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Feasibility Evaluation of
Cleaner Production Options
12/16/15 2
Select workable CP opportunities
 Categorize options into:
1. Implement obviously feasible options
2. Reject obviously non-feasible options
3. Remaining options - conduct feasibility
analysis
Feasibility of CP options
Technical feasibility
Financial feasibility
Environmental feasibility
12/16/15 3
12/16/15 4
Technical feasibility
Availability and reliability
of equipment
Requirements for utilities,
process monitoring and
control, space etc.
Maintenance
requirements
Operator and supervisor
skills
Ease of retrofitting into
existing system
Projected material
balance
Projected energy
balance
12/16/15 5
Assess technical feasibility
Consumption Rates: Before implementation After implementation
Inputs:
raw materials
labour
energy
water
etc.
Outputs:
products
solid waste
wastewater
Gaseous emissions
etc.
Parameters Weight Score Weighted Score
Level of meeting
specifications
3 5 15
Availability and
reliability of after
sales service
2 2 4
Utility
requirements
2 3 6
Availability of
auxiliary
equipment
2 3 6
Compatibility with
other systems
2 4 8
Total 39
12/16/15 6
If technically not feasible,
12/16/15 7
Reject the option
Not necessary to evaluate financial
and environmental feasibility
12/16/15 8
Assess financial viability
Consists of:
1. Data collection:
investments;
operational costs & benefits
2. Choice of economic criteria
3. Economic calculations
12/16/15 9
Assess financial viability
Data collection (from technical evaluation):
1. Investment:
equipment, construction, training, start up etc.
1. Operational costs and benefits:
before and after comparison
12/16/15 10
Operational costs and benefits
Electricity
Man power
Chemical
Maintenance
Training cost
Interest and
depreciation
Direct savings
(tangible benefits)
Indirect savings
Treatment cost
Disposal cost
Health and safety
12/16/15 11
Timing of Cash Flows
Working
capital
Annual Operating Costs
Annual Tax Payments
Annual Financing
Payments
Salvage Value
End of project:
Time zero:
Initial Investment
Working Capital
TIMEYear 1 Year 2 Year 3
Annual Revenues/Savings
12/16/15 12
Profitability Indicators
A profitability indicator, or “financial
indicator”, is: “a single number that is
calculated for characterisation of project
profitability in a concise,
understandable form.”
Common examples are:
Simple Payback
Return on Investment (ROI)
Net Present Value (NPV)
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
12/16/15 13
Simple Payback
This indicator incorporates:
the initial investment cost
the first year cash flow from the project
Simple
Payback
(in years)
Initial Investment
Year 1 Cash Flow
=
12/16/15 14
How to Interpret Simple Payback
The simple payback calculated for a
project is usually compared to a
company rule of thumb called a
“hurdle” rate:
e.g., if the payback period is less
than 3 years, then the project is
viewed as profitable
12/16/15 1515
The Time Value of Money
and
Net Present Value (NPV)
12/16/15 1616
Question:
If we were giving away money,
would you rather have:
(A) $10,000 today, or
(B) $10,000 3 years
from now
Explain your answer...
12/16/15 17
Inflation
Money loses purchasing power over time
as product/service prices rise, so a dollar
today can buy more than a dollar next
year.
costs $1 costs $1.05
inflation 5%
nownow next yearnext year
12/16/15 18
Investment Opportunity
A dollar that you invest today will bring
you more than a dollar next year —
having the dollar now provides you with
an investment opportunity
Interest, or
“return on investment”
Investing
$1 now
Investment
Gives you
$1.10 a year
from now
12/16/15 1919
Present Value Factors
Value of $1 in the future, NOW
Discount rate (d): 10% 20% 30% 40%
Years into future (n)
1 .9091 .8333 .7692 .7142
2 .8264 .6944 .5917 .5102
3 .7513 .5787 .4552 .3644
4 .6830 .4823 .3501 .2603
5 .6209 .4019 .2693 .1859
10 .3855 .1615 .0725 .0346
20 .1486 .0261 .0053 .0012
30 .0573 .0042 .0004 .0000
12/16/15 2020
Net Present Value (NPV)
• Net Present Value (NPV) = the sum of
the present values of all of a project’s
cash flows, both negative (cash
outflows) and positive (cash inflows)
• NPV characterises the present value of
the project to the company
If NPV > 0, the project is profitable
If NPV < 0, the project is not
12/16/15 21
Environmental evaluation
Comparison between the current material
balance and the projected material
balance
Reduction in quantity of waste
Less hazardous materials
Reduction in energy losses
Reduction in water consumption
Reduction of material consumption
12/16/15 22
Selection of feasible options
Tabulate the results of technical,
economic and environmental evaluations
Eliminate technically non-feasible options
Eliminate options without significant net
environmental benefit
Combine the results to rank the options
12/16/15 23
Weighted matrix method
Technical Feasibility - 25 Low: 0 – 5
Med: 6 – 14
High: 15 – 25
Economic Viability - 50 Low: 0 – 10
Med: 11 – 29
High: 30 – 50
Environmental Feasibility 25 Low: 0 – 5
Med: 6 – 14
High: 15 - 25
12/16/15 24
Weighted matrix method
Technical – cannot be negative
Economical – can be negative
Environmental – no option should be
negative
Ranking – prioritize according to your
needs
12/16/15 25
Thank
You!

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Cp gp day03 session 10 - feasibility of cp options

  • 2. 12/16/15 2 Select workable CP opportunities  Categorize options into: 1. Implement obviously feasible options 2. Reject obviously non-feasible options 3. Remaining options - conduct feasibility analysis
  • 3. Feasibility of CP options Technical feasibility Financial feasibility Environmental feasibility 12/16/15 3
  • 4. 12/16/15 4 Technical feasibility Availability and reliability of equipment Requirements for utilities, process monitoring and control, space etc. Maintenance requirements Operator and supervisor skills Ease of retrofitting into existing system Projected material balance Projected energy balance
  • 5. 12/16/15 5 Assess technical feasibility Consumption Rates: Before implementation After implementation Inputs: raw materials labour energy water etc. Outputs: products solid waste wastewater Gaseous emissions etc.
  • 6. Parameters Weight Score Weighted Score Level of meeting specifications 3 5 15 Availability and reliability of after sales service 2 2 4 Utility requirements 2 3 6 Availability of auxiliary equipment 2 3 6 Compatibility with other systems 2 4 8 Total 39 12/16/15 6
  • 7. If technically not feasible, 12/16/15 7 Reject the option Not necessary to evaluate financial and environmental feasibility
  • 8. 12/16/15 8 Assess financial viability Consists of: 1. Data collection: investments; operational costs & benefits 2. Choice of economic criteria 3. Economic calculations
  • 9. 12/16/15 9 Assess financial viability Data collection (from technical evaluation): 1. Investment: equipment, construction, training, start up etc. 1. Operational costs and benefits: before and after comparison
  • 10. 12/16/15 10 Operational costs and benefits Electricity Man power Chemical Maintenance Training cost Interest and depreciation Direct savings (tangible benefits) Indirect savings Treatment cost Disposal cost Health and safety
  • 11. 12/16/15 11 Timing of Cash Flows Working capital Annual Operating Costs Annual Tax Payments Annual Financing Payments Salvage Value End of project: Time zero: Initial Investment Working Capital TIMEYear 1 Year 2 Year 3 Annual Revenues/Savings
  • 12. 12/16/15 12 Profitability Indicators A profitability indicator, or “financial indicator”, is: “a single number that is calculated for characterisation of project profitability in a concise, understandable form.” Common examples are: Simple Payback Return on Investment (ROI) Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
  • 13. 12/16/15 13 Simple Payback This indicator incorporates: the initial investment cost the first year cash flow from the project Simple Payback (in years) Initial Investment Year 1 Cash Flow =
  • 14. 12/16/15 14 How to Interpret Simple Payback The simple payback calculated for a project is usually compared to a company rule of thumb called a “hurdle” rate: e.g., if the payback period is less than 3 years, then the project is viewed as profitable
  • 15. 12/16/15 1515 The Time Value of Money and Net Present Value (NPV)
  • 16. 12/16/15 1616 Question: If we were giving away money, would you rather have: (A) $10,000 today, or (B) $10,000 3 years from now Explain your answer...
  • 17. 12/16/15 17 Inflation Money loses purchasing power over time as product/service prices rise, so a dollar today can buy more than a dollar next year. costs $1 costs $1.05 inflation 5% nownow next yearnext year
  • 18. 12/16/15 18 Investment Opportunity A dollar that you invest today will bring you more than a dollar next year — having the dollar now provides you with an investment opportunity Interest, or “return on investment” Investing $1 now Investment Gives you $1.10 a year from now
  • 19. 12/16/15 1919 Present Value Factors Value of $1 in the future, NOW Discount rate (d): 10% 20% 30% 40% Years into future (n) 1 .9091 .8333 .7692 .7142 2 .8264 .6944 .5917 .5102 3 .7513 .5787 .4552 .3644 4 .6830 .4823 .3501 .2603 5 .6209 .4019 .2693 .1859 10 .3855 .1615 .0725 .0346 20 .1486 .0261 .0053 .0012 30 .0573 .0042 .0004 .0000
  • 20. 12/16/15 2020 Net Present Value (NPV) • Net Present Value (NPV) = the sum of the present values of all of a project’s cash flows, both negative (cash outflows) and positive (cash inflows) • NPV characterises the present value of the project to the company If NPV > 0, the project is profitable If NPV < 0, the project is not
  • 21. 12/16/15 21 Environmental evaluation Comparison between the current material balance and the projected material balance Reduction in quantity of waste Less hazardous materials Reduction in energy losses Reduction in water consumption Reduction of material consumption
  • 22. 12/16/15 22 Selection of feasible options Tabulate the results of technical, economic and environmental evaluations Eliminate technically non-feasible options Eliminate options without significant net environmental benefit Combine the results to rank the options
  • 23. 12/16/15 23 Weighted matrix method Technical Feasibility - 25 Low: 0 – 5 Med: 6 – 14 High: 15 – 25 Economic Viability - 50 Low: 0 – 10 Med: 11 – 29 High: 30 – 50 Environmental Feasibility 25 Low: 0 – 5 Med: 6 – 14 High: 15 - 25
  • 24. 12/16/15 24 Weighted matrix method Technical – cannot be negative Economical – can be negative Environmental – no option should be negative Ranking – prioritize according to your needs