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Shaping Low-Carbon Communities: new metrics, new thinking
by Warren Hatter

It seems wrong to criticise the Climate Change Act; it is, after all, a world-
leading piece of legislation. Yet the way it is framed has limited the scope for
national and local action to reduce emissions, and encouraged local
government to take a constrained view of the change required and of its own
role.

Yes, we are committed as a nation to an 80% reduction in emissions by 2050,
the minimum demanded by the science if we are to play our part; yes, the
Coalition Government has reaffirmed its support for the UK Carbon Budgets
put in place to support this commitment; and, yes, it is widely recognised that
this level of emissions reduction entails radical changes in housing, energy
and transport. New, and more honest, approaches, though, are now emerging
which enable authorities to take a wider view of what is required, and to
understand how the places we shape have to differ from todayʼs reality. It
turns out that the challenge is to shape a low carbon economy, in every
sense, for every locality.

Metrics so far
Many processes were put in place to enable authorities to respond to the
demands of the UK Low Carbon Transition Plan and to measure progress
within the previous governmentʼs performance framework. These, however,
have a major failing. By using only production-based measures (that is,
counting the actual emissions in any place, plus the emissions due to the
energy used there), rather than consumption-based measures (also counting
the emissions ʻembeddedʼ in all the goods and services residents of a place
buy and use), we have dodged plenty of lifestyle-related issues until now, and
kidded ourselves that UK emissions are falling. In reality, our carbon footprint
as a nation has been increasing; but we have ʻoff-shoredʼ much of our CO2,
particularly to China1 and the proportion of our footprint we donʼt account for is
now around half of the total. This self-deception will not last, at local, national
or international level.

This perspective in policy has meant that there has been no policy imperative
to act on half of our carbon footprint. This, coupled with the lack of honest
metrics, has been a major barrier to strategic, place-based approaches for
developing low-carbon futures.

Emerging metrics
The next step in carbon metrics for local government is to estimate the
consumption-based footprint, and act on it. A small number of authorities is
doing this; below is the breakdown of the carbon footprint of the average West
Sussex resident (and therefore, of the County), estimated for West Sussex

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
1	
  Brinkley,	
  A	
  &	
  Less,	
  S	
  (2010),	
  Carbon	
  Omissions,	
  Policy	
  Exchange	
  	
  
County Council.2 If you have seen breakdowns of local authority area
footprints before, you will recognise that this provides a much richer, and
more wide-ranging, understanding.

                  The Carbon Footprint of West Sussex Residents




                                                                                            Source: West Sussex County Council / Small World Consulting


Before indicating how this perspective can help, it is worth pointing out that it
makes much more sense to people than existing measures. If you were
interested in the carbon footprint of a product you buy, you wouldnʼt think of
discounting those parts of the supply chain outside of your administrative
area. Yet this is exactly what policy-makers have been doing for years.

How does this perspective help, though? First, it gives us a framework on
which to map current carbon reduction policies and, significantly, see which
segments are not addressed. Second, by understanding the demand side
(behavioural) issues and supply side issues (including infrastructure) which
cause the footprint, we have a starting point for imagining, and working
towards, a genuinely low carbon place.



	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
2	
  For	
  the	
  national	
  average,	
  see	
  Berners-­‐Lee,	
  M	
  (2010),	
  How	
  Bad	
  Are	
  Bananas?,	
  

Profile	
  Books	
  
These two approaches are, of course, linked. Letʼs consider some brief
examples.

First, in all places, most progress made has been on those emissions
included in the ʻproduction-basedʼ measures we have used until now, and this
is continuing. For example, feed-in tariffs for PV panels and the Green Deal
make it possible to construct financial packages which are beneficial to
residents and authorities, though there is a real need to build high-level,
expert capacity to deal with the financial and legal issues involved in the sort
of large-scale investment required.

Second, working strategically to improve procurement, both within the public
sector and beyond, is one response to an understanding of the carbon impact
of supply chains. The evidence is that driving carbon from supply chains
reduces costs to a greater extent than simply saving energy, providing local
businesses with competitive advantages, and enabling the local public sector
to both reduce costs and lead by example.

Third, when residentsʼ leisure flights represent a significant proportion of the
total footprint, this can be seen as an opportunity to promote local leisure and
ʻstaycationsʼ. Success would put more money in the local economy and
benefit from the local multiplier effect3, as well as giving residents the chance
to have lower stress, longer holidays. Links can be made with other important
agendas such as developing local food and local sustainable transport.

These are just three examples among many prompted by the analysis. Look
at any of the segments, analyse the cause of the current footprint, and an
array of opportunities is there for any authority shaping a low carbon future
with its partners. This approach also provides a structure for estimating the
carbon impact of initiatives and investments being considered, taking into
account all aspects of the areaʼs footprint that might be affected.

Local carbon budgets
If this kind of perspective helps local authorities focus on the realities of
emissions reduction, it also helps make the case for local carbon budgets.
Since August 2009, the UK has had carbon budgets: a finite amount of CO2
to ʻspendʼ across UK activities. At the moment, government departments are
accountable to Parliament for different parts of the total budget; this can be
seen as the other main flaw in the way policy and metrics are set out.

The clearest example for this is that accountability for the ʻhomes and
communitiesʼ carbon budget is shared between CLG, DECC, Defra and BIS;
none sits with local authorities. Yet a place-based analysis tells us that the
trade-offs required to reduce emissions significantly year-on-year for decades
will often be local, not national. How could the local authority run or ʻconveneʼ
carbon budget decisions locally?
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
3	
  Sacks,	
  J	
  (2002)	
  The	
  Money	
  Trail,	
  New	
  Economics	
  Foundation	
  
This will become more and more important, as ability to emit becomes
scarcer. The Lake District National Park Authority has developed a local
carbon budget with partners, and both West Sussex County Council and LB
Haringey are working towards one, while Friends of the Earth has received
considerable senior support within local government for its campaign for local
carbon budgets4; this requires close collaboration with partners, residents,
businesses and civil society.

Vision and narrative
When we try to grasp the need to rapidly reduce the current level of emissions
in the locality, the need for a vision of a low-carbon place is clear. Some
authorities, working with partners, have begun to develop these, and there are
a number of techniques that can be used. The most difficult aspect is finding
narratives to present a low-carbon future that does not sound overtly twee or
ʻhairshirtʼ. How can we imagine a future that factors in the values and
expectations – such as privacy and choice – that we have come to expect in
the developed world?

Lifestyles
This is the most challenging area for local government. We are getting used to
having a pro-active role in initiatives to change behaviour, for example
promoting modal shift towards more sustainable forms of transport away from
car use. However, addressing the fact that half of the emissions for which we
are responsible as individuals is due to manufacturing and consumption is no
mean feat. You will struggle to find an elected member who is comfortable
with ʻtelling people how to live their livesʼ. But, along with all tiers of
government and all sectors, we have to start engaging at this level, working
out how to make it normal to buy less, share more, and repair not replace.

                                                                                                          +++++++

With radically reduced resources, local government is in the process of re-
designing services to support resilient communities, individuals and families –
the only way a big society can thrive. I see very little difference between the
reality of a sustainable, low-carbon community and the sort of community
described by those leading on the re-design of local services and governance.
For example, a resilient community will be sheltered from food and energy
insecurity, will have strong capacity and social capital, and waste little. That
sounds like a low-carbon, sustainable place.

These are the places of the future. In local government, we can help create
them.




	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
4	
  See	
  Friends	
  of	
  the	
  Earth	
  Briefing:	
  Local	
  Carbon	
  Budgets	
  (December	
  2010)	
  
Warren Hatter is a Researcher and Advisor on climate change, behaviour
change, local leadership and innovation. He set up Ripple PRD in 2006, and
has held director-level positions with the Local Government Unit at market
researchers MORI, the New Local Government Network think tank and the
sustainability charity Forum for the Future. He blogs at
www.warrenhatter.amplify.com.

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Shaping low carbon communities

  • 1. Shaping Low-Carbon Communities: new metrics, new thinking by Warren Hatter It seems wrong to criticise the Climate Change Act; it is, after all, a world- leading piece of legislation. Yet the way it is framed has limited the scope for national and local action to reduce emissions, and encouraged local government to take a constrained view of the change required and of its own role. Yes, we are committed as a nation to an 80% reduction in emissions by 2050, the minimum demanded by the science if we are to play our part; yes, the Coalition Government has reaffirmed its support for the UK Carbon Budgets put in place to support this commitment; and, yes, it is widely recognised that this level of emissions reduction entails radical changes in housing, energy and transport. New, and more honest, approaches, though, are now emerging which enable authorities to take a wider view of what is required, and to understand how the places we shape have to differ from todayʼs reality. It turns out that the challenge is to shape a low carbon economy, in every sense, for every locality. Metrics so far Many processes were put in place to enable authorities to respond to the demands of the UK Low Carbon Transition Plan and to measure progress within the previous governmentʼs performance framework. These, however, have a major failing. By using only production-based measures (that is, counting the actual emissions in any place, plus the emissions due to the energy used there), rather than consumption-based measures (also counting the emissions ʻembeddedʼ in all the goods and services residents of a place buy and use), we have dodged plenty of lifestyle-related issues until now, and kidded ourselves that UK emissions are falling. In reality, our carbon footprint as a nation has been increasing; but we have ʻoff-shoredʼ much of our CO2, particularly to China1 and the proportion of our footprint we donʼt account for is now around half of the total. This self-deception will not last, at local, national or international level. This perspective in policy has meant that there has been no policy imperative to act on half of our carbon footprint. This, coupled with the lack of honest metrics, has been a major barrier to strategic, place-based approaches for developing low-carbon futures. Emerging metrics The next step in carbon metrics for local government is to estimate the consumption-based footprint, and act on it. A small number of authorities is doing this; below is the breakdown of the carbon footprint of the average West Sussex resident (and therefore, of the County), estimated for West Sussex                                                                                                                 1  Brinkley,  A  &  Less,  S  (2010),  Carbon  Omissions,  Policy  Exchange    
  • 2. County Council.2 If you have seen breakdowns of local authority area footprints before, you will recognise that this provides a much richer, and more wide-ranging, understanding. The Carbon Footprint of West Sussex Residents Source: West Sussex County Council / Small World Consulting Before indicating how this perspective can help, it is worth pointing out that it makes much more sense to people than existing measures. If you were interested in the carbon footprint of a product you buy, you wouldnʼt think of discounting those parts of the supply chain outside of your administrative area. Yet this is exactly what policy-makers have been doing for years. How does this perspective help, though? First, it gives us a framework on which to map current carbon reduction policies and, significantly, see which segments are not addressed. Second, by understanding the demand side (behavioural) issues and supply side issues (including infrastructure) which cause the footprint, we have a starting point for imagining, and working towards, a genuinely low carbon place.                                                                                                                 2  For  the  national  average,  see  Berners-­‐Lee,  M  (2010),  How  Bad  Are  Bananas?,   Profile  Books  
  • 3. These two approaches are, of course, linked. Letʼs consider some brief examples. First, in all places, most progress made has been on those emissions included in the ʻproduction-basedʼ measures we have used until now, and this is continuing. For example, feed-in tariffs for PV panels and the Green Deal make it possible to construct financial packages which are beneficial to residents and authorities, though there is a real need to build high-level, expert capacity to deal with the financial and legal issues involved in the sort of large-scale investment required. Second, working strategically to improve procurement, both within the public sector and beyond, is one response to an understanding of the carbon impact of supply chains. The evidence is that driving carbon from supply chains reduces costs to a greater extent than simply saving energy, providing local businesses with competitive advantages, and enabling the local public sector to both reduce costs and lead by example. Third, when residentsʼ leisure flights represent a significant proportion of the total footprint, this can be seen as an opportunity to promote local leisure and ʻstaycationsʼ. Success would put more money in the local economy and benefit from the local multiplier effect3, as well as giving residents the chance to have lower stress, longer holidays. Links can be made with other important agendas such as developing local food and local sustainable transport. These are just three examples among many prompted by the analysis. Look at any of the segments, analyse the cause of the current footprint, and an array of opportunities is there for any authority shaping a low carbon future with its partners. This approach also provides a structure for estimating the carbon impact of initiatives and investments being considered, taking into account all aspects of the areaʼs footprint that might be affected. Local carbon budgets If this kind of perspective helps local authorities focus on the realities of emissions reduction, it also helps make the case for local carbon budgets. Since August 2009, the UK has had carbon budgets: a finite amount of CO2 to ʻspendʼ across UK activities. At the moment, government departments are accountable to Parliament for different parts of the total budget; this can be seen as the other main flaw in the way policy and metrics are set out. The clearest example for this is that accountability for the ʻhomes and communitiesʼ carbon budget is shared between CLG, DECC, Defra and BIS; none sits with local authorities. Yet a place-based analysis tells us that the trade-offs required to reduce emissions significantly year-on-year for decades will often be local, not national. How could the local authority run or ʻconveneʼ carbon budget decisions locally?                                                                                                                 3  Sacks,  J  (2002)  The  Money  Trail,  New  Economics  Foundation  
  • 4. This will become more and more important, as ability to emit becomes scarcer. The Lake District National Park Authority has developed a local carbon budget with partners, and both West Sussex County Council and LB Haringey are working towards one, while Friends of the Earth has received considerable senior support within local government for its campaign for local carbon budgets4; this requires close collaboration with partners, residents, businesses and civil society. Vision and narrative When we try to grasp the need to rapidly reduce the current level of emissions in the locality, the need for a vision of a low-carbon place is clear. Some authorities, working with partners, have begun to develop these, and there are a number of techniques that can be used. The most difficult aspect is finding narratives to present a low-carbon future that does not sound overtly twee or ʻhairshirtʼ. How can we imagine a future that factors in the values and expectations – such as privacy and choice – that we have come to expect in the developed world? Lifestyles This is the most challenging area for local government. We are getting used to having a pro-active role in initiatives to change behaviour, for example promoting modal shift towards more sustainable forms of transport away from car use. However, addressing the fact that half of the emissions for which we are responsible as individuals is due to manufacturing and consumption is no mean feat. You will struggle to find an elected member who is comfortable with ʻtelling people how to live their livesʼ. But, along with all tiers of government and all sectors, we have to start engaging at this level, working out how to make it normal to buy less, share more, and repair not replace. +++++++ With radically reduced resources, local government is in the process of re- designing services to support resilient communities, individuals and families – the only way a big society can thrive. I see very little difference between the reality of a sustainable, low-carbon community and the sort of community described by those leading on the re-design of local services and governance. For example, a resilient community will be sheltered from food and energy insecurity, will have strong capacity and social capital, and waste little. That sounds like a low-carbon, sustainable place. These are the places of the future. In local government, we can help create them.                                                                                                                 4  See  Friends  of  the  Earth  Briefing:  Local  Carbon  Budgets  (December  2010)  
  • 5. Warren Hatter is a Researcher and Advisor on climate change, behaviour change, local leadership and innovation. He set up Ripple PRD in 2006, and has held director-level positions with the Local Government Unit at market researchers MORI, the New Local Government Network think tank and the sustainability charity Forum for the Future. He blogs at www.warrenhatter.amplify.com.