Rudra Shares Huhtamaki PPL Ltd.- Short Term Call Research Report
Rudra Shares Huhtamaki PPL Ltd.- Short Term Call Research Report
Rudra Shares Huhtamaki PPL Ltd.- Short Term Call Research Report
Rudra Shares Huhtamaki PPL Ltd.- Short Term Call Research Report
Rudra Shares Huhtamaki PPL Ltd.- Short Term Call Research Report
Rudra Shares Huhtamaki PPL Ltd.- Short Term Call Research Report
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Rudra Shares Huhtamaki PPL Ltd.- Short Term Call Research Report

  1. www.rudrashares.com 1 Being having strong legacy, a unique client base and relative ine- lasticity of FMCG sector (derives 80-90 % of revenue) to eco- nomic cycles, coupled with global footprint of parentage, and deep market penetration; aids company to make profits in long run. In 2018, it suffered from extra provisioning on account of income tax and interest. However, from Q4 CY 18, most issues have been settled down and delivered vigorous Q1 CY19 results. Forthcoming, it ex- pects top line to grow at 10-12 % and likely to see 60-80 Bps ramp up in operating margin in the next two years. But, the margin growth depends on upcoming monsoon, scenario of FMCG sector and volatility in crude oil prices. LEAD RATIONALE BUY | CMP 256| TARGET 310 | POTENTIAL UPSIDE 21% 01 JULY 2019 POSITIONAL CALL RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD HUHTAMAKI PPL LTD Index Detail Sensex 39686.50 Nifty 11865.60 Index S&P BSE Small Cap M.Cap (` in cr) 1934 Equity ( ` in cr) 15.11 52 wk H/L ` 298.10/155 Face Value ` 2.00 Div. Yield 1.18% NSE Code PAPERPROD BSE Code 509820 Stock Data P/E 32.82 EV/EBITDA 8.69 P/BV 3.14 RONW(%) 10% Valuation Data Increasing capacity utilization to a maximum of 80-85 %, improving demand for flexible packaging, and NASP initiatives would enable to improve its volume growth and boost revenues as well as profits ahead. In addition, the acquisition of PPIL and Ajanta Packaging (India) would help consolidating its position in pressure sensi- tive label business, and is likely to be EPS accretive as well, which could help to expand strong foothold and growth too. Likely to benefit from growth revival in FMCG industry Company mainly caters to the premium segment of packaging. Its major clients include Britannia, Cadbury, Castrol, Coca Cola, Dabur, Emami, Eveready, GSK, Godrej, HUL, ITC, Marico, Nestle, Pepsi, Perfetti, P&G, Tata Tea, TTK-LIG, Wipro etc. HPPL derives 80-90% of its reve- nues from the FMCG industry. Hence, the company’s growth largely depends on the growth of FMCG industry. Economic growth and rising personal disposable income are growth drivers for the consumer goods sector, which in turn improves the demand for packaging.
  2. www.rudrashares.com 2 Flexible packaging industry continues to maintain its relatively stable growth outlook. The indus- try is expected to grow around 10% CAGR in the medium term. According to an ASSOCHAM- EY joint study, India’s packaging industry is estimated to grow to $ 72.6 Billion by FY2020. Growing rural demand, retail push, planned investments by large MNCs in the FMCG busi- ness and strong fundamentals of the Indian economy support the view that FMCG and con- sequently growth for Flexible Packaging would remain strong. Moreover, management has indicated that certain trends like - use of plastic tubes instead of metal tubes and PET bottles instead of glass bottles are / would drive its addressable markets. Recent trend of using pouches instead of rigid packs for hair/edible oils also would expand its market size. POSITIONAL CALL RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD HUHTAMAKI PPL LTD Particulars Q1 FY 19 Q1 FY 18 Variation % Revenue 619.69 545.19 13.66 EBITDA 96.02 59.95 60.17 PBT 67.62 32.73 106.60 PAT 42.03 17.80 136.12 EPS 5.57 2.36 136.02 Key Financials (` in crores) EV 2382.88 Net Worth 615.58 BV 81.48 EPS(TTM) 7.80 Key Financial Data ` In crores except EPS Integrated operations to increase capacity utilization in foreseeable future In 2018, the company continued with a significant focus on operational excellence and efforts to improve capacity utilization through effective operation and cost-effective manufacturing. During the year, the company reported a capacity utilization of about 75% with headroom for more growth. For its plant in Guwahati, the company is building a customer base around the North East. To improve customer responsiveness and service agility the company initiated several projects on optimizing and improving manufacturing footprint. This will allow creation of centres of excellence and expertise. These projects will be completed by FY20, although the benefits will begin to accrue in 2019 itself. The projects initiated were related to increasing the Overall Equipment Effectiveness of the Processing machines thru scientific assessment of various parame- ters during the machine operation, and two of the Pilot projects have delivered excellent results to improve OEE by more than 7%, which offers additional capacity and brings down the overall manufacturing costs.
  3. www.rudrashares.com 3 POSITIONAL CALL RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD HUHTAMAKI PPL LTD  Tax rate will continue to hover around 41-44% till CY 19. From CY 20 onwards tax rate will move gradually to normal levels. From CY 21, normal tax bracket will apply.  Interest cost in CY 18 includes interest of ` 9.5 crore on the tax that was not allowed in earlier period.  While exports continue to remain under pressure, expects the exports to improve going for- ward. Exports will not go down below CY 18 levels and continues to remain around 20-22% of total sales.  CY 18 capex stood at around ` 90 crore. Plans capex of around ` 100 crore in CY 19 towards improvement of processes, reduction of overall costing and value addition in some products.  CY 18 was a difficult year for the company where it faced turbulent issues of rising raw material prices, carrying high costs inventories, forex volatility and lower off take. Expects CY 19 to be better; Expecting around double digit growth in net sales.  March 19 quarter saw significant benefits of ban of plastics and thus shifting towards com- pany's flexible packaging and lower raw material costs with some inventory gains all leading to spurt in margins and earnings. The company was able to supply alternative recycled structures thereby providing options to the customers. Key Highlights to watch out
  4. www.rudrashares.com 4 POSITIONAL CALL RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD HUHTAMAKI PPL LTD Share price chart has been taken for a period of past 1 year. There is a long term support at the levels of `209 and short term resistance at level of `270; If it will cross this resistance, then may reach to next resistance of `281.60 in short to medium term and thereafter reach to 52W/H @ 300-310.
  5. www.rudrashares.com 5 Disclosures : Business Activity : Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited is engaged in the business of providing broking services & distribu- tion of various financial products. RUDRA is also registered as a Research Analyst under SEBI(Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014. SEBI Reg. No. INH100002524. Disciplinary History : There has been no instance of any Disciplinary action, penalty etc. levied/passed by any regula- tion/administrative agencies against RUDRA and its Directors. Pursuant to SEBI inspection of books and records of Rudra, as a Stock Broker, SEBI has not issued any Administrative warning to Rudra. Terms & Conditions of issuance of Research Report: The Research report is issued to the registered clients. The Research Report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct and reliable. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. The report is prepared solely for informational pur- pose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for clients. Disclosures with regard to ownership and material conflicts of interest : Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any direct or Indirect financial interest in the subject company. NO Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any other material conflict of interest at time of publication of the research report. NO Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associates have actual ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company. NO Disclosures with regard to receipt of compensation : Rudra or its associates have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. NO Rudra or its associates have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject in the past twelve months. NO Rudra or its associates have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report . NO POSITIONAL CALL RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD HUHTAMAKI PPL LTD
  6. www.rudrashares.com 6 Other Disclosures: The research analyst has served as an officer,director,employee of the subject company. NO Rudra or its research analyst has been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. NO Rudra or its or associates have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. NO Disclaimers: This Research Report (hereinafter called report) has been prepared and presented by RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LIMITED, which does not constitute any offer or advice to sell or does solicitation to buy any securities. The information presented in this report, are for the intended recipients only. Further, the intended recipients are ad- vised to exercise restraint in placing any dependence on this report, as the sender, Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited, neither guarantees the accuracy of any information contained herein nor assumes any responsibility in rela- tion to losses arising from the errors of fact, opinion or the dependence placed on the same. Despite the information in this document has been previewed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data , personal views of the research analyst(s)and other reliable sources, believed to be true, we do not represent it as accurate, complete or exhaustive. It should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Besides this, the research analyst(s) are bound by stringent internal regulations and legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange Board of India( SEBI) and the analysts' compensation was, is, or will be not directly or indirectly related with the other companies and/or entities of Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd and have no bear- ing whatsoever on any recommendation, that they have given in the research report. Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or any of its affiliates/group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any such loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Rudra Shares & Stock Bro- kers Ltd has not independently verified all the information, which has been obtained by the company for analysis purpose, from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Accordingly, we neither testify nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, of the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. Rudra Share & Stock Brokers Ltd and its affiliates are engaged in investment advisory, stock broking, retail & HNI and other financial services. Details of affiliates are available on our website i.e. www.rudrashares.com. We hereby declare, that the information herein may change any time due to the volatile market conditions, therefore, it is advised to use own discretion and judgment while entering into any transactions, whatsoever. Individuals employed as research analyst by Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or their associates are not allowed to deal or trade in securities, within thirty days before and five days after the publication of a research report as pre- scribed under SEBI Research Analyst Regulations. Subject to the restrictions mentioned in above paragraph, we and our affiliates, officers, directors, employees and their relative may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions acting as a principal in, and buy or sell the secu- rities or derivatives thereof, of Company mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or profits. POSITIONAL CALL RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD HUHTAMAKI PPL LTD