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1FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
Redefining Intelligent Growth
Ann Miura-Ko, Floodgate
PreMoney SF Conference
December 5, 2017
2FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
We’ve always known that becoming a great startup is a difficult endeavor
Source: CB Insights
3FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
CAPITAL RAISED PEAK VALUATION
MOST-FUNDED STARTUPS TO FAIL IN 2017
$950M $1.5B (Jan ‘16)
$135M $600M (March ‘15)
$149M $564M (Aug ‘15)
$121M $459M (March ‘16)
$75M $400M (Nov ‘14)
$75M $160 (March ‘16)
$59M $169M (Apr ‘15)
Yet, many failing startups are consuming more capital than ever before
Source: TechCrunch
4FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
Unprofitable Hypergrowth
Become not just the fast-growing
first-mover, but the massively
scaled last-mover, without any
regard to cost.
We’ve recently been accustomed to one particular type of growth
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
5FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
A high loss rate for VC is obvious, but
should these startups be consuming this
much capital?
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
6FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
Startups CREATE VALUE for customers and shareholders
when they become real businesses that scale intelligently.
Startups DESTROY VALUE when they consume capital too
rapidly relative to their growth and subsequently become worth
less than their preference stacks.
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
7FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
What have we learned that can help
founders avoid growth that destroys value?
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
8FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
VALUE-SEEKING GROWTH-SEEKING
Unlock a new product value
proposition with the potential
to delight a large number of
attractive customers.
Accumulate attractive
customers with increasing
speed and predictability.
To be great, we need to HACK VALUE before we can HACK GROWTH
TRUTH-SEEKING
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
9FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
Case Study:
Aug 2010
Expansion to
focus on
corporations
Sep 2011
$1.2M
Series Seed
$6M
Series A
Expansion to
focus on large
universities
Expansion to
focus on
long-distance
routes
Aug 2012
LAUNCHES
What does this truth-seeking phase look like in reality?
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
10FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
There are many profiles of growth
Unprofitable
Hypergrowth
Lyft, Airbnb
Profitable
Hypergrowth
Microsoft,
Veeva Systems
Linear Growth Main street
businesses
Profitable Decline As a category begins to decline, seek to maximize
possible profits in the twilight years of the category
Magazine
subscriptions
Non-scaleable growth where the value you get out of it
is correlated with the money you put in
Become not just the fast-growing first-mover, but the
massively scaled last-mover
Focus on “profit first” and growing profits in a maturing
market you dominate
VENTURE-BACKABLE
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
11FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
And there’s one more Value Profile...
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
12FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
The DENIAL Profile.
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
13FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
Determining the correct Value Profile is a combination of
AMBITION & ACCEPTANCE
A company should try to accelerate its value creation at the greatest possible rate.
But “possible” is the key word. The ambition to grow rapidly needs to be reconciled
with the most realistic growth strategy for optimal value creation.
This massive democratization of entrepreneurship should allow us, as VCs
and LPs, to be more creative as to how we make returns.
Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
14FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential
Thank You

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Redefining Intelligent Growth with Value-Seeking Startups

  • 1. 1FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential Redefining Intelligent Growth Ann Miura-Ko, Floodgate PreMoney SF Conference December 5, 2017
  • 2. 2FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential We’ve always known that becoming a great startup is a difficult endeavor Source: CB Insights
  • 3. 3FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential CAPITAL RAISED PEAK VALUATION MOST-FUNDED STARTUPS TO FAIL IN 2017 $950M $1.5B (Jan ‘16) $135M $600M (March ‘15) $149M $564M (Aug ‘15) $121M $459M (March ‘16) $75M $400M (Nov ‘14) $75M $160 (March ‘16) $59M $169M (Apr ‘15) Yet, many failing startups are consuming more capital than ever before Source: TechCrunch
  • 4. 4FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential Unprofitable Hypergrowth Become not just the fast-growing first-mover, but the massively scaled last-mover, without any regard to cost. We’ve recently been accustomed to one particular type of growth Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 5. 5FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential A high loss rate for VC is obvious, but should these startups be consuming this much capital? Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 6. 6FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential Startups CREATE VALUE for customers and shareholders when they become real businesses that scale intelligently. Startups DESTROY VALUE when they consume capital too rapidly relative to their growth and subsequently become worth less than their preference stacks. Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 7. 7FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential What have we learned that can help founders avoid growth that destroys value? Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 8. 8FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential VALUE-SEEKING GROWTH-SEEKING Unlock a new product value proposition with the potential to delight a large number of attractive customers. Accumulate attractive customers with increasing speed and predictability. To be great, we need to HACK VALUE before we can HACK GROWTH TRUTH-SEEKING Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 9. 9FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential Case Study: Aug 2010 Expansion to focus on corporations Sep 2011 $1.2M Series Seed $6M Series A Expansion to focus on large universities Expansion to focus on long-distance routes Aug 2012 LAUNCHES What does this truth-seeking phase look like in reality? Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 10. 10FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential There are many profiles of growth Unprofitable Hypergrowth Lyft, Airbnb Profitable Hypergrowth Microsoft, Veeva Systems Linear Growth Main street businesses Profitable Decline As a category begins to decline, seek to maximize possible profits in the twilight years of the category Magazine subscriptions Non-scaleable growth where the value you get out of it is correlated with the money you put in Become not just the fast-growing first-mover, but the massively scaled last-mover Focus on “profit first” and growing profits in a maturing market you dominate VENTURE-BACKABLE Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 11. 11FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential And there’s one more Value Profile... Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 12. 12FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential The DENIAL Profile. Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 13. 13FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential Determining the correct Value Profile is a combination of AMBITION & ACCEPTANCE A company should try to accelerate its value creation at the greatest possible rate. But “possible” is the key word. The ambition to grow rapidly needs to be reconciled with the most realistic growth strategy for optimal value creation. This massive democratization of entrepreneurship should allow us, as VCs and LPs, to be more creative as to how we make returns. Ann Miura-Ko, @annimaniac
  • 14. 14FLOODGATE |Proprietary & Confidential Thank You