SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 38
Descargar para leer sin conexión
The Changing Make Up of Automobiles
    Survey Results: Aluminum Usage by
       North American Automakers




        An Aluminum Association Webinar
               September 23, 2011
             www.aluminumintransportation.org   1
Defining Who We Are
The Aluminum Association’s Aluminum Transportation Group (ATG)




                   www.aluminumintransportation.org         2
Introductions




Randall Scheps                    Doug Richman
 ATG Chairman                   ATG Executive and
Marketing Director            Technical Committees
   Alcoa, Inc.                    Vice President
                             Engineering & Technology
                                 Kaiser Aluminum
          www.aluminumintransportation.org              3
Why We are Here Today

• Promote a holistic, multi-material approach combining
  strong lightweight materials like aluminum with smart
  design and advanced powertrains

• Agenda
   – Benefits of Lightweighting with Aluminum
   – Results of 2011 Ducker Survey of Automakers on Aluminum
     Content in Passenger Vehicles
   – Q&A


                    www.aluminumintransportation.org           4
Vehicle Make-Up Is Changing

• Two main factors
  leading automakers
  to rethink vehicle
  design
   – Consumer demand and
     desire for increased fuel
     efficiency coupled with a
     need to continuously
     improve safety, function
     and comfort
   – New, stringent fuel
     economy standards


                          www.aluminumintransportation.org   5
Aluminum Builds a Better Vehicle
         Mass                                           Better Fuel
     Reduction                                          Economy




                 Infinitely                 Reduced
                 Recyclable                Emissions




     Enhanced                                           Improved
   Performance                                          Safety

                     www.aluminumintransportation.org                 6
Automakers Confirm Plans to
          Downweight
• Audi: To migrate aspects of the ASF® technology currently in the A8
  to higher volume vehicles like the A6

• BMW: To use more aluminum to cut weight

• Ford: To trim 250-750 lbs. out of each model year

• GM: To trim 500 lbs by 2016 and 1,000 lbs. by 2020

• Jaguar Land Rover: To construct all future vehicles with aluminum
  bodies

• Nissan: To reduce 15% of vehicle weight


                                                                        7
Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles Today:
Maintained Size, Decreased Weight
            2011 Audi TT
            Roadster ASF 58%
                                    • Better fuel economy
            aluminum and Coupe
            ASF 69% aluminum
            Source: Audi            • No downsizing
                2011 Jaguar XJ
                All aluminum        • Improved handling
                body structure
                saves 150kg
                compared to its
                competitors
                                    • Lower lifetime CO2
                Source: Jaguar


                                    • Improved safety
             2011 Audi A8
             ASF all aluminum
             except the B-pillars
             Source: Audi
                                    • Enables cost savings
          www.aluminumintransportation.org                   8
Aluminum in 2012 North
American Light Vehicles
     Survey of North American
 Automakers by Ducker Worldwide



        www.aluminumintransportation.org   9
Survey Objectives

• Primary Objective
  – Accurate estimate of 2012 North American
    light vehicle aluminum content
• Secondary Objective
  – Estimate “most likely” material mix through
    2025



               www.aluminumintransportation.org   10
Methodology
• Detailed analysis of aluminum content
   – Segment
   – Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
   – More than 90 components
       • Iron, steel, aluminum and magnesium
       • All product forms – cast, rolled and
         extruded
• Interviews conducted with automotive
  engineers
   – Major OEMs
   – Tier One suppliers
   – Material producers

                        www.aluminumintransportation.org   11
Core Findings




 www.aluminumintransportation.org   12
40 Years of Uninterrupted Growth
                                                 Aluminum Content – Pounds Per Vehicle
                          600

                                                                                                 2012
                          500
     Pounds per Vehicle




                                                                                          343 lbs per vehicle


                          400
                                       Average increase of 7 lbs per year
                                                 for 35 years
                          300


                          200


                          100


                           0
                                1975




                                         1980




                                                 1985




                                                           1990




                                                                  1995




                                                                            2000




                                                                                   2005




                                                                                               2010




                                                                                                        2015




                                                                                                                2020




                                                                                                                       2025
                                                        www.aluminumintransportation.org                                      13
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Aluminum Share Expected to Double
                             100%
                                    8%              11%
                             90%                                        16%
                             80%
   Percent of Material Mix




                             70%    42%             38%                 30%
                                                                              Aluminum
                             60%
                             50%                                              Flat Rolled Steel
                             40%
                             30%                                              All Other
                                    50%             51%                 54%   Materials
                             20%
                             10%
                              0%
                                    2008            2015               2025
                                           www.aluminumintransportation.org               14
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Component Analysis




    www.aluminumintransportation.org   15
Aluminum Content in 2012
                             Wheels                                                                            790
                     Transmissions                                                                             785
                    Cylinder Blocks                                                                  636
                    Cylinder Heads                                                             588          Nearly 80% of engine blocks
                       Heat Transfer                                                    516                    in 2012 are aluminum
                       Other Engine                                         371
                        Brake Parts                        130
                           Closures                       126
                Steering Knuckles                         115                                               Record aluminum
                   Intake Manifolds                   112
                                                                                                            content in 2012:
             Control Arms & Links                    89
                     Transfer Cases                  88
                                                                                                            •Engine Blocks
                           Bumpers               70                                                         •Closures
               Differential Carriers             69                                                         •Bumpers
                     Other Steering             60                                                          •Steering Knuckles
                     Engine Mounts              49
                                                                                                            •IP Structures
         Cradles & Crossmembers            24
                        IP Structure       23
             Drive Shafts & Yokes          14
             All Other Compnents                          125

                                       0        100             200   300   400   500         600     700    800     900

                                                                      Millions of Pounds
                                                www.aluminumintransportation.org                                                  16
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Aluminum Penetration for Key
    Components in 2012
Heat Exchangers                                                           100%
    Transmission                                                          100%
  Cylinder Heads                                                         98%
  Cylinder Blocks                                                 80%
         Wheels                                             70%
Steering Knuckles                               45%
    Control Arms                              40%
          Hoods                         31%
        Bumpers                   20%

                    0%        20%        40%      60%        80%        100%
                                        Total Components
                         www.aluminumintransportation.org                  17
2009-2012 Aluminum Content Growth
            Body, Bumper & Closure                                          58%   (over 50% from closures)

                        Crossmembers                      19%
                                Suspension            16%
                                  Steering          10%
                     Average Increase           5%
                     Wheels & Brakes           3%
           Transmission & Driveline            3%
                                    Engine     3%
                          Heat Transfer        1%

                                             0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
                                                           Total Pounds
                                         www.aluminumintransportation.org                            18
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
50% Percent of Knuckles
                     Aluminum in 2012
         60%
                                                                                   50%
         50%
                                                                             39%
         40%
                                                                  30%
         30%

                                    17%          19%
         20%

         10%
                   1%
           0%



                                          www.aluminumintransportation.org               19
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2009 and 2011
20% of All Bumpers Aluminum in 2012
      25.0%
                                                                                   20%
      20.0%

      15.0%
                                                                             11%
      10.0%                                                         9%
                   7%
                                     5%            6%
        5.0%

        0.0%




                                          www.aluminumintransportation.org           20
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2009 and 2011
Aluminum Hood Growth
           35%
                                       Over 30%                                    31%
           30%                  of all the hoods will
                                    be aluminum                              23%
           25%
                                        in 2012
           20%                                                   19%

                                                 14%
           15%
                                    10%
           10%
                    6%
            5%

            0%




                                          www.aluminumintransportation.org               21
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Evolution of Body-in-White Construction
                                                                                             Optimized
                Aluminum                                                                    Multi-Material
                High Strength Aluminum
                Steel                                          High Strength Alloy




                                           Aluminum Intensive Vehicle

                                                                              Steel & Aluminum Hybrid – Majority
                                                                              Aluminum




                                                 Steel & Aluminum Hybrid – Majority Steel



                           Today         2015                2020                      2025

                                           www.aluminumintransportation.org                                        22
Source: Alcoa
Segment Analysis




   www.aluminumintransportation.org   23
E Segment Vehicles Leader in Total
        Aluminum Pounds Per Segment
                                                      2012 Aluminum Pounds per Segment
                                                                                421
                                                450
                                                                        363
                  Aluminum Pounds per Vehicle




                                                400                                            354   343
                                                                                        329
                                                350            275
                                                300   229
                                                250
                                                200
                                                150
                                                100
                                                 50
                                                  0




                                                            www.aluminumintransportation.org               24
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Aluminum Percent of Curb Weight
                  by Segment
      12.0%
                                9.6%    10.0%      9.7%
      10.0%           8.5%                                    8.7%           9.0%
       8.0%                                                           6.8%
       6.0%
       4.0%
       2.0%
       0.0%




                                   www.aluminumintransportation.org                 25
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
North American Aluminum
                    Content Leaders
                                                           Honda content leader as percent of
  GM content leader at 366 lbs per vehicle
                                                            curb weight at 10.7% per vehicle




                 2012 Chevrolet Malibu                               2012 Honda CRV
               Aluminum Content 385 Lbs                           Aluminum Content 10.9%
   Source: General Motors Media Site                                            Source: Honda Media Site


                                       www.aluminumintransportation.org                              26
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Top Aluminum Content Vehicles
                                                                             2012 Ford Escape
                                                                          Aluminum content 10.9%
     • Newer vehicles have average                                            Source: Ford Media Site

       aluminum content 10.4% of
       vehicle curb weight (vs. 9%)
          - Cadillac ATS        - Ford Fusion
          - Cadillac XTS        - Honda Accord
          - Chevrolet Malibu    - Honda Civic
          - Chrysler 300        - Honda CR-V          2012 Chrysler 300
                                                   Aluminum content 10.6%
          - Chrysler/Fiat C     - Lincoln MKZ       Source: Chrysler Media Site
            Sedan               - Mercedes-Benz
          - Fiat 500              ML-Class
          - Ford Explorer       - Nissan Altima                                       2012 Nissan Altima
          - Ford Escape         - Toyota Avalon                                    Aluminum content 11.1%
                                                                                     Source: Nissan Media Site




                                 www.aluminumintransportation.org                                       27
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Ducker Worldwide
Aluminum Forecast




   www.aluminumintransportation.org   28
Aluminum Growth Projected to Reach
   400 Pounds Per Vehicle by 2015/2016
                                              Aluminum Content – Pounds Per Vehicle
                          600
                                                                                                   2015
                                                                                            400 lbs per vehicle
                                                                             2012
                          500
     Pounds per Vehicle




                                                                      343 lbs per vehicle

                                         The trend line continues
                          400
                                            to be supported by
                                        new aluminum applications
                          300


                          200


                          100


                           0
                                1975




                                       1980




                                              1985




                                                        1990




                                                               1995




                                                                        2000




                                                                                  2005




                                                                                            2010




                                                                                                     2015




                                                                                                                  2020




                                                                                                                         2025
                                                     www.aluminumintransportation.org                                           29
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
New Applications Required to
     Achieve 2015/2016 Growth Scenario
                                                North American Light Vehicle Aluminum
                                                         Content Increases
                              25
         Pounds per Vehicle




                              20
                                                      Pounds per Vehicle         New Applications                11
                                                                               (Primarily body, bumper     8
                              15                                               and closure components)

                                                                                                     4
                              10
                                   12                                                       1                    12
                                                                                                    10    11
                                          10
                              5                 6                                           8
                                                                                   5
                                                         3       2         3
                              0
                               2005     2006   2007     2008   2009    2010      2011     2012     2013   2014    2015
                                                      www.aluminumintransportation.org                                   30
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Ducker Long Term Forecast
                        Assumptions
     •     51 MPG 2025* fuel economy target
     •     10% average weight reduction
     •     44% HEVs
     •     1 sq. ft. (2% from 2008 EPA base year)
           footprint reduction

         * Average based on 54.5 MPG for cars and at least 46.5 MPG for light trucks


                                            www.aluminumintransportation.org           31
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Significant Growth For Aluminum
                                  Predicted by 2025
                                              Aluminum Content – Pounds Per Vehicle                              2025
                                                                                                          550 lbs per vehicle
                          600

                                                                             2012
                          500
     Pounds per Vehicle




                                                                      343 lbs per vehicle

                                         The trend line continues
                          400
                                            to be supported by
                                        new aluminum applications
                          300


                          200


                          100


                           0
                                1975




                                       1980




                                              1985




                                                        1990




                                                               1995




                                                                        2000




                                                                                  2005




                                                                                            2010




                                                                                                   2015




                                                                                                                2020




                                                                                                                          2025
                                                     www.aluminumintransportation.org                                            32
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Aluminum Pounds Per Truck
 Predicted to Increase Dramatically
      800                             Average Aluminum Pounds Per Vehicle
                                               Car vs. Light Truck                                   671
      700                                                                                      650
                                                                                   607   629
                                                                             585
      600
                                                                 513   528
                                                   485     498
      500                              450   459
                                420
               373     394
      400

      300

      200

      100

         0
             2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

                                                     Car     Truck


                                         www.aluminumintransportation.org                              33
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Average Vehicle Must Lose Over
               400 Lbs of Curb Weight by 2025
                                Sources of Weight Savings
                                  for 4% CAGR for MPG

                                                                     Add 225 lbs. of AHSS
                                                                      Add 250 lbs. of
                                                                     aluminum
                                   70, 17%      80, 20%
                                                                     Add 250 lbs. ofof
                                                                      Add 225 lbs. AHSS
                                                                     replacing mild steel
                                                                      Aluminum

                                                                     Weight compounding
                           78, 19%                                   effect Compounding
                                                                      Weight
                                                                      Effect
                                                                     1 sq. ft. footprint
                                               180, 44%
                                                                     reductionFootprint One
                                                                      Reduce
                                                                      Square Foot
    408 lbs. saved or 10% over
   2008 (NHTSA/EPA base year)

                                         www.aluminumintransportation.org                     34
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Average Net Cost of Direct and
         Indirect Weight Reduction
     • Increased use of aluminum necessary and cost effective
       in achieving 400 lb weight reduction by 2025

                                 Average Cost of Direct Weight Savings

                                            Cost           Dollar/Pound
                                                           Saved
                                            Primary        $2.00
                                            Secondary      ($1.82)
                                            Net Cost       $0.18



                                            www.aluminumintransportation.org   35
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011 & IBIS 2005
Ducker Study Conclusions
     • Consumer demand and fuel economy regulations are
       driving a dramatic increase in aluminum usage
           – Weight savings from aluminum and AHSS for body parts

     • Automakers working hard to improve fuel economy and
       maintain or improve size, function, safety and comfort

     • Weight reduction with aluminum is a cost effective part of
       the solution



                                www.aluminumintransportation.org    36
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Ducker Study Conclusions
     • By 2025, the average vehicle will get lighter by 400 lbs.
            – Aluminum and AHSS
            – Aluminum
                  • Sheet , extrusions
                  • Closures, body-in-white, bumper, and suspension components

     • Aluminum will grow to 16% of curb weight
            –   343 pounds in 2012
            –   550 pounds in 2025
            –   Increase of 207 lbs. in 13 years
            –   Industry added 200 lbs. per vehicle from 1990 to 2010
     • This is a conservative forecast
                                   www.aluminumintransportation.org              37
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
Question & Answer
     Please submit questions through the box
            that appears on your screen

  For additional aluminum research in the areas of safety, cost,
 alternative powertrains, growth and sustainability, to sign-up for
the ATG’s monthly newsletter and/or download this presentation,
  please visit us online at www.aluminumintransportation.org or
                   e-mail atginfo@aluminum.org

                             Thank You
                     www.aluminumintransportation.org         38

Más contenido relacionado

La actualidad más candente

Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...
Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...
Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...kgraha32
 
2010 oct amm_scheps_pres
2010 oct amm_scheps_pres2010 oct amm_scheps_pres
2010 oct amm_scheps_presDriveAluminum
 
Composite materials for automotive exteriors
Composite materials for automotive exteriorsComposite materials for automotive exteriors
Composite materials for automotive exteriorsSohail AD
 
Alexander Dennis presentation on hybrid buses
Alexander Dennis presentation on hybrid busesAlexander Dennis presentation on hybrid buses
Alexander Dennis presentation on hybrid buseshybriduserforum
 
2012 may amm_scheps_pres
2012 may amm_scheps_pres2012 may amm_scheps_pres
2012 may amm_scheps_presDriveAluminum
 
Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...
Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...
Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...David F. Taggart
 
2016 GMC Canyon diesel
2016 GMC Canyon diesel2016 GMC Canyon diesel
2016 GMC Canyon dieselsteeringnews
 
Ford Focus 1 l EcoBoost Presentation
Ford Focus 1 l EcoBoost PresentationFord Focus 1 l EcoBoost Presentation
Ford Focus 1 l EcoBoost PresentationSven Wiesner
 
2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn Frost & Sullivan
2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn   Frost & Sullivan2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn   Frost & Sullivan
2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn Frost & SullivanAlvin Chua
 

La actualidad más candente (13)

2010 aug iqpc_pres
2010 aug iqpc_pres2010 aug iqpc_pres
2010 aug iqpc_pres
 
Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...
Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...
Global Automotive Lightweight Materials 2014: Multi Material Supply & Manufac...
 
2011 aluadvant
2011 aluadvant2011 aluadvant
2011 aluadvant
 
2010 oct amm_scheps_pres
2010 oct amm_scheps_pres2010 oct amm_scheps_pres
2010 oct amm_scheps_pres
 
Composite materials for automotive exteriors
Composite materials for automotive exteriorsComposite materials for automotive exteriors
Composite materials for automotive exteriors
 
Alexander Dennis presentation on hybrid buses
Alexander Dennis presentation on hybrid busesAlexander Dennis presentation on hybrid buses
Alexander Dennis presentation on hybrid buses
 
2012 may amm_scheps_pres
2012 may amm_scheps_pres2012 may amm_scheps_pres
2012 may amm_scheps_pres
 
International experience with GHG and FE standards
International experience with GHG and FE standardsInternational experience with GHG and FE standards
International experience with GHG and FE standards
 
Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...
Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...
Design and High Volume Manufacture of an Affordable Advanced Composite Automo...
 
2016 GMC Canyon diesel
2016 GMC Canyon diesel2016 GMC Canyon diesel
2016 GMC Canyon diesel
 
Ford Focus 1 l EcoBoost Presentation
Ford Focus 1 l EcoBoost PresentationFord Focus 1 l EcoBoost Presentation
Ford Focus 1 l EcoBoost Presentation
 
2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn Frost & Sullivan
2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn   Frost & Sullivan2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn   Frost & Sullivan
2009 04 Automotive Tech Innovation In The Downturn Frost & Sullivan
 
COSMA
COSMACOSMA
COSMA
 

Similar a Aluminum Usage in Automobiles Increasing

2011 jan platts_pres
2011 jan platts_pres2011 jan platts_pres
2011 jan platts_presDriveAluminum
 
2012 jan platts_pres
2012 jan platts_pres2012 jan platts_pres
2012 jan platts_presDriveAluminum
 
2012 may amm_richman_pres
2012 may amm_richman_pres2012 may amm_richman_pres
2012 may amm_richman_presDriveAluminum
 
2011 june nhtsa_esv_pres
2011 june nhtsa_esv_pres2011 june nhtsa_esv_pres
2011 june nhtsa_esv_presDriveAluminum
 
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activitiesOutlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activitiesChris McAtominey
 
Advanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industry
Advanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industryAdvanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industry
Advanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industryRatna Chatterjee
 
Nissan Leaf Ev Zero Emission
Nissan Leaf Ev Zero EmissionNissan Leaf Ev Zero Emission
Nissan Leaf Ev Zero EmissionKelly Auto Group
 
06 toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
06   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto06   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
06 toyota manufacturing, eko rudiantobocah666
 
05 toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
05   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto05   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
05 toyota manufacturing, eko rudiantobocah666
 
04 indian auto_industry_maruti
04 indian auto_industry_maruti04 indian auto_industry_maruti
04 indian auto_industry_marutiSagar Jagasia
 
Wgo 11 16-11
Wgo 11 16-11Wgo 11 16-11
Wgo 11 16-11winnebago
 
Materials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiya
Materials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiyaMaterials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiya
Materials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiyasandeep mangukiya
 
"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI Forum
"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI Forum"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI Forum
"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI ForumYonki Hyungkeun PARK
 
Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...
Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...
Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...Owens Corning Composites Solution Business
 
Alcoa Analysis
Alcoa AnalysisAlcoa Analysis
Alcoa Analysisshel22ley
 

Similar a Aluminum Usage in Automobiles Increasing (20)

2012 apr saewc_pres
2012 apr saewc_pres2012 apr saewc_pres
2012 apr saewc_pres
 
2011 jan platts_pres
2011 jan platts_pres2011 jan platts_pres
2011 jan platts_pres
 
2012 jan platts_pres
2012 jan platts_pres2012 jan platts_pres
2012 jan platts_pres
 
2009 apr saewc_pres
2009 apr saewc_pres2009 apr saewc_pres
2009 apr saewc_pres
 
2012 may amm_richman_pres
2012 may amm_richman_pres2012 may amm_richman_pres
2012 may amm_richman_pres
 
2011 june nhtsa_esv_pres
2011 june nhtsa_esv_pres2011 june nhtsa_esv_pres
2011 june nhtsa_esv_pres
 
2011 duckersurvey
2011 duckersurvey2011 duckersurvey
2011 duckersurvey
 
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activitiesOutlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
 
Efficiency Technology Advancements - John German
Efficiency Technology Advancements - John GermanEfficiency Technology Advancements - John German
Efficiency Technology Advancements - John German
 
Advanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industry
Advanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industryAdvanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industry
Advanced & future applications of composite fibres in the automotive industry
 
Nissan Leaf Ev Zero Emission
Nissan Leaf Ev Zero EmissionNissan Leaf Ev Zero Emission
Nissan Leaf Ev Zero Emission
 
06 toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
06   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto06   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
06 toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
 
05 toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
05   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto05   toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
05 toyota manufacturing, eko rudianto
 
04 indian auto_industry_maruti
04 indian auto_industry_maruti04 indian auto_industry_maruti
04 indian auto_industry_maruti
 
Automotive Industry
Automotive IndustryAutomotive Industry
Automotive Industry
 
Wgo 11 16-11
Wgo 11 16-11Wgo 11 16-11
Wgo 11 16-11
 
Materials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiya
Materials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiyaMaterials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiya
Materials for automotive body and chassis structure by sandeep mangukiya
 
"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI Forum
"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI Forum"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI Forum
"The Future of the Automotive Industry", Automotive Session, POSCO EVI Forum
 
Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...
Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...
Enabling Economical Vehicle Light Weighting Through New Glass Reinforcement S...
 
Alcoa Analysis
Alcoa AnalysisAlcoa Analysis
Alcoa Analysis
 

Más de DriveAluminum

2009 april.ducker webinar
2009 april.ducker webinar2009 april.ducker webinar
2009 april.ducker webinarDriveAluminum
 
2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinar
2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinar2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinar
2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinarDriveAluminum
 
2010 oct amm_richman_pres
2010 oct amm_richman_pres2010 oct amm_richman_pres
2010 oct amm_richman_presDriveAluminum
 
2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statement
2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statement2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statement
2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statementDriveAluminum
 
2011 oct bpi_e_vpres
2011 oct bpi_e_vpres2011 oct bpi_e_vpres
2011 oct bpi_e_vpresDriveAluminum
 
2011 jan sae_gov_pres
2011 jan sae_gov_pres2011 jan sae_gov_pres
2011 jan sae_gov_presDriveAluminum
 
2011 dec sae_cv_pres
2011 dec sae_cv_pres2011 dec sae_cv_pres
2011 dec sae_cv_presDriveAluminum
 
2011 sept autoworld_c_vpres
2011 sept autoworld_c_vpres2011 sept autoworld_c_vpres
2011 sept autoworld_c_vpresDriveAluminum
 
2012 jan cafe_testimony
2012 jan cafe_testimony2012 jan cafe_testimony
2012 jan cafe_testimonyDriveAluminum
 
2011 ricardocv study
2011 ricardocv study2011 ricardocv study
2011 ricardocv studyDriveAluminum
 

Más de DriveAluminum (14)

2009 april.ducker webinar
2009 april.ducker webinar2009 april.ducker webinar
2009 april.ducker webinar
 
2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinar
2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinar2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinar
2010 nov.cv fueleconomy_webinar
 
2010 oct amm_richman_pres
2010 oct amm_richman_pres2010 oct amm_richman_pres
2010 oct amm_richman_pres
 
2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statement
2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statement2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statement
2010 nov atgnhtsacv_hearing_statement
 
2010 apr saewc_pres
2010 apr saewc_pres2010 apr saewc_pres
2010 apr saewc_pres
 
2011 oct bpi_e_vpres
2011 oct bpi_e_vpres2011 oct bpi_e_vpres
2011 oct bpi_e_vpres
 
2011 jan sae_gov_pres
2011 jan sae_gov_pres2011 jan sae_gov_pres
2011 jan sae_gov_pres
 
2011 dec sae_cv_pres
2011 dec sae_cv_pres2011 dec sae_cv_pres
2011 dec sae_cv_pres
 
2011 apr saewc_pres
2011 apr saewc_pres2011 apr saewc_pres
2011 apr saewc_pres
 
2011 sept autoworld_c_vpres
2011 sept autoworld_c_vpres2011 sept autoworld_c_vpres
2011 sept autoworld_c_vpres
 
2012 jan cafe_testimony
2012 jan cafe_testimony2012 jan cafe_testimony
2012 jan cafe_testimony
 
2011 ricardocv study
2011 ricardocv study2011 ricardocv study
2011 ricardocv study
 
2011 oem thirdparty
2011 oem thirdparty2011 oem thirdparty
2011 oem thirdparty
 
2011 ibis
2011 ibis2011 ibis
2011 ibis
 

Último

Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith PereraKenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Pereraictsugar
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaoncallgirls2057
 
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFGuide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFChandresh Chudasama
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesKeppelCorporation
 
APRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdf
APRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdfAPRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdf
APRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdfRbc Rbcua
 
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.Anamaria Contreras
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?Olivia Kresic
 
Cyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office EnvironmentCyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office Environmentelijahj01012
 
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...Americas Got Grants
 
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby AfricaKenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africaictsugar
 
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607dollysharma2066
 
Financial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptx
Financial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptxFinancial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptx
Financial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptxsaniyaimamuddin
 
The-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptx
The-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptxThe-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptx
The-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptxmbikashkanyari
 
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfInnovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfrichard876048
 
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent ChirchirMarketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchirictsugar
 
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationPSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationAnamaria Contreras
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCRashishs7044
 

Último (20)

Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith PereraKenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
 
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFGuide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
 
APRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdf
APRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdfAPRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdf
APRIL2024_UKRAINE_xml_0000000000000 .pdf
 
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
Traction part 2 - EOS Model JAX Bridges.
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Rohini Delhi NCR
 
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
MAHA Global and IPR: Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?
 
Call Us ➥9319373153▻Call Girls In North Goa
Call Us ➥9319373153▻Call Girls In North GoaCall Us ➥9319373153▻Call Girls In North Goa
Call Us ➥9319373153▻Call Girls In North Goa
 
Cyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office EnvironmentCyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office Environment
 
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
Church Building Grants To Assist With New Construction, Additions, And Restor...
 
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby AfricaKenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
Kenya’s Coconut Value Chain by Gatsby Africa
 
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
(Best) ENJOY Call Girls in Faridabad Ex | 8377087607
 
Financial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptx
Financial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptxFinancial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptx
Financial-Statement-Analysis-of-Coca-cola-Company.pptx
 
The-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptx
The-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptxThe-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptx
The-Ethical-issues-ghhhhhhhhjof-Byjus.pptx
 
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdfInnovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
Innovation Conference 5th March 2024.pdf
 
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent ChirchirMarketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
 
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement PresentationPSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
PSCC - Capability Statement Presentation
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
 
No-1 Call Girls In Goa 93193 VIP 73153 Escort service In North Goa Panaji, Ca...
No-1 Call Girls In Goa 93193 VIP 73153 Escort service In North Goa Panaji, Ca...No-1 Call Girls In Goa 93193 VIP 73153 Escort service In North Goa Panaji, Ca...
No-1 Call Girls In Goa 93193 VIP 73153 Escort service In North Goa Panaji, Ca...
 

Aluminum Usage in Automobiles Increasing

  • 1. The Changing Make Up of Automobiles Survey Results: Aluminum Usage by North American Automakers An Aluminum Association Webinar September 23, 2011 www.aluminumintransportation.org 1
  • 2. Defining Who We Are The Aluminum Association’s Aluminum Transportation Group (ATG) www.aluminumintransportation.org 2
  • 3. Introductions Randall Scheps Doug Richman ATG Chairman ATG Executive and Marketing Director Technical Committees Alcoa, Inc. Vice President Engineering & Technology Kaiser Aluminum www.aluminumintransportation.org 3
  • 4. Why We are Here Today • Promote a holistic, multi-material approach combining strong lightweight materials like aluminum with smart design and advanced powertrains • Agenda – Benefits of Lightweighting with Aluminum – Results of 2011 Ducker Survey of Automakers on Aluminum Content in Passenger Vehicles – Q&A www.aluminumintransportation.org 4
  • 5. Vehicle Make-Up Is Changing • Two main factors leading automakers to rethink vehicle design – Consumer demand and desire for increased fuel efficiency coupled with a need to continuously improve safety, function and comfort – New, stringent fuel economy standards www.aluminumintransportation.org 5
  • 6. Aluminum Builds a Better Vehicle Mass Better Fuel Reduction Economy Infinitely Reduced Recyclable Emissions Enhanced Improved Performance Safety www.aluminumintransportation.org 6
  • 7. Automakers Confirm Plans to Downweight • Audi: To migrate aspects of the ASF® technology currently in the A8 to higher volume vehicles like the A6 • BMW: To use more aluminum to cut weight • Ford: To trim 250-750 lbs. out of each model year • GM: To trim 500 lbs by 2016 and 1,000 lbs. by 2020 • Jaguar Land Rover: To construct all future vehicles with aluminum bodies • Nissan: To reduce 15% of vehicle weight 7
  • 8. Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles Today: Maintained Size, Decreased Weight 2011 Audi TT Roadster ASF 58% • Better fuel economy aluminum and Coupe ASF 69% aluminum Source: Audi • No downsizing 2011 Jaguar XJ All aluminum • Improved handling body structure saves 150kg compared to its competitors • Lower lifetime CO2 Source: Jaguar • Improved safety 2011 Audi A8 ASF all aluminum except the B-pillars Source: Audi • Enables cost savings www.aluminumintransportation.org 8
  • 9. Aluminum in 2012 North American Light Vehicles Survey of North American Automakers by Ducker Worldwide www.aluminumintransportation.org 9
  • 10. Survey Objectives • Primary Objective – Accurate estimate of 2012 North American light vehicle aluminum content • Secondary Objective – Estimate “most likely” material mix through 2025 www.aluminumintransportation.org 10
  • 11. Methodology • Detailed analysis of aluminum content – Segment – Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) – More than 90 components • Iron, steel, aluminum and magnesium • All product forms – cast, rolled and extruded • Interviews conducted with automotive engineers – Major OEMs – Tier One suppliers – Material producers www.aluminumintransportation.org 11
  • 13. 40 Years of Uninterrupted Growth Aluminum Content – Pounds Per Vehicle 600 2012 500 Pounds per Vehicle 343 lbs per vehicle 400 Average increase of 7 lbs per year for 35 years 300 200 100 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 www.aluminumintransportation.org 13 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 14. Aluminum Share Expected to Double 100% 8% 11% 90% 16% 80% Percent of Material Mix 70% 42% 38% 30% Aluminum 60% 50% Flat Rolled Steel 40% 30% All Other 50% 51% 54% Materials 20% 10% 0% 2008 2015 2025 www.aluminumintransportation.org 14 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 15. Component Analysis www.aluminumintransportation.org 15
  • 16. Aluminum Content in 2012 Wheels 790 Transmissions 785 Cylinder Blocks 636 Cylinder Heads 588 Nearly 80% of engine blocks Heat Transfer 516 in 2012 are aluminum Other Engine 371 Brake Parts 130 Closures 126 Steering Knuckles 115 Record aluminum Intake Manifolds 112 content in 2012: Control Arms & Links 89 Transfer Cases 88 •Engine Blocks Bumpers 70 •Closures Differential Carriers 69 •Bumpers Other Steering 60 •Steering Knuckles Engine Mounts 49 •IP Structures Cradles & Crossmembers 24 IP Structure 23 Drive Shafts & Yokes 14 All Other Compnents 125 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Millions of Pounds www.aluminumintransportation.org 16 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 17. Aluminum Penetration for Key Components in 2012 Heat Exchangers 100% Transmission 100% Cylinder Heads 98% Cylinder Blocks 80% Wheels 70% Steering Knuckles 45% Control Arms 40% Hoods 31% Bumpers 20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Total Components www.aluminumintransportation.org 17
  • 18. 2009-2012 Aluminum Content Growth Body, Bumper & Closure 58% (over 50% from closures) Crossmembers 19% Suspension 16% Steering 10% Average Increase 5% Wheels & Brakes 3% Transmission & Driveline 3% Engine 3% Heat Transfer 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Total Pounds www.aluminumintransportation.org 18 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 19. 50% Percent of Knuckles Aluminum in 2012 60% 50% 50% 39% 40% 30% 30% 17% 19% 20% 10% 1% 0% www.aluminumintransportation.org 19 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2009 and 2011
  • 20. 20% of All Bumpers Aluminum in 2012 25.0% 20% 20.0% 15.0% 11% 10.0% 9% 7% 5% 6% 5.0% 0.0% www.aluminumintransportation.org 20 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2009 and 2011
  • 21. Aluminum Hood Growth 35% Over 30% 31% 30% of all the hoods will be aluminum 23% 25% in 2012 20% 19% 14% 15% 10% 10% 6% 5% 0% www.aluminumintransportation.org 21 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 22. Evolution of Body-in-White Construction Optimized Aluminum Multi-Material High Strength Aluminum Steel High Strength Alloy Aluminum Intensive Vehicle Steel & Aluminum Hybrid – Majority Aluminum Steel & Aluminum Hybrid – Majority Steel Today 2015 2020 2025 www.aluminumintransportation.org 22 Source: Alcoa
  • 23. Segment Analysis www.aluminumintransportation.org 23
  • 24. E Segment Vehicles Leader in Total Aluminum Pounds Per Segment 2012 Aluminum Pounds per Segment 421 450 363 Aluminum Pounds per Vehicle 400 354 343 329 350 275 300 229 250 200 150 100 50 0 www.aluminumintransportation.org 24 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 25. Aluminum Percent of Curb Weight by Segment 12.0% 9.6% 10.0% 9.7% 10.0% 8.5% 8.7% 9.0% 8.0% 6.8% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% www.aluminumintransportation.org 25 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 26. North American Aluminum Content Leaders Honda content leader as percent of GM content leader at 366 lbs per vehicle curb weight at 10.7% per vehicle 2012 Chevrolet Malibu 2012 Honda CRV Aluminum Content 385 Lbs Aluminum Content 10.9% Source: General Motors Media Site Source: Honda Media Site www.aluminumintransportation.org 26 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 27. Top Aluminum Content Vehicles 2012 Ford Escape Aluminum content 10.9% • Newer vehicles have average Source: Ford Media Site aluminum content 10.4% of vehicle curb weight (vs. 9%) - Cadillac ATS - Ford Fusion - Cadillac XTS - Honda Accord - Chevrolet Malibu - Honda Civic - Chrysler 300 - Honda CR-V 2012 Chrysler 300 Aluminum content 10.6% - Chrysler/Fiat C - Lincoln MKZ Source: Chrysler Media Site Sedan - Mercedes-Benz - Fiat 500 ML-Class - Ford Explorer - Nissan Altima 2012 Nissan Altima - Ford Escape - Toyota Avalon Aluminum content 11.1% Source: Nissan Media Site www.aluminumintransportation.org 27 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 28. Ducker Worldwide Aluminum Forecast www.aluminumintransportation.org 28
  • 29. Aluminum Growth Projected to Reach 400 Pounds Per Vehicle by 2015/2016 Aluminum Content – Pounds Per Vehicle 600 2015 400 lbs per vehicle 2012 500 Pounds per Vehicle 343 lbs per vehicle The trend line continues 400 to be supported by new aluminum applications 300 200 100 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 www.aluminumintransportation.org 29 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 30. New Applications Required to Achieve 2015/2016 Growth Scenario North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content Increases 25 Pounds per Vehicle 20 Pounds per Vehicle New Applications 11 (Primarily body, bumper 8 15 and closure components) 4 10 12 1 12 10 11 10 5 6 8 5 3 2 3 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 www.aluminumintransportation.org 30 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 31. Ducker Long Term Forecast Assumptions • 51 MPG 2025* fuel economy target • 10% average weight reduction • 44% HEVs • 1 sq. ft. (2% from 2008 EPA base year) footprint reduction * Average based on 54.5 MPG for cars and at least 46.5 MPG for light trucks www.aluminumintransportation.org 31 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 32. Significant Growth For Aluminum Predicted by 2025 Aluminum Content – Pounds Per Vehicle 2025 550 lbs per vehicle 600 2012 500 Pounds per Vehicle 343 lbs per vehicle The trend line continues 400 to be supported by new aluminum applications 300 200 100 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 www.aluminumintransportation.org 32 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 33. Aluminum Pounds Per Truck Predicted to Increase Dramatically 800 Average Aluminum Pounds Per Vehicle Car vs. Light Truck 671 700 650 607 629 585 600 513 528 485 498 500 450 459 420 373 394 400 300 200 100 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Car Truck www.aluminumintransportation.org 33 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 34. Average Vehicle Must Lose Over 400 Lbs of Curb Weight by 2025 Sources of Weight Savings for 4% CAGR for MPG Add 225 lbs. of AHSS Add 250 lbs. of aluminum 70, 17% 80, 20% Add 250 lbs. ofof Add 225 lbs. AHSS replacing mild steel Aluminum Weight compounding 78, 19% effect Compounding Weight Effect 1 sq. ft. footprint 180, 44% reductionFootprint One Reduce Square Foot 408 lbs. saved or 10% over 2008 (NHTSA/EPA base year) www.aluminumintransportation.org 34 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 35. Average Net Cost of Direct and Indirect Weight Reduction • Increased use of aluminum necessary and cost effective in achieving 400 lb weight reduction by 2025 Average Cost of Direct Weight Savings Cost Dollar/Pound Saved Primary $2.00 Secondary ($1.82) Net Cost $0.18 www.aluminumintransportation.org 35 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011 & IBIS 2005
  • 36. Ducker Study Conclusions • Consumer demand and fuel economy regulations are driving a dramatic increase in aluminum usage – Weight savings from aluminum and AHSS for body parts • Automakers working hard to improve fuel economy and maintain or improve size, function, safety and comfort • Weight reduction with aluminum is a cost effective part of the solution www.aluminumintransportation.org 36 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 37. Ducker Study Conclusions • By 2025, the average vehicle will get lighter by 400 lbs. – Aluminum and AHSS – Aluminum • Sheet , extrusions • Closures, body-in-white, bumper, and suspension components • Aluminum will grow to 16% of curb weight – 343 pounds in 2012 – 550 pounds in 2025 – Increase of 207 lbs. in 13 years – Industry added 200 lbs. per vehicle from 1990 to 2010 • This is a conservative forecast www.aluminumintransportation.org 37 Source: Ducker Worldwide 2011
  • 38. Question & Answer Please submit questions through the box that appears on your screen For additional aluminum research in the areas of safety, cost, alternative powertrains, growth and sustainability, to sign-up for the ATG’s monthly newsletter and/or download this presentation, please visit us online at www.aluminumintransportation.org or e-mail atginfo@aluminum.org Thank You www.aluminumintransportation.org 38