Douglas-Westwood (DW) forecast in their new World Offshore Accommodation Market Forecast that over the period 2015 to 2020 demand for offshore accommodation vessels will average almost 42,000 Personnel on Board (PoB) per year. An increase of 14% compared to the preceding six-year period.
Report author, Kathryn Symes, commented, “Despite a peak between 2016 and 2018, the market will plateau towards 2020 as decreasing fixed platform installations and capital expenditure (Capex) restrictions lead to a decline in construction support.
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
World Offshore Accommodation Market Forecast 2015-2020
1. World Offshore Accommodation
Market Forecast 2015-2020energy business insight
e: research@douglaswestwood.com t: +44 (0)203 4799 505
www.douglas-westwood.com
Aberdeen | Faversham | Houston | London | Singapore
• Prospects
• Technologies
• Markets
Modest growth in offshore
accommodation market despite
Capex slowdown
Douglas-Westwood (DW) forecast that over
the period 2015 to 2020 demand for offshore
accommodation vessels will average almost
42,000 Personnel on Board (PoB) per year. An
increase of 14% compared to the preceding
six-year period. Despite a peak between 2016
and 2018, the market will plateau towards
2020 as decreasing fixed platform installations
and capital expenditure (Capex) restrictions
lead to a decline in construction support.
Offshore accommodation units are utilised
throughout a field lifecycle in both the opera-
tional expenditure (Opex) and Capex stages.
Over the forecast period Opex driven Life of
Field (LoF) support will continue to dominate
PoB requirements, accounting for 73% of de-
mand, largely driven by the vast installed base
of fixed platforms.
Operators will demand temporary accommo-
dation support in order to minimise platform
downtime during maintenance and modifica-
tion work, ensuring continuity of production.
Accommodation units, utilised to support
hook-up and installation of platforms and sub-
sea infrastructure, are more susceptible to oil
price declines and will account for 27% of PoB
requirements over the period.
Asia accounts for the largest share of accom-
modation demand in the next six years, at 26%,
due to the large number of installed platforms.
The large tonnage of platforms in Western
Europe, the substantial small fixed platform
population in North America and increasing
deepwater production in Africa are also key.
The World Offshore Accommodation Market
Forecast 2015-2020 analyses the supply and
demand for jackups / liftboats, barges (no DP),
barges (DP), monohulls and semisubmersible
accommodation units. Regional PoB require-
ments are split by accommodation unit and the
type of work scope, including well servicing,
modifications, maintenance, EOR and construc-
tion. The report includes:
• Macro-economic overview – analysis of
the global macro-economic issues currently
impacting the offshore accommodation
market including: global energy demand and
E&P trends, oil & gas production and prices
and regional offshore production analysis.
• Drivers of offshore accommodation – an
in-depth discussion of the factors encour-
aging demand for accommodation units
throughout the asset lifecycle: offshore wells
drilled, offshore asset installations, fixed &
floating platform installations and MMO
expenditure.
2. World Offshore Accommodation
Market Forecast 2015-2020energy business insight
e: research@douglaswestwood.com t: +44 (0)203 4799 505
www.douglas-westwood.com
Aberdeen | Faversham | Houston | London | Singapore
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• Market fundamentals – overview of ac-
commodation units including definitions, key
specifications and factors determining the
suitability and choice of accommodation unit.
• Supply review – supply side trends including
competitive supply breakdown by accom-
modation unit and order book analysis.
• Accommodation market forecast – PoB
demand by accommodation unit and work
scope 2015-2020 with trend commentary
for Africa, Asia, Australasia, Eastern Europe
& FSU, Latin America, Middle East, North
America and Western Europe.
Why purchase the Offshore
Accommodation Market Forecast?
Douglas-Westwood’s market forecasting is
trusted by sector players worldwide, with
clients including the world’s top-10 oil & gas
companies, top-10 oilfield services companies
and top-10 private equity firms.
An essential report – for financial institutions,
vessel contractors, engineering companies, oil
& gas companies and government agencies &
departments wanting to make more informed
investment decisions.
Our proven approach includes:
• Unique and proprietary data – updated
year-round from published sources and
insight gained from industry consultation.
• Detailed methodology – the report uses re-
search from our own offshore database for
fixed and floating platforms; an information
system exclusive to DW, to form the basis
of the models. Assumptions used to gener-
ate market demand are the result of our pri-
mary and secondary research. Demand-side
analysis by work scope and accommodation
unit provides a metric on which to establish
future opportunities and provide a context
for market share assessment.
• Comprehensive market forecasts – ex-
amination, analysis and 12-year coverage of
PoB demand, with hindcasts back to 2009.
• Concise report layout – consistent with
DW’s commitment to delivering value for
our clients, all our market forecasts have a
concise layout consisting of industry back-
ground and supporting materials condensed
to enable quick review with ‘speed-read’
summaries of key points throughout.
ISBN 978-1-910045-18-3
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3. 2015 World Offshore Accommodation
Market Forecast
Prospects, Technologies, World Markets
2015-2020