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Where are California’s Green Jobs?
 Four Simple Recommendations
         any state can implement
    to Create Full Employment

                             Elton B. Sherwin
                             Sr. Managing Director
                             Ridgewood Capital

                             Author of
                             The Silicon Valley Way and
                             Addicted to Energy
Letter to a fictional governor
  • 70 recommendations for
    state policy
  • Job creation




  Previous Book
  • Creating new products
  • Creating new companies



These slides: www.EltonSherwin.com and on slideshare
Four Recommendations
             Job Creation
• All create sustainable jobs
  – Don’t require ongoing subsidies
  – Involve no new taxes
• Permanent, new jobs
  – Reduce structural unemployment
• Wealth creating: businesses, homeowners and
  for our children.
Recommendation
A-                 #1
     Grade Every Building in the State
                 A+ to D-
      Based on Energy Consumption

                           And publish
                           the grades
                             1 Main St. D-
                             2 Main St. A-
Unexpected Question
             in a Radio Interview
If the President called you today and
asked for your advice:
“Elton, how do I create millions of jobs
quickly?”
I answered:

“Publish every utility bill in America on the
  Internet.
“Grade every building A to F.
“Post the grades on the front of every building.”
I forgot to start with:
“Mr. President.”


                          The White House
                            never called.
My Answer was Criticized
• Email feedback:
  – I don’t want my home’s utility bill public.




                 C-
Refine the Thought
• Don’t disclose utility bills
• Disclose the grades
   – Homeowners can opt out
Thought Experiment
What would happen
• Graded every building in California A+ to D-
• Posted grades on front door and Internet


                   1 Main St. D-
                   2 Main St. A-

                                                         C-
                Based on actual energy consumption per
                      square foot and per person.
Grade and Disclose                  D→B
Lots of upgrading:
•   HVAC               • Create blue and white
•   Windows              collar jobs
•   Insulation            • Auditors: short supply
•   Lighting
                       • Lower utility bills
•   Pumps
                          • Send less money out of
                            state to buy natural gas
                            and coal-generated
                 B→A
                            electricity
Increased investment


      Unemployment Would Go Down
                                    Many counties would benefit:
                                          San Bernardino
                                              Trinity
                                             Madera
                       Sacramento            Imperial
                       Bee
                                             Riverside
                                              Shasta
                                              Fresno
                                               Kern
                                              Sutter
                                               Lake
Sherwin’s Law
A-

         “When performance is graded
           performance improves.

          When grades are published,
     the rate of improvement accelerates.”


           Using letter grades: A+ to D- based on actual energy
           consumption per square foot and per person.
                   Phrasing adapted from Thomas S. Monson
Analyzed 17
Building Rating Systems
         Around the World




    European Unions Energy Performance Certificates
             UK Display Energy Certificates
               LEED – New Construction
                  LEED – Health Care
         ENERGY STAR – Commercial buildings
                 ENERGY STAR homes
                PlaNYC (New York City)
            Australia’s Greenhouse Rating
                          HERS
                        ASHRE EQ
                    CALGreen level 2
                   California AB 1103
                   California AB 758
            DOE home energy scoring pilot
              Passive Home Certification
                     City of Seattle
                     San Francisco
Which Will Motivate the Most
   Effective Investment?
   Which Would Create the Most Jobs?
Everyone Wants a Report Card
         When I spread all the different ratings on a table and ask,
         “Which system do you want for your house?”
         Everyone picks this one:

                    J       F       M       A       M   J   J   A   S   O   N     D    YTD
Total Energy

  Per sq. ft.   C+      C-      C       C-      D                                      C-

  Per person    B-      C       B-      C       D+                                     C

Gas
 Per sq. ft.    C-      D       C       D+      D-                                     D+
 Per person     C       D+      C+      C-      D                                      C-

Electricity
 Per sq. ft.    B-      C       C+      C-      D+                                     C
 Per person     B       C+      B-      C       C-                                     C+
                                                                                YTD is Year-to-date
Grades Motivate                       J   F   M     A   M    J
    Change
                   Total
                   Energy
                    Per sq. ft.   C+ C- C          C- D
  Monthly grades
  are especially    Per           B- C B- C             D+
     powerful      person

                   Gas
                    Per sq. ft. C-        D   C    D+   D-

                    Per           C       D+ C+    C-   D
                   person

                   Electricity
                     Per sq. ft. B-       C   C+   C-   D+
Recommendation #1

    Grade Every Building in the State
   Publish the Grades on the Internet
         • One year of grace
         • Allow homeowners to opt out*


                          1 Main St. D-
                          2 Main St. A-




                    * Except when selling their home
Send Window Stickers to the
          Best Buildings
• Window stickers are optional


   A-
                                           B




        Internet disclosure and window stickers
                 will create a lot of jobs
Reduce the Use of Fossil Fuels and Electricity
          Creates a Lot of Jobs
Shift Away from Fossil Fuels and Electricity
  Create 3 to 10 Times as Many Jobs
Accelerate the Pace of Energy Efficiency:
          Over One Million Jobs
            Just in California
•   HVAC mechanics and installers
•   Plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters
•   Electricians
•   Machinists and welders
•   Environmental scientists, specialists, and technicians
•   Energy auditors and accountants
•   Truck drivers and construction workers
              One million jobs projected using numbers from Renewable Energy and Energy
          Efficiency: Economic Drivers for the 21st Century, by Roger Bezdek.
              See appendix for more details.
Assembly Bill 1103
             Assembly Bill 758

• Signed into law
• Not yet implemented
• Require benchmarking of buildings
  – Disclosure on sale
Assembly Bill 1103
               Assembly Bill 758

• Important legislation
• Could be an engine of job growth
  – Added monthly grades and annual
    disclosure
                                          J        F       M        A       M   J   J   A
                       Total Energy

                        Per sq. ft.   C+      C-       C       C-       D

       1 Main St. D-    Per person    B-      C        B-      C        D+

       2 Main St. A-
                       Gas
                        Per sq. ft.   C-      D        C       D+       D-

                        Per person    C       D+       C+      C-       D
San Francisco’s Groundbreaking Law
                    Create Jobs
                 Reduce Utility Bills
                                                   Annual
                                                   Internet Disclosure
                                                   All Commercial Buildings




                       High = 100
                        Low = 1                                  NY City has
                                                              passed a similar law



        Energy used ÷ size of building
        Adjusted by type: Office, hospital, etc.
Remember Only                                                     1 Main St. D-
                   One Thing:                                                      2 Main St. A-

If you want green jobs:
• Grade buildings based on energy consumption
• Disclose the grades on the Internet
                       J        F        M        A        M   J   J   A   S   O      N   D    YTD
  Total Energy

    Per sq. ft.    C+      C-       C        C-       D                                       C-

    Per person     B-      C        B-       C        D+                                      C

  Gas
   Per sq. ft.     C-      D        C        D+       D-                                      D+
   Per person      C       D+       C+       C-       D                                       C-
  Electricity
   Per sq. ft.     B-      C        C+       C-       D+                                      C
   Per person      B       C+       B-       C        C-                                      C+
D buildings consume about 60% of building energy

    Objective: Move 80% of the D
buildings to a passing grade by 2020.
                A               B               C                 D
             Top 20%         Next 20%       Middle 20%       Bottom 40%
        A+      >95%      B+      75-79% C+        55-59%   D+     35-39%
        A       85-94% B          65-74% C         45-54%   D      25-34%
        A-      80-84% B-         60-64% C-        40-44%   D-     <25%

                       Top 20% is A
                       • Top 5% is A+
                       Bottom 40% is D
                       • There is no F, just a D-
                       Compared with similar buildings in similar climates
                       • Homes with pools compared to homes with pools
                       • Hospitals with laundries to similar hospitals, etc.
                       • Ranked against the 2000 to 2005 data
If This Doesn’t Create
         a Labor Shortage,
The Next Recommendation Might.
Recommendation
             #2
       Require Smart Lighting
in All Commercial and Government
             Buildings
                     Smart lights:
                     •Off when empty
                     •Dim when sunlit
World’s Leader in
         Smart Lighting Controls


• Fremont, California
  – Lumenergi*
• Reduce office lighting by 50% to 80%
  – Dim lights when rooms are sunlit
  – Turn off (or dim) the lights when empty



              *Ridgewood is not an investor
What Percent of California
          Office Buildings
Automatically Dim their Lights When
 the Sun is Streaming Through the
             Windows?

            Less than 1%
I have never seen a lighting upgrade in
 California that did not pay for itself in
          reduced utility bills.
Smart Lighting Requirement


• All non-residential buildings
  – Dim lights when rooms are sunlit
     • Each fixture separately controlled
  – Turn off (or dim to 20%) the lights when empty
• Phase in
  – Shortage of electricians to do the retrofits
• Retrofits that pay for themselves
Summarize
    First Two Recommendations
#1 Motivate with grades               B+
  – Grade monthly
  – Disclose annually
#2 Install smart lighting controls
  – Retrofit commercial buildings



               We can do this.
               It is not that hard.
Recommendation #3


            Pop Quiz

What Consumes Half the Electricity in
           America?
                       Clue:
                       It’s not lights.
Electric Motors Consume
      About 50% of Electricity in U.S.
•   Fans
•   Pumps
•   Compressors
•   Air Conditioners



            50% statistic from the US DOE:
            http://www1.eere.energy.gov/industry/bestpractices/pdfs/mc-0382.pdf
Potential Electricity Savings for
           California Industries
• Four of top five are
  motors
• Pay for themselves
  in reduced utility
  bills
  –   Water treatment plants
  –   Factories
  –   Office HVAC systems
  –   Pools
Electric Bill Can Be
    10 to 20 times Cost of the Motor
• Like a car using
  $500,000 in
  gasoline
True in residential as well

                      The Best Pool Pumps
   • Use 75% less energy
     than the typical pool
     pump
   • Use 50% less than
     most new pumps
   • Save $50 to 100 a
     month or more
                                        Pentair IntelliFlo
Recommendation
       #3

Require Smart Motors
    Everywhere

              Smart motor
              • Variable speed
              • Sensor and
              microprocessor to
              control speed
50% to 80% Savings Potential

 •   Fans, furnaces, and air handlers
 •   Pumps
 •   Air Conditioners
 •   Motors and compressors
Why?
• Fans and pumps need to run on high
  during startup
• Usually only need 10% to 50% to maintain
  flow
   – Most motors do not automatically slow
     down
Unbelievable Waste of
   America’s Wealth
Almost half of America’s electricity
        is used by motors
      stuck on high speed.
Recommendation #3
      Require Smart Motors
Variable speed
• Minimum 85% reduction*
Microprocessor controls
• Automatically slow down
  – Backpressure and temperature




                        *of energy consumption on low speed
You might be thinking:
    Lights, Pumps, Fans, Grades:
    But Where Are The Jobs?
Shift Away from Fossil Fuels and Electricity
              Creates Jobs
Trifecta of
                  Job Creation
1. Hire contractors
  •   Creates jobs
2. They spend their salaries
  •   Creates more jobs
3. Building owner spends the savings
  •   Benefits last for decades
  •   Creates jobs in future years
The More Efficient the Retrofit


    The bigger the savings


  The more jobs created

        Efficiency matters
        Target investments that save the most energy:
        • Lights and motors
The Most Efficient Lights
        and Motors
    Create the Most Jobs



              Corollary
“A” buildings create more jobs than
           “D” buildings

                                      A-
A Race to the Top,
A Race to Excellence,
Creates the Most Jobs



   Building Grades
    Create a Race


                        A-
How to Pay for Lights, Fans, Motors
      and Other Upgrades?

(that building owners are installing
 in a race to improve their grades)

     $
                                   A-
Recommendation
         #4

Energy Savings Accounts


                Universal On-bill
                Financing
                With a twist
San Diego Gas & Electric
Leader in On-bill Financing
     Funds efficiency upgrades
 With zero interest financing on the
         monthly utility bill
            Similar to PACE
Energy Savings Accounts
Two Pieces
  1. Borrow from the utility
     •   Pay back in monthly utility bill
  2. Poor performing buildings
     •   Forced to save for future investments

Provides money and motivation
     •   It is your money accruing on the utility bill
Summarize

Sherwin Job Program
Benefits
• Create sustainable jobs
  – Don’t require ongoing subsidies
  – Involve no new taxes
• Reduce structural unemployment
• Wealth creating
  – Businesses
  – Homeowners
  – For our children
Sherwin Job Plan
Four Recommendations
#1 Motivate with Grades       B+
  – Grade monthly
  – Disclose annually
#2 and #3 Require retrofits
  – Commercial lighting
  – Motors
#4 Finance
  – Energy Savings accounts
Most Highly Skilled Green Workforce
in the World
#1 Motivate with Grades
  – Grade monthly
  – Disclose annually
#2 and #3 Require retrofits
  – Commercial lighting
  – Motors
#4 Finance
  – Energy Savings accounts

             Create a labor shortage

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Creating Green Jobs - The Sherwin Plan

  • 1. Where are California’s Green Jobs? Four Simple Recommendations any state can implement to Create Full Employment Elton B. Sherwin Sr. Managing Director Ridgewood Capital Author of The Silicon Valley Way and Addicted to Energy
  • 2. Letter to a fictional governor • 70 recommendations for state policy • Job creation Previous Book • Creating new products • Creating new companies These slides: www.EltonSherwin.com and on slideshare
  • 3. Four Recommendations Job Creation • All create sustainable jobs – Don’t require ongoing subsidies – Involve no new taxes • Permanent, new jobs – Reduce structural unemployment • Wealth creating: businesses, homeowners and for our children.
  • 4. Recommendation A- #1 Grade Every Building in the State A+ to D- Based on Energy Consumption And publish the grades 1 Main St. D- 2 Main St. A-
  • 5. Unexpected Question in a Radio Interview If the President called you today and asked for your advice: “Elton, how do I create millions of jobs quickly?”
  • 6. I answered: “Publish every utility bill in America on the Internet. “Grade every building A to F. “Post the grades on the front of every building.”
  • 7. I forgot to start with: “Mr. President.” The White House never called.
  • 8. My Answer was Criticized • Email feedback: – I don’t want my home’s utility bill public. C-
  • 9. Refine the Thought • Don’t disclose utility bills • Disclose the grades – Homeowners can opt out
  • 10. Thought Experiment What would happen • Graded every building in California A+ to D- • Posted grades on front door and Internet 1 Main St. D- 2 Main St. A- C- Based on actual energy consumption per square foot and per person.
  • 11. Grade and Disclose D→B Lots of upgrading: • HVAC • Create blue and white • Windows collar jobs • Insulation • Auditors: short supply • Lighting • Lower utility bills • Pumps • Send less money out of state to buy natural gas and coal-generated B→A electricity
  • 12. Increased investment Unemployment Would Go Down Many counties would benefit: San Bernardino Trinity Madera Sacramento Imperial Bee Riverside Shasta Fresno Kern Sutter Lake
  • 13. Sherwin’s Law A- “When performance is graded performance improves. When grades are published, the rate of improvement accelerates.” Using letter grades: A+ to D- based on actual energy consumption per square foot and per person. Phrasing adapted from Thomas S. Monson
  • 14. Analyzed 17 Building Rating Systems Around the World European Unions Energy Performance Certificates UK Display Energy Certificates LEED – New Construction LEED – Health Care ENERGY STAR – Commercial buildings ENERGY STAR homes PlaNYC (New York City) Australia’s Greenhouse Rating HERS ASHRE EQ CALGreen level 2 California AB 1103 California AB 758 DOE home energy scoring pilot Passive Home Certification City of Seattle San Francisco
  • 15. Which Will Motivate the Most Effective Investment? Which Would Create the Most Jobs?
  • 16. Everyone Wants a Report Card When I spread all the different ratings on a table and ask, “Which system do you want for your house?” Everyone picks this one: J F M A M J J A S O N D YTD Total Energy Per sq. ft. C+ C- C C- D C- Per person B- C B- C D+ C Gas Per sq. ft. C- D C D+ D- D+ Per person C D+ C+ C- D C- Electricity Per sq. ft. B- C C+ C- D+ C Per person B C+ B- C C- C+ YTD is Year-to-date
  • 17. Grades Motivate J F M A M J Change Total Energy Per sq. ft. C+ C- C C- D Monthly grades are especially Per B- C B- C D+ powerful person Gas Per sq. ft. C- D C D+ D- Per C D+ C+ C- D person Electricity Per sq. ft. B- C C+ C- D+
  • 18. Recommendation #1 Grade Every Building in the State Publish the Grades on the Internet • One year of grace • Allow homeowners to opt out* 1 Main St. D- 2 Main St. A- * Except when selling their home
  • 19. Send Window Stickers to the Best Buildings • Window stickers are optional A- B Internet disclosure and window stickers will create a lot of jobs
  • 20. Reduce the Use of Fossil Fuels and Electricity Creates a Lot of Jobs
  • 21. Shift Away from Fossil Fuels and Electricity Create 3 to 10 Times as Many Jobs
  • 22. Accelerate the Pace of Energy Efficiency: Over One Million Jobs Just in California • HVAC mechanics and installers • Plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters • Electricians • Machinists and welders • Environmental scientists, specialists, and technicians • Energy auditors and accountants • Truck drivers and construction workers One million jobs projected using numbers from Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency: Economic Drivers for the 21st Century, by Roger Bezdek. See appendix for more details.
  • 23. Assembly Bill 1103 Assembly Bill 758 • Signed into law • Not yet implemented • Require benchmarking of buildings – Disclosure on sale
  • 24. Assembly Bill 1103 Assembly Bill 758 • Important legislation • Could be an engine of job growth – Added monthly grades and annual disclosure J F M A M J J A Total Energy Per sq. ft. C+ C- C C- D 1 Main St. D- Per person B- C B- C D+ 2 Main St. A- Gas Per sq. ft. C- D C D+ D- Per person C D+ C+ C- D
  • 25. San Francisco’s Groundbreaking Law Create Jobs Reduce Utility Bills Annual Internet Disclosure All Commercial Buildings High = 100 Low = 1 NY City has passed a similar law Energy used ÷ size of building Adjusted by type: Office, hospital, etc.
  • 26. Remember Only 1 Main St. D- One Thing: 2 Main St. A- If you want green jobs: • Grade buildings based on energy consumption • Disclose the grades on the Internet J F M A M J J A S O N D YTD Total Energy Per sq. ft. C+ C- C C- D C- Per person B- C B- C D+ C Gas Per sq. ft. C- D C D+ D- D+ Per person C D+ C+ C- D C- Electricity Per sq. ft. B- C C+ C- D+ C Per person B C+ B- C C- C+
  • 27. D buildings consume about 60% of building energy Objective: Move 80% of the D buildings to a passing grade by 2020. A B C D Top 20% Next 20% Middle 20% Bottom 40% A+ >95% B+ 75-79% C+ 55-59% D+ 35-39% A 85-94% B 65-74% C 45-54% D 25-34% A- 80-84% B- 60-64% C- 40-44% D- <25% Top 20% is A • Top 5% is A+ Bottom 40% is D • There is no F, just a D- Compared with similar buildings in similar climates • Homes with pools compared to homes with pools • Hospitals with laundries to similar hospitals, etc. • Ranked against the 2000 to 2005 data
  • 28. If This Doesn’t Create a Labor Shortage, The Next Recommendation Might.
  • 29. Recommendation #2 Require Smart Lighting in All Commercial and Government Buildings Smart lights: •Off when empty •Dim when sunlit
  • 30. World’s Leader in Smart Lighting Controls • Fremont, California – Lumenergi* • Reduce office lighting by 50% to 80% – Dim lights when rooms are sunlit – Turn off (or dim) the lights when empty *Ridgewood is not an investor
  • 31. What Percent of California Office Buildings Automatically Dim their Lights When the Sun is Streaming Through the Windows? Less than 1%
  • 32. I have never seen a lighting upgrade in California that did not pay for itself in reduced utility bills.
  • 33. Smart Lighting Requirement • All non-residential buildings – Dim lights when rooms are sunlit • Each fixture separately controlled – Turn off (or dim to 20%) the lights when empty • Phase in – Shortage of electricians to do the retrofits • Retrofits that pay for themselves
  • 34. Summarize First Two Recommendations #1 Motivate with grades B+ – Grade monthly – Disclose annually #2 Install smart lighting controls – Retrofit commercial buildings We can do this. It is not that hard.
  • 35. Recommendation #3 Pop Quiz What Consumes Half the Electricity in America? Clue: It’s not lights.
  • 36. Electric Motors Consume About 50% of Electricity in U.S. • Fans • Pumps • Compressors • Air Conditioners 50% statistic from the US DOE: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/industry/bestpractices/pdfs/mc-0382.pdf
  • 37. Potential Electricity Savings for California Industries • Four of top five are motors • Pay for themselves in reduced utility bills – Water treatment plants – Factories – Office HVAC systems – Pools
  • 38. Electric Bill Can Be 10 to 20 times Cost of the Motor • Like a car using $500,000 in gasoline
  • 39. True in residential as well The Best Pool Pumps • Use 75% less energy than the typical pool pump • Use 50% less than most new pumps • Save $50 to 100 a month or more Pentair IntelliFlo
  • 40. Recommendation #3 Require Smart Motors Everywhere Smart motor • Variable speed • Sensor and microprocessor to control speed
  • 41. 50% to 80% Savings Potential • Fans, furnaces, and air handlers • Pumps • Air Conditioners • Motors and compressors
  • 42. Why? • Fans and pumps need to run on high during startup • Usually only need 10% to 50% to maintain flow – Most motors do not automatically slow down
  • 43. Unbelievable Waste of America’s Wealth Almost half of America’s electricity is used by motors stuck on high speed.
  • 44. Recommendation #3 Require Smart Motors Variable speed • Minimum 85% reduction* Microprocessor controls • Automatically slow down – Backpressure and temperature *of energy consumption on low speed
  • 45. You might be thinking: Lights, Pumps, Fans, Grades: But Where Are The Jobs?
  • 46. Shift Away from Fossil Fuels and Electricity Creates Jobs
  • 47. Trifecta of Job Creation 1. Hire contractors • Creates jobs 2. They spend their salaries • Creates more jobs 3. Building owner spends the savings • Benefits last for decades • Creates jobs in future years
  • 48. The More Efficient the Retrofit The bigger the savings The more jobs created Efficiency matters Target investments that save the most energy: • Lights and motors
  • 49. The Most Efficient Lights and Motors Create the Most Jobs Corollary “A” buildings create more jobs than “D” buildings A-
  • 50. A Race to the Top, A Race to Excellence, Creates the Most Jobs Building Grades Create a Race A-
  • 51. How to Pay for Lights, Fans, Motors and Other Upgrades? (that building owners are installing in a race to improve their grades) $ A-
  • 52. Recommendation #4 Energy Savings Accounts Universal On-bill Financing With a twist
  • 53. San Diego Gas & Electric Leader in On-bill Financing Funds efficiency upgrades With zero interest financing on the monthly utility bill Similar to PACE
  • 54. Energy Savings Accounts Two Pieces 1. Borrow from the utility • Pay back in monthly utility bill 2. Poor performing buildings • Forced to save for future investments Provides money and motivation • It is your money accruing on the utility bill
  • 56. Benefits • Create sustainable jobs – Don’t require ongoing subsidies – Involve no new taxes • Reduce structural unemployment • Wealth creating – Businesses – Homeowners – For our children
  • 57. Sherwin Job Plan Four Recommendations #1 Motivate with Grades B+ – Grade monthly – Disclose annually #2 and #3 Require retrofits – Commercial lighting – Motors #4 Finance – Energy Savings accounts
  • 58. Most Highly Skilled Green Workforce in the World #1 Motivate with Grades – Grade monthly – Disclose annually #2 and #3 Require retrofits – Commercial lighting – Motors #4 Finance – Energy Savings accounts Create a labor shortage