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How Can the Telecom Industry Start Growing Again? July 27, 2010
Today’s Speakers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Agenda Telcos and the Three Faces of Eve Loving and Leveraging the Network Farewell, Flat Rate Q&A
Telcos and the Three Faces of Eve Camille Mendler Vice President and Senior Research Fellow
Redemption: After a Decade of Atonement ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Cloud Era New business models Third-party ecosystems Strategic wholesale The Noughties Bottom line focus Divestment Disintermediation 1990s 2000s 2010s
Redemption: From a War Fought on Many Fronts  ICT Hardware, Software and Services Cisco, Ericsson, HP, IBM, Microsoft, NSN Consumer Electronics Apple, HTC, Nokia, Samsung, Sony Cloud Amazon, Google, Facebook, YouTube, Salesforce.com Source: Yankee Group and Telecom Italia, 2010 Media and Broadcast BBC, Bertelsmann, Disney, Sony Music
Gluttony: In a New World of Demand   20 th -Century Consumer 21 st -Century Consumer Image credits: Tristar, Fox Broadcasting Oliver Twist “ Please sir, can I have some more?” Homer Simpson “ More, doh!”
Gluttony: In a Renewable Energy Economy Picture sources: Flickr The Jevons Paradox : An invention that improves the  efficiency   of a product’s consumption also increases the  volume   of its consumption. William Stanley Jevons, a Victorian economist The coal-fired steam engine A lump of coal
Insanity: It’s Time for Multiple Personalities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Three Faces of Eve, 1957
Insanity: NTT Creates a Cloud  Keiretsu  with DiData ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Infrastructure Cloud services IT services Integration   NTT Com Brands:  Emerio, Integralis,  Pacific Crossing, Verio NTT Data Brands:  Intelligroup,   Adelante,  Cirquent, itelligence, Revere Group
Loving and Leveraging the Network Benoît Felten  Principal Analyst
Key Issues for NGN Deployment and Adoption ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mythbusting: Google Must Pay to Offset the Cost ,[object Object],[object Object]
Collaboration May Be the Key… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Italian FTTH Deployment Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to Bring Cheap Services to Fiber Users Fast Infrastructure Role Capacity for Timely Innovation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why Does the iPhone App Store Work? Known environment Working developer ecosystem Developer Context Market Context Large addressable market for apps Low end-user prices Business Model Win-win model (kinda) Apple Sauce Apple brand and marketing savvy
Schematic View of a Fiber App Store Ecosystem End-Users Fiber Network  Operator A Fiber Network  Operator B Fiber Network  Operator C Open Network  Components A Open Network  Components B Open Network  Components C Fiber App Store … Developer Communities
Farewell, Flat Rate Declan Lonergan Vice President
Mobile Networks Will Be Stretched to the Breaking Point Traffic Demand Estimates for Broadband Mobile Phones and Connected Computing Devices (U.S. Market)
Operators Must Act Now ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Operators’ Mobile Broadband Objectives Must Change
This Is the Future of Mobile Broadband Pricing The holy grail is   converged ,   personalized   and   dynamic   pricing
Services and Price Plans Should Be More Personal
Consumers Will Demand True Convergence   Super bundles for today’s super consumers
The Real End-Goal Should Be Dynamic Pricing
Key Takeaways ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Q&A Camille Mendler, VP and Senior Research Fellow Cloud Computing, Regulation and Service Delivery Architecture Blog:  http://blogs.yankeegroup.com/author/cmendler/ Twitter:  @cmendler Recent research:  “ Commoditizing the Cloud: New Adventures in Liquid Markets ” & “ Cloud 99.99: The Small Print Exposed ” Benoît Felten, Principal Analyst Broadband, Regulation Blog:  http://blogs.yankeegroup.com/author/bfelten/ Twitter:  @fiberguy Recent research : “ FTTP Leader Asia-Pacific Offers Lessons for Other Regions ” & “ What If Google Paid? ” Declan Lonergan, VP Consumer Access Services, Mobile Internet Services, Consumer Pricing and Packaging Blog:  http://blogs.yankeegroup.com/author/dlonergan/ Twitter:  @dlonergan Recent research:  “ Milking the Voice Cow ” & “ Messaging Is Dead. Long Live Messaging! ” Register to access free research at www.yankeegroup.com/join.do
www.yankeegroup.com Read analyst blogs at  blogs.yankeegroup.com Watch analyst videos at youtube.com/yankeegroup   Follow us on Twitter:  @YankeeGroup   Fan Yankee Group  at facebook.com Upcoming Yankee Group webinar: IPTV Market Trends Tuesday, Aug. 31, 2010 | 11 a.m. ET Register at www.yankeegroup.com Thank You

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How Can the Telecom Industry Start Growing Again?

  • 1. How Can the Telecom Industry Start Growing Again? July 27, 2010
  • 2.
  • 3. Agenda Telcos and the Three Faces of Eve Loving and Leveraging the Network Farewell, Flat Rate Q&A
  • 4. Telcos and the Three Faces of Eve Camille Mendler Vice President and Senior Research Fellow
  • 5.
  • 6. Redemption: From a War Fought on Many Fronts ICT Hardware, Software and Services Cisco, Ericsson, HP, IBM, Microsoft, NSN Consumer Electronics Apple, HTC, Nokia, Samsung, Sony Cloud Amazon, Google, Facebook, YouTube, Salesforce.com Source: Yankee Group and Telecom Italia, 2010 Media and Broadcast BBC, Bertelsmann, Disney, Sony Music
  • 7. Gluttony: In a New World of Demand 20 th -Century Consumer 21 st -Century Consumer Image credits: Tristar, Fox Broadcasting Oliver Twist “ Please sir, can I have some more?” Homer Simpson “ More, doh!”
  • 8. Gluttony: In a Renewable Energy Economy Picture sources: Flickr The Jevons Paradox : An invention that improves the efficiency of a product’s consumption also increases the volume of its consumption. William Stanley Jevons, a Victorian economist The coal-fired steam engine A lump of coal
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Loving and Leveraging the Network Benoît Felten Principal Analyst
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Why Does the iPhone App Store Work? Known environment Working developer ecosystem Developer Context Market Context Large addressable market for apps Low end-user prices Business Model Win-win model (kinda) Apple Sauce Apple brand and marketing savvy
  • 18. Schematic View of a Fiber App Store Ecosystem End-Users Fiber Network Operator A Fiber Network Operator B Fiber Network Operator C Open Network Components A Open Network Components B Open Network Components C Fiber App Store … Developer Communities
  • 19. Farewell, Flat Rate Declan Lonergan Vice President
  • 20. Mobile Networks Will Be Stretched to the Breaking Point Traffic Demand Estimates for Broadband Mobile Phones and Connected Computing Devices (U.S. Market)
  • 21.
  • 22. Operators’ Mobile Broadband Objectives Must Change
  • 23. This Is the Future of Mobile Broadband Pricing The holy grail is converged , personalized and dynamic pricing
  • 24. Services and Price Plans Should Be More Personal
  • 25. Consumers Will Demand True Convergence Super bundles for today’s super consumers
  • 26. The Real End-Goal Should Be Dynamic Pricing
  • 27.
  • 28. Q&A Camille Mendler, VP and Senior Research Fellow Cloud Computing, Regulation and Service Delivery Architecture Blog: http://blogs.yankeegroup.com/author/cmendler/ Twitter: @cmendler Recent research: “ Commoditizing the Cloud: New Adventures in Liquid Markets ” & “ Cloud 99.99: The Small Print Exposed ” Benoît Felten, Principal Analyst Broadband, Regulation Blog: http://blogs.yankeegroup.com/author/bfelten/ Twitter: @fiberguy Recent research : “ FTTP Leader Asia-Pacific Offers Lessons for Other Regions ” & “ What If Google Paid? ” Declan Lonergan, VP Consumer Access Services, Mobile Internet Services, Consumer Pricing and Packaging Blog: http://blogs.yankeegroup.com/author/dlonergan/ Twitter: @dlonergan Recent research: “ Milking the Voice Cow ” & “ Messaging Is Dead. Long Live Messaging! ” Register to access free research at www.yankeegroup.com/join.do
  • 29. www.yankeegroup.com Read analyst blogs at blogs.yankeegroup.com Watch analyst videos at youtube.com/yankeegroup Follow us on Twitter: @YankeeGroup Fan Yankee Group at facebook.com Upcoming Yankee Group webinar: IPTV Market Trends Tuesday, Aug. 31, 2010 | 11 a.m. ET Register at www.yankeegroup.com Thank You