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Census 2011, Interpretation ofData and Trends for West Cork.    Lisa Noonan and Justin Doran         School of Economics  ...
Structure of Presentation• Introduction• The Census and Small Area Population  Statistics• Overview of Ireland• West Cork ...
The Census and Small Area   Population Statistics                            3
Information on the Census• Census of Population carried out on 10th April  2011• Figures relate to the de facto population...
About the Census• Different geographic divisions of the country  in Census 2011:  – Small Areas  – Electoral Divisions  – ...
About the Census• SAPS 2011 published by CSO on 1st July 2012• 15 themes covered including:  – Demography  – Employment  –...
Overview of Ireland                      7
Overview of Ireland – Actual GDP     versus Counterfactual                                   8
1,000.00                                                        1,500.00                                                  ...
Net Migration                                Net Migration - State and Munster250,000200,000150,000100,000 50,000      0  ...
Statistical Snapshot of West Cork                                    11
Population by DED – 2011 Census       (1387,36057]       (620,1387]       (347,620]       [73,347]                   12
Population by DED – 2011 Census    (1319,20397]    (665,1319]    (388,665]    [88,388]                                  13
Population by DED – Growth 2006 to 2011       (12.8189,112.048]       (6.79279,12.8189]       (1.9397,6.79279]       [-15....
Population Density by DED – 2011            Census    (217.2281,11176.03]    (32.42989,217.2281]    (19.24175,32.42989]   ...
Population aged 15 and over byPrincipal Status in Ireland 2011                         0%                    4%        13%...
Population aged 15 and over by  Principal Status in Co. Cork 2011                            0%                       4%  ...
Principal Economic Status of Persons aged 15        and over in County Cork 2006 and 2011                                 ...
10 ED’s with the highest and lowest percentage difference in                         Population at Work in Co. Cork 2006-2...
10 ED’s with the highest and lowest percentage difference                     in Population at Work in West Cork 2006-2011...
Persons Not at Work by DED – Census                2011           (.208333,.563025]           (.161702,.208333]           ...
Persons Not at Work by DED – Census                2011     (.165254,.410501]     (.130596,.165254]     (.102564,.130596] ...
Map of DEDs showing growth in Unemployment    (325,1200]    (217.265,325]    (154.91,217.265]    [0,154.91]    No data    ...
10 ED’s with the Highest and Lowest Percentage               Difference in Unemployed in Co. Cork from 2006-2011          ...
10 ED’s with the Highest and Lowest Percentage Difference                 in Unemployed in West Cork from 2006-2011       ...
Housing Supply – Vacancy Rate by DED          (.2151899,.7222222]          (.1449631,.2151899]          (.097032,.1449631]...
Vacant Dwellings as a % of Total        Housing Stock                                   27
% Increase in the Number of Vacant             Dwellings                                     28
Households with Computer – By DED     (.6358382,.8034782]     (.5535859,.6358382]     (.4915254,.5535859]     [.1666667,.4...
Households with Broadband – By DED     (2616.963,70333.11]     (994.8634,2616.963]     (426.25,994.8634]     [63.69231,426...
Four Elements of Regional Resilience                                       31
Resilience to 2007 Recession:                         Irish Regions0.60.40.2  0-0.2-0.4-0.6       Border   Midland   West ...
Resilience to 2007 Recession:       Cork Social Welfare Office Areas0.40.2  0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.8 -1                          ...
South-West Regional Resilience by Sector 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8-10-12                                           34
Summary• Ireland showing a slowed rate of population  growth and higher rates of unemployment.• West Cork following nation...
Summary• Housing oversupply can lead to prolonged  depressed prices.• Availability of broadband becoming an  increasing is...
Thank youQuestions Welcome                    37
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Justin Doran & Lisa Noonan - Census 2011, Interpretation of Data and Trends for West Cork

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Justin and Lisa set out some of the new information on West Cork from the Census 2011 data.

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Justin Doran & Lisa Noonan - Census 2011, Interpretation of Data and Trends for West Cork

  1. 1. Census 2011, Interpretation ofData and Trends for West Cork. Lisa Noonan and Justin Doran School of Economics University College Cork 1
  2. 2. Structure of Presentation• Introduction• The Census and Small Area Population Statistics• Overview of Ireland• West Cork – Statistical Snapshot (Census supplemented with additional sources)• Key Findings 2
  3. 3. The Census and Small Area Population Statistics 3
  4. 4. Information on the Census• Census of Population carried out on 10th April 2011• Figures relate to the de facto population: – Visitors present in an area on Census night included – Residents temporarily absent from the area excluded 4
  5. 5. About the Census• Different geographic divisions of the country in Census 2011: – Small Areas – Electoral Divisions – Town and Rural Districts – Counties and Cities – Dáil Constituencies – Regional Authorities 5
  6. 6. About the Census• SAPS 2011 published by CSO on 1st July 2012• 15 themes covered including: – Demography – Employment – Housing – PC and Internet Access 6
  7. 7. Overview of Ireland 7
  8. 8. Overview of Ireland – Actual GDP versus Counterfactual 8
  9. 9. 1,000.00 1,500.00 2,000.00 2,500.00 500.00 0.00 1998Q1 1998Q4 1999Q3 2000Q2 2001Q1 2001Q4 2002Q3 2003Q2 2004Q1 2004Q4 2005Q3 Employed 2006Q2 2007Q1 2007Q4 2008Q3 2009Q2 2010Q1 2010Q4 2011Q3 2012Q2 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 50 0 1998Q1 Ireland 1998Q4 1999Q3 2000Q2 2001Q1 2001Q4 2002Q3 2003Q2 2004Q1 2004Q4 2005Q3 2006Q2 Unemployed 2007Q1 2007Q4 2008Q3 2009Q2 Employment and Unemployment in 2010Q1 2010Q49 2011Q3 2012Q2
  10. 10. Net Migration Net Migration - State and Munster250,000200,000150,000100,000 50,000 0 State -50,000 Munster-100,000-150,000-200,000-250,000 1926 - 1936 - 1946 - 1951 - 1956 - 1961 1966 1971 1979 1981 1986 - 1991 - 1996 - 2002 - 2006 - 1936 1946 1951 1956 1961 - 1966 - 1971 - 1979 - 1981 - 1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011 10
  11. 11. Statistical Snapshot of West Cork 11
  12. 12. Population by DED – 2011 Census (1387,36057] (620,1387] (347,620] [73,347] 12
  13. 13. Population by DED – 2011 Census (1319,20397] (665,1319] (388,665] [88,388] 13
  14. 14. Population by DED – Growth 2006 to 2011 (12.8189,112.048] (6.79279,12.8189] (1.9397,6.79279] [-15.8228,1.9397] No data 14
  15. 15. Population Density by DED – 2011 Census (217.2281,11176.03] (32.42989,217.2281] (19.24175,32.42989] [3.905219,19.24175] 15
  16. 16. Population aged 15 and over byPrincipal Status in Ireland 2011 0% 4% 13% At work Looking for first regular job10% Unemployed having lost or given up previous job 50% Student Looking after home/family 11% Retired Unable to work due to permanent 11% sickness or disability Other 1% 16
  17. 17. Population aged 15 and over by Principal Status in Co. Cork 2011 0% 4% At work 12% Looking for first regular job Unemployed having lost or given up previous job10% Student Looking after home/family 53% Retired 11% Unable to work due to permanent sickness or disability 9% Other 1% 17
  18. 18. Principal Economic Status of Persons aged 15 and over in County Cork 2006 and 2011 2006 2011 % of % of % of % of % of % ofPrincipal Economic Status Persons Males Females Persons Males FemalesAt work 59.04 69.43 48.55 53.43 58.80 48.21Looking for first regular job 0.65 0.70 0.60 0.65 0.70 0.61Unemployed, having lost or givenup previous job 3.05 3.57 2.54 8.64 11.57 5.80Student 9.90 9.39 10.42 10.60 10.60 10.59Looking after home/family 12.67 0.98 24.46 10.09 0.97 18.95Retired 10.69 11.99 9.37 12.22 13.07 11.39Unable to work due to permanentsickness or disability 3.66 3.69 3.63 4.03 4.05 4.00Other 0.34 0.25 0.42 0.35 0.25 0.44 18
  19. 19. 10 ED’s with the highest and lowest percentage difference in Population at Work in Co. Cork 2006-2011 15 10 5Percent 0 -5 -10 -15 19
  20. 20. 10 ED’s with the highest and lowest percentage difference in Population at Work in West Cork 2006-2011 10 5 0Percent -5 -10 -15 20
  21. 21. Persons Not at Work by DED – Census 2011 (.208333,.563025] (.161702,.208333] (.12549,.161702] [0,.12549] 21
  22. 22. Persons Not at Work by DED – Census 2011 (.165254,.410501] (.130596,.165254] (.102564,.130596] [.04142,.102564] 22
  23. 23. Map of DEDs showing growth in Unemployment (325,1200] (217.265,325] (154.91,217.265] [0,154.91] No data 23
  24. 24. 10 ED’s with the Highest and Lowest Percentage Difference in Unemployed in Co. Cork from 2006-2011 12 10 8 6Percent 4 2 0 -2 24
  25. 25. 10 ED’s with the Highest and Lowest Percentage Difference in Unemployed in West Cork from 2006-2011 12 10 8 6Percent 4 2 0 25
  26. 26. Housing Supply – Vacancy Rate by DED (.2151899,.7222222] (.1449631,.2151899] (.097032,.1449631] [0,.097032] 26
  27. 27. Vacant Dwellings as a % of Total Housing Stock 27
  28. 28. % Increase in the Number of Vacant Dwellings 28
  29. 29. Households with Computer – By DED (.6358382,.8034782] (.5535859,.6358382] (.4915254,.5535859] [.1666667,.4915254] 29
  30. 30. Households with Broadband – By DED (2616.963,70333.11] (994.8634,2616.963] (426.25,994.8634] [63.69231,426.25] 30
  31. 31. Four Elements of Regional Resilience 31
  32. 32. Resilience to 2007 Recession: Irish Regions0.60.40.2 0-0.2-0.4-0.6 Border Midland West Dublin Mid-East Mid-West South-East South-West 32
  33. 33. Resilience to 2007 Recession: Cork Social Welfare Office Areas0.40.2 0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.8 -1 33
  34. 34. South-West Regional Resilience by Sector 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8-10-12 34
  35. 35. Summary• Ireland showing a slowed rate of population growth and higher rates of unemployment.• West Cork following national trends for peripheral areas – Higher rates of unemployment – with all West Cork EDs showing increases• Housing vacancy/oversupply appears as an issue in coastal areas in West Cork (follows the trend of Ireland as a whole). 35
  36. 36. Summary• Housing oversupply can lead to prolonged depressed prices.• Availability of broadband becoming an increasing issue. – Obvious dichotomy between proportion of households in urban and rural with broadband. – Obvious implications for business. 36
  37. 37. Thank youQuestions Welcome 37

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