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The Future of Retirement Houston Forum January 27, 2009 by Steve Vernon, FSA President,  Rest-of-Life  Communications
 
 
The Future of Retirement… is Work!
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Today’s Agenda
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Overview
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Current State    Social Security and Medicare Funding in Jeopardy
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Current State  Only   Half of Working Americans Covered by Retirement Plan at Work
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Current State  Existing Assets May Be Inadequate
Current State  Existing 401(k) Balances May Be Inadequate Source: Average 401(k) balances for 20 million 401(k) participants, 12/312006.  EBRI Issue Brief #308 Tenure in Years $190,593 $157,069 $93,636 $51,268 $31,914 60s $167,806 $174,272 $99,794 $54,491 $32,532 50s 30+ 20 - 30 10 - 20 5 - 10 2 - 5 Age Group
Current State   Defined Benefit Plan Participation  Has Fallen Dramatically in Private Sector % of workforce participation by plan type Source: Center for Retirement Research at Boston College
Retiree Medical Coverage Drops  in Private Sector   Source: The Kaiser Family Foundation, 2006 Employer Health Benefits % Employers offering coverage
Many Americans Lack Necessary Financial Management Skills Some Scary Statistics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More Scary Statistics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Amount Respondents Say Needed for Comfortable Retirement source: EBRI 2008 Retirement Confidence Survey 18% $1 million or more 23% $500,000 - $999,999 16% $250,000 - $499,999 25% Under $250,000 12% Don’t know
Methods for Determining Savings Needed for Retirement source: EBRI 2008 Retirement Confidence Survey 4% Other 2% Desired lifestyle 4% Worksheet or form 7% Online calculator 9% Read or hear amount 19% Do own estimate 19% Ask advisor 43% Guess
More Scary Statistics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Inevitable Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Life Expectancy at Age 65 Source: Society of Actuaries
Workforce Participation  Men Age 65+ Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
[object Object],Death rates for males
[object Object]
Top 10 Retirement Mistakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Top 10 Retirement Mistakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Top 10 Retirement Mistakes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Top 10 Retirement Mistakes Plus One! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Top 10 Retirement Risks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
10 Steps to   Recession-Proof Your Retirement Years ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Simple solutions for closing the gap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Simple solutions for closing the gap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One example: can I retire at 62? married couple, same age, spouse doesn’t work current earnings $75,000/year no pension ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One example: can I retire at 65? married couple, same age, spouse doesn’t work current earnings $75,000/year no pension ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One example: can I retire at 70? married couple, same age, spouse doesn’t work current earnings $75,000/year no pension ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Another example: can I retire at 62? married couple, same age, spouse doesn’t work current earnings $75,000/year 15 years pension service ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Another example: can I retire at 65? married couple, same age, spouse doesn’t work current earnings $75,000/year 18 years pension service ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Another example: can I retire at 70? married couple, same age, spouse doesn’t work current earnings $75,000/year 23 years pension service ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Tough Choices for Individuals
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],New Life Goals?
What Can Employers  and Plan Sponsors Do? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Can Employers  and Plan Sponsors Do? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Can Employers  and Plan Sponsors Do?   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Employees and Participants Need Help  (But Not Advice)  with These Questions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Will these be your employees and plan participants in 10 years?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Tough Questions Facing Employers and Plan Sponsors
Learn more! ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Future of Retirement Q&A

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The Future of Retirement

  • 1. The Future of Retirement Houston Forum January 27, 2009 by Steve Vernon, FSA President, Rest-of-Life Communications
  • 2.  
  • 3.  
  • 4. The Future of Retirement… is Work!
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Current State Existing 401(k) Balances May Be Inadequate Source: Average 401(k) balances for 20 million 401(k) participants, 12/312006. EBRI Issue Brief #308 Tenure in Years $190,593 $157,069 $93,636 $51,268 $31,914 60s $167,806 $174,272 $99,794 $54,491 $32,532 50s 30+ 20 - 30 10 - 20 5 - 10 2 - 5 Age Group
  • 11. Current State Defined Benefit Plan Participation Has Fallen Dramatically in Private Sector % of workforce participation by plan type Source: Center for Retirement Research at Boston College
  • 12. Retiree Medical Coverage Drops in Private Sector Source: The Kaiser Family Foundation, 2006 Employer Health Benefits % Employers offering coverage
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Amount Respondents Say Needed for Comfortable Retirement source: EBRI 2008 Retirement Confidence Survey 18% $1 million or more 23% $500,000 - $999,999 16% $250,000 - $499,999 25% Under $250,000 12% Don’t know
  • 16. Methods for Determining Savings Needed for Retirement source: EBRI 2008 Retirement Confidence Survey 4% Other 2% Desired lifestyle 4% Worksheet or form 7% Online calculator 9% Read or hear amount 19% Do own estimate 19% Ask advisor 43% Guess
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Life Expectancy at Age 65 Source: Society of Actuaries
  • 20. Workforce Participation Men Age 65+ Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. Will these be your employees and plan participants in 10 years?
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. The Future of Retirement Q&A