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climate 
everyone’s 
business 
Climate 
Change: 
Implica0ons 
for 
the 
Energy 
Sector 
Key 
Findings 
from 
the 
Intergovernmental 
Panel 
on 
Climate 
Change 
Fi7h 
Assessment 
Report 
June 
2014
climate 
everyone’s 
business 
Climate 
Change: 
Energy 
demand 
is 
increasing 
globally, 
causing 
greenhouse 
gas 
(GHG) 
emissions 
from 
the 
energy 
sector 
also 
to 
increase. 
Emissions 
at 
current 
rates 
are 
projected 
to 
raise 
global 
average 
surface 
temperature 
by 
2.6–4.8oC 
by 
2100. 
Key 
Findings 
Strong 
global 
poli0cal 
ac0on 
on 
climate 
change 
would 
have 
major 
implica0ons 
for 
the 
energy 
sector.
climate 
everyone’s 
business 
Climate 
Change: 
Implica0ons 
for 
Energy 
Energy 
demand 
is 
increasing 
due 
to: 
§ Rising 
popula0on 
§ Economic 
growth 
Energy 
produc0on 
and 
delivery 
will 
be 
affected 
by: 
§ Progressive 
temperature 
increase 
§ Increasing 
and 
more 
severe 
extreme 
weather 
events 
§ Changing 
precipita0on 
paFerns 
The 
long-­‐term 
trend 
of 
gradual 
decarbonisaQon 
of 
energy 
has 
reversed 
due 
to 
an 
increase 
in 
coal 
burning.
climate 
everyone’s 
Climate 
Change: 
Impacts 
and 
Adapta0ons 
business 
§ Thermal 
power 
plants 
will 
be 
affected 
by 
the 
decreasing 
efficiency 
of 
thermal 
conversion 
as 
a 
result 
of 
rising 
temperatures, 
as 
well 
as 
possible 
lack 
of 
water 
for 
cooling. 
§ Oil 
and 
gas 
pipelines 
will 
be 
affected 
by 
rising 
sea 
levels 
or 
thawing 
permafrost, 
and 
may 
require 
new 
zoning, 
design 
or 
construcQon. 
§ Power 
lines 
are 
vulnerable 
to 
extreme 
weather 
events, 
but 
can 
be 
re-­‐routed 
away 
from 
high-­‐risk 
areas. 
§ Renewables 
are 
threatened 
by 
changes 
to 
regional 
weather 
paUerns 
such 
as 
precipita0on, 
storms, 
and 
cloudiness. 
§ Nuclear 
may 
be 
threatened 
by 
extreme 
weather 
events 
or 
lack 
of 
water 
for 
cooling. 
Adapta0on 
seeks 
to 
moderate 
or 
avoid 
harm 
or 
exploit 
beneficial 
opportuniQes.
climate 
everyone’s 
Climate 
Change: 
Emission 
Reduc0on 
business 
Adapta0on 
op0ons 
emissions 
from 
energy 
can 
be 
achieved 
through 
a 
variety 
of 
measures: 
§ CuXng 
fossil 
fuel 
exist. 
Significant 
cuts 
in 
GHG 
extrac0on 
and 
conversion 
emissions 
§ Switching 
to 
lower-­‐carbon 
fuels 
(e.g., 
coal 
to 
gas) 
§ Increasing 
transmission 
and 
distribu0on 
energy 
efficiency 
§ Increasing 
use 
of 
renewable 
and 
nuclear 
genera0on 
§ Introducing 
carbon 
capture 
and 
storage 
(CCS) 
§ Reducing 
final 
energy 
demand 
Climate 
change 
presents 
increasing 
challenges 
for 
energy 
produc0on 
and 
transmission.
climate 
everyone’s 
Climate 
Change: 
Mi0ga0on 
business 
Stabilisa0on 
of 
emissions 
at 
levels 
compaQble 
with 
the 
internaQonally 
agreed 
2oC 
temperature 
target 
will 
mean 
a 
fundamental 
transforma0on 
of 
the 
energy 
industry 
worldwide 
in 
the 
next 
few 
decades. 
Incen0vising 
investment 
in 
low-­‐carbon 
technologies 
will 
be 
a 
key 
challenge 
for 
governments 
and 
regulators 
to 
achieve 
carbon 
reducQon 
targets. 
Reducing 
GHG 
emissions 
also 
brings 
important 
co-­‐benefits 
such 
as 
improved 
health 
and 
employment, 
but 
supply 
side 
miQgaQon 
measures 
also 
carry 
risks. 
Climate 
change 
will 
affect 
the 
enQre 
energy 
sector, 
through 
impacts 
and 
through 
policy.
climate 
everyone’s 
Climate 
Change: 
Policy 
Framework 
business 
Low-­‐carbon 
electricity 
comes 
from 
processes 
or 
technologies 
that 
produce 
power 
with 
substan'ally 
lower 
amounts 
of 
carbon 
dioxide 
emissions 
than 
is 
emiUed 
from 
convenQonal 
fossil 
fuel 
power 
generaQon. 
MeeQng 
the 
2oC 
target 
implies 
swiXly 
hal0ng 
the 
rise 
in 
emissions 
for 
the 
full 
energy 
system 
and 
bringing 
them 
to 
zero 
before 
the 
end 
of 
the 
century, 
with 
a 
likely 
need 
for 
‘negaQve 
emissions’ 
technology. 
Governments 
may 
facilitate 
an 
increased 
use 
of 
emission 
reducQon 
opQons 
by 
creaQng 
an 
aFrac0ve 
fiscal 
and 
regulatory 
framework. 
New 
technologies 
can 
be 
used 
for 
efficiency 
improvements, 
power 
genera0on, 
extrac0on, 
storage, 
transmission 
and 
distribu0on.
For 
more 
informa0on 
Cambridge 
InsQtute 
for 
Sustainability 
Leadership 
ipcc@cisl.cam.ac.uk 
Stuart 
Neil, 
World 
Energy 
Council 
neil@worldenergy.org 
European 
Climate 
FoundaQon 
AR5@europeanclimate.org 
www.cisl.cam.ac.uk/ipcc 
www.worldenergy.org 
www.europeanclimate.org

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Climate Change: Implications for Energy

  • 1. climate everyone’s business Climate Change: Implica0ons for the Energy Sector Key Findings from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fi7h Assessment Report June 2014
  • 2. climate everyone’s business Climate Change: Energy demand is increasing globally, causing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the energy sector also to increase. Emissions at current rates are projected to raise global average surface temperature by 2.6–4.8oC by 2100. Key Findings Strong global poli0cal ac0on on climate change would have major implica0ons for the energy sector.
  • 3. climate everyone’s business Climate Change: Implica0ons for Energy Energy demand is increasing due to: § Rising popula0on § Economic growth Energy produc0on and delivery will be affected by: § Progressive temperature increase § Increasing and more severe extreme weather events § Changing precipita0on paFerns The long-­‐term trend of gradual decarbonisaQon of energy has reversed due to an increase in coal burning.
  • 4. climate everyone’s Climate Change: Impacts and Adapta0ons business § Thermal power plants will be affected by the decreasing efficiency of thermal conversion as a result of rising temperatures, as well as possible lack of water for cooling. § Oil and gas pipelines will be affected by rising sea levels or thawing permafrost, and may require new zoning, design or construcQon. § Power lines are vulnerable to extreme weather events, but can be re-­‐routed away from high-­‐risk areas. § Renewables are threatened by changes to regional weather paUerns such as precipita0on, storms, and cloudiness. § Nuclear may be threatened by extreme weather events or lack of water for cooling. Adapta0on seeks to moderate or avoid harm or exploit beneficial opportuniQes.
  • 5. climate everyone’s Climate Change: Emission Reduc0on business Adapta0on op0ons emissions from energy can be achieved through a variety of measures: § CuXng fossil fuel exist. Significant cuts in GHG extrac0on and conversion emissions § Switching to lower-­‐carbon fuels (e.g., coal to gas) § Increasing transmission and distribu0on energy efficiency § Increasing use of renewable and nuclear genera0on § Introducing carbon capture and storage (CCS) § Reducing final energy demand Climate change presents increasing challenges for energy produc0on and transmission.
  • 6. climate everyone’s Climate Change: Mi0ga0on business Stabilisa0on of emissions at levels compaQble with the internaQonally agreed 2oC temperature target will mean a fundamental transforma0on of the energy industry worldwide in the next few decades. Incen0vising investment in low-­‐carbon technologies will be a key challenge for governments and regulators to achieve carbon reducQon targets. Reducing GHG emissions also brings important co-­‐benefits such as improved health and employment, but supply side miQgaQon measures also carry risks. Climate change will affect the enQre energy sector, through impacts and through policy.
  • 7. climate everyone’s Climate Change: Policy Framework business Low-­‐carbon electricity comes from processes or technologies that produce power with substan'ally lower amounts of carbon dioxide emissions than is emiUed from convenQonal fossil fuel power generaQon. MeeQng the 2oC target implies swiXly hal0ng the rise in emissions for the full energy system and bringing them to zero before the end of the century, with a likely need for ‘negaQve emissions’ technology. Governments may facilitate an increased use of emission reducQon opQons by creaQng an aFrac0ve fiscal and regulatory framework. New technologies can be used for efficiency improvements, power genera0on, extrac0on, storage, transmission and distribu0on.
  • 8. For more informa0on Cambridge InsQtute for Sustainability Leadership ipcc@cisl.cam.ac.uk Stuart Neil, World Energy Council neil@worldenergy.org European Climate FoundaQon AR5@europeanclimate.org www.cisl.cam.ac.uk/ipcc www.worldenergy.org www.europeanclimate.org