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 Evolution and Future of TV




                                   Presenter: Vishal
Agenda

Background, Global TV - Shipments and Revenue

Evolution of TV, Emerging Platform

Evolution of IPTV, Triple Play

The Emergence of new TV platform services

Changing Landscape, Battle Across TV Landscape
Value Chain, Hybrid TV, IPTV in the Living Room
IPTV Architecture, Opportunity For Service Providers
Google vs Apple and Rest, Google TV Under The Hood

Status Today & Predictions - Gartner Hype Curve

Appendix - Emerging Trends and Standards
Background

Analog is Legacy - switch off is planned for the next decade around the world

Boom in Digital TV - terrestrial, cable, satellite, IPTV, in all forms

HDTV is becoming prevalent and technologies such as 3DTV and mobile TV are taking off

Shifting Consumer Behavior - access content wherever, whenever and on the device of their choice




* HDTV - Television with resolution substantially higher than traditional television systems
(standard-definition TV, or SDTV, or SD), usually with a resolution of at least 720P           Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Global TV - Shipments and Revenue, 2009-2010


6% increase in TV shipments,
will rise from 205m units in 2009
to 218m units in 2010

Avg. selling prices for all TV
technologies decreased 9% in
2009, the first year of declining
average prices since the flat
panel TV transition began.




                                            Source: Display Search, BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Global TV - Revenue Source


2009 saw a drop in total TV
revenues, with the global
economic crisis particularly
impacting on advertising
revenue

Subscription fees overtake
advertising revenue in
importance and with the
projected economic recovery.

TV industry to grow and hit total
revenues of $450.3bn in 2013




                                    Source: iDate, BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Evolution of TV

                    3D TV
       High
                                       Blu-ray           HD
                                                              HD On Demand
       Quality




                                                 DTT Pay TV     DVD




                                                  Mobile TV       VOD
                 Analog Broadcast TV
       Low




                                                                      VHS
                                                                                               Legend
                       Color Cinema & Sound
                                                                                              On Demand

                   Low            Choice/Convenience              High                         Broadcast

                                                                            Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Emerging Platform

Four Platforms:

• Terrestrial

• Satellite

• Cable

• IPTV




* Terrestrial - transmission on earth from one point to another that doesn't make use of satellites.
                                                                                                       Source: iDate, BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Emerging Trends and Standards
HDTV
• Moving from backlit LCD to LED & OLED, Kodak owns the patent, hampering the price and uptake
• 3 Formats – 720p, 1080i (HD ready), 1080p (full HD, true)
3DTV
• Success of Avatar and Alice in Wonderland is pushing Hollywood
• Delivers 2 separate stream of - one for Left eye, other for Right eye, requires a specliaised glass
• No Standards yet, though work is going on
IPTV
• Video stream encoded as a series of IP Packets, one programme sent at a time, requires a Set Top Box (STB)
• Uses multicasting (IGMP V2) for Live TV and Real Time Streaming Protocol for On Demand
• iTV - content distributed by via Web
Video On Demand (VOD)
• Offered over converged IP network, offers a highly interactive, customised „anytime‟ video experience
• most promising element of the multiplay service bundle, and can lead to an array of new, revenue-
  producing services for providers such as the marketing and selling of DVD, customised content
Mobile TV
• Video and voice content on a platform, capable of moving, provides personalised and interactive TV
• Digital Video Broadcasting(DVB -H) - for Handheld terminals, Terrestrial Digital Multimedia
  Broadcasting, Integrated Services Digital Broadcasting – Terrestrial
• Delivered via, 2-way cellular network – 3G (Unicast) or 1- way dedicated broadcast (Multicast)
* p – progressive scan, i - interlaced, used by analogue
                                                                                    Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Evolution of IPTV

                  Analog TV                     Digital TV                                 IPTV

                    ALL Live                 Themed channels,                     Any Time, Any where
Usage       Collective On The TV Set          Time shifted TV                        Any Terminal


                 Terminal - TV                                                 Pay TV network bypassed,
                                            Pay TV Networks,
Access        Network - Broadcast
                                           Multichannel providers
                                                                                direct channel/content
            Gatekeeper - TV Channel                                               owner relationship


                                                                                        Personal TV
Services          Broadcast TV             Multichannel TV, VOD
                                                                                         Social TV


                                         TV Channels Subscription
                                                                                  Program Advertising
Funding    Public Funding, Advertising   TV Package Subscription
                                                                                   Program Purchase
                                               Advertising

                                                                                  Content Right holders
 Key            Content Owners             Content Owners, Cable                 Device Manufacturers
Players      Broadcast TV Channels       Channels, Pay TV Networks               Search Engine (Google)
                                                                                    Social Networks
                                            Source: iDate Consulting & Research- Understanding The Digital World, 2009
IPTV

A viable platform for digital TV services - driven by telcos’ desire to deploy triple-play services in
order to reduce customer churn levels and boost ARPU

Internet enabled TV sets are expected to reach 93m units by 2013, compared with 14.9m in 2009

Companies are creating widgets to embed their services within connected TVs. Skype will be
embedding its service in a number of HDTVs

Consumer habit - evolved from passive consumption of TV to an interactive user experience

Global subscribers will grow 31% (CAGR), from 28m in 2009 to 83m in 2013

Internet video now accounts for approximately 1/3 of all consumer Internet traffic




                                                                                      Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Triple or Multiple Play




                            Internet
             Mobile,
                                        Games,
              Home
                                        Video on
           Surveillance
                                        Demand


                Telephony
                                   TV(Video)
                  (Voice)




                                               Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
Battle Across TV Landscape
                              Content Provider



                  Broadcast
                     Or            Studios
                    Cable                                      Youtube,
                                                               Facebook
                                               Hulu



                                                        Google,                 Computing
    Network    Telcos            Customers              Amazon,
     Power                                                                      Power
                                                        Microsoft



                                   TIVO

                                 Consumer
                                 Electronic
                                Manufacturer

                                Device Power          Source: Report 2010, TV Delivery Evolution, Alan Quayle
The Emergence of new TV platform services

 Right      TV      Content
                               Network           Terminal            EPG/OS             Consumer
holders   Channel   Packager




          New services providers
           managing the content




                                   Source: iDate Consulting & Research- Understanding The Digital World, 2009
Changing Landscape

    Right              TV      Content
                                           Network          Terminal            EPG/OS             Consumer
   holders           Channel   Packager

                                                          Advanced STB
                                                         to move into the
                                                           digital home
                                                         (T-Box, T-Hub)
Securing exclusive
     content
                                                          Gaining space
                                                          shelve on all
                                                           platforms
                                                          Controlling the
                                                            eco-system


                New competitors on the VOD market
                Theme channels challenged by OTT services
                Triple-play value proposition threatened
                Direct distribution of (non premium) programming by US majors
                Network congestion
                                              Source: iDate Consulting & Research - Understanding The Digital World, 2009
IPTV in Living Room

The traditional Pay Tv Set
Top Box is only one of the
many ways consumers can                                                                                            TV set Internet-enabled
access rich video content on            TV set DTT                                                              Es: Sony Bravia, Philips Net TV
                                        Embedded
the sofa screen




                                                                                                                                            OTT TV
                                                                                                                                            BOXES


                       Traditional Set Top Boxes:         BB STB “Ibrido” Lettori Blu-ray/    BB STB     Game console       BB STB Open
                            Cable, Sat, DTT ,           (DTT, Sat, Cable, IP)  DVD           Apple TV   Es: xBos 360, PS3     Es: Roku
                               hybrid,IPTV              Es: Tivo, CuboVision

A whole new set of devices
are aimed at allowing
online Video consumption           IP
                                                  Broadcast:                      Internet IP
on TV through the               (Managed)
                                                Satellite, Cable                 (Unmanaged)
Broadband connection
• Over The Top TV Boxes
• Internet Enabled Tv Sets                                    TELCO IPTV                BroadBand
                                                                                         Network

                                                                                                                Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
Hybrid TV Landscape

                      Broadcast               Network
                                              Centric
                                   Hybrid Telco
                                   Terrestrial + IPTV
                                                             Telco IPTV
          One Way Cable            Hybrid Cable
          Terrestrial TV           Cable+ IPTV
          Satellite TV             Hybrid Satellite
                                   Satellite + IPTV




                    Terrestrial/Satellite +       Telco/Cable +
                             OTT                       OTT



                                    Internet TV or
                                Over The Top TV (OTT)


                                      Network
                                      Agnostic

                                                   Source: Report 2010, TV Delivery Evolution, Alan Quayle
Opportunity for Service Providers

                  A distribution platform open to all Content Providers (with no cultural obstacles, as
                   broadcasters have, aimed at defending mainstream/premium content ) business
  A new            models primarily depend on Content Owners
 paradigm         Service Providers have to build a Business Model around the nature of the content
                   alongside with the Content Owner, looking for “shareable” sources of revenue
                  If a Service provider has the ambition to place itself at the center of the new Ecosystem ,
                   new engagement rules with Content and Application providers have to be set
                  These rules go far beyond the traditional negotiation process with majors/publishers

           What the Telcos can Offer                             What the Telco are looking for
                                                       Content :
• Quality of Service and Quality of Experience even         • Professional
  in condition of Traffic Congestion                        • Rights Cleared
• Reach of a big multiplatform customer base                • Strongly differentiated by mainstream TV
  Anytime, Anywhere, Cross-Device                           • able to reach a wide public individually, or a
• Parental Control and DRM                                    critical mass of niches, able generate
• Billing, CRM, eTech Support                                 significant revenue
• Mass Market Proof Marketing /Communication                • That does not require a strong localisation
  Resources                                                   effort (dubbed/subtitled) language-neutral
• Digital Identity Management aimed at                        (ex: Music, Vimeo, Arte Live Web)
  maximizing Client Contact AND Application            Applications:
  Value                                                     • That do not create discontinuity in the UX
                                                            • That do not set new knots for the Ecosystem
                                                                                           Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
Opportunity for Service Providers

                       In the most favourable regulatory scenario, Telcos can take advantage of the
                        quality/quantity of data generated by Users while consuming online video, in
  Generating            the perspective of an accurate management of their Digital Identity on three
  value from            screens (Desktop, Mobile, TV)
User Generated
     Data              Telcos can rely on a wide consumer base and a pervasive set of capabilities:
                            3- screens IP Profiling
                            Presence
                            Location
                            Billing


                                          Business Impact
• Integrating these capabilities in the User Experience Management on the main TV Screen means:
     • Maximizing video ADV returns, on a degree hardly allowed by other video distribution platforms
        (context based, behavioural based)
     • Returning Value To Services and Applications through User Generated Data
     • Maximizing personalized offering value (Ex: Pay VOD)
     • Chance to expose User Data as part of Upstream offering to Third parties (Content Providers but
        also Merchants)
• This kind of strategy is possible only if:
     • Privacy-related regulation allows User Data Management (User Opt-in on selected Services)
     • IP profiling is validated by the two key markets involved (Advertising e Marketing Services)
                                                                                      Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
Opportunity for Service Providers – App Store
As the iPhone case widely demonstrated, an open
 Application Store that can leverage on
 crowdsourcing, with an SDK open to third party
 developers (keeping control on what apps are
 phisically distributed on the official store) is key to
 reaching a critical mass not only on “service”
 applications but also on “content applications” that
 offer CPs a personalized environment for distributing
 their “signed” library

This solution is ideal to generate value from free
 content with public APIs, as it transfers the effort of
 building the application to the developer‟s
 community

At the same time, it gives users access to the widest
 possible free catalogue (a problem for broadcasters,
 not for telcos).

When Premium (Pay) Content is involved, the
 developement of an application (that leverages on the
 high powered telco backend), can be part of the
 Telco’s proposition to Content Providers
                                                           Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
Source: PCWorld
Google TV

Google launched its own OTT TV software-based proposition (Google TV)

Based on Chrome, this software will allow navigation on the sofa screen among all the video content
that is normally available via desktop browser, as Open Source Applications like Boxee have already
made possible

Provides a TV-friendly interface for popular Social Media apps like Hulu, Facebook, Twitter

SDK for independent content providers to develop widgets to access their content, and – most
important – participation in the advertising rev- sharing program

Users can use their Android phone or iPhone to control Google TV instead of using a remote control

Announced in partnerships with Sony (Connected TVs), Logitech and Intel (chipset for a future
dedicated STB)




                                                                                        Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
Google TV




            Source: Endgaget
Status Today - Gartner Hype Curve




                                    Source: Gartner Hype Curve - 2010

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Evolution and Future of TV

  • 1. Click to edit Master title style Evolution and Future of TV Presenter: Vishal
  • 2. Agenda Background, Global TV - Shipments and Revenue Evolution of TV, Emerging Platform Evolution of IPTV, Triple Play The Emergence of new TV platform services Changing Landscape, Battle Across TV Landscape Value Chain, Hybrid TV, IPTV in the Living Room IPTV Architecture, Opportunity For Service Providers Google vs Apple and Rest, Google TV Under The Hood Status Today & Predictions - Gartner Hype Curve Appendix - Emerging Trends and Standards
  • 3. Background Analog is Legacy - switch off is planned for the next decade around the world Boom in Digital TV - terrestrial, cable, satellite, IPTV, in all forms HDTV is becoming prevalent and technologies such as 3DTV and mobile TV are taking off Shifting Consumer Behavior - access content wherever, whenever and on the device of their choice * HDTV - Television with resolution substantially higher than traditional television systems (standard-definition TV, or SDTV, or SD), usually with a resolution of at least 720P Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 4. Global TV - Shipments and Revenue, 2009-2010 6% increase in TV shipments, will rise from 205m units in 2009 to 218m units in 2010 Avg. selling prices for all TV technologies decreased 9% in 2009, the first year of declining average prices since the flat panel TV transition began. Source: Display Search, BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 5. Global TV - Revenue Source 2009 saw a drop in total TV revenues, with the global economic crisis particularly impacting on advertising revenue Subscription fees overtake advertising revenue in importance and with the projected economic recovery. TV industry to grow and hit total revenues of $450.3bn in 2013 Source: iDate, BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 6. Evolution of TV 3D TV High Blu-ray HD HD On Demand Quality DTT Pay TV DVD Mobile TV VOD Analog Broadcast TV Low VHS Legend Color Cinema & Sound On Demand Low Choice/Convenience High Broadcast Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 7. Emerging Platform Four Platforms: • Terrestrial • Satellite • Cable • IPTV * Terrestrial - transmission on earth from one point to another that doesn't make use of satellites. Source: iDate, BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 8. Emerging Trends and Standards HDTV • Moving from backlit LCD to LED & OLED, Kodak owns the patent, hampering the price and uptake • 3 Formats – 720p, 1080i (HD ready), 1080p (full HD, true) 3DTV • Success of Avatar and Alice in Wonderland is pushing Hollywood • Delivers 2 separate stream of - one for Left eye, other for Right eye, requires a specliaised glass • No Standards yet, though work is going on IPTV • Video stream encoded as a series of IP Packets, one programme sent at a time, requires a Set Top Box (STB) • Uses multicasting (IGMP V2) for Live TV and Real Time Streaming Protocol for On Demand • iTV - content distributed by via Web Video On Demand (VOD) • Offered over converged IP network, offers a highly interactive, customised „anytime‟ video experience • most promising element of the multiplay service bundle, and can lead to an array of new, revenue- producing services for providers such as the marketing and selling of DVD, customised content Mobile TV • Video and voice content on a platform, capable of moving, provides personalised and interactive TV • Digital Video Broadcasting(DVB -H) - for Handheld terminals, Terrestrial Digital Multimedia Broadcasting, Integrated Services Digital Broadcasting – Terrestrial • Delivered via, 2-way cellular network – 3G (Unicast) or 1- way dedicated broadcast (Multicast) * p – progressive scan, i - interlaced, used by analogue Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 9. Evolution of IPTV Analog TV Digital TV IPTV ALL Live Themed channels, Any Time, Any where Usage Collective On The TV Set Time shifted TV Any Terminal Terminal - TV Pay TV network bypassed, Pay TV Networks, Access Network - Broadcast Multichannel providers direct channel/content Gatekeeper - TV Channel owner relationship Personal TV Services Broadcast TV Multichannel TV, VOD Social TV TV Channels Subscription Program Advertising Funding Public Funding, Advertising TV Package Subscription Program Purchase Advertising Content Right holders Key Content Owners Content Owners, Cable Device Manufacturers Players Broadcast TV Channels Channels, Pay TV Networks Search Engine (Google) Social Networks Source: iDate Consulting & Research- Understanding The Digital World, 2009
  • 10. IPTV A viable platform for digital TV services - driven by telcos’ desire to deploy triple-play services in order to reduce customer churn levels and boost ARPU Internet enabled TV sets are expected to reach 93m units by 2013, compared with 14.9m in 2009 Companies are creating widgets to embed their services within connected TVs. Skype will be embedding its service in a number of HDTVs Consumer habit - evolved from passive consumption of TV to an interactive user experience Global subscribers will grow 31% (CAGR), from 28m in 2009 to 83m in 2013 Internet video now accounts for approximately 1/3 of all consumer Internet traffic Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 11. Triple or Multiple Play Internet Mobile, Games, Home Video on Surveillance Demand Telephony TV(Video) (Voice) Source: BSI Report 2010, Future of TV
  • 12. Battle Across TV Landscape Content Provider Broadcast Or Studios Cable Youtube, Facebook Hulu Google, Computing Network Telcos Customers Amazon, Power Power Microsoft TIVO Consumer Electronic Manufacturer Device Power Source: Report 2010, TV Delivery Evolution, Alan Quayle
  • 13. The Emergence of new TV platform services Right TV Content Network Terminal EPG/OS Consumer holders Channel Packager New services providers managing the content Source: iDate Consulting & Research- Understanding The Digital World, 2009
  • 14. Changing Landscape Right TV Content Network Terminal EPG/OS Consumer holders Channel Packager Advanced STB to move into the digital home (T-Box, T-Hub) Securing exclusive content Gaining space shelve on all platforms Controlling the eco-system New competitors on the VOD market Theme channels challenged by OTT services Triple-play value proposition threatened Direct distribution of (non premium) programming by US majors Network congestion Source: iDate Consulting & Research - Understanding The Digital World, 2009
  • 15. IPTV in Living Room The traditional Pay Tv Set Top Box is only one of the many ways consumers can TV set Internet-enabled access rich video content on TV set DTT Es: Sony Bravia, Philips Net TV Embedded the sofa screen OTT TV BOXES Traditional Set Top Boxes: BB STB “Ibrido” Lettori Blu-ray/ BB STB Game console BB STB Open Cable, Sat, DTT , (DTT, Sat, Cable, IP) DVD Apple TV Es: xBos 360, PS3 Es: Roku hybrid,IPTV Es: Tivo, CuboVision A whole new set of devices are aimed at allowing online Video consumption IP Broadcast: Internet IP on TV through the (Managed) Satellite, Cable (Unmanaged) Broadband connection • Over The Top TV Boxes • Internet Enabled Tv Sets TELCO IPTV BroadBand Network Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
  • 16. Hybrid TV Landscape Broadcast Network Centric Hybrid Telco Terrestrial + IPTV Telco IPTV One Way Cable Hybrid Cable Terrestrial TV Cable+ IPTV Satellite TV Hybrid Satellite Satellite + IPTV Terrestrial/Satellite + Telco/Cable + OTT OTT Internet TV or Over The Top TV (OTT) Network Agnostic Source: Report 2010, TV Delivery Evolution, Alan Quayle
  • 17. Opportunity for Service Providers A distribution platform open to all Content Providers (with no cultural obstacles, as broadcasters have, aimed at defending mainstream/premium content ) business A new models primarily depend on Content Owners paradigm Service Providers have to build a Business Model around the nature of the content alongside with the Content Owner, looking for “shareable” sources of revenue If a Service provider has the ambition to place itself at the center of the new Ecosystem , new engagement rules with Content and Application providers have to be set These rules go far beyond the traditional negotiation process with majors/publishers What the Telcos can Offer What the Telco are looking for Content : • Quality of Service and Quality of Experience even • Professional in condition of Traffic Congestion • Rights Cleared • Reach of a big multiplatform customer base • Strongly differentiated by mainstream TV Anytime, Anywhere, Cross-Device • able to reach a wide public individually, or a • Parental Control and DRM critical mass of niches, able generate • Billing, CRM, eTech Support significant revenue • Mass Market Proof Marketing /Communication • That does not require a strong localisation Resources effort (dubbed/subtitled) language-neutral • Digital Identity Management aimed at (ex: Music, Vimeo, Arte Live Web) maximizing Client Contact AND Application Applications: Value • That do not create discontinuity in the UX • That do not set new knots for the Ecosystem Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
  • 18. Opportunity for Service Providers In the most favourable regulatory scenario, Telcos can take advantage of the quality/quantity of data generated by Users while consuming online video, in Generating the perspective of an accurate management of their Digital Identity on three value from screens (Desktop, Mobile, TV) User Generated Data Telcos can rely on a wide consumer base and a pervasive set of capabilities: 3- screens IP Profiling Presence Location Billing Business Impact • Integrating these capabilities in the User Experience Management on the main TV Screen means: • Maximizing video ADV returns, on a degree hardly allowed by other video distribution platforms (context based, behavioural based) • Returning Value To Services and Applications through User Generated Data • Maximizing personalized offering value (Ex: Pay VOD) • Chance to expose User Data as part of Upstream offering to Third parties (Content Providers but also Merchants) • This kind of strategy is possible only if: • Privacy-related regulation allows User Data Management (User Opt-in on selected Services) • IP profiling is validated by the two key markets involved (Advertising e Marketing Services) Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
  • 19. Opportunity for Service Providers – App Store As the iPhone case widely demonstrated, an open Application Store that can leverage on crowdsourcing, with an SDK open to third party developers (keeping control on what apps are phisically distributed on the official store) is key to reaching a critical mass not only on “service” applications but also on “content applications” that offer CPs a personalized environment for distributing their “signed” library This solution is ideal to generate value from free content with public APIs, as it transfers the effort of building the application to the developer‟s community At the same time, it gives users access to the widest possible free catalogue (a problem for broadcasters, not for telcos). When Premium (Pay) Content is involved, the developement of an application (that leverages on the high powered telco backend), can be part of the Telco’s proposition to Content Providers Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
  • 21. Google TV Google launched its own OTT TV software-based proposition (Google TV) Based on Chrome, this software will allow navigation on the sofa screen among all the video content that is normally available via desktop browser, as Open Source Applications like Boxee have already made possible Provides a TV-friendly interface for popular Social Media apps like Hulu, Facebook, Twitter SDK for independent content providers to develop widgets to access their content, and – most important – participation in the advertising rev- sharing program Users can use their Android phone or iPhone to control Google TV instead of using a remote control Announced in partnerships with Sony (Connected TVs), Logitech and Intel (chipset for a future dedicated STB) Source: Telco2.0 2010 Forum
  • 22. Google TV Source: Endgaget
  • 23. Status Today - Gartner Hype Curve Source: Gartner Hype Curve - 2010