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Towards a quantification of wilderness?
     Innovative approaches to spatial planning and
  functionality-based priority setting for conservation




Pierre L. Ibisch, Lisa Freudenberger, Julia Sauermann, Nuria Selva & Peter Hobson
                                 pibisch@hnee.de
                    Symposium Wilderness at the edge of survival in Europe
                                   ECCB 2012, Glasgow

Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
P. Ibisch 2011




                                                             Scots Pine Plantation,
                        Stechlin-Ruppiner Land Nature Park, Brandenburg, Germany
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
590 ha




                                                             Beech Forest,  Grumsin
 UNESCO World Heritage Site „Primeval Beech Forests of the Carpathians and
                                        Ancient Beech Forests of Germany“
            Schorfheide-Chorin Biosphere Reserve, Brandenburg, Germany
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
11.860 ha




                                                             Beech Forest,    Uholka
 UNESCO World Heritage Site „Primeval Beech Forests of the Carpathians and
                                        Ancient Beech Forests of Germany“
                                    Carpathian Biosphere Reserve, Ukraine
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
The relative absence or presence of
     wilderness: beech forests Relative absence of
                                                                                 wilderness
                                                                                 • ‚Scenery‘
                                                                                 • Form (structure, size)
                                                                                 • Function




Main sources: CORINE Land Cover data; Brus et al. 2011: Statistical mapping of tree species over Europe (EFI)

Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Functional definition of wilderness
     Functional, self-ordering, self-referential ecosystems without
     (‚modern‘) anthropogenic forcing

                                                                         Functional ecosystems
                                                                         • structures, ecological
                                                                            functions and dynamics
                                                                         • inherently resilient and
                                                                            adaptive
                                                                         • development without
                                                                            abrupt change of
                                                                            system properties
                                                                            and/or geographical
                                                                            distribution
(after adaptive cycle by Gunderson and Holling 2002)
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Relevance of ´functional wilderness´
     • In the context of
           – Ecosystem services
           – Ecosystem-based adaptation to climate change: goods
             and services related to building resilience and
             adaptive capacity into the managed landscape
           – Green Infrastructure                             Where and how
                                                                 much?
   Functional wild                 Functional wild                  Functional wild                Human
     ecosystems                     ecosystems‘                      ecosystems‘                    well-
                                      services                          goods                       being
                                                                e.g. temperature attenuation,
Processes and functions       e.g., regulating, cultural       clean water supply, inspiration




Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying functional wilderness:
      mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances

     • Internal disturbances
                                                                        Proxies indicating
          – Obvious physical changes                                         multiple
                • Modification                                            disturbances?
                • Fragmentation
                • Destruction
          – Subtle compositional changes – e.g., elimination
            of certain ecosystem elements
     • External disturbances
          – (Global) Environmental changes
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying functional wilderness:
      mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances
Landscape-scale proxy of absence of a
series of disturbances (fragmentation,
pollution, noise, hydrological changes etc.)




Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying functional wilderness:
      mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances




http://earthengine.google.org/#intro/Roadless10km

Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying
     functional
                                               Traffic intensity (T): number of vehicles per hour (TV)
     wilderness:                               multiplied by the road length (R) in a given cell
     mapping the
     (relative) absence
     of disturbances –
     the example of                            Vicinity impact (V) in a given cell, was calculated as a
                                               value which takes into account the
     roads                                     cumulative effect of all relevant roads as a function of
  • Spatial Road                               their distance and traffic load
    Disturbance Index
    (SPROADI)
  Freudenberger et al. (in review)
  Prepared with Insensa-GIS
  (www.insensa.org)
                                               Fragmentation grade (F) was estimated using the
                                               formula of Jaeger et al. (2000) for the degree of
Federal State of                               landscape division (DIVI)
Brandenburg



Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying
     functional
     wilderness:
     mapping the
     (relative) absence
     of disturbances –
     the example of
     roads
  • Spatial Road
    Disturbance Index
    (SPROADI)
  Freudenberger et al. (in review)
  Prepared with Insensa-GIS
  (www.insensa.org)




Federal State of
Brandenburg



Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
• Spatial Road Disturbance Index (SPROADI)
•   Freudenberger et al. (in review); prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org)
•   Correlation with land use types and protection status

Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying wilderness: mapping the (relative) presence of
  ‚functionality‘ using proxy indicators

 Global map of
 the ecosystem
 functionality
 index (EFI) in
 1km
 resolution and
 WGS 1984
 projection.
 High index
 values are
 colored green.


Based on                                           Species Richness
                                Vegetation                                                Plant Functional
proxies: Tree Height            Density
                                                   of Vascular      Slope
                                                                                          Richness
                                                                                                           Carbon Storage
                                                   Plants

Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org)
Freudenberger et al. (in press): A global map of the functionality of terrestrial ecosystems. Ecological Complexity.

Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying wilderness:
 combining proxies of
 (relative) presence and                              a. Biological-ecological proxies
 absence of                                               • Plant species richness
 ‚functionality‘                                          • Slope
                                                          • Soil carbon
 Freudenberger et al. (2012, in prep.)                    • Vegetation density
 Prepared with Insensa-GIS
 (www.insensa.org)                                    b. Connectivity and conservation
                                                      status
• Brandenburg
                                                          • Road Disturbance Index
  Ecosystem
                                                          • Forest connectivity
  Functionality Index
Freudenberger et al. (2012 & in prep.)                    • Human footprint
                                                      c. Climate change exposure change
                                                          • Relative temperature change
                                                          • Relative precipitation change
                                                          • Relative change of forest fires

Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying wilderness:
 combining proxies of
 (relative) presence and
 absence of
 ‚functionality‘
 Freudenberger et al. (2012, in prep.)
 Prepared with Insensa-GIS
 (www.insensa.org)
                                         Road disturbance
• Brandenburg
  Ecosystem
  Functionality Index
Freudenberger et al. (2012 & in prep.)


a. Biological-ecological proxies
b. Connectivity and conservation
status
c. Climate change impact
d. FUNCTIONALITY INDEX
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Gap analysis:
  Relatively functional
  areas unprotected
  Freudenberger et al. (2012, in prep.)
  Prepared with Insensa-GIS
  (www.insensa.org)



• Brandenburg

                                                     unprotected
  Ecosystem


                                                                   protected
  Functionality Index
Freudenberger et al. (2012 & in prep.)

                                           Value
Federal State of                           High
Brandenburg                                 Low


Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Quantifying
  wilderness: mapping
  the (relative)
  presence of
  ‚functionality‘ in
  forest ecosystems
  •     forest inventory data
        (tree species richness,
        share of native tree
        species, age
        heterogeneity, max. age,
        height)
  Sauermann et al. (2012)
  Hoffmann et al. (in prep.)
  Prepared with Insensa-GIS
  (www.insensa.org)
Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
Conclusions
     • Functionality-based wilderness quantification
     • Functionality  functions  ecosystem services
     • Combination of both disturbance (footprint) and
       functionality indicators allows mapping of
       ‚relatively wild‘ and functional ecosystems
     • Putting wilderness into context in Europe:
       ‚wilding‘ landscapes in terms of improving
       functionality and ecosystem services
     • Conservation planning targeting functional
       ecosystems

Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development

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Ibisch et al Towards a quantification of wilderness?

  • 1. Towards a quantification of wilderness? Innovative approaches to spatial planning and functionality-based priority setting for conservation Pierre L. Ibisch, Lisa Freudenberger, Julia Sauermann, Nuria Selva & Peter Hobson pibisch@hnee.de Symposium Wilderness at the edge of survival in Europe ECCB 2012, Glasgow Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 2. Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 3. Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 4. P. Ibisch 2011 Scots Pine Plantation, Stechlin-Ruppiner Land Nature Park, Brandenburg, Germany Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 5. 590 ha Beech Forest, Grumsin UNESCO World Heritage Site „Primeval Beech Forests of the Carpathians and Ancient Beech Forests of Germany“ Schorfheide-Chorin Biosphere Reserve, Brandenburg, Germany Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 6. 11.860 ha Beech Forest, Uholka UNESCO World Heritage Site „Primeval Beech Forests of the Carpathians and Ancient Beech Forests of Germany“ Carpathian Biosphere Reserve, Ukraine Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 7. The relative absence or presence of wilderness: beech forests Relative absence of wilderness • ‚Scenery‘ • Form (structure, size) • Function Main sources: CORINE Land Cover data; Brus et al. 2011: Statistical mapping of tree species over Europe (EFI) Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 8. Functional definition of wilderness Functional, self-ordering, self-referential ecosystems without (‚modern‘) anthropogenic forcing Functional ecosystems • structures, ecological functions and dynamics • inherently resilient and adaptive • development without abrupt change of system properties and/or geographical distribution (after adaptive cycle by Gunderson and Holling 2002) Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 9. Relevance of ´functional wilderness´ • In the context of – Ecosystem services – Ecosystem-based adaptation to climate change: goods and services related to building resilience and adaptive capacity into the managed landscape – Green Infrastructure Where and how much? Functional wild Functional wild Functional wild Human ecosystems ecosystems‘ ecosystems‘ well- services goods being e.g. temperature attenuation, Processes and functions e.g., regulating, cultural clean water supply, inspiration Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 10. Quantifying functional wilderness: mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances • Internal disturbances Proxies indicating – Obvious physical changes multiple • Modification disturbances? • Fragmentation • Destruction – Subtle compositional changes – e.g., elimination of certain ecosystem elements • External disturbances – (Global) Environmental changes Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 11. Quantifying functional wilderness: mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances Landscape-scale proxy of absence of a series of disturbances (fragmentation, pollution, noise, hydrological changes etc.) Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 12. Quantifying functional wilderness: mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances http://earthengine.google.org/#intro/Roadless10km Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 13. Quantifying functional Traffic intensity (T): number of vehicles per hour (TV) wilderness: multiplied by the road length (R) in a given cell mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances – the example of Vicinity impact (V) in a given cell, was calculated as a value which takes into account the roads cumulative effect of all relevant roads as a function of • Spatial Road their distance and traffic load Disturbance Index (SPROADI) Freudenberger et al. (in review) Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) Fragmentation grade (F) was estimated using the formula of Jaeger et al. (2000) for the degree of Federal State of landscape division (DIVI) Brandenburg Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 14. Quantifying functional wilderness: mapping the (relative) absence of disturbances – the example of roads • Spatial Road Disturbance Index (SPROADI) Freudenberger et al. (in review) Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) Federal State of Brandenburg Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 15. • Spatial Road Disturbance Index (SPROADI) • Freudenberger et al. (in review); prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) • Correlation with land use types and protection status Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 16. Quantifying wilderness: mapping the (relative) presence of ‚functionality‘ using proxy indicators Global map of the ecosystem functionality index (EFI) in 1km resolution and WGS 1984 projection. High index values are colored green. Based on Species Richness Vegetation Plant Functional proxies: Tree Height Density of Vascular Slope Richness Carbon Storage Plants Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) Freudenberger et al. (in press): A global map of the functionality of terrestrial ecosystems. Ecological Complexity. Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 17. Quantifying wilderness: combining proxies of (relative) presence and a. Biological-ecological proxies absence of • Plant species richness ‚functionality‘ • Slope • Soil carbon Freudenberger et al. (2012, in prep.) • Vegetation density Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) b. Connectivity and conservation status • Brandenburg • Road Disturbance Index Ecosystem • Forest connectivity Functionality Index Freudenberger et al. (2012 & in prep.) • Human footprint c. Climate change exposure change • Relative temperature change • Relative precipitation change • Relative change of forest fires Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 18. Quantifying wilderness: combining proxies of (relative) presence and absence of ‚functionality‘ Freudenberger et al. (2012, in prep.) Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) Road disturbance • Brandenburg Ecosystem Functionality Index Freudenberger et al. (2012 & in prep.) a. Biological-ecological proxies b. Connectivity and conservation status c. Climate change impact d. FUNCTIONALITY INDEX Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 19. Gap analysis: Relatively functional areas unprotected Freudenberger et al. (2012, in prep.) Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) • Brandenburg unprotected Ecosystem protected Functionality Index Freudenberger et al. (2012 & in prep.) Value Federal State of High Brandenburg Low Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 20. Quantifying wilderness: mapping the (relative) presence of ‚functionality‘ in forest ecosystems • forest inventory data (tree species richness, share of native tree species, age heterogeneity, max. age, height) Sauermann et al. (2012) Hoffmann et al. (in prep.) Prepared with Insensa-GIS (www.insensa.org) Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development
  • 21. Conclusions • Functionality-based wilderness quantification • Functionality  functions  ecosystem services • Combination of both disturbance (footprint) and functionality indicators allows mapping of ‚relatively wild‘ and functional ecosystems • Putting wilderness into context in Europe: ‚wilding‘ landscapes in terms of improving functionality and ecosystem services • Conservation planning targeting functional ecosystems Ibisch et al. - Centre for Econics and Ecosystem Management – Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development