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CHAPTER-I
INTRODUCTION
1.1 REVIEW OF PROJECT PRELIMINARY
Preliminary literature review on Rainfall-Runoff modeling using various software has been
carried out. Basic fundamental understanding of simulation of rainfall-runoff process studied
through various literatures. Amongst various codes available for Rainfall-runoff modeling, HEC-
RAS has been chosen, as it was recently procured in Computational Hydraulic Laboratory of
water Resources Section. Learning functioning of aforementioned software has been explored
through example of Waller Creek in Austin, Texas. Upon studying of previous research work
carried out on HMS, the software was found to be suitable to carry out the rainfall-runoff
simulation with a satisfactory degree of accuracy. To better understand the working and inputting
of data, some hypothetical data was taken and the models prepared in HEC-HMS. The resulting
hydrographs were interpreted and their results were discussed.
1.2 GENERAL
During the 2006 Surat floods, the region experienced very heavy rainfall resulting in floods. At
such times it becomes very important to find out how much part of that enormous flood run-off
was contributed by rainfall and how much was due to the release from Ukai. Rainfall-runoff
simulation is also a vital knowledge to have while fixing reservoir capacity. For a water
harvesting planner, the most difficult task is therefore to select the appropriate "design" rainfall
according to which the ratio of catchment to cultivated area will be determined. Design rainfall is
defined as the total amount of rain during the cropping season at which or above which the
catchment area will provide sufficient runoff to satisfy the crop water requirements. If the actual
rainfall in the cropping season is below the design rainfall, there will be moisture stress in the
plants; if the actual rainfall exceeds the design rainfall, there will be surplus runoff which may
result in damage to the structures. To be able to determine these factors we must be in a position
to find out the amount of runoff generated in a catchment owing to the rainfall. Other flow
conditions of the stream can be directly measured, but runoff is one major factors which cannot
2
be directly found. Hence, we have chosen this extremely important topic of Rainfall- Runoff
simulation for our project work.
The software chosen for this purpose is HEC-HMS. HEC-HMS is a product of the Hydrologic
Engineering Center within the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. The program was developed
beginning in 1992 as a replacement for HEC-1 which has long been considered a standard for
hydrologic simulation. The program is a generalized modeling system capable of representing
many different watersheds. A model of the watershed is constructed by separating the water
cycle into manageable pieces and constructing boundaries around the watershed of interest. Any
mass or energy flux in the cycle can then be represented with a mathematical model. This
software was recently procured by the Computational Hydraulics Lab of the Water Resources
Engineering, Civil Engineering Department, SVNIT, Surat. Hence, it is easily accessible and
available for use in this project. Thus, it is selected for the purpose of our study.
1.3 SCOPE OF STUDY
1) To study and explore the working and functions of HEC-HMS v3.4 which is quite
useful in Hydrologic Modeling.
2) To develop the Hydrologic Model for the lower Tapi Basin, from downstream of Ukai
to the sea, covering a net area of about 1672 km2
.
3) To determine the contribution of rainfall in the floods that occurred in Surat in 2006.
3
CHAPTER – II
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 THEISSEN POLYGON METHOD
This method takes its name after A.M.Theissen who suggested it first in 1911. It attempts to
make allowance for irregularities in gauge location by weighing the record of each gauge in
proportion to area which is closer to that gauge than to any other gauge .These areas for a given
network of gauge stations are determined as described below.
i) Straight lines are then drawn joining the adjacent rain gage location to form triangles.
ii) Perpendicular bisectors are now drawn to each side of all the triangles . These bisectors
define a set of polygon contains only points that are closer to the gauge at its centre than to any
other gauge.
iii) The polygonal areas around each rain gauges station within the basin boundary are then
measured.
iv) The average depth of rainfall P is computes as…
P=
𝐴1 𝑃1+𝐴2 𝑃2+𝐴3 𝑃3+⋯+𝐴 𝑛 𝑃 𝑛
𝐴1 +𝐴2+𝐴3+⋯+ 𝐴 𝑛
………………………………….. (2.1)
Where P1 , P2 …. Are the rainfall recorded at raingage stations with A1, A2 …..as the polygonal
areas around them.
2.2 SCS CURVE NUMBER METHOD
The runoff curve number is an empirical parameter used in hydrology for predicting direct runoff
or infiltration from rainfall excess. The runoff curve number was developed from an empirical
analysis of runoff from small catchments and hillslope plots monitored by the soil conservation
service. It is widely used and efficient method for determining the approximate amount of direct
runoff from a rainfall event in a particular area.
4
The runoff curve number is based on the area’s hydrologic soil group , land use , treatment and
hydrologic condition .
The basic assumption of the scs curve number method is that for a single storm the ratio of the
actual soil retention after runoff begins to potential maximum retention is equal to the ratio if
direct runoff to available rainfall.
By study from many small experimental watersheds. An empirical relation was developed:
Ia = 0.2S………………………………………. (2.2)
On this basis
Pe=
(𝑃−0.2𝑆)2
𝑃+0.8𝑆
……………………………………. (2.3)
Where Ia=Initial abstraction
Pe= rainfall excess
Fa=continuing abstraction
P= total precipitation
The curve number and S are related by
S=
1000
𝐶𝑁
− 10………………………………….(2.4)
Plotting the data for P and Pefrom many watersheds, the SCS found standard curves. To
standardize these curves a dimensionless curve number CN is defined such that 0< CN<100. For
impervious and water surface CN= 100 for natural surfaces CN<100.
Limitations of Application: Several characteristics of the proposed equation that limited the
types of problems for which it should be used. The equation does not contain any expression for
time. It is for estimating runoff from single storms. In practice, the amount of daily rainfalls is
often used: total runoff from storms of great duration is calculated as the sum of daily
increments. For a continuous storm, one with no breaks in the rainfall, equation 2.3 can be used
to calculate the accumulated runoff. For a discontinuous storm, which has intervals of no rain,
5
there is some recovery of infiltration rates during the intervals. When the rainless periods are
over an hour, a new, higher CN is usually selected on the basis of the change in antecedent
moisture.
The initial abstraction term Ia consists of interception, initial infiltration, surface storage, and
other factors. The relationship between Ia and S was determined on the basis of data from both
large and small watersheds. Further refinement of Ia is possible, but was not recommended
because under typical field conditions very little is known of the magnitudes of interception,
infiltration and surface storage.
2.3 SNYDER UNIT HYDROGRAPH
 Since peak flow and time of peak flow are two of the most important parameters
characterizing a unit hydrograph, the Snyder method employs factors defining these
parameters, which are then used in the synthesis of the unit graph (Snyder, 1938).
 The parameters are Cp, the peak flow factor, and Ct, the lag factor.
 The basic assumption in this method is that basins which have similar physiographic
characteristics are located in the same area will have similar values of Ct and Cp.
 Therefore, for un-gaged basins, it is preferred that the basin be near or similar to gaged
basins for which these coefficients can be determined.
Snyder collected rainfall and runoff data from gaged watersheds, derived the UH as described
earlier, parameterized these UH, and related the parameters to measurable watershed
characteristics. For the UH lag, he proposed:
tp =5.5tr………………………………………….(2.5)
tp =CC1(LLc)0.3
………………………………….(2.6)
whereCt= basin coefficient; L = length of the main stream from the outlet to the divide; Lc=
length along the main stream from the outlet to a point nearest the watershed centroid; and C =
a conversion constant (0.75 for SI ) The parameter Ct of and Cpof are best found via
calibration, as they are not physically-based parameters. Bedient and Huber (1992) report that Ct
typically ranges from 1.8 to 2.2, although it has been found to vary from 0.4 in mountainous
6
areas to 8.0 along the Gulf of Mexico. They reported that Cpranges from 0.4 to 0.8, where larger
values of Cpare associated with smaller values of Ct.
2.4 ABOUT HEC-HMS
The Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) is designed to simulate the precipitation-
runoff processes of dendritic drainage basins. It is designed to be applicable in a wide range of
geographic areas for solving the widest possible range of problems. This includes
large river basin water supply and flood hydrology, and small urban or natural watershed runoff.
Hydrographs produced by the program are used directly or in conjunction with other software for
studies of water availability, reservoir planning, urban drainage, flow forecasting,
future urbanization impact, reservoir spillway design of damage, floodplain regulation and
system operation.
The program is a generalized modeling system capable of representing many different
watersheds. A model of the watershed is constructed by separating the water cycle into
manageable pieces and constructing boundaries around the watershed of interest. Any mass or
energy flux in the cycle can then be represented with a mathematical model. In most cases,
several model choices are available for representing each flux. Each mathematical model
included in the program is suitable in different environments and under different conditions.
Making the correct choice requires knowledge of the watershed, the goals of the hydrologic
study, and engineering judgement.
HEC-HMS is a product of the Hydrologic Engineering Center within the U.S. Army Corps of
Engineers. The program was developed beginning in 1992 as a replacement for HEC-1 which
has long been considered a standard for hydrologic simulation. The new HEC-HMS provides
almost all of the same simulation capabilities, but has modernized them with advances
in numerical analysis that take advantage of the significantly faster desktop computers available
today. It also includes a number of features that were not included in HEC-1, such as continuous
simulation and grid cell surface hydrology. It also provides a graphical user interface to make it
easier to use the software. The program is now widely used and accepted for many official
purposes, such as floodway determinations for the Federal Emergency Management Agency in
the United States.
7
2.4.1 SCOPE OF HEC-HMS
Hydrologic engineers are called upon to provide information for activities for a variety of water
resource studies:
 Planning and designing new hydraulic-conveyance and water-control facilities.
 Operating and/or evaluating existing hydraulic-conveyance and water-control facilities.
 Preparing for and responding to floods.
 Regulating floodplain activities.
2.4.2 ADVANTAGES
HEC-HMS has merits, notably its support by the US Army Corps of Engineers, the future
enhancements in progress, and its acceptance by many government agencies and private firms. It
is in the public domain and peer-reviewed and available to download free of charge from HEC's
web site. Various private companies are registered as official "vendors" and offer consulting
support and add on software. Some also distribute the software in countries that are not permitted
to access US Army web sites. However, the direct download from HEC includes extensive
documentation, and scientists and engineers versed in hydraulic analysis should have little
difficulty applying.
8
2.5 HEC-HMS INTERFACE
Figure 2.1 HEC-HMS Interface
The HEC-HMS interface consists of a menu bar, tool bar, and four panes. These panes are
referred to as the Watershed Explorer, the Component Editor, the Message Log and the Desktop.
Watershed Explorer - The Watershed Explorer was developed to provide quick access to all
components in an HEC-HMS project. For example, the user can easily navigate from a basin
model to a precipitation gage and then to a meteorologic model without using menu options or
opening additional windows. The Watershed Explorer is divided into three parts: Components,
Compute, and Results. The hierarchal structure of model components, such as basin models,
meteorologic models, etc., is available from the “Components” tab of the Watershed Explorer.
The Watershed Explorer organizes model components into individual folders. When a
component is selected, the Watershed Explorer expands to show sub-components. For example,
when a basin model is selected the Watershed Explorer will expand to show all hydrologic
elements in the basin model. The plus/minus sign beside model components and sub-components
can be used to expand/collapse the Watershed Explorer. All project simulation runs,
optimization trials, and analyses are accessed from the “Compute” tab of the Watershed
9
Explorer. Model results are available from the “Results” tab of Watershed Explorer. Results
from different simulations can be compared in the same graph or table.
Component Editor - When a component or sub-component in the Watershed Explorer is active
(simply use the mouse and click on the component name in the Watershed Explorer), a specific
Component Editor will open. All data that can be specified in the model component is entered in
the Component Editor. Any required data will be indicated with a red asterisk. For example,
parameter data for the SCS curve number method is entered in the Component Editor for a sub-
basin element.
Message Log - Notes, warnings, and errors are shown in the Message Log. These messages are
useful for identifying why a simulation run failed or why a requested action, like opening a
project, was not completed.
Desktop - The Desktop holds a variety of windows including summary tables, time-series tables,
graphs, global editors, and the basin model map. Results are not confined to the desktop area. A
program settings option will allow results to be displayed outside the desktop area. The basin
model map is confined to the Desktop. The basin model map is used to develop a basin model.
Elements (sub-basin, river reach, reservoir, etc.) are added from the toolbar and connected to
represent the physical drainage network of the study area. Background maps can be imported to
help visualize the watershed.
2.6 HMS MODEL COMPONENTS
HMS has four main model components (you can see these by selecting components on the menu
bar): basin model, meteorological model, control specifications and input data (time series,
paired data and gridded data). The Basin Model, for instance, contains information relevant to
the physical attributes of the model, such as basin areas, river reach connectivity, or reservoir
data. Likewise, the Meteorological Model holds rainfall data. The Control Specifications section
contains information pertinent to the timing of the model such as when a storm occurred and
what type of time interval you want to use in the model, etc. Finally, the input data component
stores parameters or boundary conditions for basin and meteorological models. HEC-HMS
model components are used to simulate the hydrologic response in a watershed.
10
1. Basin Model Components - The basin model represents the physical watershed. The
user develops a basin model by adding and connecting hydrologic elements. Hydrologic
elements use mathematical models to describe physical processes in the watershed.
Following are the different hydrologic elements:-
 Sub-basin– Used for rainfall-runoff computation on a watershed.
 Reach – Used to convey (route) stream flow downstream in the basin model.
 Reservoir – Used to model the detention and attenuation of a hydrograph caused by a
reservoir or detention pond.
 Junction – Used to combine flows from upstream reaches and sub-basins.
 Diversion – Used to model abstraction of flow from the main channel.
 Source – Used to introduce flow into the basin model (from a stream crossing the
boundary of the modeled region). Source has no inflow.
 Sink – Used to represent the outlet of the physical watershed. Sink has no outflow.
Following Table 2.1 shows the Sub-basin and reach calculation methods:-
Table 2.1 Sub- Basin and Reach Calculation Methods
Hydrologic Element Calculation Type Method
Sub-basin Runoff-volume Deficit and constant rate (DC)
Exponential
Green and Ampt
Gridded DC
Gridded SCS CN
Gridded SMA
Initial and constant rate
SCS curve number (CN)
Smith Parlange
Soil moisture accounting (SMA)
Direct-runoff Clark’s UH
11
Kinematic wave
ModClark
SCS UH
Snyder’s UH
User-specified s-graph
User-specified unit hydrograph (UH)
Baseflow Bounded recession
Constant monthly
Linear reservoir
Nonlinear Boussinesq
Recession
Reach Routing Kinematic wave
Lag
Modified Puls
Muskingum
Muskingum-Cunge
Straddle Stagger
Loss/Gain Constant
Percolation
12
2. Meteorologic Model Component - The meteorologic model calculates the precipitation
input required by a sub-basin element. The meteorologic model can utilize both point
and gridded precipitation and has the capability to model frozen and liquid
precipitation along with evapo-transpiration. The newly added snowmelt method uses a
temperature index algorithm to calculate the accumulation and melt of the snow pack.
The evapo-transpiration methods include the monthly average method and the new
Priestly Taylor and gridded Priestly Taylor methods. An evapo-transpiration method is
only required when simulating the continuous or long term hydrologic response in a
watershed. Following Table 2.2 gives the Description of meteorologic model methods:-
Table 2.2 Meteorologic Model Methods
Precipitation Methods Description
Frequency Storm This method is used to develop a
precipitation event where precipitation
depths for various durations within the
storm have a consistent exceedance
probability.
Gage Weights This method applies user specified weights
to user defined precipitation gages.
Gridded Precipitation This method allows the use of gridded
precipitation products, such as RADAR.
Inverse Distance This method calculates sub-basin average
precipitation by applying an inverse distance
squared weighting to user defined
precipitation gages.
SCS Storm This method applies a user specified SCS
time distribution to a 24-hour total storm
depth.
Specified Hyetograph This method applies a user defined
hyetograph to a specified sub-basin element.
Standard Project Storm This method applies a time distribution to an
index precipitation depth.
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3. Control Specifications Component - The control specifications set the time span of
a simulation run. Information in the control specifications includes a starting date and
time, ending date and time, and computation time step.
4. Input Data Components - Time-series data, paired data, and gridded data are often
required as parameter or boundary conditions in basin and meteorologic models.
Following Table 2.3 shows the various Input data components:-
Table 2.3 Input Data Components
Time-Series Data Paired Data Gridded Data
Precipitation gages Storage-discharge
functions
Precipitation gridsets
Discharge gages Elevation-storage
functions
Temperature gridsets
Stage gages Elevation-area functions Solar radiation gridsets
Temperature gages Elevation-discharge
functions
Crop coefficient
gridsets
Solar radiation gages Inflow-diversion
functions
Storage capacity grids
Crop coefficient gages Cross sections Percolation rate grids
Snow water equivalent
gages
Unit hydrograph curves Storage coefficients
grids
Percentage curves Moisture deficit grids
ATI-meltrate functions Impervious area grids
ATI-coldrate functions SCS curve number
grids
Groundmelt patterns Elevation grids
Meltrate patterns Cold content grids
Cold content ATI grids
Meltrate ATI grids
Liquid water content
grids
Snow water equivalent
grids
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2.7 CAPABILITIES
The program has an extensive array of capabilities for conducting hydrologic simulation. Many
of the most common methods in hydrologic engineering are included in such a way that they are
easy to use. The program does the difficult work and leaves the user free to concentrate on how
best to represent the watershed environment.
1. Watershed Physical Description - The physical representation of a watershed is
accomplished with a basin model. Hydrologic elements are connected in a dendritic network to
simulate runoff processes. Available elements are: sub-basin, reach, junction, reservoir,
diversion, source, and sink. Computation proceeds from upstream elements in a downstream
direction.
An assortment of different methods is available to simulate infiltration losses. Options for event
modeling include initial constant, SCS curve number, gridded SCS curve number, exponential,
Green-Ampt and Smith Parlange. The one-layer deficit constant method can be used for simple
continuous modeling. The five-layer soil moisture accounting method can be used for
continuous modeling of complex infiltration and evapo-transpiration environments. Gridded
methods are available for both the deficit constant and soil moisture accounting methods.
Seven methods are included for transforming excess precipitation into surface runoff. Unit
hydrograph methods include the Clark, Snyder, and SCS techniques. User-specified unit
hydrograph or s-graph ordinates can also be used. The modified Clark method, ModClark, is a
linear quasi-distributed unit hydrograph method that can be used with gridded meteorologic
data. An implementation of the kinematic wave method with multiple planes and channels is
also included.
Five methods are included for representing baseflow contributions to sub-basin outflow. The
recession method gives an exponentially decreasing baseflow from a single event or multiple
sequential events. The constant monthly method can work well for continuous simulation. The
linear reservoir method conserves mass by routing infiltrated precipitation to the channel. The
nonlinear Boussinesq method provides a response similar to the recession method but the
parameters can be estimated from measurable qualities of the watershed.
15
A total of six hydrologic routing methods are included for simulating flow in open channels.
Routing with no attenuation can be modeled with the lag method. The traditional `Muskingum
method is included along with the straddle stagger method for simple approximations of
attenuation. The modified Puls method can be used to model a reach as a series of cascading,
level pools with a user-specified storage-discharge relationship. Channels with trapezoidal,
rectangular, triangular, or circular cross sections can be modeled with the kinematic wave or
Muskingum-Cunge methods. Channels with overbank areas can be modeled with the
Muskingum-Cunge method and an 8-point cross section. Additionally, channel losses can also
be included in the routing. The constant loss method can be added to any routing method while
the percolation method can be used only with the modified Puls or Muskingum-Cunge methods.
Water impoundments can also be represented. Lakes are usually described by a user-entered
storage-discharge relationship. Reservoirs can be simulated by describing the physical spillway
and outlet structures. Pumps can also be included as necessary to simulate interior flood area.
Control of the pumps can be linked to water depth in the collection pond and, optionally, the
stage in the main channel.
2.Meteorology Description - Meteorologic data analysis is performed by the meteorologic
model and includes precipitation, evapo-transpiration, and snowmelt. Six different historical and
synthetic precipitation methods are included. Three evapo-transpiration methods are included at
this time. Currently, only two snowmelt methods are available.
Four different methods for analyzing historical precipitation are included. The user-specified
hyetograph method is for precipitation data analyzed outside the program. The gage
weights method uses an unlimited number of recording and non-recording gages. The Thiessen
technique is one possibility for determining the weights. The inverse distance method addresses
dynamic data problems. An unlimited number of recording and non-recording gages can be used
to automatically proceed when missing data is encountered. The gridded precipitation method
uses radar rainfall data.
16
Four different methods for producing synthetic precipitation are included. The frequency
storm method uses statistical data to produce balanced storms with a specific exceedance
probability.
Potential evapo-transpiration can be computed using monthly average values. There is also an
implementation of the Priestley-Taylor method that includes a crop coefficient. A gridded
version of the Priestley-Taylor method is also available where the required parameters of
temperature and solar radiation are specified on a gridded basis.
Snowmelt can be included for tracking the accumulation and melt of a snowpack. A temperature
index method is used that dynamically computes the melt rate based on current atmospheric
conditions and past conditions in the snowpack; this improves the representation of the
"ripening" process. The concept of cold content is incorporated to account for the ability of a
cold snowpack to freeze liquid water entering the pack from rainfall. A subbasin can be
represented with elevation bands or grid cells.
3. Hydrologic Simulation - The time span of a simulation is controlled by control
specifications. Control specifications include a starting date and time, ending date and time, and
a time interval.
A simulation run is created by combining a basin model, meteorologic model, and control
specifications. Run options include a precipitation or flow ratio, capability to save all basin state
information at a point in time, and ability to begin a simulation run from previously saved state
information.
Simulation results can be viewed from the basin map. Global and element summary tables
include information on peak flow and total volume. A time-series table and graph are available
for elements. Results from multiple elements and multiple simulation runs can also be viewed.
All graphs and tables can be printed.
5. Parameter Estimation - Most parameters for methods included in subbasin and reach
elements can be estimated automatically using optimization trials. Observed discharge must be
available for at least one element before optimization can begin. Parameters at any element
17
upstream of the observed flow location can be estimated. Seven different objective functions are
available to estimate the goodness-of-fit between the computed results and observed discharge.
Two different search methods can be used to minimize the objective function. Constraints can
be imposed to restrict the parameter space of the search method.
6. Analyzing Simulations - Analysis tools are designed to work with simulation runs to provide
additional information or processing. Currently, the only tool is the depth-area analysis tool. It
works with simulation runs that have a meteorologic model using the frequency storm method.
Given a selection of elements, the tool automatically adjusts the storm area and generates peak
flows represented by the correct storm areas.
7. GIS Connection - The power and speed of the program make it possible to represent
watersheds with hundreds of hydrologic elements. Traditionally, these elements would be
identified by inspecting a topographic map and manually identifying drainage boundaries. While
this method is effective, it is prohibitively time consuming when the watershed will be
represented with many elements. A geographic information system (GIS) can use elevation data
and geometric algorithms to perform the same task much more quickly. A GIS companion
product has been developed to aid in the creation of basin models for such projects. It is called
the Geospatial Hydrologic Modeling Extension (HEC-GeoHMS) and can be used to create basin
and meteorologic models for use with the program.
2.8 LIMITATIONS OF HEC-HMS
Every simulation system has limitations due to the choices made in the design and development
of the software. The limitations that arise in this program are due to two aspects of the design:
simplified model formulation, and simplified flow representation. Simplifying the model
formulation allows the program to complete simulations very quickly while producing accurate
and precise results. Simplifying the flow representation aids in keeping the compute process
efficient and reduces duplication of capability in the HEC software suite.
1. Model Formulation - All of the mathematical models included in the program are
deterministic. This means that the boundary conditions, initial conditions, and
parameters of the models are assumed to be exactly known. This guarantees that every
18
time a simulation is computed it will yield exactly the same results as all previous times it
was computed. Deterministic models are sometimes compared to stochastic models
where the same boundary conditions, initial conditions, and parameters are represented
with probabilistic distributions. Plans are underway to develop a stochastic capability
through the addition of a Monte Carlo analysis tool. All of the mathematical models
included in the program use constant parameter values, that is, they are assumed to be
time stationary. During long periods of time it is possible for parameters describing a
watershed to change as the result of human or other processes at work in the watershed.
These parameter trends cannot be included in a simulation at this time. There is a limited
capability to break a long simulation into smaller segments and manually change
parameters between segments. Plans are underway to develop a variable parameter
capability, through an as yet undetermined means. All of the mathematical models
included in the program are uncoupled. The program first computes evapo-transpiration
and then computes infiltration. In the physical world, the amount of evapo-transpiration
depends on the amount of soil water. The amount of infiltration also depends on the
amount of soil water. However, evapo-transpiration removes water from the soil at the
same time infiltration adds water to the soil. To solve the problem properly the evapo-
transpiration and infiltration processes should be simulated simultaneously with the
mathematical equations for both processes numerically linked. This program does not
currently include such coupling of the process models. Errors due to the use of
uncoupled models are minimized as much as possible by using a small time interval for
calculations. While preparations have been made to support the inclusion of coupled
plant-surface-soil models, none have been added at this time.
2. Flow Representation -The design of the basin model only allows for dendritic stream
networks. The best way to visualize a dendritic network is to imagine a tree. The main
tree trunk, branches, and twigs correspond to the Main River, tributaries, and headwater
streams in a watershed. The key idea is that a stream does not separate into two streams.
The basin model allows each hydrologic element to have only one downstream
connection so it is not possible to split the outflow from an element into two different
downstream elements. The diversion element provides a limited capability to remove
19
some of the flow from a stream and divert it to a different location downstream in the
network. Likewise, a reservoir element may have an auxiliary outlet. However, in
general, branching or looping stream networks cannot be simulated with the program and
will require a separate hydraulic model which can represent such networks. The design of
the process for computing a simulation does not allow for backwater in the stream
network. The compute process begins at headwater sub-basins and proceeds down
through the network. Each element is computed for the entire simulation time window
before proceeding to the next element. There is no iteration or looping between
elements. Therefore, it is not possible for an upstream element to have knowledge of
downstream flow conditions, which is the essence of backwater effects. There is a
limited capability to represent backwater if it is fully contained within a reach element.
However, in general, the presence of backwater within the stream network will require a
separate hydraulic model.
20
CHAPTER -III
DATA COLLECTION
3.1 STUDY AREA
Tapti River with its ancient original name Tapi River is a river in central India in Gujarat passing
through Surat and Songarh. The river rises in the Eastern Satpura range of southern Madhya
Pradesh and flows westward, draining Madhya Pradesh’s Nimar region, Maharastra’s Kandesh,
and east Vidarbha and South Gujarat before entering into the Gulf of Cambay, Arabian Sea
The Tapi river basin includes an area of 65145 km2
, which is 2 percent of total area of India.
The basin lies in the state of Maharastra (50504km2
), Madhya Pradesh (9804km2
) and Gujarat
(3837km2
).
Study area is confined to the downstream of Ukai dam in the lower Tapi basin. This includes an
area of approximately 1672km2
.
The following Figure 3.1 clearly shows and identifies the study area:-
Figure 3.1 Study Area
21
3.2 DATA USED
For the purpose of this exercise we collected data from the appropriate sources-
3.2.1 PRECIPITATION DATA
In the downstream of Ukai there are 11 different rain gauge stations located at different Talukas.
Daily raingauge measurements are done every day at 8 in the morning. This comes under the
supervision of the State Water Data Centre, Gandhinagar. The precipitation data included the
details of the rain gauge station, i.e. its name, location (latitude and longitude),Taluka at which it
is located. Since 2006 was very important year considering the flood therefore the data of 2006
were collected. Details of the data are as shown in Table 3.1.
Table3.1 Rain Gauge Stations
Station Code Station Name Tahsil / Taluka Latitude Longitude
Bodhan Bodhan Olpad 21o
17’20” 73o
05’15”
Godsamba Godsamba Mandvi 21o
16’46” 73o
13’50”
Kadod Kadod Bardoli 21o
13’00” 73o
12’58”
Kakrapar Kakrapar Songadh 21o
15’29” 73o
22’28”
Kamrej Kamrej Kamrej 21o
17’40” 72o
58’30”
Kathor Kathor Kamrej 21o
17’30” 72o
56’30”
Kholvad Kholvad Kamrej 21o
16’30” 72o
56’55”
Mandvi Tapi @ Mandvi Mandvi 21o
14’36” 73o
18’13”
Puna Puna Chorasi 21o
15’20” 73o
15’45”
Rander Rander Chorasi 21o
13’24” 72o
47’33”
Surat Surat Chorasi 21o
12’20” 72o
49’50”
22
3.2.2 TOPOGRAPHIC DATA
3.2.2.1 CATCHMENT AREA
The measurement and identification of the catchment of Tapi in the study area concern can be
demarcated by identifying the point of maximum elevation in the surrounding area of Tapi
downstream of Ukai. This was done with the help of Google Earth Pro.5.1. The elevation of all
point could be clearly identified and the line of demarcation can be drawn beyond which the
elevation was clearly decreasing thus the total catchment which would drain water to the Tapi
River is plotted on the map and then its area is measured with the help of area measuring tools of
Google Earth Pro. As the Latitude and Longitude of the rain gauge station is known to pin point
accuracy from the data collected from State Water Data Centre, Gandhinagar, this point can be
clearly demarked and identified with accuracy within the catchment. This is clearly shown in
Figure 3.2.
3.2.2.2 RIVER CROSS SECTION
The measurement of the various cross sections of the Tapi River at appropriate distances is
carried out and the records are clearly maintained by the Surat Municipal Corporation, Surat.
This data was collected from the SMC office in Surat and given in the AutoCAD usable format.
It proved to be of great value in calculating the bottom width and the side slopes of the river at
points of interest. A sample of this data is shown below in figure 3.3.
3.2.3 SOIL CLASSIFICATION
A map clearly showing the different soil conditions in the region of interest was procured from
National Bureau of Soil survey & Land Use Planning (INDIAN COUNCIL OF
AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH) , NAGPUR
23
Figure 3.2 Rain Gauge Stations
24
Figure 3.3 Cross- Section of Tapi at the first section downstream of Ukai
25
CHAPTER – IV
RAINFALL AND RUN-OFF SIMULATION
4.1 GENERAL
This chapter deals with the preparation of the model in HEC-HMS beginning form the
processing of data into the proper form and getting the results. The rainfall over the entire
catchment is averaged on a daily basis using the Theissen Polygon Method. The run-off from the
catchment to the river is then modeled using SCS curve number and Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph.
Finally, the routing of the flow along the stream is done using the Muskingum-Cunge method.
The detailed theory of these methods has already been discussed in the earlier chapters.
4.2 COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE RAINFALL
Rainfall at a daily time scale is the single most important parameter in hydrological computer
simulation models and researchers are often faced with the problem of which interpolation
technique to use when determining the spatial distribution of daily rainfall from rain-gauge
positions. The arithmetic-mean method is the simplest method of determining areal average
rainfall. However, this method is satisfactory only if the gages are uniformly distributed over the
area and the individual gage measurements do not vary greatly about the mean. However, in this
case the gages are not uniformly distributed over the catchment. In such a case, some gages are
considered more representative of the area concerned than others and the relative weights may be
assigned to the gages in computing the areal average. Due to these limiting conditions, the
Theissen polygon method is best suited for finding out the average rainfall of the catchment
concerned. This method assumes that at any point in the watershed the rainfall is the same as that
at the nearest gage. So the depth recorded at a given gage is applied out to a distance halfway to
the next station in any direction.
The rainfall at all the 11 rain gauge stations is measured on a daily basis and is known
accurately. The Theissen Network for the given condition is constructed by joining all the rain
gauge stations to form a triangular network. Straight lines are drawn joining the adjacent rain
gage location to form triangles. Perpendicular bisectors are now drawn to each side of all the
26
triangles. These bisectors define a set of polygon that contains only points that are closer to the
gauge at its center than to any other gauge. This will demarcate the entire area of the basin into
regions which will contain only one rain gage stations. That area is the weighted area for the
particular rain gage station. The areal average precipitation for the watershed is given by
𝑃 =
1
𝐴
𝐴𝑗 𝑃𝑗
𝑗
𝑗=1 ………………………………………..(4.1)
For an example, consider the method of finding the average rainfall for 5th
July, 2006 is shown in
Table 4.1:-
Table 4.1 Theissen Polygon Example
Station Observed
Rainfall(mm)
Area(Sq.Km.) Weighted Rainfall
(mm)
Bodhan 90 197.48 17773.2
Godsamba 145 135.7 19676.5
Kadod 152 144.73 21998.96
Kakrapar 129 623.78 80467.62
Kamrej 256 77.58 19860.48
Kathor 203 57.88 11749.64
Kholvad 220 58.38 12843.6
Mandvi 104 75.29 7830.16
Puna 100 136.9 13690
Rander 139 101.28 14077.92
Surat 211.4 63.84 13495.776
Total 1672.84 233463.856
Avg Rainfall 139.5613783
Similarly, the average rainfall for all the days are calculated and inputted to find the average for
all the days. The resulting hyetograph is as shown below in Figure 4.2:-
27
Figure 4.1 Theissen Polygon Method
28
Figure 4.2 Hyetograph of Average Precipitation
29
4.3 DIVISION OF BASIN INTO VARIOUS SUB-BASINS
The catchment area of the Tapi River is demarcated by joining all the points of highest elevation
along the Tapi basin. Care has to be taken to see that beyond those points the elevation should
decrease and no points of higher elevation should be located beyond that point. This is done with
the help of Google Earth Pro v5.1. The basin demarcated is as shown in the Figure 4.3.
Since there are no major tributaries available on the downstream of Ukai, it becomes extremely
difficult to divide the area into the various sub-basins. However, considering the smaller
tributaries available in the region and the soil characteristics of the different zones, a
classification as given in figure 4.4 has been suggested. This is not accurate but under the
limiting conditions of the region, this can be assumed to be accurate.
The detailed areas of the various sub-basins are as soon as follows in Table 4.2:-
Table 4.2 Sub-Basin Area
Sub-Basin Area(Km2
)
Sub-Basin 1 362.69
Sub-Basin 2 295.37
Sub-Basin 3 458.44
Sub-Basin 4 160.85
Sub-Basin 5 105.84
Sub-Basin 6 76.43
Sub-Basin 7 94.36
Sub-Basin 8 48.4
Total 1602.38
30
Figure 4.3 Catchment Area
31
Figure 4.4 Sub-Basin Classification
32
4.4 COMPUTATION OF RUN-OFF FROM SUB-BASINS
The above system of sub-basins, streams and reaches is developed in HEC-HMS using the basin
model Manager as shown below in Figure 4.5 :-
Figure 4.5Tapi Basin Model in HEC-HMS
HEC-HMS computes runoff volume by computing the volume of water that is intercepted,
infiltrated, stored, evaporated, or transpired and subtracting it from the precipitation. Interception
and surface storage are intended to represent the surface storage of water by trees or grass, local
depressions in the ground surface, cracks and crevices in parking lots or roofs, or a surface area
where water is not free to move as overland flow. Infiltration represents the movement of water
to areas beneath the land surface. Interception, infiltration, storage, evaporation, and transpiration
collectively are referred to in the HEC-HMS program and documentation as losses.
HEC-HMS considers that all land and water in a watershed can be categorized as either:
• Directly-connected impervious surface; or
• Pervious surface.
Directly-connected impervious surface in a watershed is that portion of the watershed for which
all contributing precipitation runs off, with no infiltration, evaporation, or other volume losses.
Precipitation on the pervious surfaces is subject to losses.
33
HEC-HMS includes the following alternative models to accountfor the cumulative losses:
• The initial and constant-rate loss model;
• The deficit and constant-rate model;
• The SCS curve number (CN) loss model (composite or gridded); and
• The Green and Ampt loss model.
4.4.1 SCS CURVE NUMBER METHOD
The SCS (Soil Conservation Service) curve number method is one of the simplest, predictable
and a stable method to find out loses. It relies on only one parameter which varies as a function
of soil group, land use and treatment, surface conditions and antecedent moisture conditions.
Hence this method is selected for finding out the losses.
Upon checking with the standard graph, we can deduce the Group of the soil as:-
Group A: Deep, Sand, Deep loess and aggregated silts
Group B: Shallow Loess, shallow loam
Group C: Clay loams, shallow sandy loam, soils low in organic content, soils usually
high in clay.
Group D: Soils that swell significantly when wet, heavy plastic clays, certain saline soils
Upon comparing in the table for land use and group we can calculate the curve number.
The Initial Abstraction in mm is calculated by the formula:-
Ia = 0.2S………………………………………(4.2)
The curve number and S are related by the equation:
S =
𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎
𝑪𝑵
− 𝟏𝟎………………………………….(4.3)
The % imperviousness is calibrated according to the type of land use.
The different values of the initial abstraction, curve number and % imperviousness are as shown
in the Table 4.3:-
34
Table 4.3 SCS Curve Number method
Sub-basin Initial Abstraction
(mm)
Curve
Number
% Imperviousness
Sub-basin 1 27 88 2
Sub-basin 2 22 90 3
Sub-basin 3 32 86 6
Sub-basin 4 27 88 10
Sub-basin 5 27 88 4
Sub-basin 6 19 91 5
Sub-basin 7 22 90 20
Sub-basin 8 22 90 40
4.4.2 SNYDER’S HYDROGRAPH METHOD
HEC-HMS refers to the process of direct runoff of excess precipitation on a watershed as
“Transformation” of precipitation excess into point runoff. With HEC-HMS, there are two
options for these transform methods:
1) Empirical models (also referred to as system theoretic models). These are the traditional
unit hydrograph (UH) models. The system theoretic models attempt to establish a causal linkage
between runoff and excess precipitation without detailed consideration of the internal processes.
2) A conceptual model. The conceptual model included in HEC-HMS is a kinematic-wave
model of overland flow. It represents, to the extent possible, all physical mechanisms that govern
the movement of the excess precipitation over the watershed land surface and in small collector
channels in the watershed.
The standard lag as given by Snyder is calculated by the following equation:-
tp= C1Ct(LLc)0.3
…………………………………….(4.4)
where tpis the basin lag in hours, L is the length of the mainstream in kilometers from the outlet
to the upstream divide, Lc is the distance in kilometers from the outlet to the point on the stream
nearest the centroid on the watershed area, C1 = 0.75 and Ct= 0.4 for mountainous areas to 8
Mexican gulf region are coefficients derived from gaged watersheds in the same region.
35
For example, for sub-basin1, C1= 0.75, Ct = 0.4 for mountainous region, L = 19.67 km, Lc = 6.81
km. Therefore, the value of
tp = 0.75 x 0.4 (19.67 x6.81)0.3
= 1.30 hrs.
The peaking coefficient is a calibratable value whose value varies from 0.4 to 0.8. The value
chosen for this purpose is 0.4.
The Values of the standard lag for the different Sub-Basins are as shown below in Table 4.4:-
Table 4.4 Snyder’s Data for Different Sub-Basins
Sub-Basin Standard lag (hr) Peaking Coefficient
Sub-Basin 1 1.3 0.4
Sub-Basin 2 1.23 0.4
Sub-Basin 3 1.55 0.4
Sub-Basin 4 1.89 0.4
Sub-Basin 5 1.65 0.4
Sub-Basin 6 1.54 0.4
Sub-Basin 7 1.55 0.4
Sub-Basin 8 2.65 0.4
4.5 FLOOD ROUTING USING MUSKINGUM CUNGE METHOD
The routing models available in HEC-HMS include:
• Lag;
• Muskingum;
• Modified Puls, also known as storage routing;
• Kinematic-wave; and
• Muskingum Cunge
Each of these models computes a downstream hydrograph, given an upstream hydrograph as a
boundary condition. Each does so by solving the continuity and momentum equations. The
Muskingum Cunge is one of the simpler and more popular methods for the purpose of routing.
Compared to other methods, this method allows the entire hydrograph to be obtained at required
cross sections instead of requiring solution over the entire length of the channel. Hence this
method is chosen for the purpose of routing.
36
The different data required are reach length, reach slope, manning’s constant, bottom width and
side slope. The reach length is calculated by using the length measuring tool in Google Earth Pro
v5.1. The different reach lengths calculated are as shown in the table 4.4. Manning’s constant has
a value of 0.03. From the Tapi data collected from SMC, Surat office, we can get the RLs at the
two end points of the reach. Knowing the horizontal distance between them we can get he slope
of the reach. Similarly, from the cross-sections of the relevant section, they are converted into
equivalent trapezoidal sections and the bottom width and side-slope are calculated as shown in
Figure4.6.
Figure 4.6 Finding the Bottom Width and Side Slope at Junction 6
The values of the different quantities used in routing for the different reaches are as shown below
in Table 4.5:-
Table 4.5 Reach Data
Reach Length Slope Manning's
Constant
Shape Bottom
Width
Side
Slope
Reach 1 15350 0.000289 0.03 Trapezoidal 157.5 0.257
Reach 2 38240 0.000663 0.03 Trapezoidal 150 0.304
Reach 3 19160 0.000571 0.03 Trapezoidal 264.665 0.424
Reach 4 10550 0.0000602 0.03 Trapezoidal 372.345 0.275
Reach 5 11610 0.000189 0.03 Trapezoidal 189.762 0.493
Reach 6 7640 0.00004 0.03 Trapezoidal 370 0.584
Reach 7 17340 0.00002 0.03 Trapezoidal 430 0.41
37
4.6 RUNNING THE MODEL
The control specifications are set for the same period for which the rainfall data has been
considered i.e. from 1st
June, 2006 to 31st
September, 2006. The model is then “Run” to obtain
the results of the exercise.
4.7 VIEWING THE RESULTS
The resulting hydrograph at Sub-Basin 1 and Junction 6 is as shown below in Figure 4.7 and
4.8:-
Figure 4.7 Hydrograph at Sub-Basin 1
Figure 4.8 Hydrograph at Junction 6
38
These act as inflow at Junction 1. Muskingum Routing method simply adds the two to get the
resulting outflow hydrograph at Junction 1. It is as shown below Figure 4.9:-
Figure 4.9 Outflow Hydrograph at Junction 1
Similarly, the resulting outflows at the other Junctions are calculated using the same methods.
The outflow hydrograph produced at the outlet i.e. Junction 5 is as shown in Figure 4.10 :-
Figure 4.10 Outflow Hydrograph at Junction 5
39
The Global Summary table showing the peak discharge at all the critical places is as shown
below in Figure 4.11:-
Figure 4.11 Global Summary Table
40
CHAPTER – V
CONCLUSION
The following conclusions can be drawn from foregoing study:
 The rainfall is averaged over the entire catchment using Theissen Polygon method and
then the volume of runoff is calculated using SCS Curve Number method. This volume
of precipitation is transformed into runoff by using Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph method.
Thus, the runoff reaches the main stream. From one point on the stream to the other,
hydrologic routing has been carried out using Muskingum–Cunge method. It uses the
principle of continuity to add the incoming inflows at one junction to produce the
outflow. Thus, the outflow hydrographs can be obtained at the necessary cross-section
including the outlet point.
 The peak discharge at the outlet of the catchment is measured to be 189.5 cumecs on 31st
July, 2006. The floods in Surat, however, occurred from 6th
to 8th
August, 2006. This
goes on to show that the runoff due to the rainfall in the catchment is not the main
contributor to the floods. Rather, it is the huge amount of discharge released from Ukai.
 The results of the study are constrained by the following assumptions:-
a. The rainfall over the entire weighted area is assumed to be the same as that at the rain
gage station.
b. The equivalent cross-section is assumed to be uniform throughout the length of the
reach.
c. Some of the coefficients considered in the SCS curve Number method and the
Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph method are calibrated values and their actual values on the
field may be different.
d. During flow routing in the channel using Muskingum –Cunge method, it is assumed
that there are no losses.
e. The linear and area measurements accuracy are limited by the accuracy of Google
Earth data.
41
REFERENCES
1. Biswa Bhattacharya, Doddi Yudianto and Fransisca Mulyantri(2008) Training On
Hydrological Modelling with HEC-HMS, UNESCO-IHE Flood Modelling for
management Online Course
2. Chow, V.T., Maidment D.R., and Mays, L.W. (1988). "Applied Hydrology." McGraw-
Hill, New York, NY.
3. Chow, V.T. (1959). “Open channel flow.” McGraw-Hill, New York, NY
4. Calabro, P.S. (2004) Design Storms and Water Quality Control, J. Hydrol. Eng., 9(1), 28-
34.
5. Daniil, E.I. and Michas S.N. (2005) Discussion of “Factors Affecting Estimates of
Average Watershed Slope” by A. J. Hill and V. S. Neary, J. of Hydrologic Eng., ASCE
6. Singh, V.J. and Woolhiser W. (2002) Mathematical Modeling of Watershed Hydrology,
JHydrologic Eng., 7(4), 270-292
7. Sharma J.P., Shyampura and R.L., Sehgal J. (1994), Soils of Gujarat for Optimising Land
Use, Soils of India series 2, National Bureau of Soil Survey & Land Use Planning (Indian
Council of Agricultural Research), ISBN 81-85460-13-2
8. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC), “Hydrologic
Modeling System, User’s Manual.” (2008).
http://www.hec.usace.army.mil/software/hec-hms/-documentation/CPD-
74A_2008Dec.pdf
9. United States Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center USACE-
HEC_2000_. Hydrologic modeling system HEC-HMS technical reference manual,
Davis, California.
10. Watershed Modeling System _WMS_. _1999_. “WMS V6.1 tutorials.” Brigham Young
University, Environmental Modeling Research Laboratory, Provo, Utah.

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Rainfall Runoff Modelling on the Lower Tapi Basin using HEC-HMS

  • 1. 1 CHAPTER-I INTRODUCTION 1.1 REVIEW OF PROJECT PRELIMINARY Preliminary literature review on Rainfall-Runoff modeling using various software has been carried out. Basic fundamental understanding of simulation of rainfall-runoff process studied through various literatures. Amongst various codes available for Rainfall-runoff modeling, HEC- RAS has been chosen, as it was recently procured in Computational Hydraulic Laboratory of water Resources Section. Learning functioning of aforementioned software has been explored through example of Waller Creek in Austin, Texas. Upon studying of previous research work carried out on HMS, the software was found to be suitable to carry out the rainfall-runoff simulation with a satisfactory degree of accuracy. To better understand the working and inputting of data, some hypothetical data was taken and the models prepared in HEC-HMS. The resulting hydrographs were interpreted and their results were discussed. 1.2 GENERAL During the 2006 Surat floods, the region experienced very heavy rainfall resulting in floods. At such times it becomes very important to find out how much part of that enormous flood run-off was contributed by rainfall and how much was due to the release from Ukai. Rainfall-runoff simulation is also a vital knowledge to have while fixing reservoir capacity. For a water harvesting planner, the most difficult task is therefore to select the appropriate "design" rainfall according to which the ratio of catchment to cultivated area will be determined. Design rainfall is defined as the total amount of rain during the cropping season at which or above which the catchment area will provide sufficient runoff to satisfy the crop water requirements. If the actual rainfall in the cropping season is below the design rainfall, there will be moisture stress in the plants; if the actual rainfall exceeds the design rainfall, there will be surplus runoff which may result in damage to the structures. To be able to determine these factors we must be in a position to find out the amount of runoff generated in a catchment owing to the rainfall. Other flow conditions of the stream can be directly measured, but runoff is one major factors which cannot
  • 2. 2 be directly found. Hence, we have chosen this extremely important topic of Rainfall- Runoff simulation for our project work. The software chosen for this purpose is HEC-HMS. HEC-HMS is a product of the Hydrologic Engineering Center within the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. The program was developed beginning in 1992 as a replacement for HEC-1 which has long been considered a standard for hydrologic simulation. The program is a generalized modeling system capable of representing many different watersheds. A model of the watershed is constructed by separating the water cycle into manageable pieces and constructing boundaries around the watershed of interest. Any mass or energy flux in the cycle can then be represented with a mathematical model. This software was recently procured by the Computational Hydraulics Lab of the Water Resources Engineering, Civil Engineering Department, SVNIT, Surat. Hence, it is easily accessible and available for use in this project. Thus, it is selected for the purpose of our study. 1.3 SCOPE OF STUDY 1) To study and explore the working and functions of HEC-HMS v3.4 which is quite useful in Hydrologic Modeling. 2) To develop the Hydrologic Model for the lower Tapi Basin, from downstream of Ukai to the sea, covering a net area of about 1672 km2 . 3) To determine the contribution of rainfall in the floods that occurred in Surat in 2006.
  • 3. 3 CHAPTER – II LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 THEISSEN POLYGON METHOD This method takes its name after A.M.Theissen who suggested it first in 1911. It attempts to make allowance for irregularities in gauge location by weighing the record of each gauge in proportion to area which is closer to that gauge than to any other gauge .These areas for a given network of gauge stations are determined as described below. i) Straight lines are then drawn joining the adjacent rain gage location to form triangles. ii) Perpendicular bisectors are now drawn to each side of all the triangles . These bisectors define a set of polygon contains only points that are closer to the gauge at its centre than to any other gauge. iii) The polygonal areas around each rain gauges station within the basin boundary are then measured. iv) The average depth of rainfall P is computes as… P= 𝐴1 𝑃1+𝐴2 𝑃2+𝐴3 𝑃3+⋯+𝐴 𝑛 𝑃 𝑛 𝐴1 +𝐴2+𝐴3+⋯+ 𝐴 𝑛 ………………………………….. (2.1) Where P1 , P2 …. Are the rainfall recorded at raingage stations with A1, A2 …..as the polygonal areas around them. 2.2 SCS CURVE NUMBER METHOD The runoff curve number is an empirical parameter used in hydrology for predicting direct runoff or infiltration from rainfall excess. The runoff curve number was developed from an empirical analysis of runoff from small catchments and hillslope plots monitored by the soil conservation service. It is widely used and efficient method for determining the approximate amount of direct runoff from a rainfall event in a particular area.
  • 4. 4 The runoff curve number is based on the area’s hydrologic soil group , land use , treatment and hydrologic condition . The basic assumption of the scs curve number method is that for a single storm the ratio of the actual soil retention after runoff begins to potential maximum retention is equal to the ratio if direct runoff to available rainfall. By study from many small experimental watersheds. An empirical relation was developed: Ia = 0.2S………………………………………. (2.2) On this basis Pe= (𝑃−0.2𝑆)2 𝑃+0.8𝑆 ……………………………………. (2.3) Where Ia=Initial abstraction Pe= rainfall excess Fa=continuing abstraction P= total precipitation The curve number and S are related by S= 1000 𝐶𝑁 − 10………………………………….(2.4) Plotting the data for P and Pefrom many watersheds, the SCS found standard curves. To standardize these curves a dimensionless curve number CN is defined such that 0< CN<100. For impervious and water surface CN= 100 for natural surfaces CN<100. Limitations of Application: Several characteristics of the proposed equation that limited the types of problems for which it should be used. The equation does not contain any expression for time. It is for estimating runoff from single storms. In practice, the amount of daily rainfalls is often used: total runoff from storms of great duration is calculated as the sum of daily increments. For a continuous storm, one with no breaks in the rainfall, equation 2.3 can be used to calculate the accumulated runoff. For a discontinuous storm, which has intervals of no rain,
  • 5. 5 there is some recovery of infiltration rates during the intervals. When the rainless periods are over an hour, a new, higher CN is usually selected on the basis of the change in antecedent moisture. The initial abstraction term Ia consists of interception, initial infiltration, surface storage, and other factors. The relationship between Ia and S was determined on the basis of data from both large and small watersheds. Further refinement of Ia is possible, but was not recommended because under typical field conditions very little is known of the magnitudes of interception, infiltration and surface storage. 2.3 SNYDER UNIT HYDROGRAPH  Since peak flow and time of peak flow are two of the most important parameters characterizing a unit hydrograph, the Snyder method employs factors defining these parameters, which are then used in the synthesis of the unit graph (Snyder, 1938).  The parameters are Cp, the peak flow factor, and Ct, the lag factor.  The basic assumption in this method is that basins which have similar physiographic characteristics are located in the same area will have similar values of Ct and Cp.  Therefore, for un-gaged basins, it is preferred that the basin be near or similar to gaged basins for which these coefficients can be determined. Snyder collected rainfall and runoff data from gaged watersheds, derived the UH as described earlier, parameterized these UH, and related the parameters to measurable watershed characteristics. For the UH lag, he proposed: tp =5.5tr………………………………………….(2.5) tp =CC1(LLc)0.3 ………………………………….(2.6) whereCt= basin coefficient; L = length of the main stream from the outlet to the divide; Lc= length along the main stream from the outlet to a point nearest the watershed centroid; and C = a conversion constant (0.75 for SI ) The parameter Ct of and Cpof are best found via calibration, as they are not physically-based parameters. Bedient and Huber (1992) report that Ct typically ranges from 1.8 to 2.2, although it has been found to vary from 0.4 in mountainous
  • 6. 6 areas to 8.0 along the Gulf of Mexico. They reported that Cpranges from 0.4 to 0.8, where larger values of Cpare associated with smaller values of Ct. 2.4 ABOUT HEC-HMS The Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) is designed to simulate the precipitation- runoff processes of dendritic drainage basins. It is designed to be applicable in a wide range of geographic areas for solving the widest possible range of problems. This includes large river basin water supply and flood hydrology, and small urban or natural watershed runoff. Hydrographs produced by the program are used directly or in conjunction with other software for studies of water availability, reservoir planning, urban drainage, flow forecasting, future urbanization impact, reservoir spillway design of damage, floodplain regulation and system operation. The program is a generalized modeling system capable of representing many different watersheds. A model of the watershed is constructed by separating the water cycle into manageable pieces and constructing boundaries around the watershed of interest. Any mass or energy flux in the cycle can then be represented with a mathematical model. In most cases, several model choices are available for representing each flux. Each mathematical model included in the program is suitable in different environments and under different conditions. Making the correct choice requires knowledge of the watershed, the goals of the hydrologic study, and engineering judgement. HEC-HMS is a product of the Hydrologic Engineering Center within the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. The program was developed beginning in 1992 as a replacement for HEC-1 which has long been considered a standard for hydrologic simulation. The new HEC-HMS provides almost all of the same simulation capabilities, but has modernized them with advances in numerical analysis that take advantage of the significantly faster desktop computers available today. It also includes a number of features that were not included in HEC-1, such as continuous simulation and grid cell surface hydrology. It also provides a graphical user interface to make it easier to use the software. The program is now widely used and accepted for many official purposes, such as floodway determinations for the Federal Emergency Management Agency in the United States.
  • 7. 7 2.4.1 SCOPE OF HEC-HMS Hydrologic engineers are called upon to provide information for activities for a variety of water resource studies:  Planning and designing new hydraulic-conveyance and water-control facilities.  Operating and/or evaluating existing hydraulic-conveyance and water-control facilities.  Preparing for and responding to floods.  Regulating floodplain activities. 2.4.2 ADVANTAGES HEC-HMS has merits, notably its support by the US Army Corps of Engineers, the future enhancements in progress, and its acceptance by many government agencies and private firms. It is in the public domain and peer-reviewed and available to download free of charge from HEC's web site. Various private companies are registered as official "vendors" and offer consulting support and add on software. Some also distribute the software in countries that are not permitted to access US Army web sites. However, the direct download from HEC includes extensive documentation, and scientists and engineers versed in hydraulic analysis should have little difficulty applying.
  • 8. 8 2.5 HEC-HMS INTERFACE Figure 2.1 HEC-HMS Interface The HEC-HMS interface consists of a menu bar, tool bar, and four panes. These panes are referred to as the Watershed Explorer, the Component Editor, the Message Log and the Desktop. Watershed Explorer - The Watershed Explorer was developed to provide quick access to all components in an HEC-HMS project. For example, the user can easily navigate from a basin model to a precipitation gage and then to a meteorologic model without using menu options or opening additional windows. The Watershed Explorer is divided into three parts: Components, Compute, and Results. The hierarchal structure of model components, such as basin models, meteorologic models, etc., is available from the “Components” tab of the Watershed Explorer. The Watershed Explorer organizes model components into individual folders. When a component is selected, the Watershed Explorer expands to show sub-components. For example, when a basin model is selected the Watershed Explorer will expand to show all hydrologic elements in the basin model. The plus/minus sign beside model components and sub-components can be used to expand/collapse the Watershed Explorer. All project simulation runs, optimization trials, and analyses are accessed from the “Compute” tab of the Watershed
  • 9. 9 Explorer. Model results are available from the “Results” tab of Watershed Explorer. Results from different simulations can be compared in the same graph or table. Component Editor - When a component or sub-component in the Watershed Explorer is active (simply use the mouse and click on the component name in the Watershed Explorer), a specific Component Editor will open. All data that can be specified in the model component is entered in the Component Editor. Any required data will be indicated with a red asterisk. For example, parameter data for the SCS curve number method is entered in the Component Editor for a sub- basin element. Message Log - Notes, warnings, and errors are shown in the Message Log. These messages are useful for identifying why a simulation run failed or why a requested action, like opening a project, was not completed. Desktop - The Desktop holds a variety of windows including summary tables, time-series tables, graphs, global editors, and the basin model map. Results are not confined to the desktop area. A program settings option will allow results to be displayed outside the desktop area. The basin model map is confined to the Desktop. The basin model map is used to develop a basin model. Elements (sub-basin, river reach, reservoir, etc.) are added from the toolbar and connected to represent the physical drainage network of the study area. Background maps can be imported to help visualize the watershed. 2.6 HMS MODEL COMPONENTS HMS has four main model components (you can see these by selecting components on the menu bar): basin model, meteorological model, control specifications and input data (time series, paired data and gridded data). The Basin Model, for instance, contains information relevant to the physical attributes of the model, such as basin areas, river reach connectivity, or reservoir data. Likewise, the Meteorological Model holds rainfall data. The Control Specifications section contains information pertinent to the timing of the model such as when a storm occurred and what type of time interval you want to use in the model, etc. Finally, the input data component stores parameters or boundary conditions for basin and meteorological models. HEC-HMS model components are used to simulate the hydrologic response in a watershed.
  • 10. 10 1. Basin Model Components - The basin model represents the physical watershed. The user develops a basin model by adding and connecting hydrologic elements. Hydrologic elements use mathematical models to describe physical processes in the watershed. Following are the different hydrologic elements:-  Sub-basin– Used for rainfall-runoff computation on a watershed.  Reach – Used to convey (route) stream flow downstream in the basin model.  Reservoir – Used to model the detention and attenuation of a hydrograph caused by a reservoir or detention pond.  Junction – Used to combine flows from upstream reaches and sub-basins.  Diversion – Used to model abstraction of flow from the main channel.  Source – Used to introduce flow into the basin model (from a stream crossing the boundary of the modeled region). Source has no inflow.  Sink – Used to represent the outlet of the physical watershed. Sink has no outflow. Following Table 2.1 shows the Sub-basin and reach calculation methods:- Table 2.1 Sub- Basin and Reach Calculation Methods Hydrologic Element Calculation Type Method Sub-basin Runoff-volume Deficit and constant rate (DC) Exponential Green and Ampt Gridded DC Gridded SCS CN Gridded SMA Initial and constant rate SCS curve number (CN) Smith Parlange Soil moisture accounting (SMA) Direct-runoff Clark’s UH
  • 11. 11 Kinematic wave ModClark SCS UH Snyder’s UH User-specified s-graph User-specified unit hydrograph (UH) Baseflow Bounded recession Constant monthly Linear reservoir Nonlinear Boussinesq Recession Reach Routing Kinematic wave Lag Modified Puls Muskingum Muskingum-Cunge Straddle Stagger Loss/Gain Constant Percolation
  • 12. 12 2. Meteorologic Model Component - The meteorologic model calculates the precipitation input required by a sub-basin element. The meteorologic model can utilize both point and gridded precipitation and has the capability to model frozen and liquid precipitation along with evapo-transpiration. The newly added snowmelt method uses a temperature index algorithm to calculate the accumulation and melt of the snow pack. The evapo-transpiration methods include the monthly average method and the new Priestly Taylor and gridded Priestly Taylor methods. An evapo-transpiration method is only required when simulating the continuous or long term hydrologic response in a watershed. Following Table 2.2 gives the Description of meteorologic model methods:- Table 2.2 Meteorologic Model Methods Precipitation Methods Description Frequency Storm This method is used to develop a precipitation event where precipitation depths for various durations within the storm have a consistent exceedance probability. Gage Weights This method applies user specified weights to user defined precipitation gages. Gridded Precipitation This method allows the use of gridded precipitation products, such as RADAR. Inverse Distance This method calculates sub-basin average precipitation by applying an inverse distance squared weighting to user defined precipitation gages. SCS Storm This method applies a user specified SCS time distribution to a 24-hour total storm depth. Specified Hyetograph This method applies a user defined hyetograph to a specified sub-basin element. Standard Project Storm This method applies a time distribution to an index precipitation depth.
  • 13. 13 3. Control Specifications Component - The control specifications set the time span of a simulation run. Information in the control specifications includes a starting date and time, ending date and time, and computation time step. 4. Input Data Components - Time-series data, paired data, and gridded data are often required as parameter or boundary conditions in basin and meteorologic models. Following Table 2.3 shows the various Input data components:- Table 2.3 Input Data Components Time-Series Data Paired Data Gridded Data Precipitation gages Storage-discharge functions Precipitation gridsets Discharge gages Elevation-storage functions Temperature gridsets Stage gages Elevation-area functions Solar radiation gridsets Temperature gages Elevation-discharge functions Crop coefficient gridsets Solar radiation gages Inflow-diversion functions Storage capacity grids Crop coefficient gages Cross sections Percolation rate grids Snow water equivalent gages Unit hydrograph curves Storage coefficients grids Percentage curves Moisture deficit grids ATI-meltrate functions Impervious area grids ATI-coldrate functions SCS curve number grids Groundmelt patterns Elevation grids Meltrate patterns Cold content grids Cold content ATI grids Meltrate ATI grids Liquid water content grids Snow water equivalent grids
  • 14. 14 2.7 CAPABILITIES The program has an extensive array of capabilities for conducting hydrologic simulation. Many of the most common methods in hydrologic engineering are included in such a way that they are easy to use. The program does the difficult work and leaves the user free to concentrate on how best to represent the watershed environment. 1. Watershed Physical Description - The physical representation of a watershed is accomplished with a basin model. Hydrologic elements are connected in a dendritic network to simulate runoff processes. Available elements are: sub-basin, reach, junction, reservoir, diversion, source, and sink. Computation proceeds from upstream elements in a downstream direction. An assortment of different methods is available to simulate infiltration losses. Options for event modeling include initial constant, SCS curve number, gridded SCS curve number, exponential, Green-Ampt and Smith Parlange. The one-layer deficit constant method can be used for simple continuous modeling. The five-layer soil moisture accounting method can be used for continuous modeling of complex infiltration and evapo-transpiration environments. Gridded methods are available for both the deficit constant and soil moisture accounting methods. Seven methods are included for transforming excess precipitation into surface runoff. Unit hydrograph methods include the Clark, Snyder, and SCS techniques. User-specified unit hydrograph or s-graph ordinates can also be used. The modified Clark method, ModClark, is a linear quasi-distributed unit hydrograph method that can be used with gridded meteorologic data. An implementation of the kinematic wave method with multiple planes and channels is also included. Five methods are included for representing baseflow contributions to sub-basin outflow. The recession method gives an exponentially decreasing baseflow from a single event or multiple sequential events. The constant monthly method can work well for continuous simulation. The linear reservoir method conserves mass by routing infiltrated precipitation to the channel. The nonlinear Boussinesq method provides a response similar to the recession method but the parameters can be estimated from measurable qualities of the watershed.
  • 15. 15 A total of six hydrologic routing methods are included for simulating flow in open channels. Routing with no attenuation can be modeled with the lag method. The traditional `Muskingum method is included along with the straddle stagger method for simple approximations of attenuation. The modified Puls method can be used to model a reach as a series of cascading, level pools with a user-specified storage-discharge relationship. Channels with trapezoidal, rectangular, triangular, or circular cross sections can be modeled with the kinematic wave or Muskingum-Cunge methods. Channels with overbank areas can be modeled with the Muskingum-Cunge method and an 8-point cross section. Additionally, channel losses can also be included in the routing. The constant loss method can be added to any routing method while the percolation method can be used only with the modified Puls or Muskingum-Cunge methods. Water impoundments can also be represented. Lakes are usually described by a user-entered storage-discharge relationship. Reservoirs can be simulated by describing the physical spillway and outlet structures. Pumps can also be included as necessary to simulate interior flood area. Control of the pumps can be linked to water depth in the collection pond and, optionally, the stage in the main channel. 2.Meteorology Description - Meteorologic data analysis is performed by the meteorologic model and includes precipitation, evapo-transpiration, and snowmelt. Six different historical and synthetic precipitation methods are included. Three evapo-transpiration methods are included at this time. Currently, only two snowmelt methods are available. Four different methods for analyzing historical precipitation are included. The user-specified hyetograph method is for precipitation data analyzed outside the program. The gage weights method uses an unlimited number of recording and non-recording gages. The Thiessen technique is one possibility for determining the weights. The inverse distance method addresses dynamic data problems. An unlimited number of recording and non-recording gages can be used to automatically proceed when missing data is encountered. The gridded precipitation method uses radar rainfall data.
  • 16. 16 Four different methods for producing synthetic precipitation are included. The frequency storm method uses statistical data to produce balanced storms with a specific exceedance probability. Potential evapo-transpiration can be computed using monthly average values. There is also an implementation of the Priestley-Taylor method that includes a crop coefficient. A gridded version of the Priestley-Taylor method is also available where the required parameters of temperature and solar radiation are specified on a gridded basis. Snowmelt can be included for tracking the accumulation and melt of a snowpack. A temperature index method is used that dynamically computes the melt rate based on current atmospheric conditions and past conditions in the snowpack; this improves the representation of the "ripening" process. The concept of cold content is incorporated to account for the ability of a cold snowpack to freeze liquid water entering the pack from rainfall. A subbasin can be represented with elevation bands or grid cells. 3. Hydrologic Simulation - The time span of a simulation is controlled by control specifications. Control specifications include a starting date and time, ending date and time, and a time interval. A simulation run is created by combining a basin model, meteorologic model, and control specifications. Run options include a precipitation or flow ratio, capability to save all basin state information at a point in time, and ability to begin a simulation run from previously saved state information. Simulation results can be viewed from the basin map. Global and element summary tables include information on peak flow and total volume. A time-series table and graph are available for elements. Results from multiple elements and multiple simulation runs can also be viewed. All graphs and tables can be printed. 5. Parameter Estimation - Most parameters for methods included in subbasin and reach elements can be estimated automatically using optimization trials. Observed discharge must be available for at least one element before optimization can begin. Parameters at any element
  • 17. 17 upstream of the observed flow location can be estimated. Seven different objective functions are available to estimate the goodness-of-fit between the computed results and observed discharge. Two different search methods can be used to minimize the objective function. Constraints can be imposed to restrict the parameter space of the search method. 6. Analyzing Simulations - Analysis tools are designed to work with simulation runs to provide additional information or processing. Currently, the only tool is the depth-area analysis tool. It works with simulation runs that have a meteorologic model using the frequency storm method. Given a selection of elements, the tool automatically adjusts the storm area and generates peak flows represented by the correct storm areas. 7. GIS Connection - The power and speed of the program make it possible to represent watersheds with hundreds of hydrologic elements. Traditionally, these elements would be identified by inspecting a topographic map and manually identifying drainage boundaries. While this method is effective, it is prohibitively time consuming when the watershed will be represented with many elements. A geographic information system (GIS) can use elevation data and geometric algorithms to perform the same task much more quickly. A GIS companion product has been developed to aid in the creation of basin models for such projects. It is called the Geospatial Hydrologic Modeling Extension (HEC-GeoHMS) and can be used to create basin and meteorologic models for use with the program. 2.8 LIMITATIONS OF HEC-HMS Every simulation system has limitations due to the choices made in the design and development of the software. The limitations that arise in this program are due to two aspects of the design: simplified model formulation, and simplified flow representation. Simplifying the model formulation allows the program to complete simulations very quickly while producing accurate and precise results. Simplifying the flow representation aids in keeping the compute process efficient and reduces duplication of capability in the HEC software suite. 1. Model Formulation - All of the mathematical models included in the program are deterministic. This means that the boundary conditions, initial conditions, and parameters of the models are assumed to be exactly known. This guarantees that every
  • 18. 18 time a simulation is computed it will yield exactly the same results as all previous times it was computed. Deterministic models are sometimes compared to stochastic models where the same boundary conditions, initial conditions, and parameters are represented with probabilistic distributions. Plans are underway to develop a stochastic capability through the addition of a Monte Carlo analysis tool. All of the mathematical models included in the program use constant parameter values, that is, they are assumed to be time stationary. During long periods of time it is possible for parameters describing a watershed to change as the result of human or other processes at work in the watershed. These parameter trends cannot be included in a simulation at this time. There is a limited capability to break a long simulation into smaller segments and manually change parameters between segments. Plans are underway to develop a variable parameter capability, through an as yet undetermined means. All of the mathematical models included in the program are uncoupled. The program first computes evapo-transpiration and then computes infiltration. In the physical world, the amount of evapo-transpiration depends on the amount of soil water. The amount of infiltration also depends on the amount of soil water. However, evapo-transpiration removes water from the soil at the same time infiltration adds water to the soil. To solve the problem properly the evapo- transpiration and infiltration processes should be simulated simultaneously with the mathematical equations for both processes numerically linked. This program does not currently include such coupling of the process models. Errors due to the use of uncoupled models are minimized as much as possible by using a small time interval for calculations. While preparations have been made to support the inclusion of coupled plant-surface-soil models, none have been added at this time. 2. Flow Representation -The design of the basin model only allows for dendritic stream networks. The best way to visualize a dendritic network is to imagine a tree. The main tree trunk, branches, and twigs correspond to the Main River, tributaries, and headwater streams in a watershed. The key idea is that a stream does not separate into two streams. The basin model allows each hydrologic element to have only one downstream connection so it is not possible to split the outflow from an element into two different downstream elements. The diversion element provides a limited capability to remove
  • 19. 19 some of the flow from a stream and divert it to a different location downstream in the network. Likewise, a reservoir element may have an auxiliary outlet. However, in general, branching or looping stream networks cannot be simulated with the program and will require a separate hydraulic model which can represent such networks. The design of the process for computing a simulation does not allow for backwater in the stream network. The compute process begins at headwater sub-basins and proceeds down through the network. Each element is computed for the entire simulation time window before proceeding to the next element. There is no iteration or looping between elements. Therefore, it is not possible for an upstream element to have knowledge of downstream flow conditions, which is the essence of backwater effects. There is a limited capability to represent backwater if it is fully contained within a reach element. However, in general, the presence of backwater within the stream network will require a separate hydraulic model.
  • 20. 20 CHAPTER -III DATA COLLECTION 3.1 STUDY AREA Tapti River with its ancient original name Tapi River is a river in central India in Gujarat passing through Surat and Songarh. The river rises in the Eastern Satpura range of southern Madhya Pradesh and flows westward, draining Madhya Pradesh’s Nimar region, Maharastra’s Kandesh, and east Vidarbha and South Gujarat before entering into the Gulf of Cambay, Arabian Sea The Tapi river basin includes an area of 65145 km2 , which is 2 percent of total area of India. The basin lies in the state of Maharastra (50504km2 ), Madhya Pradesh (9804km2 ) and Gujarat (3837km2 ). Study area is confined to the downstream of Ukai dam in the lower Tapi basin. This includes an area of approximately 1672km2 . The following Figure 3.1 clearly shows and identifies the study area:- Figure 3.1 Study Area
  • 21. 21 3.2 DATA USED For the purpose of this exercise we collected data from the appropriate sources- 3.2.1 PRECIPITATION DATA In the downstream of Ukai there are 11 different rain gauge stations located at different Talukas. Daily raingauge measurements are done every day at 8 in the morning. This comes under the supervision of the State Water Data Centre, Gandhinagar. The precipitation data included the details of the rain gauge station, i.e. its name, location (latitude and longitude),Taluka at which it is located. Since 2006 was very important year considering the flood therefore the data of 2006 were collected. Details of the data are as shown in Table 3.1. Table3.1 Rain Gauge Stations Station Code Station Name Tahsil / Taluka Latitude Longitude Bodhan Bodhan Olpad 21o 17’20” 73o 05’15” Godsamba Godsamba Mandvi 21o 16’46” 73o 13’50” Kadod Kadod Bardoli 21o 13’00” 73o 12’58” Kakrapar Kakrapar Songadh 21o 15’29” 73o 22’28” Kamrej Kamrej Kamrej 21o 17’40” 72o 58’30” Kathor Kathor Kamrej 21o 17’30” 72o 56’30” Kholvad Kholvad Kamrej 21o 16’30” 72o 56’55” Mandvi Tapi @ Mandvi Mandvi 21o 14’36” 73o 18’13” Puna Puna Chorasi 21o 15’20” 73o 15’45” Rander Rander Chorasi 21o 13’24” 72o 47’33” Surat Surat Chorasi 21o 12’20” 72o 49’50”
  • 22. 22 3.2.2 TOPOGRAPHIC DATA 3.2.2.1 CATCHMENT AREA The measurement and identification of the catchment of Tapi in the study area concern can be demarcated by identifying the point of maximum elevation in the surrounding area of Tapi downstream of Ukai. This was done with the help of Google Earth Pro.5.1. The elevation of all point could be clearly identified and the line of demarcation can be drawn beyond which the elevation was clearly decreasing thus the total catchment which would drain water to the Tapi River is plotted on the map and then its area is measured with the help of area measuring tools of Google Earth Pro. As the Latitude and Longitude of the rain gauge station is known to pin point accuracy from the data collected from State Water Data Centre, Gandhinagar, this point can be clearly demarked and identified with accuracy within the catchment. This is clearly shown in Figure 3.2. 3.2.2.2 RIVER CROSS SECTION The measurement of the various cross sections of the Tapi River at appropriate distances is carried out and the records are clearly maintained by the Surat Municipal Corporation, Surat. This data was collected from the SMC office in Surat and given in the AutoCAD usable format. It proved to be of great value in calculating the bottom width and the side slopes of the river at points of interest. A sample of this data is shown below in figure 3.3. 3.2.3 SOIL CLASSIFICATION A map clearly showing the different soil conditions in the region of interest was procured from National Bureau of Soil survey & Land Use Planning (INDIAN COUNCIL OF AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH) , NAGPUR
  • 23. 23 Figure 3.2 Rain Gauge Stations
  • 24. 24 Figure 3.3 Cross- Section of Tapi at the first section downstream of Ukai
  • 25. 25 CHAPTER – IV RAINFALL AND RUN-OFF SIMULATION 4.1 GENERAL This chapter deals with the preparation of the model in HEC-HMS beginning form the processing of data into the proper form and getting the results. The rainfall over the entire catchment is averaged on a daily basis using the Theissen Polygon Method. The run-off from the catchment to the river is then modeled using SCS curve number and Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph. Finally, the routing of the flow along the stream is done using the Muskingum-Cunge method. The detailed theory of these methods has already been discussed in the earlier chapters. 4.2 COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE RAINFALL Rainfall at a daily time scale is the single most important parameter in hydrological computer simulation models and researchers are often faced with the problem of which interpolation technique to use when determining the spatial distribution of daily rainfall from rain-gauge positions. The arithmetic-mean method is the simplest method of determining areal average rainfall. However, this method is satisfactory only if the gages are uniformly distributed over the area and the individual gage measurements do not vary greatly about the mean. However, in this case the gages are not uniformly distributed over the catchment. In such a case, some gages are considered more representative of the area concerned than others and the relative weights may be assigned to the gages in computing the areal average. Due to these limiting conditions, the Theissen polygon method is best suited for finding out the average rainfall of the catchment concerned. This method assumes that at any point in the watershed the rainfall is the same as that at the nearest gage. So the depth recorded at a given gage is applied out to a distance halfway to the next station in any direction. The rainfall at all the 11 rain gauge stations is measured on a daily basis and is known accurately. The Theissen Network for the given condition is constructed by joining all the rain gauge stations to form a triangular network. Straight lines are drawn joining the adjacent rain gage location to form triangles. Perpendicular bisectors are now drawn to each side of all the
  • 26. 26 triangles. These bisectors define a set of polygon that contains only points that are closer to the gauge at its center than to any other gauge. This will demarcate the entire area of the basin into regions which will contain only one rain gage stations. That area is the weighted area for the particular rain gage station. The areal average precipitation for the watershed is given by 𝑃 = 1 𝐴 𝐴𝑗 𝑃𝑗 𝑗 𝑗=1 ………………………………………..(4.1) For an example, consider the method of finding the average rainfall for 5th July, 2006 is shown in Table 4.1:- Table 4.1 Theissen Polygon Example Station Observed Rainfall(mm) Area(Sq.Km.) Weighted Rainfall (mm) Bodhan 90 197.48 17773.2 Godsamba 145 135.7 19676.5 Kadod 152 144.73 21998.96 Kakrapar 129 623.78 80467.62 Kamrej 256 77.58 19860.48 Kathor 203 57.88 11749.64 Kholvad 220 58.38 12843.6 Mandvi 104 75.29 7830.16 Puna 100 136.9 13690 Rander 139 101.28 14077.92 Surat 211.4 63.84 13495.776 Total 1672.84 233463.856 Avg Rainfall 139.5613783 Similarly, the average rainfall for all the days are calculated and inputted to find the average for all the days. The resulting hyetograph is as shown below in Figure 4.2:-
  • 27. 27 Figure 4.1 Theissen Polygon Method
  • 28. 28 Figure 4.2 Hyetograph of Average Precipitation
  • 29. 29 4.3 DIVISION OF BASIN INTO VARIOUS SUB-BASINS The catchment area of the Tapi River is demarcated by joining all the points of highest elevation along the Tapi basin. Care has to be taken to see that beyond those points the elevation should decrease and no points of higher elevation should be located beyond that point. This is done with the help of Google Earth Pro v5.1. The basin demarcated is as shown in the Figure 4.3. Since there are no major tributaries available on the downstream of Ukai, it becomes extremely difficult to divide the area into the various sub-basins. However, considering the smaller tributaries available in the region and the soil characteristics of the different zones, a classification as given in figure 4.4 has been suggested. This is not accurate but under the limiting conditions of the region, this can be assumed to be accurate. The detailed areas of the various sub-basins are as soon as follows in Table 4.2:- Table 4.2 Sub-Basin Area Sub-Basin Area(Km2 ) Sub-Basin 1 362.69 Sub-Basin 2 295.37 Sub-Basin 3 458.44 Sub-Basin 4 160.85 Sub-Basin 5 105.84 Sub-Basin 6 76.43 Sub-Basin 7 94.36 Sub-Basin 8 48.4 Total 1602.38
  • 31. 31 Figure 4.4 Sub-Basin Classification
  • 32. 32 4.4 COMPUTATION OF RUN-OFF FROM SUB-BASINS The above system of sub-basins, streams and reaches is developed in HEC-HMS using the basin model Manager as shown below in Figure 4.5 :- Figure 4.5Tapi Basin Model in HEC-HMS HEC-HMS computes runoff volume by computing the volume of water that is intercepted, infiltrated, stored, evaporated, or transpired and subtracting it from the precipitation. Interception and surface storage are intended to represent the surface storage of water by trees or grass, local depressions in the ground surface, cracks and crevices in parking lots or roofs, or a surface area where water is not free to move as overland flow. Infiltration represents the movement of water to areas beneath the land surface. Interception, infiltration, storage, evaporation, and transpiration collectively are referred to in the HEC-HMS program and documentation as losses. HEC-HMS considers that all land and water in a watershed can be categorized as either: • Directly-connected impervious surface; or • Pervious surface. Directly-connected impervious surface in a watershed is that portion of the watershed for which all contributing precipitation runs off, with no infiltration, evaporation, or other volume losses. Precipitation on the pervious surfaces is subject to losses.
  • 33. 33 HEC-HMS includes the following alternative models to accountfor the cumulative losses: • The initial and constant-rate loss model; • The deficit and constant-rate model; • The SCS curve number (CN) loss model (composite or gridded); and • The Green and Ampt loss model. 4.4.1 SCS CURVE NUMBER METHOD The SCS (Soil Conservation Service) curve number method is one of the simplest, predictable and a stable method to find out loses. It relies on only one parameter which varies as a function of soil group, land use and treatment, surface conditions and antecedent moisture conditions. Hence this method is selected for finding out the losses. Upon checking with the standard graph, we can deduce the Group of the soil as:- Group A: Deep, Sand, Deep loess and aggregated silts Group B: Shallow Loess, shallow loam Group C: Clay loams, shallow sandy loam, soils low in organic content, soils usually high in clay. Group D: Soils that swell significantly when wet, heavy plastic clays, certain saline soils Upon comparing in the table for land use and group we can calculate the curve number. The Initial Abstraction in mm is calculated by the formula:- Ia = 0.2S………………………………………(4.2) The curve number and S are related by the equation: S = 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝑪𝑵 − 𝟏𝟎………………………………….(4.3) The % imperviousness is calibrated according to the type of land use. The different values of the initial abstraction, curve number and % imperviousness are as shown in the Table 4.3:-
  • 34. 34 Table 4.3 SCS Curve Number method Sub-basin Initial Abstraction (mm) Curve Number % Imperviousness Sub-basin 1 27 88 2 Sub-basin 2 22 90 3 Sub-basin 3 32 86 6 Sub-basin 4 27 88 10 Sub-basin 5 27 88 4 Sub-basin 6 19 91 5 Sub-basin 7 22 90 20 Sub-basin 8 22 90 40 4.4.2 SNYDER’S HYDROGRAPH METHOD HEC-HMS refers to the process of direct runoff of excess precipitation on a watershed as “Transformation” of precipitation excess into point runoff. With HEC-HMS, there are two options for these transform methods: 1) Empirical models (also referred to as system theoretic models). These are the traditional unit hydrograph (UH) models. The system theoretic models attempt to establish a causal linkage between runoff and excess precipitation without detailed consideration of the internal processes. 2) A conceptual model. The conceptual model included in HEC-HMS is a kinematic-wave model of overland flow. It represents, to the extent possible, all physical mechanisms that govern the movement of the excess precipitation over the watershed land surface and in small collector channels in the watershed. The standard lag as given by Snyder is calculated by the following equation:- tp= C1Ct(LLc)0.3 …………………………………….(4.4) where tpis the basin lag in hours, L is the length of the mainstream in kilometers from the outlet to the upstream divide, Lc is the distance in kilometers from the outlet to the point on the stream nearest the centroid on the watershed area, C1 = 0.75 and Ct= 0.4 for mountainous areas to 8 Mexican gulf region are coefficients derived from gaged watersheds in the same region.
  • 35. 35 For example, for sub-basin1, C1= 0.75, Ct = 0.4 for mountainous region, L = 19.67 km, Lc = 6.81 km. Therefore, the value of tp = 0.75 x 0.4 (19.67 x6.81)0.3 = 1.30 hrs. The peaking coefficient is a calibratable value whose value varies from 0.4 to 0.8. The value chosen for this purpose is 0.4. The Values of the standard lag for the different Sub-Basins are as shown below in Table 4.4:- Table 4.4 Snyder’s Data for Different Sub-Basins Sub-Basin Standard lag (hr) Peaking Coefficient Sub-Basin 1 1.3 0.4 Sub-Basin 2 1.23 0.4 Sub-Basin 3 1.55 0.4 Sub-Basin 4 1.89 0.4 Sub-Basin 5 1.65 0.4 Sub-Basin 6 1.54 0.4 Sub-Basin 7 1.55 0.4 Sub-Basin 8 2.65 0.4 4.5 FLOOD ROUTING USING MUSKINGUM CUNGE METHOD The routing models available in HEC-HMS include: • Lag; • Muskingum; • Modified Puls, also known as storage routing; • Kinematic-wave; and • Muskingum Cunge Each of these models computes a downstream hydrograph, given an upstream hydrograph as a boundary condition. Each does so by solving the continuity and momentum equations. The Muskingum Cunge is one of the simpler and more popular methods for the purpose of routing. Compared to other methods, this method allows the entire hydrograph to be obtained at required cross sections instead of requiring solution over the entire length of the channel. Hence this method is chosen for the purpose of routing.
  • 36. 36 The different data required are reach length, reach slope, manning’s constant, bottom width and side slope. The reach length is calculated by using the length measuring tool in Google Earth Pro v5.1. The different reach lengths calculated are as shown in the table 4.4. Manning’s constant has a value of 0.03. From the Tapi data collected from SMC, Surat office, we can get the RLs at the two end points of the reach. Knowing the horizontal distance between them we can get he slope of the reach. Similarly, from the cross-sections of the relevant section, they are converted into equivalent trapezoidal sections and the bottom width and side-slope are calculated as shown in Figure4.6. Figure 4.6 Finding the Bottom Width and Side Slope at Junction 6 The values of the different quantities used in routing for the different reaches are as shown below in Table 4.5:- Table 4.5 Reach Data Reach Length Slope Manning's Constant Shape Bottom Width Side Slope Reach 1 15350 0.000289 0.03 Trapezoidal 157.5 0.257 Reach 2 38240 0.000663 0.03 Trapezoidal 150 0.304 Reach 3 19160 0.000571 0.03 Trapezoidal 264.665 0.424 Reach 4 10550 0.0000602 0.03 Trapezoidal 372.345 0.275 Reach 5 11610 0.000189 0.03 Trapezoidal 189.762 0.493 Reach 6 7640 0.00004 0.03 Trapezoidal 370 0.584 Reach 7 17340 0.00002 0.03 Trapezoidal 430 0.41
  • 37. 37 4.6 RUNNING THE MODEL The control specifications are set for the same period for which the rainfall data has been considered i.e. from 1st June, 2006 to 31st September, 2006. The model is then “Run” to obtain the results of the exercise. 4.7 VIEWING THE RESULTS The resulting hydrograph at Sub-Basin 1 and Junction 6 is as shown below in Figure 4.7 and 4.8:- Figure 4.7 Hydrograph at Sub-Basin 1 Figure 4.8 Hydrograph at Junction 6
  • 38. 38 These act as inflow at Junction 1. Muskingum Routing method simply adds the two to get the resulting outflow hydrograph at Junction 1. It is as shown below Figure 4.9:- Figure 4.9 Outflow Hydrograph at Junction 1 Similarly, the resulting outflows at the other Junctions are calculated using the same methods. The outflow hydrograph produced at the outlet i.e. Junction 5 is as shown in Figure 4.10 :- Figure 4.10 Outflow Hydrograph at Junction 5
  • 39. 39 The Global Summary table showing the peak discharge at all the critical places is as shown below in Figure 4.11:- Figure 4.11 Global Summary Table
  • 40. 40 CHAPTER – V CONCLUSION The following conclusions can be drawn from foregoing study:  The rainfall is averaged over the entire catchment using Theissen Polygon method and then the volume of runoff is calculated using SCS Curve Number method. This volume of precipitation is transformed into runoff by using Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph method. Thus, the runoff reaches the main stream. From one point on the stream to the other, hydrologic routing has been carried out using Muskingum–Cunge method. It uses the principle of continuity to add the incoming inflows at one junction to produce the outflow. Thus, the outflow hydrographs can be obtained at the necessary cross-section including the outlet point.  The peak discharge at the outlet of the catchment is measured to be 189.5 cumecs on 31st July, 2006. The floods in Surat, however, occurred from 6th to 8th August, 2006. This goes on to show that the runoff due to the rainfall in the catchment is not the main contributor to the floods. Rather, it is the huge amount of discharge released from Ukai.  The results of the study are constrained by the following assumptions:- a. The rainfall over the entire weighted area is assumed to be the same as that at the rain gage station. b. The equivalent cross-section is assumed to be uniform throughout the length of the reach. c. Some of the coefficients considered in the SCS curve Number method and the Snyder’s Unit Hydrograph method are calibrated values and their actual values on the field may be different. d. During flow routing in the channel using Muskingum –Cunge method, it is assumed that there are no losses. e. The linear and area measurements accuracy are limited by the accuracy of Google Earth data.
  • 41. 41 REFERENCES 1. Biswa Bhattacharya, Doddi Yudianto and Fransisca Mulyantri(2008) Training On Hydrological Modelling with HEC-HMS, UNESCO-IHE Flood Modelling for management Online Course 2. Chow, V.T., Maidment D.R., and Mays, L.W. (1988). "Applied Hydrology." McGraw- Hill, New York, NY. 3. Chow, V.T. (1959). “Open channel flow.” McGraw-Hill, New York, NY 4. Calabro, P.S. (2004) Design Storms and Water Quality Control, J. Hydrol. Eng., 9(1), 28- 34. 5. Daniil, E.I. and Michas S.N. (2005) Discussion of “Factors Affecting Estimates of Average Watershed Slope” by A. J. Hill and V. S. Neary, J. of Hydrologic Eng., ASCE 6. Singh, V.J. and Woolhiser W. (2002) Mathematical Modeling of Watershed Hydrology, JHydrologic Eng., 7(4), 270-292 7. Sharma J.P., Shyampura and R.L., Sehgal J. (1994), Soils of Gujarat for Optimising Land Use, Soils of India series 2, National Bureau of Soil Survey & Land Use Planning (Indian Council of Agricultural Research), ISBN 81-85460-13-2 8. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC), “Hydrologic Modeling System, User’s Manual.” (2008). http://www.hec.usace.army.mil/software/hec-hms/-documentation/CPD- 74A_2008Dec.pdf 9. United States Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center USACE- HEC_2000_. Hydrologic modeling system HEC-HMS technical reference manual, Davis, California. 10. Watershed Modeling System _WMS_. _1999_. “WMS V6.1 tutorials.” Brigham Young University, Environmental Modeling Research Laboratory, Provo, Utah.