for the planet (emissions), bad for social cohesion and bad for city prosperity. Can we do the same in Scotland?
  • 18. Going home for Lunch in Vauban In Freiburg 24% walk 28% bike, 20% drive and 18% by bus or tram
  • 19. Individual Houses in Vauban Variety of shapes and sizes. Not outstanding architecture but it doesn’t matter
  • 20. Vauban Resident’s Car Parking No parking by house with resident Car Parking on the edge of Vauban – Allowed 20 mins to unload by front door
  • 21. Sustainable Housing producing more energy than used
  • 22. Market in the Square Vauban Place managed by Vauban Forum Community with Freiburg Municipality. A Mixed Use Place with Housing, Education, Retail, & Offices.
  • 23. Consumer, Developer and the State Plot Purchase Developer / Tax State Place Infrastructure Property Purchase Citizen / Customer Tax
  • 24. The Place Network Priorities, Risk and Value The Key Players • Citizen / Consumer – Long Term Investor • Developer & Funders – Short Term Investor • State – Long Term Investor
  • 25. 3 Key Values of the Citizen / Consumer Dominant Group Comfort, Convenience and Familiarity Subordinate Group Opposite values to Dominant Group
  • 26. House Builder’s Motivations Tried and tested product that: 1. Is familiar and known to sell 2. Is built with relative ease 3. Gets quick statutory consents 4. Has cost price certainty once above DPC level. 5. Is programmed and managed efficiently 6. Minimises RISK House Builders satisfy the Dominant Group’s Values of Comfort, Convenience and Familiarity
  • 27. Specialist [Creative] Developer Bespoke product that is: 1. Different (less familiar) and value less obvious 2. More complex to design and build 3. More difficult to get statutory consents 4. Less cost certainty 5. More challenging to manage work in progress 6. Carries more RISK and UNCERTAINTY A Specialist Developer’s core customers are likely to be from the Subordinate Group.
  • 28. Some Issues for Good Quality Urban Development • Need clients who appreciate good design and are “informed”. It’s not just about the designer. • Urban site characteristics need a design solution that fits (none standard). Therefore, non volume developer has greater opportunity to be competitive • However, specialist developer find it more difficult to access funds so development scale limited to equity input • Public project procurement barriers due to process and evaluation favours financial strength of corporate entity (risk aversion).
  • 29. The Burrell Company Edinburgh Projects that fit the Place
  • 30. Valuation and Funding • Mortgage for purchase of completed dwelling • Development Project Funding Level of Funding based on Loan to Value (LTV) Mortgage 70%-90% (if you are lucky) Development Funding 60%-70% Loan on value not on price. Therefore the Valuer has an important role to play
  • 31. Valuation Approach • Two valuation elements - Occupier Functionality - Investment Value • Value of Good Design - “Few people treat housing as a work of art” It is a luxury that most can’t afford”. - Premium for Design is possible but only if purchaser is convinced they will get their money back - Premiums more likely where there is “intelligent” design such as green sustainable housing where there are energy savings benefits Valuers don’t value it if the People don’t value it!
  • 32. The Valuation of a Place • What is the ownership interest(s)? • Single interests – shopping mall etc. Value based on an investment method – capitalisation of a net rental income. • Multi interests –Value based on summation of investments (landlord and tenant) and owner occupation value. • Values of individual assets strongly influenced by Place reputation
  • 33. Better Places in Multi Ownership? • Single Ownership with good estate management practices – London estates • Long term Places in Multi Ownership. Quality depends on multi owners coming together to establish and care for the Place. But State has reduced its role and self help approach is variable. (note self help is not “convenient”). • Possible collective benefit from Place Leasehold arrangement
  • 34. Good Reputation = Good Value • Good Places are not about style but substance • Good Places take 20+ years to be recognised. Requires a combination of good physical design, people’s activity and interaction and collective caring for the Place. • Valuers don’t think that good architecture represents higher values but they do recognise that a place’s reputation will be reflected in market demand and value. Place making design does have long term value
  • 35. Lessons from Continental Europe • More sociability with less concern over privacy. • Continentals love their cars but also use public transport. • State is active in making places, adopts a long term investment approach and takes risks. • Planners have greater respect and are at the top table • State limits the scale of developers participation. There is wider participation from individuals and small companies. • Greater variety achieved giving consumer choice.
  • 36.
  • 37. Familiarity A modern application of a recognised housing form.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. 32no Town Houses 12no Detached Houses Block 102m x 92m 48 dwellings per hectare Urban Housing Block of Town Houses and Detached Based on Ijburg Typology
  • 41. Hypothetical Development Appraisal for Infrastructure and Housing Development Housing Development Serviced Land Valuation 32no Town Houses @ £200,000 (Parc URC @ £180k) £6,400,000 12no Detached Houses @ £256,000 £3,072,000 Gross Development Value £9,472,000 Development Costs £7,232,406 Site Value after fees & finance £1,962,255 (£44,597 per plot) Infrastructure Development Valuation (non serviced land) Gross Development Value £1,962,255 Infrastructure Costs £883,048 Site Value after fees & finance £999,671 (£22,720 per plot)
  • 42. Cost of Quality • Evidence from Exemplars suggest design quality cost around 20% more than conventional development costs. • There is no evidence that developers can recover this additional cost therefore the impact is on land value. • The perimeter block value based on 20% design cost premium reduces the land value from £1,962,000 to £21,000. (NIL VALUE)
  • 43. Delivery through a Multi Developer Approach • Europe - State is the Place Developer • Scotland - public sector has assets but is risk averse • Serviced sites sold to multi developers (volume, small builders, housing co-ops, associations and individuals for serviced plots) • Greater range of dwellings creates healthy competition, quick delivery and a balanced community. • Public sector has access to relatively long term finance whereas private sector has little equity and debt is difficult. • Public sector needs to use its covenant strength and think about guarantees. Public sector needs to take more risks.
  • 44. Agreements Private Sector Public Sector Shareholders Asset Management Partner Partner Development Management Loan Developer Construction JV Place Equity Cash Match Land Asset for Assets Developer External Private Debt Funders Multi Developer Delivery Approach Public Loans Development Agreements PWLB Jessica TIFS etc Developer Developer Developer Developer “A” “B” “C” “D”
  • 45. Summary • We need creative informed Leaders who can inspire a change of culture. These leaders should be at the Top Table of Decision Making • Get clear and consistent joined up design policies. • We need a switch to long term investment having faith that good place making will bring value in the end. • Place makers need to have skills in economics and delivery • We should refrain from talking about style and concentrate on the real ingredients of place; PEOPLE! • We should not be frightened to take a risk
  • 46. FURTHER READING PLACE MAKING DELIVERY Urban Design in the Real Estate Development Process Steve Tiesdell & David Adams Wiley – Blackwell