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Durban’s COP17 ‘Conference of Polluters’ 28 Nov-9 Dec 2011 International Convention Centre
Climate  in justice and the role of the World Bank: A view from South Africa Patrick Bond  University of KwaZulu-Natal  School of Development Studies and  Centre for Civil Society, Durban presented to the  World Development Movement,  London  5 September, 2011   cartoons by Zapiro
3 civil society unity for Durban Univ of Technology alternative ‘C17’ summit UNFCCC  negotiations Durban’s Conference of Polluters (COP17) what will happen from 28 Nov until 9 Dec? UN & Durban officials want ‘civilised’ society in tents, out of sight and mind
99 US Consulate in Old Mutual  Tower ‘ going away party - for the beach’!   7 July 2010  World Cup ‘fanfest’ party December 3 march route:  Curries Fountain to beach
last time SA hosted  global environment conference: WSSD World Summit on Sustainable Development  Johannesburg, 31 August 2002: 30,000 protested UN ‘type-two partnerships’, privatisation of water, emissions trading, neoliberalism
Major sites for neoliberal plus sustainable dev. discourses
just not in elite interests to tackle climate
Pretoria’s ‘Long-Term Mitigation Scenario’ admits our huge culpability
put these stats together, and in energy sector, SA 20 times worse than US
SA offers world’s cheapest electricity to metals smelters -  phase-out needed! Eskom brags in 2009  annual report, though reason for R9.7bn 2009-10 losses
BHP Billiton & SA crony capitalism Derek Keys, last apartheid finance minister & first SA finance minister - allowed Gencor to externalise billions to buy Shell Billiton, then became its CEO Mick Davis, former Eskom Treasurer who offered sweetheart power deals, and after failing to become Eskom CEO, went to BHP Billiton (now heads Xstrata) ‏ Xolani Mkhwanazi, former SA National Electricity Regulator, now BHP Billiton Southern Africa Chief Executive Officer Vincent Maphai, former radical political scientist and HSRC researcher who went to SABreweries public relations and then became chair of Southern Africa BHP Billiton, and attended 29 February 2008 meeting  Marius Kloppers, BHP Billiton CEO (Melbourne) ‏ Derek Cooper, ill-fated Standard Bank chairperson, recommended BHP Billiton smelter switchoff Richards Bay smelter Zav Rustomjee, former DTI D.G. later a top BHP Billiton consultant
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
world’s most risky emerging market The Economist , 25 Feb 2009
IN SOUTH AFRICA :
 
South African apartheid (1948-94) generously funded by WB/IMF (1951-83) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
South African class apartheid  supported by WB/IMF,  post-1994 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
South African class apartheid  supported by WB/IMF (continued) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
South African elites  (Manuel and Radebe)   dance to neoliberal WB/IMF music
Copenhagen Accord,  COP 15, December 2009 non-binding! 4 degree  increase! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ they broke the UN!” (Bill McKibbon, 350.org)
world’s biggest polluter
UNFCCC structural problem: national self-interest at UN COPs
lead US climate negotiator Todd Stern,  on demand for recognising climate debt? 'The sense of guilt or  culpability or reparations  –  I just categorically reject that ' Stern thus rejects core principle: ‘polluter pays’ is Stern welcome in Durban? WikiLeaks revealed  (Feb ‘10)  Stern/Pershing bribery and bullying:   Ethiopia, Maldives,  Bolivia, Ecuador Ethiopian tyrant Meles Zenawi:  UN Advisory  Group on Finance cochair halved AU’s 2009 demands for climate debt  Maldives cabinet gets   $50m in US aid = U-turn, to support Copenhagen
concept of ‘ecological debt’ now recognised in serious  research
who owes? who caused climate change? GHG/capita by country, 1950-2000 Canada USA EU Australia Russia
who loses from climate change? a ‘Climate Demography Vulnerability Index’ main losers:  Central America,  central South America, the Arabian Peninsula, Southeast Asia and much of Africa
instead of paying its climate debt, US plays  pollution markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cancun COP 16 revived market fix in theory, yes, as a ‘ castle in the sky ’… but in reality relying upon carbon markets is like  building that castle atop quicksand  – given the market’s  corruption, fraud, thievery, stagnation and speculation
R educing  E missions through  D eforestation and forest  D egradation REDD-type projects have already caused land grabs, killings, violent evictions and forced displacement, violations of human rights, threats to cultural survival, militarization and servitude   - Tom Goldtooth, Indigenous Environmental Network
R educing  E missions through  D eforestation and forest  D egradation CJ critiques of REDD reforms: - no chance of getting full Indigenous rights (e.g. free, prior and informed consent) - no chance to keep REDD out of carbon markets & offsets - no chance to win on definitional issues (plantations) - highly divisive within indigenous peoples,  Africa (e.g. Wangari Maathei is supporter)
Bisasar Road conversion of methane-to-electricity at  environmentally-racist toxic dump  Africa’s largest landfill placed in black residential suburb (Clare Estate) by apartheid; municipality refused to close it thanks to World Bank 2002 investment hype:  Prototype Carbon Fund credits Durban, South Africa:  $15 million CDM pilot Sajida Khan’s  family home
Sajida Khan (1952-2007)   though felled by cancer from dump, she had co-hosted ‘Durban Group for Climate Justice’ (2004) and her challenge to Bisasar methane flaring temporarily rebuffed World Bank in 2005   project went ahead in 2008-09 and currently CDM is paid just €14/tonne
in sum, eight fatal flaws of carbon trading ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pretoria-Washington attack on climate: $3.75 bn loan from the World Bank to mainly finance Eskom’s coal-fired Medupi  power plant…  why is it so wrong?   Source: groundWork & Earthlife Africa
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Eskom’s Medupi: world’s fourth-largest coal-fired plant, to emit 25-35 mn CO2-equiv. tonnes/year  (more than 115 countries)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Medupi has no pollution scrubbers yet ambient SO2 standards already excessive, area is water-scarce, 40 new coal mines needed, and mining causes extreme water degradation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bank’s Dec. 2009 ‘consultation’ had no attendees from affected areas; Bank procurement rules violated; Eskom  has huge governance crises, including extreme leadership turmoil (e.g. chair and CEO fired each other, Nov. 2009)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],25%/year price rise;  127% real increase for 2008-12; electricity disconnections, ubiquitous ‘service delivery protests’ and threatened national labour strike
1/3 of Eskom’s four million customers have  ‘zero’ consumption – most were disconnected
upsurge of  community protest  against electricity disconnections, price increases, World Bank loan
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],sweetheart deals: multi-decade ‘Special Pricing Agreements’ made during late apartheid give BHP Billiton and Anglo American R0.14 ($0.02)/kWh electricity for smelters (1/8th what households pay); resulting in Eskom’s R9.7 billion ($1.3 bn) loss in 2009
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BHP Billiton, Anglo, Arcelor Mittal, Xstrata and other beneficiaries of Eskom largesse headquartered (and send their profits) abroad, hence putting pressure on current account deficit (SA riskiest emerging market)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SA’s foreign debt is already dangerously high - $100 billion – and repayment costs on Medupi loan will soar when R/$ rate crashes (as now happens regularly)
since early 2000s,  rapid rise in SA  foreign debt ,  to the point of severe  debt/GDP danger levels, now more than $100 billion
five currency crashes, 1996-2008 when Rand falls 15%+, then repayment of World Bank’s $ debt much more expensive
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],privatisation of electricity generation is underway in this loan (for ‘figleaf’ renewable component) – and will be increased for Kusile (to 49% private ownership); unions fighting for full public supply
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ruling party investment arm, Chancellor House, to ‘earn’ at least R50 mn (probably more) pure profit from contracts in conflict-of-interest Hitachi tender; Eskom chair Valli Moosa acted  ‘improperly’, according to state investigators
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],from 1951 (3 years after formal apartheid began) to 1966, loans to Eskom of $100 mn resulted in  no  electricity to black townships or rural areas; Jubilee SA demands ‘reparations’ for Bank's apartheid profits
[object Object],http://www.climatejobs.org.za /
search for a  ‘Just Trans-ition’
what is ‘climate justice’? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Evo Morales
a scene from Soweto, 1976   protest -  from racial apartheid…
a few kms from Soweto, a scene from Riverlea, next to Soccer City, October 2009  …  to class apartheid
ubiquitous  ‘ service  delivery  protests’
 
 
Police protest measurements
Voices for IMF/WB closure: Archbishop of Cape Town Njongonkulu Ndungane ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
WBBB:  Churches, foundations, unions, cities and social responsibility funds ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.worldbankboycott.org JOIN US!
Green Climate Fund – $100bn/year by 2020 (promised),  co-chaired by SA’s Trevor Manuel ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Robert Zoellick World Bank president
What we fear from Green Climate Fund ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
the   World Bank   be lead climate financier? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],. ..  breaks  .   everything  he touches a very worried panda     Should Robert Zoellick
Should the  IMF  be run by   the likes of…
Durban’s COP17 ‘ Conference of Polluters’ 28 Nov-9 Dec 2011 International Convention Centre
US Consulate in Old Mutual  Tower ‘ going away party, for the beach’!   7 July 2010  World Cup ‘fanfest’ party December 3 march route:  Curries Fountain to beach
Durban climate activist targets? Gandhi’s ‘Satyagraha’  origins in Phoenix anti-apartheid traditions: .  Dube, Luthuli, Naicker, Biko, Meer, Mxenges, Turner, Brutus,  women, 1973 dockworkers, students, communities, Diakonia faith centre, etc  airport  smelters convention centre  Bisasar Rd CDM  City Hall, US consul  harbour petrochemicals auto industry
Climate Justice Now!SA opposes emissions, privatised electricity, Eskom coal and nuclear, carbon trading:   demands  conservation/renewables  and  electricity-as-a-right to avoid this danger:
otherwise, this danger: GLOBAL CLIMATE APARTHEID

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Patrick Bond on South Africa, climate justice and the World Bank

  • 1.  
  • 2. Durban’s COP17 ‘Conference of Polluters’ 28 Nov-9 Dec 2011 International Convention Centre
  • 3. Climate in justice and the role of the World Bank: A view from South Africa Patrick Bond University of KwaZulu-Natal School of Development Studies and Centre for Civil Society, Durban presented to the World Development Movement, London 5 September, 2011 cartoons by Zapiro
  • 4. 3 civil society unity for Durban Univ of Technology alternative ‘C17’ summit UNFCCC negotiations Durban’s Conference of Polluters (COP17) what will happen from 28 Nov until 9 Dec? UN & Durban officials want ‘civilised’ society in tents, out of sight and mind
  • 5. 99 US Consulate in Old Mutual Tower ‘ going away party - for the beach’! 7 July 2010 World Cup ‘fanfest’ party December 3 march route: Curries Fountain to beach
  • 6. last time SA hosted global environment conference: WSSD World Summit on Sustainable Development Johannesburg, 31 August 2002: 30,000 protested UN ‘type-two partnerships’, privatisation of water, emissions trading, neoliberalism
  • 7. Major sites for neoliberal plus sustainable dev. discourses
  • 8. just not in elite interests to tackle climate
  • 9. Pretoria’s ‘Long-Term Mitigation Scenario’ admits our huge culpability
  • 10. put these stats together, and in energy sector, SA 20 times worse than US
  • 11. SA offers world’s cheapest electricity to metals smelters - phase-out needed! Eskom brags in 2009 annual report, though reason for R9.7bn 2009-10 losses
  • 12. BHP Billiton & SA crony capitalism Derek Keys, last apartheid finance minister & first SA finance minister - allowed Gencor to externalise billions to buy Shell Billiton, then became its CEO Mick Davis, former Eskom Treasurer who offered sweetheart power deals, and after failing to become Eskom CEO, went to BHP Billiton (now heads Xstrata) ‏ Xolani Mkhwanazi, former SA National Electricity Regulator, now BHP Billiton Southern Africa Chief Executive Officer Vincent Maphai, former radical political scientist and HSRC researcher who went to SABreweries public relations and then became chair of Southern Africa BHP Billiton, and attended 29 February 2008 meeting Marius Kloppers, BHP Billiton CEO (Melbourne) ‏ Derek Cooper, ill-fated Standard Bank chairperson, recommended BHP Billiton smelter switchoff Richards Bay smelter Zav Rustomjee, former DTI D.G. later a top BHP Billiton consultant
  • 13.
  • 14. world’s most risky emerging market The Economist , 25 Feb 2009
  • 16.  
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  • 20. South African elites (Manuel and Radebe) dance to neoliberal WB/IMF music
  • 21.
  • 23. UNFCCC structural problem: national self-interest at UN COPs
  • 24. lead US climate negotiator Todd Stern, on demand for recognising climate debt? 'The sense of guilt or culpability or reparations – I just categorically reject that ' Stern thus rejects core principle: ‘polluter pays’ is Stern welcome in Durban? WikiLeaks revealed (Feb ‘10) Stern/Pershing bribery and bullying: Ethiopia, Maldives, Bolivia, Ecuador Ethiopian tyrant Meles Zenawi: UN Advisory Group on Finance cochair halved AU’s 2009 demands for climate debt Maldives cabinet gets $50m in US aid = U-turn, to support Copenhagen
  • 25. concept of ‘ecological debt’ now recognised in serious research
  • 26. who owes? who caused climate change? GHG/capita by country, 1950-2000 Canada USA EU Australia Russia
  • 27. who loses from climate change? a ‘Climate Demography Vulnerability Index’ main losers: Central America, central South America, the Arabian Peninsula, Southeast Asia and much of Africa
  • 28.
  • 29. Cancun COP 16 revived market fix in theory, yes, as a ‘ castle in the sky ’… but in reality relying upon carbon markets is like building that castle atop quicksand – given the market’s corruption, fraud, thievery, stagnation and speculation
  • 30. R educing E missions through D eforestation and forest D egradation REDD-type projects have already caused land grabs, killings, violent evictions and forced displacement, violations of human rights, threats to cultural survival, militarization and servitude - Tom Goldtooth, Indigenous Environmental Network
  • 31. R educing E missions through D eforestation and forest D egradation CJ critiques of REDD reforms: - no chance of getting full Indigenous rights (e.g. free, prior and informed consent) - no chance to keep REDD out of carbon markets & offsets - no chance to win on definitional issues (plantations) - highly divisive within indigenous peoples, Africa (e.g. Wangari Maathei is supporter)
  • 32. Bisasar Road conversion of methane-to-electricity at environmentally-racist toxic dump Africa’s largest landfill placed in black residential suburb (Clare Estate) by apartheid; municipality refused to close it thanks to World Bank 2002 investment hype: Prototype Carbon Fund credits Durban, South Africa: $15 million CDM pilot Sajida Khan’s family home
  • 33. Sajida Khan (1952-2007) though felled by cancer from dump, she had co-hosted ‘Durban Group for Climate Justice’ (2004) and her challenge to Bisasar methane flaring temporarily rebuffed World Bank in 2005 project went ahead in 2008-09 and currently CDM is paid just €14/tonne
  • 34.
  • 35. Pretoria-Washington attack on climate: $3.75 bn loan from the World Bank to mainly finance Eskom’s coal-fired Medupi power plant… why is it so wrong? Source: groundWork & Earthlife Africa
  • 36.
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  • 39.
  • 40. 1/3 of Eskom’s four million customers have ‘zero’ consumption – most were disconnected
  • 41. upsurge of community protest against electricity disconnections, price increases, World Bank loan
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  • 45. since early 2000s, rapid rise in SA foreign debt , to the point of severe debt/GDP danger levels, now more than $100 billion
  • 46. five currency crashes, 1996-2008 when Rand falls 15%+, then repayment of World Bank’s $ debt much more expensive
  • 47.
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  • 50.
  • 51. search for a ‘Just Trans-ition’
  • 52.
  • 53. a scene from Soweto, 1976 protest - from racial apartheid…
  • 54. a few kms from Soweto, a scene from Riverlea, next to Soccer City, October 2009 … to class apartheid
  • 55. ubiquitous ‘ service delivery protests’
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  • 63.
  • 64. Should the IMF be run by the likes of…
  • 65. Durban’s COP17 ‘ Conference of Polluters’ 28 Nov-9 Dec 2011 International Convention Centre
  • 66. US Consulate in Old Mutual Tower ‘ going away party, for the beach’! 7 July 2010 World Cup ‘fanfest’ party December 3 march route: Curries Fountain to beach
  • 67. Durban climate activist targets? Gandhi’s ‘Satyagraha’ origins in Phoenix anti-apartheid traditions: . Dube, Luthuli, Naicker, Biko, Meer, Mxenges, Turner, Brutus, women, 1973 dockworkers, students, communities, Diakonia faith centre, etc airport smelters convention centre Bisasar Rd CDM City Hall, US consul harbour petrochemicals auto industry
  • 68. Climate Justice Now!SA opposes emissions, privatised electricity, Eskom coal and nuclear, carbon trading: demands conservation/renewables and electricity-as-a-right to avoid this danger:
  • 69. otherwise, this danger: GLOBAL CLIMATE APARTHEID