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Oluwasola E. Omoju_2023 AGRODEP Annual Conference

  1. GENDER INEQUALITIES IN AGRICULTURE PRODUCTIVITY IN NIGERIA: EFFECTS AND POLICY RESPONSES Emily Ikhide, Lulit M. Beyene, Ezra Umaru, Fehintola Oyebola, Oluwasola Omoju
  2. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Table of contents • Context • Literature Review • Research objectives • Methodology • Data • Simulations (impacts of gender gaps in the agriculture sector) • Results: impacts of gender gaps in the agriculture sector • Results: Impacts of policy options to close the gender productivity gap • Conclusion and recommendations
  3. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Context  Agriculture is a key sector of the Nigerian economy  Agriculture GDP is rising  Contributes 21.1% of GDP in 2017  The sector is critical for food security: 56.6% of household expenditure is on food.  Employs about 70% of the population of which women are a major suppliers of labour  However, there are some setbacks  Contribution of the sector to GDP declined from 37.5% in 2002 to 21.1% in 2017  The rate of growth of the sector fell from the peak of 24.6% in 2006 to 11.3% in 2017
  4. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Context (cont’d)  One of the main characteristics of the sector is the gender differences in access to inputs  A significant proportion of rural women women engage in farming  Women account for 60-79% of rural labour force But they lack access to basic agriculture inputs and supports They are five times less likely to own land than men
  5. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Existing studies • Extent, causes and determinants of gender gap in the agriculture sector  Gender gap in access to farm inputs (Oseni, et al, 2013)  Gender gap in productivity levels (Mukasa and Salami, 2015)  Impacts of policy measures to improve the productivity of women farmers an close the gender gaps (Karamba & Winters, 2015; Ngoma, et al., 2021; Anderson, et al, 2021) • Impacts of gender gap in the agriculture sector Welfare and GDP effects of closing the gender gap (UN Entity for Gender equality and the Empowerment of Women, et al, 2015) None of the studies in the literature investigate the economy-wide impacts of the gender gaps in productivity itself. This is the focus of our study.
  6. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Research objectives To assess the economy-wide impacts of gender gaps in productivity in Nigeria’s agriculture sector To evaluate the impacts of policy options to close the gender gaps under the National Food Security Program (NFSP)
  7. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Method  Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model  Used to examine the comprehensive effects of agriculture policy (Shikur, 2020)  Employed an extended PEP-1-1 model (Decaluwe, et al., 2013)  Single country static model  Adjustments made to the standard model to accommodate for gender in agriculture activities and labour market
  8. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Data  Nigeria’s Social Accounting Matrix (SAM)  Nigeria’s latest SAM built in 2006….but the size and structure of the economy has change  We used cross-entropy method (Lemelin, et al, 2013) to update the SAM to 2016 structure  10 agriculture sectors  Each of these agriculture sector is further disaggregated into male and female-managed sectors  5 agents (rural households, urban households, firms, government, rest of the world)  4 labour types in the agriculture sector (male/female family labour and hired labour)  2 labour types in non-agriculture sector (male and female labour)  The Living Standard Measurement Survey – Integrated Survey on Agriculture (ISA) NBS and World Bank  Men and Women in Nigeria Report – National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)  Rural Livelihood Information System (RULIS): Food and Agriculture Organisation  Parameters/elasticities (Decaluwe, et al., 2001 and the literature)
  9. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Simulation: Impact of gender productivity gap We set the scale parameter/productivity (B_VA) of male farmers as a proportion of that of female farmers as an exogenous shock to the model
  10. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Results: Impacts of gender productivity gap  Because of the gender productivity gap in Nigeria’s agriculture  Aggregate agricultural output is 6.6% lower, except for cassava  Agriculture exports reduces while imports increase  Agricultural prices are high, except for cassava  Real GDP is 2.4% lower than it should be  Consumer price index is 5.6% higher  Note: Cassava is the only crop that women have higher productivity than men.
  11. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Policy options to close the gender productivity gap Based on the National Food Security Program (NFSP), the government has proposed several policy options to close the gender productivity gap. These options form the three policy scenarios in these study Scenario A: increase the stock of capital in agriculture sectors managed by women Scenario B: public investment in the agriculture sector
  12. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Results: Impacts of the policy options/scenarios The three scenarios have varying effects on output of male and female farmers Of all the three policy scenarios, improving access to farm inputs and capital for women farmers (scenario A) had a disproportionately higher impact on boosting the production of women farmers and would be effective in closing the productivity gap
  13. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Results: Impacts of the policy options/scenarios (cont’d) Increasing capital stock in crop sectors managed by women (scenario A) had the positive effect on household welfare relative to the other two options This is because of increase in the income of households
  14. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Results: Impacts of the policy options/scenarios (cont’d) Increasing capital stock in crop sectors managed by women (scenario A) has a positive effect on real GDP relative to the other two options Real GDP will increase by 1.53%
  15. #2023 AGRODEP CONFERENCE Conclusion and recommendations  The gender productivity gap is a major challenge to agricultural output  It also has a negative effect on real GDP, and food security  In terms of policy options to close the gender productivity gap, increasing the access of female farmers to critical farm inputs has the tendency of improving output, closing the gender gap, increasing household welfare and promoting economic growth Nigerian policy makers need to promote policies to address the gender gap in the agriculture sector The government may implement policies that provide targeted supports to women farmers, especially in terms of access to key farm inputs.
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