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Stock market special report by epic research 1 april 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
01st
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
US stocks rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 ending both
March and the first quarter of 2014 with moderate gains, after
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen relieved concerns about a
rate hike coming earlier than expected.
Asian shares were mixed in subdued trade on Tuesday as in-
vestors digested two key gauges of Chinese manufacturing
activity.
Yearly Roundup of Indian Markets
In FY14, the Nifty has rallied 17.5%and the S&P BSE Sensex
surged 18.7%. The top sectoral gainers included S&P BSE Auto
(up 33.9%), S&P BSE Capital Goods (up 31%), S&P BSE IT (up
28%) and S&P BSE Healthcare (up 25%). The BSE Realty
(21.5%) the S&P BSE Consumer Durables (8.3%) and S&P BSE
PSU (2.2%) were the only FY14 losers. HCL Tech (up 75%),
Tech Mahindra (up 69.5%), Hindalco (up 54.7%), Maruti (up
54%), Lupin (up 49%), Tata Motors (up 48%) and Hero Moto-
Corp (up 47%) were the top FY14 gainers on the Nifty Index.
FY14 Nifty losers included DLF(25%), JSPL (16%), IDFC (up
15%), NTPC (14.7%) and Tata Power (up 9%). The S&P BSE Mid
-cap was up 13.9%and the S&P BSE Smallcap gained 19.1%in
FY14. The foreign FII bought shares worth Rs 1,362.87 crore
while domestic institutional investors were net sellers worth
Rs 208.34 crore on Friday as per the provisional data from NSE.
Previous day Roundup
The markets didn't make much gains yesterday, but they did
hit new highs. Indian shares edged up on Monday, hitting a
sixth consecutive record high and posting their best monthly
gain since Oct, as strong foreign buying sparked a rally in blue-
chips, especially those dependant on the domestic economy.
The NSE 's 6.81% gain in March was its best performance since
a 9.8% gain in Oct. For the quarter, the rose 6.35%, a second
consecutive rise since its 9.9% gain in the Oct-Dec. period. The
Sensex made a fresh intraday high of 22,467; while the Nifty
hit 6,730. BSE midcap closed the at at 7,082.86; up 72.57 pts,
or 1.04%. The smallcap closed at 7,071.96; up 72.90 points, or
1.04%. The record-setting rally has been sparked by heavy for-
eign buying, reaching a provisional $3.2 billion so far this
month. It is expected that the opposition BJP would win elec-
tions set to conclude by mid-May, given its perception of hav-
ing a more market-friendly stance.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in yesterdayโs session. The sarto-
rial indices performed as follow Consumer Durables [up
166.55pts], Capital Goods [down 57.30pts], PSU [down
9.22pts], FMCG [down 44.92pts], Realty [up pts], Power [up
pts], Auto [up 137.43pts], Healthcare [up 10.90pts], IT [up
14.97pts], Metals [up 374.83pts], TECK [up 7.19pts], Oil& Gas
[up 29.87pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16,457.66 +0.82
S&P 500 1,872.34 +0.79
NASDAQ 4,198.99 +1.04
EURO STO 3,161.60 -0.34
FTSE 100 6,598.37 -0.26
Nikkei 225 14,785.67 -0.28
Hong Kong 23,372.06 +1.00
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
PNB 760.00 55.00 +7.80
BANKBARODA 739.95 44.40 +6.38
TATAPOWER 86.75 4.00 +4.83
HINDALCO 131.10 5.70 +4.55
ULTRACEMCO 2,147.00 88.25 +4.29
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
CAIRN 330.50 3.65 -1.09
ONGC 327.55 3.45 -1.04
ITC 358.05 1.85 -0.51
TECHM 1,825.00 8.45 -0.46
Stocks at 52 Weekโs high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ACC 1,358.00 44.90 +3.42
BFUTILITIE 648.00 5.70 +0.89
CASTROL INDIA 311.00 13.30 +4.47
CENTURYTEX 364.00 7.60 +2.13
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 6695.90 54.15 +0.82
SENSEX 22,339.97 125.60 +0.57
Stocks at 52 Weekโs Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
HINDNATGLS 143.00 4.05 -2.75
KOTHARIPRO 234.95 0.00 0.00
- -
2. DAILY REPORT
01st
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. JINDAL STEEL
JINDAL STEEL FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 300 levels. We advise buying above 300 levels with
strict stoploss 290 for the targets of 310-320 levels.
2. ICICI BANK
ICICI BANK FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up
has been seen, we may see more downside, if it sustains
below 1250 levels. We advise selling around 1260-1250 lev-
els with strict stop loss 1280 for the targets of 1225-1200
levels.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. BGR ENERGY
BGR ENERGY SYSTEMS LTD is looking strong on charts. We
advise buying around 130-135 levels with strict stop loss of
122 for the targets of 142-148 levels.
MACRO NEWS
Despite inflation level dipping consistently, RBI is widely
expected to maintain a status quo on key rates in its
monetary policy review on Arpil 1 (today).
Private equity fund India Agribusiness Fund is investing Rs
75 crore in Bangalore-based Beloorbayir Biotech, which
supplies key ingredients to global nutraceutical, food, bev-
erage and pharmaceutical makers.
RBI recent delay of Basel III implementation offers Indian
banks' more time to meet the minimum capital require-
ments, Fitch Ratings says. This could particularly benefit
some state-owned banks facing capital pressure. More
importantly, banks would get some crucial breathing
space from the lower 5.5 percent pre-specified capital
trigger on additional Tier 1 (AT1) securities until FY19
when it reverts to 6.125%. The headroom of 0.625% will
be particularly helpful for mid-sized state-owned banks
where capital buffers are particularly challenged.
Indiaโs Currency market is closed for local holiday.
SC appoints Australian judge to preside over arbitration
between Reliance Industries & oil ministry.
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India -Notifies 27.5 per-
cent hike in tariff ceilings for cable TV system.
3. DAILY REPORT
01st
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 6,600 60.5 1,89,495 36,53,000
NIFTY PE 6,700 93.1 1,80,326 28,93,900
NIFTY PE 6,500 38 1,19,529 38,48,050
BANKNIFTY PE 12,500 258 9,962 1,87,900
SBIN PE 1,800 25.75 2,736 1,70,000
RELIANCE PE 900 14.25 2,031 2,26,750
HINDALCO PE 130 2.55 1,309 10,32,000
UNITECH PE 12 0.35 1,129 62,16,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 6,800 86 1,85,545 26,68,150
NIFTY CE 6,700 139.5 1,30,597 37,91,950
NIFTY CE 7,000 24.65 1,19,892 24,86,100
BANKNIFTY CE 13,500 146 20,028 1,90,375
SBIN CE 2,000 45.3 5,962 4,65,375
RELIANCE CE 15 0.7 4,372 1,50,84,000
RCOM CE 940 34.45 4,110 5,29,750
ICICIBANK CE 400 15.6 2,793 9,00,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 45064 1512.68 50400 1689.82 387783 12993.10 -177.13
INDEX OPTIONS 256572 8380.09 256298 8391.33 1216162 40715.68 -11.24
STOCK FUTURES 104588 3670.71 100354 3591.06 1058448 36193.48 79.65
STOCK OPTIONS 41985 1422.64 43853 1483.67 29485 1030.67 -61.03
TOTAL -169.75
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 6631.23 6667.71 6698.88 6735.36 6766.53
BANK NIFTY 12547.84 12644.95 12757.15 12854.25 12966.45
STOCKS IN NEWS
India's Reliance Industries' April export volumes seen
lower.
Larsen and Toubro bags orders worth Rs 1,009 crore in
March.
Reliance Jio to offer high-speed data, voice services
using 4G technology.
Vedanta group: Anil Agarwal to be Chairman Emeritus
of Sesa Sterlite.
IOC cuts petrol prices by 75 paise per litre.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session.
We advise selling around 6780-6800 levels with strict
stop loss of 6825 for the targets of 6750-6710.
4. DAILY REPORT
01st
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 43200 TGTS 43450/43850 SL BE-
LOW 42800
SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 42790 TGTS 42540/42140 SL
43200
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD(JUN) ABOVE 28230 TGTS 28310/28410 SL 28220
SELL GOLD(JUN) BELOW 28220 TGTS 28140/28040 SL
28330
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Copper prices edged lower on final trading day of the first
quarter on Monday, but losses were limited as hopes for
fresh economic stimulus in China lent support. On the
Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, cop-
per for May delivery held in a range between $3.026 a
pound and $3.050 a pound, which was the highest level
since March 11. Copper last traded at $3.031 a pound dur-
ing European morning hours, down 0.34%, or 1.0 cent. Cop-
per rallied 1.62%, or 4.8 cents, on Friday to settle at $3.041
a pound. MCX Copper was trading at Rs 403.3 per kg, down
Rs 1.25. The prices tested a high of Rs 405.45 and a low of
Rs 402.95.
Gold edged up on value buying lead by weak US dollar
ahead of the Chicago manufacturing index, Dallas Fed
manufacturing index. Fed Chair Yellen will speak at the Na-
tional Interagency Community Reinvestment Conference in
Chicago. Gold bounced back after prior day's steep fall on
tapering reports from Fed meeting earlier March. COMEX
gold June delivery traded at $1,294.50 troy ounce, up $0.20
and Silver May quotes at $19.918, up 0.128 troy ounce.
Indian Gold futures recovered after hitting two and half
months low triggered by recovery in the international gold
futures amid weak rupee for the day. The MCX Gold April
contract quotes at Rs 28,867, up Rs 290 per 10 grams. MCX
Silver May delivery quotes at Rs 43,239, up Rs 466 per 1 kg,
after hitting the contract low last day.
Silver prices moved higher on Monday, as the first quarter
came to an end, while investors looked ahead to key U.S.
data later in the day and a speech from Federal Reserve
Chair Janet Yellen for further indications on the future
course of monetary policy. On the Comex division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange, silver for May delivery rose
to a session high of $19.96 a troy ounce, the strongest level
since March 26.
Sharp dip was witnessed in commodity futures trading vol-
ume in 2013-14 with total turn over from April 1 2013-
March 15 2014 falling 40% to Rs 98.57 lakh crore against Rs
164.79lakh crore in the corresponding period last fiscal.
The impact of commodity transaction tax and over all bear-
ish trends in commodities impacted overall trading senti-
ments.
COMMODITY MCX
5. DAILY REPORT
01st
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9555 TGTS 9585,9635 SL 9505
SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9455 TGTS 9425,9375 SL 9495
GUARSEED
BUY GUARSEED APR ABOVE 4750 TGTS 4780,4830 SL 4710
SELL GUARSEED APR BELOW 4710 TGTS 4680,4630 SL 4760
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4138 -0.48
Chana 3272 -0.85
Coriander 9530 +3.99
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1466 -0.81
Jeera 10015 -0.50
Maizeโ Feed/Industrial
Grade
1162 -0.94
Mustard seed 3460 โ0.32
Soy Bean 4305.5 -0.21
Turmeric 6300 +0.93
NCDEX ROUNDUP
India's cotton production this year is projected to be 376
lakh bales (170 kg each) โ 15 lakh bales higher than the
earlier estimates โ on account of better yields in Andhra
Pradesh and Maharashtra, says the Indian Cotton Federa-
tion. The cotton year runs from October-September. Attrib-
uting the increase in estimates to better yields and quality
in the two states.
NCDEX, the leading commodity exchange, has announced
the launch of the worldโs first Bajra contract for the benefit
of Indian farmers who contribute close to half of the global
supply. NCDEX has ensured ample availability of accredited
warehouses at the major Bajra trading centers in Delhi, Ra-
jasthan and UP in order to ensure smooth delivery and bet-
ter integration with the value chain.
Bearish trend continued in guarseed futures from higher
levels on the account of strong production estimates in the
current year along with strong carryover stocks in local
mandies. The NCDEX futures to declined by 0.21% yester-
day. As per the latest crop data compiled by team of com-
modityinsights.com, the total production of guarseed in the
current year is estimated at 24 lakh tonnes against 21 lakh
tonnes reported in the previous year. The data suggested
that the total production of state is likely to be around 15
million tonnes in the current year, up almost 7% from the
previous year.
6. DAILY REPORT
01st
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
31/03/14 MCX GOLD APR. BUY 28500 28580-28700 28400 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
31/03/14 MCX GOLD APR. SELL 28250 28170-28050 28350 NOT EXECUTED
31/03/14 MCX SILVER MAY BUY 43300 43550-43900 43000 SL TRIGGERED
31/03/14 MCX SILVER MAY SELL 42400 42150-41800 42700 NOT EXECUTED
31/03/14 NCDEX GUARSEED APR. BUY 4785 4815-4865 4735 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
31/03/14 NCDEX GUARSEED APR. SELL 4720 4690-4640 4770 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
31/03/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. BUY 9185 9215-9565 9135 NOT EXECUTED
31/03/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. SELL 9110 9080-9030 9160 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
31/03/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY
6690-
6700
6750-6800 6650 NOT EXECUTED
31/03/14 PFC FUTURE BUY 191-192 195-198 188 NOT EXECUTED
31/03/14 IDFC FUTURE BUY 124-125 128-130 122 SL TRIGGERED
31/03/14 ADANI POWER CASH BUY 45-46 49-54 41 NOT EXECUTED
7. DAILY REPORT
01st
APRIL 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MARCH 31
9:45 am Chicago PMI March 59.2 59.8
TUESDAY, APRIL 01
9:45 am Markit PMI March -- 55.5
10 am ISM March 54.0% 53.2%
10 am Construction spending Feb. 0.0% 0.1%
TBA Motor vehicle sales March 15.8 mln 15.3 mln
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 02
8:15 am ADP employment March -- 139,000
10 am Factory orders Feb. 0.5% -0.7%
THURSDAY, APRIL 03
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3-22 N/A N/A
8:30 am Trade deficit Feb. -39.4 bln -$39.1 bln
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing March 53.2% 51.6%
FRIDAY ,APRIL 04
8:30 am Nonfarm payrolls March 192,000 175,000